[House Hearing, 116 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, GOOD FOR BUSINESSES, AND GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY ======================================================================= HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION AND LABOR U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SIXTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION ---------- HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, FEBRUARY 7, 2019 ---------- Serial No. 116-2 ---------- Printed for the use of the Committee on Education and Labor [GRAPHIC NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available via the World Wide Web: www.govinfo.gov or Committee address: https://edlabor.house.gov __________ U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 36-268 PDF WASHINGTON : 2019 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, http://bookstore.gpo.gov. For more information, contact the GPO Customer Contact Center, U.S. Government Publishing Office. Phone 202-512-1800, or 866-512-1800 (toll-free). E-mail, [email protected]. COMMITTEE ON EDUCATION AND LABOR ROBERT C. ``BOBBY'' SCOTT, Virginia, Chairman Susan A. Davis, California Virginia Foxx, North Carolina, Raul M. Grijalva, Arizona Ranking Member Joe Courtney, Connecticut David P. Roe, Tennessee Marcia L. Fudge, Ohio Glenn Thompson, Pennsylvania Gregorio Kilili Camacho Sablan, Tim Walberg, Michigan Northern Mariana Islands Brett Guthrie, Kentucky Frederica S. Wilson, Florida Bradley Byrne, Alabama Suzanne Bonamici, Oregon Glenn Grothman, Wisconsin Mark Takano, California Elise M. Stefanik, New York Alma S. Adams, North Carolina Rick W. Allen, Georgia Mark DeSaulnier, California Francis Rooney, Florida Donald Norcross, New Jersey Lloyd Smucker, Pennsylvania Pramila Jayapal, Washington Jim Banks, Indiana Joseph D. Morelle, New York Mark Walker, North Carolina Susan Wild, Pennsylvania James Comer, Kentucky Josh Harder, California Ben Cline, Virginia Lucy McBath, Georgia Russ Fulcher, Idaho Kim Schrier, Washington Van Taylor, Texas Lauren Underwood, Illinois Steve Watkins, Kansas Jahana Hayes, Connecticut Ron Wright, Texas Donna E. Shalala, Florida Daniel Meuser, Pennsylvania Andy Levin, Michigan* William R. Timmons, IV, South Ilhan Omar, Minnesota Carolina David J. Trone, Maryland Dusty Johnson, South Dakota Haley M. Stevens, Michigan Susie Lee, Nevada Lori Trahan, Massachusetts Joaquin Castro, Texas * Vice-Chair Veronique Pluviose, Staff Director Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director ------ C O N T E N T S ---------- Page Hearing held on February 7, 2019................................. 1 Statement of Members: Scott, Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'', Chairman, Committee on Education and Labor........................................ 1 Prepared statement of.................................... 4 Foxx, Hon. Virginia, Ranking Member, Committee on Education and Labor.................................................. 6 Prepared statement of.................................... 8 Statement of Witnesses: Barron, Ms. Simone, Seattle, WA.............................. 148 Prepared statement of.................................... 150 Brodeur, Dr. Paul A., ESQ., State Representative, 32nd Middlesex District, Commonwealth of Massachusetts House of Representatives............................................ 202 Prepared statement of.................................... 204 Gupta, Ms. Vanita, President and CEO, The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights....................... 135 Prepared statement of.................................... 138 Eckhouse, Ms. Kathy, Owner, La Quercia, Norwalk, IA.......... 153 Prepared statement of.................................... 155 Holtz-Eakin, Dr. Douglas, President, American Action Forum, Washington, DC............................................. 36 Prepared statement of.................................... 38 Reich, Dr. Michael, PH.D., Professor, University of California, Berkley, CA.................................... 169 Prepared statement of.................................... 172 Spriggs, Dr. William E., Professor, Department of Economics, and Chief Economist, Howard University and AFL-CIO, Washington, DC............................................. 9 Prepared statement of.................................... 12 Strain, Dr. Michael R., PH.D. Director of Economic Policy Studies,, and Resident John G. Searle Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Washington, DC....................... 158 Prepared statement of.................................... 160 Wise, Mr. Terrence, Shift Manager, McDonald's, Independence, MO......................................................... 31 Prepared statement of.................................... 33 Zipperer, Dr. Ben, Economist Policy Institute, Washington, DC 48 Prepared statement of.................................... 50 Additional Submissions: Adams, Hon. Alma S., a Representative in Congress from the State of North Carolina: Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Economic Policy Institute.............................................. 210 Letter dated February 6, 2019 from the Economic Policy Institute.............................................. 211 Article: House Health Bill Would Lead to Less Coverage, Higher Patient Costs................................... 263 Statement from Rowe-Finkbeiner, Kristin, Executive Director and CEO of MomsRising.org..................... 265 Statement from the National Disability Rights Network Opposes American Health Care Act....................... 267 Bonamici, Hon. Suzanne, a Representative in Congress from the State of Oregon: Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the Women's Coalition. 81 Courtney, Hon. Joe, a Representative in Congress from the State of Connecticut: Letter dated February 1, 2019 from OXFAM................. 72 Article: Hartford HealthCare to Raise Minimum Wage to $15 Across Health Network.................................. 269 Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from the State of California: Letter dated February 6, 2019 from AAUW.................. 273 Mrs. Foxx: Article: Seattle Small Businesswoman..................... 276 Letter dated February 5, 2019 from the National Restaurant Association................................. 278 Letter dated February 5, 2019 from NFIB.................. 280 Replacing Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance with Government-Financed Coverage........................... 282 Grijalva, Hon. Raul M., a Representative in Congress from the State of Arizona: Report: Minimum Wages and the Distribution of Family Incomes in the United States........................... 60 Jayapal, Hon. Pramila, a Representative in Congress from the State of Washington: Prepared statement from Asian and Pacific Islander American Health Forum (APIAHF)......................... 318 Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the State of Nevada: Letter date January 28, 2019 from First Focus Campaign for Children........................................... 114 Levin, Hon. Andy, a Representative in Congress from the State of Michigan: Letter date January 31, 2019 from AFL-CIO................ 102 Letter date January 15, 2019 from Disability Groups...... 223 Morelle, Hon. Joseph D., a Representative in Congress from the State of New York: Link: National Council on Disability..................... 229 Norcross, Hon. Donald, a Representative in Congress from the State of New Jersey: Letter dated February 6, 2019 for Communications Workers of America............................................. 323 Chairman Scott: Fact Sheet: National Employment Law Project.............. 132 Business For A Fair Minimum Wage......................... 250 Link: (Economic Policy Institute)........................ 249 Letter from The Episcopal Church......................... 324 Undersigned Organizations................................ 325 Tipped Wage Effects on Earnings and Employment in Full- Service Restaurants.................................... 339 Faith-based Organizations Support The Raise the Wage Act of 2019................................................ 365 Letter dated January 15, 2019, from the National Disability Rights Network.............................. 367 Letter dated February 4, 2019 from the National Urban League................................................. 369 Article: Leaked Documents Show Strong Business Support for Raising the Minimum Wage........................... 371 Link: Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics (CWED)...... 373 Link: NBER Working Paper Series.......................... 373 Takano, Hon. Mark, a Representative in Congress from the State of California: Statement from the Center for American Progress.......... 88 Underwood, Hon. Lauren, a Representative in Congress from the State of Illinois: Letter dated February 7, 2019 from Advocate Aurora Health 245 Questions submitted for the record by: Davis, Hon. Susan A., a Representative in Congress from the State of California................................ 379 Fudge, Hon. Marcia L., a Representative in Congress from the State of Ohio Hayes, Hon. Jahana, a Representative in Congress from the State of Connecticut................................... 379 Lee, Hon. Susie, a Representative in Congress from the State of Nevada........................................ 383 Chairman Scott Trahan, Hon. Lori, a Representative in Congress from the State of Massachusetts................................. 375 Responses to questions submitted for the record: ......................................................... Mr. Brodeur.............................................. 384 Ms. Eckhouse............................................. 386 Dr. Reich................................................ 387 Mr. Spriggs.............................................. 393 Dr. Zipperer............................................. 396 GRADUALLY RAISING THE MINIMUM WAGE TO $15: GOOD FOR WORKERS, GOOD FOR BUSINESSES, AND GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY ---------- Thursday, February 7, 2019 House of Representatives, Committee on Education and Labor, Washington, DC. ---------- The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:17 a.m., in room 2175, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'' Scott (chairman of the committee) presiding. Present: Representatives Scott, Davis, Grijalva, Courtney, Fudge, Sablan, Bonamici, Takano, Adams, DeSaulnier, Norcross, Jayapal, Morelle, Wild, Harder, McBath, Schrier, Underwood, Hayes, Shalala, Levin, Omar, Trone, Stevens, Lee, Trahan, Castro, Foxx, Roe, Thompson, Walberg, Guthrie, Grothman, Stefanik, Allen, Smucker, Banks, Walker, Comer, Cline, Fulcher, Taylor, Watkins, Wright, Meuser, Timmons, and Johnson. Staff present: Tylease Alli, Chief Clerk; Nekea Brown, Deputy Clerk; Ilana Brunner, General Counsel; David Dailey, Senior Counsel; Emma Eatman, Press Aide; Mishawn Freeman, Staff Assistant; Carrie Hughes, Director of Health and Human Services; Eli Hovland, Staff Assistant; Eunice Ikene, Labor Policy Advisor; Ariel Jona, Staff Assistant; Kimberly Knackstedt, Disability and Education Policy Advisor; Stephanie Lalle, Deputy Communications Director; Bertram Lee, Policy Counsel; Andre Lindsay, Staff Assistant; Richard Miller, Director of Labor Policy; Max Moore, Office Aide; Udochi Onwubiko, Labor Policy Counsel; Veronique Pluviose, Staff Director; Carolyn Ronis, Civil Rights Counsel; Dianna Ruskowsky, Finance and Personnel Advisor; Banyon Vassar, Deputy Director of Information Technology; Cyrus Artz, Minority Parliamentarian; Marty Boughton, Minority Press Secretary; Courtney Butcher, Minority Coalitions and Members Services Coordinator; Akash Chougule, Minority Professional Staff Member; Rob Green, Minority Director of Workforce Policy; John Martin, Minority Workforce Policy Counsel; Sarah Martin, Minority Professional Staff Member; Hannah Matesic, Minority Legislative Operations Manager; Kelley McNabb, Minority Communications Director; Alexis Murray, Minority Professional Staff Member; Brandon Renz, Minority Staff Director; Ben Ridder, Minority Legislative Assistant; Meredith Schellin, Minority Deputy Press Secretary and Digital Advisor; Heather Wadyka, Minority Staff Assistant; and Lauren Williams, Minority Professional Staff Member. Chairman Scott. The Committee on Education and Labor will come to order. I want to welcome everyone today and note that a quorum is present. The committee meeting today is a legislative hearing on testimony on ``Gradually Raising the Minimum Wage to $15: Good for Workers, Good for Businesses, and Good for the Economy.'' Pursuant to committee rule 7(c), opening statements are limited to the chair and ranking member. This allows us more time to hear from our witnesses and provides members more time to ask questions. I recognize myself now for the purpose of making an opening statement. Today we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise the Wage Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour. I want to welcome and thank our distinguished witnesses for being with us today and for agreeing to testify. Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly contested and intensely studied of all labor practices. All the time and research dedicated to this topic has produced a clear consensus: Gradually raising the minimum wage is good for workers, who experience a better standard of living; good for businesses, which benefit from having more customers and less turnover; and good for the economy, which is strongest when we lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle class. Before we discuss where we are going, it is important to reflect on where we are today. After 10 years of no increase in the Federal minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a 17 percent pay cut due to inflation. Today's minimum wage workers making $7.25 an hour have less buying power than the minimum wage worker had in the 1960's. The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer serving its purpose. According to a recent study, there is no place in America where a full-time worker who is paid the current Federal minimum wage can afford a modest two-bedroom apartment. One in nine American workers are paid wages that leave them in poverty even if they worked full time year-round. An individual earning the current minimum wage working full time earns only about $15,080 a year, less than the Federal poverty level for a family of two. Do we have a chart? This shows the poverty level and it shows the median wage and where the minimum wage has been. My Republican colleagues are eager to warn the so-called consequences of raising the minimum wage to $15, but they ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years. If Congress fails to raise the minimum wage by mid-June it will be longest period of time without an increase since the Federal minimum wage was created 80 years ago. During that time, millions of workers working full time have been forced to live in poverty. The only radical thing about the bill is it is so long overdue. By several standards, the proposal is a reasonable approach in restoring the value of the minimum wage. First, the erosion of the minimum wage after adjustments for inflation has meant that over the last five decades workers at the low end of the scale have drifted further away from the middle class. As the chart on the screen indicates, in 1968--back to the same chart--the inflation-adjusted minimum wage used to be a little over 50 percent of the median hourly worker's wages for an individual working full time. Now, at $7.25 an hour, it is just a third of the median wage. Had the 1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of increases in average wages, it would be $12 and 6 million fewer people would be living in poverty. Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in productivity. Between 1973 and 2017, workers' productivity grew by 77 percent while their wages grew by 12 percent. The widening gap in how much workers produce and how much they are paid is one major factor contributing to the historic income inequality we experience today. If the minimum wage had kept up with worker productivity, it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just deserve higher pay, they have earned that higher pay. Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 an hour in 2024, an individual working full time with a family, including two children, will finally be able to earn enough to exceed the poverty threshold for a family of four. We now have an opportunity--and a responsibility--to restore the value of the minimum wage, lifting millions of hardworking people out of poverty, and grow the economy in Main Street America. The Raise the Wage Act does three things. First, it gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 by 2024. Second, it ensures every worker covered by the law is paid at least the full minimum wage by creating one fair wage for all workers. Third, by tying future increases to median wages, the bill ensures that future increases in the Federal minimum wage are determined by economics and not politics. A report published this week by the Economic Policy Institute details the sweeping benefits this bill will have for workers across the country. For example, if we pass the Raise the Wage Act, close to 40 million workers will receive a raise, including two-thirds of America's working poor and parents of over 14 million children. This bill will stimulate the local economy across the country. Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest benefits to those who needed it the least, this puts money directly in the hands of those who are most likely to spend it in their communities. Over the 6-year phase-in period, the increase in the minimum wage should generate about $120 billion in additional wages, which will flow back into local businesses. Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, unfortunately, opponents repeat a similar set of talking points that have been repeated and contradicted by evidence and research. Today, I am confident that we will hear dire predictions about job losses that will result from gradually raising the minimum wage, but the overwhelming majority of research from both left-and right-leaning labor economists find few, if any, job loss when we gradually raise the minimum wage. For example, a widely acclaimed study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research and coauthored by one of our witnesses examined 138 minimum wage increases between 1979 and 2016. This study found that the overall number of low wage jobs remained essentially unchanged over 5 years following the increase, and there was no evidence of disemployment when considering higher levels of minimum wage. The evidence clearly demonstrates that the Raise the Wage Act is a reasonable proposal and will lift millions of workers out of poverty. We now hear calls for a regional minimum wage, but, unfortunately, the reality is, by 2024, $15 an hour is the least a person would need to afford the basic essentials anyplace in America. According to the MIT Living Wage Calculator, single working parents today, even in the poorest counties in the country, need at least $20 an hour to cover basic costs. Workers should not be forced to work at poverty level wages regardless of where they live. A low-cost region should not be forced to continue to lag behind the rest of our economy. H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the Fair Labor Standards Act, to ensure that all workers have a minimum living standard. And as President Roosevelt stated: ``Our Nation, so richly endowed with natural resources and with a capable and industrious population, should be able to devise ways and means of ensuring to all of our working men and women a fair day's pay for a fair day's work.'' Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine facts and evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024 in all regions is good for workers, good for businesses, and good for the economy. This hearing is a first step toward passing a bill that reflects our shared belief that no one working full time should be living in poverty. And I thank you. And does the Ranking Member want to speak now or in a minute? I can introduce the witnesses. [The statement of Chairman Scott follows:] Prepared Statement of Hon. Robert C. ``Bobby'' Scott, Chairman, Committee on Education and Labor Today, we are here for a legislative hearing on the Raise the Wage Act, H.R. 582, a proposal to gradually raise the minimum wage to $15. I want to welcome and thank our distinguished witnesses for agreeing to testify here today. Raising the minimum wage is one of the most hotly debated and intensely studied labor policies. All the time and research dedicated to this topic has produced a clear consensus: Gradually raising the minimum wage is good for workers who experience a better standard of living; good for businesses which benefit from having more customers and less turnover, and good for the economy which is strongest when we lift working people out of poverty and build a thriving middle class. But before we discuss where we are going, it's important to reflect on where we are today. After 10 years with no increase in the Federal minimum wage, minimum wage workers have suffered a 17 percent pay cut due to inflation. Today's minimum wage worker making $7.25 an hour has less buying power than a minimum wage worker had in the 1960's. The result is that the Federal minimum wage is no longer serving its purpose. There is no place in America where a full-time worker who is paid the current Federal minimum wage can afford the basic essentials. One in nine American workers are paid wages that leave them in poverty, even if they worked full-time and year-round. An individual earning the current Federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour and working full-time earns only $15,080 annually, less than the Federal poverty level for a family of two. My Republican colleagues are eager to warn of the so-called consequences of gradually raising the minimum wage to $15, but they ignore the consequences of inaction over the last 10 years. If Congress fails to raise the Federal minimum wage by mid-June, it will be the longest period of time without an increase since the Federal minimum wage was created 80 years ago. During that time, millions of people working full-time have been forced to live in poverty. The only thing radical about this bill is that it is so long overdue. By several standards, this proposal is a reasonable approach to restoring the value of the minimum wage. First, the erosion of the value of the minimum wage after adjustments for inflation has meant that, over the last five decades, workers at the low-end of the wage scale have drifted farther away from the middle class. As the chart on the screen illustrates, in 1968, the inflation- adjusted minimum wage was a little over 50 percent of the median hourly workers' wages for an individual working full time. Today, at $7.25 per hour it is just a third of the median hourly wage of $22.36. Had the 1968 minimum wage simply grown with the rate of increases in average wages, it would be nearly $12 today and 6 million fewer Americans would be living in poverty. Second, the minimum wage has not kept up with increases in productivity. Between 1973 to 2017, workers' productivity grew by 77 percent, while their hourly wages grew by just 12 percent. The widening gap between how much workers produce and how much they are paid is one major factor contributing to the historic income inequality we experience today. If the minimum wage had kept up with worker productivity, it would be about $20 an hour today. Workers do not just deserve higher pay, they have earned higher pay. Finally, by the time the minimum wage reaches $15 in 2024, an individual working full time with a family and two children will finally be able to earn enough to exceed the poverty threshold for a family of four. We now have an opportunity and a responsibility to restore the value of the minimum wage, lift millions of hardworking people out of poverty and grow the economy in Main Street America. The Raise the Wage Act achieve three key goals: First, it gradually increases the minimum wage in six steps to $15 by 2024. Second, it ensures that every worker covered under the law is paid at least the full Federal minimum wage by creating one fair wage for all workers. And third, by tying future increases to median wages, this bill ensures that future increases to the Federal minimum wage are determined by economics, and not politics. A report published this week by the Economic Policy Institute details the sweeping benefits this bill would have for workers across the country. If we pass the Raise the Age Act, close to 40 million workers would receive a raise. This includes: * Twenty-three million women, * Thirty-eight percent of Black workers and 33 percent of Hispanic workers, * Two-thirds of America's working poor, and * The parents of over 14 million children. This bill will also stimulate local economies across the country. Whereas the Republican tax bill gave the largest benefits to those who needed it the least, this bill puts money directly into the hands of those who are most likely to spend it in their communities. Over the 6- year phase in period, the increase in the minimum wage would generate $120 billion in additional wages, which will flow back into local businesses. Every time we propose raising the minimum wage, opponents repeat a familiar set of taking points that have been repeatedly contradicted by evidence and research. Today, I am confident we will hear dire projections about job losses that would result from gradually raising the minimum. But the overwhelming majority of research from both left-and right-leaning labor economists find few, if any jobs are lost when gradually raising the minimum wage. For example, a widely acclaimed study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and co-authored by one of our witnesses, examined 138 minimum wage increases since 1979 and 2016. This study found that the overall number of low-wage jobs remained essentially unchanged over 5 years following the increase, and there was no evidence of disemployment when considering higher levels of minimum wages. The evidence clearly demonstrates the Raise the Wage Act is a reasonable proposal that would lift millions of workers out of poverty. We will also hear calls today for a regional minimum wage. But unfortunately, the reality is that by 2024 $15 an hour is the least a person would need to afford the basic essentials in anyplace in the country. According to the MIT living wage calculator, single working parents today, even in the poorest counties in the country, need at least $20 an hour to cover basic costs. Workers should not be forced to work for poverty-level wages, regardless of where they live. And lower-cost regions should not be forced to continue to lag behind the rest of our economy.'' H.R. 582 will begin to restore the original intent of the Fair Labor Standards Act: to ensure all workers have a minimum living standard. As President Roosevelt Stated, ``Our nation so richly endowed with natural resources and with a capable and industrious population should be able to devise ways and means of insuring to all our working men and women a fair day's pay for a fair day's work'' Today's hearing is an opportunity to examine the facts and evidence. Raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 in all regions is good for workers, good for businesses, and good for the economy. This hearing is the first step toward passing a bill that reflects our shared belief that no one working full-time should be living in poverty. Thank you and I now yield to the Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. ______ Ms. Foxx. That would be wonderful, Mr. Chairman. Thank you. Chairman Scott. Thank you. I will recognize the Ranking Member in just a second, but first I will introduce our witnesses for the first panel. The Honorable Dr. William Spriggs serves as chief economist for the AFL-CIO and is a professor in and formerly chair of the Department of Economics at Howard University. Formerly, he served as Assistant Secretary for the Office of Policy at the U.S. Department of Labor. Mr. Terrence Wise is a father of three who works for McDonald's. He has been fighting for $15 and a union for over 3 years and has become a voice for the movement, an inspiration for other low-wage workers. Mr. Wise has worked in the fast food industry since he was 16 years old and he hails from Kansas City, Missouri. Mr. Douglas Holtz-Eakin is the president of American Action Forum. From 2003 to 2005, he was the sixth Director of the Congressional Budget Office. He has conducted extensive research in areas of applied economic policy, econometric methods, and entrepreneurship. Dr. Ben Zipperer is an economist with the nonpartisan Economic Policy Institute. His areas of expertise include the minimum wage, inequality, and low-wage labor markets. He has published research in widely respected publications, including the Industrial and Labor Relations Review and the National Bureau of Economic Research. I appreciate all of the witnesses for being here and look forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses that we have read your testimony and they will appear in full in the record. Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) and the committee practice, each of you is asked to limit your oral presentation to 5 minutes. Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 of U.S. Code Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, document, or material fact presented to Congress or otherwise conceal or cover up a material fact. Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press the button on your microphone in front of you so that the light will turn on and the members can hear you. As you speak, the light in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, it will turn yellow, indicating that you have 1 minute remaining. When it turns red, I would ask you to please wrap up your testimony. We will let the entire panel make presentations before we move to member questions. When answering a question, please remember, once again, to turn your microphone on. And before the witnesses, do you want to speak now? Ms. Foxx. Yes. Chairman Scott. Before the witnesses speak, I will recognize the distinguished Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I apologize for being a little late. Many of us went to the National Prayer Breakfast this morning, and it went a little longer than usual. So we were a little slow in getting back. And I apologize. I promise you, I would not be late for a less worthy cause. Over the last several years, the far left has begun to call for extreme social policies that were until recently considered too radical for the mainstream. But as the far left has become more frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but unworkable policies, like free college, universal health care, and a more than doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour. Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage hike as a benefit to working-class Americans. They claim it will redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a, quote, ``living wage,'' end quote. This is an empty promise, the likes of which we have not heard since the famous health care sales job of 2009: If you like the plan you have, you can keep it. Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not help anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the U.S. economy at large. When the comparatively less extreme proposal of a Federal minimum wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that the difference, $2.85, would cost 500,000 jobs and could have destroyed up to a million jobs. The CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under discussion today would do, but logic follows that the consequences for workers and small businesses would be even more severe. Economists, including those who have graciously given us so much of their time today, can provide the numbers and projections and graphs we all need to see to have an informed discussion. But we must keep in mind that we are talking about people. We are talking about the very people that Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle claim they want to serve. Workers in entry level jobs, workers without a GED or skill certificate, and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job losses caused by this mandate. A recent study by the National Federation of Independent Business found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would destroy 1.6 million jobs and 615,000 able-bodied individuals would be pushed out of the work force by the year 2029. This is not the future Americans want, and they deserve to know the truth behind the talking point. More than half of the private sector work force goes to work each day at a small business, and these are the workplaces that would struggle the most under this mandate. Many job creators would be forced to reduce workers' hours, let employees go, or close their doors for good. It would also lead to accelerated workplace automation, something many Democrats oppose. The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real economic output, a $980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a $103 billion reduction in personal disposable income. The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on the impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and the economy. It conveniently leaves out students--and with good reason. Eighty-three percent of economists agree that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would have a negative impact on youth employment. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage--2.3 percent of hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost half of those workers are under the age of 25. These are individuals at the start of their careers or filling part-time or summer jobs. With the Democrats' proposal, we run the risk of seeing these types of jobs eliminated altogether. That means even fewer young Americans will leave educational institutions or join the work force with minimal work experience. Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for his or her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them a chance to build their skills, build a life, and hope that someday very soon they run for Congress. Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities available across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to more than 7 million. And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, wages are up and experiencing sustainable, organic growth. We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating a $15 minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for students, workers, and small businesses. I yield back, Mr. Chairman, and thank you again for your patience. [The statement of Mrs. Foxx follows:] Prepared Statement of Hon. Virginia Foxx, Ranking Member, Committee on Education and Labor Over the last several years, the far-left has begun to call for extreme social policies that were, until recently, considered too radical for the mainstream. But as the far-left has become more frenetic, they have begun to demand headline-grabbing but unworkable policies like free college, universal health care, and a more than doubling of the Federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour. Liberal activists are trying to sell a radical minimum wage hike as a benefit to working class Americans. They claim that it will redistribute wealth and provide poor Americans with a ``living wage.'' This is an empty promise the likes of which we have not heard since the famous healthcare sales job of 2009: ``if you like the plan you have, you can keep it.'' Raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 will not help anyone make ends meet. It will redistribute poverty, eliminate jobs, and deeply harm American workers, businesses, and the U.S. economy at large. When the comparatively less-extreme proposal of a Federal minimum wage hike to $10.10 was on the table in 2014, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that the difference--$2.85--would cost 500,000 jobs and could have destroyed up to 1 million jobs. The CBO has yet to determine what the $7.75 hike under discussion today would do, but logic follows that the consequences for workers and small businesses would be even more severe. Economists, including those who have graciously given us so much of their time today, can provide the numbers and projections and graphs we all need to see to have an informed discussion. But we must keep in mind that we're talking about people. We're talking about the very people that Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle claim they want to serve. Workers in entry-level jobs, workers without a GED or skills certificate, and tipped employees would bear the brunt of job losses caused by this mandate. A recent study by the National Federation of Independent Business found that raising the minimum wage to $15 would destroy 1.6 million jobs, and 615,000 able-bodied individuals would be pushed out of the work force by the year 2029. This is not the future Americans want, and they deserve to know the truth behind the talking point. More than half of the private sector work force goes to work each day at a small business, and these are the workplaces that would struggle the most under this mandate. Many job creators would be forced to reduce workers' hours, let employees go, or close their doors for good. It would also lead to accelerated workplace automation, something that many Democrats oppose. The NFIB study also found that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would result in a $2 trillion reduction in real economic output, a $980 billion reduction in real GDP, and a $103 billion reduction in personal disposable income. The title of this hearing aims to focus this discussion on the impact this mandate would have on workers, businesses, and the economy. It conveniently leaves out students, and with good reason. Eighty-three percent of economists agree that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would have a negative impact on youth employment. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2.3 percent of hourly workers are paid at or below minimum wage. Almost half of those workers are under the age of 25. These are individuals at the start of their careers or filling part-time or summer jobs. With the Democrats' proposal, we run the risk of seeing these types of jobs eliminated altogether. That means even fewer young Americans will leave educational institutions or join the work force with minimal work experience. Not every kid is lucky enough to have a parent who pays for his or her cell phone and other expenses. We need to give them the chance to build their skills, build a life, and hope that someday very soon, they run for Congress. Since January 2017, the number of job opportunities available across the country has swelled from 5.6 million to more than 7 million. And thanks to the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, wages are up and experiencing sustainable, organic growth. We want that strong economic growth to continue. Mandating a $15 minimum wage would have serious negative consequences for students, workers, and small businesses. ______ Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. We will now hear from Dr. Spriggs. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SPRIGGS, PROFESSOR, DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, AND CHIEF ECONOMIST, HOWARD UNIVERSITY AND AFL-CIO, WASHINGTON, DC Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Chair and Ranking Member Foxx and members of the committee, for the opportunity to testify before the committee today on gradually raising the Federal minimum wage. I am pleased to offer this testimony on behalf of the AFL- CIO, America's house of labor, representing the working people of the United States, and based on my expertise as a professor in Howard University's Department of Economics and as a former Assistant Secretary for Policy in the Department of Labor. I want to start by stating clearly that the AFL-CIO endorses this legislation. The response of American policymakers from the Great Depression was more than stopping the economic slide. The policy concern was that the Great Depression launched a downward spiral in wages and prices, a deflation that stunted economic recovery. Many of the policies that were put in place back then assured the Great Recession would not repeat the Great Depression. Unemployment insurance and Social Security proved essential stopgaps to the slide in household incomes in 2008 and 2009. Today, despite record job growth over a record period, the response of wages has been stingy. Productivity continues to grow, but wages have struggled to stay ahead of very modest inflation. The result is labor's share of income continues to slide. America needs a raise. What Congress and President Roosevelt did in the face of the Great Depression was to reforge and perfect our Union, just as Abraham Lincoln and the Republican Party perfected the American Union by ending slavery. A New Deal was struck to ensure that a government of the people could be for the people. Going forward, a new American value would be enshrined: Work would have dignity and working hard would pay. It is a little over 9 years since Congress has raised the minimum wage, as the chair mentioned. It is time for a raise. Since 1938, Congress expanded coverage and improved standards of the original bill. It created a healthy and expanding economy. Those original components in the 1938 bill had exemptions that, however, were not benign. They have had long-lasting effects in creating substantial racial and gender inequalities. The reason for those initial exclusions of agricultural workers and domestics was so specific to the South in the 1930's and 1940's because 57 percent of America's farm population lived in the South and 51 percent of its agricultural workers were African American. The reason the exclusion was so devastating to African Americans is that from 1930 to 1940, 40 percent of Southern Blacks were in agriculture. Because many Latino workers at the time in the Southwest were agricultural workers, this also hurt Latino workers. This same Southern exceptionalism argument was raised in the fight for the Fair Labor Standards Act, except in the guise of a regional wage variation. The Fair Labor Standards Act passed in 1938 under President Roosevelt established a minimum wage of $0.25 an hour effective October 24, 1938. The act called for minimum wage to increase to $0.40 an hour October 1945. Raises since then have required amendments to the act. Early votes on raising the minimum wage showed the national consensus on raising the wage and the importance of maintaining a decent floor of wages. That first increase, the biggest increase in the raise of the minimum wage of 87 percent, was approved by 90 percent--90 percent--of House Republicans. To fix the gap that was caused by excluding agricultural workers and domestic workers, in 1966 House Republicans voted 60 percent to close that gap and raise the wage. That was the biggest raise when you look at the workers who have been excluded, agricultural workers who predominantly lived in the rural South. Congress' purpose was to prevent competition based on lowering wage cost. It was to ensure that we would do this based on competition, on rising productivity. You have a chance here to live up to the legacy of Congresswoman Mary Norton, the first Democrat woman in Congress who chaired this committee, the first woman to chair this committee, who forged ahead on this legislation, to make sure that all workers would rise, there would not be a regional differentiation. You have the chance to live up to the legacy of Adam Clayton Powell, the first African American to chair this committee, to extend the coverage to agricultural and domestic workers. You have the opportunity to live up to the legacy of Congresswoman Shirley Chisholm, the first African American woman to serve in Congress, who made sure that domestic workers would see coverage. You have a chance to return the minimum wage to a decent wage that enshrines American values that work will pay, that all workers will have dignity. This act gives you that opportunity to fulfill that legacy. [The statement of Dr. Spriggs follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Mr. Wise. STATEMENT OF MR. TERRENCE WISE, SHIFT MANAGER, MCDONALD'S, INDEPENDENCE, MO Mr. Wise. Thank you, Chairman Scott and Ranking Member Foxx and members of the committee. Thank you for the opportunity to testify today. My name is Terrence Wise, and I am a 39-year-old second- generation fast food worker from Kansas City, Missouri, and I am honored to speak with you today about the Raise the Wage Act. I began fighting for $15 an hour and a union 6 years ago, because I knew just asking my boss for a raise and benefits wouldn't do. I felt the struggle of raising a family on low wages my whole life. It began in South Carolina. I grew up in government housing with my two brothers and sister. My mother worked full time at Hardee's for 30 years, and my dad served as a cook in the military. My mom would wake me up at 4 a.m. early before she left for Hardee's, and it was my job to get my siblings up and ready to go to school. It was also my job to be home when the mailman arrived to sign for the food stamps. Even with two full-time incomes and food stamps, my family still had to skip meals. One winter, I didn't even have a coat until my guidance counselor at school gave me one from the lost and found. Hardworking people with two full-time incomes shouldn't live like this in the richest Nation on earth. I was a great student, and by the eighth grade I was in all advanced placement classes. My teachers were saying things like, ``Terrence, you are going to be great. You are going to do good things.'' I wanted to be a Gamecock at the University of South Carolina. I was going to be a writer. But I went to work at the age of 16 to try to help my family survive. One day I came home from school, there were no lights, no food in the fridge. So I got my first job at Taco Bell, making $4.25 an hour, but I knew my family needed the money desperately. My first paycheck was 150 bucks, and it all went on the light bill. One job wasn't enough, so I got a second job at Wendy's. I tried to balance both work and school. I had all A's in my classes. But I started falling asleep in classes. And now teachers were asking me, ``Terrence, what is wrong?'' I told them I was working two jobs, had to survive. I didn't need AP Calculus to run the numbers at home. It wasn't enough to survive. It wasn't even enough for basic necessities. I had left school and my dream of college, and at 17 I dropped out and became a full-time worker, and I have been working in fast food ever since. Now I have a family of my own. I have three daughters, ages 17, 15, and 13, and my fiancee is a home healthcare provider. Neither one of us make enough money to make ends meet, and I have worked two jobs most of my life. I would leave for Burger King at 2 o'clock, then leave from there and arrive at McDonald's and work the overnight shift, 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. I couldn't get my jobs to line up with my off days, so sometimes I would work weeks without a day off. My family has been homeless, despite my two incomes and my fiancee's. We have endured cold winters in Kansas City, homeless in our purple minivan. I would see my daughters in the back tossing and turning. Try waking up in the morning and getting ready for school and work in the parking lot. That is a memory I can never take away from my children and something a parent should never have to go through. You should not have multiple jobs in the United States and nowhere to sleep. I work for McDonald's, the second largest employer in America, and I still rely on food stamps and Medicaid. Like other working people in America fighting for $15 and a union, I want to stand on my own. I want to provide my girls with three meals a day and give them the opportunities I didn't have. This movement has changed our entire country. Many people didn't believe $15 an hour was possible, but it has become a reality for 22 million workers across the country. Seventy-five percent of voters in Kansas City voted for a $15 minimum wage in 2017. Workers won that victory by taking big, bold action, like going on strike. We even slept on the steps of city hall for a week in our Fast for $15. It was a huge victory for us until the State legislature preempted the minimum wage, returning it to $7.65. Missouri voters increased the minimum wage in 2018, but we are still not achieving $15 an hour, the minimum we need to support our families. That is why we need Congress to take action to raise the Federal minimum wage. I often imagine what $15 an hour would mean for me and my family. It would mean I could keep food on the table, we wouldn't have to worry about doing homework in the dark, and I could get the girls school supplies whenever they needed them. But what would $15 an hour really mean? It means that my daughters could meet their grandmother for the first time. She lives in South Carolina and we just have never been able to afford to travel to meet her. Low-wage workers like me will continue to organize and fight for economic justice. My coworkers and I have lifted our voices from the steps of city hall in Kansas City, at the White House, and now here today on Capitol Hill. Everyone who works in this country deserves access to the promise that America made to each and every one of us--life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness--and $15 an hour brings us closer to living out our values as a Nation. The Raise the Wage Act will do just that, and I urge members of this committee to raise the wage, you know. Act quickly to pass this bill. Thank you, and I look forward to answering any questions. [The statement of Mr. Wise follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, good to see you. STATEMENT OF DR. DOUGLAS HOLTZ-EAKIN, PRESIDENT, AMERICAN ACTION FORUM, WASHINGTON, DC Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Good to see you, Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, members of the Committee. It is a privilege to be here today. I am going to make three very simple points and then I look forward to your questions. The first point is that the labor market is working very well right now, with increased work, especially for those with low skills and marginal attachment to the labor force, and rising real wages. The second is that increasing the minimum wage to $15 would damage these employment prospects, and the preponderance of the research evidence comes down on that side. Then the third point is that, for those who deservedly would like to help those in poverty while working, the minimum wage is very poorly targeted to solve that problem. Let me go through those. The U.S. labor market is working very well right now. There were 304,000 jobs created in January. There have been over 13 million jobs created in the past 5 years. The unemployment rate is down to 4 percent and has been even lower recently. At the moment, there are more job openings, 6.9 million, than there are unemployed people, 6 million, and that has been true since March 2018. The U.S. labor market has been able to create that many jobs by the miracle of pulling into the labor market and into productive work people who had not been participating. The overall labor force participation rate has jumped from its low of 62.4 percent to 63.2. For prime age workers, it has rebounded by two full percentage points and is up to 82.6 percent. I think most importantly, the number of discouraged workers, those who have just given up looking, has dropped in half over the past 5 years, from nearly 900,000 to 420,000. At the same time, we are seeing real wages grow. There is a flood of people into the labor market. Real wages are now growing at 3 percent a year. That is a very successful story and one that I think that members of the committee should be proud of. Going forward, if we are to raise the minimum wage to $15, the preponderance of the research evidence that I go through in my written testimony, and I will be happy to elaborate in the Q&A, it would indicate that it would hurt the employment prospects, especially of those people you care about the most, those with little skills, little experience, least attachment to the labor market. This is often not taking the form of the caricature of throwing someone out of their job, but simply denying the employment growth that would give people an opportunity in the future. I think it is important to note that the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office reaches the conclusion that raising the minimum wage hurts employment prospects. It is their job to present to you, as the Members of Congress, the consensus of the research literature, and that is exactly the consensus that they find. I think it is important as well to note that more than doubling the minimum wage is an enormous change, and previous research will probably give us little guidance as to the magnitude of the impact. That is outside of the range of historical experience. Its damage is likely to be much, much greater than previous studies have shown. And the combination of the large increase and then indexing the minimum wage to the median wage sends a strong signal to employers that these jobs, the ones for those with low skills, marginal attachment to the labor force, little education, are jobs that they are going to be unable to have going forward. They are going to replace them with automation and other means. So, the employment prospects are probably even more damaging than previous indications. The last point is that, if you care about those in poverty who are working, as you should, the minimum wage is a poor instrument to address that problem. Eighty percent of minimum wage workers are not in poverty, and one-third of the young who earn the minimum wage are living with their parents and are in households that make more than $100,000. Knowing the wage a person makes does not tell you about the characteristics of their household, and as a result, only 6.7 percent of the benefits of a $15 minimum wage would go to those who are in poverty. This is not a good instrument for solving that problem. And the key economic fact that it is important for the Committee to remember when they discuss this is that passing a law to make the minimum wage $15 doesn't mean there is any more money. You have to go get that money from somebody else. So, to get the money for someone who has a job, you are going to have to deny someone else a job and effectively take money from people who are looking for work and give it to people who have work. That seems like an incredibly perverse redistribution, one I would encourage the Committee not to take. Thank you. [The statement of Mr. Holtz-Eakin follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Zipperer. STATEMENT OF DR. BEN ZIPPERER, ECONOMIST, ECONOMIC POLICY INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, DC Mr. Zipperer. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to testify on the importance and necessity of increasing the minimum wage to $15 per hour. Raising the national minimum wage is well overdue. Workers paid today's Federal minimum wage are, after adjusting for inflation, paid 29 percent less than their counterparts 50 years ago. This is despite the fact that, as the figure on the monitor shows, the Nation's productivity has doubled over that time period. Had the minimum wage kept pace with labor productivity over that time period, the minimum wage today would be worth more than $20 per hour instead of the $7.25 it is today. Gradually increasing the national minimum wage to $15 by 2024, as proposed by the Raise the Wage Act of 2019, is an important corrective to our failure to raise the minimum wage. The proposal automatically indexes future minimum wage increases to median wage growth, so that low-wage workers will share a common trajectory of wage growth with a broader labor market. Finally, gradually phasing out the separate lower wage for tipped workers will help to eliminate disparities in labor protections between tipped workers and the rest of the labor force. My colleague David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute has estimated that raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 would lift the pay of about 40 million workers. Affected workers who work year-round would receive a raise on the order of about $3,000 per year. This is enough to make a tremendous difference in the life of a preschool teacher, a bank teller, a fast food worker, more than half of whom earn less than $15 per hour today. Minimum wages are one of the most well-studied topics in economics. Although there sometimes appears to be much controversy over the size of the employment effects of the minimum wage, the weight of recent evidence shows that minimum wages have worked exactly as intended, by raising wages without substantial negative consequences on employment. In a review of all research published in the 15 years since 2001, the economists Paul Wolfson and Dale Belman found that the average estimated employment effect was very small. In addition, in research I coauthored with Sylvia Allegretto, Arindrajit Dube, and Michael Reich, we found that studies using the most high-quality, credible research designs also found small to no employment effects. These findings, taken together, suggest that both the average study, as well as the best research, show that there has been little downside to raising minimum wages. Current research also suggests that even the highest minimum wages our country has experienced have helped raise wages without reductions in employment. In new research on 138 State-level minimum wage increases I coauthored with Doruk Cengiz, Arindrajit Dube, and Attila Lindner, we found that the highest minimum wages we studied did not adversely affect employment. Important new scholarship by Ellora Derenoncourt and Claire Montialoux also demonstrates that the highest national minimum wages the United States has experienced significantly raised wages without reducing the employment of low-wage workers. Because the evidence shows that there has been little downside to both minimum wages in general and also even to minimum wages at their highest points in U.S. history, larger increases in the minimum wage are economically justified. Larger increases are also necessary because workers in every region of the country will soon need at least $15 per hour in wage income in order to pay for basic necessities. My colleagues at the EPI have developed a concept of family budgets to delineate how much a family will need to earn every year in order to pay for basic necessities. By 2024, in all areas across the United States, even a single adult with no children will need to be earning more than $15 per hour in order to achieve a modest but adequate standard of living, according to their family budget. As a result, anything less than a $15 minimum wage by 2024 will not adequately carry out this key purpose of the Fair Labor Standards Act, which is to, and I quote, ``to protect the Nation from the evils and dangers resulting from wages too low to buy the bare necessities of life.'' Minimum wages have long been an effective tool for maintaining adequate pay, but the failure to adequately raise the Federal minimum wage has denied American workers significant improvements in their standard of living. By raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, we will finally deliver a much-needed boost in wage income and increase the value of the minimum wage to a level that ensures the lowest wages we pay workers are not poverty wages. [The statement of Mr. Zipperer follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. We will now recognize members for questions, and they are subject to the 5-minute rule, beginning with the gentleman from Arizona, Mr. Grijalva. Mr. Grijalva. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. And if there is no objection, Mr. Chairman, I would like to enter this report into the committee record. And that is from the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, entitled ``Minimum Wages and the Distribution of Family Incomes in the United States.'' In essence, this report States that if the minimum wage had been $12 in 2016, over 6 million fewer people would be living in poverty today. If there is no objection, Mr. Chairman? Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Grijalva. Thank you, sir. In strong support of the $15 minimum wage. And I do want to thank Mr. Wise and Dr. Spriggs for your testimony. It was excellent and kind of left me without too many questions, to be honest with you. And with the chair's indulgence, I think that it is way past time that we move forward to raise the minimum wage. And as we do that, Mr. Chairman, I think it is important that the members understand that it is important to tackle other inequities that are in our basic minimum wage protections. It is long past time for Congress to end discrimination against agricultural workers in the Fair Labor Standards Act, period. So today, I introduced the Fairness for Farm Workers Act; and in doing so, simultaneously, Senator Harris has introduced the identical piece of legislation in the Senate. And this act, basically, the Fairness for Farm Workers Act would extend overtime protections to farm workers and eliminate some remaining exclusions for farm workers from minimum wage protections. These protections were first enacted, as Dr. Spriggs so eloquently gave us the history of it, and surmised at the end, I believe very accurately, that those exceptions were made out of political expediency and racism, and that needs to be addressed. That inequity that exists, Mr. Chairman, as you well know, it is a discrimination issue. We have to end this discrimination against farm workers. The treatment of farm workers in this country has been and continues to be unjust, unreasonable, and unsustainable. My legislation, the Fairness for Farm Workers, would eliminate the minimum wage and overtime discrimination farm workers face in the act. So I know I will be working with you on that. Your leadership on this is not only welcome but, as you have offered your support, thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I look forward to working this out. And I think it is important that we deal with raising the minimum wage, but also have an opportunity to reform the whole package as we move along. With that, Mr. Chairman, like I said to the two witnesses, you left me with no questions, and I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from New York, Ms. Stefanik. Ms. Stefanik. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you to our witnesses for being here today. We agree on this committee of the importance of economic opportunity for American workers and American families. We agree that we need to focus on real wage growth. We agree on the pathway out of poverty. What we don't agree with is how to get there. We have different solutions about how to achieve those goals. We are living in a dynamic, growing economy today, and we must start talking about the future of work. What do I mean by that? As we have seen over the last decade, the composition of our work force is rapidly changing, as is the type of work Americans, especially young Americans, are engaging in. We are increasingly seeing a rejection of traditional employee- employer relationships for nontraditional, dynamic career paths, like the gig economy or side hustles or self-employment. In my district, I represent 40 percent of the geography of New York State. It is a very rural region, and we are very familiar with this discussion. Our economy in UpState New York is very distinct from the economy in Manhattan and DownState New York. My question to Mr. Holtz-Eakin is, on the future of work, how does this proposal not embrace opportunities in the gig economy in the 21st century? And how does this proposal also not take into account the differences between rural parts of this country and urban parts of this country, in terms of cost of living, other issues, challenges small businesses are facing? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Congresswoman, you have heard a lot of discussion about the history, but the only real question facing the committee is, do you want to raise the minimum wage going forward, and to do it nationally and for all workers, tipped and nontipped? That is a very different proposal than even some of the things we have evidence from in the research. This would hit all labor markets, rural labor markets and urban identically. It would hit tight labor markets and loose labor markets. One of the striking characteristics of the recovery has been a very unevenness across the geography of the United States, and it would not recognize that. It would not recognize the need for businesses in those areas to have a cost structure they can afford. It would hurt the entrepreneurship in places that are struggling. It is a very blunt instrument, and, as I said, that blunt instrument does not land on those who need it the most, working poor. And so I think that is one of the things that jumps out of the literature. And I worry a lot about a proposal that is not tailored to the circumstances of the labor market and doesn't target those who need the help the most, especially at a time when the labor market is actually, on the whole, doing remarkably well. And I think the thing I would emphasize is we are seeing people entering work who we just did not think would come back. No one thought we could continue to create 200,000 jobs a year in 2018, and the economy has. That is a remarkable accomplishment. Those families will forever be better from having that opportunity. Ms. Stefanik. My next question is, one problematic aspect of this legislation, one of the many problematic aspects is the elimination of the tip wage and tip credit. I have a local assemblyman who is a Democrat who represents Plattsburgh, which is in my district, and he recently highlighted why this is problematic. He included a local restaurant employee on his website who would have been greatly harmed by the elimination of the wage tip credit. I quote: ``Generally has relied on tips to supplement her wages. She makes $7.50 an hour, but often with tips this salary is doubled or even tripled because of tipping. This not only provides her with money in her pocket each day, but it helps to stabilize and even augment her income to provide food, formula, and diapers for her children. Each of her fellow servers has different life situations, but what they all seem to agree on is that they definitely make more money as a server than if they had taken a more restrictive set wage position.'' Can you talk about why the elimination of the wage tip credit is problematic and does not allow this dynamism that we are seeing in the current economy? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. As you know, those who are tipped workers are guaranteed to get the minimum wage. If they don't receive tips that are sufficient to do that, the owner of their establishment will pay them the minimum wage. So forcing them to do that anyway raises the cost in the business, there is no way around it, and once again you have the problem, where does that money come from? As I said in my opening statement, they have to go take it from someone else, and that might be someone they choose not to hire. And that is the definition of lack of dynamism. I am not going to take advantage of opportunities to expand my employment base, offer new services, grow as a business. This has exactly that characteristic. And I would point out that in D.C., which we watched carefully, there was a ballot referendum that said we are going to raise this minimum wage for tipped workers. It was overturned by the D.C. Council because the tipped workers themselves said, no, this is bad for us. Ms. Stefanik. And that was a similar experience in New York. Tipped workers were vehemently opposed to this policy and organized very effectively. Thank you. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Connecticut, Mr. Courtney. Mr. Courtney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And, again, I applaud the fact that week No. 1 of this committee we are taking up an issue which, again, I think restores the legacy of this committee in the past, as Dr. Spriggs so powerfully described. You and I and a couple of us were around in 2007, the last time the Federal minimum wage was increased, from $5.15 to $7.25. Again, it was done gradually over a period of about 3 or 4 years. I remember the Republican votes that reported that bill out of the committee, and I remember it was in May 2007, after the new Congress or the 110th Congress, that President Bush signed that into law. And, again, Dr. Spriggs, thank you again for sort of reminding us of the forensics of the minimum wage, that it really historically has been really a very strong bipartisan issue, and it is far too long that Congress has not revisited that standard. And, again, Mr. Wise, I want to thank you for your incredibly powerful testimony here today, bringing this down to real life and also talking about sort of the grassroots organic support that is out there, and we have seen that in referendums. And the $15 benchmark has really started to happen, again, without Congress necessarily doing it yet, but certainly showing that it is not going to wreck the U.S. economy for employers to do the right thing. I would like, Mr. Chairman, to just enter a statement that Hartford HealthCare, which is one of the largest employers in the State of Connecticut, just announced about a few weeks ago, that they are going to raise the minimum wage for their work force, which is about 2,500 strong, to $15 an hour this spring. They are not waiting until 2024. And, again, they have entry level staff folks that are there. That is a really important decision that the employer made to do that. And, again, I think it is because of the work that folks like Mr. Wise and some of the others out in the audience here with red shirts, tee shirts here today, have really raised this issue, so that it is making its way into the corporate boardrooms that this is something important to do. So, again, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer just a question about what has been happening to wage rates since the Great Recession and the fact that, again, we finally are starting to see an uptick in terms of wage, but this is 10 years after the Great Recession. As you point out, this job market has been in a trajectory that certainly precedes this administration, although it is continuing to move forward, and I think we all, as Americans, support that. But, I mean, how would you explain, again, the fact that we have not seen the wage growth concurrent with the economic growth? And the recent uptick in wages, I mean, this is happening at the State level in terms of minimum wage increases. Is that a part of the story about why we are finally starting to see some wage growth? Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. We are starting to see wage growth, as you noted and as Dr. Holtz-Eakin noted in his testimony, which, thankfully, is a good thing. At the same time, I think we are seeing that wage growth because the labor market is becoming tighter and employers are competing more for workers. At the same time, that wage growth is not actually sufficient or adequate enough for many workers, in the sense that the lowest wage workers in particular, what we are discussing at this hearing, need a much more substantial boost in wage income than they are going to see from tight labor markets alone. Mr. Courtney. Well, thank you. And to drive that point home, Mr. Chairman, I have correspondence from Oxfam America, which, again, shows an economic analysis that, again, we need that sort of push from the bottom, which a minimum wage increase has been bipartisanly supported in the past, and I would ask that be admitted into the record. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Courtney. And I also just would like one last comment. You know some of us who serve on committees like Armed Services, as my friend from New York, you know we get a chance to interact with other countries, with codels and overseas. I am co-chairman of the Friends of Australia Caucus, which is a developed economy somewhat on par with the U.S. They have actually a minimum wage commission which raises the minimum wage outside of politics, on a yearly basis. It is $17.70, Australian dollars. If you convert that into U.S. dollars today, it is about $14. That is the one economy in the sort of developed world that actually did not take a hit during the Great Recession. Again, their banking system, frankly, was more regulated and I think withstood what was going on internationally there. But nonetheless, I mean, they are a growing economy. Their minimum wage, which has been automatically increased because of a nonpartisan commission, has shown that, in fact, it doesn't hurt economic growth. It actually stabilizes a family's income and increases their purchasing power. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer. Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I appreciate everyone being here. I think it is interesting that the panel will admit that we are finally having wage growth, which is something that I think both parties agree is needed in America. One reason, and the main reason we are having wage growth, is because there is a shortage of workers in America. It is basic supply and demand. In my district in Kentucky, I have Paducah, which is a headquarters for the regional office for U.S. Bank. They just recently raised their minimum wage to $15 per hour for all of their employees. They did that without legislation, without government intervention. Basically, it is the supply and demand as a result of having a strong economy. So my question is--and I want to make this Statement. While proponents of a $15 minimum wage foresee consumers absorbing the effects of this proposal through increased end cost, many smaller businesses in my district in Kentucky wouldn't be able to sustain charging such radically increased prices. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, do you agree that raising prices is not always an option for many businesses in rural or low-income areas? And can you elaborate on the effects of such a bloated minimum wage would have on these entrepreneurs who are the backbone of our economy? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. As I said, if you pass a legislated increase in the minimum wage, not a voluntary one as U.S. Bank had, there is no more money at the moment that becomes law. So you have to go figure out where you are going to find it. One possibility is charge your customers more to get the money. If you are unable to do that, and a lot of people are not going to be able to do that, another possibility is you take the thinner nonexistent profit margins of an entrepreneurial business, a startup, and squeeze it down even further. They will likely fail, and thus those jobs would go away. Or you can take it out of your labor cost somehow by not hiring additional workers when you otherwise might. And this is just like ``Casablanca'': You round up the usual suspects and figure out where you can do it, if at all. Mr. Comer. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you make it clear that a minimum wage increase would not affect all areas the same. A recent study by the University of Kentucky suggests that for many families below the poverty line in Kentucky a lack of hours worked rather than a low wage or minimum wage is the primary challenge. Right now, the average worker in poor families in Kentucky are out of the work force more than 4 months out of the year. Won't a higher minimum wage set up additional barriers to employment and risk more workers being out of the work force for longer periods of time? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is certainly a concern that I have tried to emphasize in my testimony. We do have some, for example, recent evidence out of the Seattle increase in the minimum wage which shows 10,000 jobs lost, but also diminished hours worked by those affected by the increase. That is another channel by which you squeeze down your costs, but that means less income for those individuals. And, again, my concern is that is something Seattle did. That is very different than doing it to the entire United States, including your district in Kentucky. Mr. Comer. Absolutely. Let me ask one last question. You also stated that 5.1 million jobs have been added over the past 2 years. How would this dramatic increase affect the progress created by recently enacted legislation, such as our tax reform bill of the last Congress? How would this impact that if we passed this proposed minimum wage increase? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So, as I noted in my testimony, my colleague Ben Gitis and I used a published estimate of the impact of increases in the minimum wage on the growth in employment going forward, and it would more than offset those 5.2 million jobs. So, we would set back the progress we have made, the dramatic progress in getting Americans back to work, including those who previously didn't work. I think that is a concern. Mr. Comer. I think we have seen last month, with record job growth, over 300,000 new jobs added to the economy, I believe as a direct result of, first of, the new administration and the last Congress focusing on reducing regulations; second, on reducing taxes. We have got the economy growing for the first time in a long time. We are starting to see wage growth. So I believe that we finally have America on the right track economically, and I think we need to think long and hard before we go back to a Congress of passing lots and lots of legislation, increasing regulations, more government, bigger government, because what we see now from an economic standpoint, in my opinion, is working. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from the Northern Mariana Islands, Mr. Sablan. Mr. Sablan. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for having this hearing. Thank you, everyone, for coming and testifying. I wasn't going to speak, but, Mr. Wise, please keep telling your story. You are sharing your life story. And I am sure you have heard it before, but if you haven't, let me tell you, sir, that you are a good father. My only regret is that one of you sitting there as a witness probably couldn't hear what you were saying. And you are telling a real life story, and someone is saying, no, according to the literature on economics and all of these things. We are not creating big government here. We are trying to create increased wages for those like you, and I am very proud to do so. Mr. Chairman, I would like to yield my time to the gentleman from Virginia, Mr. Bobby Scott. Chairman Scott. Thank you, and I appreciate the time. Dr. Spriggs and Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I talked about the reasonableness of the tipped minimum wage because a tipped worker would be made whole if the tips don't amount to the minimum wage. That sounds reasonable, but how often is the deficiency actually in practice made up? Dr. Spriggs. My experience at the Department of Labor was this is one of the more troubling areas for us to figure out the proper regulation of what to do with tips, and for those who think that it is clear cut, that is because they haven't tried to solve this problem. We know this is the major portion of wage theft that takes place. It puts the women, and there are disproportionately women who rely on tip wages, at a huge disadvantage because they are, by necessity, having to deal with ugly customers, and they need the tip, and it opens up a huge window for misconduct and sexual harassment that is hard to close. If you set the minimum wage higher and you don't move the tip, then you create a bigger regulatory issue of how do we collect the information to know whether the workers got the tip money? Many restaurants want to pool the tips and then dole it out so that the workers sometimes don't even get the tips. It is all well and good if you are in a high, fancy restaurant, and it is mostly men who work there do well, but for the overwhelming majority of women who have this job, it is not the historical record. This is the biggest area of wage theft to try and get the owners of the restaurant to actually pay the tipped workers the gap. And as that gap gets bigger, the vulnerability of those workers is going to increase. Chairman Scott. Dr. Zipperer, do you know how often the tipped workers are actually made whole? Have you done studies on that? Mr. Zipperer. There is research about the preponderance of wage theft, and that especially falls on tipped workers because, like the other witness pointed out, regulation and oversight of this issue is really difficult. In addition, the Department of Labor, under a recent set of investigations, found that of the restaurants they investigated, about 84 percent of investigations resulted in wage and hour violations, and a substantial fraction of those were due to failures in enforcing the tips standard that we are talking about. Workers in the food, and drink, and restaurant industry are much more likely to experience wage violations than in other industries. Chairman Scott. So although it may be reasonable in theory, the workers never get the deficiency made up. Is that right? Mr. Zipperer. I think it is very difficult to enforce in practice which is one reason why you see those kind of disparities. You also see that in states that have adopted a single minimum wage for tipped workers and non-tipped workers alike that wages inclusive of tips are about 14 percent higher in those states, and poverty rates for tipped workers are significantly lower in those States with a single minimum wage. Chairman Scott. Does the gentleman yield back? Do you yield back? Thank you. The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins. Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all very much for being here. I especially want to say thank you to Mr. Wise. Your testimony was very moving. It is not easy putting yourself and your struggles out there, and doing so is very impactful, and it touches on why we do what we do to try and make the country a better place. Now, that being said, I am right down the road on I-70. I live in Topeka, and so if you need to join a support group for the Chiefs AFC championship loss, then hit me up. But sir, we disagree. I think this is a classic example of legislation that feels good but doesn't do good. It feels good when you pit up employer versus employee. But I have helped create hundreds of jobs, respectfully, before this, and I would move heaven and earth to find and keep good employees. And that comes at a cost, a cost I am more than willing to pay when I find good employees. So listen. The CBO published in a 2014 study that a 10 percent or a $10 minimum wage would cost a half a million jobs. Harvard Business School said every dollar increase would result in a 4 to 10 percent increased likelihood of a restaurant closure. So my question is to you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin. So I represent a lot of poor communities throughout southeast Kansas. I am going to share with you some thoughts they shared with me. I just want you to reflect on them, and some of them will be things that were written up in your testimony, but bear with me. A $15 minimum wage will attract more qualified applicants, and I won't hire entry level people. Another entrepreneur said I would have to pay everybody more. If I have to pay the dishwasher $15 an hour, then I have got to pay the cooks more than that. I will just replace H.R. with automation. Prices for everything go up. So my question is simply to reflect on that so I know what to tell my constituents. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I want to just echo your observation that the issue here is not about the depth of compassion for people who are working and poor. The issue is what are the outcomes of the proposed legislation. And my concern is that the outcomes include worsened conditions for exactly those people and the possibility of reduced employment for them, reduced hours if they are working, the loss of the establishments that have traditionally employed them, and all of those things you are seeing when you say well, I am going to have to pay other people, you are going to get wage compression. And that is going to say well, we will cutoff a certain category, whether they are teens or folks who never finished community college. We are just not going to look at those guys. We can get the other ones. We will do that because we are paying everybody more. And those are just people who are running the numbers and by necessity trying to keep their business going. It is not an act of anything other than necessity, and I worry about those acts being played out across the country. Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Doctor. Thank you all, and Mr. Chairman, I yield my time. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. Bonamici. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much, Chairman Scott, and thank you for introducing the Raise the Wage Act which I am proudly cosponsoring because this is a long overdue conversation about gradually increasing the Federal minimum wage to $15 an hour. And as you pointed out, Mr. Chairman, in your opening remarks today, an individual working 40 hours a week and earning the Federal minimum wage earns $15,080 annually. Annually. Putting a family of two below the Federal poverty level, and that is unacceptable that someone working full time is living below the Federal poverty level. And as Mr. Wise's testimony so poignantly showed, when workers are paid wages that leave them in poverty, they struggle. They struggle to pay for rent, essentials like food, transportation, skyrocketing child care costs. So the Federal minimum wage has been stagnant for too long. It has contributed to income inequality, and I am glad we are having this conversation today. So I am from Oregon, and I have to tell you that years ago, I was kind of surprised to learn that there was actually such a thing as the subminimum wage for tipped workers because we don't have that in Oregon. We have a thriving restaurant industry. People come to Oregon for restaurants. So I was really actually shocked to learn that people could be paid less than minimum wage. It was really surprising. In Oregon, more than 100 years ago, even before the Fair Labor Standards Act was enacted, Oregon became one of the first States to enact a minimum wage. It was intended to address gender disparities for workers, yet still today the majority of workers earning minimum wage are women and people of color, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. So Dr. Spriggs, in your testimony you talked about the history of the Fair Labor Standards Act and some of the compromises that were made to pass the bill, and I know Representative Grijalva mentioned this, but those compromises later exacerbated racial and gender wage gaps. So how have women and people of color been disproportionately affected by a low Federal minimum wage, and how will the Raise the Wage Act address these persistent wage gaps? Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman, for the question and thank you for your comments. Yes. I think we need to look back at 1966 when 60 percent of Republicans agreed to expand coverage and get rid of the exemption for agriculture and many service sector workers which included restaurant workers. Unfortunately, the restaurant workers were subject to this creation of a subminimum for tip. The tip wage itself has a very racist origin. It was originally because the servants happened to be black, and it was the habit not to think about you have to pay them, and the tip was meant in lieu of wages. When we closed the gap in 1966 in terms of coverage, we have to remember that many of those workers, because they were agriculture workers, lived in the south, in the rural south, and they lived in States that did not have State minimum wages. There was nothing below them. So the studies that have been cited by Ellora Derenoncourt and by Claire Montialoux highlight that when that was closed, first, these workers didn't get paid a dollar an hour, so the initial expansion of coverage to include these rural workers was to get them to $1 which was a 34 percent raise. In other words, they were getting close to $0.80 an hour, and then because they were included, they went to $1.60. We doubled their wages. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. And I want to get another question in. Dr. Spriggs. Yes. I want to tell you really quickly the punch line. The punch line is that black child poverty in this country went from nearly 70 percent to 40 percent in that 3 years simply by covering 30 percent of African Americans who had been denied that coverage-- Ms. Bonamici. Right. Dr. Spriggs [continuing]. and raising their wages. So that was the biggest effect we have ever had in lowering poverty from any program. It took us until 1990 to break that record, to get black child poverty back below 39 percent. Ms. Bonamici. Long past time to complete the work. I also wanted to talk about or also point out that when low wage workers--they spend their earnings. They go right back into the economy. In Washington County, Oregon, which is just west of Portland, the Portland metro region, the minimum wage there is $10.75 an hour currently. Someone making minimum wage would have to work 73 hours a week to afford a one-bedroom apartment, and that is what we are seeing in other areas as well. A full- time worker should be able to afford basic needs like housing. And Dr. Zipperer, you mentioned a family budget calculator, and I liked your quote about protecting the Nation from the evils and dangers resulting from wages too low to buy the bare necessities of life. So who benefits from this gradual increase to $15 by 2024, and why is it important to establish that as a Federal floor rather than leaving the issue up to States? Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for your question. It is important to establish a Federal floor because many States don't actually increase their minimum wage or increase it adequately, and Federal action is the only way that we are going to actually achieve a national minimum wage that would provide a wage standard high enough so that all people in all areas of the country will be able to afford the basic necessities for their families. At the Economic Policy Institute, we have developed what we call family budgets to delineate how much a given family type in a given area of the country needs every year to pay for housing, food, transportation, child care, and other necessities. These are extremely conservative amounts. They don't allow for any saving whatsoever, no saving for retirement, no saving for buying a home, no saving for emergencies. And even with these conservative amounts, we find that in every city and in every county of the country, by 2024, workers will need $15 per hour working full time in order to meet their family budget. Two adults working 40 hours a week, 52 hours--52 weeks a year at $15 per hour each, will earn less than their family budget in every area of the country. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you very much. And Mr. Chairman, I request unanimous consent to enter into the record a letter from the Women's Coalition outlining the importance of passing the Raise the Wage Act to help address wage gaps for women. Chairman Scott. Thank you without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Ms. Bonamici. And I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Taylor. Mr. Taylor. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the opportunity to be here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, just a question for you. I was going over your testimony last night, and something that really struck me was the study that you did in 2015, and in that study you determined--and I will just read your testimony back to you, but using the most recent academic literature, the study found that a $15 per hour Federal minimum wage resulted in the loss of 3.3 million to 16.8 million jobs with a middle estimate of 6.6 million jobs lost, and I just wanted to understand. So that is a range, and clearly it is all bad. I don't think anybody here wants to lose a job, right? We want to create jobs. I think everybody here agrees on that basic premise. But can you explain why there is a range in estimates and sort of--if you don't mind? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So there is a range from analyzing the data, and the imprecision with which statistics delivers the truth, right, it doesn't say literally this is exactly what will happen. Mr. Taylor. Sure. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It says, you know, given the variation in the data, it can go from here to here, and we want to acknowledge that you can't know with great certainty. Mr. Taylor. Ok. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And I just want to emphasize that says if we look historically at changes in the minimum wage, we have limited ability to say precisely what will happen. That gives you a range. We have even less ability to say what will happen if we go forward in a fashion that is much more dramatic, more than doubling and then indexing permanently the minimum wage. This is an unprecedented experiment, and I think we know very little about what will actually happen. Mr. Taylor. And then just as a policymaker, where are these losses? I mean, are these happening in high-income areas? Are they happening in--you know, high cost of living areas like New York City? Are they happening in low-cost areas like, say, Kansas? Are they happening in suburban areas like where I represent in Plano, Texas? Are they happening in urban areas, rural areas? Where are we losing jobs? So you are estimating millions of jobs being lost. Where are they lost? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So you can split the economy in a variety of ways. I would say the most important way to split it is to look in the labor force and say let's look at the whole labor force. It is hard to discern an impact. Let's look more closely at those people who have little education, little skill, little experience, say, a teenager. They are going to be priced out of the labor market. You are not going to find--I will speak from experience. I never found $30,000 worth of productivity in my kids. So they are just not going to get hired. And so, you know, that will show up right away. If you look further at the places they are most likely to be employed, that is going to be retail. That is going to be restaurants and bars, and that is where you are going to find the employment losses. And then across geography, you can just see places where you have concentration of low-wage workers as the labor force base, and that is where you are going to see the losses. Mr. Taylor. Ok. And then just shifting over to another piece of your testimony I was reading last night, and I will just read this sentence to you. Seattle's minimum wage law, so we are going to Seattle now, has caused low wage work hours to decline by 9.4 percent. Consequently, even among low-wage workers who were still employed and earned slightly higher wages, their average monthly earnings on net declined $125 per month. So in addition to Seattle losing 10,000 jobs which is what your testimony was, what your written testimony is, you watched the people that still managed to keep their jobs, their hours declined, and so their incomes also declined, right? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. Mr. Taylor. So you have lost jobs. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. Mr. Taylor. You have lost income. My question is what has happened to those workers? Are those workers leaving the labor force? Are they moving somewhere else where they can get a job? Are they going into the welfare system? What happens to these people that lose their jobs? What happens to the families that lose income as a result of the policy, the $15 policy that was implemented in Seattle? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So Seattle is of interest because No. 1, it is the top line number, $15, that has focused a lot of attention. No. 2, it came along with the city deciding to have a policy violation built in and had the University of Washington study this closely using a research design that is the gold standard for those who think that minimum wage doesn't hurt workers. And so these findings are troubling for that reason. The thing it doesn't include is a followup for where everyone goes, but the logical conclusion is we have seen a little bit of them moving outside the city to get work. That is actual in the study. You can see people trying to work outside the municipal limits, but also you would expect people to simply leave Seattle. If there is not going to be a work opportunity, they are going to try elsewhere. Mr. Taylor. Ok. Thank you. Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from California, Mr. Takano. Mr. Takano. Mr. Chairman, thank you. I would like to begin my questioning by asking unanimous consent to submit a Statement into the record from the Center for American Progress dated January 16th, 2019 which praises the Raise the Wage Act. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Takano. Mr. Zipperer, Mr. Holtz-Eakin cites, you know, a Seattle study showing harm being done. I would like to know what the impacts of the minimum wage increases in places like Seattle, San Francisco, and New York have been? Mr. Zipperer. All right. Thank you for the question. Regarding Seattle and the study that Dr. Holtz-Eakin cited, that study is based on a completely flawed comparison of Seattle where wages are rising extremely fast during the study period with other areas of Washington State that do not look like Seattle or are not comparable to Seattle and not a good point of comparison. And so that is why I don't think that study coming from the University of Washington is informative in any way about the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage increase. At the same time, there are also studies that use a variety of case studies and not just focus on a single city but that focus on six cities including Seattle, also Chicago and a couple of cities in California like San Francisco, and they studied the effects of the minimum wage increases there on restaurant employment and workers' earnings in restaurants. That study conducted by Sylvia Allegreto, Anna Godoy, Carl Nadler, and Michael Reich and others at the University of California Berkeley found that those minimum wage increases in those cities, in all of those cities, raised the wages of restaurant workers without any negative consequences for employment. Mr. Takano. Thank you. I appreciate that. I appreciate my Republican colleagues inviting, you know, Mr. Holtz-Eakin to give us, you know, the conservative point of view. I imagine that my colleagues on the other side of the aisle respect your hard headed analysis of our economy. And we Democrats are advocating for the minimum wage at $2.15 or at $15 an hour. Of course, we are interested in trying to raise the incomes, and I am curious. I want to know, you know, in some of your past writings, especially on immigration reform. Do you still hold to your beliefs that immigration reform and welcoming immigrants into our economy ultimately will raise the wages of American workers? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Absolutely. Mr. Takano. Can you expound on that a little bit more? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Sure. If you look at the research on the impact of immigration on native born workers, you find that immigrants are, on average, complements to those native born workers meaning in economic terms when they arrive, they raise the wages of the native born workers. Immigrants are disproportionately entrepreneurial. They start businesses at a higher rate. They bring capital at a higher--workers at a rate above the native born. They work longer. They retire later. They are a source of enormous vitality to the U.S. economy, and no one should misunderstand that. Mr. Takano. So you would counsel, you know, my Republican colleagues to push for immigration reform and to welcome immigrants into our economy? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have for my entire career, and you have seen my success. Mr. Takano. And you maintain that immigrants do not depress wages, but they actually have either no effect on wages but actually ultimately increase those wages because our productivity goes up as an Nation. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am convinced that the blanket statement no one's wages ever go down is probably wrong. Blanket statements are always wrong in economics. But I think the vast amount of evidence is that they are beneficial to the wages of native born workers. Mr. Takano. Of course, I believe that we need a strong, you know, baseline of a minimum wage. We need immigration reform to reduce the effect of the shadow economy so that people, you know, are not being exploited by employers who are taking advantage of their undocumented status. I mean, we can argue about where that minimum wage should be set, but do you also believe that as well, that a shadow economy is not good for us? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think it is terrible if we have circumstances that permit people to be exploited by the workers, and that is a real issue, and it ought to be taken seriously by everyone in this committee. The place where we disagree is on the minimum wage, and what I would say to you is it is not that you don't want to try to do something. This is the wrong thing to do. We have a lot of evidence in the earned income tax credit that it promotes work and helps these people. Try the noncustodial tax credit. There are a variety of alternatives. This is just the single worst way to try to help these people. Mr. Takano. Fair enough. Fair enough. We simply disagree on the level of the minimum wage, but you know, we do agree on immigration reform and the value of immigrants in our economy. Thank you. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Allen. Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for holding this hearing and talking about, you know, the creation of jobs and the opportunities available out there. I am from the State of Georgia. We have a little fast food company down there. Mr. Wise, your testimony was very impressive, but I can tell you. If you had gone to work for Chick-fil-A, you would probably own your own restaurant by now. It is an amazing story. You need to check them out, you know. Obviously you have a passion for that business, and you have remained in it, and in fact, they will actually put you through college. Amazing company. And in fact, we have had enormous job creation in Georgia. The wage situation is--I mean, for example, with truck drivers. I mean, they are making in excess of $80,000 a year, full benefits, full medical, and there are also companies working with the drivers to make sure they are not out of town more than maybe two nights a week. So we are trying to address this booming economy. Georgia has created over 800,000 jobs in the last four or 5 years, and frankly, everywhere I go, everybody needs workers. So Dr. Holtz-Eakin, how would increasing the minimum wage to $15--I guess I have two questions. One, how in the world do you live off $15 in Washington D.C.? I mean, I spend 36 weeks up here. This is the most expensive place to live I have ever lived in my life. I mean, you look at Georgia and the cost of living in Georgia. I mean, it is maybe a third of Washington, DC. based on my experience. So how can you just blanket the country with, say, you know, like in Washington, DC, maybe the minimum wage should be $30 an hour. Who knows? I mean, why stop at 15? I mean, if you are talking about a living wage based on, in my experience, the cost of living up here. So No. 1, what do you think it will do to a State like Georgia with an incredible economy, and No. 2, how do you, like, divide up the country and say Ok, this is the blanket policy? Can you answer those questions? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Well, first of all, I am not an expert on Georgia, but I will say that your characterization matches the data for the U.S. as a whole where we do have more openings than unemployed as I mentioned in my opening Statement. That is the market's way of raising wages, and wages are rising. Our best measure of real wage growth is the employment cost index, kind of a nerdy thing you don't need to know. But if you look at that, it was growing about 1 and a half percent a couple years ago. It is now up to three. It is doubled. And so we are seeing real wage growth, wages above inflation start to move, and that is a valuable thing. That happens at different rates across the country because we have different economic labor markets. There are hundreds of local labor markets in the United States. Tailoring a policy to Washington, DC. will destroy the State of Georgia, and we shouldn't do it that way, and I think that is one of my biggest concerns about this is it is a dramatic increase, and it is nationwide. Mr. Allen. It is like, you want do level the playing field across the country and penalize a State like Georgia, you know, like I said. And like I said, there is no way you can live off $15 an hour, and my only experience is here in Washington. I don't know what it would be like, say, in other large cities, but-- Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You do want to level the playing field in the sense of giving everyone the same opportunity. Mr. Allen. Right. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The trouble is having the same minimum wage makes sure that is not level, and that is what I am concerned about. Mr. Allen. Well, I ran a small business for 35 years, and of course, right now we are looking for people. We have no one on our payroll that is making less than $15 an hour. And of course, we are recruiting the best and the brightest, and we don't mind paying more for the best and brightest because they are more productive and tend to be more passionate about their work and that sort of thing, so-- Well, thank you again. You know, I don't think this one size government program fits all is the answer. I think we have got to look at it city by city, but again, we have got to keep the economy growing. Thank you very much, and I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from North Carolina, Dr. Adams. Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and to the Ranking Member as well. Let me thank all of the witnesses for your testimony today, and Mr. Wise, thank you for sharing your story. A couple of months ago we were scheduled to have a hearing on how terrible it would be to have a $15 minimum wage. I sort of agree with my colleague, Mr. Allen. I would go for the 30. It was fortunate--it was unfortunate, though, that hearing was canceled because we had hard-working folks from many of our service industries in Washington that day, all fighting for $15 because they know that $15 is the bare minimum an individual must earn to raise a family today. And I was able to meet with many of them that day, and I met many of them throughout my legislative career, and these workers, as Mr. Wise has said, work two and three jobs to feed their families and still, it is not enough. Working hard is not enough if you don't make enough, and on 7.25, you can't survive. I remember in 2006 when I fought for the minimum wage to be raised from $5.15 to $6.15 in the North Carolina General Assembly. I fought 9 years to get that done, and it is pretty shameful today that 12 years later, the Federal minimum wage and the State minimum wage in North Carolina has only increased a mere $1.10. The question is not does it make sense to increase the minimum wage to $15. The question is who in their right mind would disagree? You know, Dr. Spriggs, I have a question for you. I am interested in why generally wage increases no longer seem to be tied to worker productivity, and if you can just briefly describe how the key labor market institutions are functioning today, I would appreciate that. Dr. Spriggs. Thank you very much, Congresswoman. We have tried this experiment over the last 40 years that you don't need a minimum wage, you don't need unions, you don't need any of the labor market safeguards and institutions we put in place at the time of the Great Depression where we learned that real wages can fall. The problem today is we are now 10 years into the--almost 10 years into the recovery. It is been 9 years since the labor market started this string of consecutive job growth, and yet it is only now, only now that real wages are rising and really only because inflation was negative at the end of the quarter. So the lack of a floor affects workers because increasingly economists have come to understand that competitive firms don't really face a flat wage curve. The belief that employers can hire as many workers as they wish at a flat wage is not true. They face an upward sloping demand curve which means, and from an economist perspective, they act like a term that you might be familiar with, the monopsony which means that the market wage should be higher in order to be closer to what the clearing wage would be. And those firms are, in fact, hiring fewer workers than we would expect in a competitive environment. That is why when we do experiment after experiment and we analyze this, we simply don't see the negative wages. And workers who are unionized simply run into a stonewall because firms know that the respect is not there for bargaining for higher wages, and so we have not been able to see wages rise that much even in the bargaining sector. Ms. Adams. Can you speak briefly to the importance of indexing wage increases and elimination of subminimum wages in addressing weakened labor market institutions? Dr. Spriggs. In the past, when you look at the increases in the minimum wage, it was one of the charts that was put up before. You saw that even though Congress wasn't consciously doing it, it was raising the minimum wage in line with productivity and in line with the median wage and in line with the poverty level. When that consensus broke in 1969, you saw these things move in all sorts of different directions. And so the purpose of indexing is because it has become increasingly difficult now that everyone does not agree that work pays and all work is dignity. It has become such a political item that it is necessary to put in the indexing because before this was not partisan. Republicans overwhelming agreed with Democrats. The whole country agreed work has to have dignity, and work must pay. That is an American value. Ms. Adams. Absolutely. Dr. Zipperer, just quickly. If the wage had kept pace with how productive workers are on the whole, how much would it be today? Mr. Zipperer. If the wage had kept pace with labor productivity over the last 50 years? If the minimum wage had kept pace with labor productivity over the last 50 years, the minimum wage today would be closer to $20 an hour. Ms. Adams. Thank you, sir. I yield back, Mr. Chair. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Walberg. Mr. Walberg. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thanks to the panel for being here. Recently my office received a letter from Daniel, a constituent in my Michigan district, who has worked in the restaurant industry as a bartender for over 20 years. He described how he has the potential to make well above the minimum wage with the tips and appreciates the freedom that the restaurant industry provides to move to different restaurants at significant increases and security that can best meet his personal needs. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, this Raise the Wage Act would eliminate tip credit, as I read it, requiring all employers such as these restaurants where Daniel works to pay cash wages equal to that of the full minimum wage. What effect do you believe this policy will have on the take-home wages of Americans like Daniel who work in the restaurant industry? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So it is a good question. I think there are two possibilities that jump out. The first would be by forcing the equalized the minimum wage. You are raising the cost of labor for that establishment, and the worst-case scenario is that Daniel no longer gets to tend bar, and if he can't find another job, that his take home pay is undeniably diminished. He might have to take another job somewhere else and hopefully be Ok. But that is one channel. The second is that the tip--you know, if it becomes known that he is being paid, people stop tipping, and to the extent that happens, he may not come out ahead. He may come out behind, but those are the two channels that would be in play. Mr. Walberg. It takes away that flexibility and security to a great degree of being able to know that if I go to another restaurant that has a larger clientele or whatever else, it could impact me at the tip credit as well. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. It is in a small way a little labor market where, you know, there is a return to his skills, his service, his productivity, and the better he is, the more tips he will get, and this breaks that link as well. Mr. Walberg. In looking at what has happened to restaurants and other businesses in cities that have eliminated the tip credit, what has been the outcome? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I will have to get back to you on the tip credit, per se. I don't have that at my fingertips. I will just note that I think the restaurant industry is the one that jumps out as a concern in the Raise the Wage Act. You know, in my testimony I showed some of the historical evidence from 2014 and 2015 where we looked at what happened to restaurant employment in those municipalities that raised their minimum wages versus those that did not, and it is right in the data. The employment growth just slows down, and this is at a time when we are starting to see the economy finally ramp up. But I am afraid this act would repeat that in a much bigger way for the Nation as a whole. Mr. Walberg. Does any data show that the tip credit really allows workers to earn less than the minimum wage? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The law says they can't earn less than the minimum wage. I am sympathetic to Dr. Spriggs' observation that compliance is an issue. I am not a compliance expert, but I would take those comments seriously and make sure that we have things that are--effective laws that can be monitored and enforced. Mr. Walberg. Ok. Thank you. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New Jersey, Mr. Norcross. Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Chairman, Ranking Member, and I am here proud to cosponsor along with the chairman the Raise the Wage Act, but I want to start out by thanking the witnesses, but particularly those behind you who are the real faces of minimum wage, and certainly that is the reality. So let's talk about myth versus reality. 1950. Minimum wage was increased by 88 percent. Unemployment decreased. The stock market went up. Thirty years ago the CEO made 30 times the average worker. Today, the CEO makes 347 times. That is the reality of what is going on. Mr. Chairman, this is America. You work hard, you play by the rules, you are supposed to be able to make it. Right now, that is not the case. It has been 11 years since we voted, 10 years since that raise went to the minimum wage. We do need to raise the wage, and I reach across the aisle because what happened last time, 348 votes in the house, that was Republicans and Democrats. Eighty votes in the Senate to raise the minimum wage. We can do this because you know it is the right thing to do. It is predictability. It is not $15 an hour tomorrow. This is over years that this comes in. I worked for minimum wage. I was a single dad trying to raise my kid. I know it was tough. Today, it is impossible, but I will tell you that if the minimum wage kept up with inflation and productivity, it would be $18 an hour. That is the path that we follow that if you work hard, you play by the rules, that the boss doesn't keep everything, and that is what we have seen happen. But the real surprise is not that you can't make it, but you don't even come close, do you, Mr. Wise? You don't even come close. But the remarkable thing, to my colleagues, raising the minimum wage to $12 would reduce government spending on entitlement programs by $17 billion. People want to work. They want to be able to provide their family. They want the dignity of going to work each day, but they need to be able to make it in this country. I am so proud to say my Governor signed in the $15 an hour wage predictability over the next 6 years. It is not happening overnight. Let's think about it. If it has been 10 years and it is going to take us another 6 years, that is 16 years to raise the wage to $15 an hour. It is not this overnight crisis that they are trying to build. My friends here in Washington, please. It is time to wake up. We took care of the CEOs for you who voted for that tax, 1.3 trillion to that top 1 percent. It is time to help these people, the ones that vote in your districts, the ones who need it. Mr. Wise, why are you here today advocating on behalf of the minimum wage? Why is this important to you? Mr. Wise. Well, you know, it is like you said, and that is what my mom told me. She told me work hard, be a good citizen, and everything will be Ok. That is what Mom told me, and I thought that would be the case. I worked hard, doubly hard, two jobs to try to provide for my three girls. When I had to start skipping meals, you know, substituting sanitary products for my daughters, making them use tissue, just doing anything to survive and get by even though I was doing everything right, everything Mom said, but it was obviously something terribly wrong. And I know that my fight doesn't end today here in this building. I have got to continue to fight in my city and all across the country until every worker is earning a living wage, and not only that, until we can work to get legislation to create an easier environment for us to have a union and be able to have collective bargaining, a seat at the table. So this fight is something that I have been waiting on my whole life. This is a way we have got to change this country. There is no individual solution to social, economic, and political problems. So I have been able to come together with my coworkers from not only Kansas City but across the country to change the narrative in this country. Before we organized 6 years ago, no one talked about wage inequality. Nobody talked about unions. I wasn't taught this in school, but I have been able to learn through the movement that this is what it is going to take, me and my coworkers behind me continuing to stand together and tell our stories because it is real, and this is how we live every day. Mr. Norcross. Thank you, Mr. Wise. Please. Let's work together. Let's take care of all Americans. Let's give them a chance to have the dignity of the American dream, of being able to make it because you are doing the right thing. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Wright. Mr. Wright. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank all four of you gentlemen for being here today. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, you made a point earlier that is worth repeating, and that is that this is not about compassion, and, indeed, it is not. In fact, what is before us today is a very poor measure of compassion because we have to be concerned about the unintended consequences of this bill just like we should be with every bill that we discuss and vote on. Raising the minimum wage is great for people who get to keep their jobs, and of course, that is the concern is the effect it will have on jobs because we are not talking about merely raising the minimum wage. We are talking about doubling it. That is a shock to the system of any small business, any small business owner, and they have to make that calculation. They have to balance whether they can keep all the jobs they have or eliminate jobs in order to accommodate a sudden, what, 100 percent spike in their wages they have to pay. So we have to be concerned what effect this is going to have, and we have already discussed--I had some questions about rural versus urban, and you have already discussed that because I have both in my district. What I am concerned about, though, and is the studies that show, what impact doubling the minimum wage would have in terms of business closings, not just employee reduction. Do you have any information on that? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have a specific estimate of that. I think again, one of the concerns is that this is an experiment that has never been run. We have never doubled the Federal minimum wage. We are trying to learn from other things that were far more modest. They happened in a locality or a State, smaller at the national level, so but there is no question that one of things you would expect to happen is for those firms with thin profit margins, that they in the end may just not be able to make it, you know, and they will close their doors. And I don't--I have little question about the direction. I don't know the magnitude. I think the other thing to think about with that this is different and important is that yes, it is over a number of years, and it is laid out in the act. That means that right now, those firms know, they can look forward with complete certainty that these low-skill, low-experience workers are really expensive, and they will stay expensive forever because it will be indexed at the end, and they will find ways to stop having counter service and automate things in ways that we have seen in other parts of the economy. It will just accelerate that. And so the jobs won't just be lost for a moment. They will be gone. Mr. Wright. Right. Well, I want to repeat what has been said before, and that is that all of us up here share the same goal in terms of wanting to increase the livelihood of Americans, expand economic opportunity and progress for Americans, but I don't believe doubling the minimum wage is the right way to go. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you, Dr. Holtz-Eakin. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. Did you want to respond to that? Ok. Thank you. The gentlelady from Pennsylvania, Ms. Wild. Ms. Wild. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you all for being here, and thank you to all of you who are here as witnesses to this. It is such an important issue, and it is one that I, as a freshman legislator, campaigned on, to raise the minimum wage, and I feel very deeply that we should. I am from Pennsylvania, one of the 22 States that still has a minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. So as I understand it, Mr. Wise, you are a little bit ahead of us in Missouri. I guess you just raised it up to $8.60 an hour, is that correct, from $7.85 an hour last year? So Missouri was still ahead of Pennsylvania with our $7.25 an hour minimum wage. Mr. Wise. That is correct. Ms. Wild. Well, Mr. Wise, let me just say this, and I am going to talk kind of quickly because I have a lot of things I want to say or to ask and only a limited amount of time. I really appreciate your courage and your willingness to be here today and to talk so candidly about your own experience and your family's experience. It is not an easy thing to do, and I recognize that. I also admire your fortitude and your commitment to your family. And I admire that you are engaging your daughters in activism and helping them to understand what it means to fight for social justice, so thank you for all of that. We just talked a minute ago about the minimum wage in Missouri which I understand is $8.60 an hour now, and if I may, how much are you now earning at McDonald's? Mr. Wise. Well, after 20 years in the industry, I do make $11 an hour at McDonald's. Ms. Wild. Ok. Twenty years in the industry. And you know, my colleague, Mr. Allen, made a reference to your passion for the fast food industry. Would I be correct in assuming that it is not so much a passion for the fast food industry as it is the only job that you could get when you had to drop out of school to help support your family? Mr. Wise. Well, that was the opportunity I had at the chance, you know. All labor has dignity. My mom worked for the company Hardee's for 30 years. She enjoyed her work. I enjoy my work. Ms. Wild. Good. I am glad to hear that. Now, there was also a reference made to tractor-trailer operators making $80,000 a year and so forth. Have you ever explored other opportunities such as driving a truck? Mr. Wise. Well, you know, when I worked--and many Americans work doubly hard. For example, I worked Monday 4 p.m. to 11 p.m. and had to be right back up Tuesday morning at 4 a.m. to return to work, so there is no flexibility in scheduling. I work very hard, and there is really not time, you know, to go back to school, to search that extra education. And the last I checked, it is really not free in this country. Ms. Wild. Well, and that is where I was going with that line of questioning, and it is as much a Statement as it is a question. For you to pursue something like a tractor-trailer position, aside from the fact that it would take you away from your family, it would require additional training and time that you don't have, correct? I ask these questions not in any way intended to embarrass you. Do you and your family rely on any form of public assistance? Mr. Wise. Well, currently, Medicaid. My daughters have and my fiancee did while she was pregnant with my last child, but she doesn't any more. And we were receiving stamps up until a few years ago, but they said that we were making too much, and those got cut. But we still do rely on Medicaid, food pantries, any way to get by. Ms. Wild. And how many hours a week are you working? Mr. Wise. Me, right now, I work just at McDonald's but I work over 50 hours a week, you know. Ms. Wild. And what about your fiancee? How many hours a week does she work? Mr. Wise. Well, she is a home healthcare, and she works four 12s, so 48 a week. Ms. Wild. Ok. And you told us when was the last time you got a raise? Mr. Wise. Oh. Oh. Well, it has been a while. Ms. Wild. Ok. You have told us you have been in the business for 20 years. When is the last time you--ballpark it. When is the last time you got a raise? Mr. Wise. About 3 years ago. Ms. Wild. And you are at $11 an hour now. Ok. So I am going to turn the my attention to Dr. Holtz-Eakin in my last 30 seconds here. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, what would you propose to Mr. Wise as to what he should do to lift his family out of generational poverty? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have specific career advice for an individual. The decision in front of the committee is whether to do the Raise the Wage Act, and I would simply argue that it is more likely to damage his prospects and people like him than to help on average, and that seems unwise. This is a compelling story. It can be played out in even greater numbers if the wrong policies are put in place. That seems unwise to me. There are other things that we have done, earned income tax credit that I mentioned, that have both promoted work and targeted effectively on those in poverty who are working, clearly the case with Mr. Wise, and thus allowed people to work, allowed them to be above the poverty line that were very successful. Those would be the subject of attention, I would think, not this. Ms. Wild. But you would agree that Mr. Wise's story is just one of hundreds of thousands across the country of people who are working more than full-time hours and are living in poverty? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Mr. Wise's story is one of millions of labor market stories, and I guess it comes as a perception that somehow I don't care about those stories when you look at the data. The data give voice to all those stories simultaneously. They tell us on average how things will work out. They will be worse, not better. I don't want that. Ms. Wild. I am sure Mr. Wise will advise his children about that data. I yield back. Chairman Scott. The chair recognizes the gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Walker. Mr. Walker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Wise, I first want to say how much I respect the willingness to be vulnerable like this in a National forum. I also admire the fact of how intricately involved you are in your daughter's life. The line that jumped out at me, I believe that you said earlier, was all work has dignity, and I certainly agree with that, and thank you for your courage and being here today. Mr. Holtz-Eakin, I have a couple questions for you if I could get to that. I believe our colleagues have proposed--I think the number comes down to about a 107 percent increase in the minimum wage. What percentage was the minimum wage increased by the last time in 2007? Would you have those numbers? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't have them in front of me, but it is much, much lower. I mean, it was about a $2 increase. Mr. Walker. Ok. So percentage wise, it is about 40, 45 percent, somewhere in that range. Would you say there were some disruptions in the labor market immediately following the minimum wage increase, and could you take just a few seconds or a minute to describe those for us? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. So that minimum wage increase was implemented during the depths of the Great Recession and the early parts of the recovery. If you look in the data, teen unemployment is markedly higher there. I think there is little reason to doubt that is, in part, attributed to the minimum wage increase, a weak economy, very, very few skills in that population. They didn't get hired. Mr. Walker. Back in my home area of Greensboro, I think of my friend who has a yogurt shop there in Northern Greensboro. It is not his primary source of income because they just kind of break even, but he has about six to eight individuals who make around $8 to $10 an hour. It is basically an after-school for some younger people to be able to have some time. I think he even has some of his family members just to cover some shifts there. I know this , and I have talked with him about this, if they were to go to $15 an hour, he would be defunct. The place would no longer be in business. If we were to move forward on such standards that are suggested, do you think that there would be a drastic change to specifically the labor market if this was to be adopted? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. This is, I think, a recipe for very few opportunities for the younger, less skilled, less experienced workers, and that first step on the job market ladder of success is an incredibly important one, and I think that is something to be deeply concerned about. As I mentioned in my opening, I think it has been underappreciated what went on in 2018. The fact that the economy, having already reached low levels of unemployment, could pull so many people into the labor market and into employment, over 200,000 jobs a month, means that we were taking people who had given up, who had no attachment to work, and now they have one. Anything that does that has great long-running success. This might do the reverse. Mr. Walker. Well let's speak, then, on the younger people. I remember my first job there in my small town in Milton, Florida. I worked at the Piggly Wiggly grocery store for $3.35 an hour. I did get wise to who might tip me $0.50 for carrying their bags out back when you could do that. To add or pad that a little bit. What kind of benefit is it to some of our younger people to be able to develop these entry-level skilled positions or even those skilled positions? Can you speak to the generalization of that? I know that is not a hard data point, but do you have any evidence supporting that? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We know that work is good for people. People want to work. They feel better when they work. There is an enormous amount of on-the-job skills that are learned, especially early, and those skills are general skills that transfer from job to job. So getting people in, acquiring those skills is a very important part of the labor market dynamics. Mr. Walker. And one potential effect of more than doubling the Federal minimum wage is that small businesses will simply close the doors as I have mentioned. This is extremely concerning to me as we have over 890 small businesses in North Carolina alone employing about 1.6 million workers. Any evidence showing that increasing the minimum wage to $15 could possibly lead to some of these businesses closing like the one that I mentioned. Do you have other evidence to support that? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would be happy to get it back to you with as to estimates. That is an important dynamic. I think it is especially important right now. One of the characteristics of the U.S. economy is that we have seen fewer business startups than historically. Indeed, a couple years back, business startups fell for the first time below business closings. That lack of dynamism I think is troubling. We don't want to get in the way of that. Mr. Walker. And I think we all should be sensitive to some of the families and with Mr. Wise's situation, people that there is a gap that cut through here, and our heart goes to out to them. The financial crisis, as a former pastor I can tell you I have witnessed it firsthand. But I worry about this one- size-fits-all where even some of these proposed minimum wages are even standard of living in places like New York and Boston and other places. And with that, I will yield back to you and I will close out. Yield back to the chairman. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I guess the one thing I would note for this committee, especially this Committee on Education and Labor, the troubling data point in my mind is the fact that if we look at our National Assessment of Education Progress, the NAPE scores, we have got somewhere between a quarter and a third of fourth and eighth graders who aren't reading at grade. They are seriously deficient, and they can't do math at grade. They are seriously deficient. If you want to have a recipe for a big problem going future, let that continue. That is a problem. Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Levin. Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am glad to hear you are in favor of a massive investment in public education. That would be great to raise those scores. Mr. Chairman, if it is all right, I would like to submit for the record a letter from the AFL-CIO legislative director, Bill Samuel, about our hearing topic today. Thank you. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.089 Mr. Levin. Thank you. So I appreciate all four of you coming. I have learned a lot listening to you. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I wanted to ask you, you have been a professor and worked in government so many distinguished contributions, have you ever written in favor of raising the minimum wage at any level, written a paper, published a paper? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. No. Mr. Levin. You have never supported raising the minimum wage? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have never written a paper on that, no. Mr. Levin. Ok. What do you think the ideal minimum wage is, or should there be one at all? Perhaps--it is a perfectly legitimate position--just leave it to market forces, would that be your position? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would prefer to have subnational minimum wages which are tailored to the labor market conditions where people are actually working. So I have lots of reservations about any number for the Federal minimum wage. It doesn't match any labor market. Mr. Levin. Even $5 an hour, say, $2 an hour? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. We are already at 7, so 5 would be fine. Mr. Levin. Were you opposed to going to 7? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I didn't have an opinion on that debate, to be honest. Mr. Levin. You didn't? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I was not at this table and was not asked. Mr. Levin. I know you weren't at this table, but you are an important thinker on these. I am being, in all seriousness, I am just trying to understand. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know. I am being serious too. I am not a fan of minimum wage increases for the reasons I explained at the outset. Mr. Levin. Thank you. That is what I thought. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. And--no, it is this and this very particular thing: If you do it, the best possible outcome is no harm. The only debate we have is over how much harm. And the nature of that harm is to take money from people who don't have a job and give it to people who do have a job. I don't think that is right. Mr. Levin. I don't think the data support that, but I appreciate your point of view. In fact, in 1949, according to Dr. Spriggs' figures, we raised the minimum wage by 88 percent and 91.4 percent of Republicans voted in favor of that. So we have raised the minimum wage significantly before. In this case, we are talking about raising it over a 5-year period. So the notion that my friends, some of my friends on the other side of the aisle talking about a shock, this immediate thing of doubling the minimum wage, that is factually completely inaccurate. That is not what we are proposing. We are proposing raising it to get it back toward what it was, not toward what it was as a percentage of productivity, but at least toward what it was in dollar figures, close to what it was in earlier times. Mr. Wise, I really was interested in something you said a couple of times about you are not just here advocating for a living wage for your family, but also for the freedom to form a union. Could you explain that a little further? Mr. Wise. Well, yes. It is kind of like, you know, you get more done together than you can alone, and that was evidenced in my life. Like I said, I have asked the boss for a raise in the nicest ways for years, tell him I need benefits for years, and it just falls on deaf ears. And not only that, but when you look back at American history, when we join a movement we learn about history. We know that for women to get voting rights, they had to come together collectively. Any labor laws that we want or any advances in the labor movement, we had to do it together. To end slavery, it took a movement, civil rights movement, to improve the lives of people in this country. And that is what it is all about. And that is what I like to instill in my daughters as well, that we get more done together than we can alone, and we can go so much farther as long as we stand together. And a union, you know, going to work every day now is like going into a dictatorship, you know. I have no voice, no opinion. I can remember the first job at Taco Bell, we at least had a comment box. Now those have all but been eliminated from the workplace. So to be able to come together and have a seat at the table with my employer where we can negotiate healthcare and wages. That is the benefits of a union. Mr. Levin. Thank you so much for coming today and for speaking the truth for your leadership on this national stage. The truth of the matter is that we need to raise our wages for everybody to a basic level of dignity, but unless workers have the power and the freedom to form unions in this country, which they don't today, we are at 6 percent of the private sector being unionized, we will never raise the standard of living for the middle class in this country. And I just want to point out that people have this idea of a lot of workers in my area, auto workers, it is like, you know, they represent the sort of middle class of working class people getting a piece of the middle class. A hundred years ago, when auto workers were in the same fight you are now, my friend, they were poor workers in incredibly unsafe jobs, and it was only by coming together to form a union that they got their little piece of the middle class. So keep on speaking the truth, and thank you so much for your testimony. I yield back, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Tennessee, Dr. Roe. Mr. Roe. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank all the witnesses for being here, and I appreciate that. In our State of Tennessee, we recognize that we think the way out of poverty are skills. In our State, we provide free community college and free technical school. Anybody there. And if you have lost your job and you want to get educated, we have a Tennessee Reconnect, where you can go to community college or you can go to a technical school. We have 27 of them in the State for free. So that is one of the ways we are attacking this low wage. And what I have seen in my district is I think it is going away, the minimum wage issue and debate. Right now we have a lot more job openings than we do people filling those jobs even where we are. And there is a help wanted sign literally everywhere. And I just looked the other day for H2 workers around the country, H2A workers. The highest is $15.03. That is in Washington State. The national average is almost $13 an hour. And in my district, it is $11.74 an hour. That is now. Five years from now, it is going to be $15 an hour. There are fast food restaurants in my area that are paying $15 an hour today. I can get you a manufacturing job in my hometown today if you are willing to work and you can pass a drug test for $19 an hour. And the skills gap that Dr. Holtz-Eakin is talking about is where one of the biggest problems are, low-skill workers who don't have those skills. I looked up a couple things. I think the minimum wage $15 an hour may be very appropriate. It could be even more if you lived in San Francisco. And I just did a few calculations while we are having this. The median price of a home in San Francisco is $1.4 million. Let me run down where I live. I live in the wealthiest county in my district, and the median price of a home is $148,000. Seattle, $725. I have got a town I represent where $90,000 is a median price of a home. Fifteen dollars an hour there is totally different than $15 an hour in New York City or San Francisco or in Bend, Oregon, where it is $433,000 for a home, or Portland where it is $449,000 for a home. So I just looked those numbers up just a moment ago. In Kansas City, it is $147,000, a little cheaper place to live than Washington or these other places. And if my colleagues on the other side of the aisle are willing to do this, I am more than willing to look at a minimum wage if you will look at the Medicare Wage Index, where the Federal Government says it is Ok to pay me and my hospital where I live 73 cents on the dollar and pay people in California $1.50 to do exactly the same thing. The government is already making a difference in what they pay, depending on where you live. So it makes sense to let local communities decide those things, based on the economic conditions in that community. I would like to yield to Dr. Holtz-Eakin, if he could comment on that. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would comment on two things: First, I commend you for your discussion about the community colleges. There is an enormous amount of evidence that is a relatively low-cost, very valuable way to go in getting workers new skills or skills to begin with. And I think that is something to think about more broadly for the U.S. And then I have said this many times today, I won't belabor it, there are hundreds of local labor markets that are very, very different, and to just jack up a national average to $15 is going to dramatically impact some of them, because it is inappropriate. Mr. Roe. And I agree with that. And I think where we are, a wage, a minimum wage, there is no question, to hire qualified people, you have to pay more than $7.25 unless it is a high school student that is just entering the labor force. And I think the other thing that I took a little bit of offense at today is I have been an employer my entire life, and I didn't keep everything. I provided health benefits and retirement benefits because why? The most valuable person in my business were my employees. They were the most valuable person I had. I value them. Right here in this U.S. Congress where I hire people, the most valuable people are my employees who work with me every day. So I certainly know if you have got a good employee, that is the most valuable person in there and you are going to pay them what you can afford to pay them to keep them in your business. And with a growing labor market, they have more options, and that is a good thing when a person can go from one job to another and transport and make more money, and that is what we are seeing right now and it is about time for middle class working people--and I grew up in that kind of family, my dad was a factory worker and my mother was a bank teller--to see wages going up for middle class people. I yield back. The Chairman. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, Ms. Jayapal. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you all for being here. I am from Seattle. I proudly represent the district that passed the highest minimum wage in the country. I was on the committee that wrote the legislation. I have heard testimony for years similar to some of the testimony we have heard here. And I want to start by saying none of that would be possible without the work of people like Mr. Wise and all of the people that are in the room that have been on the streets, that have been in your employer's workplaces demanding a $15 minimum wage. That is where the energy has come from. I also want to say, Dr. Spriggs, that we are proud in Washington State to have one of the highest minimum wages in the country indexed to inflation, going all the way back to 1998. And from 2001 onwards, we have indexed our minimum wage. And that was part of--that was really the product of a strong labor movement. So you articulated so beautifully why it is important to have collective bargaining, to have organizing, in order to really work with employers to make sure that workers who are driving profits--because let's be clear about where profits come from, they come from workers who drive those profits--are rewarded for that. So, Mr. Wise, I just wanted to give you a little bit more of a chance to talk also about your colleagues. You have spoken so beautifully about your own situation. Tell me if that experience reflects what your colleagues are also feeling at McDonald's? Mr. Wise. It has. And I can tell you even before this moment and before the movement, you know, I would work every day with my colleagues and we would share the same stories of how we struggle to pay bills, come to work depressed because the gas is up, you know, skipping meals, the same thing. Whether it was Suzy, my Hispanic coworker, Ellen, my white coworker, me myself, we all were going through the same trials and dilemmas. And we all did what? Woke up every day and went to work. It is not like we weren't working hard. And another thing I looked around, the myth of this being jobs for teenagers. These are McDonald's workers with me here today. We are hardworking adults raising families, you know what I am saying? So it was no way, no individual way to fix the problem by ourself. We would just soak in it and go to work and take it. But we figured out quickly that when you can organize, come together and amplify your voice, you know, act like a union even before we win our union, we were able to get things done. We were able to change the narrative in this country. Like I said, 6 years ago we started hearing about 15. That number 15, Amazon and everyone else you hear, it just didn't come out of thin air. These employers didn't wake up oneS day, you know what, let's go 15. That is because of what workers in this room and myself have been doing to change the narrative around the country. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you so much, Mr. Wise. And I would just say that the argument around youth employment has been proven false over and over again. When we have the debate in Washington State, the reality is the majority of minimum wage workers today are not teenagers, and I think it is exactly what you said. I wanted to just say to Dr. Holtz-Eakin that you quoted a study on Seattle and the effects of the minimum wage increase. Are you aware, Dr. Wise that study--I assume you are quoting the study from 2017. Are you aware that the exact same researchers put out a study a year later that countered everything that they said, almost every everything that they said in the 2017 study? And just a yes or no or is fine, because I want to go to Dr. Zipperer. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I would disagree they countered everything. I know there is another study. Ms. Jayapal. Ok. So there was another study done by the same researchers that had substantially different results than that first study. So, Dr. Zipperer, can you speak to what the research shows around the effects of the Seattle increase in the minimum wage? Mr. Zipperer. I think there is a study that you are referring to or a set of studies by the researchers at the University of Washington. And, like I mentioned earlier, I find both sets of those studies to be completely uninformative about the consequences of the Seattle minimum wage. Those studies find that there are large negative consequences to employment of certain groups of workers and-- Ms. Jayapal. You are talking about the 2017 study? Mr. Zipperer. About the 2017 study. Ms. Jayapal. But can you speak about the most recent research that actually counters that and shows that our minimum wage in Seattle has actually increased wages for people that were earning the minimum wage? Mr. Zipperer. The second study that you referred to put out by those researchers found that workers who had jobs prior to the minimum wage increase benefited tremendously from the minimum wage increase, and that they saw higher earnings overall and did not see increased chances of disemployment. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Let me just mention that we talked about the tip penalty. That is what I call it, the tip penalty, because part of what happens is that workers who are under a tip, as Dr. Spriggs said, are subject to all kinds of issues; but in addition to that, it is front-of-the-house workers versus back-of-the-house workers when you talk about tips. And so I think we are going to talk about this on the next panel, and I have many more questions and things to say, but I see that my time has expired, Mr. Chairman, so I will yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Mr. Meuser from Pennsylvania. Mr. Meuser. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Dr. Foxx. Thank you all for testifying. We appreciate it. The former Governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels, had a saying, and it was: My job is to grow the disposable income of Hoosiers. Governor Daniels had that quote put up actually on the door of each of his Cabinet Secretaries' offices. When I served as Revenue Secretary for the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, I truly shared this vision, and spoke to my department and other Cabinet members about the importance of that role. Government does have a responsibility to help competitive businesses and their families flourish by creating an environment for opportunities for all Americans to achieve economic prosperity and help improve family sustaining wages. However, history shows and data that I review proves that when government takes an overreaching posture, there are, unfortunately, unintended consequences. So I will start with Mr. Eakin. A $15 minimum wage would have the largest impact on small businesses and on young people entering the job market, 2.6 percent of employees at small businesses earn the minimum wage. Large businesses, it is a little bit less, 1.5 percent. I represent a rural, hardworking district in Pennsylvania with thousands of small family businesses. I fear that these small businesses in my district would be negatively affected in the event that a $15 minimum wage was implemented. As someone who helped myself grow a small business into a large business that has, well, a minimum wage much higher than the minimum, I think as most companies do, an implementation of a $15 minimum wage would put tremendous pressure on small business owners. I would think that the business would first attempt to raise prices, which is very difficult to do in competitive markets, global markets. Next, the company would be forced to cut staff, letting go of workers who had done nothing wrong. And when that still wouldn't be enough, business owners would be forced to take away raises historically given to employees who had worked with the business for a longer period of time. And then after that, just be concerned with survival. Can you outline, Mr. Eakin, how historically small businesses have dealt with government-mandated minimum wage increases? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. You have walked through the logic. It is the same logic I discussed earlier. There aren't many places to go. You raise prices, lay people off, don't hire new people, don't give raises, squeeze your payrolls wherever you can because you must. And small businesses have the least capability to survive that, and so, you know, you worry about the impact on them. That is part of the cost of this policy. The emphasis has been on the benefits, but what I wanted to emphasize was if you have a job and you get this raise, that is the good news. The bad news is only under 7% of those benefits go to people in poverty. And so the notion that this is an effective way to provide the benefit of poverty alleviation is vastly overstated. It is a poor instrument for that, and it has significant costs to sectors of the economy like the small business and sectors of the labor force who are young and unskilled or least educated. And that is the unintended consequence that I think has to be focused on. Mr. Meuser. Regarding the Seattle study, and it is certainly quoted often, but not only were there job losses but even the workers who kept their jobs had their hours cut, reduced, which more than offset any pay increase. As a result, my information says the earnings went down $125 per month for those workers who kept their jobs. Are these the kind of tradeoffs Congress should keep in mind when considering an increase in the minimum wage? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes, absolutely. I do want to say I admire Seattle because they decided to check on the success of their policy. I think they are to be lauded for that. And these are very carefully done series of studies. There are other studies which can test results. I mean, that is the way you learn. I applaud that entire effort. But there is a big difference between Seattle deciding to do that, praying that I am wrong, those impacts happen to Seattle and that is their decision. It is very different to do it at the national level, and that is what is being proposed. Mr. Meuser. And as well on a national level, the economies of scale clearly are different from one area to the cost of living in a city. So that in itself answers doing such a mandate nationally. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I agree. Mr. Meuser. Thank you. I yield back my time, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Minnesota, Ms. Omar. Ms. Omar. Thank you, Chair, and thank you, Ranking Member, for this important conversation. Thank you to our expert panelists for having this really important conversation. As a union member, I fought to make sure that for dignified work there was dignified pay. And so I wanted to have a little conversation with you all about what that looks like here and the moral imperative that we have to make sure that happens. So, Mr. Wise, thank you so much for your brave testimony and thank you for sharing your story. I wanted to get on the record if you knew what the yearly pay for the CEO of McDonald's was? Mr. Wise. Yes. He makes over $30 million a year, the CEO. Ms. Omar. So the CEO of McDonald's gets paid $21.8 million. Can you share with us what someone in your position at McDonald's gets paid annually? Mr. Wise. Not that much. Not even a fraction of that. But I make $11 an hour at my job currently. Ms. Omar. So the median pay for a McDonald's worker was $7,000 in 2017. And that is the pay gap between the CEO that is making 21.8 to the 7,000 that a worker who has put in 40 hours a day gets paid. And to me, that just morally does not sit well. Dr. Spriggs, I wanted to see if we can talk a little bit about the type of work. I know my colleague earlier from New York said something about different types of work and why it wasn't valuable for everyone to be paid a minimum wage of $15. Can you walk us through the different kinds of jobs and if there have been places like Minnesota or Minneapolis, Minnesota, that has increased the minimum wage or places like Seattle, if there have been types of work that have shifted out of that city or that State because of the increase of that minimum wage. Dr. Spriggs. Thank you, Congresswoman. I mean, one of the interesting things about Seattle is that their wage distribution totally shifted up. And one of the surprises for the researchers was they anticipated that the way that the wage would move that nothing would appear above $20 an hour, and certainly those types of jobs mushroomed. And I think that is the point. When we raise wages from the bottom, we really change the way in which the labor market functions to really allocate workers more fairly. A large share of the minimum people who would be affected by this wage have associate's degrees. It is very hard to understand the pressures that keep those wages down. So this is an important change in the labor market. A lot of people have been saying that, well, you know, the cost of living is different. They are looking as if you make $174,000 a year and have health insurance. Yes, it is a different cost of living and maybe you might want to address someone like that. But if you are a low-wage worker in Alabama, you don't have Medicaid. If you are a low-wage worker in rural parts of Alabama, you have to have a means of transportation to get to a job. If you are in a city like Washington, DC, you have Medicaid and you have public transportation. So you can't really look at the differences in the cost of living in the way that people want to propose it here, because of the barriers that face workers in these low-wage communities. Their communities appear to be, quote/unquote, ``low cost,'' but they are very high cost. They get low wages. And this was in the debate originally in 1937, where people from low-wage areas wanted to argue about low cost. They just haven't lived the life of a low-wage person. Ms. Omar. Yes. And, Doctor, thank you so much for mentioning that, because I want to draw attention to testimony that we have here in written. I don't think the owners of La Quercia are here from Norwalk, Iowa. They are in a city that has 8,000 people and they have decided to pay minimum wage and they are still able to operate. So when we are talking about paying people a minimum wage, we are talking about making sure that there is value in the work that they are doing, and that uplifts workers. It makes sure that they continue to do the hard work. It uplifts that community. It uplifts that city. It uplifts that State because, in return, you also get people who are paying more taxes and it creates an economy that is thriving. So it is not only morally just for us to raise the minimum wage; it is economically feasible and necessary. Thank you so much. I yield back my time. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Wisconsin, Mr. Grothman. Mr. Grothman. Thank you. Mr. Holtz or Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am going to give you some questions. As I understand it, this bill, if you were going to increase the minimum wage from about 7 and a half to $15 an hour the amount you are paying somebody for 1 week of full-time wages--and it is beyond just wages, right, because you have social security, employer's social security taxes and workers' comp. I get your increase, your cost goes up from about 325 to 650 bucks a week per employee. Is that true? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. That sounds right. Mr. Grothman. Ok. Over time--we have kind of covered this area before, but if your cost of anything in life goes up from 325 to 650 bucks per week, do you try to make adjustments if you are writing that much bigger of a check? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Certainly. You will try to use less of whatever is more expensive. Mr. Grothman. Anywhere in life? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. Mr. Grothman. Ok. I am looking at something that was found, a Brookings Institution study, Pathways to Higher Quality Jobs for Young Adults. It points out even later in life people have a tendency to make more money if they were working when they were 16 or 18 years old. Is that true? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. Yes. Mr. Grothman. Is it important, therefore, in life that we have young people get jobs? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I believe so, yes. Mr. Grothman. Ok. And as you mentioned, if we increase the cost of hiring somebody or if we double the cost, somehow you are going to scramble to write less of those checks, whether you put in--I am told from McDonald's, my local McDonald's owners they can put in a lot of equipment that causes you to hire less people. Maybe you could cut hours, Ok. Maybe some marginal restaurants will close. Who is most likely to get laid off when those things happen? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The people with the least skills, the least education, the least experience, the least ability to contribute to the enterprise. Mr. Grothman. I will even ask Dr. Zipperer, is there any doubt that if you double the check you are writing that you are going to somehow try to scramble to write all those checks? Do you believe that? Mr. Zipperer. I think that we have heard these kinds of scare stories about almost every-- Mr. Grothman. If you owned a restaurant--I will put it this way: If you owned a restaurant, because we are talking about a restaurant worker here, and you were told--and I think right now the vast majority of people in our society, at least restaurants in my area, judging from the signs out front, are paying more than minimum wage. But let's say you had to jump how much you were paying somebody from $325 to $650 a week, you know, don't you think you would try to hire less people or it would affect the way you run the business? Just like anywhere else in life, if the cost of something doubles, you maybe want to use less of it, not use it at all. Do you think that is true? Mr. Zipperer. I think what the research shows on restaurants and their responses to minimum wage increases is that restaurants don't employ fewer workers after a minimum wage increase, but they do change how they operate. In particular, the two channels by which they adjust to a minimum wage increase are, one, it makes it easier for them to hire workers and so worker turnover falls. That is actually a large cost saving for low-wage businesses like restaurants and helps them absorb the minimum wage increase. Mr. Grothman. I will give you one more question, because they only give us 5 minutes. I will ask Mr. Wise a question, because I have only got a minute left. Have you told us here you have been working for your business or for where you work now for 20 years? Mr. Wise. I have been in the fast food industry for 20 years and McDonald's for the last six. Mr. Grothman. For 6 years, Ok, and you are making 11 bucks an hour right now? Mr. Wise. Oh, yes. Mr. Grothman. Have you applied to work anywhere else? Mr. Wise. Well, when you look across my city and across many cities in the country, these are the fastest growing jobs, service-based jobs. Mr. Grothman. I know. I am just saying like in my area we got manufacturing. Sometimes people shift from that sort of thing to manufacturing. Maybe they look for fast food where you have a chance to move up and become a shift manager, or whatnot. I am just saying, have you done anything in the last 6 years to try to look for a job that pays more than 11 bucks an hour? Mr. Wise. Well, I am a manager. I have been to management training classes. I have been to Safe Serve. I have been certified. Mr. Grothman. Have you looked for any other jobs anywhere else that pay more than 11 bucks an hour? Mr. Wise. Less than half of my city makes less than $15 an hour. There aren't jobs readily available. Mr. Grothman. Have you applied for any other jobs? Mr. Wise. Oh, definitely. I have looked for jobs in my city, you know. They are all low-wage jobs. They are paying poverty wages. Mr. Grothman. Somebody else talked about drive trucks. Have you ever tried to do that sort of thing? Mr. Wise. No, I never tried driving tractor-trailers or anything like that. Mr. Grothman. Not even tractor-trailer, just delivery truck, that sort of thing. Mr. Wise. No. Mr. Grothman. Ok, thanks. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Nevada, Ms. Lee. Mrs. Lee. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. For much of my career, I have focused on helping young children graduate from high school, some of the most at risk students in Nevada. And poverty is the most significant barrier to educational success. And I would like to say that a story like Mr. Wise's is the exception, not the rule. But when you think about the stress that you as a young man and your family went under, having to work two and three jobs to make ends meet, then you having to pitch in and, thus, dropping out of high school, to me that depicts that not only are we talking about minimum wage, but we are talking about a lost opportunity cost. And the Congressman Grothman who asked you about did you apply for another job, well, a lot of jobs that are higher paying require additional training. And if I recall, you basically said there were weeks on end where you had days where you did not have a day off. Is that correct? Mr. Wise. Yes. Mrs. Lee. So I think we need to take note of the lost opportunity cost of not increasing a minimum wage here. So I want to thank you for the courage that you had in giving that testimony. I think it was incredibly important. And, again, I wish it were one that isn't as common as it is. And I now want to ask Dr. Zipperer a question with respect to that. Looking at these barriers in youth, I am hoping that you can inform us what the impact of increasing the minimum wage will have on children in our country. Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. My colleague David Cooper at the Economic Policy Institute has recently conducted an analysis showing the benefits of raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024. And in particular, raising the minimum wage to that level by 2024 would raise the wages of parents of nearly 14 million children. That is nearly one-fifth of all U.S. children would have a parent that experienced a minimum wage increase. Mrs. Lee. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I request unanimous consent to offer this letter into the record from First Focus Campaign for Children, explaining the economic impact of increasing the minimum wage on children in our country. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T5268.090 Mrs. Lee. Mr. Zipperer or Dr. Zipperer, I have another question. There is this fear-mongering about the notion of workers losing their jobs because of an increase. Can you tell us how or why this notion of job loss is misleading, and is it possible that workers would be able to work fewer hours but still earn a stronger income, thus having the time to pursue, perhaps, education that would put them in a position to achieve a higher-paying job? Mr. Zipperer. Thank you for the question. Yes, I think there are three ways in which this phrase ``job loss'' is misleading when we are talking about the minimum wage. First is that the vast body of research published in the last 15 years or at least since 2001 establishes very clearly that the employment effects of the minimum wage are small to zero. That is the average study in that literature. And I would argue, in my judgment, the best studies also strengthen that conclusion, finding little negative employment effects of the minimum wage. So that is the first way in which job loss is misleadingly characterized as the consequences to the minimum wage. The second reason is that even studies that either find or assume that there is going to be job loss, typically the benefits to workers outweigh the job loss that those workers experience. So just looking at it from terms of cost and benefits, raising the minimum wage still has benefits that outweigh the cost. The third point and the reason why job loss is a misleading phrase applied to the minimum wage, is that, just as you indicated at the end of your question, if there is some reduction in the number of hours worked by workers, which I don't necessarily subscribe to, but if that is the case, workers can still earn more over the course of the year because they are earning a higher wage and, therefore, would be better off. Mrs. Lee. And perhaps spend time with their family as well. One final thing. Oh, I am sorry, I think I am going to run out of time, so I will yield the floor. Thanks. Chairman Scott. The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Thompson. Mr. Thompson. Thank you, Chairman. Thanks for hosting this hearing. It is a very important topic. You know, I don't want anyone who is a primary earner in their home, you know, responsible to provide for their family to earn just minimum wage. You know, and I don't care what that minimum wage level is, to tell you the truth. You know, it will always be the minimum wage. And some of the consequences that we have seen is that we will see that raising minimum wage, you know, raises the cost of many basic necessities. We also see that more times than not minimum wage increases results in the Federal income threshold for what qualifies as poverty to go up, sweeping more families technically into poverty. And if it is done technically, it is done for good reasons, because the value of that earned dollar lessens. But, again, I want to say I don't want to see anyone who is supporting a family who is the primary earner earn minimum wage. That is why I work so hard to support restoring ladders, rungs on a ladder of opportunity. And this committee did great work in that area with the Career and Technical Education bill President Trump signed. I believe it was on July 31st we were at the White House. We put an additional billion dollars on top of what we already invest in career and technical education training. And we know there are 7 million jobs that are out there today, and that number is climbing. It is compounded and getting larger because of the retirement of the baby boomers, but it is also growing because of the growth of the economy and the jobs that are being created. So I am not saying those opportunities are equal. I mean, sometimes communities and cities, places, for whatever, based on whatever is going on there, perhaps they don't have as many opportunities; but nationwide, that is the scenario that we are seeing. And that is why I, when it comes to better wages, especially for those who are primary providers for their families, I want them on those ladders of opportunity. And I think this committee did some really good work to restore that with resources and reforms to that program. I also get the point--and, unfortunately, she left. I appreciated the passion of the gentlelady from Seattle. You know, it is situational. It is geographical. And just to share a couple numbers. I am from Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania, the average, the median home value in Pennsylvania is $172,000. In our largest city--I tried to pick a big city that compared to Seattle, you know--it is $158,500 right now, and that was after a 12.7 percent increase in value this past year. Washington State, it is $379,500. And in Seattle, the median home value is over $725,000. I get it. But that is a geographical issue. That is not a one-size-fits-all solution of a Federal minimum wage. And so I appreciate her passion and I appreciate her local leadership of serving the folks in Seattle who are incurring such a--I mean, it is just a--what a terrible situation for folks who are living paycheck to paycheck and struggling. And so, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, great to see you again. A real quick question here: Your testimony cites a 2014 study by Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Wither that shows a hike in the minimum wage is likely to increase the occurrence of unpaid internships. Would a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum wage hurt students and young adults who are trying to enter into that work force and to get that basic experience, you know, to be able to launch successful careers that hopefully eventually will be with family sustaining wages? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I have an intern program. I don't know if I would if you doubled the minimum wage. They are paid minimum wage. And that is an issue. And that is the starting rung, and everything I have said earlier today applies to the intern programs across this country as well as the full-time employees. Mr. Thompson. Thank you. I know we have another panel, so in the effort of efficiency I will yield back, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. The gentlelady from Georgia, Mrs. McBath. Mrs. McBath. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to thank you for holding this hearing today. And I would like to thank the witnesses who are here to discuss the importance of raising the Federal minimum wage for Americans. It is time for us to raise the minimum wage and to have these very, very important conversations. Too many in our Nation are working hard, but are definitely not seeing their wages budge. The Federal minimum wage has been stuck at $7.25 per hour since 2009. And in that time, costs have gone up significantly. In my home State of Georgia, the minimum wage workers make only $7.25, and even for those who work 40 hours per week, it is nearly impossible for them to make a living. Now, this translates into lost value and lost purchasing power for the American worker, not just for those that are earning the minimum wage, but also for those that make more that have not seen wage growth in a resurgent economy. We need to raise the minimum wage to help families make ends meet, but we also need to do it in a way that protects jobs and small businesses in our communities. Our country is made up of many different regional economies, but only one Federal minimum wage across the board. This is an old model that truly ignores the basic reality of cost of living differences. The cost of everything from rent to a carton of milk to a haircut is different from one part of the United States to another, and our minimum wage should account for those differences. $1 in Macon, Georgia, is different than $1 in Roswell, Georgia. And $1 in Roswell is different than a dollar in San Francisco and New York City. We need a Federal minimum wage policy that works for rural, suburban, as well as urban Americans. A $15 minimum wage might be right for San Francisco, but what about Birmingham? What about Cleveland? What about Houston and Raleigh? Jared Bernstein, who served as a member of President Obama's Economic team and he also held the post of Deputy Chief Economist at the U.S. Department of Labor between 1995 and 1996, he discussed this very topic in an article that he wrote for the New York Times, when the Obama Administration proposed to raise the national minimum wage to $10.10. He wrote: When we adjust the national minimum wage of $10.10 for regional differences, these are the amounts you would need to have the same buying power: $11.94 in Washington, DC. and $11.40 in California, but only $8.90 in Alabama and $9.08 in Kansas. My goal is truly to make sure that folks in rural communities, communities of color, and distressed communities are not adversely affected by well-intentioned minimum wage policies that raise the minimum wage to a higher point or to a point that is higher than the local economies can handle. Now, we are all in agreement that the minimum wage needs to be raised to help Americans, but I would like to learn more about how this will be received in every part of the country. So, Mr. Zipperer, my question is for you, would the $15 minimum wage under this bill be applied with any consideration for differences in local cost of living or is it just one flat rate across the country? Mr. Zipperer. The $15 minimum wage bill of the Raise the Wage Act of 2019 is $15 across the country, but States, cities if they can, and localities could raise their minimum wage above that if they desired. Mrs. McBath. So my followup question is, does the $15 minimum wage have the same purchasing power in Washington, DC, that it does in rural parts of the country? Mr. Zipperer. No, it has different purchasing power in different parts of the country. But in all parts of the country, including the cities you mentioned, Houston, Cleveland, Raleigh, and in rural parts of the country, rural counties in every State of the United States, workers will need at least $15 an hour in order to purchase basic necessities that attain them a modest yet adequate standard of living. Mrs. McBath. And, Dr. Zipperer, have you heard of the term ``regional price parity?'' Mr. Zipperer. Yes, I have. Mrs. McBath. Can you explain its meaning and why it exists? Mr. Zipperer. Regional price parities are a tool that we can use to calculate the differences in the cost of living across different areas of the country. Mrs. McBath. Last word: I believe that workers in every part of the country, they deserve a raise, most definitely. So I thank you for answering my questions. And I thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing. I hope this is the beginning of what I believe will be very thoughtful and inclusive discussions about how we can raise the minimum wage to a living wage for all communities. And I yield back my time. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan. Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for holding these hearings. Thank you for hanging in with us today. I know it is a long day to sit on this panel. I grew up in a family that needed two incomes. My mother, she juggled multiple part-time jobs while I was growing up, working more than 40 hours a week and managing to raise us children. So sometimes, you know, when you are removed from that, it is easy to forget that it doesn't leave a lot of time to look for another job. So, Mr. Wise, thank you. I appreciate your testimony. Dr. Zipperer, I want to talk about women and families and the impact that the minimum wage has. Women are nearly two- thirds of workers paid the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour. Women are also two-thirds of tipped workers for whom the Federal minimum cash wage is just $2.13 per hour. Throughout my career, I have seen the pay gap in action time and again. Women's overrepresentation in low-wage jobs is one factor driving the persistent wage gap. Women working full time year-round typically are paid just 80 cents for every dollar paid to their male counterparts, and this gap is even wider for women of color. Congress has raised the minimum wage only four times in the past 40 years and enacted the last increase a decade ago. A woman working full time at minimum wage earns just $14,500 annually, nearly $5,000 below the poverty line for a mother with two children. You know all this. Dr. Zipperer, what do we know about how the minimum wage would impact the gender pay gap, and what is the evidence from States on how the minimum wage could impact the gender pay gap? Mr. Zipperer. That is a great question. It is true that the minimum wage disproportionately raises wages for women. It benefits women more than men, and that is because, as you outlined in your question, unfortunately, our country's economy pays women excessively low wages. If we were to raise the minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the majority of workers that would benefit from that are women. Close to about 58 percent of the workers who would benefit from a minimum wage increase of that kind would be women. The minimum wage has long been an important tool to reduce gender wage gaps. In particular, the minimum wage has the strongest effects on reducing inequality for women, in that it brings up women at the bottom of the pay scale toward the middle much more strongly for women than it does for men. Mrs. Trahan. Terrific. Thank you. I appreciate that. You know, I know my colleague from Michigan asked about unions and the impact that the minimum wage will have on unions, but if I could just ask one followup question on his terrific inquiry. I do believe that unions have built the middle class. And what should we consider here in Congress--and if this is a better question for you, Dr. Spriggs, feel free to jump in. What should we consider here in Congress to better support men and women in labor so that all workers see improved conditions beyond increasing the minimum wage? Dr. Spriggs. Just as we are having this discussion to modernize the minimum wage, we need to have discussions to modernize our labor laws to restore the ability of American workers to organize. Today, the penalties for violating labor law are de minimus. It is far cheaper for a firm to fire workers, to intimidate them, then it is for them to let them have a voice. It is unfair to have employers engaged in closed conversations with employees to intimidate them out of their democratic right to vote about whether they want to be in a union. There are a number of other changes we need to make to make sure that workers will be at the table so that as productivity continues to increase, workers get to say, where is my share of the productivity increase, which hasn't happened in the last 40 years. Mrs. Trahan. Thank you. Thanks so much for all your testimony, and I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. Morelle. Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this valuable hearing to discuss gradually raising the minimum wage. And thank you to the panel and the witnesses for being here today to share their expertise. I do want to note, in my home State of New York we have one of the highest minimum wages in the nation. And I was proud to support gradually increasing the minimum wage to $15, which is what it is in the city of New York and other parts of New York. It is going to be $15 in just a few years, as we deal with some regional differences. And that happened, I had the privilege of being the majority leader in the assembly when we do that. And I look forward to hopefully achieving that here in the Nation's Capitol as well, to ensure that all Americans working full time can live safely and sustainably above the poverty line. If I might, Mr. Chair, I would like to ask Dr. Zipperer if you would just talk about the studies evaluating minimum wage increases. Is it your view that raising the minimum wage will result in negative economic consequences for low-wage workers, as some have suggested? Mr. Zipperer. No, it is not my view. I think that the best studies show that minimum wages have been very successful in raising the wages of low-wage workers without those negative employment effects, but you also don't have to take my word for it. You can just look at the studies published over the last 15 years and that the average study and the typical study finds very small to no employment effects. Mr. Morelle. If I might just followup with you, Dr. Zipperer, obviously, people have testified it is important that the Raise the Wage Act have a gradual increase, the cost adjustment over time, which obviously benefits so that, from a public policy point of view, 10 years don't go by, 6 years go by without an increase and you are essentially having to jump up a considerable degree in a single year. Have you calculated what the $15 minimum wage, if it were enacted today, what it would translate to in 5 or 6 years, in terms of what the adjustment would bring us to? Mr. Zipperer. Right. So under the Raise the Wage Act of 2019, a $15 minimum wage would be fully phased in by 2024. And if you account for projected increases in the cost of living over that time period, that is equivalent to about a $13 minimum wage today. Mr. Morelle. Got you. So there obviously would be some erosion because of the impacts of inflation so $15, as we are thinking about it in 2024, isn't the same as $15 today. It is $13. Is that what I understand? Mr. Zipperer. That is correct. Mr. Morelle. Thank you. If I could just followup, relative to that in the purchasing power, I have given some thought to trying to understand what the historical high point was of the minimum wage relative to the median wage of the American worker and, in a sense, what is the $7.25 minimum wage compared now to that median or typical worker's wages. Do you understand that question? Could you comment on that? Mr. Zipperer. Yes. Thanks for the question. So, at the highest point, the minimum wage in 1968 was close to about 53 percent of the full-time, full-year workers' median wage at that time period. Now, the national minimum wage of $7.25 is about a third or about 32, 33 percent of the full-time, full- year median wage. Mr. Morelle. Which is obviously a dramatic, dramatic decline, more than half. In 1960--what year did you quote, the first-- Mr. Zipperer. 1968 is the high point of the minimum wage. The minimum wage has fallen since 1968 over the last 50 years. It has fallen in real terms, terms adjusted for the increase of cost of living, by about 28, 29 percent. Mr. Morelle. Obviously, dramatic. If I might, Mr. Wise, and thank you for your testimony earlier today and for being a part of this. But could you just describe the challenges that your family would face in your situation during a family emergency when you had an unexpected expenditure of an essential? How do you and your family and others presumably in the same situation, how do you respond to that? How do you deal with that? Mr. Wise. Well, first and foremost, it is frightening, because we are truly one missed paycheck away from being homeless. So there is no such thing as being sick or having to call in or a family emergency. Refrigerator breaking down, car breaks, any of that going out is catastrophic, basically, for me and my family. So it is just--it is all pure luck, you know, hoping everything is Ok every day. Mr. Morelle. And if I could also, Dr. Spriggs, what are, in your view, the lasting impacts to wage and wealth levels to regions of the country from the minimum wage coverage exclusions in the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938? And just as a followup, would a regional minimum wage in 2019 lock in income and wealth disparities that were born of that racially motivated exclusions to the FLSA? Dr. Spriggs. Thank you for the question. The only example I can give you of a proposal to do, quote/unquote, ``parity pay'' is from the Third Way. And when you look at the chart of what they think are the areas that have these wonderful lives at low wages because of pay parity, it looks exactly like a distribution of the Black population. If you agree to those regional pay ideas, which Congress debated extensively in 1937 and rejected, extensively in 1966 and rejected, you won't be accepting a new idea, you will be cementing an old idea that got rejected twice and you will create a racial pay disparity. It will be, once again, America understands the problem, we are going to pass a labor law that improves the lives of American workers, and Black workers will be told, the bus is full when it pulls out. If you do that, that is what you will be doing. Mr. Morelle. Thank you for the question. Just in closing, Mr. Chair and colleagues, I just do note that I represent a district in New York State, but many people when they hear the words ``New York'' assume it is metro New York and the city, where now the minimum wage is $15 an hour. Despite that, and I live in a community of about a million people in the Rochester, New York, metro area, Upstate New York, there were concerns about how the increase in the minimum wage would impact an economy that is the vestiges of a manufacturing economy and transitioning. And despite all the concerns that we heard from people about raising the minimum wage, it has really been something that has been greeted largely with support, certainly from the labor community and from people who are working very, very hard to make ends meet. And from what I can see, it has benefited our community greatly, and I certainly hope we pass this legislation in the Congress and make it the law of the land. So thank you. Thank you again, Mr. Chairman. I yield back my time. Chairman Scott. Thank you. And next is the gentlelady from Washington, Dr. Schrier. Ms. Schrier. Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to thank all of you. I have really enjoyed your testimony today. I really appreciate, first of all, Dr. Spriggs, your comments in particular about tipping, because I was unaware of that history, and I think that was very eye-opening. I also wanted to thank you all, but I also appreciate the clarification about Washington State. That is where I am from. We are gradually increasing to a $15 minimum wage, and it has worked well for the State. The one study out of the University of Washington got a lot of eyes when that first came out, but it has become clear that is an outlier study and that for the most part we have done very well with this. Businesses are thriving, and people are thriving. I would also, for people up here who think that $15 is too much, I would just note that although my district starts in the suburbs of Seattle, in Seattle proper you need to have a salary of at least $70,000 a year to afford a one-bedroom apartment. And so I want to just remind everybody that we are talking about a minimum, and that $15, as we have heard many times, is a minimum for the whole country, and there are parts, like where I live, where you would need far more. I did have a question to just drill down a little bit on tips, because I want to make sure that we are taking care of everybody. The way that I am wrapping my head around this is I think about all of the workers in a restaurant, for example, and that if we have, for example, a $15 minimum wage for the wait staff, and they get generous tips on top of that, but the chef in the kitchen is not getting that added bonus and maybe isn't getting tipped out enough from the wait staff or the host. And so I want to think through whether there might be unintended consequences in the social relationships at work. I also wanted to talk about the difference between when you have a subminimum wage, you know, $2 or whatever it is, and then workers are reliant on tips, which to me seems very tenuous, versus people who are guaranteed that if they don't make at least 15 an hour that they will have that as a floor and the tips would be over and the difference in poverty level between those two groups. Dr. Spriggs, maybe I will go to you. Dr. Spriggs. I would like to speak to that first. And thank you very much for the question because it gets to people who think this is easy to regulate. The way that many restaurants run, they either force pooling of the tips, so that the host who might get a bigger tip or the waiter who might get the bigger tip can then share it with busboys. Some restaurants violate the law because they consider some back workers who should get a minimum wage. They think they are supposed to get tipped. It is a nightmare. And when the wages are pooled, now, at some high-end restaurants, perhaps they let the staff control it, but many restaurants want to claim the pool tips are theirs, and then we dole them out to make sure we meet the minimum, it gets very complicated. And, yes, the social relations are complicated because time and again, unfortunately, there is a difference between the race and gender of these different jobs, and inevitably that causes a friction in and of itself in terms of who will get what. So it is going to be a more fraught problem if the real minimum goes up and the tip minimum stays down, because the gap that has to be made up is going to be bigger and bigger and bigger. There is no assurance that will happen. And people need to remember that it is not the fancy restaurants that people in this room go to. The bulk of these workers are at low wage restaurants. They don't work where the tip is going to be $25. They work where the tip is going to be $3. So it is far more complicated to regulate than people understand, and this is the true solution. It closes a gender inequality bigger than anything else we could do to close the gender inequality when it comes to wage theft sexual harassment. Ms. Schrier. Thank you. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Ohio, Ms. Fudge. Ms. Fudge. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. And thank you all so much for being here. Forgive me. I have had three committee hearings today, so I have been in and out. So if I ask you something that has already been asked, please forgive me. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, when I was in earlier I heard you talking about ``these people.'' Who are ``these people'' that you--you have used the word ``these people'' at least three times while I was sitting in this room. Who would you describe as ``these people''? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am not sure what the context was, Congresswoman. Ms. Fudge. You were talking about that $15 wouldn't help ``these people.'' So who are ``these people''? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. The workers that I am most concerned about are those with the least skills, education, and experience. Ms. Fudge. So are they poor? Are they Black? Are they White? Who are ``these people''? I am just saying that you shouldn't use it if you don't know what you are talking about. Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I know who I am worried about in the labor market, and those are the people. Ms. Fudge. I think it is very insensitive. But neither here nor there. Dr. Spriggs, corporations are making more money today than they have ever made. They are making even more money this year as they have benefited from the Republican tax scam giveaway to the richest people in this country. We have also reduced what they would pay in estate taxes. So we have basically said to them: Rich people, we want you to get richer. It is ridiculous to me, knowing that the wage gap is getting bigger, the wealth gap is getting bigger, that someone would say to me that because someone makes $15 an hour, there is no money to pay them. I just don't understand it. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am assuming you make more than $15. I don't want to make an assumption, but do you make more than $15 an hour? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I assume so. I am not paid by the hour. Ms. Fudge. If you give me your salary for last year, I will tell you how much you make an hour. I am sure it is more than $15. And the sky is not falling. The sky is not falling because you make more than $15 an hour, and it will not fall if these people sitting in this room make $15 an hour. It is just not believable to me that you could say that if we pay people $15 an hour, everything is going to collapse. You know what I mean? You have to stop crying wolf. It is not true. There is no evidence to prove it is true. What we are doing today is saying that we have the ability to pay people a decent wage, but we refuse. We have the ability, but we have not the will. So it is Ok for rich people to get richer and poor people to get poorer. I just think it is ludicrous to say that the richest nation in the world cannot pay people a decent wage. It is unconscionable, it is mean, and it is cruel. And with that, Mr. Chairman, if someone would like to claim the balance of my time. Does someone need my time? Chairman Scott. You can yield to the gentlelady from Connecticut. Ms. Fudge. I will. Mrs. Hayes. Good afternoon, everyone. I am sorry. I have been in and out as well, but I have been following the testimony on the TV screen. I had a couple committee hearings as well. First of all, thank you all for being here. Thank you all in the galley for coming out to support. Mr. Wise, I am particularly moved by your testimony. And I hope I can impress upon you that your work is not in vain, that your work has value. And what we hear people talk about is that minimum wage being attributed to people who have the least skill, the least education. But how about the least opportunity? One does not impact the other. I always excelled in school. I always did a good job. But then life happened. So if you don't have access to those same opportunities. I heard one of my colleagues say that he could not imagine living on $15 in a city like Washington where the cost of living is so high. How about the reality of living on $7? And I think that is the conversation that we should be having. And people are always quick to pick out someone who has done it as if this is the rule instead of the exception. And, again, it is just that life happens, and maybe somebody got, you know, a good opportunity or caught a break. But that is not the rule. And then the other thing. I am just listening to all of you: Well, what have you done? My colleagues are always asking: Well, what have you done to lift yourself out of poverty? What have you done? You can go be a truck driver. What if you don't want to be a truck driver? Shouldn't you have the right to live out your best life, to live the future that you want for yourself and not this by- default position that you are placed in because you are attempting to survive? Has your housing cost increased over the last 10 years? Chairman Scott. The time of the gentlelady from Ohio has expired. You will be recognized for your full 5 minutes shortly. The gentlelady from North Carolina, the Ranking Member. Mrs. Hayes. Mr. Wise, I am still talking to you. Has your housing cost-- Chairman Scott. You will be recognized after Dr. Foxx. Mrs. Hayes. Oh, I am sorry. Ms. Foxx. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Dr. Holtz-Eakin, I am interested in the workers who would be affected by a 107 percent increase in the Federal minimum wage. Individuals under 25 years old make up only one-fifth of hourly workers, but they account for about half of hourly workers making the minimum wage. Only 7 percent of workers earning wages between $7.25 and $15 live in poor households. In your view, is increasing the minimum wage to $15 an anti-poverty policy? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I don't think it is an effective anti- poverty policy. As I mentioned at the outset, it is fairly poorly targeted on poverty. And in those cases where it actually does affect the poverty population, the impact may be negative. Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much. Let me follow this train of questioning with you. We had what many are calling a surge in job creation in January, 304,000 new jobs, nearly doubling expectations. Over the last year, average hourly earnings rose by 3.2 percent, average weekly earnings rose by 3.5 percent. And with last month's job surge, the labor force participation rate ticked up to 63.2 percent. There are more jobs than job openings, as you have said and we have said, more jobs at higher wages, and now people who have been the most discouraged and on the sidelines are reentering the work force. Based on your research and experience, are you concerned that more than doubling the Federal minimum wage would reverse these positive trends for workers and the economy? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am very concerned about that. The research would indicate that is exactly the part of the labor market that would be most deeply affected. And we are finally making some progress. It would be a shame to go back the wrong way. Ms. Foxx. Great. You know, I have always emphasized making sound policy decisions based on evidence. But my husband told me a long time ago that too many people in elective office make decisions based on emotions and not on evidence. But as I told him, I am going to start with evidence always. I can get emotional if I have to, but evidence is the best way to go. When it comes to the radical proposal before us to increase the Federal minimum wage by 107 percent, however, it is hard to find convincing evidence because the proposed policy change is so extreme. Would Congress be making a sound policy decision from an evidence-based perspective if legislation were enacted to more than double the Federal minimum wage, impacting businesses and workers around the country? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. In my judgment, that would be a very unwise thing for the Congress to do. It is not just the 107 percent nationwide, which is unprecedented, and as a result, any of the research that we have that shows negative impacts doesn't even come close to capturing the impact of that kind of a change. You also do the indexing at the end of that to the median wage. That is unprecedented and leads to permanent incentives to restructure businesses away from having jobs for that particular part of the labor market. Ms. Foxx. In your testimony, you note the large job losses in California and New York due to the recent increases in their State minimum wages. These job losses may surprise some people because these areas have a relatively high cost of living and are high average income States. What do these States' experiments tell us about what would happen in other regions of the country if a mandate to impose a $15 minimum wage around the country was enacted? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I think the lesson of these State-based minimum wage increases is that there are people who will be just fine. We do see that. But the people who are affected are the ones who are probably the least well-off in the labor market, for the reasons that I have outlined before; that not all of these changes come through the stereotype of someone getting kicked off their job. It is the raise you don't get, the hours you don't work, the person who doesn't get hired. And a lot of this is not, you know, the bear at the door. It is the termites in the woodwork taking out the vitality of the economy. Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much. I yield back. Mrs. Hayes. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Mr. Wise, back to you. Back to my previous question. Has the cost of your housing increased? Mr. Wise. Yes. Yes, it has. Mrs. Hayes. I heard you talk about purchasing school supplies for your daughter. Has the cost of those supplies increased? Mr. Wise. Yes, they have, over the years. Mrs. Hayes. Has the cost of food increased? Mr. Wise. Definitely. Mrs. Hayes. Have you had to get a prescription for yourself or your children? Mr. Wise. Yes. Mrs. Hayes. Have those costs increased? Mr. Wise. Yes, they have. Mrs. Hayes. Ok. So to Dr.--I am sorry, I can't read your whole name, I am so sorry, I don't mean to--when you talk about corporations and the effect that this will have on the economy, have corporations stalled their price increases to wait for people who are living in poverty under minimum wage to catch up? If everything else is increasing except for their wages, are corporations held to the same standard where they are stalling to wait for people's wages to catch up? Mr. Zipperer. If I understand the question correctly, I think it is the case that businesses in general in this country, unfortunately, have not paid low wage workers well without the help of a minimum wage increase. Mrs. Hayes. So if only 7 percent of minimum wage workers live in poverty, how could raising those workers to $15 have the catastrophic effects that we are hearing about? If it is such a small number, if it is such a small number in the overall economy and the overall number of workers, I just heard only 7 percent of minimum wage workers live in poverty, so how could that small number disproportionately impact the overall economy if that group is lifted up? Mr. Zipperer. I don't think that there will be disastrous effects of a $15 minimum wage. But you might be interested in hearing from Dr. Holtz-Eakin. Mrs. Hayes. Yes. I am interested to hear your response. Dr. Spriggs. I want to help out here. In 1966, when we expanded coverage for the minimum wage, suddenly 20 percent, 20 percent of the American work force suddenly had coverage and protection, which means this is a bigger experiment than what you are talking about right now and when you think about what we did. Twenty percent of the entire American work force had not been protected. We raised their wages from $0.80, because on average that is what they made, to $1.60. Mrs. Hayes. I was here for that. Dr. Spriggs. We doubled it. Mrs. Hayes. Yep. Dr. Spriggs. And yet, employment did not fall. And in those states that had no State minimum wage employment did not fall because those States would have been the ones most impacted. So the evidence, the experience, the real experience, not some theoretical experience, the actual experience of the American people in the work force was when we doubled the minimum wage, which 61 percent of Republicans voted for, and gave 20 percent of these workers access to protection, poverty went down. Their employment did not go down. It was helpful. And it got the Black poverty rate for children down to 39 percent, the lowest it was until 1994. Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. I guess, Dr. Spriggs, you would do well to answer the next question. When we talk about the improvement in the economy and the jobs numbers goes up, every month we hear about all of the people who have entered the work force, does this include minimum wage workers around the country? Dr. Spriggs. Yes, it does. Mrs. Hayes. So that number, although we are talking about more people are employed, does not accurately reflect an increase in living conditions, our communities improving, because although people are employed, it does not sound like they are at a livable wage. Dr. Spriggs. That is correct. And increasingly, it has been difficult for us to deliver lower poverty levels simply from higher levels of employment and from economic growth. When we disconnected the minimum wage from a living wage and you look at the poverty, this is why it took from 1969 to the 1990's to get Black child poverty back down below the level it was in 1969. Mrs. Hayes. Thank you. Thank you so much. And I guess the last thing I would say is, with all due respect, the fact that you don't know how much you make or what that translates to over a specific amount of time is more telling than anything else you could ever say, because I bet you every single person in this galley knows exactly how much they make. They know exactly how much they will lose if they are late, if they don't show up, if they call out, if it is a holiday. They know exactly to the penny what that means for them and their family. I have been them. I know what that feels like, and that should be all you need to know. Mr. Chair, I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Indiana, Mr. Banks. Mr. Banks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. There has been a lot of focus today on how this proposal will destroy jobs, and rightfully so. You have already heard a lot about the NFIB study, but another recent study using the methodology of the Congressional Budget Office found that this proposal would cost my home state, the State of Indiana, 64,130 jobs in 2020 alone. This isn't just a number. That is nearly 65,000 Hoosiers losing the dignity that comes from having a job and being able to provide for themselves and their families. At a time when we have nearly 7 million jobs that cannot be filled, it is incredibly reckless to rob people of their livelihoods in order to live up to a campaign talking point. I have heard from local business owners in my district who believe this legislation would have a disastrous effect on their ability to grow and hire Hoosiers. One business owner who runs a number of local franchises conveyed to me that approximately 25 percent of his staff would need to be cut to account for this proposal. He would also be forced to raise prices in his restaurants by 2 to 4 percent just to stay in business. Another constituent of mine who owns a number of restaurants as well and employs nearly 250 people told me that the tipped wage provisions of this bill would force him to cut half of his staff just to stay afloat, along with across-the- board menu prices as well. Think about that. Anywhere from one in four to one in two workers unemployed who are then forced to pay higher prices after losing their jobs. And as if that wasn't bad enough, there is evidence that this will actually reduce income for low wage workers. By making labor more expensive, fewer workers will be hired, and the ones that do keep their jobs will work fewer hours, which translates into lost income. And, in fact, that is exactly what we saw in Seattle. The city of Seattle recently, as you know, increased the minimum wage to $15 an hour. And a study from the University of Washington found that this reduced the number of hours worked in low wage jobs by nearly 7 percent and lower take home pay for low wage workers by $74 a month. That is right, the minimum wage increase actually resulted in lower overall wages. Now, I take personal offense to this conversation as well because in high school and college, my folks didn't have enough money to pay for my college degree. So I worked low-wage, minimum wage jobs to be able to save up for college and make ends meet. So this conversation reminds me of just how important jobs like these are to those Americans who are hopeful to 1 day pursue the same American dream that I have been able to live in my life. So, Dr. Holtz-Eakin, can you expand on the insights of these studies from the University of Washington, the NFIB study, the Congressional Budget Office statistics, specifically how minimum wage laws actually can reduce the income of low wage workers? Mr. Holtz-Eakin. I am happy to, Congressman. First, in the interest of clarity, none of these studies indicate that overall employment in the economy is at a decline. The economy will continue to grow. There will be fewer jobs created than otherwise would have been. That is the nature of the loss. Those jobs are going to be concentrated in a particular part of the labor market, which is the low wage, low skill, little experience part of the labor market that you started out in. And the adjustments that businesses of all sizes will be forced to make will be either to charge higher prices or cut their labor bill somehow, and that means cutting back on raises, cutting back on hiring, cutting back on hours of work. And if you are one of those people who is lucky enough to maintain their job, but is not getting a raise and getting their hours cut, you could end up with less income. Mr. Banks. Another study suggests that 2.3 percent of the American workers actually receive minimum wage or work in minimum wage jobs. And of those 2.3 percent, most of them are under the age of 25, which reflects upon the story that I have lived as well. They work those jobs to pursue something better, the proverbial American Dream. I am struck at the outset of this hearing, Dr. Zipperer admitted--he conceded over and over again, although not on the--we can debate the scale, but he conceded over and over again the negative impact that proposals like this would have on low-wage workers all over the United States of America. This conversation is concerning to me. It is concerning to not just business owners in my district but those who work in jobs like these. It would have a disastrous effect. And with that I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. I yield to myself for 5 minutes. Dr. Spriggs, do you know if the poverty rate is connected to the minimum wage at all? Dr. Spriggs. It no longer is connected to the minimum wage, though when Congress formulated the minimum wage they clearly had the intent that workers would not have to say: ``I hope to 1 day get to be poor. I hope that 1 day I will get a raise so I can get up to the poverty level.'' That is what Congress was trying to avoid. They wanted work to have dignity. And everyone agreed, Republican and Democrat, that should be an American principle. So no longer-- Chairman Scott. So increasing the minimum wage will not affect the poverty rate? Dr. Spriggs. It would not affect the poverty rate because there is little evidence that it would create a sufficient inflationary force that the poverty level would go up. As the Congresswoman said, it is not enough workers, and it is not a big enough part of cost. And as the Congresswoman was suggesting, if CEO pay goes up and that doesn't affect cost, if profits go up and that doesn't affect price, as she was saying, prices went up without wages going up, so why should we think that if wages go up that would happen? Chairman Scott. I just wanted to correct that for the record, because there was a suggestion that if we increase the minimum wage, we would be affecting the poverty rate. We would just be affecting how many fewer people would actually be poor. You say on the uniform Federal minimum wage, why that is important. If you had a subminimum wage for some States that didn't apply or a region minimum wage that was lower, would some States be able to attract businesses by bragging about the fact that you could underpay your workers? Dr. Spriggs. There will be an attempt, I am sure, for some States to brag about it as they do brag that they are not union, that they do brag about other weak investments. So I am sure that some States may wish to brag that, yes, we pay our workers less. Chairman Scott. You had a chart that showed the support for increasing the minimum wage amongst Republicans. Are there any Republican States or States that are considered Republican States that have recently voted to increase its minimum wage by referendum? Dr. Spriggs. Yes. Several of the states are states headed by Republican Governors who through public referendum have shown that this is something that the American people agree with, and they think it is part of their standard. So whether it is the efforts in Arkansas or the efforts in some other States, Florida has raised its minimum wage, we have had a number of victories in red States because of the people you see with these red shirts and the efforts of organized labor and the efforts of Americans of all stripes who understand this is the right thing to do. Chairman Scott. Thank you. And, Dr. Zipperer, a lot has been said about job loss, and we found a couple of studies that have suggested that there would, in fact, be job loss. Overall, of all the studies done, what is the conclusion drawn? Mr. Zipperer. Overall, the recent set of scholarship over the last 15 years finds that on average the minimum wage does not have negative effects on employment but, in fact, raises wages for low wage workers. Chairman Scott. What is the importance of making the increase in the minimum wage gradual rather than all at once? Mr. Zipperer. It is important to allow employers time to adjust to the new higher wage standard. That is why past Federal increases and other State and city level increases include a gradual path to their ultimate minimum wage standard. So raising the minimum wage gradually to $15 by 2024 as time passes and the cost of living increases, that is equivalent to raising the minimum wage to roughly about $13 today. Chairman Scott. Thank you. And can you say a bit about the demographics of who minimum wage workers are and their likelihood of actually spending the increase? Mr. Zipperer. Yes. So low wage workers are actually an incredibly diverse population. They are mostly women. They are more likely to be people of color, more likely to be Black or Hispanic than White workers. They are likely to be low wage. If you were to raise the minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the average age of who would get a wage increase, the average age would be about 35 years old. Most low wage workers are not very young at all, primarily because so few teenagers work to begin with. Chairman Scott. Thank you. My time has expired. I would ask unanimous consent that a letter led by the National Employment Law Project and co-signed by 500 worker organizations be entered into the record. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. I remind my colleagues that pursuant to committee practice, materials for submission to the hearing must be submitted to the committee clerk within 14 days following the last day of the hearing, preferably in Microsoft Word format. Materials submitted must address the subject matter of the hearing. Only a member of the committee or an invited witness may submit materials for inclusion in the hearing record. Documents are limited to 50 pages each. Those longer than 50 pages will be incorporated in the record by way of an internet link that you must provide to the committee clerk with the required timeframe, but please recognize that years from now that link may no longer work. I want to thank our witnesses for your participation today. What we have heard is very valuable. Members of the committee may have additional questions, and we ask the witnesses to please respond to those questions in writing. The hearing record will be held open for 14 days to receive those responses. I remind our colleagues that pursuant to committee practice, witness questions for the hearing must be submitted to the majority staff or the committee clerk within 7 days to allow ample time for witnesses to respond. Questions must address the subject matter of the hearing. Thank you. And that concludes the first panel. We will have a 15- minute break before the next panel. We expect votes presently. And as soon as the votes are over, we will return for the second panel. Thank you. We are in recess. [Recess.] Chairman Scott. The committee will come back to order. We will now introduce the second panel. Ms. Vanita Gupta is president and CEO of the Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights, the Nation's oldest and largest civil rights organization. Ms. Gupta is an experienced leader and litigator who has devoted her entire career to civil rights work. Before joining The Leadership Conference, she served as Acting Assistant Attorney General and the head of the U.S. Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division. Ms. Simone Barron has been a full service restaurant employee for nearly 33 years. She has worked in several cities across the country, including Indianapolis and Chicago, and has lived and worked in Seattle for the past 17 years. Ms. Kathy Eckhouse is founder and co-owner of La Quercia, a producer of artisan cured meats made with nonconfinement, antibiotic-free, sustainable raised pork from family farmers in the Midwest. Based in Norwalk, Iowa, the company produces products that are sold throughout the U.S. and Canada. Michael Strain is the Director of Economic Policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, AEI. He oversees the institute's work in economic policy, financial markets, poverty studies, technology policy, energy, economics, healthcare policy, and related areas. Professor Michael Reich is Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, where he is also the co- chair of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics. The professor has published over a dozen books and over 120 papers and in the past decade has authored numerous policy and scholarly studies on living wages and minimum wages. Representative Paul Brodeur is serving his fifth 2-year term in the Massachusetts State House representing the residents of the 32d District in Middlesex, just north of Boston. He was the House Chairman of the Joint Committee on Labor and Workforce Development during the 2017-2018 legislative session. He was successful in convening negotiations between labor unions, religious organizations, community groups, business trade groups, and employer advocacy organizations to reach a landmark agreement which, among other provisions, raises the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023. We appreciate all of the witnesses for being here today and look forward to your testimony. Let me remind the witnesses that we have read your testimony and the testimony in full will appear in the hearing record. Pursuant to committee rule 7(d) and the committee practice, each of you is asked to limit your oral testimony to a 5-minute summary of your written Statement. Let me remind the witnesses that pursuant to Title 18 of the U.S. Code, Section 1001, it is illegal to knowingly and willfully falsify any Statement, representation, writing, document, or material fact presented to Congress, or otherwise conceal or cover up such a material fact. Before you begin your testimony, please remember to press the button on your microphone in front of you so it will turn on and members can hear you. As you begin to speak, the light in front of you will turn green. After 4 minutes, the light will turn yellow to signal that you have 1 minute remaining. When the light turns red, your 5 minutes have expired, and we ask you to wrap up. We will let the entire panel make their presentations before you move to member questions. When answering a question, please remember to once again turn on your microphone. We will start with Ms. Gupta. STATEMENT OF MS. VANITA GUPTA, PRESIDENT AND CEO, THE LEADERSHIP CONFERENCE ON CIVIL AND HUMAN RIGHTS Ms. Gupta. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and members of the committee, my name is Vanita Gupta, and I am President and CEO of The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights, a coalition of more than 200 national organizations working to build an America as good as its ideals. Thank you for the opportunity to testify here today about the minimum wage. The Leadership Conference strongly supports H.R. 582, the Raise the Wage Act of 2019. Gradually raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024, indexing it to median Federal wages, and ensuring that all tipped workers, working people with disabilities, and young people get paid at least a full minimum wage is essential for working people to cover basic expenses like housing, food, transportation, childcare, healthcare, and other necessities. Congress has not raised the Federal minimum wage of $7.25 hour since 2007, and the tipped minimum wage has been stuck at $2.13 an hour since 1991. First, the Raise the Wage Act of 2019 is a step in the right direction toward closing the gender pay gap. In a 2018 report that we prepared with the Georgetown Center on Poverty, we found that nearly half of working people in our country are paid less than $15 per hour, 55 percent being women. The National Women's Law Center and the National Employment Law Project have noted that women of color are more likely than any other group to be paid the lowest wages. Second, on the tipped minimum wage, it is really important to note its history. Before the Civil War, tipping was largely frowned upon in the United States, but after the war the practice of tipping proliferated, and at that time the restaurant and hospitality industry hired newly freed slaves without paying them base wages. The effect was to create a permanent servant class for whom the responsibility of paying a wage was shifted from employers to customers, and having to depend on tipping put African-Americans in an economically and socially subordinate position. The Fair Labor Standards Act then established a bare minimum floor for tipped wages only in 1966, and it increased to $2.13 an hour in 1991, still leaving tipped workers earning far below their basic needs. Third, as with the tipped minimum wage, the subminimum wage under Section 14(c) of the FLSA that allows people with disabilities working in segregated settings to be paid less than the minimum wage leaves this already vulnerable community that much more vulnerable to poverty and exploitation. I previously served as head of the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division from 2014 to 2017, where I oversaw the Disability Rights Section. In 1999, in Olmstead v. L.C., the Supreme Court held that under the Americans with Disabilities Act unjustified institutional isolation of persons with disabilities constitutes discrimination. And, unfortunately, 20 years after Olmstead and almost 30 years after the passage of the ADA, too many people with disabilities spend their time in segregated workshops or day programs with some paid just pennies per hour. While in theory segregated settings provide job training and experience to people with disabilities and help them find regular employment in their community, the reality is that too many remain stuck in segregated settings for years. Cases that the Department of Justice investigated to enforce Olmstead's community integration mandate illustrate the deep concerns with 14(c) employment, and one of those cases involved Oregonians with disabilities, people like Gabrielle who dreamed of saving up money to buy a home, who assembled nut-and-bolt kits and knee pads in a sheltered workshop for $100 to $150 per month. And after the settlement, she began working as a grooming assistant at a dog daycare earning more than $9 an hour. And as she told a local media outlet, ``I feel better about my life, and I ended up buying that house.'' Some states and localities have taken action to raise the minimum wage, and while these States and localities should be applauded, Federal action is needed to establish a higher universal floor for wages. The Leadership Conference opposes prevention laws that allow states to prevent cities and counties from raising the minimum wage and proposals like a regional minimum wage that could be misused by employers and further calcify racial and gender inequities. At the 1963 March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom, one of the founders of The Leadership Conference, Black labor leader A. Philip Randolph, noted, ``Nor is the goal of our civil rights revolution merely the passage of civil rights legislation. Yes, we want accommodations open to all citizens, but those accommodations mean little to those who cannot afford them.'' Working people should be allowed to live with dignity and have the dignity of a fair paycheck, and that is what the Raise the Wage Act of 2019 would do. And I want to thank you for the opportunity to testify at today's hearing. [The statement of Ms. Gupta follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Ms. Barron. STATEMENT OF MS. SIMONE BARRON, SEATTLE, WA Ms. Barron. Good afternoon and thank you, Chairman Scott and Ranking Member Foxx, for the opportunity to testify today. My name is Simone Barron. I am the mom of a smarty-pants teen boy. I am a semi-professional actor, and I have worked in the full-service restaurant industry for nearly 33 years. I have worked in several cities across the country, including Indianapolis and Chicago, but I am coming to you today from Seattle, Washington, where I have been a tipped worker there for the past 17 years. Today the minimum wage in Seattle is $15 an hour, and it is supposed to be a paradise for employees like myself. Instead, I am watching my income drop as the mandated wage rises. As I have learned that Chairman Scott has proposed to raise the Federal minimum wage to $15, I am here to tell you to, to warn you, and to share with you my experience as a full-service restaurant worker living in a city with a $15 an hour minimum wage. To understand my predicament, you first must need to understand my industry a bit. Control over my earnings is one of the biggest perks of working in the restaurant industry. The harder I work to show hospitality to my guests, the better my tip, and that is an average of 20 percent that I can garner on about every bill. The standard tipping model also has a cost of living increase built into it, too. As the cost of goods go up, menu prices go up, and so do my tips. Contrary to the rhetoric of my industry's critics, I am not forced to rely on tips. I have been able to thrive on tips. Historically, in short four-to 6-hour shifts, I can earn $25 to $50 an hour, and that is enough to make a life for myself and my son. In Seattle, the rapidly rising minimum wage has upset this beneficial arrangement. Without getting into the nitty-gritty details, you should know that Seattle is one of a handful of locales in the country that doesn't count my tips toward my hourly wage. What this means in practice is that the pressure other businesses are feeling under the 15 is magnified in full service restaurants. Things have started to change in Seattle in our industry in ways that have negatively affected workers like myself. At my restaurant, it was the loss of tipping. As 15 went into effect, some restaurants made the decision to change the tipping model either in favor of a flat stagnant wage or replaced with service charges to substitute for tipping. The math on that is pretty simple. If you are forced to give a raise to tipped employees who are already making hundreds of dollars a night in tips, where does the money to pay for it come from without a huge jump in prices. Well, my employer, who is a leader in our restaurant community, took away tip lines and went to a service charge model in order to keep his restaurants sustainable for as long as possible. Service charges are a mandatory charge to a guest that must be filtered through the employer and in which the employee receives a percentage instead of a customer tip. In my case, I receive only 14 percent of my sales from a 20 percent service charge on a bill. So from a $100 sale, I receive $14 on my paycheck as a salary commission instead of the $20 or more in cash tips that I could have received before. The other $6 is then retained by the house to be paid out to support other team employment costs and benefits like insurance and vacation. The few dollars an hour increase in my minimum wage doesn't cover the loss of income because of not receiving tips. Under a service charge model, it is less about how I use my knowledge and skills to maximize my income. I am no longer bothered to give excellent service to receive that tip but must instead sell you the most expensive item on the menu to make the sale. The minimum wage increase has literally changed my job from the art of service to a routine sales job. I used to work four shifts a week and made enough money to raise my son, pay my rent, go to school, and be part of a vibrant arts community. With the cost of living skyrocketing and the impact of the minimum wage increase on my income, I had to get a second job and work 6 days a week. I couldn't sustain that pace. Now I worry every month about paying my rent, and this is a worry that I never had until the minimum wage increase impacted my job. I have had to give up my passion for acting, I no longer can take trips with my kid in the summers, and my smaller income all goes to bills. All my time goes to picking up just one more shift. I have many friends who have lost their jobs because of the rise in the wage. And these are not people of privilege. These are working folks, people who have invested in their jobs, moved up ladders through experience and education, worked hard to grow their jobs, only to lose their jobs because of a policy forced on their employers. My friend, JW, is one of those. He worked his way up from a busser to a sommelier over years of experience but lost his job because the restaurant he worked closed in Seattle because of the minimum wage increase. My friend, Ritu was excited when she opened her pizza place. As an Indian female business owner, she was proud that all of her hard work and experience had led her to a place where she could be an owner. After the increase, she closed because she could not make the numbers work. And these are just two of several dozen stories. Now, I understand the typical arguments for legislating higher wage rates, and I especially understand that in Seattle, where the cost of living is incredibly high, but there is no free lunch here. Under our minimum wage increase, tipped workers are losing our incomes and moving backward to $15 an hour. And I would happily trade my gig in Seattle for the golden days in Indianapolis, a so-called low-wage market, where I wouldn't be working more for less and watching my financial stability whittle away as the minimum wage rises. Unfortunately, if Chairman Scott's one-size-fits-all bill is passed, I won't even have that option to consider. Thank you, and I would be happy to answer questions. [The statement of Ms. Barron follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Ms. Eckhouse. STATEMENT OF MS. KATHY ECKHOUSE, OWNER, LA QUERCIA, NORWALK, IA Ms. Eckhouse. My name is Kathy Eckhouse. I am the co-owner with my husband of La Quercia in Norwalk, Iowa. We make award- winning cured meats, like prosciutto and pancetta. We source exclusively from family farms in the United States, primarily in Iowa and Missouri. I strongly support raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024 as called for in H.R. 582 because it will be good for businesses, workers, and our economy. We founded our business in 2000 and by 2004 we were able to build our own production facility. We started with just ourselves and now have 60 employees. Our products are sold across the United States and Canada in large grocery chains like Hy-Vee and Whole Foods as well as independent shops. We have always paid a livable wage, and that is an important factor in our success. We are a meat processor, a generally low-paying sector of the economy. We have been committed from the start to true sustainability and livability in our work chain from the farmers to our employees. Our starting hourly wage for production staff is $12 to $14 an hour, depending on experience. The cleanup crew, which works a later shift, gets a $2 an hour premium. Anyone with us for 2 years or more is currently making at least $16 to $17 per hour plus a quarterly bonus equivalent to a week's wages. We also provide paid time off, paid maternity leave, and other benefits. All our employees work full-time year round. The Raise the Wage Act does not call for a quick jump to $15. It calls for gradually raising the minimum wage to $15 by 2024 which will give businesses time to adjust and experience the benefits of higher wages. Reduced turnover is one benefit. High employee turnover is common in low wage industries. Turnover is costly for a business in terms of both money and time, requiring advertising open positions, screening applicants, training, and onboarding. Employees new to our operation or any operation are less productive. It takes at least 3 months for an employee to learn our particular processes and be efficient, even those who worked in meat processing plants before. It takes a year for true proficiency. We see more waste, more downtime, and more inefficiency on our production line with newer staff. That is costly. In addition, not spending time on a constant cycle of rehiring and training frees us to look beyond the day to day to innovate and grow our business. It encourages employees to be part of that process, too, as they develop new skills and techniques and familiarity with our work. A minimum wage that covers the basics like rent, groceries, and transportation reduces turnover, reduces employee stress, and allows them to be more focused and productive at work. It also has a broader societal impact. When businesses pay wages that are not enough to live on, the costs of necessities get partly shifted to the community at large, the taxpayer- funded government assistance programs and food banks, for example. It also means that our business is subsidizing the profits of low pay competitors. This is not a fair or efficient way to run an economy. Workers in one business are the consumers for another. Minimum wage increases put money in the hands of people who will spend it. Increased wages mean increased consumer spending. My home, State of Iowa uses the Federal minimum wage floor of $7.25, as do 20 other States. In 2017, Iowa enacted a law that blocked cities or counties from setting higher minimum wages, and it is unlikely that Iowa will raise our state minimum wage ahead of the Federal. We need a Federal increase to ensure that wherever people live and work in Iowa or around the country and whoever they work for, they can at least meet their basic needs. For 80 years, the Federal minimum wage has set the national wage floor. I do not support a regional approach to the Federal minimum wage. Nobody should receive a geographical penalty on their wages. Raising the minimum wage is not a threat to business. Inadequate wages are, weakening the consumer demand that businesses depend on to survive and grow. The minimum wage is the floor in working people's lives and should enable a minimum standard of living that workers and businesses can build on, as we have. This is why I have joined with businesses across the country to call for raising the Federal minimum wage. It is time to get moving to $15 by 2024 to help businesses, workers, communities, and the economy to thrive. Thank you for having me today, and I am happy to answer questions. [The statement of Ms. Eckhouse follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Strain. STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL R. STRAIN, PH.D, DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC POLICY STUDIES, AND RESIDENT JOHN G. SEARLE SCHOLAR, AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. Strain. Chairman Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and members of the Committee, thank you for the opportunity to be here today to discuss raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 per hour. It is an honor. Congress should not increase the minimum wage to $15 per hour. The benefits of doubling the minimum wage would accrue to middle class households while the cost would be borne by workers with relatively fewer skills and less experience. It is already difficult enough for workers without a college education, workers trying to get their start in the labor market, and more vulnerable workers, including the formerly incarcerated, to find jobs. Congress should not erect a barrier in their paths in order to legislate a raise for the middle class. Increasing the minimum wage to $15 per hour would very likely result in significant reductions in employment. For context, consider the Congressional Budget Office's analysis of President Obama's proposed $10.10 minimum wage. CBO found that would cost half a million jobs. Importantly, CBO also found that the extra earnings generated by a $10.10 minimum wage would accrue to households above the poverty line. Three dollars out of every $10 of extra earnings would go to households earning more than triple the property line, while only $2 in every $10 would go to the working poor. Fully $8 in $10 of extra earnings generated by the $10.10 minimum wage would go to families in the working and middle classes and not to the working poor. CBO's analysis then highlights several important tradeoffs for minimum wage increases. First, they reduce employment while raising earnings. Second, most of the benefits of increases go to families that aren't in poverty, while most of the costs are borne by the least-skilled and least-experienced workers in the labor market. These tradeoffs are only more severe for a $15 minimum wage, because $15 is such a high-wage floor. It is hard to overstate how high this wage floor would be. Over half of all workers in Mississippi and Arkansas make less than $15 an hour. In 20 States, half of all workers earn less than $17 an hour. Nationally, around one-third of workers, one- third earn less than $15 per hour. Given how many workers earn at or just above $15 per hour, a $15 wage floor would be extremely disruptive to the labor market and would likely cause significant employment reductions and other unintended consequences. It is hard to forecast with confidence how severe employment reductions would be, because a $15 minimum is so far outside our evidence base. But research I have done studying previous minimum wage increases finds that larger increases produce disproportionately larger employment reductions. In other words, if employment fell by X percent when we last increased the minimum wage, my expectation is that employment will fall by more than X percent as the minimum wage goes higher and higher. The productivity of workers, the additional revenue they are able to generate for their employer for each hour they work, is the primary determinant of their wages. Why would a firm pay a worker $15 per hour when that worker is only generating, say, $9 in revenue for every hour he or she works? If a firm paid this high minimum wage to that worker, it would be losing money every hour he or she worked. Businesses can absorb and have absorbed minimum wage increases through channels other than reducing employment, but they can only cut profit margins so much or raise the prices they charge for goods and services so much higher. Doubling the Federal minimum wage will leave many with no choice other than to cut jobs. This is particularly true if Congress indexes the minimum wage to median wage growth or to any other measure of price or wage inflation. Research I have done shows that preventing the value of the minimum wage from eroding over time through indexing leads businesses to reduce employment more than they otherwise would. My research finds the magnitude of employment reductions is three times more severe in the presence of indexing. Raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour sends us into unchartered waters. It is imprudent. It is a very risky gamble, with the employment opportunities and livelihoods of the least skilled, least experienced, and most vulnerable workers in the United States bearing the risk. There are better ways to help the working poor than a policy that risks putting so many of them out of work. Thank you. [The statement of Mr. Strain follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Reich. STATEMENT OF DR. MICHAEL REICH, PH.D., PROFESSOR, UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKLEY, CA Mr. Reich. Thank you, Chair Scott, Ranking Member Foxx, and the other members of the committee, for the opportunity to testify today about the Raise the Wage Act of 2019. I want to begin--and this is not planned--by talking about Amazon. Amazon announced last October it was going to raise its minimum wage for all its workers--temporary, seasonal regular, 250,000 workers in the United States--to $15 an hour. It was a substantial increase, even in rural areas and in low-wage areas of the South. These are for the big warehouse centers that they maintain. This was a good business decision by Amazon. It has not disrupted those local labor markets, those rural labor markets. In fact, Amazon, the only disruption I guess is that Amazon got 850,000 requests for a job at Amazon, quite a large number, reducing their recruitment and retention costs. I wanted to make five points or touch on five points. Well, rather than say what they are I will just go through them, because I don't have enough time to do the prelims. First of all, the increase from $7.25 to $15 is over 6 years, is surprisingly smaller than it might appear. First, $15 in 2024 is about $13 or $13.33 in 2019 dollars, depending on which price series and forecast you use. Second, entry-level wages in unskilled jobs in our low-wage states, not just in high-wage states, in our low-wage states are already near or above $9. We heard some testimony, some comments earlier today to that effect in North Carolina. And those wages are going to go up anyway, 3 percent per year has been the forecast that was mentioned. That would bring you to $10.50 anyway by 2024. So an increase from $10.50 to $13 is about a 30, 35 percent increase, 5 percent per year. That is well within the range of previous experience. If you want to calculate it another way, you could say that the increase from $9, the entry-level pay today, to $13.33 is a 48 percent increase. That sounds high, but it is over 6 years, so it is about 8 percent per year. By comparison, most of the 140 or more State and Federal minimum wage increases of the past 35 years have averaged between 6 and 9 percent. Some of the citywide minimum wage increases have been as high as 28 percent in a given year. Now, 5 years ago, many minimum wage experts, including myself, told officials in Seattle and Los Angeles that a $15 minimum wage would be a bold experiment into unchartered territory. In 2019, however, we have the early results from many recent minimum wage experiments. These include States like California and Massachusetts that are $12 an hour, New York City that is at $15, San Francisco is at $15, Seattle is at $15 and so forth. So the increase in real wages from H.R. 582 actually does lie within our historical experience. That means that the studies that researchers have done does provide a good roadmap to what the likely effects are going to be. Now, I want to emphasize that the studies that minimum wage economists have done have really changed in their findings over the last 30 years, especially in the last 10 years and even in the last year. Increasingly, we find very small effects of minimum wages on employment. It is really important to be up to date when doing a review of this literature. And these new studies are of better quality, they have better data than the old ones, and they have been influential. In 2015, a panel of prominent economists put together by the University of Chicago Booth School of Business asked the panel what would be the likely effects of a $15 minimum wage? This was in 2015. An overwhelming majority did not think it would have a substantial negative effect on employment. Since then, we have had further improvements in our research methods and the datasets that we can use to study the effects of minimum wages. These newer studies really supersede the estimates from the old ones. It is just not Ok anymore to rely on these very old studies. We now, for example, have excellent estimates of the effects on all jobs. Our older studies used to look at teens and restaurant workers, and we would then try to guess how many workers would be affected throughout the labor force. CBO just took a guess at that in 2014. What do these studies tell us? Well, I review the literature in detail in my submitted testimony. In one sentence, I would say the new studies indicate that a $15 minimum wage by 2024 will work as it was intended to, that is intended to, increase pay, will have minimal to no adverse effects on employment. I have to say, of course, that I have been a participant, an active participant in doing these studies. My most recent one looked at minimum wages in six cities that are the pioneers in going above $10 all the way. By 2016, they were $13, which is the equivalent of--well, it is higher than what $15 would be in 2024. And those included some low-wage cities or low-cost cities like Chicago as well as San Francisco and Seattle and so on. And we found, a very careful study, that it did not have any effect on restaurants' employment. Why does the minimum wage have such small effects? We are also making progress on that front. Labor demand might fall, that is true, but automation is really overrated. A lot of it has already happened. It is going to happen anyway, because technology costs are falling. Don't blame the minimum wage for the good effects of automation. Labor supply has not been mentioned very much, but labor supply of low educated workers is going to increase, especially those who have young children and high child-- Chairman Scott. Summarize the rest of your testimony. You are about a minute and a half over. Mr. Reich. I am not following what you are saying. I still have a minute and a half, right? Chairman Scott. No, you are over a minute and a half. Mr. Reich. Oh, my God. Ok. I will bring it to a close. All right. I will bring it to a close. I will just say very briefly that there are price adjustments that will occur that are pretty small that could be handled by most industries. Individual businesses can't understand how much the prices are going to go up, because they are just an individual business. But these costs are changing for all businesses, and when you do the math, simple math, you find very small price increases. The latitude to increase prices is more limited in manufacturing, but we have already lost all or most of our low-wage manufacturing. And then we are going to have an economic stimulus, because there will be more consumption demand. The effects will be greater in the low-wage cities--low-wage states, I am sorry. And the low-wage States will have a more educated, more healthy, and a bigger work force. So I would say, contrary to the fears that some people have said that you have to look only at cost, in fact, the effects are going to be much better in the low-wage States. Thank you. And apologize for going over. [The statement of Mr. Reich follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Representative Brodeur. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE PAUL A. BRODEUR, ESQ., STATE REPRESENTATIVE, 32ND MIDDLESEX DISTRICT, COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Mr. Brodeur. Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Foxx, and members of the committee. My name is Paul Brodeur, and I have the honor of serving the residents of Melrose, Wakefield, and Malden in the Massachusetts State Legislature as their State Representative. I wish to share my perspective on the success we have had in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts confronting the problem of wage stagnation while creating a stronger economy by increasing our minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2023. Two years ago, under the leadership of our Speaker, Robert DeLeo, I was appointed to serve as the House chair of the Joint Committee on Labor and Workforce Development. The Commonwealth faced significant challenges. Despite historically low unemployment rates, income inequality was growing. New jobs were being created at a promising rate, but overall wage growth remained stagnant. Like you, our committee held extensive hearings and heard many hours of testimony. The statistics and expert testimony were compelling, but I was particularly struck by the stories we heard from Massachusetts workers and their families. We heard from single moms and dads that were working multiple jobs, teens who helped their families make ends meet, and families who have been working paycheck to paycheck for generations. We also heard from employers who care deeply about their workers, but were concerned about the impacts on their businesses. In particular, middle-skilled jobs went unfilled, which limited their business growth. And we heard from folks who want to get ahead, who want the training and skills to move out of low-wage jobs but cannot, because they do not have the time, energy, or money to seize those new opportunities. In response, our committee convened negotiations among a broad coalition of community organizations, religious groups, labor unions, and representatives of businesses, both large and small. Ultimately, we were successful in passing into law a bipartisan bill, which improved the financial stability of working families in the Commonwealth within a robust Statewide economy. Here is what shaped our efforts: We knew from our past experience that previous increases to our minimum wage had produced economic gains for workers while unemployment decreased and business confidence increased. Looking forward or projecting ahead, the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center testified that nearly one-quarter of Massachusetts workers would benefit from an additional gradual increase in our minimum wage, and that this would include nearly one-fifth of all working parents in Massachusetts. We also knew that these working families will spend their additional income on our main streets and in our downtowns. These observations of our past experience, coupled with projections based on sound economic principle, led us to raising our minimum wage. During our deliberations, we considered a regional minimum wage, but rejected implementing one. We found it is very difficult to draw those lines, particularly when geography is not a clear indicator of cost of living. Locking certain regions of our State into lower wage status by using regional wage boundaries would detract from our hard work in investing in and revitalizing those cities, towns, and neighborhoods that needed help the most. Similarly, we rejected the creation of a training wage or teen minimum wage. Now, we all agree on the importance of getting that first job. It can be an incredible learning experience and can be a foundation for lifetime success. However, the testimony we heard and the statistics we reviewed told a more complicated story about teen employment. Teen workers are responsible in Massachusetts for nearly a fifth of household income amongst our poorest families. These teens are not merely working a summer job for extra spending money, but they are functioning as breadwinners for their families or earning money to further their education. Creating a complicated training wage system that few would use or a teen wage that would push other low-wage workers, including seniors, out of the job market was inconsistent with our goal of helping working families. So, contrary to what you may think, Massachusetts isn't populated exclusively with elitist, wealthy, Ivy Leaguers. We are a diverse state of financiers and family farmers, laborers and lawyers, researchers and entrepreneurs, blue bloods and blue-collars. We have a proud history of tackling hard problems by working together to solve them. Finding a balance between these diverse and often conflicting interests was at the forefront of our work in raising up the minimum wage. I appreciate the opportunity to address you today. I thank you for the opportunity, and I am available to answer any questions you might have. [The statement of Mr. Brodeur follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. We will now recognize members in the order of appearance this morning, and the first one is Representative Adams of North Carolina. Ms. Adams. Thank you, Mr. Chair, and thank you, Ranking Member. And thank you all for your testimony and for being here today to our second panel of witnesses. We have been here a while and we have had I think a lot of testimony and certainly testimony to the fact that poverty level wages don't instill dignity. That is the first thing I want to say. Equality makes dignity, and dignity demands a job and a paycheck that lasts throughout the week, and I am quoting Dr. Martin Luther King on that. I am glad that we split today's hearing into two parts, because I don't think enough is said about the positive impact that raising the minimum wage has on our economy as a whole. Too often we view economic progress as a zero-sum game where if workers win, employers lose. But our economy is built by consumers. The more money Americans have in their pockets, the more they can spend on the goods and services that American businesses produce. So don't take my word for it, a consensus of economists say the same thing. And with that, Mr. Chair, I want to enter into the record two letters, both from the Economic Policy Institute, one from Senior Economist and Director of Policy Heidi Shierholz, and the other signed by a collection of over 100 of our Nation's leading economists. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Ms. Adams. All of these individuals are in support of the notion that a $15 minimum wage is beneficial to our economy and is long overdue. Ms. Eckhouse, you state in your testimony that when workers have more money in their pockets, they spend it. Why is it that--so why is it that it is so important for a business, including a business like yours that does not sell directly to consumers? Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question, Congresswoman. One thing that is very important to us is, of course, what we make is sold to be eaten, and people need to be able to buy it so that they can enjoy it and we can continue as a business. So that is the first element. People have to have money in their pockets to buy food, and we make food. That is one thing that we do. The other thing that is important is that if people in our employ or in other companies' employ have more money, they can do things like purchase goods and services in their communities, and that is really important. Ms. Adams. Ok. Everybody has to eat, and we heard this morning from laborers, workers who are in the fast food business and other businesses who have a difficult time trying to make the ends meet for their family. Professor Reich, the research and the testimony of Ms. Eckhouse clearly makes a compelling case that increasing the minimum wage boosts consumer spending. What about savings? Mr. Reich. First, I think her argument is borne out by a number of studies from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston that show that the bigger the wage increase, minimum wage increase, the more consumer spending goes up. I think people who are making the minimum wage, most of them aren't saving, and probably most of their income, most of their increased income goes to items like food, to buying a used car. The other effect that it has is on improving credit scores. And if you improve credit scores, you know, you have much lower interest rates and you can borrow. So ultimately, maybe it will get you to savings, but I don't think at $15 we are talking about a lot of savings. Ms. Adams. Ok. Can you make the argument that raising the minimum wage allows individuals and families to make investments that provide long-term sustainable returns? Mr. Reich. Well, first of all, I think people who are struggling to make ends meet every month--and that isn't just people who are below the poverty line, it is many people who are above the poverty line. The Federal Reserve just did a survey showing about one-third of Americans couldn't meet a sudden $400 financial requirement. One-third, that is a very large number. Anyway, people who are struggling on a day-to-day level like that aren't--you know, they are having a hard time being organized. They are having a hard time getting their kids to school, getting their cars to work, dealing with all the disruptions that everyday life has. And so I think if they want to, you know, be able to invest in training and education, it requires more income. Often it requires more time, you know, being able to work. Ms. Adams. Ok. Thank you very much. Mr. Chair, I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Ranking Member Foxx, do you want to be recognized? Ms. Foxx. Would you recognize Mr. Comer? Chairman Scott. Ok. The gentleman from Kentucky, Mr. Comer. Mr. Comer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And, Ms. Barron, I really appreciated your testimony. The minimum wage is often talked about as a policy to help low-wage or lesser skilled workers, but you didn't seem to fit in either of those categories. You are earning a good living-- Ms. Barron. I do, yes. Mr. Comer [continuing]. in the restaurant business. But that was because of your skills and your work ethic-- Ms. Barron. Yes. Mr. Comer [continuing]. and your experience. Seattle's $15 minimum wage did not appear to help you. Would it have been better for the city of Seattle to just not do that and not try to help you? Ms. Barron. I didn't ask for the help. I was doing just fine. We don't have a tip credit in that city, and that is another reason why it just is not working out. Mr. Comer. That is my experience. I was a state legislator for 11 years in Kentucky, and I look back from a historical standpoint and there were a lot of bills that passed with good intentions but had unintended consequences. And I want to say it sounds like a policy that was supposed to help workers now appears to be doing the opposite in Seattle. As we are considering a legislative proposal to radically increase the Federal minimum wage and eliminate the tip credit, what would you want us to take into consideration, based on your experience? Ms. Barron. I would say take into consideration tip credit for sure. I mean, that is one of the reasons why tipped workers in Seattle are having a hard time now. The tip models are changing, and we are losing money. And, you know, I lose money on a daily basis under a service charge, which is something that is going citywide now. And so I would say you have to look at this whole situation. It is a one-size-fits-all deal, and it doesn't fit everything. So please, you know, look at it a little closer. Mr. Comer. And I couldn't agree more that one size does not fit all, because the economy in Washington State is significantly different than the economy in rural Kentucky, where I represent. So I appreciated that. Dr. Strain, as you noted in your testimony, there are large regional differences in cost of living and average income. Obviously, the cost of living in Seattle is significantly higher than it is in Monroe County, Kentucky, where I reside. Can you elaborate on how a $15 minimum wage may result in disproportionate job losses in regions that have lower cost of living and lower average incomes? Mr. Strain. Yes. In addition to those differences, there are also differences in the existing minimum wages. Some States follow the $7.25 Federal minimum. Other States have significantly higher minimum wages. And, you know, the important thing to consider is how big of a shock will this be to the employers of low-wage workers? There are many businesses who will see the cost of employing minimum wage workers double. There are some businesses who will see the cost of employing minimum wage workers not double, but go up by 50 percent or something like that. And it stands to reason, and the evidence bears out, that the larger that shock and the larger the increase, the harder it will be for businesses to deal with that without reducing employment. Mr. Comer. And I will say again what I said in the first segment of testimony this morning. I believe that we are in a position in America now where we are finally starting to see wage growth. I think it is a result of policies over the last 2 years from a regulatory standpoint and from a lower taxation standpoint. Hopefully, we won't do anything to deter the job growth that is being created just from the market. There is a shortage of workers. It is basic supply and demand. So I appreciate you all's testimony. Thank you, Ranking Member Foxx, for letting me ask questions. And I yield back, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Oregon, Ms. Bonamici. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you, Chairman Scott. And to the witnesses, I apologize I was not here to hear you present your testimony, but I certainly have reviewed it. I think it is important to keep in mind as we have this conversation about the Raise the Wage Act, which I am proud to support, that the increase is phased in. It is not all of a sudden. And also, low-wage workers spend their additional earnings. They go right back into the local economies. Ms. Gupta, in your testimony, you talk about how over 31 million children, two out of every five children live in households with at least one working person earning less than $15 an hour. Can you talk a little bit about how--because we talked a lot about the wage earners, but can you talk a little bit about the children and how these low incomes affect them, their health, their education as they are growing up? Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman, for the question. Everyone should be paid fairly, including young people. And some young people working--some young working people I should say currently being paid the lower youth subminimum wage, they are also students. Some of them are the sole family wage earner. We heard from Mr. Wise this morning, who talked about his own experience being the main provider for his family and being unable to do so on the existing minimum wage. The National Employment Law Center notes that of the 18-and 19-year-olds that are enrolled in college, 70 percent are working. And so that is why we have to be paying attention to the role that young people play in their families. For many of them, they really are, you know, mainstream supporters and earners for their families and have a lot of other obligations. Ms. Bonamici. So it is fair to say that the children who are being raised by parents making less than minimum wage are affected as well. It doesn't just affect the wage earner; it is affecting their families and their children as they are growing up, because they might not have the food and resources and healthcare they need. Ms. Gupta. Absolutely. Ms. Bonamici. And also, Ms. Gupta, I want to get a couple questions in. Oregon is one of those States that prohibits employers from paying tipped workers a subminimum wage. I said this morning I was surprised to find out that there were other states that allowed a subminimum wage. Research demonstrates that workers in the seven States that have eliminated subminimum tipped wage continue to receive tips from customers. Businesses have not suffered hardship. In your testimony, you discuss the origins of the tip minimum wage, which are intertwined with the history of slavery in this country. Why do some states still continue to allow it and who would benefit from gradually phasing it out, as proposed in the Raise the Wage Act? Ms. Gupta. Well, the civil rights history I think or the history of the tip minimum wage is crucial to understanding why States need to move away from it. The reality is that poverty rates for people who work for tips are more than twice as high as rates for working people overall. And the people most affected are women of color, low-wage earners. The median annual income for tipped workers of color is $14,300. For black working people, it is even lower at about $12,900 per year. And as we noted, tipped workers have not received a raise in 28 years, but the actual racial impact and the gender impact of the current policies in states that have frozen the tip minimum wage for so long really disproportionately impacts women of color in families. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. And, Dr. Reich, thank you for your testimony. The most recent increase to the Federal minimum wage a dozen years ago did not address inflation rates, or in my State of Oregon, we indexed to inflation, based on the CPI. And I wonder if you could talk a little bit about how $15 in 2024 does not equal $15 in today's dollars. When you adjust past increases to the Federal minimum wage for inflation, how does the Raise the Wage Act compare? Based on your research, can you address projected effects on employment? Mr. Reich. On employment? Well, first, the question on indexing, there are about ten states that index their minimum wages, and I couldn't find any difference on the employment effects in the states that do and the states that don't. The States that do index and have for a long time, like Washington and Oregon, are actually a very interesting research topic, because in the rest of the country the real minimum wage has fallen where there hasn't been indexing and it stayed at $7.25. So you see an increase in the minimum wage, but then in the subsequent years the real value decreases. So, you know, are we really observing an increase in the minimum wage when we look at those events? In the index states, we do see those events. So I think that is--and in those states, we don't see negative effects on employment from indexation. Indexation means that there is a planful, you know, approach to the minimum wage each year, which means a small couple of percent increase rather than the kind of sawtooth pattern that we have, we have big increases every 10 years or so followed by long periods where we don't. Ms. Bonamici. Thank you. And I yield back. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Kansas, Mr. Watkins. Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Dr. Strain, you bring up the fact that there is a lack of international evidence regarding the effects of doubling minimum wage. In fact, you explained how States who increase their minimum wage are taking on a gamble. Now, I asked for international comps because I have lived outside the U.S. most of my career. I have been to about 75 countries, and I have never seen a country with more economic opportunity and more freedom and a chance to advance as the United States. So my question is, why is there a lack of international evidence that might compare to what this committee is considering today? Mr. Strain. Well, I think it serves to highlight how major, how big of a decision this would be for the Congress. There are not countries that have gone up to a level like $15, because $15 is a very high wage. There is a reason why in the United States only until very recently no states had gone up to $15, and there is a reason why the Federal minimum wage is less than half of $15. Mr. Watkins. Can you think of any other nations in particular that might have come close? Mr. Strain. I think Great Britain is around $12 or so. Mr. Watkins. All right. That is all I have. Thank you, and special thanks to Ms. Barron. I really appreciate your willingness to come and speak with us today. Your testimony was very moving and you are very selfless. Thank you. Ms. Barron. Thank you. Chairman Scott. The gentleman yields back. The gentlelady from Florida, Secretary Shalala. Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Just to begin, Florida's minimum wage as of January 1st is $8.46. It does increase with the rate of inflation, but a living wage in Miami-Dade, in my district in particular, would have to be almost $13. So I very much support this gradual increase. If I could start with Mrs. Eckhouse, I am very excited to see you, because I get your meat through Murray's. Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, I am thrilled. Thank you. Ms. Shalala. I have to disclose that. So I am a big fan. Ms. Eckhouse. Wow, that is really exciting. Thank you so much. Ms. Shalala. I am interested because you are in the middle of Iowa, obviously in a small--it looks like a small town in Iowa. Tell us a little about the turnover rate, how long your employees have worked for you, because I have always been interested in when you raise wages what that actually does with turnover and retention. You obviously have done this over a long period of time. Ms. Eckhouse. So we opened our plant--we built our plant in 2004 and we opened it in 2005, in February. Our longest term employees have been with us since then, just a few. And we have had periods of greater and lesser turnover, but we do have a lot of loyalty among our employees. They appreciate that we pay high wage to them, as high as we can manage, that we give them regular increases in their wage. And we have a lot of other elements that we offer to our employees in addition to their hourly wage or their salary. But we have--we really--given the industry that we are in, which is the meat processing industry, we have a relatively low rate of turnover among our employees; and that is, as I said in my testimony, really critical to us, because, like all businesses, what we do is unique, but ours is possibly more unique than others, which I realize is not a grammatically correct formulation. But really, what we do is unusual and we need to train people very carefully to do a good job. And it takes a long time to train them, and to have people walk out the door because they can get more money somewhere else, that is damaging to us as a business and discouraging to us as well. Ms. Shalala. Thank you very much. Dr. Reich, I have been very interested in your work for some time, and I am particularly interested in the discussion, and you are talking to us a little about the offset for minimum wage, the SNAP program, for example. And that is, by raising the minimum wage, I believe we would save money on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, because there would be less people using that program as the minimum wage went up. Mr. Reich. That is right. I looked at not just the rules, which say that there is a ceiling above which you are no longer eligible for the SNAP program, and that it is not really--or to mix my metaphors up, I guess, it is not a cliff. You don't fall off it all of a sudden. It is a gradual decline in the food stamps that you get. And when I compared that across states with different minimum wages and try to make everything else controlled so that it was a controlled experiment, we found that, indeed, higher minimum wages led to lower food stamp expenditures as well as food stamp enrollments. Ms. Shalala. I appreciate that. Mr. Chairman, just raising, increasing the minimum wage in my State of Florida to $10.10 per hour would decrease SNAP expenditures by $290 million. So when we talk about raising the minimum wage, we have to look at how it would offset certain Federal programs and actually create an offset that would be significant for the Federal Government. Thank you. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Idaho, Mr. Fulcher. Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I think my question is best geared toward Dr. Strain. In our State of Idaho, approximately 65 percent of our commerce in the tax receipts come through what would be considered a small business or ag-based economy. And I just try to look at this, and I understand what my good colleague from Florida just mentioned about the potential offsets with Federal programs, but that is taxpayer money as well. If we take that minimum wage to $15 in our State, where does that money come from? Mr. Strain. Well, the money comes from smaller profit margins for businesses that can continue to employ workers. The money comes from employing fewer workers and finding more cost- effective ways for businesses to conduct their operations without workers. So one obvious example of that is switching from human cashiers to automated kiosks and things of that nature. You know, there is no kind of magic source of money for these things. When Federal regulation says that you can't pay a worker less than $15 an hour, businesses take that as a given unless they break the law. And, of course, there is a nontrivial rate of subminimum wage payments. The higher the minimum wage goes, the more of a problem that will be. But businesses take that as a given and then decide whether or not it makes sense to hire the next worker. And the concern is that businesses will decide it does not make sense to hire the next worker. Mr. Fulcher. Thank you. So in our situation potentially as policymakers, we would need to go into this understanding that part of the calculus, part of the result, part of the impact of implementing this would be that we are knowingly redistributing that revenue from one party to another, because what I am hearing you say is that the prices would have to go up or they would have to figure out how to put cost down in some other area. Mr. Strain. Yes. One way to think about it in those terms is that you are taking money away from low-skilled, less experienced workers and giving it to workers who get to continue keeping their jobs, who will disproportionately be higher skilled workers with more experience. And, you know, I think the position that you are in is to decide whether that is a good tradeoff. Mr. Fulcher. Thank you, Dr. Strain. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Michigan, Mr. Levin. Mr. Levin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. With permission, I would like to submit for the record a letter from I think 10 or 12--I didn't count them-- organizations representing disability rights groups, just an incredible range of groups, the Autism Society of America, Disability Rights and Education Defense Fund, National Down Syndrome Congress, supporting the bill. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Levin. And, Ms. Gupta, I would like to ask you a question about this very matter, their letter. The FLSA has a provision, section 14(c), as you know, that allows individuals with disabilities to be paid a subminimum wage. As your testimony States, some are paid as little as pennies an hour. Why is it important to phaseout 14(c) to ensure all people in this country are paid a fair wage, as these groups are requesting? Ms. Gupta. Thank you, Congressman. Section 14(c) of the FLSA was actually written at a time when individuals with disabilities were predominantly housed in institutions and endured long-term segregation. At that time, there were no statutory requirements that would support individuals with disabilities in the workplace, and individuals with disabilities didn't actually have legal protections from discrimination. And when Congress passed the ADA in 1990, it ushered in a new era, and then the Supreme Court issued their Olmstead vs. L.C. opinion. And the reality is that people with disabilities deserve to work alongside friends, peers, and neighbors without disabilities. They deserve to earn fair wages, to access equal opportunity for advancement. And the 14(c) of the FLSA has really locked classes of people with disabilities, particularly with intellectual and developmental disabilities, into really degrading subminimum wage and sheltered workshops. Mr. Levin. And I assume it almost assures their continued dependence on family or Federal dollars of other kinds to be able to live and have food and shelter and so forth. Ms. Gupta. That is right. It has created an increased long- term dependency and, of course, this also can create deeply kind of humiliating and personal experiences that make people with disabilities feel like kind of subhuman. Mr. Levin. Yes. I have to say, Mr. Chairman, for 4 years I ran the work force system of the State of Michigan, and one of the most delightful parts of my job was handling all the areas that help people with disabilities live independently and gain employment. And it was probably the area I learned the most in, but also we really do a disservice to huge swathes of our population if we say that they don't deserve to earn a basic minimum wage. So thank you for that. Dr. Reich, I would like to ask you a question I don't think has come up that much. And I don't know if there is good research on this or not, but I feel like these discussions about the minimum wage lack imagination. And your profession is famous for lacking all imagination, so maybe it is an unfair question. There are profound, profound effects on the economy of having more money in working people's pockets. Is there research to show the economic impacts to the restaurant, to, you know, the local store, to the barber shop, to the auto dealer when people are making more money in the community, and what happens, where that money goes and what it does to Main Street? Mr. Reich. Thanks for the question. I know of two studies on spending effects of the minimum wage. One is done at the Federal Reserve Bank in Chicago, in the research department, and the other more recently the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Both found big spending effects, because people had more money in their pockets. And the Boston one actually looked most closely at food--restaurant spending, rather. And it found that while restaurant prices went up, restaurant sales also went up. So the prices did not deter people going to restaurants at all. Mr. Levin. You know, I think that is such a profound point. I know from my own experience that the restaurant industry is, you know, is a big opponent of this. And I just think that the experience in States and cities that have raised their minimum wage, and when you visit them they have unbelievably thriving restaurant scenes and high, high employment. So I really hope that we will pass this bill and we will allow workers to have more dignity and more self-sufficiency in our country, and it will actually help grow our economy and make it more fair. Thank you very much. I yield back, Mr. Chair. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Thompson. Mr. Thompson. Chairman, once again, thank you for this marathon hearing. Thanks to all of our panelists that are here. I appreciate that. I just want to make a comment, then I have got a couple questions. My comment is, I don't know how many of you have ever--I spent 28 years before I came to Congress serving individuals facing life-changing disease and disability. I have spent a lot of time in supported workshops, supported employment sites. I spent a career trying to help adapt equipment, help look at facilitating processes, you know, to be able to help people achieve a competitive level of work. And you can do all that, and there are still individuals with some very severe complex disabilities who you throw by the wayside by eliminating piecework or subminimum wage, you know, folks who are just so complex in their disability. But I challenge you if you have not, where these folks are still working--and, unfortunately, a lot of them have lost their jobs and are no longer able to have that sense of accomplishment, that thing that defines them, the pride that they take. The coolest place I have ever been is in one of those sites on payday. And those checks, some of those checks aren't very large, but you would think that the way they receive it was like for a million dollars. The self-esteem, the work. And so before you throw people with complex severe disabilities under the bus with some type of flawed policy that ignores the needs of the very, very disabled. We are not talking about--you know, I worked to help facilitate people back into life in a full and robust way. I encourage you to check that out. Dr. Strain, I want to just--the first question is about the future of a lot of minimum wage jobs. As I travel around, I am from a very rural district. You know, I go into grocery stores, self-checkout counters now. Restaurants, there is no wait staff, you order on electronically. Gas stations. I mean, all just kind of a lot of places where--not everywhere, but a lot of minimum wage jobs that I have heard referenced today, I mean, they are low-skilled jobs and so technology is eliminating a lot of those. It is not going to totally eliminate them, but--and that is really why I look to a ladder of opportunity. You want people to do better in life, help them connect with the work that this body has already done, in terms of career and technical education training, skills-based education. Dr. Strain, any thoughts on how the advancement of technology in some of these settings where we have low-wage jobs are impacting low-wage jobs? Mr. Strain. Yes. I think that is an excellent point. The cost of that technology has been going down over time. And low- skilled workers, minimum wage workers have to compete more fiercely in order to have those jobs. A potential risk of raising the minimum wage at all, much less to $15 an hour, is that just tips the cost-benefit calculus in favor of those kiosks and that technology and away from hiring a human worker. But there is even a more important point than that. Low- skilled workers, even if they are no longer going to be employed as cashiers as technology continues to get better and cheaper, do constitute a pool of available resources for businesses. And businesses are smart, and they are going to try and figure out a way to use those workers. So a $15-an-hour minimum wage not only makes it harder for businesses to employ those workers today, it makes it much harder for businesses to figure out how to employ those workers in the future doing new kinds of jobs that don't currently exist yet. Mr. Thompson. Dr. Strain, you note in your testimony that worker productivity is primarily a factor in wage levels. How do education and skills development, the skills-based education factor into productivity? Mr. Strain. Well, they increase it. So if you are thinking about productivity is roughly how much revenue can you generate every hour you work for your firm? How much additional revenue can you generate for the firm? The more skills you have, the harder you work, the more education you have, which is a primary way we transmit skills, the more revenue you are going to generate, the more valuable you are going to be, the more firms are going to compete over you and the more your wage is going to go up in the market. Mr. Thompson. And we have a skills gap today. And I would just love, encourage folks to, you know, to check with the work force investment boards, the different great agencies that are out there, our community colleges, just the great places where you can access this type of education. The Federal Government is supporting that in a way more than what we ever have in the past with this piece of legislation that we enacted last year. And I really do think that is the pathway to greater opportunity. Thank you, Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from New York, Mr. Morelle, is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Morelle. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I will pay particular attention to the shot clock. I apologize for exceeding my time earlier today. Thank you to the panelists for being here. Over the years in the New York Assembly, I met regularly with the Center for Disability Rights, a not-for-profit community-based advocacy and service organization for people with all types of disabilities. And during my many conversations with the CDR, a recurring topic was the question of phasing out the subminimum wage for individuals with disabilities and working toward a Federal law, to allow those workers to earn the same wage and not face discrimination on the basis of the discrimination. Ms. Gupta, if I might ask you, section 14(c), the Fair Labor Standards Act, allows for individuals with disabilities to be paid a subminimum wage. It was written at a time when individuals with disabilities were predominantly housed in institutions, something that, gratefully, is no longer the case in many places. There was no statutory requirement, as I understand it, to support individuals with disabilities in the workplace, and the individuals did not even have legal protections from discrimination. I am just curious, can you describe how our legal framework has changed regarding those protections and supports for individuals in all aspects of society and how this does impact and necessitates the phasing out of 14(c)? Ms. Gupta. Yes. As you said, Congressman, section 14(c) of the FLSA was written at a very particular period of our Nation's history when there really was no legal framework for understanding discrimination against people with disabilities. And then when Congress passed the Americans with Disabilities Act in 1990, it really ushered in a very broad new wave of protections, kind of a new era for people with disabilities in our country. And then the Supreme Court kind of further elucidated the protections in 1999 in a case called Olmstead versus L.C. and recognizing I think what was a crucial tenet of the ADA, the community integration mandate. And it was there in that case that the court said that the ADA bars unjustified institutional isolation of persons with disabilities. And when I was in the Justice Department, although my predecessor started this, there was a real effort to ensure that mandate had real meaning in the lives of people with disabilities and to seek to make sure that where there were sheltered workshops that were segregated facilities that really excluded or primarily just focused on employment for people with disabilities who had little to no contact with people who did not have disabilities, there was a real effort to ensure that people with disabilities could work alongside peers and have equal opportunity to employment. And that is why we have seen a number of states actually now, both through litigation but happily through legislative action, take the charge to end 14(c) and to have a phased-in opportunity to raise the minimum wage for people with disabilities. Mr. Morelle. Thank you for your answer. And actually, you answered my next question, which related to the conflict with the 14(c) and the ADA, so I appreciate your comment on that. Let me just in closing, six states, as you mentioned, have completed or are in the process of phasing out 14(c). I think Vermont and New Hampshire have completely phased out. Maryland, Alaska, Oregon and Rhode Island are in the process of it, and I understand Hawaii and Kentucky are at least considering it. Can you just talk about the other benefits individuals with disabilities experience other than financial benefits from the phasing out of 14(c) and moving into a competitive integrated employment setting? Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, so much of what we are talking about today is really about the dignity of work and people with disabilities feeling the dignity of being human beings entitled to the same protections as any other people in this country and being able to participate in the mainstream economy with people without disabilities, to have the opportunity, to have equal opportunity for jobs and housing and the like. And that this move from the ADA to Olmstead and beyond is really about ensuring that people with disabilities have equal opportunity and are not kind of considered, you know, folks to be segregated out of the mainstream economy. Mr. Morelle. Very good. Thank you again to all the panelists for your great work. Thank you, Mr. Chair. And with that, I ask unanimous consent to submit into the record a 2018 report from the National Council on Disability that renews its recommendations for the phaseout of section 14(c) of the Fair Labor Standards Act. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:]Mr. Morelle National Council On Disability: https://www.govinfo.gov/ content/pkg/CPRT-115HPRT36713/pdf/CPRT-115HPRT36713.pdf Mr. Morelle. Thank you, sir. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Thank you. The gentleman from Pennsylvania, Mr. Smucker. Mr. Smucker. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. One of the opportunities I think we have here is to implement policies that continue to lift more people out of poverty. I know one of the goals of mine is to try to find ways that we can give people the opportunity to connect with a good- paying job and to provide that dignity that Ms. Gupta was just referring to. Dr. Strain, I would like to talk about the doubling of the Federal minimum wage in that context. Some people believe that doubling the minimum wage is an effective antipoverty policy. Is that the right way to view it? Mr. Reich. It is certainly not the way I view it. The benefits of increasing the minimum wage are that workers' earnings go up. But if you look at who those earnings accrue to, they are to households that are not below the poverty line, on the whole. So it is certainly the case that the minimum wage is a very poorly targeted antipoverty tool. In addition, the costs of the minimum wage are borne by workers without a lot of skills, workers without a lot of experience. Those workers are much lower income, on average. And so you have this policy where the benefits go to people who are further up the income distribution. The costs are borne by the least-skilled, least-experienced, most vulnerable workers in society. If your goal is to help out, you know, middle class households, maybe that is a reasonable tradeoff. If your goal is to help the working poor, then it is certainly not, in my view. Mr. Smucker. Ms. Barron, just to followup to that, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, about 60 percent of working age Americans who live in poverty do not work at all and, therefore, would potentially not benefit from a minimum wage increase. But, that said, I firmly believe that the vast majority of Americans desire the dignity of earning that success and would work for a living if the opportunities existed. Based on your experience, do you think that more than doubling the Federal minimum wage will make it easier or harder for unemployed Americans to find work and begin to make a living? Ms. Barron. In my opinion, I would think it makes it harder. I mean, we have seen support staff jobs, which are typically jobs that people who are right out of school take or people, you know, low-income workers I guess you could say or just people starting out would take, and those jobs are going away. In Seattle, we have a chain called Red Robin, and they employ a lot of people across the State and across the country, I believe. And due to the $15-an-hour minimum wage increase, they went ahead and wiped out all of their support staff. Now, that is bussers and hosts and food runners and things of that nature. And these are, again, jobs that, you know, when you are first starting out of school, I started that way. I started as a busser. And, you know, you work your way up through that industry. So, you know, I think people that are unemployed looking for jobs to start out in any sort of industry probably are going to have trouble, if something like Red Robin is an indicator. Mr. Smucker. There has been some discussion about teens, teens entering the work force. Ms. Barron. Yes. Mr. Smucker. And my son is 16 years old, has several different jobs, is, by the way, thrilled with that one job was $9.50 per hour. But I was part of a presentation recently--I would just like to get your reaction to this--measuring the success of people who enter the work force. And in the view of this presenter, he was showing statistics that where he believed that having a job during high school was one of the best indicators of whether someone would be successful after that. Do you agree with that? Ms. Barron. I do agree with that. And my son is going to be turning 16 next week. And, you know, I have raised him since at a very young age to start to work. You know, whether that is doing dishes at home or now he currently has a job walking dogs. Mr. Smucker. I was speaking to an owner of a restaurant in my area, a mixed bar and grill, saying that, you know, people who have been there for some time were earning well over $40,000 per year and more. And his view, as an owner of a business who enjoyed providing jobs for teens, said that would be much more difficult to do if they had to start at $15 an hour. Do you see that as well? Ms. Barron. Yes. At the restaurant where I work, we are trying to hire people now that, you know, have way more experience. So, again, we don't have those support staff jobs. So now we have to hire--you know, if we are hiring bartenders and such like that, we are looking at people that have had a lot of, lot of experience. And, again, those are hard to find, because now we are going to a service charge. And so people with a lot of experience have actually moved out of the city. So we are seeing people leaving the city, because the minimum wage increase is impacting how they make their money. I honestly--I mean, for young kids, I think of myself when I was 17 coming out of high school. And my mom worked in a restaurant. She got me a job bussing tables. And I think about how I worked my way up through the industry, and it has allowed me to survive and do some of the things that I wanted to do in my life. And I think about myself at 17, 16 years old, and wonder about the kids nowadays. Like my son, like I don't know what he is going to be doing, you know, if he starts in the restaurant industry. I am trying to tell him don't do that, but-- Mr. Smucker. Thank you. Chairman Scott. The gentlelady from Michigan, Ms. Stevens. Ms. Stevens. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for this wonderful day of hearings on a very important topic. And thank you to our incredible panelists for being here today. Your testimonies have mattered a great deal. As someone who was managing a multimillion dollar federally funded portfolio focused on the future of work in the digital age of manufacturing in the age of automation before I was running for Congress and was now in Congress, it is obvious that the question around the future of work must be undergirded within our present reality, that the question of our economic orientation is, how do we choose to value human work and what are we handing over to automation versus what are we giving to people. The question of has a hamburger--excuse me, has a machine ever been able to buy a hamburger? No, that machine never has, that we must live in a human-driven and oriented economy. So I have got four quick questions for Dr. Strain, who I believe you are, you know, capable of answering these. Could you answer quickly, what is the yearly income of a person living in poverty? Mr. Strain. The yearly income of a person living in poverty? Ms. Stevens. Yes. What is our federally indexed rate for somebody-- Mr. Strain. It varies, depending on how many children you have in the household. Say $20,000 dollars. Ms. Stevens. Ok. And what is the income of a person working full time at the minimum wage? Mr. Strain. A person working full time at the minimum wage is $15,000, roughly. Ms. Stevens. And do you know how much our Federal Government spends on SNAP benefits a year? Mr. Strain. Not precisely, no. Ms. Stevens. Ok. And so I take it you don't know how many are working full time who may happen to be utilizing SNAP benefits? Mr. Strain. Who are working full time who are utilizing SNAP benefits? Not-- Ms. Stevens. Yes, the percentage of our work force. Ok. Well, we can do that as a question for the record after the hearing. So, Ms. Gupta, quickly for me, can you describe for us what this means to work full time in the U.S. at the poverty rate? How does this impact a person's access to healthcare, to equal opportunities? What does this mean for women, and particularly what does this mean for women of color? Ms. Gupta. Yes. I mean, this means that women and women of color are harmed by--there is a pretty significant gender pay gap, and it targets in particular women of color because they can't access and won't have as much security around healthcare, and transportation, and additional money to support their families. And so there is a lot of--you want me to do this quickly, so I will just say that women of color in particular are deeply harmed by these kinds of policies and their ability to actually enter the mainstream economy. Ms. Stevens. Well, there is lots of narratives to share around this important topic, and I appreciate your deep and thorough testimony that covers this, and thank you for being here with us today. Mr. Brodeur, you gave a great testimony, and I come from the great State of Michigan where increasing the minimum wage is overwhelmingly popular in my home state. And as I talked about the future of work in the digital age of everything, it certainly means a great deal to you, someone who is representing the largest robust automotive supply chain in the country. But I would love for you to share a little bit more about your experience and your work, particularly how did you see increasing the minimum wage as stimulating or revitalizing cities or towns across your state? What impacts did that on your local economies? Mr. Brodeur. You know, thank you for the question because Massachusetts, I think, has had a little bit of a different perspective because we have done what you all started to talk about doing here in terms of gradually raising the minimum wage. Starting in 2015, we did a round dollar year minimum wage increases. We took a year off, and then with the most recent legislation, over the next 5 years we will go up to $15. So we do not have the problem that I think is built into the system you currently have where if you don't raise it, then it becomes harder to raise it, and then there is an argumentative that is a shock to the system, so we better not raise it, so folks get left behind. What I think is really important for you people to understand about Massachusetts and why I appreciate the question is particularly from the morning session. I heard Boston talked about maybe two or three or four times as, you know, a wonderful place but a very high wage, high expense place, and therefore, all of Massachusetts must be the same. That is not at all the case. We have rural areas, particularly in Western Mass, that struggle with some of the issues that I have heard about here today. In some places, median income is less than half of what is in Boston. We also have gateway cities. My friend from Greater Lowell can tell you about Lowell and Lawrence and some of those surrounding communities that essentially were--were really industrial dynamos but have struggled a little bit to make the transition that Boston and Cambridge already have into the digital economy, the service economy. So when we thought about how to approach the minimum wage and how to target things, we viewed it as an opportunity to raise folks up, to put money into people's pockets so that those parts of the economy that aren't entirely Boston-driven will have an opportunity to participate in that success. And that was part of--you know, we kind of did a lot, quite frankly, in the last legislative session around raising people up. This was an important part of it, but again, we approved that we needed to give folks the opportunity to invest in themselves, and really, get off the ground floor, to get education, to get into some of the middle skilled jobs that we are desperate to fill in Massachusetts. Ms. Stevens. Well, thank you for doing that work, and I yield back the remainder of my time. Chairman Scott. My distinguished colleague from Virginia, Mr. Cline. Mr. Cline. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate everyone's time today, and I noted with interest the comments of my colleague from Michigan talking about the industries that are there. And it is a different economy than the economy of my State, the Commonwealth of Virginia, and different than Representative Brodeur's Commonwealth of Massachusetts, another commonwealth. But we do share similarities in that there are rural parts and suburban parts that have more robust economies, more diversified economies. And so I wanted to start by asking Dr. Strain. The effect of an increase in the minimum wage on unemployment is fairly straightforward. You have noted that in your testimony. Is there an indirect inflationary pressure on the cost of goods and services in an area, say, rent or other types of products that an increase in the minimum wage may influence? Mr. Strain. Yes. So when a business faces an increase in the minimum wage, they have to absorb that cost somehow. One way to absorb that cost is by having fewer workers work there. Another way to absorb that cost is by raising prices. And you see that when the minimum wage goes up, the prices that businesses that employ minimum wage workers charges also go up. This is, you know, kind of a double-edged sword for those minimum wage workers in that sense because a lot of the customers of businesses who employ minimum wage workers are low wage workers themselves. So you give a worker a raise with your right hand, and then you take it back or some of it back at the cash register with your left hand. Mr. Cline. And so those States that are pushing for a higher minimum wage are adjusting to the cost of living in their respective States, and I think what you are seeing are different States facing different pressures. Representative Brodeur, you may be able to answer this. In Massachusetts, with regard to a Federal minimum wage, there is a support for a floor in the wage versus a set dollar amount, all States shall pay a minimum wage of X. But would there be any kind of support for an increase in the minimum wage beyond an adjusted amount that reflected the cost of living? I mean, would you want to increase the minimum wage if the cost of living mandated an increase to $15, and you all were given a choice to increase it to $20? Would that be something that you all would entertain in Massachusetts, or would you want to target it more toward the cost of living? Mr. Brodeur. We just got to the 15 thing, and that was a big lift, so we would like to take a little bit of time off, I think. One thing we did not do is indexing, and I know that is part of the chairman's bill. And I think one reasons it is part of the chairman's bill is because what historically was a bipartisan, well supported kind of regular process where the minimum wage would go up has become something of a political football. Quite frankly, that hasn't happened in Massachusetts. One thing that is interesting about the commonwealth and our legislature is any bill that is filed gets a hearing, and every session folks file bills around minimum wage in many flavors, quite frankly. So it is kind of always on our mind. It is always a topic of discussion. It is not something we do and then hope it goes away-- Mr. Cline. If in a state like Virginia or a state that is more rural where you may not have the inflationary pressures or the pressures on cost of living to increase to a full $15 minimum wage, should a state be able to adjust it to something less where it maybe more accurately reflects the cost of living for that state? Mr. Brodeur. I don't think so, respectively. When I think back to the original setting of the minimum wage toward the end of the Great Depression, there was a national floor, and what we have heard from people that are way smarter than me, both in this panel and the panel before, is if we kept up with inflation and productivity, where would that be on the national level? It would be somewhere between 12 and 18 to 22, it sounded like. Mr. Cline. As a former fellow State Representative, I would rather leave that to the states to make that decision as it specifically applies to each state's cost of living. But I appreciate it, and I yield back, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Massachusetts, Mrs. Trahan. Mrs. Trahan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thanks again for bringing us together to hear this important panel. I am so proud that Massachusetts--well, I am so proud to be from Massachusetts for a number of reasons, and it is because of Senator Brodeur's work not just on this issue but on healthcare, education, on gun violence prevention. We are one of the states leading on raising the wage, and for that I am grateful. There is no one more well suited to speak before us today than you, and in terms of what it took, the collaboration and thinking creatively to get this done. In your testimony, you talked about the importance of coalition this to pass the grand bargain that resulted in both paid leave and raising the wage. I love that your approach was inclusive and truly people powered, so my question. In your testimony, you mentioned that it was a strategic decision to invest in the working families of Massachusetts while also being a positive step forward for our business community. During that same period, Massachusetts businesses demonstrated relative stability and growth. So I am wondering if you can talk about some of the specific positive feedback that you heard from Massachusetts businesses in terms of raising wages. Mr. Brodeur. There was certainly not unanimity of opinion, and that is why it was a grand bargain. There was give and take across a range of issues, both within paid family medical leave which was a more complicated, quite frankly, and challenging piece to put together because there were so many moving parts and the minimum wage piece and some other issues. And we heard from--you know, we talked to folks, you know, one or two-person operations, folks in my district to some of the biggest employers in Massachusetts. One thing that everyone recognized was that both programs were incredibly popular, that there was tremendous support across the spectrum for the general idea of both initiatives, maybe not particular details. You know in terms of the minimum wage, Mass, Inc. which is an organization that you are familiar that others might not be, a nonpartisan kind of think tank and polling entity that tested the waters on how popular or how supportive the public would be of these things, and they were popular across the board. Republicans, Democrats, IUndependents all supported it. So what I think we needed to do, and why it was such a long process, is we needed to start with paid family medical leave and some fact-finding and some exploration, and we all needed to kind of speak the same language and understand what kind of benefits we were trying to provide, what would actually help working families, what would be impediments. And we tried to be respectful of that and listen to what the business community in certain segments already provided in terms of wages and benefits and made sure that we didn't reinvent the wheel, that we didn't take away something that was better than what might be complemented or implemented under any particular plan. And I think that went a long way toward building trust, for lack of a better way to say it, and having constant communication, having some significant disagreements for sure along the way but recognizing that this was coming, and it is important to working families, it is important to the economy of Massachusetts, and you know, and then kind of putting the pieces together. And it was a humbling process to be a part of because you don't see a lot of progress on big issues these days, and I think that is unfortunate, and I don't think that needs to be the case. Mrs. Trahan. Yes, thank you. It was a testament not just to your leadership but I know that the grand bargain was in concert with our Republican Governor Baker as well as the many groups that you mentioned. Can you just discuss the implementation and the timetable for Massachusetts to transition to the $15 minimum wage? Mr. Brodeur. I can. So it will be over 5 years, and first-- let me make sure I get this right. The first 3 years will be a dollar increase, and then the final 2 years will be $0.75 increase, ultimately bringing it to 2023. On the tip wage, we did not eliminate the tip credit, but we did expand. Compared to some of our peers, we had a very low tip credit. Not as low as the Federal tip credit for sure, but that will grow over the same timeframe up to $6.75 when it is done in 2023. Mrs. Trahan. Great. Thank you so much. Thanks so much for all of your time. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Georgia, Mr. Allen. Mr. Allen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and I appreciate everyone being here today. I come from the State of Georgia who is the best state to locate your business 6 years in a row. I was a small business owner in that state, and in Georgia, we pay the wages according to our employee's skill set. It is a free market environment, a growing economy that grows job which grows opportunity which grows wages. We reward a good day's work. My Democrat colleagues don't want to believe that we can produce economic opportunity in concert with growing wages without the government interfering. Signing the front of the paycheck and providing folks with a good job has been the greatest honor of my life. That is why I oppose the Raise the Wage Act. This one size fits all, top down government regulation will destroy millions of hard-earned jobs and turn our growing economy and wage growth into decline. Democrats have focused on economic growth and getting the American people back to work. Free market initiatives that we know grow wages and grow jobs. Dr. Strain, millions of jobs were created by our strong economy thanks to lower taxes and deregulation. How would raising the minimum wage to $15 hurt all of these economic gains we have been able to achieve? Mr. Strain. Well, I think it is certainly the case that we have seen the low wage labor market doing a lot better over the last few years. A hot economy really has benefited that group of workers. We have started to see wages grow at a more rapid pace, for example. We have been seeing vulnerable workers, workers with disabilities, workers who have been incarcerated getting jobs at higher rates, and this is all wonderful news. I am very concerned that doubling the Federal minimum wage will put a halt to a lot of that progress and will really gum up the works of job creation for workers without a lot of skills and without a lot of experience. Mr. Allen. Three hundred and four thousand jobs in January. Mr. Strain. That is quite a few. Mr. Allen. Yes. Do you agree that raising prices is not always an option for many businesses? Mr. Strain. Raising prices is not always an option for many businesses, particularly businesses in more competitive product markets. And again, you know, you have to raise prices quite a bit to absorb a $15 an hour minimum wage. This is not a $9 an hour increase we are talking about. This is doubling the Federal minimum. Mr. Allen. Right. So how would a business double its rate of pay and not raise its prices? Mr. Strain. Well, I think it would be hard for a lot of them to do that. Mr. Allen. Which then causes the cost of living to increase-- Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses might invest in technology instead of hiring workers. Mr. Allen. Yes-- Mr. Strain. Some of those businesses will-- Mr. Allen. They are going to figure out a way. Yes. Ms. Barron, how has the Seattle minimum wage hike affected your working career? Ms. Barron. Well, I lose money on a daily basis. It is as easy as that. Mr. Allen. Yes. Ms. Barron. And it is due to my employer having to navigate-- Mr. Allen. Yes. Ms. Barron [continuing]. the higher wage. So he went to taking away tip lines and going with a service charge. And under that service charge, I don't make as much as I could. And there is no way for me to maximize my income with my job, so it has changed my job quite a bit. It has pretty much stagnated what I could make. Mr. Allen. So the government said we are going to raise wages, and your wages went down? Ms. Barron. Yes. Mr. Allen. Ok. Your testimony talks about your friend who started her own pizza place. Ms. Barron. Uh-huh. Mr. Allen. Tell us about that and what happened to your friend? Ms. Barron. So my friend Retu, she has been in the service industry as long as I have. She decided she wanted to try her hand at being an owner, and she started a pizza place called--I think it is called Z pizza, And she employed I think about 10 people, and then the minimum wage came. So she had her business for about 5 years, and she looked at the books and she said I can't make the numbers work. And she even went to our city council and said look. If you want to see, you know, try to make them work for me because I don't understand. I can't make it work, and so she just--instead of struggling, she just went ahead and closed it because she couldn't do it. Mr. Allen. Ok. Well, thank you so much for your testimony, and I yield back, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Maryland, Mr. Trone. Mr. Trone. First of all, I want to thank everybody for their long day today, but it is a really important subject that we are embarked on. Raising the minimum wage is, plain and simple, the right thing to do for hard-working Americans. We heard a lot today from many people that have never owned a business, never been an employer, that raising the wage is bad for business. Well, I started a business 30 years ago as an entrepreneur. I was the first employee. Guess what? I figured out how to make it work, and now that business employs over 7,000 folks across America in every region, every area of the country. We also employ hundreds of returning citizens as they deserve a fair wage too. But paying a fair wage was not just the right thing to do. It is the key to our success. The key to our success was paying a fair wage. Higher wages lead, we spoke about earlier, lower employee turnover, reduced recruiting and training costs. But at the end of the day, happier customers. Ms. Eckhouse, in your testimony you also connected, and Ms. Shalala was talking about it, higher wages with lower turnover so the growth of your business. Could you talk a little bit about the piece that we don't touch on enough here, and that is all the productivity gains, the efficiency gains, the awesomeness of having team members that know a business and care about the customers, and those folks stay with you. They stay with you long times, long term, because they make a good wage, and they have good benefits. So could you talk about and give us some insights on how important that is? Ms. Eckhouse. Well, thank you for your question. It is really critical to us to have people who work for us, whether they are working out in the fields selling what we make or whether they are working at home with us in the plant making what we sell who really understand what we are making, how it is sourced, how it is processed in our plant, how it is sent out in the world for people to consume. And if they don't understand that, they cannot do a good job. And once they do a good job, they become invested in the process. They learn about it. They come up with ideas. If they have been with us for enough time, they can see improvements and suggest them to us. So we end up having a business that is not just a top-down business where we are telling people what to do. People are able to buildup from the bottom and because they fully understand the process, and they are invested in working for us because they can make an income that allows them to support their families. Mr. Trone. I think you hit on what is such an important point that nobody really talks about, and that is a business isn't run from top down. A business is run on ideas, great ideas, and that is what makes it success. And when the team members are empowered, the team members feel like they are part of the team because they are paid appropriately. They are paid fairly. That is when they have those insights, those ideas to make the business more efficient, more productive. So I commend you on running that type of business. That is just the right way to do things. Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you. I really believe that the labor is worthy of his or her hire, and we have to honor that. Mr. Trone. Without question. Dr. Reich, you mentioned in your testimony business can adjust to a minimal wage increase in several ways. They go from a low wage, high turnover model or what I chose, a higher wage, low turnover model. I shared some of my experiences. What does research tell us about how we quantify, quantify the actual cost of employee churn, employee turnover? Mr. Reich. Thanks for that question. I happen to have published an article on that subject in the Journal of Labor Economics a few years ago, so--and actually, way back when I was a graduate student in the 1960's, I developed the idea of duly labor markets, that labor markets do differ. Some are high wage, low turnover, some are low wage, high turnover. And this paper I just published a few years ago actually showed that when the minimum wage went up that employee turnover went down quite a bit. There are other studies that had already shown a correlation between the wage and turnover. This was really a study where we felt we had a causal identification. And as to the amount, well, it varies by industry depending on what the costs of training are and where the vacancies are. In low wage industries like restaurants or in certainly big box retail, turnover each year is over 100 percent. These are firms that are constantly looking for work. They have very high vacancy rates. There is a cost of vacancy. This is even more true when the unemployment rate is very low. And those are big costs that we don't, you know, talk about in Econ 1, in the simple supply and demand model. But when we add those costs in, those are substantial. We think they don't totally--savings on recruitment and retention costs don't totally offset increases in the wage costs, but they might offset maybe 20, 25 percent of it on average, obviously more in some industries than the others. We couldn't look at the kinds of points that you are making about productivity or customer satisfaction so that might possibly add to that effect as well. Mr. Trone. Thank you very much. That is all, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The Ranking Member, Dr. Foxx. Ms. Foxx. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I want to add my thanks to all the witnesses who have been here today. We have been here practically all day, and we are going to be here a little while longer. We have heard a lot of the same arguments over and over again. I do think some Democrats, and maybe one on this committee, understands the free market, how it really works and the opportunities it creates for Americans from every walk of life. You know, I grew up in a house with no electricity, no running water, and I have been working since I was 12 years old. And my husband and I did run a business, so I know what it is like to create jobs, to try to keep jobs going, and to meet a payroll. And I think almost every member of our committee on this side of the aisle understands that, so I know Mr. Trone isn't talking about our folks not knowing how to run a business and what it takes. But it seems to me that there are people not always understanding the opportunities that the American way of life creates for Americans or maybe how smart business owners are in this country. After all, we have gotten to be a great country because of the capitalistic system. But I think the reason we have been here all day and we have been hearing these points made over and over and over again is perhaps some of our colleagues are trying to convince themselves and the rest of us that a socialist campaign talking point could actually be good policy, but I am not sure it worked. So I want to thank our witnesses who have come here today. I especially want to thank Ms. Barron for giving voice to those Americans who aren't in lockstep with the labor interests driving this misguided campaign to eliminate jobs, particularly you, Ms. Barron, understanding you took time away from your workplace to be with us here today. We want to see wages go up for every working American, every single one, and they do go up for Americans. We are seeing more wage growth than we have in decades because of the smart economic policy that has empowered workers. Pushing back on heavy-handed regulations and giving Americans real tax reform has opened up opportunity and wage growth that actually helps American families. And we know, one of our witnesses has already said, that employers are already free to pay higher wages than minimum wage, and it works. And guess what? Other employers understand that too. The law already allows it. But why do our colleagues want to force the government to run everybody's life in this country? The growth we are experiencing right now makes a $15 Federal mandate look like the political stunt it really is. Washington doesn't need to be making any more decisions for the people of this country. The dysfunction we have all experienced and all commented upon the last couple of months is all the proof we need that decisions about worker paychecks certainly shouldn't be up to anybody in this city. We can spend our time trying to justify socialist ideas as mainstream, or we can spend our time looking for ways to put money in people's pockets by their earning that money and not taking it from one person's pocket and putting it in another one. We can sustain era of growth and opportunity. On our side for the sake of American workers, we are going to stay focused on the latter. And with that, Mr. Chairman, I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Washington, Ms. Jayapal. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you all for being here. I know it has been a long day, and we appreciate it. I want to just correct the record on a couple of things. I was on the committee that raised the $15 minimum wage. I am glad to see one of my constituents here, and I appreciate your traveling here, although I imagine perhaps you don't support my position on this issue based on your testimony. I certainly appreciate hearing from you. And I will tell you that we heard all of the arguments through months of testimony about what this was going to do to destroy the economy in Seattle, about all the restaurants that were going to close. And we went back through recently all of the restaurants that came to testify before us, and the majority of them had actually opened new restaurants, new restaurants. And so I will just say that you just need to look at our booming economy in Seattle to understand that the minimum wage law has worked and, in fact, we even heard the same arguments when we indexed minimum wage to inflation back in 2001, that this was going to destroy our state's economy, that it was going to create problems. People were going to flee to other states. But people including, I think maybe Ms. Barron, moved to Washington State in part because we have a booming economy and jobs to take. I also just want to respond to the comment about a socialist campaign talking point. Let me just tell you that on our committee was one of the wealthiest capitalists, proud capitalists in our state, Nick Hanauer, who consistently has said over and over again that when workers do better, companies do better. When companies do better, the economy does better. When the economy does better, workers do better. It is a cycle that actually works over and over again. We also had a small business owner, a tremendous number of small business owners and restaurant owners who have been doing the right thing for a long time. That included my friend and local Seattle restaurant owner Makeney Howell. And she said it best when she went to the White House Summit on Working Families back in 2014, and she said the economy--this is her quote. The economy is built from the bottom up, not the top down. Every job should be an economy-boosting job. Makeney for years, even before our law went into effect, would pool her tips and distribute them equitably to all the workers so that you take away that discrepancy between front of the house workers who may earn a lot in tips, and there were some workers who were earning a lot in tips who saw those tips go down, but it was because it was being shared with people in the back of the house. And so these are really important--there has been a lot of talk about Seattle today, and I am thrilled that is the case, but let me tell you as somebody who actually helped craft that law, who was on the front lines of making sure we heard the testimony, that the testimony that we continue to hear is simply not accurate. Does it mean that Ms. Barron is not correct in her wages? Of course I am not saying that, but I did want to ask you, Ms. Barron, about the organization that you are affiliated with. It is called the Full Service Workers Alliance of Seattle. Is that correct. Ms. Barron. Correct. Ms. Jayapal. And are you aware that the FWSA is part of a group called the Restaurant Workers of America? Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of America. That is not correct. Ms. Jayapal. Well, I have the research showing that it is part of a national network of server groups called the Restaurant Workers of America. Ms. Barron. It is not part of the Restaurant Workers of America. The Full Service Workers alliance is a group that I cofounded with a friend of mine. We are a loose group of about 1100 full service workers, and that includes front of the house and back of the house. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you. Are you aware since you. Founded the organization, I assume you are, that a former FSWA member so severely misrepresented his role in the group and the details of the Seattle Secure Scheduling Law in a King 5 TV news interview that the station's news director was forced to pull it down. Ms. Barron. That is incorrect. That is incorrect. If you watch-- Ms. Jayapal. Ok. Well, I would be happy to take that information from you so that we understand because this is what our research has shown and I wanted to make sure-- Ms. Barron. Well, your research is incorrect. Ms. Jayapal [continuing]. that people know what the organization is. So let me turn to Miss Gupta. The Fair Labor Standards Act when it was passed excluded certain classes of workers in a compromise to appease Southern States. Those workers tended to be women and people of color, and the vestiges of those policies still impact those communities today. Thank you for make the arguments in your opening Statements that this is actually a women's issue. Can you speak about how raising the minimum wage would help right some of those economic wrongs? Ms. Gupta. Yes. Thank you, Congresswoman. African American and Latino working women in particular are overrepresented in low pay jobs and women of color are more likely than any other group to be paid the lowest wages. Gradually raising the Federal minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2024 and indexing it to median Federal wages and ensuring that working people are actually able to cover basic expenses like housing, food, and transportation would be a huge, huge win for working people. Working mothers, especially, are likely to be paid low wages, and that is why for the leadership conference, representing a broad constituency of communities of color and women, this particular bill would go a long way to closing the gender pay gap but also addressing kind of structural disparities that are created through racial difference. Ms. Jayapal. Thank you very much. I see my time has expired. I yield back. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentleman from Texas, Mr. Castro. Mr. Castro. Thank you. Perfect timing. So I guess I ask this question. I just obviously came here from another meeting, but who has been opposed to a minimum wage increase over the last few years on the panel? Anybody else? And I guess what has been your main opposition? Ms. Barron. I am losing money. I am losing income because of the $15 an hour minimum wage increase. Mr. Castro. And do you think that it should be less? Do you think it should be, like, $11 or just no minimum wage or $6 an hour? Ms. Barron. Well, I think I would leave that up to you folks to determine that, but all I know from my experience is that I am losing money because of loss of tips, because of the rise in the minimum wage, and I don't feel that workers' voices in the full service industry have been represented at all in this talk. Mr. Castro. So I guess your point is that you are not against a minimum wage. You think that $15 is not the right amount? Ms. Barron. As everything is proposed at this point in time, I am finding myself as days go on opposed to the rise in minimum wage altogether. Mr. Castro. You would freeze it. Ms. Barron. Yes. I would like to have a tip credit in Washington State, and we are not having that conversation. We are, I guess, not allowed to have that conversation in Washington State. Mr. Castro. I guess let me ask you. The reason I ask is the U.S. Chamber of Commerce for years would not support increasing the minimum wage, even by a penny. I mean, at all. And I know that obviously you are in the service industry. Are you a waitress? Ms. Barron. Yes. Mr. Castro. That is different from somebody working at, say, Whataburger in Texas or somewhere else? Ms. Barron. Right. Mr. Castro. So you have been opposed for a while to a minimum wage increase, even one cent on minimum wage? Mr. Strain. Yes. I would be opposed to raising the Federal minimum wage at all. Mr. Castro. And I guess why is that? So you don't think it should ever be raised? I mean, 50 years from now it should never be raised? Mr. Strain. In my view the primary focus should be on providing economic opportunity to the least skilled, least experienced, most vulnerable workers in our society. Those workers are the workers who will bear the cost of a minimum wage increase. If you raise the minimum wage by one penny, how many of them would be worse off? You know, I don't know. Not nearly as many as if you-- Mr. Castro. No, but you would agree also that their expenses go up, the cost of living goes up, people need a higher wage, right? Mr. Strain. Another reason to be opposed, another reason why I am opposed is because there are better tools that Congress has to help those workers. Expanding Federal earning subsidies puts more money in the pockets of the working poor and actually increases employment rather than reduces employment. So when thinking about how to help these workers, I think Congress should look at the full range of options and not only focus on the option that is going to put a lot of them out of work. Mr. Castro. Sir, I guess I disagree with you on your first point about not increasing the minimum wage, but I mean, you understand that other people that are opposed to increasing the minimum wage are also opposed to the subsidies you are describing. Mr. Strain. I am only speaking for myself, Congressman. Mr. Castro. Ok. I think part of the reason that we have gotten here and part of the reason that there is such frustration with the income inequality in this country is because the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and major business organizations have not taken the lead even though some companies on their own, including members of the Chamber of Commerce, have actually raised their own minimum wage on their own. And it is interesting that is an instance where private industry has actually been ahead of the main industry group that is coming to Washington and in their name arguing against raising the minimum wage by even one penny. I think that-- Mr. Strain. I don't know-- Mr. Castro. I am in my comment part here. Thank you for your answers to my questions. And I think that this could have been a very different conversation over the years if different groups and organizations had worked in earnest and in concert, not even necessarily with the Federal Congress but with the states and with their own workers in making an earnest attempt to raise the minimum wage. But that has not happened now for decade, longer than a decade, that those conversations have happened. And so we find ourselves in a country where income inequality has grown, where workers have gotten very frustrated, where there is in American society now, I think, a real resentment at the fact that people--that you get more and more billionaires in our country, and you have a lot of people that may have a job but feel as though they have no future in their work. And that is where we find ourselves today. I yield back. Thank you, Chairman. Chairman Scott. Thank you. The gentlelady from Illinois, Ms. Underwood. Ms. Underwood. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for calling this hearing, and thank you to all the witnesses for appearing here today. I am going home to Illinois 14th tomorrow to hear what our community has to say about this issue, and I am glad to have the opportunity to hear from experts like you today. Mr. Chairman, I would also like to ask for unanimous consent to submit a letter from advocate Aurora Health in Illinois for the record. Chairman Scott. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Ms. Underwood. Thank you. I think many people don't realize if you're working full time to support your family right now at the Federal minimum wage, you are making $15,080 a year. That is not a livable salary anywhere in America today, and so I would like to learn more about how gradually raising the minimum wage can help workers and small businesses. Ms. Eckhouse, you have been paying a livable wage since you started your small business almost 20 years ago. In that time, have you seen the livable wages you pay contribute to lower levels of turnover, and would you say that this has been better for your bottom line? Ms. Eckhouse. Thank you for your question. Yes. We have seen lower turnover than we might have as expected in our business, and that has benefited our company. It benefits us in a lot of ways. We have more knowledgeable employees, we have more committed employees, and we are all able to work together to improve what we make. Ms. Underwood. That is great. And is it your experience that because you pay a livable wage and therefore have less turnover, you are able to dedicate more time to growing your business instead of a cycle of hiring and training new employees? Ms. Eckhouse. Yes. That is correct. And our employees are also able to contribute to better management of our business because they have been there longer and are more familiar. Ms. Underwood. And so you would say that paying a livable wage is an importantly part of your small business's success. Is that right? Ms. Eckhouse. Yes, I would. Ms. Underwood. I am really encouraged by research showing that gradually raising the minimum wage can help reduce wage inequality and have a positive effect on women's economic security, so I really appreciate Miss Gupta's comments. I would like to just pivot for a second. Professor Reich, what does the current research say about the impact on health outcomes? I am a nurse, and so often I like to ask about the health impact as a result of the increase in the minimum wage. Mr. Reich. And thank you for that question. This is a very new area in my minimum wage research is to look at the health impacts, and there are about 20 studies, and they are not unanimous. No economists never are unanimous, so that is not a negative sign. But there are definitely good studies, high quality studies that show that higher minimum wages reduce smoking rates, they reduce obesity, they reduce prediabetic conditions. In a study that I have done but I have not yet published, they reduce suicides. There would be, like, 700 fewer suicides a year with every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage. Ms. Underwood. Wow, those really powerful findings. Thank you. I appreciate your testimony this afternoon. I do also recognize it has been a long day and know how important this issue is for workers, for business owners, and for the future growth of our economy in this country, so thank you for your service, and I yield back my time. Chairman Scott. Thank you. And I recognize myself for questions. And I would like to begin by responding to the idea that this is a socialist talking point. I would point out that Arkansas and Missouri recently by referendum passed increases in the minimum wage or a similar track to what we are doing in this bill by votes of well over 60 percent. Representative Brodeur, who has been helped in Massachusetts by the minimum wage increase? Mr. Brodeur. Working families certainly have been. Again, as I started in my opening remarks talking about we see teens that are about 20 percent of our teens supplying 20 percent of the household income, you know, for folks that are really at poverty level. That is huge, and it leads to, you know, some of the results that Dr. Reich was talking about in terms of those dollars leading to better outcomes for families over the long term. It has also provided opportunities for folks to again to advance themselves. Education, we all agree, is the pathway to success both early ed and an environment where the family is more stable. Kids have more success, and those young adults that are trying to get higher ed or a certificate or whatever the case may be to improve their opportunities in the job market also benefit. Chairman Scott. Thank you. Dr. Strain, in your testimony, you indicated there are better ways to help the working poor. I think you mentioned the earned income tax credit. Is that what I understand you are referring to? Mr. Strain. Yes, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Scott. What are the other ways of helping the working poor? Mr. Strain. Well, another way is through the child tax credit which has a refundable component that can go to support low-income Americans. Another way is to expand education and training programs. I think apprenticeships offer a particularly promising path forward to building worker skills which will allow them to be more productive and command higher wages. There are many, Mr. Chairman. There are many. Chairman Scott. If you could supply those for the record after the hearing, I would appreciate it. Mr. Strain. Of course. Chairman Scott. Professor Reich, the 2014 Congressional Budget Office study showed a significant job loss. I understand there have been subsequent studies that come to different conclusions. Can you say what the overall body of research shows about whether or not low income workers are worse off as a result of an increase in the minimum wage? Mr. Reich. The CBI doesn't do its own research on this topic. It just builds on and uses the research that other people have done, and they looked at the studies as of 2014 some by me, some by other people, and they basically took an average between those two as the effect on teens. That is not a very good scientific method because some of the studies are better than others. And they had to extrapolate from what the effect is on teens the effect on adults, and they arbitrarily came up with a number, a ratio of one-third because adults on the whole are better paid. That again is not a very good basis. More recently, we have studies that look at not only teens and restaurant workers but all workers, all jobs. Dr. Zipperer, who was on the panel this morning, is the author of one of those studies, and it is a study--I think that it is stunning study. It has been described as the best minimum wage paper since the 1990's, and I agree. It is going to be the defining study. It is probably going to come out in the top economics journal in the world. It shows no negative effects. Chairman Scott. Does the research show how restaurants react to an increase in the minimum wage as far as the way they treat their workers? Mr. Reich. Yes. Well, first of all, you know, not everybody's paid at the minimum wage in a restaurant or any other industry, so the actual increase is usually about half. The actual increase in cost is usually about half. In labor costs, it is usually about half what the minimum wage increase. If the minimum wage goes up 10 percent and the labor cost increases about 5 percent, and labor is only about a third of operating costs. So the actual increase in prices, full pass-through is maybe 1 to 2 percent, especially when you take into account turnover savings. So that is the main adjustment mechanism, not reductions in employment. And by the way, it does increase automation for those jobs that can be automated, but many jobs in restaurants cannot be automated. Food prep is very, very difficult to automate. You cannot automate making a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, for example. It has been tried. And so you know, automation isn't just something that is free. It has to be actually--there has to be a technology for it. Chairman Scott. Thank you very much. My time has expired, and I want to remind my colleagues of the process for submitting additional materials, and I want to thank our witnesses for their participation today. What we have heard has been very valuable. Members of the committee may have additional questions and we ask the witnesses to please respond to those questions in writing. The hearing record will be held open for 14 days to receive those responses, and I would ask the colleagues to submit those questions within 7 days so that the witnesses have ample time to respond. This hearing has demonstrated the benefits of increasing the Federal minimum wage to $15 by 2024, the benefits for workers, businesses, and the economy. No American working full time should be living in poverty, and by gradually increasing the minimum wage, you cannot only elevate the standard of living for nearly 40 million American workers but also put money back in their pockets to support local businesses. And without objection, I ask that the letter and documents from the business for a fair minimum wage and the Economic Policy Institute be entered into the record and without objection, so ordered. [The information follows:]Mr. Scott Economic Policy Institute: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/ pkg/CPRT-116HPRT36711/pdf/CPRT-116HPRT36711.pdf [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Chairman Scott. We look forward to continuing the discussion as we advance the legislation. Is there any other business to come before the committee? If not, the meeting is adjourned. [Additional submissions by Ms. Adams follow:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [Additional submission by Mr. Courtney follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [Additional submission by Ms. Davis follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [Additional submissions by Mrs. Foxx follow:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [Whereupon, at 5:36 p.m., the committee was adjourned.] [all]