[House Hearing, 114 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] [H.A.S.C. No. 114-15] THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSED AUTHORIZATION FOR USE OF MILITARY FORCE AGAINST ISIL AND U.S. POLICY, STRATEGY, AND POSTURE IN THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST __________ COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED FOURTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ HEARING HELD MARCH 3, 2015 [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] ______ U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 94-217 WASHINGTON : 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES One Hundred Fourteenth Congress WILLIAM M. ``MAC'' THORNBERRY, Texas, Chairman WALTER B. JONES, North Carolina ADAM SMITH, Washington J. RANDY FORBES, Virginia LORETTA SANCHEZ, California JEFF MILLER, Florida ROBERT A. BRADY, Pennsylvania JOE WILSON, South Carolina SUSAN A. DAVIS, California FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey JAMES R. LANGEVIN, Rhode Island ROB BISHOP, Utah RICK LARSEN, Washington MICHAEL R. TURNER, Ohio JIM COOPER, Tennessee JOHN KLINE, Minnesota MADELEINE Z. BORDALLO, Guam MIKE ROGERS, Alabama JOE COURTNEY, Connecticut TRENT FRANKS, Arizona NIKI TSONGAS, Massachusetts BILL SHUSTER, Pennsylvania JOHN GARAMENDI, California K. MICHAEL CONAWAY, Texas HENRY C. ``HANK'' JOHNSON, Jr., DOUG LAMBORN, Colorado Georgia ROBERT J. WITTMAN, Virginia JACKIE SPEIER, California DUNCAN HUNTER, California JOAQUIN CASTRO, Texas JOHN FLEMING, Louisiana TAMMY DUCKWORTH, Illinois MIKE COFFMAN, Colorado SCOTT H. PETERS, California CHRISTOPHER P. GIBSON, New York MARC A. VEASEY, Texas VICKY HARTZLER, Missouri TULSI GABBARD, Hawaii JOSEPH J. HECK, Nevada TIMOTHY J. WALZ, Minnesota AUSTIN SCOTT, Georgia BETO O'ROURKE, Texas STEVEN M. PALAZZO, Mississippi DONALD NORCROSS, New Jersey MO BROOKS, Alabama RUBEN GALLEGO, Arizona RICHARD B. NUGENT, Florida MARK TAKAI, Hawaii PAUL COOK, California GWEN GRAHAM, Florida JIM BRIDENSTINE, Oklahoma BRAD ASHFORD, Nebraska BRAD R. WENSTRUP, Ohio SETH MOULTON, Massachusetts JACKIE WALORSKI, Indiana PETE AGUILAR, California BRADLEY BYRNE, Alabama SAM GRAVES, Missouri RYAN K. ZINKE, Montana ELISE M. STEFANIK, New York MARTHA McSALLY, Arizona STEPHEN KNIGHT, California THOMAS MacARTHUR, New Jersey Robert L. Simmons II, Staff Director Alex Gallo, Professional Staff Member Mike Casey, Professional Staff Member Michael Tehrani, Clerk C O N T E N T S ---------- Page STATEMENTS PRESENTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS Smith, Hon. Adam, a Representative from Washington, Ranking Member, Committee on Armed Services............................ 2 Thornberry, Hon. William M. ``Mac,'' a Representative from Texas, Chairman, Committee on Armed Services.......................... 1 WITNESSES Austin, GEN Lloyd J., III, USA, Commander, U.S. Central Command.. 6 Wormuth, Hon. Christine E., Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, U.S. Department of Defense............................. 3 APPENDIX Prepared Statements: Austin, GEN Lloyd J., III.................................... 49 Wormuth, Hon. Christine E.................................... 43 Documents Submitted for the Record: [There were no Documents submitted.] Witness Responses to Questions Asked During the Hearing: Mrs. Hartzler................................................ 103 Questions Submitted by Members Post Hearing: Mr. Shuster.................................................. 107 THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSED AUTHORIZATION FOR USE OF MILITARY FORCE AGAINST ISIL AND U.S. POLICY, STRATEGY, AND POSTURE IN THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST ---------- House of Representatives, Committee on Armed Services, Washington, DC, Tuesday, March 3, 2015. The committee met, pursuant to call, at 10:02 a.m., in room 2118, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. William M. ``Mac'' Thornberry (chairman of the committee) presiding. OPENING STATEMENT OF HON. WILLIAM M. ``MAC'' THORNBERRY, A REPRESENTATIVE FROM TEXAS, CHAIRMAN, COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES The Chairman. Hearing will come to order. Good morning. Today, the House Armed Services Committee meets to hear testimony on the U.S. Central Command's strategic threats and challenges. By way of information for our members and guests, we will go as far as we can go until 10:30, then we will recess to attend the joint meeting on the House floor, and then we will resume just as soon as that joint meeting is over. We explored with our witnesses maybe trying to rearrange this hearing; that wasn't possible. And so with you all's patience, we will come back just as soon as the joint meeting is completed in order to continue the hearing. Over the past year, the developments in U.S. Central Command's [CENTCOM] area of responsibility have been troubling. The rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria [ISIS], questions about future security situation in Afghanistan, the Government of Yemen's fall to Iranian-backed rebels, and the prospect of a deal ratifying Iran as a threshold nuclear power, all have created serious stress on our strategic position and on our alliances. Any notion that the U.S. could pivot away from the Middle East toward other regions has proven to be naive at best. Part of the challenge here is the absence of a comprehensive strategy across the Middle East. The limited approach that the President has taken has left instability and weak or failed states from Libya to Yemen. Many of those locations have become breeding grounds for terrorists, which is the opposite, of course, of what the administration has tried to achieve. As various actors in the Middle East and elsewhere follow our defense budget debates, one of the results of that has been more doubts about the reliability as an ally. What I hope to hear today is a comprehensive strategy or at least the foundations of a strategy which will help provide a roadmap towards a more stable Middle East led by responsible actors. These states have just as much at stake in defeating Islamic terrorism as we do. This committee also needs to continue to explore operational concerns we have about various AUMF [authorization for use of military force] proposals that contain restrictions on how we engage the enemy. I believe it is critical that we do not validate Iran's standing in the region by allowing them to have threshold nuclear capability. That has and will breed instability and increase security competition in both the Middle East and the wider geopolitical order. We cannot allow that to happen. Mr. Smith. STATEMENT OF HON. ADAM SMITH, A REPRESENTATIVE FROM WASHINGTON, RANKING MEMBER, COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES Mr. Smith. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I agree with the chairman, you, General Austin, you have the toughest assignment in the military. The problems keep cropping up in many places. For, you know, over a decade we had the wars in both Afghanistan and Iraq. Those two areas are still problematic, but many others have been added since then. And I think the chairman did a pretty good exhaustive list looking at Syria and Yemen and other places. And getting back to stability in that region is an enormous challenge. I will say that I think it sort of defies a comprehensive strategy where you come up with the strategy and then you just, you know, automatically plug it in no matter what happens. The problems evolve. They move in different directions, and they are contradictory. Certainly, we are opposed to Assad's leadership in Syria. That, you know, bad leadership has led to all kinds of problems, but, you know, the alternative does not look much more attractive. So what is your solution? What do you do? There are no easy answers there, number one; number two, I think it would be a mistake for us to assume that it is either the U.S.'s responsibility or that we have the ability ourselves to solve these problems. This is primarily a regional issue. This is primarily a problem of governance, leadership, religion, all manner of different issues colliding in that region. What we have to do is see how we can be part of helping to move those countries in a correct direction to get to greater stability. This is not something that the U.S. can come up with a plan and then go in there and implement it and fix Syria or fix Yemen or fix Iraq. I think if we took that approach, that would be a mistake and would lead to greater pushback than it would to solutions. And obviously, one of the biggest problems in the region, aside from the Islamic extremists, like ISIL [Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant] and Al Qaeda, is the Sunni-Shia split, you know, most exemplified by the split between Saudi Arabia and Iran. That complicates everything. In the offensive that we have just heard about launched against Tikrit is launched against ISIL. Obviously that is, you know, one of our foremost enemies that we want to see defeated. One of the countries leading that offensive is Iran, another country that we are troubled by. How do you sort of deal with all of those different complex situations? And I think what I want to hear today personally is not that you have the answer. I am not going to put that burden on you, to say here is the strategy that is going to solve the problem. I want to hear how the U.S. can best use its resources to make the problem better instead of worse, understanding that it defies any sort of simple solution or defies any sort of U.S. solution. And let me just say on Iran, on the idea that somehow if we do a deal with them we make them a threshold nuclear power, they have already done that. They made that decision and they moved forward. There is no deal--I think the deal that everybody wants is where we go in and we tell Iran you give everything up and we get to keep the sanctions on you. Well, I don't think Iran is going to go for that, so we have got to figure out what is the best approach. And the approach the administration is trying to take is trying to contain them to make sure that they cannot break out and get to a nuclear weapon. If we don't reach a deal, the risk of that happening goes up exponentially because then Iran has nothing to lose. The sanctions are there. How do we monitor it? How do we pursue it? If we can get an agreement that severely limits their nuclear program so that we can be confident that they won't be able to get a nuclear weapon for at least a year or more without us first knowing that they are trying to do it, I think that is a significant improvement. If we walk away, the status quo is not to our advantage. There is no reason to believe that they won't expand their nuclear situation that could lead to even greater conflict in the region. Again, I would prefer the answer that says Iran just walks away from the nuclear program, no questions asked. I just don't see that on the table. And I think that is but one example of the complex set of choices that we face here that defy easy answers, that defy a U.S. policy that is just going to solve the problem. So in a complicated world, like I said, I look forward to hearing what we can do to hopefully contain the problem and move things in the right direction, understanding the limitations of our ability to simply solve them. With that, I yield back. The Chairman. I am pleased to welcome back Ms. Christine Wormuth, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy; and General Lloyd Austin, Commander of the U.S. Central Command as our guest witnesses today. Without objection, both of your full written statements will be made part of the record, and we would invite you at this point to summarize your statements before we go to questions. Ms. Wormuth. STATEMENT OF HON. CHRISTINE E. WORMUTH, UNDER SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR POLICY, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Secretary Wormuth. Thank you, Chairman Thornberry, Ranking Member Smith, and members of the committee, for inviting me here today to talk about DOD [Department of Defense] strategy and posture in the Greater Middle East. It is a pleasure to be back here again this week to talk to you about a different and even more challenging part of the world. It is also a great pleasure to be here with General Austin. We are very lucky to have him serving as our commander in CENTCOM. He is also, frankly, a terrific reminder of the overall quality of all of our men and women serving in the region today. As you all know, our forces in CENTCOM are confronting many difficult global security challenges. New realities have forced us to take a hard look at our near- and long-term goals for our engagement in the Middle East. Although the Department will face many different challenges in the Middle East, as Ranking Member Smith noted, two issues are particularly critical and are at the top of our agenda: The first is how to degrade and ultimately defeat ISIL, and the second is preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. In Iraq and Syria, the Department is working with partners for a truly whole-of-government effort to try and degrade and ultimately defeat ISIL. We have over 2,600 U.S. service men and women currently in Iraq working with the Government of Iraq, and more than 60 countries participating in our global coalition against ISIL. We are making progress. This is going to be a long-term campaign and we need to be patient, but we are making progress. We have blunted ISIL's momentum. We have degraded its ability to mass and maneuver forces. We have pressured or eliminated its leadership cells, and we have disrupted its command and control and supply lines. In short, we have put ISIL on the defensive. And I think you are seeing that, and I am sure General Austin will speak to that in more detail in various parts of Iraq right now. But countering ISIL would not be possible without local partners in the lead. U.S. and coalition partners are supporting the Government of Iraq by assisting with training, equipping, and advising its armed forces. Last summer, we stood up our advise and assist teams to partner with local forces in the ISF [Iraqi security forces] and the Peshmerga, and early this year we began training these forces at four different sites across Iraq. I traveled to Iraq in January and was able to visit one of the sites myself, Taiji, where I was able to see firsthand the partnership that we have with Iraqi forces. In addition to our efforts in Iraq to go after ISIL, we are also working with our coalition partners in Syria, and we are also working to build the capabilities of the moderate Syrian opposition there. We expect the training of our first DOD class of vetted opposition elements to begin--we expect to begin training them later this month. Our forces in the region are strengthening our partners' ability to fight terrorism locally, but ultimately, it is going to be Iraqi forces and Syrian fighters who will secure the gains against ISIL and inflict a lasting defeat. To support what we are doing, the President has developed and transmitted to Congress an authorization for the use of military force that demonstrates a whole-of-government support for him to successfully prosecute the armed conflict against ISIL within reasonable limitations. Enacting a bipartisan ISIL- specific AUMF would provide a clear and powerful signal to the American people, to our allies, and to our enemies, and very importantly, I think, to our U.S. service men and women that the United States stands united to degrade and ultimately defeat ISIL. And I look forward to talking with you more this morning about the AUMF proposal. Defeating ISIL is a major focus and challenge but so is Iran in the region. As the President has made clear, his top priority is preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. Iran's nuclear ambitions continue to be a consistent area of concern for us in the Department of Defense. We are hopeful that the P5+1 negotiations will result in a comprehensive and verifiable deal that will ensure the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program. But at DOD, our job is to remain vigilant as well, and we do that by helping to underwrite negotiations with our robust posture and capabilities in the region, and we maintain a laser-like focus on that. As the President has said publicly, we will do whatever is necessary to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, including the use of military force, if necessary, and we are postured to do that in the region today. Beyond Iran's nuclear program, we have other concerns about Iran's activities in the region. They are engaged in a variety of destabilizing activities across the region but also well beyond that. And even if we are successful in neutralizing Iran's nuclear threat through hard-nosed diplomacy, we will continue to support U.S. Government efforts to counter Iran and the full range of threats that it poses to our friends and allies in the region and beyond. Even as we work to degrade and defeat ISIL and to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, we are also at the same time committed to moving to a smaller force in Afghanistan and consolidating the gains that we have made there over the past decade of international support to the Afghanistan Government. The U.S. mission in Afghanistan has helped support the Afghan people and has protected U.S. national interests by working with local partners to build up the capacity of the Afghan National Security Forces. It is clear that we still have a lot of work to do in the next 2 years, but I think we have made some very positive strides, and I am particularly encouraged by the fact that President Ghani sees the U.S. and NATO [North Atlantic Treaty Organization] role and presence as a very important part of his strategy to bring stability and security to Afghanistan. We are also going to continue to work with Pakistan and the Central Asian States to address existing and emerging threats in the region. Like Afghanistan, Pakistan is also facing a potent threat from extremists, and I think something we all saw tragically with the attack on the school in Peshawar. We are committed to continuing to improve our relationship with Pakistan by collaborating where our strategic interests come together and engaging diplomatically where they don't. Meeting the range of challenges that we see in the CENTCOM AOR [area of responsibility] is going to take a lot of resources and effort, and it is important that we use those resources as effectively as possible, as Ranking Member Smith noted. The President's budget request for 2016 supports our strategy for the region and enables the services to continue to address our most critical needs, even as we get smaller and more capable over the next several years. If sequestration returns, however, in 2016 and beyond, the Department's readiness would deteriorate markedly, which would harm our ability to respond promptly and efficiently when called upon. As a consequence, we would have fewer forces available to support operations and respond to crises in a region as vital as the Middle East. This is a very dynamic time for our policy in the region. It is a challenging time. The Secretary has signaled his commitment to working with our government and international partners to shape a more secure region in the coming years. We are clear-eyed about the fiscal constraints we are facing, but we believe it is necessary even in the face of those constraints to maintain our commitment to protect our interests in the region and to combat the threats that we face there. Thank you. And I look forward to your questions. [The prepared statement of Secretary Wormuth can be found in the Appendix on page 43.] The Chairman. Thank you. General. STATEMENT OF GEN LLOYD J. AUSTIN III, USA, COMMANDER, U.S. CENTRAL COMMAND General Austin. Good morning. Chairman Thornberry, Congressman Smith, distinguished members of the committee, I want to thank you for the opportunity to appear here today to talk about the broad efforts and the current posture of the United States Central Command. Upfront and most importantly, I would like to thank all of you for your continued and strong support of our men and women in uniform and their families. I look forward to talking about them and about the exceptional contributions that they continue to make on behalf of the command and our Nation. I am pleased to appear here this morning alongside Ms. Wormuth. Christine is widely respected by professionals throughout the Defense Department, both civilian and military, and we are most grateful for her support of our efforts at CENTCOM. I will join her in making a few brief opening comments and then we are prepared to answer your questions. Ladies and gentlemen, much has happened in the CENTCOM area of responsibility since I last appeared before this committee a year ago. Indeed, the Central Region is today more volatile and chaotic than I have seen it at any other point, and the stakes have never been higher. The forces of evil that threaten our homeland and our interest in that strategically important part of the world thrive in unstable environments marked by poor governance, economic uncertainty, ungoverned or under-governed spaces. And therefore, it is essential that we be present and engaged and that we cultivate strong partnerships and continue to do our part to address emerging threats and to move the region in a direction of greater stability and security. And we must be properly resourced to do what is required to effectively protect and promote our interests. At CENTCOM, in addition to doing all that we can to prevent problems from occurring, while shaping future outcomes, we spend a great deal of our time and energy managing real-world crisis. Over the past year, we dealt with conflicts in Iraq and Syria, we transitioned combat operations to a train, advise, and assist CT [counterterrorism]-focused mission in Afghanistan. At the same time, we dealt with a number of difficult challenges in Yemen, Egypt, Lebanon, and in a host of other locations throughout our area of responsibility. We actively pursued violent extremist groups, and we took measures to counter the radical ideologies that are espoused by these groups. We also dealt with Iran, which continues to act as a belligerent force in the region, primarily through its Quds forces and through support to proxy actors, such as Lebanese Hezbollah. And while we are hopeful that an acceptable agreement will be reached with Iran with respect to its nuclear program, either way, whether we reach an agreement or we don't reach an agreement, Iran will continue to present a challenge for us going forward. We are faced with a number of challenges in our region; however, I firmly believe that challenges also present opportunities, and we make progress primarily by pursuing these opportunities, and we do pursue them. And I am confident that our broad efforts are having a measurable impact. Of course, the most immediate threat facing us now is a threat posed by ISIL or Daesh [Arabic acronym for ISIL]. This barbaric organization must be defeated, and it will be defeated. We are currently in the process of executing our regional military campaign plan, and I am pleased to report that we are making significant progress. At the outset, we said that we would need to halt ISIL's advance, and we have done that in Iraq. We said that we are going to have to regenerate and restructure Iraq's security forces to help them re-establish the border, and we are in the process of doing that right now. We said that we would have to help our partners in the region to bolster their defenses against ISIL, and we continue to help our friends in Jordan and Lebanon and Turkey. We said that we would have to build credible ground forces to counter ISIL in Syria and to guard against ungoverned spaces, and we will soon begin doing that as a part of our Syria train and equip program. So ladies and gentlemen, we are making progress. In fact, we are about where we said that we would be in the execution of our military campaign plan, which supports the broader whole- of-government strategy that is designed to counter ISIL. And we are having significant effects on the enemy. Since commencing our air operations in early August, just 7 months ago, we have killed more than 8,500 ISIL fighters, we have destroyed hundreds of their vehicles along with tanks and heavy weapons systems. We have significantly degraded his capability, his ability to command and control his forces, and also his primary sources of revenue, namely, his oil refineries and his crude collection points. The fact is that he can no longer do what he did at the outset, which is to seize and to hold new territory. He has assumed a defensive crouch in Iraq. And although he has greater freedom of movement in Syria, he is largely in a defensive there as well. He has begun to expand into other areas, namely North Africa, and in part because he knows that he is losing in Iraq and Syria and he needs to find other ways to maintain his legitimacy. In going forward, we should expect to see this enemy continue to conduct limited attacks and to orchestrate horrific scenes in order to create IO [information operations] opportunities and to distract and to intimidate. But make no mistake, ISIL is losing this fight, and I am certain that he will be defeated. Again, he will be defeated. Having said that, there is still work to be done to get to that point, and we intend to continue to execute the campaign as designed, and I say that because how we go about this is very important. If we don't first get things under control in Iraq, where there is a government that we can work with and with some reliable security forces that are available, if we don't get things right there first before expanding our efforts in Syria, then we risk making matters worse in both countries. But done the right way, in light of the limitations that exist, I believe that we can and we will be successful in our efforts to defeat ISIL. And at the same time, we can be assured continued progress in pursuit of our principal goal, which is to move this strategically important region in the direction of increased stability and security. Going forward, we will all be required to make tough choices, and we will need to find ways to do more or at least as much with less than the current fiscal environment. That said, I remain concerned by the fact that capability reductions can and will impact our ability to respond to crisis, and especially in the highly volatile Central Region. The resulting loss of flexibility makes the U.S. and our interests increasingly vulnerable to external pressures. And so I would ask Congress to do its part to make sure that we avoid sequestration and other resourcing limitations that serve to degrade the readiness of America's military forces. Chairman Thornberry, Ranking Member Smith, members of the committee, I want to thank you once more for the strong support that you continue to show to our service members, our civilians, and their families. They are the very best in the world at what they do. They continue to demonstrate absolute selflessness and they make enormous sacrifices in support of the mission and in support of one another. I am incredibly proud of them and I know that you are as well. So thank you again for this opportunity, and I look forward to answering your questions. [The prepared statement of General Austin can be found in the Appendix on page 49.] The Chairman. Thank you, General. We share your sentiment for those who serve our Nation, including yourself. I don't think we have time to begin the questioning, so the committee is going to stand in recess until just after the joint meeting where we will resume. In the meantime, you all please enjoy our hospitality as best you can. [Recess.] The Chairman. The committee will come to order. Again, Ms. Wormuth, and, General, thank you for your patience. And we understand the inconvenience of this coming and going, but we appreciate you all being here. Members will continue to come in as they come back from the joint meeting. I don't know, General, did you have a chance to listen to the Prime Minister's speech? General Austin. Yes, sir, I did. The Chairman. Okay. You know, I was struck, your comments in your opening statement, about Iran's other activities other than its nuclear programs. And that was certainly a point that was highlighted by the Prime Minister. You spend a lot of time dealing with military leaders throughout your region in the Middle East and North Africa. My question to you is: If there is an agreement that says that Iran shall not be closer to--that has the effect of having Iran not closer than 1 year of having a nuclear weapon, what, in your estimation, would be the reaction of other countries in the region? And I am thinking particularly about the Saudis, the Turks, the Egyptians, people who are interested in this negotiation other than Israel. What would be their reaction to that? General Austin. Sir, no matter what the outcome is, I think there will be--always be some degree of speculation. I think the first thing that they will want to know is what the details of the agreement are before they make an assessment on how it affects their interests going forward and their security. To your point that you made earlier, sir, I think the people--the leaders in the region certainly believe that Iran's quest for a nuclear weapon is a threat to the region. But they are also equally concerned about Iran's ability to mine the Straits, Iran's cyber capabilities, Iran's ICBM [intercontinental ballistic missile] capability or ballistic missile capability, as well as the activity of their Quds forces, which is unhelpful. And so whether we get a deal or don't get a deal, I think they will still share those concerns. As we negotiate a deal--and I certainly hope that we are able to negotiate one, I think one of the things that we will have to do early on is to go and reassure our allies that we are going to be with them going forward. And we have--we have interest in the region that we will have to protect and we will certainly--certainly move to do that early on. The Chairman. Yeah. When I have traveled in the region and also visited with some of their ambassadors here in Washington, one of the concerns I have heard expressed is that having Iran be a threshold nuclear state, basically being able to have it within a year or less, will embolden them with these other kind of activities that you talked about because, then, they will have less concern that the regime is threatened and, therefore, they will be more aggressive in pushing their proxies and potentially naval matters in the Persian Gulf and so forth. Is that some of the concerns that you have heard that you think allies will need to be reassured about? General Austin. Yes, sir. I think there are arguments on both side of the fence in terms of, you know, what people speculate that Iran's reaction will be and what we will need to do to counter those reactions or hedge against unhelpful activity. The Chairman. Yeah. Well, I am concerned not only about Israel's reaction, which we just heard, but there are a number of other countries that are vitally interested in this. And so it seems to me that that also has to be taken into account. There are lots of topics we can and should talk about, including ISIS [Islamic State of Iraq and Syria], Yemen, and Afghanistan. But at this point, I am going to yield to Mr. Smith and other members for questions they may have. Mr. Smith. Thank you. Following up on the Iran issue, I mean, I certainly would prefer a situation where Iran gives up all of its nuclear capacity and, you know, we can take that off the table. And I don't think there is any disagreement with that. The question is, you know, how would we get there? And the answer is, at the moment, we wouldn't. Iran would not agree to that. And I suppose, as the Prime Minister suggested, we could simply hold out and hope for a better deal. But one question I have is, as this--if we were to do that, if we were to walk away, our sanctions regime is dependent upon other countries agreeing to it. What is your view on what Russia and China and Europe would do in terms of maintaining their sanctions on Iran if we walked away from a deal? And how would that effect Iran's economy and the entire negotiation? Secretary Wormuth. Ranking Member Smith, I think obviously the sanctions regime that we have been able to put in place with support from the international community has been key to bringing the Iranians to the table for the negotiations. And I think it would be an open question, particularly with some of the countries, as to whether the support for those sanctions over time for those very, very stiff sanctions, whether they could be sustained in the absence of an ongoing negotiation as we have right now. So again, I think, our judgment to date has been that as difficult as the situation is--and as you said, Iran has a vote in this. I mean, they have to be willing to make a deal--our sense has been that the talks that we are engaged in right now are the best chance for a potentially lasting solution, and we want to give them a chance. But if they end and there is not a deal, you know, I think we will have to revisit the way forward. But reassurance of the ally--or the partners in the region is going to be a very key part of that because they are obviously very nervous. Mr. Smith. Okay. General Austin, do you have a comment or-- -- General Austin. I don't, sir. I certainly agree---- Mr. Smith. Okay. General Austin [continuing]. With what Ms. Wormuth has said, and I wouldn't have anything to add to that, sir. Mr. Smith. Okay. And then the other piece of it is--I mean, there is a number of arguments. One of the arguments is that Iran frequently violates deals and doesn't do what they said they were going to. And if that is the case, there is really nothing we could do. You know, they are basically going to move forward and do whatever they are going to do and, you know, we are limited. The more interesting question to me is: As has been pointed out, Iran has been a year or--depending on who you listen to, anywhere from 3 months to a year away from a nuclear weapon for, gosh, 10 years now at least. Why, in your estimation, have they not just gone ahead and built one? Secretary Wormuth. Congressman Smith, I can't speculate as to the reasons why they haven't---- Mr. Smith. Well, anyone can speculate. Secretary Wormuth. Well, I guess what I would say is that is what it would be. It would be speculation, you know. Mr. Smith. Right. Secretary Wormuth. Our sense is, is that Iran's leadership has not made the decision to go all the way and acquire a nuclear weapon. Why that is, you know, is known to the Supreme Leader, but I am not sure it is known to anyone in our government. Mr. Smith. Right. No. I mean, it is, I think, a cost- benefit analysis there. And, you know, arguably the dumbest policy Iran has pursued in the last, you know, 15 years is the pursuit of a nuclear weapon because they are doing all manner of other bad stuff, but this is the one that has united the international community against them and brought sanctions against them. So, you know, I just think that it is worth it to continue to try to negotiate because if we could take the nuclear weapon off the table for some extended period of time in Iran, there is a big benefit to that. Just like, you know, for all of the missteps that happened in Syria, the fact that we were able to get rid of Syria's chemical weapons is certainly a positive given now that ISIL is, you know, running around a good chunk of Syria relatively free. So I think we need to keep trying to figure out a way to get Iran to agree not to build that weapon. And I also think that it is clear from their past actions that it is--it is a 50/50 question for them. It is not something that they have 100 percent decided to do. Because if they had 100 percent decided to do it, it would be done at this point by even Prime Minister Netanyahu's own admission saying they have been, you know, 6 months away from a bomb for 15 years. So I hope we will keep trying to figure that out. Final question. And I know this is impossible to answer but a huge part of the problem in the region--and, believe me, there are many. But one big part of the problem in the region is the Shia-Sunni split. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, we have the ironic situation of Iran fighting ISIL and all of the different, you know, disruptive activities that are going on in Lebanon and Syria and elsewhere. And while we are trying to specifically contain the extremist threat that is ISIL, you know, part of what funded them early on was the notion of some of our allies in the region that, well, you know Assad is friends with Iran, so whatever we can do to go after him is fine and that added fuel to the fire. Is there any hope of any sort of, you know, both sides, Shia and Sunni, coming to at least--I don't want to say a peace agreement--but figuring out how to better coexist in that region in a less extremist way? General Austin. Sir, you are right. That is a difficult question to answer, and it involves some speculation going forward. But I would hope that we would approach this, at least, on a country-by-country basis at the outset. And certainly what we are trying to do in Iraq is, is ensure that the country stays together, it remains focused on the right things, that the government is accommodating to the Sunni population and the Kurdish population that is in the country which is, in my mind, you know, underlines or is a foundation for a lot of the problems that we have seen recently occur. So I think, you know, starting with that, I think it would be a good start. Also, no matter how we got here in terms of how the activity was supported in the past, the encouraging thing is that what we see currently is a lot of countries in the region and across the globe coming together to try to work with us to stem the flow of foreign fighters, to also minimize opportunities for this enemy to resource itself, to finance itself. And I think those types of things will make a difference going forward. And I will yield to Ms. Wormuth. Secretary Wormuth. I was basically going to make the same point. I mean, I don't think that there is a single cut-and- paste solution that you can take. But I think one of the lessons that we saw coming out perhaps of the previous experience of Iraq was that Maliki's very sectarian approach to governing was a big part of how we got here; and that, I think, [Prime Minister] Abadi has a much greater understanding of the need for a more inclusive approach. And we continue to strongly underscore just how important it is that that be central to his approach to trying to solve this problem with ISIL. I think it is also--I wouldn't want to overstate it--but I do think that the--the just pure barbarity of what ISIL has prosecuted in terms of the beheadings, the immolation of the Jordanian pilot, that has seemed to cause, I think, many countries and many of the publics in the region to look at this in a different way and to really, I think, question the extremism that they are seeing. So my hope is that perhaps that will do more to help bring the larger society together to try to find solutions. Mr. Smith. Yeah. And I am sorry, final question on Iran. I guess the big question is: If the negotiations fall apart, where does that leave us? Because if negotiations fall apart-- and we are not even trying to get them to stop--at that point, you know, it is a wide open question. Is Iran going to pursue that nuclear weapon or not? What do we do then? What do you think Israel does then? Do they wait and hope that, you know, the last decade continues and Iran doesn't step across that line? How does that affect the region? Secretary Wormuth. I think what I would say, Congressman, is, you know, if there isn't a deal, certainly from the DOD perspective, we will continue to have the responsibility to--to essentially be the insurance policy, if you will, for the region in terms of making sure that we have the capabilities in our country to help defend Israel, to help defend our interests in the region. And we are committed to making sure that we have those capabilities in a very robust fashion. I think we will work closely with our partners in the region to reassure them of that continued commitment. And then I think, you know, how Israel approaches the problem will be, again, largely up to them. But we--our responsibility in DOD is to make sure that we have the capabilities to respond if we think that there is a reason to do so and to make sure that we have the ability to provide a military option if needed. Mr. Smith. Thank you. The Chairman. Mr. Jones. Mr. Jones. Mr. Chairman, thank you very much. And to the two panelists, thank you for being here and for your service to our Nation. I am always interested--I have been on this committee for 20 years, so I go back to the Iraq war and 9/11 and all the tragedies of 9/11. And I heard you, Madam Secretary, and also, General Austin. You mentioned, Madam Secretary, sequestration. General Austin keeps talking about resources. We have had the service chiefs in here recently to talk about their budgets, and I know the world is very unsettled. I know that we have a certain responsibility, first, to the American people and then to our friends in other regions of the world. I don't dispute that at all. But I just wonder, when you--you know, you are talking about the training these security forces in Afghanistan that it is--you know, still it is going well or it is going okay--maybe is a better word than ``well.'' It is a long process. I just wondered--I am not a great student of history, but I did study history. I just wonder how much longer can we as a nation--and you are a national figure because you are in the administration. General, you are an outstanding military man yourself. How much longer can we keep going down this road and expect our military to continue to do this and that when their budgets are being cut behind them? And I have been a strong proponent, if we are going to get serious about the world situation, we need to have a war tax. We cannot keep playing this budget game that we keep playing here in Washington and have you come testify. And then we have to battle this thing on the floor of the House, the chairman and ranking member do, of trying to salvage whatever money we can salvage. So my point is: Are we getting to a point that--as I think General Austin said, aren't we at a point that we need to say the administration military leaders, you know, you and Saudi, you have got a lot of troops, put your troops on the ground. We have got 100 to 200,000 Iraqis in the military. I know what we are trying to do. Some approximations I have heard is 20 to 30,000 fighters. General Austin, you say we have already killed 8,000. So let's take the high figure of 30,000 jihadists and reduce that to 20. I don't understand the numbers of this thing, the financial numbers, nor do I understand the numbers of kill. And how in the world are we going to continue to expand and send our troops around the world and try to take care of everybody else's problems if they won't step up and take care of it themselves and say to America, ``You back us up, but we are going to be the frontline troops''? I don't know--I am not criticizing the administration. I just don't know how much longer this game can keep going on. Secretary Wormuth. Congressman, if I could try to respond to a couple of those points. I think fundamentally we have tried in a number of different areas, particularly I would say Afghanistan, but also in terms of the counter-ISIL campaign to work very much by, with, and through partner countries. So in Afghanistan, you know, we are very much trying to enable the ANSF [Afghan National Security Forces] to be able to take care of their own security. You know, fundamentally we got in there, as you well know, after 9/11 to ensure that Afghanistan would not be a safe haven for Al Qaeda. But in the next 2 years, I think we feel pretty good about what we are going to be able to do with the ANSF so that they will be able to take over by the end of 2016 and take care of their security themselves. We will stay there in a relatively small security cooperation footprint in Kabul, but it will largely be their responsibility at that point. And in Iraq and Syria, you know, we are working very closely with a huge coalition, and about more than a dozen of those members are contributing to the military coalition. So I think we are very much trying to take an approach that isn't about America doing everything for everyone but trying to work with others to help them do more for themselves. And I am sure General Austin will want to add to that. General Austin. And in terms of the effects that we are having on the enemy, sir, and in terms of the numbers, I think that the numbers are input to the overall calculus in terms of the effects created. But I think it is more important to focus on the effects. And as we look at ISIL's behavior today, you know, you go back several months ago, ISIL was moving around in large convoy formations, flying a lot of black flags, taking up large swaths of territory. They can no longer do that, and it is principally because of the effects that we have had on--they have the ability to recruit more fighters into the country, and we know that. And so it is not about just the kinetic effects alone. It is about that, plus reducing visibility to recruit foreign fighters, plus reducing visibility to finance themselves. That creates the effects that we are beginning to see. And the enemy is beginning to struggle in a number of areas, in terms of governing, in terms of ability to control territory. So---- Mr. Jones. Thank you. The Chairman. Mr. Courtney. Mr. Courtney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you to the witnesses. Again, just to go back for a moment regarding some of your testimony concerning our relationship with the Israeli Government and military. Again, General Dempsey has been before this committee a number of times and talked about how the mil- to-mil connection with Israel has a special sort of quality in nature that really is almost not matched anywhere in the world. And I was wondering, General, if you could sort of just kind of characterize that in terms of your own experience? And, Ms. Wormuth, you know, you mentioned, you know, that this is something that is ongoing and that will be there with or without an agreement. I was wondering, again, if you could just sort of underscore that point? General Austin. And, sir, I believe the question is, our military-to-military relationship with Israel? As you know, sir, Israel falls in European Command's area of responsibility. But we certainly--since it borders our region of responsibility or our area of responsibility, we certainly see a need to maintain good connectivity. I had a great relationship with the former chief of defense there, with Benny Gantz. And I have not had a chance to meet the new--or his replacement, but I have met him on a VTC [video teleconference] where he and Benny and I, you know, along with General Breedlove, were able to share some ideas and concerns. And so my hope--and I know this will be the case--is that we will continue to have a very, very strong relationship going forward. But, again, that--that--Israel is outside of my area of responsibility. Secretary Wormuth. I would just add to that, Congressman, by saying, you know, we have an incredibly strong relationship, defense relationship, with Israel. Secretary Carter spoke with Bogie Ya'alon within days of coming into office. And I am sure that will be, you know, one of his very close counterpart relationships. We do many exercises with Israel. We have policy talks with them every year where we talk about everything from countering WMD [weapons of mass destruction] to exchanging lessons learned on homeland defense. We are very committed to preserving their qualitative military edge, and this is something that we talk about regularly and actively with the Israelis in terms of our arms sales to other countries in the region, for example, as well as our arms sales with Israel itself. We have provided, in the last several years, over a billion dollars for Israel's missile defense programs from Iron Dome to David's Sling to Arrow. So we have a very, I think, robust and healthy and resilient defense relationship with Israel. Mr. Courtney. Okay. Thank you. Both of you have talked about the impact of sequestration in terms of executing your mission in that part of the world. I remember in March of 2013 when sequestration hit for the first time, the USS Harry S. Truman, which was scheduled to be deployed in the Middle East, had to tie up in Virginia for a number of months before this place finally worked things out. And I guess the question is, is that, again, if we go into 2016 with sequester-level spending, General, do you have any testimony or comments regarding the impact of the number of carriers that might be available and how critical their mission is? General Austin. The number of--having a carrier battle group in the region is absolutely critical to us. And, of course, I remain concerned about our ability to do that going forward. A good example of that is what we recently saw here in our counter-ISIL efforts. As things unfolded in Iraq and Syria, we were able to rapidly respond to that issue, that crisis because we had a carrier in the region and we were able to use that carrier to put up aircraft over Iraq to help the situation, gain situational awareness. And so without that degree of flexibility, it will be very, very difficult to address these kinds of emerging crisis in the future. And so when you look at a region that has Afghanistan and Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Egypt, there will continue to be challenges. And of course, I worry that we will have the resources to make sure that we can continue to work with our partners to address those challenges. Mr. Courtney. Thank you. I yield back. The Chairman. Thank you. Mr. Rogers. Mr. Rogers. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. General, recently we have heard a lot about Patriot batteries and the Army air defenders being stretched to their breaking point. And, in fact, recently deputy commander of the 32nd Air and Missile Defense Command stated this: ``Today we have air and missile defense forces in nine countries. On any given day, nearly half of the Army's Patriot batteries are outside the continental United States and we have begun forward deploying THAAD [Terminal High Altitude Area Defense] batteries. We are rapidly approaching an inflection point where we face the risk of breaking our AMD, our air missile defense force.'' I have two questions. First, as the imminent modernization of this system creates further strains on the deployment capability, what are your concerns as a combatant commander? And the second question is, what are the alternatives to drawing down force structure to make sure we don't deny our combatant commanders the capability they need? General Austin. Sir, on the first question, in terms of a combatant commander's perspective on this, while I certainly share the Army services' concerns in being able to manage the op [operations] tempo of its people, I think that is very, very important. But as you take a look at the emerging threats in the region, in the Central Region, certainly I remain concerned about Iran's ballistic missile capability. Now they continue to gain more capability and that capability is more accurate and more lethal as we go forward. So I think there is a need--there will remain a need for a good air defense capability to make sure that we protect our interest in the region and also to be able to work with our allies in the region. In terms of ways to mitigate this, we are going to have to continue to work with the allies to help them develop capacity and capability to, again, not only take care of their own sovereign territory, but also add to, you know, the greater potential, the greater capability in the region. And we have a long way to go in that endeavor, but I think that that is--that is one of the major ways that we can look to address this issue going forward. Mr. Rogers. Have you or OSD [Office of the Secretary of Defense] or Joint Staff been talking with any of our allies about hosting some of these assets on a semi-permanent basis instead of us rotating them around? General Austin. We have not reached a decision to forward position any assets, sir. So we have continuing dialogue with our allies in the region in terms of what is possible, what is not possible. But, you know, certainly we have not taken a decision to forward position additional missile defense assets. Mr. Rogers. If you did, would it take some of the stress off by not having to rotate? General Austin. I think it would, sir. I think that would certainly be one way to address this. Mr. Rogers. Okay. Thank you. That is all I have, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Ms. Tsongas. Ms. Tsongas. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you both for being here. Sorry we had that break that took us away for such a while. You know, it has been said--and I think as we--in hearing Mr. Netanyahu's speech today and hearing your comments, that the challenges in the Middle East are like, at least, a three- dimensional chess game, and I think actually there are probably even more layers to that. And I think the fact that we have been given the opportunity to consider an AUMF is very important. It allows the Congress to weigh in and think through the implications of what we are doing and how best to achieve success. But, again, given that it is so multidimensional, it is actually rather hard to grapple with. I think we are all struggling with that. But I--and I think--I just happened to read in the paper today that Iran is actually playing a significant role in Tikrit. That their forces are there, you know, helping--helping push back on ISIL. And I think that highlights the complexity of the region. While we are trying to negotiate an agreement on their nuclear weaponization at the same time, we are taking--or taking advantage of their assistance. And I am curious, General Austin, how you think this through? General Austin. Well, it certainly is a complex situation, ma'am. Thanks. Obviously, we are focused on helping--providing support to the country, the Government of Iraq in its efforts to counter ISIL. And this is a--this is an Iraqi effort. The Iraqis have to do this. We will enable their efforts with our air power, with our advice, and the assistance in any way we can. But at the end of the day, they have to be able to do this. And, certainly, there are areas in the eastern part of the country that they have--leading up to this point that they have gained assistance from their neighbor with and the popular mobilization forces that are there working. So if you look at the areas in the eastern part of the country, Jalula, Khanaqin, they have worked together in those areas. And then leading up to this, they have done a number of things to get to this point. So, in terms of sorting this out, again, our focus is on the Government of Iraq and working with the Government of Iraq to provide assistance to them to counter ISIL. Ms. Tsongas. So, in essence, you defer to their relationship with Iran in that instance. And then how do you see that complicates the next step, so that is the accommodation between the Shia and the Sunni so that, going forward, the government is representative of the country and we don't backtrack into the situation we are in today. General Austin. I think it is absolutely key that they make sure that they have provisions in place to accommodate the Sunnis and the Kurds. I think, you know, that lack of inclusion is what got us to this point, and I think the only way that we can ensure that we don't go back there is if we have the right steps taken by the government. So pressure needs to remain on the government to ensure that they do the right things. Ms. Tsongas. Another question. I think the other challenge of ISIS, in my mind, is that it is a little bit like Whac-a- Mole. You deal with it in one part of, you know, Iraq or Syria. And then, as you were saying in your testimony, now we are having to contend with it in North Africa. How do you think through the--you know, preparing our military response to those possibilities without always being able or unless you have adequate intelligence, to assess where the next challenge is? It seems to me we run the risk of stretching ourselves very, very thin. General Austin. This is going to have to be an international effort going forward. And we are going to have to count on our strategic intelligence to lead that international effort as we go forward. There are certain things that we know about ISIL. We know that it looks to exploit sectarian tensions. We know that it wants to be a caliphate. So it looks to control large swaths of territory, and it must govern that territory. But it is also a big business, and it requires enormous resources. So, as you look around the globe, I mean, it is more likely to go to those places that has ungoverned spaces and also places where it can acquire resources to support this incredible effort. And I think, if you can reduce those possibilities, you have a much better chance of staying ahead of this. But there is a--there is a greater thing that I think, you know, feeds all of this and that is, you know, the narrative, the ideology that supports this, that feeds this. And I think there has got to be some things that are done to counter that ideology as well. Ms. Tsongas. Thank you, General. The Chairman. Mr. Franks. Mr. Franks. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you both for being here. Ms. Wormuth, I would kind of take off on a question Ms. Tsongas touched on. Can you provide us with the--sort of the official DOD policy on military cooperation with Iran forces on the ground in Iraq? Secretary Wormuth. Certainly, Congressman. Our policy is that we don't coordinate with Iranian forces on the ground in Iraq. We are not communicating with those forces. We are not coordinating with those forces, so that is our policy. Mr. Franks. General, thank you for being here. Thank you for your dedication of your entire life to the cause of freedom. This committee is always grateful to people like you. In terms of that question, expanded just slightly, with the ISF and Iraqi Shia militia many times working to fight the same enemy, there is a concern that any training on our part for the Iranian--or the Iraqi forces may turn into training and equipping the Iran Quds forces. And it seems like we could see Iran's presence kindle the sectarian violence that has sort of characterized this entire issue in the first place. And, also, I am concerned that, to legitimatize Iran's actions there, it may actually increase their leverage in not only the debate with the President but with the Iranian commitment to try to gain nuclear weapons. So can you tell me any honest assessment of any cooperation between U.S. and Iranian forces and how do we train and equip the ISF without helping the Iranian forces or somehow getting tangled up in that? General Austin. Sir, there is no cooperation between us and the Iranian forces, as Ms. Wormuth has said. And we are going to have to count on the Iraqi Government to do those things necessary to, number one, ensure that things don't trend toward greater sectarian violence. And we encourage them to do that on a routine basis and---- But in terms of ensuring that, you know, our resources don't migrate over to Shia militia, there is no easy way to be absolutely certain that that can't happen. But I can tell you that we will do everything within our power to prevent that from happening. And, again, I think the first line of defense here has got to be the Iraqi Government. And we are focused on helping them, helping their legitimate forces to be successful in its endeavor. Mr. Franks. Now, let me shift gears on you here just a moment and say, you know, it could be or would be your responsibility as combatant commander under the draft AUMF to ensure that the mission is accomplished against ISIS and yet also to make certain that American forces cannot engage in ``enduring offensive ground operations.'' And can you give this committee your best assessment of your ability to defeat, degrade, and destroy ISIS within 3 years while remaining true to the commitment not to having enduring offensive ground operations or executing those types of operations? Just your best military assessment. General Austin. I am confident--absolutely confident, that we can defeat ISIL. And I base that upon the progress that we have made to date. And as you know, we don't have large amounts of ground forces in Iraq, but we have been very effective in terms of enabling the Iraqi security forces and enabling the Peshmerga in the north, and they are having good effects. And we have also had good effects against this enemy in Syria. So I am very confident that going forward, we will get this done, we will defeat ISIL. And so in terms of an enduring requirement for Iraq, I don't see that requirement there because I think we will be able to get this done with the approach that we are taking. At the end of the day, sir, this has to be--it has to be done by the Iraqis. And we have to put the measures in place that will ensure, you know, a lasting solution and not just a short-term military solution. And we are hopeful that the Iraqi Government will do the things that are necessary to ensure that lasting solution. Mr. Franks. All right. Quickly before I lose my time, can you tell me what one thing that you might encourage this committee to try to offer policy-wise or resource-wise that would help to that end? General Austin. Sir, policy-wise, as much flexibility as you can give us as you consider the legislation going forward. I think flexibility in combatting an enemy like this is absolutely essential. And then resource-wise, I need the ability to maintain capability forward deployed in the region. The Chairman. Mr. Garamendi. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Secretary Wormuth and General Austin, thank you very much for your service and for the information you have provided for us today. I appreciate that. I want to follow up on some of the questions that my colleague was asking a moment ago and very specifically, General, can ISIS be degraded and defeated without U.S. ground forces, i.e., infantry brigades, artillery, armor? General Austin. Sir, I think they can, and they will. But they will use--we will use the Iraqi security forces and the Peshmerga forces to do this. And I think, you know, we have advisors on the ground and how we employ those advisors will be--you know I will make a decision on that and request for authorities on a case-by-case basis. Mr. Garamendi. I would assume that special forces on the ground, forward observers, and the like would be part of what you would want to be able to do? General Austin. Certainly. Part of the calculus, sir, and when I think I have reached a point where I need to employ that, then I will go back to my boss and request specifically for that opportunity. Mr. Garamendi. And, Madam Secretary, the issue of enduring has been much discussed. It was discussed here last time we met last week. And I raised the question, let's be very specific. The power of the purse remains with us and if we simply don't allow the general to have money for the brigades, infantry, et cetera, is that restriction viable in your mind? And your mind also, General? Secretary Wormuth. Congressman, just to make sure I understand your question, are you saying that is it viable to not conduct enduring ground offensive operations if Congress doesn't provide the funding? Mr. Garamendi. Well, if they won't provide the funding, you wouldn't be able to do it, period. I mean that is very clear. It is the power of the purse. You don't have money for that particular operation. And so the point that I am making here is that rather than some wishy-washy mushy language like ``enduring,'' we simply say, General, you have all the money you need for all of the other things, except for ground operations, that is, infantry brigades, other artillery, armored, et cetera, but all the rest of it you have whatever you might need? Secretary Wormuth. Congressman, I think Congress clearly always has the power of the purse. The intent with the AUMF proposal was to include a reasonable limitation that made clear that we were not going to prosecute the campaign against ISIL in the same way that we were in Iraq, for example, in the last decade or in Afghanistan. Those kind of very large-scale operations. I also just wanted to take the opportunity quickly-- Congressman Franks asked the question--also, the 3-year clause in the AUMF, that is not intended to be an indication that we believe--certainly, that this Department believes that we will necessarily defeat ISIL within that timeframe. It is a recognition that the executive branch and the legislative branch may well want to revisit the authorization at that time, but we think the campaign could well go on longer. Mr. Garamendi. Well, I couldn't agree more with you. Presumably, we will continue to be in session year after year. And if, for example, we were to restrict the funding, as I just described, we could revisit it at any moment and provide whatever money might be necessary at that time. But it does provide a restriction going in as does the 3-year time limit. And as I said last week, I think it is extremely important that the next Presidential campaign focus on this issue. And if you have a 3-year time limit, it most definitely will be focusing on the issue of how are we going to conduct ourselves militarily or other ways in the Middle East. I think that is extremely important that that happen in the next Presidential campaign. I think we are just nearly out of time. General, I want to just review what you said and that is that ISIL can be defeated--degraded and defeated without U.S. ground forces? General Austin. Mr. Garamendi, we have ground forces in the country right now. But I think we are talking about brigades-- battalions and brigades, large formations. Mr. Garamendi. Exactly. General Austin. Sir, yes. My answer is yes. And I make that statement based upon what we are doing now. ISIL is losing this fight. We are having significant effects on this enemy. We have got to do a lot more going forward. We always said that it would take time, but it will require the work of the Iraqi ground forces in order to get this done. Mr. Garamendi. I appreciate that. And I would also assume that there may be a role for Jordan, Turkey, and other countries to have their troops on the ground. Would that be correct? General Austin. Sir, there is always that possibility. We invite anyone who wants to contribute to this and certainly those types of decisions are made by the individual countries as you know, sir. Mr. Garamendi. Understood. Yeah. Thank you very much, General, and appreciate your support. And Madam Secretary, also. The Chairman. Mr. Nugent. Mr. Nugent. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you, Ms. Wormuth, and, General Austin, particularly for your service to this country. You know, when I hear--when we talk about Iran and Iran's troops or advisors or whatever they are calling them assisting Iraq, what I worry is that the sectarian violence that Iran really does push. And in 2011, you know, when Maliki was beholding to Iran and Hezbollah actually attacked our troops with an IRAM [improvised rocket assisted mortar], Iranian warhead and killed five of our 1st Infantry Division kids the night that I was in Iraq, the night that my son was with the 1st Infantry Division. So I wonder how this is going to play out if we allow Iran to have that kind of play today if, in fact, we do have to use some special forces or something other than a brigade-sized team to assist the Iraqis? How is that going to play out, particularly with Iran's past performance in supporting terrorism across the world but particularly Hezbollah and particularly killing American troops just, you know, 4 years ago? General Austin. Sir, I certainly share your concern with the possibility of increasing sectarian activity as we go forward. And this is something that we continue to emphasize, again, with the Government of--to the Government of Iraq that, you know, they must be mindful of this. They must control the activities of Shia militia. They must guard against any kind of atrocities going forward of those elements. And they have to be, most importantly, inclusive of the Sunnis and the Kurds. And I think that is the biggest piece in this equation. And when that is done, I think you see the Sunnis coming into the government a bit more and balancing things out. So I--you know, I was in Iraq. I was a commander of Iraq when that IRAM attack occurred. I was the first senior officer on the scene there to--you know, after that attack and worked with Colonel Gainey who was then Lieutenant Colonel Gainey. Now he is 0-6 [Colonel] Gainey. But some tremendous 1st [Infantry] Division soldiers there, great--great courage and great discipline. But clearly I share your concern. We are going to do everything we can to encourage the Iraqi Government to stay focused on this, to be inclusive of the Sunnis and the Kurds. And I think, if they do that, I think this comes out in a better place. Mr. Nugent. Let me ask you this: Are we in a position within Iraq to have a good handle on regards to what the Iranian forces are doing in regards to the Shias within the country? Do we have a good handle on that or is that kind of we don't know for sure? General Austin. Sir, we do not coordinate with the Iranians or--you know, I mean, there is no communication between us and them. Mr. Nugent. Well I understand. General Austin. So absolute knowledge of what their intent is--is not always there. But, clearly, we have very good intelligence services and we have good overhead imagery and those types of things. So, you know, the activity in Tikrit was no surprise. You know, I saw this coming many days leading up to this. It is a logical progression of what they have been doing in the east of the country, but we don't coordinate with them. Mr. Nugent. I appreciate that. And lastly a question on the AUMF. I think that, you know, you hear--I mean, there is a lot of discussion obviously. But-- and we are worried about strategy. Strategy really needs to be larger than just ISIS. I mean, it really is. And I know the President doesn't want to go there, but it is radical extremism in Islam across the globe that is affecting us and our friends across the globe. And so I am worried, with AUMF, if it is just--and ISIS, does that really--is that really the strategy? I mean that is part of the strategy, but is that really where we need to be? Because you see it firsthand across the globe. And I know that all the combatant commands talk about it, I am sure. Secretary Wormuth. Why don't I take a crack at this quickly and then have General Austin pile on. The AUMF proposal, first of all, as I am sure you are aware, doesn't have a geographic limitation, and that was very deliberate to address exactly the kinds of concerns that you have. Similarly, there is the associated forces, which is designed to give us some breadth and discretion as to who we go after. Mr. Nugent. Okay. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Sorry I ran out of time. The Chairman. Thank you. Mr. O'Rourke. Mr. O'Rourke. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Ms. Wormuth, General Austin said that ISIS could be defeated without using U.S. ground troops. I am assuming--and, General Austin, you alluded to this--that would be primarily through the use of Iraqi ground troops. Are there any other partners who have committed to joining those Iraqi ground troops to defeat ISIS in Iraq? Secretary Wormuth. Congressman, first of all, we have a number of the coalition partners who are participating with us in the air strike campaign. Mr. O'Rourke. I was speaking of ground troops, forces on the ground. So please answer that question. Secretary Wormuth. As General Austin has indicated, this is fundamentally a campaign that is being led by the Government of Iraq and any offer to have ground troops from another country come in would have to be accepted by the Iraqi Government. So those---- Mr. O'Rourke. Is the answer that there are no other forces than Iraq---- Secretary Wormuth. Right now, we only have advisors on the ground. Mr. O'Rourke. You said that part of our policy going forward would be to train and equip and advise those Iraqi ground forces. How much do we spend doing that between 2003 and 2013? Secretary Wormuth. Sir, I don't have an exact number off the top of my head, but I imagine it was many billions of dollars. Mr. O'Rourke. In the tens of billions of dollars. And you also mentioned that we are going to use a whole-of- government approach. We are going to try to get the larger society together to find solutions. I am not sure that that affords us enough clarity to know exactly how this is going to be different than it was last time, never mind the increasing difficulty and complexity of Syria. We are just talking about Iraq right now. Can you put those concerns to rest and tell us whether there is a plan to enlist other countries' ground military forces or if, in fact, you will be coming back to us if the Iraqi ground forces are insufficient to defeat ISIS to ask us to add additional U.S. ground forces to the mix? Secretary Wormuth. Congressman, at this time, you know, the AUMF does not envision--the proposal that this administration put forward doesn't envision large--it doesn't envision employment of large ground combat formations. So that is what we are asking for now. In terms of the broader approach, I think fundamentally something that is different between today and in the past decade is we have much more of a partner in the Iraqi Government. You know, Prime Minister Abadi wants us and wants the broader coalition there to help him. Mr. O'Rourke. How long is his term in office? Secretary Wormuth. I don't know off the top of my head. Mr. O'Rourke. You will not be able to predict his successor. Would you agree? Secretary Wormuth. No. That is true. But I am sure we will work to give the Iraqi Government as much advice as we can about the kinds of leader that they would need to succeed him whenever that happens. Mr. O'Rourke. Is the administration taking seriously proposals to rethink Iraq as a state, to rethink our partners in Iraq, like the Kurds who have proven to be our only reliable allies on the ground in the fight against ISIS to ensure that they have greater autonomy to maybe look at the fact that Syria and Iraq, to a degree, have arbitrary lines set up a hundred years ago that don't seem to be working for the peoples in those states and only seem to hold together when you have a brutal, repressive dictator, and the experiment in democracy so far in Iraq has been an abject failure? I don't know that I have heard from the administration and from you some larger strategy about how we are approaching problems there, outside of a military solution to the immediate threat of ISIS? Would you care to comment on any of that? Secretary Wormuth. Certainly. Sorry. Fundamentally, our approach is based on a federal government in Baghdad. We believe that we have better prospects for success, both in terms of sustaining Iraq as a country, but also in terms of defeating ISIL, which is one of our fundamental concerns, doing that through a single Iraqi state as opposed to a partition solution, for example, you know, which has been discussed and was certainly discussed in years past. So we are fundamentally taking the approach that we need to provide support through Baghdad to the Peshmerga, for example, who have been phenomenal partners and have been incredibly effective on the ground with the Sunni tribe elements, bringing them inside to get them into the fight. But right now, our approach is based on a federal Iraq. Mr. O'Rourke. Could you--it is not outlined in the AUMF proposal from the President. Could you define ``victory''? Secretary Wormuth. Certainly. I think victory is defined as when ISIL is no longer a threat to Iraq, to its existence, to our partners and allies in the region, and to the United States. And to get to that, I think, will take some time. Mr. O'Rourke. So as long as ISIL is seen as a threat to ourselves or any of our partners around the world, we have not won? Secretary Wormuth. I think that is fair. Mr. O'Rourke. Okay. Thank you. Thank you Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Dr. Wenstrup. Dr. Wenstrup. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you both for being here today to take our questions and inform us on many things. My first question is: How many nations are considered part of the coalition of this fight in Iraq today? Secretary Wormuth. Sir, we have 60 countries with us, I believe, currently in the operation. And somewhere between a dozen and 15 are with us in the air strike campaign. Dr. Wenstrup. Okay. Who would you say are the top 5, maybe 10 contributors? Because 60 is a big number, and I don't know if that means somebody is donating a box of pens or really being engaged? So who would you say are the top contributors to this effort? Secretary Wormuth. I don't think I would want to get into a list of top contributors because different countries are contributing in different ways. As I said, we have about, you know, 12 to 15 who are very engaged in the military part of the campaign, whether in the air strikes or, also, in terms of contributing trainers or helping with the advise and assist mission. But we also have countries that are working with us very closely on things like the counter-messaging campaign. So, for example, Qatar has been very focused on that. We also have countries that are very involved with us, across the whole coalition, on trying to address the counter-financing campaign. So really different countries are taking their particular strengths and applying them where they make the most sense. Dr. Wenstrup. And is it a good mix, say, of our traditional allies, like our NATO allies and Middle Eastern allies? Secretary Wormuth. Yes. I believe so. We have wide representation from NATO as well as from countries in the region. Dr. Wenstrup. Okay. Thank you. Yeah. General Austin. If I could add to that. You know, I--you recall back on the 23rd of September when we began flying missions into Syria, that night we had five Sunni Arab-led nations that flew with us on that attack. And that was really remarkable. And I think it speaks to the conviction of the folks in the region to really want to stand up and deal with this very horrible entity, ISIL. And for the most part, they have stayed with us and they are still flying, and I think that speaks volumes in and of itself as well. And there--as Ms. Wormuth said, there are a number of countries that are contributing in various ways from everything from helping the counter--the ideology to providing kinetic capability. Dr. Wenstrup. Thank you. I somewhat envision that we could have basically two coalitions, if you will. Because I think it would help the Arab nations to have their own coalition and not appear subservient to us and to our coalition, but that we are working together. And I think if we had that posture and that is what the world saw, it would help those nations engage better and serve us all a little bit better and coordinate on command and control. Let me ask you one question as it goes to the AUMF, and I am really not trying to be flippant about this. But as a commander especially, I just don't--I would--maybe finish this sentence for me. You know, how does--finish this sentence: Publicly stating that we won't use ground forces or large brigades is a good idea because? General Austin. Sir, how about if I take another approach and give you my thoughts on---- Dr. Wenstrup. With all due respect, I thought you might say that, sir. Go ahead. General Austin [continuing]. Present commander. Dr. Wenstrup. Go ahead. General Austin. So rest assured that I am going to ask for whatever I need to accomplish the mission as a commander. And, you know, I think we should--we should focus our efforts by providing good, clear mission statements and objectives. But as a commander on the ground or commander of the region--in the region, you expect for me to ask for what it is I need to be successful, and so you can count on me always doing that. Dr. Wenstrup. I appreciate that. And what I don't want to do is ever tie your hands on that. I think it is great if we can use other forces, but at the same time, I would not want to tie your hands and put you in that position. Thank you very much. I do appreciate it. I yield back. The Chairman. Ms. Gabbard. Ms. Gabbard. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Thank you both for being here. Ms. Wormuth, following up on a statement that you made a few minutes ago, why is it the administration's position that a single federal Iraqi state is necessary to defeating ISIS when the reality is that it is this single federal Shia-led, Iranian-influenced central government in Baghdad that has oppressed the Sunni people, created the oxygen for ISIS to come in and take advantage where the Sunnis have been forced to look in that direction in order to escape the oppression and persecution of this Shia-led government, and that this is the main cause for ISIS growing in its presence and strength in Iraq today? Secretary Wormuth. Thank you, Congresswoman, for the question. I think what I would say is, to date, that the previous government in Iraq, under Maliki, was very problematic and did create many of, I think, the characteristics or the dynamics that you are speaking of on the ground. Ms. Gabbard. So understanding that, how can the administration place its hopes on the success of this on an individual person, in this new President when you have a parliament to deal with, you have Shia militias who are on the ground operating, sometimes in alliance, sometimes on their own, and you have the Iranian Revolutionary Guard on the ground? Secretary Wormuth. First, I would say that I don't think we are putting our confidence in a single person. Certainly, I think, you know, we think Prime Minister Abadi is a much more promising partner than what we had in Maliki, but we also are working with his entire government. And he has taken some steps that I think are indicative of his commitment personally but also more broadly of his government to try to take a more inclusive approach, things like signing the oil deal with the Kurds, things like submitting the national guard legislation to the Council of Representatives. And while, you know, I would not dispute at all that it is a very difficult political environment there and it is going to be very challenging to help the Abadi administration continue to have a more inclusive approach, we think that that is a more promising pathway than seeing the country break apart into divisions where, you know, a Kurdistan in the north, a Shiastan, a Sunnistan, as, you know, some people in the think tank community have talked about, those would only harden all of the divisions, I think, that we have seen that have created many of the complexities. And an approach that tries to bring those together, we believe, is a more promising approach, without underestimating how difficult that will be. Ms. Gabbard. To follow up, General Austin, on a previous comment that you made to this point about the necessity of, I think specifically you said the inclusion of Sunnis and Kurds is essential, and that the government must be pressured to do that. And while there have been some steps and some rhetoric in that direction, really what it comes right down to, there is very little evidence that that is happening, where we see the right rhetoric but still on the ground we are not seeing the Kurds getting the heavy weaponry and the arms that they need, and they have been our most dependable ground force on the ground. We have the Sunnis who are coming here to Washington saying we are not getting what we need from this central government in Iraq and this is not just something long term; it is relevant now with this attack in Tikrit. So I am wondering specifically if you can address, what is the plan to ensure that the Sunni stronghold, like Tikrit and Mosul, have a plan or an agreement in place for the Sunnis to be in charge of security and governance for these places once the attack is successful and ISIS is driven out? General Austin. Thank you, Congresswoman. I think the plan is we have to continue to engage and influence the Iraqi Government. And you asked why this is important, why we want to continue to do this. Iraq is an important country. It has got borders with allies that are key to us: Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait. And what we are doing is working to counter an evil that we have not seen before: ISIL. And I think unless we help in this endeavor, we can look for this thing to spread over into the neighboring countries. And, again, the goal of this enemy is to establish a caliphate to control more turf. So I think you are right, Congresswoman. I think we have to do everything in our power to make sure we continue to engage the Iraqi Government and make sure---- Ms. Gabbard. Sorry, General Austin, my time is about to run out. Specifically with Tikrit and Mosul, is there a plan in place for the Sunnis to have governance over security on these towns post-attack? General Austin. Well, the Iraqi Government has got to put such a plan into action, and that is the intent, I am sure. But in terms of specifics of the plan to do that, at this point, I could not lay that out for you. But that must be the way ahead so---- Ms. Gabbard. I agree. Thanks, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Ms. Stefanik. Ms. Stefanik. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you to both of the witnesses here today. We have spoken a lot about Iraq, Iran, and I want to turn toward Syria. Ms. Wormuth, what is the U.S. policy toward the Assad regime? And the reason I am asking this question is, I believe that the brutality of the Assad regime has contributed greatly to the ability for ISIS to rise and gain strongholds in Syria. Secretary Wormuth. Thank you, Congresswoman, for the question. Our policy towards the Assad regime specifically is that Assad has completely lost his legitimacy and his legitimacy to govern. He has created a situation where there is tremendous instability in his country. He is not really governing much of his country. There have been over 200,000 casualties, I believe, to date. And what we have to do, our view, is that there isn't a strictly military solution to that problem. What we need to do is to find a political settlement that would have a transition where Assad leaves the government. And in terms of the ISIL challenge in Syria, what we are trying to do is develop a partner on the ground. We obviously don't have the same kind of partner on the ground that we have in Iraq, but we believe to be able to push ISIL out in Syria, we need to build that. And that is what our Department's train and equip program is designed to do. Ms. Stefanik. So do you agree with me when I state that the rise of ISIS in Syria is related to the brutality of the Assad regime in providing the circumstances that ISIS has been able to recruit supporters? Secretary Wormuth. I would say that the tremendous instability in Syria has certainly been fertile ground for ISIL to spread. Ms. Stefanik. And my other question is, so just to delve further on our policy towards Syria, is it that we oppose the regime in principle but have a policy of taking no actions that would harm the regime's survival? Secretary Wormuth. Congresswoman, I think, again, our view is that fundamentally what we need to do is pursue a diplomatic and political solution that sees Assad leaving that government; that militarily there isn't a solution. You know, I wouldn't say we are taking no action. We have an extensive humanitarian assistance program underway to try to help support the Syrian population. We have worked with neighbors in the region like Turkey and Jordan and others to try to enhance their security as they deal with all of the refugee flows, but ultimately, we need to find a diplomatic solution. Ms. Stefanik. I believe, Ms. Wormuth, with all due respect, that the administration's lack of leadership in dealing with the Assad regime and having a coherent Syria policy has led us to where we are today. Thank you for representing the views, but I fundamentally disagree. I yield back. The Chairman. Thank the gentlelady. Mr. Moulton. Mr. Moulton. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And General Austin, thank you very much for your service. And Ms. Wormuth, thank you for your service as well. Ms. Wormuth, you said earlier that Maliki sectarian approach to governing is how we got here, and there are a lot of nodding heads around the room. What are we doing in our plan going forward to ensure that that doesn't happen again? Secretary Wormuth. That is a great question, Congressman. You know, fundamentally, one of the lines of effort in our counter-ISIL campaign is governance and it is about helping the Iraqis, again, develop a stronger government that takes a very inclusive approach to how they are trying to bring everyone together, bring in the Kurds, bring in the Sunnis, bring in other religious minorities, for example. You know, and fundamentally, this is primarily the work of the State Department, but it is a major emphasis in terms of what we are trying to do. We don't believe--without that focus and without that focus on building a stronger, inclusive government in Baghdad; we do not believe that the military campaign on its own will succeed. Mr. Moulton. So can you just name one thing specifically that you are doing differently from, say, the period of 2010 to 2013? When I served in Iraq last in 2008, we had a very heavy hand on the Iraqi Government. We were very involved in their affairs. We made sure to keep Prime Minister Maliki within the lanes so that he wouldn't become too sectarian. I wish we had a prime minister that didn't require that kind of guidance, but we did and we provided it. But it seems that that was lost. So what specifically are we doing differently this time around? Secretary Wormuth. Well, Congressman, I think one thing we are doing differently--I mean, I think I would say fundamentally, ultimately part of why things did not succeed in Iraq the first time is because when the United States left--and that was because, again, Maliki, as you know well, did not want the United States to stay and was not willing to submit the kinds of agreements to the Council of Representatives--all of the things, many of the things that we worked with them on through those many years started to dissipate when we left. And I think fundamentally one of the lessons from that this time is that we have to partner with the Iraqis, but they have to want it for themselves, at least as much as we do. And so we are now, I think, trying to provide advice to them, political advice, governance advice, military advice to help them build up their institutions, but fundamentally emphasize that they are a sovereign country and they have to be in the lead. And I think that is going to be challenging, but unless we want to stay there for an indeterminate period, they have to be able to do what needs to be done on their own. Mr. Moulton. What I want to make sure is, is not just that we don't have to stay there for an indeterminate period but that we don't have to come back. And I will tell you, as someone who fought during the surge, it is not very comforting to hear that we are just going to leave that up to the Iraqis, that ultimately we are just going to say pass it off to them and maybe they will succeed and maybe they won't and we will be right back. Secretary Wormuth. Well, I think what I would say, Congressman, is we are not going to leave them abruptly. You know, we are working with them in partnership in a whole range of ways, diplomatic, political, economic, military, trying to help them do what needs to be done across the whole range of challenges that they face. And we will continue to work with them. Again, this campaign against ISIL we don't expect to end anytime soon. Mr. Moulton. General Austin, could you comment on this as well. I mean, you were there during part of this period. What specifically do you see being done differently this time around to ensure we don't have to again see our military effort go in vain and then have to come back again 3 or 4 years down the road? General Austin. Well, we certainly have learned some lessons from the past in terms of the requirement to remain engaged with the Iraqi leadership. But I think we have to use more than just the influence that the military brings. We have to use, you know, economic influence, international pressure, and a host of other things to put pressure on this government---- Mr. Moulton. And are we doing that? General Austin. I think so. I think we are increasing, but---- Mr. Moulton. So if you think so, it just doesn't give me a lot of confidence that this plan is actually being executed. General Austin. Understand, sir. I think--when I say that, I say that, you know, this is a young government and we are using every lever in the inventory to influence it. And---- Mr. Moulton. General, with all due respect, I was in Baghdad 2 weeks ago, and that was not the story I heard on the ground which was that we were using all these levers. I mean, Iran has a very active effort to influence the Iraqi Government. It doesn't seem like ours even is a shadow of that. General Austin. I can't speak to how much--I can say that Iran's influence is growing in Iraq, but how much they have, I can't speak to that. But I can tell you that we recognize the need to use everything that we can to influence and shape activities, and we will continue to stay after this, sir. Mr. Moulton. If I may ask just one final question. You have talked about how important a diplomatic solution is in Syria. Who is our political partner there? Secretary Wormuth. Well, that is one of the many challenges we have in Syria, is that the Syrian opposition council is the primary, as I am sure you know, opposition entity, but it has been fractured over time. And so we are working--part of what the State Department is doing---- Mr. Moulton. Do we have a political partner? Secretary Wormuth. Well, we have--again, we are working with the opposition council. We also are obviously working with other countries who also believe that what is needed is a transition for Assad out of the government. But we are certainly--we don't have a partner in, in the Syrian Government, but we are working to build up the opposition council. Mr. Moulton. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Thank you. Very important questions. Ms. Hartzler. Mrs. Hartzler. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you so much for being here today. Very important questions and topics. And one that I think hasn't been touched on, I am very concerned about, is the basically eradication of Christians in Iraq. At one time, over 1.5 million Christians there. Now we estimate between, what, 200 and 300,000 perhaps. Maybe you have some insights on the numbers there. But certainly that is the birthplace of many of famous Christian historic sites. And the reports last week of ISIL burning hundreds or thousands of years old documents and destroying religious sites is certainly very, very disturbing. So first, I was wondering if you could give me an update on the situation for Christians there, both in their persons and their safety, how many are still there, what their situation is, their well-being, but then also give me an update on the ISIL strategy and how many historic sites have been destroyed? Secretary Wormuth. Congresswoman, what I would like to do is to give you a much more specific laydown of some of the questions that you are asking for the record, if that would be all right. But I think it is fair to say that, you know, we very much share your concern about the status of Christians in Iraq, but also other religious minorities, obviously. [The information referred to can be found in the Appendix on page 103.] Secretary Wormuth. ISIL has persecuted and prosecuted their barbaric approaches on Christians all over the country, and we are very disturbed about that, and it is one of the many reasons we are trying to defeat them in Iraq. I think something we have emphasized particularly again with the Abadi government is that as these military operations take place, it is very important that the ISF forces and the popular mobilization militias not conduct atrocities as they go into these towns. And Prime Minister Abadi was very vocal this morning saying that he has the responsibility and the Iraqi security forces have the responsibility to protect all of Iraqi citizens. But we share your concerns, and I would certainly like to get you a more detailed report for the record. But General Austin may have more specifics to share. General Austin. I agree. We will take that for the record, Ms. Wormuth. [The information referred to can be found in the Appendix on page 103.] General Austin. I would just say, Congresswoman, that having served in Iraq three times and now the Central Command commander, I have spent a lot of time with senior leaders, senior Iraqi leaders, and work with them on issues involving Christian and other religious minorities. And I can tell you that they value--they treasure the Christian population as a part of their community, their environment. And so when we saw Christians leaving Baghdad, for example, several years ago, they were concerned about that. So they want this population to be a part of their environment, and I think that we will have to continue to work with the government to ensure that as we go forward that they are doing the right things to protect these minorities. Mrs. Hartzler. When can I expect a response back on--for the record? Secretary Wormuth. I am sure we can get you something by the end of the week, ma'am. Mrs. Hartzler. Okay. That would be great. Now in the Nineveh, there is a lot of Christians there. And I read an article last week how an independent group has come in to help train some of the people who live there, how to defend their own villages, you know, independent of us. But in the NDAA [National Defense Authorization Act], we put over $1 billion in there to help train local forces against ISIL. Are we targeting and helping to specifically train some Iraqi Christians? Are they receiving any of the funds that we designated for this? Secretary Wormuth. As of right now, Congresswoman, the funds for the Iraqi train and equip program are largely being spent on training the nine Iraqi Army brigades and the three Peshmerga brigades. I think about almost $19 million of that $1.3 billion is going to equip Sunni tribal elements. But to my knowledge, that money is not being spent on training other groups outside of the ISF and the Sunni tribes. Mrs. Hartzler. Do you think that might be a good idea since ISIL is trying to exterminate them? Secretary Wormuth. Well, Congresswoman, there are, again, I think what we have been trying to do is work the train and equip program through the Iraqi Government. We could certainly talk with them. I know they--General Austin may have more information about some of these other training programs that the Iraqi Government is doing itself of more local populations. General Austin. That has been our approach in the past, and certainly it will be our approach going forward. I think this is best done in working with the Iraqi Government because at the end of the day, as we transition, they are going to have to be the folks that really continue to take care of these elements. Mrs. Hartzler. Well, I am encouraged to hear that you think the Iraqi Government is concerned as well and cares about them. And I would ask you to visit with them specifically about this, ask them to reach out to these groups and specifically try to train them, because it would just be a travesty of historic proportions if this area has no Christians where so many of them have been there for thousands of years. Thank you. The Chairman. Thank you. Ms. McSally. Ms. McSally. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. General Austin, I want to switch to the topic of combat search and rescue [CSAR]. And I was retired colonel A-10 pilot but also ran the Joint Search and Rescue Center for CENTCOM Forward for JTF-SWA [Joint Task Force-Southwest Asia] in the early days of the Afghanistan operations. And my concern is, with our operations in Iraq and Syria, I have been hearing from some colleagues that we have limitations on the combat search and rescue. The Jordanian pilot, as you know, has strategic implications with how he was murdered in a horrific way. And we have got our pilots flying single-engine F-16s into Iraq and Syria today. And in order to make sure that if they have to eject, even if they are not shot down, that we have somebody overhead right away, on-scene commander and then somebody else right behind them to immediately locate, communicate, and protect them, shoot anything that moves, that comes anywhere near them, in that geography you can't hide. It takes a very robust capability of ground-alert assets, airborne-alert assets. The A-10, which I flew, is the only one that provides a rescue mission commander, SANDY One and SANDY Two, to be able to get to them and then the helicopter should go in and get them. And we have got to snatch them right away, as you know, because if they get picked up then it is disastrous consequences, not just for them and their family but strategically for our country. Can you imagine if we had now an American pilot that is the next one captured? So I know you know this is a challenge, but my question is, and I am asking for a classified briefing, what was the CSAR posture when we first started flying sorties there and specifically when the Jordanian pilot ejected, and has it changed since then? And are you limited at all from the arbitrary 3,100-person boots-on-the-ground cap by this administration to make sure that we have a posture that provides what I just described; that we have a covenant with those that are flying sorties are on the ground; that we are going to go get them, that we are going to rescue them. I have concerns from talking to my colleagues in the military that there is a pretty damning after-action report from the Jordanian pilot situation, and I am deeply concerned that we don't have the combat search and rescue capability. Also, if you only have 12 A-10s over there and they are the only ones that can do the SANDY mission plus close air support, why don't we bring more over? What are your limitations? What can we do moving forward? General Austin. Let me assure you, Congresswoman, that I won't put one pilot in the air if I don't feel like I have the adequate means to recover those pilots. In working with my senior airmen and my air component, I think they have done a masterful job of ensuring that we have adequate coverage in a number of places to address our CSAR issues. As you know, we have forward-deployed CSAR capabilities currently, and we also are looking to perhaps put CSAR capability in other places, like Turkey, and we continue to work that. So I am confident that we have the adequate means to take care of our pilots, and if I feel that the risk has increased to the point where I need to, we will put CSAR assets in the air while the mission is being conducted. And we have done that and we will continue to do that. Ms. McSally. So you feel that there is no limitations right now? You have this CSAR posture that you need in order to make sure that we can rescue anybody who has to eject? General Austin. I think we have adequate CSAR capability. In this business, as you know, there is no such thing as enough, and so if I can get more, I will get more. And if I can position assets in Turkey, and we believe we can, we will move forward and do that. Ms. McSally. Okay. And is the 3,100 boots-on-the-ground limitation impacting at all bringing in a more robust CSAR capability forward-deployed to make sure that we can be true to that covenant? General Austin. I think we have adequate capability to take care of our troops with what we have on the ground and what we can potentially put into other places. I think that will increase that capability. Ms. McSally. Okay. Great. Again, for the record, I would like a very detailed classified briefing on the CSAR posture and that after-action report on the Jordanian pilot. And I look forward to working with your staff to further discuss this important issue. General Austin. We look forward to providing you that, ma'am. And by the way, in response to your point that you made earlier about a damning report, after-action report, I know of no such report. Ms. McSally. Okay. Great. I look forward to following up with you, then. Thank you. I yield back. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Thank you. Let me touch on a couple things that we haven't quite gotten to yet today: One is Yemen. General, for several years now we have heard that the most serious threat against our homeland, as far as terrorism goes, has emanated from Yemen, with Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula [AQAP]. How do you evaluate that threat today, and what effect does the overthrow of government there have on our counterterrorism operations to diminish that threat? General Austin. I will take the first stab at this, sir, and if Ms. Wormuth wants to contribute then certainly, with your permission, I will ask her to do so. Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, we have always said, is a very significant threat or a serious threat. We know that there are folks in that organization that have tried to export violence to our homeland, and so we remain focused on this extremist organization and we feel that there is a need to keep pressure on it. We have found that over the years, not only in Yemen but in other places around the region and across the globe, that the best way to counter these types of threats is to limit the amount of ungoverned spaces that they have available to operate out of. And so the more that we can do to help train and equip and advise host nations to control their own sovereign spaces, the less of an opportunity that there is for these organizations to export mischief to other places. Also, their ability to counter--host nations' ability to counter these types of threats, I think, is also important. So what we have done over the years is when we had a viable government in place that was willing to work with us, we have worked with them to increase their capability so that they can do more to control their own sovereign spaces. And that certainly has helped us in countering some of the extremist organizations. In addition to that, you also obviously have to keep pressure on the organization, making sure that you understand what is going on with the organization and that where possible, you bring, you know, key operatives to justice when that opportunity is presented. The Chairman. Yeah, but General, let me go back and try again. Today, what is the threat like from AQAP in Yemen against our homeland? Is it still serious? And secondly, what effect has the overthrow of the government had on our ability to diminish that threat? Secretary Wormuth. Chairman, if you don't mind, I am happy to---- The Chairman. Well, I think it is really a military question not a policy question. General Austin. Yeah. So there is still a significant threat, sir, and so without the--and I apologize for not directly answering your question. But without the government fully operational, that makes it more difficult to do the things that I described earlier, to keep pressure on this organization, and so the threat will increase over time. The Chairman. Okay. Thank you. They have called votes, so I am trying to get to several things and I don't mean to cut you short. I will get to Mrs. Walorski in just a second but I want to cover a couple things. Ms. Wormuth, I was with President Ghani a few weeks ago when he said that he would like for us not to reduce the number of troops we have in Afghanistan for the remainder of the year. We are going to have General Campbell here tomorrow. But the question I have got is where is that request in the administration, and when is it going to be answered? Secretary Wormuth. Thank you, Chairman. We are very much aware, obviously, of that request. President Ghani has asked us to consider giving him more--or he has asked us to perhaps have some flexibility in terms of the glide slope of the approach, and we are actively discussing that right now. And I think it will very much be a topic when the President comes here later this month. The Chairman. So you think it is going to hang at least through the end of the month, at least? I am concerned that, on the current trajectory, we are reducing the number of people throughout the country, we are reducing our intelligence- gathering capability throughout the country, we are reducing a variety of capabilities we have throughout the country, and meanwhile we are studying it. Secretary Wormuth. Congressman--or excuse me, Chairman---- The Chairman. It doesn't matter. Mac is fine. Secretary Wormuth. Well, I certainly wouldn't go that far. We are taking President Ghani's request very seriously, and it is being discussed at the highest level. The President has not made a decision yet, but I think we are very aware of the importance of this request and want to do what we can to make the most of the next 2 years. So, again, I think that will be a discussion when the President gets here, but it is being looked at a very high level and in great detail. The Chairman. Well, as you can tell, I am frustrated at what we are losing in the meantime. Let me ask one more thing and then I will yield to Mrs. Walorski. General, last week in the Senate, General Allen, who is now the special Presidential envoy, said that ``enduring'' in the administration's AUMF proposal could mean 2 weeks or it could mean 2 years. And then Secretary [of State] Kerry also testified in the Senate that ``enduring'' could mean weeks and weeks but then he came over to the House [of Representatives], and he said, well, it could mean months, not years. So if this passed as submitted, you are the combatant commander responsible for implementing this AUMF, and so my question to you is, how long is enduring? Is it two weeks? Two months? Two years? General Austin. Well, I think it is--you would have to evaluate the requirements on a mission-by-mission basis, and I would hope that, we could be--you know, when I am given objectives and goals and missions that they are specific enough for me to lay out how long it will take. But in terms of, you know, a mark on the wall of exactly how long enduring is, that is ill defined or not defined. The Chairman. Well, Mr. Smith and I got a letter from one of your predecessors, General Mattis, last week, who basically argued that we should not put restrictions as far as the kind of capability that we would limit our military commanders from using to achieve those objections. I heard you tell Mr. Franks a while ago that you thought more flexibility was better. I presume that that would be your outlook. If you are given a mission, you would just as soon have all means necessary--or at your disposal--available to carry out that mission? General Austin. That is correct, Chairman. And I would ask for whatever I thought was necessary to accomplish the mission. The Chairman. Okay. Thank you. Mrs. Walorski. Mrs. Walorski. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. General Austin, you have been deployed on several operational tours in both Iraq and Afghanistan. What limitations have other AUMFs placed on your missions and operational abilities, number one; number two, if in your operational experience you have been most effective as accomplishing your mission without AUMF limitations, why would this AUMF provide you with the quote, unquote, ``flexibility'' you need to accomplish this mission? General Austin. Well, you know, certainly, I have been involved in, over the last decade-plus, in fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq. And we have had what we needed to have to accomplish our goals and objectives in both instances. In terms of any limitations that this current--the proposed AUMF would place on us, the way it is laid out to--I think we will have what we need, we will have the flexibility to address the counter-ISIL campaign. And so to accomplish what has been given to me in this current mission set, I think we have the flexibility to get the work done. Mrs. Walorski. And just reflecting again on what the chairman said, but, you know, I was heavily impacted last week when I read the letter from General Mattis. And--when he talked about to the committee last week that they should not set any arbitrary guidelines, AUMF should not establish geographic limits, AUMF should put the enemy on notice that we will use all military capabilities, even if it includes ground forces. And we have heard other, just through the news and just through talk, other senior military leaders saying the same thing. And I have got to believe, with him being your predecessor, would you not agree with General Mattis' views, that we simply cannot have these kind of ground game rules, number one, already established; and number two, we are telling ISIL and all interested parties exactly what we are not going to do? General Austin. Well General Mattis is a great friend, a guy who I respect a lot. And I will tell you that we agree on some things; we don't agree on everything. But in this case, Congresswoman, my thoughts are the more flexibility that I can have, the better it is for me in terms of prosecuting this kind of a fight. Mrs. Walorski. Wouldn't it be easier to have an AUMF that says destroy ISIL, period? Wouldn't that give you unbelievable flexibility, unbelievable authority, and send a strong message to the other side, to the enemy camp that there is number one mission in this country, and all the bounds are off, all the rules are off, and you are in charge of a command that can go and do what the American people want, which is to destroy ISIL, even if they show up in Afghanistan, even if they show up in other places where we already know there is connections and networks being made? General Austin. Well, again, the more flexibility I can have as a commander---- Mrs. Walorski. Would you support that kind of AUMF, sir, that said destroy ISIL? General Austin. I am confident I will never get that kind of an AUMF, but I take your point. Mrs. Walorski. I appreciate. I yield back my time, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Mr. Coffman, do you have something right quick? Mr. Coffman. No, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Okay. Thank you, all, for your patience. A vote came just in time. And so we appreciate both of you and the challenges that you face in sorting through a very difficult, messy situation in the Central Command area of responsibility. Thank you again for being here today, and we will look forward to further discussions. With that, the hearing stands adjourned. [Whereupon, at 1:44 p.m., the committee was adjourned.] ? ======================================================================= A P P E N D I X March 3, 2015 ======================================================================= PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD March 3, 2015 ======================================================================= [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] ======================================================================= WITNESS RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS ASKED DURING THE HEARING March 3, 2015 ======================================================================= RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY MRS. HARTZLER Secretary Wormuth. First, we very much share your concern about the status of Christians and other minorities in Iraq. We strongly condemn ISIL's recent attacks on the ancient city of Nimrud, in Iraq, and on Christian villages in northeastern Syria--as well as their continued use of barbaric tactics to massacre and enslave innocent people, and persecute minority populations. This is among the very reasons we are working to defeat ISIL in Iraq. Unfortunately, DOD does not track the specific number of Christian tombs, shrines, statues, and other religious sites that have been destroyed by ISIL, so we do not have more detailed information to share. The State Department and USAID [U.S. Agency for International Development] may be able to give you a more comprehensive briefing, based on their relationships with NGOs. What we do know is, as you suggested, there are an estimated 300,000-350,000 Christians remaining in Iraq. Prior to 2003, Iraq's Christian population was approximately 1.4 million, historically concentrated in northeastern Ninewa province, with small populations in several urban centers such as Mosul, Baghdad, Erbil, and Kirkuk city. Approximately one million Christians left Iraq due to security concerns, discrimination, and limited economic opportunities in the years following 2003. Today, Christians and other religious minorities are disproportionately represented among displacement camps in northern Iraq due to ISIL's incursion and threats upon their historic communities. Most Christians still in Iraq are located in relatively secure Kurdish-controlled areas. Nonetheless, Christian communities in Iraq remain concerned about their future in the country due to ongoing sectarian violence and a lack of economic opportunity. [See page 31.] General Austin. We do not track or have the information to share with you concerning the number of Christian tombs, shrines, statues, and other religious sites that have been destroyed by ISIL. What we do know is that there are an estimated 300,000-350,000 Christians remaining in Iraq. Prior to 2003, Iraq's Christian population was approximately 1.4 million (of an estimated total population of 26 million). Historically, Christians were concentrated in northeastern Ninewa province, with small populations in several urban centers such as Mosul, Baghdad, Erbil, and Kirkuk city. In the years following 2003, approximately one million Christians emigrated from Iraq due to security concerns, discrimination, and limited economic opportunities. Today, most Christians remaining in Iraq are located in relatively secure Kurdish-controlled areas of the north. Unfortunately, Christian communities in Iraq may still be susceptible to sectarian violence and are concerned about a lack of economic opportunity. [See page 31.] ? ======================================================================= QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY MEMBERS POST HEARING March 3, 2015 ======================================================================= QUESTIONS SUBMITTED BY MR. SHUSTER Mr. Shuster. President Obama's proposal for a new Authorization for the Use of Military Force ``does not authorize the use of the United States Armed Forces in enduring offensive ground combat operations.'' Please specifically define ``enduring ground operations.'' Do you believe the reference to ``enduring ground operations'' will be clear to our commanders on the ground? Since the administration has not yet adequately defined ``enduring ground operations,'' which will be responsible for determining whether an action violated the stipulation against ``enduring ground operations''? Secretary Wormuth. The AUMF would not authorize long-term, large- scale ground combat operations like those the United States conducted in Iraq and Afghanistan. It would provide the flexibility to conduct ground combat operations in more limited circumstances, such as rescue operations involving U.S. or coalition personnel or special operations to take military action against Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant leadership. I do believe that the reference to enduring ground combat operations would be clear to our commanders on the ground, and certainly to the President and Secretary of Defense initiating any such action. Any requirement for U.S. ground combat operations would be assessed on a mission-by-mission basis. In light of existing guidance limiting the role of U.S. ground forces as described in the reports submitted by the President consistent with the War Powers Resolution, we do not believe there would be opportunities for the commanders on the ground to engage in ``enduring ground operations'' without further orders from Washington. Mr. Shuster. A number of friendly nations continue to acquire and maintain American weapons technology, including systems like the PAC GEM-T missile, as an effective and efficient countermeasure to regional threats. How can we better leverage our industrial base in this manner to support our Middle Eastern allies in their fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant? Secretary Wormuth. The Department of Defense (DOD) is working closely with the U.S. defense industry and partners in the Middle East region to help them build capabilities that facilitate their own security and that of the region. In support of this effort, DOD maintains close relationships with the defense industry to leverage new and existing technologies that meet the unique requirements of partners around the world. It is through the increased collaboration and dialogue with both industry and partner nations that the Department provides cost-effective solutions for greater capability as well as partner interoperability with U.S. forces and each other. The Department continues to work bilaterally with partners in the Middle East to support the development of air and missile defense capabilities while also establishing the foundation for increased regional collaboration in support of U.S. national security interests. The DOD-defense industry partnership has played a vital role in developing both bilateral solutions and opportunities for system integration in support of these efforts. Although missile defense remains a priority in the Middle East region, effective counter Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (C-ISIL) operations demand a different set of capabilities. DOD continues to work closely with interagency partners and industry to expedite delivery of defense articles and services in response to urgent requirements of partners engaged in C-ISIL operations. Mr. Shuster. The President has placed a 3-year limitation in his proposed Authorization for the Use of Military Force. Do you believe that the current strategy will defeat the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) in that time window? We have seen a steady decline in government stability that expands beyond the Middle East, into Africa and elsewhere. Has President Obama, as Commander in Chief, too narrowly defined and too marginally addressed extremist threats? Do you presently believe there are any other emerging terrorist threats or organizations that have the potential to fill the power vacuum that would be created by ISIL's defeat? General Austin. I believe the strategy that calls for the use of indigenous forces supported by a broad coalition to defeat ISIL is the right strategy and it will succeed. We are only in month eight of a 36- month campaign, and the coalition already has made significant progress in the fight against ISIL. Specifically, the combined air-ground campaign continues to deny the enemy freedom of movement, while disrupting their ability to resupply and seize and hold new terrain. Overall, I assess that we are about where we said that we would be at this point in the campaign. That said, if more time is required, I am confident our national leadership will provide the necessary authorities to support our continued efforts to defeat ISIL. In the meantime, I do believe we should work by, with and through our coalition partners to achieve our shared goals and objectives. In the end, we want to defeat ISIL, and also take the necessary steps to ensure that what we see happening now in Iraq and Syria does not happen again in the future. The threat posed by a number of violent extremist organizations will likely persist after ISIL has been defeated. Certainly al-Qaida and/or its affiliates, such as al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and al-Qaida in the Land of the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), present an enduring threat to stability and security in the Central region. These groups have global ambitions and they aspire to topple ``apostate regimes'' and conduct attacks against the West and western interests. And so, we must continue to maintain pressure on these groups going forward, while also helping our regional partners to effectively address the `underlying currents' or the root causes of the instability that are at play in that volatile and strategically-important part of the world. [all]