[Senate Hearing 114-462] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] S. Hrg. 114-462 PUERTO RICO: ECONOMY, DEBT, AND OPTIONS FOR CONGRESS ======================================================================= HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED FOURTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ OCTOBER 22, 2015 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources [GRAPHIC NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.fdsys.gov __________ U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 98-944 PDF WASHINGTON : 2017 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center, U.S. Government Publishing Office. Phone 202-512-1800, or 866-512-1800 (toll-free). E-mail, [email protected]. COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES LISA MURKOWSKI, Alaska, Chairman JOHN BARRASSO, Wyoming MARIA CANTWELL, Washington JAMES E. RISCH, Idaho RON WYDEN, Oregon MIKE LEE, Utah BERNARD SANDERS, Vermont JEFF FLAKE, Arizona DEBBIE STABENOW, Michigan STEVE DAINES, Montana AL FRANKEN, Minnesota BILL CASSIDY, Louisiana JOE MANCHIN III, West Virginia CORY GARDNER, Colorado MARTIN HEINRICH, New Mexico ROB PORTMAN, Ohio MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii JOHN HOEVEN, North Dakota ANGUS S. KING, Jr., Maine LAMAR ALEXANDER, Tennessee ELIZABETH WARREN, Massachusetts SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West Virginia Karen K. Billups, Staff Director Patrick J. McCormick III, Chief Counsel Isaac Edwards, Senior Counsel Angela Becker-Dippmann, Democratic Staff Director Sam E. Fowler, Democratic Chief Counsel Allen Stayman, Democratic Senior Professional Staff Member C O N T E N T S ---------- OPENING STATEMENTS Page Murkowski, Hon. Lisa, Chairman and a U.S. Senator from Alaska.... 1 Cantwell, Hon. Maria. Ranking Member and a U.S. Senator from Washington..................................................... 2 WITNESSES Weiss, Antonio, Counselor to the Secretary, U.S. Department of the Treasury................................................... 5 Padilla, Hon. Alejandro J. Garcia, Governor of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico................................................. 16 Pierluisi, Hon. Pedro, Resident Commissioner for Puerto Rico, U.S. House of Representatives.................................. 26 Marxuach, Sergio, Policy Director, Center for a New Economy...... 35 Fetter, Steven, President, Regulation UnFettered................. 43 ALPHABETICAL LISTING AND APPENDIX MATERIAL SUBMITTED Alliance for Free Association: Letter for the Record........................................ 389 Baco, Luis: Statement for the Record..................................... 394 Cantwell, Hon. Maria: Opening Statement............................................ 2 Competitiveness & Sustainable Economy Institute of Puerto Rico and the Puerto Rico Manufacturers Association: Letter for the Record........................................ 399 Diaz, Jose Julio: Letter for the Record........................................ 403 Fetter, Steven: Opening Statement............................................ 43 Written Testimony............................................ 45 Response to Question for the Record.......................... 388 Hispanic Federation: Statement for the Record..................................... 411 Lopez, Franklin: Statement for the Record..................................... 416 Marxuach, Sergio: Opening Statement............................................ 35 Written Testimony............................................ 38 Responses to Questions for the Record........................ 379 Murkowski, Hon. Lisa: Opening Statement............................................ 1 Padilla, Hon. Alejandro J. Garcia: Opening Statement............................................ 16 Written Testimony............................................ 18 Responses to Questions for the Record........................ 71 Pierluisi, Hon. Pedro: Opening Statement............................................ 26 Written Testimony............................................ 28 Puerto Rico Hospital Association: Statement for the Record..................................... 420 Rosselo, Ricardo: Forbes Op-Ed entitled ``A New Path Forward for Puerto Rico''. 425 Santos (Ret.), Lt. Col. Armando: Statement for the Record..................................... 428 Weiss, Antonio: Opening Statement............................................ 5 Written Testimony............................................ 7 Responses to Questions for the Record........................ 68 PUERTO RICO: ECONOMY, DEBT, AND OPTIONS FOR CONGRESS ---------- THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2015 U.S. Senate, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, Washington, DC. The Committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:07 a.m. in Room SD-366, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Lisa Murkowski, Chairman of the Committee, presiding. OPENING STATEMENT OF HON. LISA MURKOWSKI, U.S. SENATOR FROM ALASKA The Chairman. Good morning. The committee will come to order. Today we are here to look at the current state of Puerto Rico's economy, its short-term liquidity issues, and options for Congress to address what has become a financial crisis for the island. In looking over the fiscal data that is available on Puerto Rico, I would like to reiterate Chairman Hatch's remarks at his Finance Committee hearing on Puerto Rico last month. We do want to be helpful, but in order to be helpful, we need verifiable data. As an example, the FY 2016 budget approved by the Puerto Rico Legislature sets aside $1.5 billion for debt service costs, yet the Krueger Report states that the official FY 2015 $850 million surplus is ``a far cry from interest and amortization costs of $2.8 billion.'' The report further states that there is spending by entities other than the General Fund that is draining cash balances. That is a fairly significant gap of over $1 billion. With no independent audited financial report of Puerto Rico's Government Development Bank--the island's fiscal agent and financial adviser--since 2013 it leads to uncertainty over the true level of Puerto Rico's financial situation. I would ask our witnesses this morning to share their views on the accuracy of the data that is available to us. What we do know is that a number of reports suggest that even with the emergency actions taken by the government of Puerto Rico, the government will run out of cash in November, just a few short weeks away. If the current course of action is continued, an even bigger cash crunch will take place in June 2016, with a negative cash balance of over $500 million. Barclays reports that the government may need to invade COFINA's tax revenue in order to pay its general obligation debt over the next five years and even that might not be enough. In short, Puerto Rico's short-term liquidity crunch is real, and action is needed. A number of ideas have been floated to help address Puerto Rico's fiscal challenges, both short-term and long-term. We are going to use today's hearing to take a much closer look at what the reality on the ground is, what actions--both locally and at the Federal level--could have the most positive impact, and what structural reforms can be made to make for a more effective and efficient government. I also intend for this hearing to take a closer look at Puerto Rico's Electric Power Authority (PREPA) and what is happening in Puerto Rico's energy sector. In my opinion, energy and the economy cannot be separated. They are too intrinsically interlinked, and Puerto Rico's economic health cannot be solved without also addressing its energy issues. I had a meeting just yesterday with some small-business owners in Puerto Rico. They tell me that some 30 percent of their business expenses go to energy costs. This is extraordinary. If one of the pillars for solving Puerto Rico's long-term financial situation is private sector economic growth, that level of energy expense is simply not sustainable. As the various options are considered, we must keep that pillar in mind to ensure that any means implemented do not drive business away from the island or make it too difficult for them to remain in operation. With that, we have a very distinguished panel before us this morning. After Senator Cantwell's remarks, I will introduce each of you, but we are very pleased to have the panel that we have. With that, I will turn to Senator Cantwell for her remarks this morning. STATEMENT OF HON. MARIA CANTWELL, U.S. SENATOR FROM WASHINGTON Senator Cantwell. Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you for holding this important hearing. I, too, look forward to the witnesses' testimony this morning and working with you and other Members of the Senate on this issue. At the outset, I would note that many observers may be wondering why, exactly, the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources is having a hearing on the Puerto Rico debt crisis. It is important to remember that, until the Senate reorganized its committee structure in 1977, this committee was actually known as the Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs. We have jurisdiction over measures relating generally to the insular provisions of the United States except those affecting their revenues and appropriations. So today, we retain jurisdiction over territorial possessions of the United States, including the former Trusteeship and matters related to the territory of Puerto Rico. It is because of our general responsibilities in oversight that the Energy Committee has a key role to play in convening a responsible discussion about economic solutions that Puerto Rico now faces. However, it is also clear that fashioning these solutions will require partnerships with other Senate committees--the Chair mentioned the Finance Committee hearing, which I attended, and the Judiciary Committee, along with many others in the Puerto Rican Government and the Administration. The Finance Committee has convened a hearing on this topic to date. Today we will hear for the first time what the Administration would do to try to address the crisis more specifically, and I certainly look forward to that testimony. I would also like to make a few key points to put the current situation in context. First, it is very important to remember that 3.5 million residents of Puerto Rico today are U.S. citizens and have been citizens since 1917. As we look at the ways that our U.S. economy has recovered, it is very important to understand that Puerto Rico has not rebounded. The continuing decline in productivity is felt there every day. Incomes are falling. Puerto Rico is already well below the poorest state, about $18,000 per person in Puerto Rico, about half the $37,000 in Mississippi. Tuition is up. Hospitals are closing. Everywhere, families are facing these challenges. Puerto Rico is currently experiencing one of the largest migrations in U.S. history, having lost about eight percent of their population, over 300,000 people, in the past ten years. These individuals are many of Puerto Rico's most-skilled and highest-paid workers. This migration to the U.S. will continue, and I think it is one of the challenges we face. Debt has accumulated to an estimated $72 billion. In fact, the government and the electric utility have failed to make their required debt payments. I know, Madam Chair, you know a lot about high-cost utility costs, but the fact that these energy rates are at 29 cents a kilowatt obviously presents an incredible challenge to any manufacturing in the future. Also, credit is either unavailable or prohibitively expensive, and cash reserves are expected to be exhausted in the coming weeks. It is clear that the current situation is not acceptable. It is clear that we do not want to see the situation unfold in which the government of Puerto Rico faces a binary choice of either paying teachers or reimbursing healthcare costs versus paying the debt, much of which has been bought up by Wall Street for pennies on the dollar, under the assumption that Congress would not act. I think it is very important that we meet our responsibilities here, that congressional authority over Puerto Rico and the territories that stems from the Territorial Clause of the Constitution--which, just to remind people, say Congress shall have the power to dispose and to make all necessary rules and regulations respecting territories--I think is very important. We have done this in the past. Congress has acted. The constitution of Puerto Rico was authorized and approved by Congress. The Organic Acts of Guam and the U.S. Virgin Islands are Federal statutes. All of these have been reported by the Senate committee, and so I think it is very important that we realize that we do have the power and authority to act here. It was first President Bush in 1992 who said that Federal agencies should ``treat Puerto Rico administratively as if it were a state,'' unless doing so otherwise would ``increase or decrease Federal receipts or expenditures or seriously disrupt'' Federal programs. I know there are a lot of ancillary debates here about how we help Puerto Rico, but we do have the ability to give them the key tools to financial restructuring without doing another thing, without costing us anything. We have the ability to give them that power. If we are, in fact, to enact new laws in this area, we do need to have a partnership. Obviously, as I said, there are other committees that would have to be consulted in how we move forward on this issue. So I look forward to hearing from all the witnesses and the discussion about how we best move forward for Puerto Rico's future. I should just note, getting through this financial crisis is one step of the process. Clearly I have a lot of questions in my own mind about a flat world and how an island economy can best proceed in the future, but we will save that discussion for another day and instead focus on how we give Puerto Rico the best tools possible to get through this financial crisis. I thank the Chair, and I look forward to the witnesses' statements. The Chairman. Thank you, Senator Cantwell, I appreciate your comments this morning. With that, let us turn to our panel that has been assembled here this morning. We will lead off the panel this morning with Mr. Antonio Weiss. Mr. Weiss serves as the Counselor to the Secretary of the Treasury. He has been leading the Obama Administration's efforts to provide technical assistance to Puerto Rico on financial matters. We appreciate you being here this morning and assume that you will fill us in on the details of the proposal by the Administration. Next we have the Honorable Governor Padilla. Governor Padilla has been Governor of Puerto Rico since 2013, and he has been head of the Popular Democratic Party since 2012. Governor Padilla, it is nice to have you back before the committee. Welcome. Next to the Governor we have Mr. Pedro Pierluisi. Mr. Pierluisi has been Puerto Rico's Resident Commissioner in the U.S. House of Representatives since 2009. He is a member of the House Judiciary and Natural Resources Committee. Mr. Pierluisi has also been before the committee on several occasions, so we are pleased to have you back as well. Good morning. Next to Mr. Pierluisi we have Mr. Sergio Marxuach. I hope I am pronouncing that correctly. He is the Public Policy Director at the Center for a New Economy in Puerto Rico. He has previously served as Deputy Secretary of Commerce and Economic Development for the Government of Puerto Rico and as a Special Assistant in the Commonwealth's Office of Management and Budget. Good morning. Finally we have Mr. Steven Fetter. Mr. Fetter is President of the advisory firm Regulation UnFettered. He served as Chair of the Michigan Public Service Commission. He has also been Group Head and Managing Director at Fitch Ratings with a focus on global energy issues. So we also welcome you before the committee. I will ask that each of you try to keep your comments this morning to about five minutes or less. Your full statements will be included as part of the record. I will alert you to the fact that we are scheduled to have one, if not two, votes commencing at 11 o'clock this morning, so my hope would be that we would be able to get the testimony from each of you, and if we need to take a short break to run and do votes, we will do so. But hopefully we will be able to get all the comments in under that 11 o'clock time, and we will be able to proceed. There is a lot that is before the committee this morning, and we want to give you every opportunity. Mr. Weiss, if you would like to lead off. Welcome. STATEMENT OF ANTONIO WEISS, COUNSELOR TO THE SECRETARY, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY Mr. Weiss. Chairman Murkowski, Ranking Member Cantwell, and members of the committee, thank you for inviting Treasury to participate in today's hearing. We welcome the opportunity to have a constructive dialog with you and with your colleagues on this important and very urgent matter. The economic security and well-being of 3.5 million Americans living in the Commonwealth is at stake. I would also like to acknowledge our ongoing collaboration with Governor Garcia Padilla and Resident Commissioner Pierluisi, both of whom are here today. Through our daily contact with local leadership and frequent meetings with stakeholders in San Juan and Washington, I can tell you with total confidence that Puerto Rico's fiscal crisis is escalating and it is very real, and that without Federal action, it could easily become a humanitarian crisis as well. Let me be clear: there is no substitute for legislative action. Administrative authorities are simply insufficient to put an end to the crisis. Without Federal action, this crisis will escalate and result in further economic contraction, outmigration, and suffering of American citizens in Puerto Rico. In the very near future, Puerto Rico will face impossible choices among providing essential public services, delivering promised pension benefits, and making payments on its debt. Now my written testimony describes the gravity of Puerto Rico's fiscal challenges, but I would like to highlight a few of the more salient facts. First, Puerto Rico's decline started before the U.S. financial crisis, but unlike the U.S. as a whole, the Commonwealth never recovered and remains in recession today. Second, these economic challenges have sparked the largest wave of outmigration from Puerto Rico since the 1950s, and that pace continues to accelerate. Eighty-four thousand Puerto Ricans left the island last year. Third, the Commonwealth has already run out of operating cash. Government services and debt payments have only continued because Puerto Rico is deploying unsustainable emergency liquidity actions, such as delaying tax refunds to its citizens and borrowing from workers' compensation funds. But even with these steps, the Commonwealth projects it still will completely exhaust its liquidity before year end. Now the strain created from these actions is already evident. The pensions are underfunded severely, hospitals have reduced services--one has even closed--and invoices to small businesses are going unpaid. Against this backdrop, additional fiscal adjustment, while absolutely necessary, must be measured against its negative impact on Puerto Rico's economy and people. In our judgment, austerity alone is not a solution. Most fundamentally, the debt is unsustainable, and the market knows this, which is why Puerto Rico's debt has traded for some time between 30 and 70 cents on the dollar. Now there is plenty of blame to go around for the mistakes of the past, but we must now focus on the path forward. The Administration believes that Federal actions, executed alongside measures taken in the Commonwealth, are now required to allow Puerto Rico to address its fiscal crisis and for the economy to return to growth. We are presenting these policies as principles to the committee and stand ready to work with you on specific legislation. There are four interrelated elements to our plan. First, Puerto Rico needs tools to comprehensively restructure its financial liabilities. Congress should pass legislation already introduced that provides Chapter 9 protection to Puerto Rico's municipalities and public corporations, but Congress should also authorize a broader legal framework that allows for a comprehensive restructuring of all of Puerto Rico's outstanding debt. Second, Congress should require that Puerto Rico implement strong fiscal governance and oversight as part of any comprehensive legislative package. The oversight should provide sufficient safeguards to ensure Puerto Rico adheres to its recovery plan and fully implements proposed reforms, but care must also be taken to structure fiscal oversight in a way that respects Puerto Rico's autonomy and unique heritage. Third, Congress must provide a long-term solution to Puerto Rico's inadequate Medicaid treatment to raise the standard of care. We should also remove the Medicaid cap and increase support through the Federal Medicaid match. And finally, Congress must help Puerto Rico boost economic growth. The decade-long recession has taken its toll on Puerto Rico's finances, its economy, and its people. To break this vicious cycle and help those hardest hit, Congress should extend the earned income tax credit (EITC) to citizens in Puerto Rico. The EITC is one of the strongest, most powerful policies for rewarding work and supporting economic growth. We look forward to a constructive, bipartisan dialog that identifies ways to execute the Administration's proposals and provide Puerto Rico with the tools it needs to manage through this crisis and restore growth. You have kindly invited us today to discuss Puerto Rico's economy, debt, and options for Congress. We believe this discussion is timely and the issue must be addressed. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Weiss follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] The Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Weiss. Governor Padilla, your comments, please? Thank you. STATEMENT OF HON. ALEJANDRO J. GARCIA PADILLA, GOVERNOR OF THE COMMONWEALTH OF PUERTO RICO Governor Padilla. Thank you, Chairwoman Murkowski, for your leadership and for holding this hearing. I appreciate our collaboration and look forward to a bipartisan solution to this crisis, working with Ranking Member Cantwell, members of the committee, Congress, the Treasury, and the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico. We are facing a crisis in Puerto Rico, a crisis decades in the making. We did not create it, but we need to solve it. To address it, my administration has reduced expenses by 20 percent and increased revenues by another 20 percent in the last three years. Despite these efforts, by the end of this year, Puerto Rico may have to choose between paying its creditors and providing essential services to the island's 3.5 million American citizens. Police and fire protection, healthcare, and social services are all in jeopardy. Puerto Rico is running out of cash and will soon exhaust the emergency measures we are using to keep the government operating. When faced with the prospect of either making payments on debt obligation or paying for essential services, Puerto Rico will have no choice but to default. With no bankruptcy options, creditors will sue, dragging us into complex and costly legal battles that will only aggravate the crisis. I urge you to read Dr. Anne Krueger's report, which reinforces this reality. Her debt sustainability study, the first ever done by any administration in Puerto Rico, describes a vicious cycle of economic recession, public borrowing, and fiscal adjustment that began to accelerate in 2005 following congressional repeal of Section 936 of the Internal Revenue Code and the resulting downturn into our manufacturing base. From 2005 to 2012, Puerto Ricans shouldered the burden of a new sales tax, employee layoffs--thousands, a surtax on real property, and other expenditures and revenue measures while our debt burden nearly doubled from $39 billion to more than $70 billion. Upon taking office in 2013, I began to implement additional fiscal adjustment measures: reduce expenditures and froze collective bargaining agreements, reform our largest pension fund from defined benefits to defined contribution, and increased revenues. Most notably, throughout attrition, we now have 66 public employees per 1,000 persons, lower than the U.S. average of 68, and have begun to reduce our debt, a historic first. Other actions my administration has taken are detailed in my written testimony. However, independent experts tell us, and we agree, that even if we implement all of the measures in my working group's Fiscal and Economic Growth Plan, large financing gaps and unfunded pension obligations will persist. We have never asked Congress for a bailout, and we are not seeking one today. We ask for access to a legal framework to restructure our liabilities. We ask for fair treatment in Medicare and Medicaid funding, for reforms that stimulate labor force participation and job creation such as the earned income tax credit. We ask for exemption of the Jones Act like that of the United States Virgin Islands, our closest neighbors. Treasury's recommendations address many of my administration's requests and are an essential step forward. Chairwoman and members of this committee, inaction is not an option. By moving forward on these measures now, you can help prevent the situation from getting worse. Your action will have a dramatic impact on the people of Puerto Rico and will have little or no effect on the serious national budget issues confronting Congress. Working--I am sorry--waiting will only allow the situation to grow worse, more expensive, and difficult for you to address down the road. Give us the tools, and we will finish the job. Thank you for your time and attention. [The prepared statement of Governor Padilla follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] The Chairman. Thank you, Governor. Mr. Pierluisi, welcome. STATEMENT OF HON. PEDRO PIERLUISI, RESIDENT COMMISSIONER FOR PUERTO RICO, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Mr. Pierluisi. Chairman Murkowski, Ranking Member Cantwell, and members of the committee, for Puerto Rico to overcome its challenges, leaders in San Juan and Washington, D.C. must take swift and serious steps. The main economic problem in Puerto Rico is lack of growth. This is the result of low private investment, which is due to the lack of investor confidence in the economic and fiscal policies of the Puerto Rico government. The territory government has an outdated economic model that relies on government-owned enterprises, tax preferences, and subsidies. The government must streamline operations, expand public-private partnerships, and empower the private sector. There are no silver bullets or shortcuts. Progress requires smart, steadfast work. The Puerto Rico government must break its entrenched spending habits, which have not adjusted to changing economic and demographic realities. Our government must be a better steward of funds received from taxpayers and lenders, accounting for every dollar it spends. The local taxes require reform because it is complicated and unfair. Some taxpayers owe too little, while others owe too much, and the government does a poor job of collecting what it levies. With improved economic and fiscal policy, Puerto Rico can eliminate deficits and be in a better position to meet its obligations to creditors. In short, the Puerto Rico government must be transformed. We owe this to our constituents, no excuses. Let me turn to the Federal Government now. I am a proud American citizen, but I am also a Puerto Rican patriot. I have spoken forcefully about the need for the Puerto Rico government to chart a new path forward. The Federal Government should now speak with equal force about the need to correct its immoral and illogical policy toward Puerto Rico. Because Puerto Rico is a territory, it can be and is treated worse than the states under programs like Medicaid, Medicare, refundable tax credits, SSI, and Chapter 9 of the Bankruptcy Code. You cannot treat the people of Puerto Rico like second-class citizens and then profess to be surprised when we do not have a first-class economy, nor can you claim to be shocked that in the last decade over 300,000 island residents have relocated to the States in search of equal opportunity. This was easily foreseeable, but only if your eyes are open. I join the Treasury Department, the National Economic Council, and HHS in urging Congress to enact a legislative package for Puerto Rico that contains provisions that give Puerto Rico more equitable treatment under spending and tax credit programs, and to grant Puerto Rico access to a fair and orderly legal process to restructure a meaningful portion of its debt. The package could also contain language authorizing Treasury to guarantee repayment of principal and interest on future Puerto Rico bonds. Puerto Rico is currently locked out of the capital markets, and this provision would ensure that the government has the cash necessary to meet its immediate obligations. Finally, the package could provide for enhanced Federal oversight of the Puerto Rico government's financial management practices with the goal of helping the territory to budget, spend, and tax in a more responsible and transparent fashion. I believe such assistance would be welcomed by citizens and creditors alike. While I am open to Federal oversight, I oppose Federal control. If Puerto Rico is better governed at the local level and receives fair treatment at the Federal level, we can overcome our challenges. My constituents already endured the indignity of not being able to vote for their national leaders. Further eroding democracy in Puerto Rico is not the answer. Finally, let me address the fundamental problem from which nearly all of Puerto Rico's other problems emanate: our undemocratic and unequal political status. No Senator would accept territory status for their constituents, and I do not accept it for mine. Puerto Rico's status is not an abstract or theoretical problem. It is a moral, social, and political wrong with the crushing practical consequences for the American citizens I represent. One day soon my constituents, including hundreds of thousands of military veterans, will have the same rights and responsibilities as your constituents. In 2012, there was a local referendum in Puerto Rico, and voters rejected territory status and expressed the preference for statehood. In 2017, it is very likely that voters in the territory will confirm their desire for statehood in the first Federally-sponsored vote in our history. The government of Puerto Rico will then use all appropriate means to petition Congress to enact legislation making the territory a state. For Puerto Rico to prosper, it must be treated equally, and to be treated equally, it must become a state. Until then, there is much the Puerto Rico government and the Federal Government can do to help the territory. There has been enough discussion. It is time for action. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Pierluisi follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] The Chairman. Thank you, Commissioner. Mr. Marxuach, welcome. STATEMENT OF SERGIO MARXUACH, POLICY DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR A NEW ECONOMY Mr. Marxuach. Good morning, Chairman Murkowski, Ranking Member Cantwell, and members of the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. I thank you for the opportunity to appear today before this committee to discuss Puerto Rico's financial and economic challenges. Puerto Rico currently faces two distinct yet related crises. The first and most urgent arises out of the government's weak financial situation. The second is the product of the chronic stagnation of its economy over the last ten years. Decades of fiscal and economic mismanagement have engendered an economy characterized by chronic primary deficits, high debt-to-GNP ratios, low employment levels in the formal economy, a large informal economy encompassing both legal and illegal activities, significant government corruption and predatory rent-seeking behavior in both the public and private sectors, substantial tax evasion, a hollow productive base, and high levels of private consumption and indebtedness enabled by having access to a stronger currency than its economic fundamentals will warrant. In our opinion, the parallels with Greece are quite evident for all to see and none to misunderstand. Notwithstanding this dismal economic situation, the island managed to triple its public debt from $24 billion in 2000 to $72 billion in 2015. Indeed, during this period, Puerto Rico's public indebtedness grew at a compound annual rate of 7.6 percent while its income measured by GNP grew at a nominal rate of only 3.6 percent. To be fair, for decades the borrowed money was put to good use: to finance the construction of public schools, hospitals, highways, and other essential infrastructure. The problem is that during the last 20 years or so, a large portion of the money borrowed by issuing long-term debt was used to finance budget deficits, operating expenses, and classic pork barrel spending. Given the magnitude and multiplicity of challenges facing Puerto Rico, it should be obvious that there are no quick fixes to solve the island's fiscal and economic problems. Congress needs to implement a comprehensive program to remove some of the disadvantages imposed on Puerto Rico under the current political arrangement and eliminate some long-standing inequitable and discriminatory policies. The current situation simply does not allow for piecemeal action by Washington. A wide-ranging plan is needed. In the short-term, the most pressing issue is Puerto Rico's deteriorating liquidity situation. If the cash-flow projections made by Conway MacKenzie are accurate, Puerto Rico will not have enough cash on hand to meet all its obligations as soon as December of this year. In that event, and the absence of either (1) access to an emergency liquidity facility, or (2) forbearance from bondholders, the probability of a disorderly default is quite high because the current administration has already stated its firm intention to keep essential government operations running, and Puerto Rico cannot avail itself of relief under Chapter 9 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. Given the short time window, the policy options at the Federal level boil down to providing short-term financing to Puerto Rico to avoid a default or enacting legislation extending the application of Chapter 9 to the island. Another significant problem on the fiscal side is the cost of the government health plan, which is one of the principal drivers of Puerto Rico's non-interest expenditures. Providing Puerto Rico equal treatment under Federal healthcare programs such as Medicare, Medicaid, and the Affordable Care Act will provide the Commonwealth with some much-needed fiscal space and address a long-standing injustice inflicted on Puerto Ricans. For the truth of the matter is that Puerto Rican workers and employers pay the same payroll taxes as workers and employers in each of the 50 states of the mainland, yet benefits to Puerto Rico are unfairly rationed by Federal legislation. On the economic growth side of the equation, we recommend extending the Federal earned income tax credit to Puerto Rico. The Federal EITC is the most effective anti-poverty program in the United States. It has been shown to promote savings. It helps poor families smooth out the effect of unexpected financial shocks and builds a strong sense of future orientation among recipients. Extending this program to Puerto Rico, which would provide a significant wage supplement to low- income Puerto Rican working families, could be expected to stimulate aggregate demand in the short run. Sustaining economic growth over the long-term, however, is a more complicated issue involving the interplay of many factors and variables, including the capability to accumulate and increase capital in all its forms: physical, financial, and human. The efficiency with which inputs are utilized in the production process, what economists refer to as total factor productivity, the degree of openness to the world, and the adaptable institutional structures that provide the right incentives to innovate and develop new technologies to reorganize production in order to exploit new opportunities. In this context, we recommend--we strongly recommend that any savings derived from a reduction in debt service be dedicated exclusively to develop and implement a new industrial policy for Puerto Rico based on a set of coherent horizontal policies such as reforming a complicated permitting and licensing system that stifles innovation; lowering energy and other costs of doing business in the island; substantially improving educational standards; discovering new sectorial opportunities through a process of dialog and consultation with key stakeholders in the private and civic spheres; and identifying spillovers, externalities, and other areas where Puerto Rican society could learn more. This new learning, in turn, would lead to new investment in research and development, increased productivity, identifying new areas of comparative advantage for Puerto Rican firms, higher economic growth, and the creation of high-quality jobs, which is what will in the end categorically terminate Puerto Rico's economic stagnation. We at the Center for a New Economy are currently working with experts from Columbia, Brown, MIT, and Brookings, among other institutions, to develop this medium- to long-term industrial policy. Finally, any new economic strategy for Puerto Rico, no matter how nuanced, sophisticated, or brilliantly conceived, is bound to fail if it ignores the fact that Puerto Rico has reached the limits of its development within the constraints imposed by its subordinate political status, which is both humiliating to Puerto Ricans and unworthy of a nation like the United States. In conclusion, Chairman Murkowski, I thank you and the committee for once again participating in this important public policy debate and look forward to answering any questions you may have. [The prepared statement of Mr. Marxuach follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] The Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Marxuach. Mr. Fetter, welcome. STATEMENT OF STEVEN FETTER, PRESIDENT, REGULATION UNFETTERED Mr. Fetter. Thank you. Chairman Murkowski, Ranking Member Cantwell, and members of the committee, I appreciate the opportunity to testify on the fiscal issues affecting the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. With my background as a utility regulator and utility bond rater, I have been asked to discuss Puerto Rico's electric utility known as PREPA. I should say with the comments from my colleagues on the panel, the fiscal issues are extremely serious, but I believe, at least on the energy side, with a few changes it potentially has a brighter outlook, including the possibility of a consensual settlement agreement with investors short of a filing for bankruptcy. Initially, I wish to emphasize that I come at the PREPA issues with the hope that the ultimate resolution will create an environment in which investors will be willing to continue providing funds to the Commonwealth for the wide range of public services they now support and that that goes on well into the future. I believe the best way of achieving that is if stakeholders can reach a consensual settlement agreement under which necessary sacrifices can be shared across the board. This is consistent with the approach I took at the Michigan Commission, where I continually urged our staff and adversarial parties to attempt to reach agreement on points of difference through settlement because no matter how thorough a litigated case record is developed, the parties are always in a better position to weigh their areas of dispute and strike a fair balance as to how they wish them to be resolved. Basically, then, each party chooses the end result for themselves. Toward this ultimate goal, I offer the following thoughts: The new Energy Commission should expedite PREPA's current base rate case as much as it possibly can, a point that I believe Congress could help emphasize. My understanding is that rate levels have long been inadequate to meet operating expenses and debt obligations, thus leading to PREPA's financial crisis. Adding to the problem, when oil-reliant PREPA received a major positive break with oil prices plummeting down during the past year, those saved funds were immediately flowed back to customers rather than keeping rate levels the same and using the additional revenues to support operations and required investor payments. My back-of-the-envelope calculation puts those lost revenues during the past year as approaching $1 billion on a total base of $9 billion of debt at PREPA. I admit I am not sure if the Energy Commission had the authority to so direct these fuel savings, but my experience tells me that they could have done what I did at the Michigan Commission. I went to the Michigan legislature. Actually, your colleague, Senator Stabenow, was serving in the legislature at that time. I explained to policymakers why the law needed to be changed and why the public interest would be furthered if they did it immediately. Such a proactive step would have helped PREPA respect the interests of debt investors while mitigating the financial pain its customers will likely have to face as this crisis proceeds. Similarly, PREPA should immediately endeavor to operate with substantially increased efficiencies, especially with regard to rate-collection practices. I think if I were serving at the commission or at PREPA, I would seek the advice of individuals and institutions that have faced similar difficulties in the past. For example, almost every U.S. utility regulator serves at NARUC, their longstanding national association, and utility executives belong to a range of electric and natural gas associations. I expect that any of these organizations would be willing to assist PREPA or the Energy Commission. And of course, relevant experience exists in utility consulting firms across the U.S. Expertise is there to be tapped, and I believe Congress could play a role in facilitating a connection between PREPA, the commission, and these experts. In addition, I understand that outside investors are willing to assist PREPA in a range of ways, from new investment aimed at asset modernization, all the way up to privatization. At this point, no option should be off the table. Finally, let me briefly discuss the potential for Chapter 9 bankruptcy filings being permitted for PREPA or other Commonwealth entities. At least with regard to the energy sector, the potential for a Chapter 9 filing was not a risk that investors considered at the time they decided they would lend money to PREPA. Undoubtedly, that means that if Chapter 9 were permitted for review of debt investors' return of funds, there would be legal challenges to such an authorization that would go on for years. I think a consensual settlement agreement is potentially there and would be a far superior path. Finally, let me tell you just my concern about the Chapter 9. Debt investors lent money to the Commonwealth and its public agencies with the expectation that they would receive their funds back with interest. They are not equity holders or co- owners of PREPA, subject to the ups and downs of utility performance. Thus, in my mind, for any resolution of this crisis to succeed going forward, it must keep faith with the debt investment community because those are the individuals and institutions, along with possible future equity investors, that will be needed to support Puerto Rico's continuing recovery well into the future. Thank you, Madam Chairman. [The prepared statement of Mr. Fetter follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] The Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Fetter, I appreciate your comments, and you gave some specific proposals there that I think will be good for the committee to look at. Let me begin my questioning first directed to you, Governor. Again, thank you for being here. As we have come to this hearing today, we have heard a great deal of discussion about the numbers and where Puerto Rico is and their clear inability to pay, but there has been a lot of concern about the fact that we have not seen the financial reports that have been hoped for. There have been a number of financial reports. You mentioned one, and several of you also mentioned the Krueger report. There is also the Conway MacKenzie report to the working group report, which I think is helpful. But there is concern, clearly, about the verifiability of Puerto Rico's financial data, and this goes back to the fact that we have not seen a comprehensive independent audit since July 2013. I know that this was an issue that was raised before the Finance Committee as well. Can you tell the committee this morning whether or not there are plans to complete independent audits of the Government Development Bank for Fiscal Years 2014 and '15 and then, of course, going into the future? What is the status of that? Governor Padilla. Thank you, Chairwoman. It is a historical problem in Puerto Rico. We inherited such a mess there, too, and it was part of the different governments in the past to hide information to the market so they were able to have more access to the market. We have been dealing with that. Now we are just one audited financial statement behind. That should be released in the next weeks or months. The Chairman. Excuse me. Would that be '14 or '15 that would be---- Governor Padilla. It will be '14 and then '15, but when I was sworn in, the delay was huge. We have been able to go forward and being now a little bit more accurate. The Conway MacKenzie and Krueger reports are part of that effort of the Commonwealth and my administration to bring you and to the world the right numbers about Puerto Rico through commission- independent experts to evaluate Puerto Rico numbers. So on the audited financial statement, it is a historical problem that we are just now getting up to date. But to supplement that lack of information, that is why we commissioned the same company that did the research in Detroit, this Conway MacKenzie, and the best one in the world from the IMF is the Krueger report. The Chairman. But what you are telling the committee is we should anticipate the 2014 independent audit sometime within the next several weeks? Governor Padilla. Weeks or months, yes. I will tell you why. As you know, it is an independent contractor that is requesting every day information, so to put a burden on them to be faster, I need to ask them to address the issue in a more responsible way so you will have the better numbers. But, yes, we are putting a lot of pressure on them to accelerate that process. The Chairman. I think you understand the need and of course---- Governor Padilla. Of course. The Chairman.--concern for very clear numbers. Let me ask you, Mr. Weiss, given your close interaction with the Puerto Rico government over the last year, are you comfortable with the financial data that is available and has the Treasury Department considered sending a team from Treasury to help them produce some of these auditable financial statements? Mr. Weiss. Thank you for posing the question, Chairman Murkowski. An essential part of the plan that we are proposing, not covered in my oral testimony but contained in the written proposal, is that it is absolutely the case that Puerto Rico needs to make an investment in its financial reporting systems and cannot be in a position where audited financials are not released on a timely and transparent basis to all stakeholders. It is equally the case that we have analyzed all available data, including the Conway MacKenzie report and other analyses, and there can be no doubt--there can be no doubt in our judgment that there is a fiscal crisis and that it is imminent. There is a liquidity crisis as well as a long-run fiscal crisis. And this is why we have proposed not just a broader restructuring authority but also enhanced fiscal oversight, and as part of that fiscal oversight, an investment in IT infrastructure and also the authorizations, as you suggest, to allow Treasury and the other agencies within the Federal administration to provide real on-the-ground technical assistance to make sure that that IT infrastructure is built out quickly and effectively. The Chairman. So that technical assistance that you are speaking to will be a team from Treasury that will go to Puerto Rico to try to get a better handle on what we are talking about with the numbers? The reason I ask, you mentioned assisting with the system. You and I both know that that is going to cost money. You and I both know that there is a lot of uncertainty right now in terms of what is going on with just the budget and appropriations as we move forward. As we look at the proposals you have outlined, one of the concerns that has been expressed is that there does not appear to be any kind of an estimate as to what the overall cost may be, whether it is for the proposals that have been discussed with the EITC, removing the Medicaid cap, or, as you have just mentioned, assistance with helping build out what is very necessary, I would agree. But do we have any kind of an estimate out there in terms of the costs of the Administration's proposals? Mr. Weiss. As to the cost of the build-out of the IT infrastructure, it is our judgment that the cost is low but that the benefits are great, and that, in fact, the technical assistance we could provide, not just out of Treasury but other agencies, would help to ensure that it is effective and quickly implemented. But I need to underline that there can be no doubt that there is a fiscal and liquidity crisis in Puerto Rico. The debt is consuming $3.5 billion to $4 billion annually out of a $10 billion budget. That is 35 to 40 percent of government receipts. This compares to figures more in the area of five to ten percent in states and municipalities. The debt trades at prices between 30 cents and 70 cents and has traded there for the past two years since Puerto Rico lost access to traditional municipal bond investors. So the investment needs to be made, but it cannot be an excuse in our judgment for a failure to act. The Chairman. Okay. Mr. Weiss, I am well out of time but know that I am going to come back to you with this question in the next round to try to understand what it is that we are dealing with because, as I would agree, we have to work with Puerto Rico here. We must address this. We also recognize that we have issues as they relate to just dealing with the costs, so I am trying to get some kind of an understanding as to what we are dealing with with the Administration's proposal and whether or not they have got a back-of-the-envelope number that we can be looking to. So know that I am going to be coming back to you. Mr. Weiss. Thank you. The Chairman. Senator Cantwell. Senator Cantwell. Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you to the panelists. I think having seen some of the discussion in the Finance Committee--at the end, it got kind of heated--I think it is safe to say that you all do not hang out together. [Laughter.] So if I could just get an answer to this question, a yes or no. Which of you support this Chapter 9 authority, creating Chapter 9 authority for Puerto Rico? Governor Padilla. Yes. Senator Cantwell. Can we just go down the line? Governor Padilla. I am sorry. Senator Cantwell. Mr. Weiss? Mr. Weiss. Yes, Senator. Governor Padilla. Yes. Mr. Pierluisi. I support Chapter 9--giving access to Puerto Rico to Chapter 9. I introduced a bill for that purpose. Senator Cantwell. Okay. Mr. Marxuach. Yes, Senator, I support it. Mr. Fetter. No, I do not. Senator Cantwell. Okay. Mr. Fetter, your testimony suggests that you believe that there are assets within the utility, and that is why you do not support Chapter 9, and you want to make sure that those assets--but in a bankruptcy, that is what the bankruptcy discussion is about. It is about what assets are there. So, Mr. Weiss, how is Puerto Rico--or the Governor--going to be constrained, and all the other sectors trying to reform in bankruptcy going to be constrained by this utility objection? Mr. Weiss. We need to be clear about bankruptcy as a whole. There are two aspects. One is Chapter 9, which has been introduced by Congressman Pierluisi in the House, and there is a companion bill in the Senate, and that would cover PREPA and the other public corporations and municipalities. That totals approximately one third of the total bonded debt in Puerto Rico. The Administration is absolutely in favor of moving forward with that legislation immediately. It would help not only finalize the PREPA negotiations, which are ongoing, but also cover the other municipalities in Puerto Rico, which are over- indebted. At the same time, we are advocating for a broader bankruptcy that would cover the entire bonded debt of Puerto Rico. And the benefits of that are, first, litigation has been made at--various have mentioned litigation that provides a stay on litigation and necessary breathing space for the economy while it is in effect. Second, it provides a mechanism for assuring an agreement with each class of bondholders that is enforceable across the entire debt stock. And third, to the extent needed, it allows for senior financing, which can be brought in from the private sector and come out on a priority basis. It is our judgment that the time has come to address the entire debt stock of Puerto Rico and not just the Chapter 9 municipalities and public corporations. Senator Cantwell. Mr. Fetter, you are definitely holding the utility area sacrosanct under this larger problem. What about what Mr. Weiss just said is not a process and procedure for making sure that this is---- Mr. Fetter. Senator, my---- Senator Cantwell.--that your investors are going to have a fair day--in a horrible situation, no doubt--but they are going to have their fair day under this? Mr. Fetter. I guess I come at it a few different ways. It is a risk that they did not envision when they decided to make their investment. I believe with a commitment towards improved operations at PREPA and improved regulatory timeliness, a consensual settlement agreement can be reached. And so, to me, that is far superior than starting down a path of Chapter 9 restructuring, which, in the end, might be okay to investors or it might not be okay. So since it is that binary okay or not, my expectation is that they would raise legal objections at the outset, as opposed to working toward that settlement agreement that I think is possible. Senator Cantwell. Mr. Marxuach. Mr. Marxuach. I just want to make a quick remark. I disagree. I respectfully disagree with the remark that bondholders relied expressly on bankruptcy protection in order to make these investments. To my knowledge, looking at every prospectus that is out there, I do not think it was even highlighted, you know, when the debt was issued. The main driver for Puerto Rican bonds was the triple tax exemption they enjoyed under the U.S. Tax Code and in Puerto Rico, and that was really what drove people to invest in Puerto Rico. It will be very difficult, I think, for any investor to prove in a court that they relied expressly on a representation that bankruptcy was not an option. Senator Cantwell. Okay. I see my time is expired. Thank you. The Chairman. Thank you, Senator Cantwell. Senator Barrasso. Senator Barrasso. Thank you, Madam Chairman. Congressman Pierluisi, you mentioned in your written testimony that Puerto Rico is, I think you said, ``treated in discriminatory fashion or excluded entirely'' from various Federal programs, including Chapter 9 of the Federal Bankruptcy Code. As you know, there is a companion legislative proposal to your bill in the Senate introduced by Senator Blumenthal to grant Chapter 9 Bankruptcy Code protection. I have concerns about families and retirees in my state and other states who were incentivized by Congress through the Tax Code to invest in the Puerto Rican bonds, including the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority. I have heard there are many individuals who are invested in these bonds across the State of Wyoming. Some have investments in their 401(k)s, people who may not even know that their 401(k)s are invested in these bonds. Congress explicitly prohibited Puerto Rico from being able to access Chapter 9. Puerto Rico took advantage of the lower cost of capital by doing that. If access to Chapter 9 was granted and the rules under which investments in these bonds were made are retroactively changed, then the value would, I think, be negatively impacted. So my concern is people bought the bonds because they are tax-free, low-interest, Government bonds. So what happens when a retiree in Wyoming goes to their mailbox and opens their financial statement only to find their investment has been negatively impacted because Congress changed the rules of the game after the fact? What do I tell them? Mr. Pierluisi. Okay. First of all, Congress has the power to change the bankruptcy laws at any time, and no lawyer worth his or her salt would advise a client that bankruptcy law cannot change. Puerto Rico for 45 years had access to Chapter 9. It did not use it then and did not need it then. For reasons that are not even expressed in the Congressional Record, it was left out. That is the story, the life of a territory. But I would also add that any investor would be in worse shape if, for any reason, the entity in which the investor invests has no legal structure, no legal remedy to handle its debt obligations. That is the situation in Puerto Rico right now. It is going to end up being chaos. You need a legal framework in which a Bankruptcy Court, a Federal Bankruptcy Court, oversees the reorganization of an entity that becomes insolvent. By the way, this is not like automatic. The law is clear. You need to show that you are insolvent. You need to show that you are not able to pay your debts when they become due. In addition, creditors have a participation in the process. So, if anything, I say it is much better to have Chapter 9 than not. And all we are asking is the same access as the states have. That is my answer. Senator Barrasso. Thank you. Mr. Weiss, if this Chapter 9 status is granted, would that not cost Puerto Rico the confidence of investors in the future who are a key component of improving the economy of Puerto Rico? Mr. Weiss. Senator, thank you for the question. And it really leads to the point that Puerto Rico lost confidence of traditional investors two years ago when it lost its investment grade rating. And the only financing it has been able to complete since then has been one $3.5 billion financing at an 8.5 percent rate, which was put together entirely by hedge funds. More recently, it has also lost its interim financing. It is in a completely shutout situation from financial markets today and---- Senator Barrasso. So would granting Chapter 9 do anything to address the structural problems and practices that have led to the economic situation in Puerto Rico? Mr. Weiss. As we have said in our proposal, the Chapter 9, the broader version, which covers the entire debt stock of Puerto Rico, in our judgment, should be coupled with greater fiscal oversight provided by a body that appropriately represents the status and people of the Commonwealth, and investment in IT infrastructure around financial reporting. So we would do the two together. But we think the quickest way to restore confidence in Puerto Rico in financial markets is to go through a broader, comprehensive restructuring of the Commonwealth's debt such that it emerges in a position where investors have confidence in the oversight and IT systems and that the level of debt itself, which today is totally unsustainable, better matches the size of the economy. Senator Barrasso. Thank you, Madam Chairman. The Chairman. Thank you, Senator Barrasso. For the information of the committee members, a vote has just started. There will be two votes. So I think what we will do is go until 25 after, and then we will take a break. That way we can try to hit both votes at one time and then come back. At this time, we will go to Senator Heinrich. Senator Heinrich. Commissioner Pierluisi, Mr. Fetter seemed to suggest that PREPA rates are not adequate, and that may be true from at least the narrow view of some investors. But as you know, PREPA rates are already far higher than mainland electric rates. If electric rates were higher in Puerto Rico, how would that impact the broader ability to attract additional business investment that is needed to grow out of the current situation? Mr. Pierluisi. Excellent question. But of course that PREPA and our energy cost are crucial to Puerto Rico's future. We need to grow. We need to grow our economy, and we are paying over 20 cents per kilowatt hour for energy. PREPA needs to diversify its energy sources. To do so, it needs to attract private capital so we have new LNG plants in Puerto Rico. But in the current state of affairs in PREPA, it has become such a risk for the investment community that nobody would enter into a power purchase agreement with PREPA as matters are. That is why restructuring at PREPA, reorganizing PREPA under the protection of the Bankruptcy Code, should be an option. I am the first one, Senator, who supports consensual negotiations with creditors. PREPA has been doing that for more than a year. I have been saying that it has taken too long, but we should always have that option because it is good for the process. It encourages the parties to negotiate in good faith. It gives PREPA, yes, more leverage in the negotiation, but it is the right thing to do. And of course the solution cannot be raise rates. That cannot be the solution. That is going to harm our economy, and it is going to cause even more migration, and it is going to create more fiscal pressure. So you are absolutely right. Senator Heinrich. With regard to Chapter 9, you believe that the certainty that that creates in the long run is better for the investment community than the status quo obviously? Mr. Pierluisi. Yes. Definitely, it is a tool we should have. I should say that in Puerto Rico I believe--I, for one--I believe we have 18 different entities issuing bonds in Puerto Rico. Some of those entities are in reasonable financial condition. Some definitely need to be reorganized. PREPA is one. The Water and Sewer Authority is probably the next candidate, and we should have this, too. We should definitely have this, too. Now, part of our debt, and I should make this point, is it has been issued by the central government and it has been guaranteed by our constitution; and Congress approved our constitution. I believe that that part of the debt, which is about $18 billion worth, is manageable, and we should pay every penny of it because it is our word. It is our constitution, and we should be a jurisdiction of law and order. So I want to clarify the record there. Even though I agree with having Chapter 9 as--I do not agree with the concept of restructuring or failing to pay all of our debt. We should honor our obligations to the extent we can, and we should have Chapter 9 available. Senator Heinrich. Do you think there is a relationship between the uncertainty over Puerto Rico's political status to the current economic crisis? What is the nexus there, Commissioner? Mr. Pierluisi. A clear nexus. Let me give you just an example. And by the way, Chairman, you referred to the lack of estimates. Obviously, to the extent we start generating specific bills, we will score them. CBO will score them. But let me just give you one example. If you improve the treatment of Puerto Rico under the Medicaid program so that at least we can cover the people falling below the Federal poverty level--I am not even asking for Medicaid expansion--the Puerto Rico government would be receiving at the very least roughly about $1.5 billion from the Federal Government that it is not receiving right now. That accomplishes two things. On the one hand, it helps us fiscally. We would not have the deficits that we are having. We would not have the liquidity problems we are having. On the other hand, we could cover this population, American citizens under the poverty level, as we should. So that is just one example. That is why this is tied to status. Why are we treated like that? Because we are a territory, and you have license to treat us differently. But I complained because, as American citizens, we should be treated equally. It has an impact on our fiscal health, and it definitely has an impact on our economy. Senator Heinrich. Thank you, Madam Chair. Mr. Fetter. May I add some rebuttal? The Chairman. We are going to go to Senator Sanders just because we are running short of time here. Thank you, Senator. Senator Sanders. Thank you, Madam Chair. I want to raise a couple of issues. First of all, let us be clear about the extent of the human tragedy currently taking place in Puerto Rico. As I understand it, since 2006, Puerto Rico has lost 20 percent of its jobs. About 60 percent of Puerto Rico's adult population are either unemployed or have given up looking for work. Over the last five years alone, more than 150 public schools have been shut down, and the childhood poverty rate has shot up to 56 percent. That is a human tragedy, and in my view, Wall Street should not be believing that they can get blood from a stone. When people are suffering and hurting, you cannot continue to squeeze them. I want to get back to that, but I want to say a word now on the energy situation. I have not heard one word--or maybe I missed it--on a phrase called ``sustainable energy.'' As I understand it, Puerto Rico today is producing its electricity 55 percent from oil, 28 percent from natural gas, 16 percent from coal, 1 percent from renewables. Now, unless Puerto Rico's advertising is incorrect, last I heard you were a sunny island. You are an island. There is wind. I do not understand why you are producing electricity from oil and why we are not investing significantly into sustainable energy. I know there are plans underway, but you have huge potential to lead this part of the world. All right. Let us get back to my friends on Wall Street here. Mr. Weiss, you indicated that the hedge funds, some of the vulture funds, are buying bonds at 30 to 70 percent. At a time when children in Puerto Rico are going hungry and schools are being shut down, why should the U.S. Government or why should these guys be getting back 100 percent on their investment when they are paying 30 to 70 percent on the dollar for these bonds? Mr. Weiss. Senator, as we have said, the debt is unsustainable, and the market knows this. The fact that the highest-rated, most senior debt trades at 70 cents is a clear indication that this is no surprise and you want---- Senator Sanders. What are the interest rates? I do not have a lot of time. What are the interest rates now that these---- Mr. Weiss. A yield on the most highly priced security, debt security in Puerto Rico, is in excess of 11 percent. Senator Sanders. Whoa. So they are getting 11 percent, or they want 11 percent? Mr. Weiss. They are receiving---- Senator Sanders. They are receiving 11 percent---- Mr. Weiss.--11 percent. Senator Sanders.--and children in Puerto Rico are going hungry. Somehow that equation does not make a lot of sense to me. I think this is an issue that has to be dealt with. So the first point that I would make, in any serious discussion about this issue, the goal cannot be simply to protect high interest rates going to vulture funds on Wall Street. They are going to have to sit down on the table and take a significant haircut. They made risky investments, and when you make a risky investment, you should not expect to get 100 percent back on your dollar. Mr. Marxuach. Senator, may I make one point? That 11 percent is tax exempt. I just wanted to make that point. Senator Sanders. All right. So I think let us put that on the table, and that has got to end. My own view is--and I indicated this to the Secretary of the Treasury, Mr. Weiss, I think the Secretary of the Treasury and you should call a meeting with all of the players, including the players in Puerto Rico who are now suffering. Representatives of labor unions, when I hear labor reform, usually what that means to me is lower wages and longer hours, all right? But I would like to see all of the players sit down with the vulture funds and work out an agreement that is satisfactory to both sides. Now, in terms of transparency, I have heard, and I do not claim to be an expert on this, but that it is possible that some of the debt was incurred in an unconstitutional way, in violation of Puerto Rico's constitution. Governor Padilla. Yes. Senator Sanders. Who wants to talk to that one? Yes, sir, Governor. Governor Padilla. Yes, we need to audit that. Senator Sanders. You think that that is a possibility that some of your debt was unconstitutional? Governor Padilla. In those words, if that is a possibility, the answer is yes. Mr. Pierluisi. And let me clarify that there is an Attorney General opinion in Puerto Rico providing some support for the interpretation that some of the debt could be issued outside the constitutional requirements. So it is a legal issue. But you might be right, and it is something that should be studied. Senator Sanders. Should debt be repaid if, in fact, that debt was incurred in an unconstitutional way? Mr. Marxuach. No. Senator Sanders. Who said no? You both say no? Sir? Mr. Marxuach. I said no, and in addition to the opinion from the Attorney General that Congressman Pierluisi mentioned, the constitution specifically says that to balance the budget, you are not allowed to issue debt. You are supposed to either-- basically increase taxes. That is what the Puerto Rico constitution---- Senator Sanders. And we presume that the investors understood that and were familiar with the constitution---- Mr. Marxuach. Well, it was certainly disclosed in the financial statement. Whether or not they read it is a different question, and that is perhaps an issue to be investigated by the Banking Committee here in the Senate. Senator Sanders. Okay. So what I am hearing, though, from several of you, that if these debts were incurred in a way that was unconstitutional, that perhaps this debt should not have to be repaid? Mr. Pierluisi. Yes. And since the Senator raises the issue, or it has been raised, the issue of audits, let me say that Congress has the authority, this committee has jurisdiction to require GAO to do annual audits of the Puerto Rico government and financial transactions and issue recommendations. This committee had legislation before the committee providing for GAO to oversee or give guidelines and recommendations as to estimates, tax revenue, revenue estimates, expense estimates done by the territories. I testified before this committee, and I asked the committee to include Puerto Rico in that legislation. And for some reason you left Puerto Rico out, and you allowed GAO to advise the other territories but not Puerto Rico. And now, you tell me that our records or financial records are not the types that you would like to see. So what I say is definitely Congress has authority to--it did with the District of Columbia, and you can do it in a way that respects Puerto Rico's autonomy, and I think it should be done. And GAO could also---- Senator Sanders. Thank you. Mr. Pierluisi.--consider the issue---- Senator Sanders. Okay. Mr. Pierluisi.--the issue that was raised---- Senator Sanders. My time is expired. The Chairman. We are going to try to get one more Member in. Senator Warren? Senator Warren. Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you all for being here. I want to see if I can try to pull this together. The people of Puerto Rico are in a really lousy position. They have been hit hard by ten years of recession, and now they are crushed by debt they cannot repay. Ordinarily a city in this kind of financial trouble would declare bankruptcy, a country would go to the IMF, and in either case they would work out a reasonable debt reduction and a repayment plan. Puerto Rico, by American law, cannot do either one of these, and that leaves the 3.5 million American citizens on the island at the mercy of the people who hold Puerto Rico's debt. So who owns Puerto Rico's debt? Many of these owners are so-called vulture funds that wait until a borrower is in trouble and then they buy the debt at a big discount so they can make a profit even if some of the debt does not get repaid. But the vulture funds do not want to negotiate. Instead, what do the vulture funds want? Well, they want Puerto Rico to raise taxes, cut healthcare, fire teachers, cut pensions, sell off $4 billion worth of government buildings, privatize public ports, close neighborhood schools, and cut support for the University of Puerto Rico, all so that these vulture funds can squeeze out more profits. Now, Mr. Marxuach, what would happen to the people of Puerto Rico and the economy of Puerto Rico if they did what the vulture funds are asking for? Mr. Marxuach. Well, it is essentially another round of austerity that would be imposed on the people of Puerto Rico. We already have done pension reform. We have fired government employees. We have cut expenditures. We have raised taxes since 2009. So obviously what it will do to the economy is, you know, make the actual recession or contraction even more acute. Senator Warren. Okay. Mr. Marxuach. So I do not think it is part of the solution. Senator Warren. So it will make things worse---- Mr. Marxuach. Definitely. Senator Warren.--in Puerto Rico? Mr. Marxuach. In my opinion, it would. Senator Warren. Worse for the people, worse for the future---- Mr. Marxuach. Yes. Senator Warren.--of this economy? Mr. Weiss, I understand that the Treasury Department's position is that Congress should pass legislation so that Puerto Rico can force creditors to the negotiating table, the same way any American city or any country can do. I believe that Congress should pass a law. I have cosponsored such a law, and I will fight for it. I also understand from your testimony that you have been working with other agencies to guarantee Puerto Rico has access to existing Federal programs. You have worked to encourage other agencies to pursue all administrative options. But I want to be clear on this point. Is it your position that Treasury itself has absolutely no power to help the people of Puerto Rico without congressional action? Mr. Weiss. Thank you for the question. The Administration has organized, led by the White House, an interagency effort, and we are part of that. There is a dedicated team at Treasury. There is also a dedicated team at HHS. We have been working closely with the Governor, with the legislative leadership. Senator Warren. I am sorry. Just help me out a little bit on what ``working with'' means. I just want to understand what Treasury is doing to try to help out in these circumstances. Mr. Weiss. We have analyzed the finances of Puerto Rico. We are here to say today with no ambiguity that there is a liquidity crisis and that there is a fiscal crisis, and it is our strong belief that the most powerful way forward involves broader bankruptcy protection, as you stated, which would allow us to bring creditors to the table who would otherwise have no intention to enter into negotiations. Senator Warren. Mr. Weiss, I will push on Congress to try to pass these bills, but frankly, I think Treasury needs to step up and show more leadership here. I agree with Treasury's recommendations to Congress, but let us face it, in Washington sometimes things like this that sound good amount to just passing the buck. During the financial crisis when the banks were in trouble, Treasury did a lot more than just bail them out. Treasury stretched the limits of its authority to make sure that the banks stayed afloat. It helped broker deals between banks. It applied pressure to get parties to accept deals they may not have liked very much. It has done that in multiple other crises as well. Now the people of Puerto Rico are calling. They understand there is no bailout on the table for them, and they are not asking for one. After all, they are not a giant bank. But they are asking the Administration to do what it can to help broker deals, to stand up to the vulture funds that are pushing for a vision that is far at odds with the people of Puerto Rico and with all American citizens. Puerto Rico is not trying to protect its profitability. They just want to make sure that the families of Puerto Rico have a chance to build a future for themselves and their kids. I urge Treasury to be just as creative in coming up with solutions for Puerto Rico as it was when the big banks called for help. Mr. Weiss. Senator---- Senator Warren. Thank you. Mr. Weiss. We---- The Chairman. I am sorry. We are going to have to adjourn. The vote is about to be closed, so we will stand adjourned for about ten minutes or until Members can get back. [Recess.] The Chairman. I call this meeting back to order before the committee. We have got a little bit of a reprieve. The second vote is going to begin in about 10 or 15 minutes, so we will continue with the questioning and probably have to wrap it up by about five minutes after 12 p.m., or continue it, depending where we are in the process. With that, we will turn to Senator Hirono from Hawaii. Senator Hirono. Thank you very much. Regarding Senator Warren's line of questioning as to the Treasury being able to do more, I would share those sentiments because I think we need to do everything we can besides waiting for the legislation that would help Puerto Rico pass. That may take a while. I would like to echo her suggestion and her strong urging to Treasury that you be aggressive in doing what you can. In fact, I would like to ask Governor Padilla, do you think that Treasury is doing all it can to help Puerto Rico in this crisis situation? Governor Padilla. Well, Senator, thank you for the question. And I want to be as comprehensive as you have been trying. Yesterday, Treasury and the White House put out a plan to make Puerto Rico, as you said, and it is a more comprehensive and ambitious one in my lifetime. I think that, since Kennedy, especially when Munoz was Governor, no one has addressed the issue as President Obama and Treasury yesterday. We can argue, for example, with HHS that they can fix Medicare right now, but what we cannot allow, Senator, is to let Puerto Rico struggle between the Hill and the White House with Congress arguing that the Administration should do more and the Administration arguing that we need to pass legislation. Maybe both are true, but Puerto Rico is in the middle. Senator Hirono. Yes. My point is that it may take a while for Congress to act, considering what the circumstances and the environment here is. So short of Congress acting--and, yes, I totally agree that Congress should act on the bills that we have before us, but in the meantime, we would want to be assured that the Administration is doing everything it can to assist Puerto Rico. I have a question for Mr. Marxuach. Mr. Marxuach. Yes. Senator Hirono. In your testimony, you recommend that the extension of the earned income tax credit to Puerto Rican workers would be a very effective antipoverty program. It is that pretty much in the U.S. and all of the benefits of the earned income tax credit in promoting work, et cetera. So if implemented today--by the way, forgive me for not knowing, but would we have to pass legislation in order for Puerto Rico to qualify? Yes---- Mr. Marxuach. Yes. Senator Hirono.--that was yet another thing. Let us say that we did pass it, and if it passed, how long would it take? How soon would the benefits of the earned income tax credit accrue so that your economy and your debt situation could be improved? Mr. Marxuach. Well, first of all, it depends when it is implemented, but assuming it is for the next---- Senator Hirono. Just say---- Mr. Marxuach.--tax year, it would be pretty much immediate. I mean there are dozens of studies here in the United States that demonstrate that this type of refundable credit has a direct impact on consumption and on the welfare of the poorest families since they basically spend all their income. They have basically no money left over to save. So the impact in the short-term could be very significant, but as I mentioned in my testimony, it is only part of the solution. I mean it will help. You know, it is like a shot in the arm in the short-term, but we need to think also about the longer-term policies. Senator Hirono. Did you want to add something, Governor? Governor Padilla. Yes, Senator, just to make my point very clear on the previous question, there is no doubt that congressional action is needed, not to kick the can. If you want to kick the can a little bit, a few months, maybe a year, but to solve the problem, this is very simple. The ball is right now in Congress's court. What we are asking is to throw the ball to our court. I want to solve the issue we began. We need to finish that job. Right now, the ball is in your court. Please, pass it to ours. We need to do the job. It is our problem. We need the tools to do our job. Senator Hirono. I certainly get the sense of urgency that you have and that we all should share. Governor, in May 2014, you signed legislation that required the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) to ensure that the electricity from fossil fuels be generated more efficiently. Have efficiency goals been met as a result of this legislation that you signed? Governor Padilla. Let me give you just a little of background. When I was sworn in, we produced like 67 percent of our energy from oil. Now it is 54 percent, as Senator Sanders pointed out. When I was sworn in, energy was 31 cents per kilowatt hour; now it is 19. It is cheaper than in Hawaii or in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Puerto Rico is the offshore jurisdiction with cheaper energy than the United States. It is still high, 19 cents. But let me tell you why we got there. Did you know that a previous Governor took a loan addressing our GDP liquidity just to reduce the energy for the election period? That was amazing. That was incredible, and that was part of the problem. Yes, we are trying to add more renewables. We already signed for the building of 600 megawatts up to the amount of 3,200 megawatts on renewables, but we need to finish the restructuring of PREPA that we already began or we are about to end successfully to allow the trust of the financial world to invest. But those are the right facts. Puerto Rico three years ago was at 31 cents per kilowatt. It is now at 19, and that is the reality of Puerto Rico. Senator Hirono. Congratulations on that. Governor Padilla. Thank you. Senator Hirono. Hawaii, yes, we share certain common issues relating to reliance on fossil fuels. Thank you. Thank you, Madam Chair. The Chairman. Senator Wyden. Senator Wyden. Thank you, Madam Chair, and thank you, Madam Chair, for keeping this open as well. I want to see if for a moment I can take a bit of a longer view with respect to this challenge, and this really goes back to the days when I was the Chair of this committee and Senator Murkowski was Ranking Minority member. Let me direct this question if I might to you, Mr. Marxuach. To me, the central question if you are going to keep this from happening again, you have to resolve this issue of status. That, to me, is just basic. I see you are nodding your head yes, so let us kind of walk through a little bit of this. In November 2012, the Puerto Rican government held a local referendum on Puerto Rico's political future. We noted, back again when I was Chair in August 2013, on that vote there was no dispute that a majority of the voters in Puerto Rico, 54 percent, clearly expressed their opposition to continuing the current territorial status. So at that hearing, I expressed my concern that the lack of resolution of Puerto Rico's status not only distracts from addressing these huge challenges, it contributes to them. The President's Task Force on Puerto Rico's Status found that ``identifying the most effective means of assisting the Puerto Rican economy depends on resolving the ultimate question,'' which they called status. So it is still clear that, for Puerto Rico to get on top of these issues and really to achieve the full potential that all concerned are interested in, the issue has got to be resolved. Puerto Rico must either exercise full self-government as a sovereign nation or achieve equality among the States of the Union. Congress's response to the 2012 referendum, Congress responded to it by authorizing and allocating the funds for the first federally-sponsored status vote in Puerto Rico's history. I am not sure that that has been fully appreciated, but the enactment of this law is, again, one of the important steps to get this resolved. It is my hope that the government of Puerto Rico will use this funding to conduct a federally-sponsored vote. A rejection of the current territory status by the voters of Puerto Rico leaves the Puerto Rico challenge with only two options: statehood under U.S. sovereignty or some form of separate national sovereignty. Once Puerto Rico does hold the vote, the Congress ought to respond in an appropriate fashion to implement the democratic desire of the U.S. citizens of Puerto Rico. So if you might, Mr. Marxuach, tell the committee a bit about how you see this question of political status, in effect, in suspended animation has harmed the economy of Puerto Rico. Mr. Marxuach. Certainly, it has harmed the economy of a Puerto Rico. I am going to leave the political---- Senator Wyden. I asked you about the economy. Mr. Marxuach.--issue--yes. But economies are trained basically to deal with situations where they have to analyze and try to optimize a given event within certain restrictions. In the case of Puerto Rico, the restrictions have become overwhelming because precisely of this ambiguous status that we have that it is called Commonwealth. You know, we are not a sovereign country. We are not a State of the Union. We have no authority to negotiate treaties, no access to emergency financing from multilateral institutions, no monetary policy instruments. We have limited fiscal policy tools, nominal representation in Congress, with all due deference to the commissioner here, and the U.S. Supreme Court has determined that it is constitutionally permissible to discriminate against Puerto Rico in the application of Federal programs as long as there exists a rational basis for doing so. So if you are trying to deal with an emergency or a crisis like the one we have now with no monetary tools, limited fiscal policy tools, and all these other political restrictions, it is almost an unsolvable problem. So yes, there are certain things we can do in the short- term to alleviate this situation, but eventually, if you are going to think alleviating to longer-term, you have to solve the underlying issue, which obviously is status. Senator Wyden. Okay. I appreciate that point because I understand I missed some of the earlier discussion, and there was, as is the case in this committee, some fairly spirited debate. But what Mr. Marxuach has said--and I know it is not flashy and sensationalistic and will not drive this evening's headlines, but the underlying question which I feel strongly about and Mr. Marxuach just confirmed, the underlying question is resolving the issue of status. If you do not resolve that issue, you are on a glide path for a threat that this could happen again, and no one wants to see that. I have to go back to the floor. I know one of the other witnesses wants to respond, I apologize for the discourtesy and perhaps---- Governor Padilla. It is okay. I know you have a busy agenda. Senator Wyden. Why do you not just go ahead? Please, if you could---- Governor Padilla. Very briefly. Senator Wyden. I apologize for---- Governor Padilla. No, no, no, no. I appreciate your attention always to Puerto Rico, Senator. You are from Oregon, and we are glad that you are talking so much about us. First, this is a crisis that we need to solve now, and I want to highlight that. Second, we can address the issue of status. We need to address the issue of status, but we will not argue that the Illinois fiscal problems are due to an issue of status, or New York or Detroit or Orange County. We may say that statehood is a problem for Illinois, but we will not argue that. And I will urge the committee to take a look on the last report of Congress's request from the GAO, information on how statehood will potentially affect Puerto Rico. Senator Wyden. Let me do this if I might, because I will also be dealing with these issues, along with my colleague Senator Cantwell on the Finance Committee---- Governor Padilla. I know. Senator Wyden.--and there are a whole host of measures that come up there as well. Clearly, action needs to be taken to deal with a number of the challenges right away. But what happens in American politics and in American government is people always say, oh, let us respond here in the next 36 hours and we will call it a day because we got it fixed. What Mr. Marxuach confirmed is essentially what I have been concerned about is that we could be back dealing with this again unless the issue of status is resolved. I look forward---- Governor Padilla. Thank you. Senator Wyden.--to working with all of you. Governor Padilla. Thank you. The Chairman. Thank you, Senator Wyden. I think your point is certainly well taken. What we want to be able to do is not just address a short- term crisis. I think it is fair to say, whether it is a humanitarian crisis, as Mr. Weiss has used the terms, or financial crisis, fiscal crisis, we have a crisis. Several of the proposals I think that the Administration is proposing and I think that you, Governor Padilla, have put out on the table may deal with this in the short-term. But I absolutely concur with what Senator Wyden has said. We do not want to be back here as a committee or as a Congress several years from now in the same situation. We need to be looking to a longer-term solution. As probably one of the few-- maybe I am the only one, I will have to check on it--Members of the Senate at least that was born in a territory, I pay keen attention to the situation in Puerto Rico and on the issue of status. Right now, what we are trying to do is figure out whether some of these short-term proposals are the fix that we need, and I think we have got a lot of work ahead of us. I also want to agree with what Senator Warren raised and what was reinforced by Senator Hirono, that what we are talking about here are proposals that the Administration has now put before Congress, and I think we all recognize that Congress sometimes, even in the midst of a crisis, takes a long while to work its magic, if you can describe it as magic. So everything that the Administration can be doing within its tool box needs to be pursued and considered. I do not know during the break, Mr. Weiss, if you had an opportunity to get a better handle on some of the numbers that I had asked you about in my questions, but I was able to get some information. Apparently, an energy analyst with the Height Securities report has provided a rough breakdown of the Administration's proposal. The EITC, is estimated to cost about $1.5 billion in annual payments; the child tax credit, about $850 million; the FMAP to the Federal average would be about $2.8 billion; and the ballpark that is estimated again--and I am just giving you what I picked up over a Blackberry in the past half an hour or so, is about $5 billion a year. If, in fact, we are in this ballpark, you need to understand that it is going to take Congress a while to work through some of these proposals. Attempting to identify an offset is something that we need to know that the Administration is going to be willing to work with us on because that will be a part of the hang-up here. That is a broad statement that leads to a response from you, Mr. Weiss, in terms of whether or not there are other administrative actions that you feel can be advanced at this point in time and if you feel that the proposal that you have laid out, that the Administration has laid out, is somewhere in the ballpark of what this Height Securities report has advanced. Mr. Weiss. Thank you, Chairman Murkowski. And I would like to address the very fair comments made by Senators Hirono and Warren as well. Let me assure this committee that Treasury and the broader Administration will apply all of its efforts and all of our creativity and all of our resources to the resolution of this financial crisis, just as we have in past crises, and we will leave no stone unturned. And so we recognize that the Administration has a role to play alongside Congress in crafting these proposals and in making sure that Puerto Rico sees through this crisis and gets back on the path to growth. As to the costs of our proposals, I would like to highlight that bankruptcy involves no Federal funds. It costs nothing to the Federal Government. It is merely a means of bringing creditors to the table in order to achieve an orderly restructuring of liabilities. As to healthcare and the EITC, let me emphasize that we have introduced these two as principles, not as detailed legislation, and we would look forward to working with you and your staff and other Members of Congress as to how to bring this to reality in a fiscally responsible way. The Chairman. Okay. Mr. Weiss. We understand that this is a fiscally constrained environment, but at the same time, I need to highlight 1.6 million American citizens in Puerto Rico out of the 3.5 million population depend on Medicaid, and it is the lack of Medicaid that is also prompting some of them to leave the island. The Chairman. Understood. I do not mean to cut you off, but I am going to have to run to this vote because it is wrapping up also. I am also very cognizant of what this committee's jurisdiction is, and as important as the Medicaid piece is, I know that other committees are going to be looking to address that. I wanted to ask a very quick question of Mr. Marxuach if I may because there has been a lot of discussion back and forth about the bondholders and gaining advantage and being paid 100 percent. Do you happen to have any idea what percent of the bondholders are actually Puerto Ricans? I have to imagine that they are not all outsiders who have no interest in what happens to Puerto Rico. Mr. Marxuach. You are right about that. The number seems to change every week, I guess, but the latest figure we have here it is between 25 and 30 percent of all outstanding bonded debt is held by either Puerto Rico institutions or Puerto Rico investors. However, I have no way of verifying that. You know, this is a number that has been put out by some investment banks. But I personally do not have--I mean I cannot vouch for the validity of that, but that is the number that has been put out. Governor Padilla. It is the same number that we have, Chairwoman. The Chairman. Mr. Pierluisi? Mr. Pierluisi. And, Chairman, I would like to contribute. The best estimates that my office has obtained for the EITC, full application of EITC in Puerto Rico is roughly $500 million, so it is half a billion dollars, not this number that you quoted from some other source. The Chairman. Well---- Mr. Pierluisi. And child tax credit, full application of the child tax credit program, the number we have is roughly $150 million. And I agree with you, the challenge would be to identify an offset, but those are the best numbers I can provide you. The Chairman. I think part of what we are dealing with today, the Governor released his proposal, last week the Administration released their proposal. This is all new. It is out there on the table. There is a lot of assessment, a lot of analysis. There are going to be a lot of numbers going back and forth. This is why, at the end of the day, it really helps to understand what it is that we are dealing with, what are the true numbers, so whether it is what we have requested from the Governor and he has indicated we are going to see in the next couple weeks at least with the 2014 audited report, that is going to be important. It is going to be important that Treasury be able to rely on this. We need to have some keen understanding. I do not think that there is any disagreement that it is bad, but we also need to understand, again, if it is this bad, what are the costs that are associated---- Mr. Marxuach. Madam Chairman---- The Chairman. Mr. Marxuach? Mr. Marxuach.--if I may, in my extended written remarks that I submitted to the committee, I did take the time to look at the audits we do have from 2013 all the way back to 1998 and calculate what is called the primary balance for Puerto Rico. What that means in non-technical terms is how much money you have left before paying interest on your debt. And it is clear that at least, you know, during that period between 1998 and 2013, Puerto Rico ran a primary deficit. That is, we had a deficit before even paying the interest on our debt. So that essentially means that we are in a classic debt trap, what economists call a debt trap. You have to keep borrowing just to pay off the interest on outstanding debt. And when that game of financial musical chairs stops, you really cannot continue. And I think we have reached that point. I do not have the numbers for 2014, but I did take the effort to, as I said, calculate this primary deficit for Puerto Rico and it is submitted in the longer statement that I presented to the committee. The Chairman. We will all be looking at this, and it will not just be this committee, of course. It will be the other committees of jurisdiction: Judiciary and Finance. Again, I apologize that we are not able to give more time to this. Obviously, as I was speaking with Senator Cantwell, we could have continued this hearing well into the afternoon to probe deeper into it. But I appreciate all of you coming this morning and presenting the positions. We have much work to do. I think there is agreement that we must be working together to address the situation in Puerto Rico not only for the short-term, which is very precarious, but for the longer-term as well. There is so much material before the committee. Thank you all, and we stand---- Mr. Pierluisi. Thank you, Chairwoman. The Chairman.--adjourned. [Whereupon, at 12:06 p.m., the hearing was adjourned.] APPENDIX MATERIAL SUBMITTED ---------- [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [all]