[House Hearing, 116 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] HOW CLIMATE CHANGE THREATENS U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY ======================================================================= HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SIXTEENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ APRIL 2, 2019 __________ Serial No. 116-22 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Affairs [GRAPHIC NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available: http://www.foreignaffairs.house.gov/, http:// docs.house.gov, or http://www.govinfo.gov COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York, Chairman BRAD SHERMAN, California MICHAEL T. McCAUL, Texas, Ranking GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York Member ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, New Jersey GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia STEVE CHABOT, Ohio THEODORE E. DEUTCH, Florida JOE WILSON, South Carolina KAREN BASS, California SCOTT PERRY, Pennsylvania WILLIAM KEATING, Massachusetts TED S. YOHO, Florida DAVID CICILLINE, Rhode Island ADAM KINZINGER, Illinois AMI BERA, California LEE ZELDIN, New York JOAQUIN CASTRO, Texas JIM SENSENBRENNER, Wisconsin DINA TITUS, Nevada ANN WAGNER, Missouri ADRIANO ESPAILLAT, New York BRIAN MAST, Florida TED LIEU, California FRANCIS ROONEY, Florida SUSAN WILD, Pennsylvania BRIAN FITZPATRICK, Pennsylvania DEAN PHILLPS, Minnesota JOHN CURTIS, Utah ILHAN OMAR, Minnesota KEN BUCK, Colorado COLIN ALLRED, Texas RON WRIGHT, Texas ANDY LEVIN, Michigan GUY RESCHENTHALER, Pennsylvania ABIGAIL SPANBERGER, Virginia TIM BURCHETT, Tennessee CHRISSY HOULAHAN, Pennsylvania GREG PENCE, Indiana TOM MALINOWSKI, New Jersey STEVE WATKINS, Kansas DAVID TRONE, Maryland MIKE GUEST, Mississippi JIM COSTA, California JUAN VARGAS, California VICENTE GONZALEZ, Texas Jason Steinbaum, Democrat Staff Director Brendan Shields, Republican Staff Director C O N T E N T S ---------- Page ASP LETTER ASP Letter submitted from Chairman Engel......................... 3 WITNESSES McGinn, Vice Admiral USN (Ret) Dennis V., Former Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy, Installations, and Environment.................................................... 10 Goodman, Hon. Sherri, Former Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Environmental Security......................................... 18 Weisenfeld, Paul, Executive Vice President, International Development, RTI International, Former Assistant to the Administrator for the Bureau of Food Security, U.S. Agency for International Development...................................... 34 Worthington, Barry K., Executive Director, United States Energy Association.................................................... 45 ARTICLES SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD The Guardian article submitted for the Record from Representative Lieu........................................................... 71 Climate Change article submitted for the Record from Representative Lieu............................................ 74 The Military Paid article submitted for the Record from Representative Lieu............................................ 80 CNN article submitted for the Record from Representative Omar.... 94 APPENDIX Hearing Notice................................................... 102 Hearing Minutes.................................................. 103 Hearing Attendance............................................... 104 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Information from Conservation International submitted for the Record from Chairman Engel..................................... 105 Statement for the Record submitted from Representative Connolly.. 110 RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD Responses to questions submitted from Representative Sires....... 112 Responses to questions submitted from Representative Smith....... 120 HOW CLIMATE CHANGE THREATENS U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY Tuesday, April 2, 2019 House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs Washington, DC The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:03 a.m., in Room 2172 Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. William Keating presiding. Mr. Keating. The committee will come to order. Without objection, all members may have 5 days to submit statements, questions, and extraneous materials for the record, subject to the length limitation in the rules. This morning the committee will examine the national and international security implications of climate change. I would like to welcome our witnesses and welcome members of the public and the press as well. I will just give a brief opening remark I shared with the chairman of the committee, Mr. Engel, who will be here momentarily, but in convenience to the witnesses and members we will begin now. I will be doing this because our committee and our subcommittee deals with global environmental issues and foreign affairs. So let me begin with the shared remarks that I had with the chairman. Now, the national security concerns tied to climate change are nothing new to the U.S. Government. In fact, government researchers across disciplines and across administrations of both parties have been taking a hard look at this challenge for decades. It was all the way back in 1988 that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was established. In 2003, the Pentagon commissioned a report to examine how an abrupt change in climate would affect our defense capabilities. Its authors concluded that it should be evaluated beyond the scientific debate to a U.S. national security concern. It was uplifted to that level. More recently, in 2012 and 2014, the Department of Defense Climate Change Adaption Roadmap stated that climate, climate change can serve as ``an accelerant of instability or conflict.'' That could have a significant geopolitical impact and contribute to poverty, environmental degradation, the weakening of fragile governments, and food and water scarcity. In December 2017, the GOP-led Congress passed a defense bill that was signed into law with language stating that ``climate change is a direct threat to our national security of the United States. And just this past January, the National Intelligence Director delivered a worldwide threat assessment that ``climate hazards'' include extreme weather, wildfires, drought, acidification of the oceans, threatening infrastructure, health, water and food security. Now, what are the real world implications of all these assessments and warnings? What does our warming global--our warming globe actually look like? Intensifying food and water insecurity. Population flows related to migration. Displacement and planned relocation. The inability of fragile States to anticipate and mitigate the impacts of climate change. Increased need for disaster relief and humanitarian assistance. Great Power competition resulting from the diminishment of Arctic sea ice and heightened conflict with and among States. These are problems that would generally demand the full focus of American foreign policy. You would think that getting at the root cause of such an alarming list of issues would be a major priority. The rest of the world thinks so. Every other country on this planet is party or signatory to the Paris Agreement aimed at curbing the greenhouse gases that drive climate change. The only country to announce its intention to walk away from that deal is, of course, the United States. To justify this misguided decision, the White House recently allowed-- announced plans to create an ad hoc group of select scientists to reassess the government's analysis of climate science. After years and years of Federal research that makes clear, makes a clear and strong case that climate change is a serious threat, the Trump administration is now desperately seeking to undermine the conclusions that the continued burning of fossil fuels is harming the planet and putting our Nation's security at risk. It is just astounding. It is bizarre. It is rare to see every country in the world rally around an issue, but there is one idea that just about everyone is aboard on: it is absolutely imperative that we grapple with the challenge of climate change. That the future or our very world, and American national security, depends on the actions that we take today, that we owe to future generations so that we do not turn our back on the tide, and we prevent that list of horrible consequences. Just about everyone, that is except certain members of one party in the United States, feels that way. And as a result of this small cabal with their heads planted firmly in the sand, the United States has rejected the clear science, ignored the growing threat, and walked away from its role as a global leader on this issue. I cannot help but wonder, 30, or 50, or 100 years down the road when people look back at this era what they will be saying about the way the United States dealt with this problem. I do not think it will be very kind. I am entering into the record a letter signed by 58 former senior military and intelligence officials to the president warning him that imposing a political test on reports issued by the science agencies and forcing a blind spot onto the national security assessments that depend on them will erode our national security. It is dangerous to have national security analysis conform to politics. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Keating. Two of those officials, Admiral Dennis McGinn and Deputy Undersecretary Sherri Goodman, are here with us today, with Sherri having connections right to my district in Cape Cod. I look forward to their testimony and that of Mr. Weisenfeld and Mr. Worthington. I will soon introduce them. But we will first yield to our ranking member, Mr. McCaul of Texas, for any opening remarks that he might have. Mr. McCaul. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Last year I was briefed by the head of sciences at NASA to discuss this important issue. And the national security assessments are clear, climate change poses risks to the security of the United States and the international community. The best way to address climate change, however, is less clear. President Obama's approach was to set unrealistic greenhouse gas reduction targets within the framework of the Paris Agreement that would have cost our economy a fortune, hurting working people living paycheck to paycheck. When President Trump announced his intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement he also expressed an openness to reentering or renegotiating the deal on terms more favorable to the United States. I look forward to hearing from our witnesses about their recommendations for a way forward that appropriately balances the very real need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the United States and around the globe, especially in China, the world's No. 1 emitter, with the need for economic growth and a reliable affordable supply of energy. I come from one of the top energy-producing States in the largest oil and gas producing nation in the world. Our abundant national resources, including fossil fuels which product 80 percent of the world's energy, not only support our economy and good-paying jobs, but they make us more secure as a Nation. Mr. Chairman, the committee is not in order. Mr. Keating. The ranking member is correct. The committee members will withhold their conversations to the empty room if they would have them. The chair recognizes the ranking member. Mr. McCaul. And I thank the chairman for that. We are fortunate that we do not depend on an energy supplier like Russia that uses its dominance in European gas markets to coerce and intimidate its neighbors. We are no longer at the mercy of the OPEC cartel for the majority of our oil needs. Instead, thanks to innovation and technology we have become a net energy exporter that offers our partners and allies a stable, reliable supply of energy resources. We have also been able to hold down prices for consumers, which contributes to domestic and global economic growth and prosperity. Many energy companies are taking great steps to shift to cleaner sources to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This is taking place not necessarily because of government policy but despite it. From 2005 to 2017, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions declined by 14 percent. In 2017, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions were the lowest since 1992. China and India accounted for nearly half of the increase in global carbon emissions in 2017. And developing country emissions will continue to rise to the point that all of the United States and Europe's emissions will soon be far surpassed by other economies. I have witnessed firsthand the devastation brought to families in my State and district from flooding and extreme weather events like Hurricane Harvey. The recovery efforts are ongoing, and the impact will last well into the future. As the world's largest economy and preeminent power, the United States has a responsibility to help lead global efforts to address climate change based on realistic solutions as opposed to extreme unrealistic goals based on aspiration alone. With that, I look forward to the testimony of the witnesses and on how we can achieve that goal. And with that, Mr. Chairman, I yield back. Mr. Keating. The chair thanks the ranking member. Now I will have the opportunity to give a brief introduction to our witnesses who we are grateful for their presence here today. Thank you very much for taking the time to come. Vice Admiral Dennis McGinn served as Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy, Installations, and Environment from September 2013 until January 2017. Prior to that he served on active duty in the United States Navy for 35 years as a naval aviator, test pilot, aircraft carrier commanding officer, and national security strategist. As vice admiral he was Deputy Chief of Naval Operations and Commander of the United States Third Fleet. Admiral, thank you for being here and thank you for your service. Sherri Goodman is Senior Strategist at the Center for Climate Security, a member of its advisory board, and chair of the Board of the Council on Strategic Risks. She is also a Senior Fellow with the Woodrow Wilson Center. Prior to this, she was CEO and President of the Ocean Leadership Consortium, and Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of CNA. From 1993 to 2001, Ms. Goodman served as Deputy Undersecretary of Defense and Environmental Security, the chief environmental, safety, and occupational health officer for the Department of Defense. Ms. Goodman, thank you for being here. Paul Weisenfield--Weisenfeld, I apologize, is Executive Vice President for International Development at RTI International, an independent, nonprofit research institution. He leads RTI's international development practice which designs and implements programs across a wide range of sectors to help lower and middle-income countries and communities address complex problems and improve the lives of their citizens. He earlier served as a foreign officer at USAID, leading high profile initiatives across various international development sectors. Thank you very much for being here. I know that the chairman will be pleased. You have met him in the past, and I am sure he will mention that. Last but not least, Barry Worthington is an Executive Director of the United States Energy Association, a U.S. member committee of the World Energy Council, and an advisory organization that represents 150 members across the American energy sector. He represents the broad interests of our country's energy industry, working to develop energy infrastructure projects around the world. He chairs the Clean Energy Production Working Group within the United Nations' Economic Commission for Europe, Committee on Sustainable Energy. Welcome again to all of you. Thank you for your time and expertise. And I will now recognize you for 5 minutes each to summarize your testimony. Let's start with Admiral McGinn. STATEMENT OF VICE ADMIRAL DENNIS V. MCGINN, USN (RET), FORMER ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE NAVY FOR ENERGY, INSTALLATIONS, AND ENVIRONMENT Mr. McGinn. Mr. Keating, Ranking Member McCaul, distinguished members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to testify today on the critical impact of climate change on our national security. My views are based on over 35 years of military service to our Nation in the United States Navy, as a former Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy, Installations, and Environment and, presently, as a senior executive intimately familiar with the issues of energy, the economy and our environment. As we start the conversation today I want to note that there are many ways that climate change threatens U.S. national security that are not the primary focus of this hearing. Those are the direct impacts on military bases and military readiness from recurring flooding at Norfolk Naval Shipyard, to the impacts of record rainfall and flooding at Camp Lejeune, to the evacuation of Naval Air Station Point Mugu as the Hill Fire approached the base. Climate change is already impacting our military installation readiness right here at home, and will to an even greater extent in the future. Today, however, our focus is on global threats and how changes in the climate will drive instability and, increasingly, create adverse geopolitical outcomes around the world. To set the stage, it is helpful to view some of these threats the way our senior military leaders do. First, they see more sources of conflict to which our forces may have to respond. The conflict may involve internal strife due to mismanagement of increasingly limited natural resources, or economic displacement. Or it may be conflict between States competing for limited water or food resources. We are increasingly seeing the prospect of conflict driven by control of rivers and the possibility of one nation trying to limit water to another. Second, they see climate-driven unemployment, displacement, migration, and despair, creating a pool of prospective recruits for violent extremist organizations. When a young generation has few prospects and seemingly nothing left to lose, terrorist organizations claim to offer them a way out. Third, our senior military leaders see the prospect to increase tensions in the Arctic. As the ice melts, as trade routes open up, and as more resources become accessible, we see both Russia and China moving to exert military and economic control over the high north. Fourth, our military leaders see a greatly increased and more frequent need to respond to humanitarian crises and natural disasters, especially in the Pacific and the Caribbean. These storms are devastating. They are deadly and they leave behind wreckage that can take years and, in some cases, generations to recover. So, clearly, the first step in combating the national security impacts of climate change are to recognize that we are already dealing with them. The next crucial step is to understand the serious implications for our future national security environment. We cannot now, nor as future challenges bear down on us, treat any of this as a surprise. We have a responsibility, therefore, to prepare for the changes we see coming, to lead and help shape the global environment to protect American interests in our national security. Current and future generations of our service members and, indeed, all Americans deserve our very best efforts. With that, Mr. Chairman, I would like to submit a more detailed statement for the record. [The prepared statement of Mr. McGinn follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Keating. Any objection? Thank you, you may submit that. Thank you for your testimony. Ms. Goodman. STATEMENT OF SHERRI GOODMAN, FORMER DEPUTY UNDERSECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. Keating, Ranking Member McCaul---- Mr. Keating. Your microphone. Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. Keating, Mr. McCaul, distinguished members of the committee, it is a pleasure to be with you today. Thank you for holding this important hearing. My views are shaped by my 30 years of experience as a national security professional. At the outset, I would like to acknowledge that while climate change discussions have been polarized, there has been one major exception, and that is security. The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dunford, Supreme Allied Commander of Europe, General Scaparotti, former Secretary of Defense, Jim Mattis, and many other senior leaders of the Department of Defense have been clear-eyed about this issue and the threat multiplier effect on our national security. The intelligence community has identified climate change as a security risk in every worldwide threat assessment for more than a decade, including the 3-years of this administration. Congress has passed multiple important provisions in the last two defense authorization bills, including a declaration that climate change poses a direct threat to the national security of the United States. Both were signed into law. I want to thank the members of this committee for their bipartisan support for these measures. Recently, I, Admiral McGinn, and 56 other senior military, national security, and intelligence leaders, who served across Republican and Democratic administrations, sent a letter to the President affirming the consensus view in the national security community that climate change is a threat to U.S. national security. Building on this consensus, I would recommend the Committee adopt a pragmatic view of the security threat that climate change poses and respond in a way commensurate to that threat. We need to acknowledge that the newly navigable Arctic Ocean is emboldening our adversaries. As the ice melts, Russia and China are increasingly moving to exert control and influence over the region. For example, Russia is building up its military presence in the north, and is seeking to monetize the Northern Sea route by proposing a toll road for military escort through shallow waters close to the Russian coastline. We should incorporate the impacts of increasing water scarcity as a result of climate change and other factors into our risk calculations for international conflict, especially as nations may increasingly be compelled to use water resources as leverage. For example, in the most recent escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan, India used the diversion of rivers as a threat. China holds similar leverage over India with the Indus River's origin in China. China may also respond to climate stresses by asserting itself more aggressively over shared resources in its region, such as fish stocks in the South China Sea that are moving northward as the sea warms. Further, China sees an opportunity for strategic benefit vis-a-vis the United States by investing in the climate resilience of countries in the Asia Pacific region and beyond. We should take note and not let China out-maneuver us. Climate stresses across Africa and the Middle East are also increasing economic and food insecurity, driving migration and forced displacement, making it easier for violent extremist organizations to recruit members and increase the likelihood of conflict. The good news, however, is that despite these unprecedented threats, we have unprecedented foresight capability. Technological advancements and more sophisticated predictive tools in both the physical and social sciences, and in the research and development capacities inherent in our many national security and civilian agencies, mean we can see more of these threats coming with a greater degree of reliability than ever before. The bottom line is that we have a responsibility to look at climate change and its impacts pragmatically in terms of America's national interests. We have a responsibility to account for the current and future climate change stresses in our security calculations, our planning, our foreign policy, and our investments overseas. And, we have a responsibility to prepare for the changes that we can see coming. That responsibility includes advancing a robust agenda for addressing security implications of climate change by reducing the scale and scope, investing in resilience of both energy and infrastructure, adapting to those effects that are already locked in, and supporting our partners and allies through American leadership in climate security. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I ask that my written statement be submitted for the record. [The prepared statement of Ms. Goodman follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Keating. Thank you, Ms. Goodman. You were there right to the second. Unbelievable. Mr. Weisenfeld. STATEMENT OF PAUL WEISENFELD, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT, INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, RTI INTERNATIONAL Mr. Weisenfeld. Mr. Keating, Ranking Member McCaul, distinguished members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to testify today and for calling this hearing on such an important and timely topic. I have submitted my full written testimony for the record and will summarize it in my remarks this morning. Throughout my career in development at USAID and at RTI, International I have been honored to work on U.S.-supported programs related to agriculture, the environment, global health, democracy and governance, and more. The topic of today's hearing brings to mind two important truths that I have learned during my career. First, development affects U.S. national security and, second, climate change affects development. Put simply, American national security interests benefit when countries are stable, secure, and able to meet the basic needs of their citizens. This is why development, along with defense and diplomacy, is one of the three D's of U.S. national security. The best chance we have to promote resilience is to support development geared toward strengthening systems to withstand climate-related pressures. As USAID Administrator Green has said, the ultimate purpose of foreign assistance is to end its need to exist. Climate variability exacerbates the challenges facing developing countries and complicates local government's capacity to enable food and water security. Rising temperatures not only threaten crops, livestock, and water supplies, but also allow for the spread of diseases by expanding the habitable range of mosquitoes and parasites. The United States has been a leader in responding to these trends and promoting resilience in developing countries. For example, the U.S. Government's Feed the Future initiative_on which I had the privilege to work_has seen incredible success. This effort has helped more than 5 million families avoid hunger, and helped farmers generate $10 billion in new agricultural sales. I want to thank this committee for its steadfast support for this initiative. I have had the opportunity to speak with smallholder farmers and their families in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. When they talk about what most worries them, many say climate change. For these farmers and their families_and by extension their communities and countries_these changes can mean the difference between a life of dignity or one of desperation. Many organizations funded by the U.S. Government are working across the globe employing innovative and successful practices and technologies to promote resilience in the face of climate-related pressures. Introducing these innovations in impoverished areas helps farmers and herders adapt, and it can prevent communities from backsliding into hunger and conflict. Let me give a few examples. As part of a USAID-funded program in the Philippines, our team developed water resource maps for the conflict-prone island of Mindanao. The program revealed that the region's top agricultural exports_all of which are water intensive_were being planted in water-stressed areas. We provided suggestions for improving water management, thus protecting livelihoods in the face of climate-related risks. In Somalia, RTI, funded by USAID, implemented an innovative camel leasing model in response to recent droughts, helping herders protect their livestock and their incomes from climate- related threats. In Souther Senegal, a Feed the Future project implemented by RTI is working to strengthen food systems for staple crops. This project installs solar-powered rain gauges, allowing insurers to accurately determine when farmers may be at risk of failed production. Equipped with this tool, smallholder farmers are more likely to invest in quality inputs that yield more and product better-quality products demanded by buyers. Organizations like mine are also stepping up. Through an internal investment, RTI is working in Rwanda to develop a model using drones and artificial intelligence to identify with greater precision which crops will grow and when, such as whether maize will grow in a certain region by 2030. When the United States invests in development, we are investing in security. When we partner with countries to strengthen food security, better manage natural resources, eliminate diseases, or strengthen democratic practices, we are helping them take ownership of building a stable and more secure future. To conclude, there is no doubt that drought, famine, or a disease outbreak will again threaten vulnerable populations in fragile countries. But this is not a losing battle. The United States has a record to be proud of. We have effective approaches that promote stability in developing countries in the face of climate change and other threats. This cannot be done without the United States Congress' continued support. I want to thank you again for your leadership and commitment on this issue. [The prepared statement of Mr. Weisenfeld follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Keating. Thank you, Mr. Weisenfeld. Mr. Worthington. STATEMENT OF BARRY K. WORTHINGTON, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, UNITED STATES ENERGY ASSOCIATION Mr. Worthington. Thank you, Mr. Keating. Good morning, Ranking Member McCaul, and other members of the Committee on Foreign Affairs. The U.S. Energy Association helps expand energy infrastructure in developing countries with the U.S. Agency for International Development, and we also contribute to policy and technical discussions with the U.S. Department of Energy to expand the use of clean energy technology around the world. Through our membership we represent over 100 companies and associations across the U.S. energy sector, from the largest Fortune 500 companies to single-person consulting companies, and everything in between. Our membership is both energy production and energy efficiency companies, but also engineering, finance, legal, research, and consulting organizations. Our objective is to convey information about the realities of global energy issues in the 21st Century. We are an educational organization both by function and by tax status. And, again, thank you for inviting me to appear before you today. The risk of climate change is real, and industrial activity all around the world is impacting climate. Addressing climate change is a challenge for our country. It affects every citizen in the world. While our industry addresses the changing climate, it continues to ensure that American citizens have access to increasingly safe, affordable, reliable, and clean energy. We have more than a billion global citizens, a billion global citizens with no access to energy, and another billion- plus with inadequate access. Women in developing countries spend all day foraging for sticks and animal dung to generate energy for cooking, lighting, and heating. This is very dangerous. Burning firewood and animal dung indoors kills children, it causes asthma, and all kinds of other health problems. Access to energy provides improved health, education, and economic development. Considering a global population growth of another 2 billion people by mid-century, it leaves our energy industry globally to provide for 4 billion more energy consumers by 2050. Our industry's challenge is to double the provision of energy services globally, while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Many of these new energy consumers all around the world will utilize fossil fuels because they are domestically available, they are abundant, and they are affordable. We should all work harder toward helping them use high-efficiency, low emissions technology. USEA members have volunteered for over 25 years in 50 countries to do this. Lack of adequate energy poses national security concerns for all countries. Domestically, our industry has undertaken a wide range of initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. We are very proud of our progress. Electric power carbon dioxide emissions have declined 28 percent since 2005. Twenty-eight percent. We expect this trend to continue. Methane emissions from natural gas have declined over 18 percent, even though we have increased natural gas production by over 50 percent in that same time period. We have invested over $120 billion in greenhouse gas emissions-reducing technologies. The solution to the dual challenges of climate change and global access to safe, reliable, affordable, and clean energy is technology. And an ``all of the above'' approach is necessary. Americans lead the world in innovation, and we can complete the energy revolution that began in earnest a decade ago. In the United States, increased U.S. domestic energy production has actually resulted in lower greenhouse gas emissions. And we can continue to do this without additional regulations. We do not need the Clean Power Plan. We do not need the Paris Accord. We would rather pay the engineers and technicians to reduce emissions than to pay the lawyers to prove that we are in compliance with a needless regulation. My written testimony cited the Chamber of Commerce's numbers on what the cost of complying with the Paris Accord would be. Other countries are today expanding their consumption of fossil fuels. Coal mines are being build in Russia and China, and dozens of other countries. They are going to release greenhouse gas emissions for the next 50 to 60 years. If we implement the Paris Accord, our economic competitors will access cheap energy while we force American consumers and industries to utilize high-priced energy. I pose the question: do our competitors having access to cheap energy while we are paying more, is that a threat to our national security? Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [The prepared statement of Mr. Worthington follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Keating. Thank you. I would like to thank all the witnesses. I will now recognize members for 5 minutes each to ask questions, starting with myself. All time yielded is only for the purpose of questioning the witnesses. I agree that there will be many new consumers, but I also know there will be many new industries to come out of the green and renewable energy sources where it would be great for the U.S. to have a competitive advantage in these new industries as others are no longer as cost competitive. But I would like to gear in on just the threats of specific countries perhaps with this important security issue. Climate change has been categorized as a threat multiplier which makes existing security risks even worse. Can you comment on how climate change impacts the challenges posed by Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea specifically? Any witness that--Admiral McGinn. Mr. McGinn. It is a great expression, Mr. Chairman, to say that the effects of climate change act as a threat multiplier for instability. If you look especially around the world between the tropics, you will find many fragile societies, many fragile governments that pushed a little bit further by the effects of natural disasters or food shortages, water shortages, flooding, any of the disasters that we are seeing increasingly and more frequent will cause them to fail. And into that failed state or society will rush all manner of bad people and bad effects. So, ultimately we see our young men and women in uniform now and in the future increasingly having to respond to those to protect the national security of the United States and our allies. So, in all of the countries that you mentioned there are aspects of this that are--they are dealing with internally. But, importantly, on the international stage Russia and China will fill any gap in leadership that the United States leaves as it relates to climate change mitigation and climate change adaptation. So, in fragile countries, fragile societies where China is making investment and increasing their resilience, that is something that the United States is losing. Mr. Keating. That has also been echoed by Secretary Hagel, Secretary Mattis. And do any other witnesses have any comments? Ms. Goodman. Ms. Goodman. Mr. Keating, members of the committee, I think the clearest example is the Arctic. Today we have a whole new Ocean that has become navigable because of sea ice retreating, permafrost collapsing, and temperatures rising. Russia is militarizing its portion of the Arctic in order to prepare for a future where it can control routes across the Arctic, as I mentioned, as a toll road and an economic highway to its economic and security advantages. China declared itself in 2018 to be a ``near Arctic'' stakeholder and has global ambitions in the region. It has declared that the sea routes across the Arctic are shorter than the current routes controlled by the United States through the Straits of Hormuz and the Straits of Malacca. And it will see advantage as those routes become increasingly navigable in the future. So I think this is a very clear example of an area in which we have seen increased geo strategic competition. Mr. Keating. Just quickly, you know 40 percent of the world's population lives within 100 miles of our coasts. And that affects so many other issues as well. So, I know, Ms. Goodman, you have spoken to this, but could you speak to how climate change and ocean acidification could disrupt food stocks like fish stocks and fish migration, and what these risks would be imposed to coastal communities, and the implication it might have not on just food supply but on our national security? Ms. Goodman. Yes, absolutely. We are seeing changes in fish stock migration moving northward. Areas that were once very abundant becoming over- fished. Areas subject now to ocean acidification being less bountiful, but other areas further north and south in the poles becoming more abundant. That puts many of the communities in high intense urban areas in the mid latitudes at great risk, both across Asia and Africa, combined with extreme weather events from increased hurricanes, cyclones, and typhoons, which put many of these populations in increasingly fragile circumstances. Mr. Keating. Well, thank you. I will now yield to the ranking member for questions. Mr. McCaul. Mr. McCaul. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. As I mentioned in my opening statement, I met with NASA scientists on this issue. They said, we are not policymakers, but we do want to show you what the data is reflecting. And I think as, Ms. Goodman, you point out that Africa, where I am particularly concerned about extremism, will continue to get drier and increasingly lack water. Having said that, I want to focus on what is realistic, sensible, achievable, and pragmatic here. President Obama pledged to cut greenhouse gases by 26 to 28 percent by 2025. Mr. Worthington, to your knowledge was the private sector, including the energy industry, consulted prior to this? Mr. Worthington. To my knowledge there was no consultation with the energy industry. Mr. McCaul. And do you know if the Administration released a cost-benefit analysis or any sort of economic analysis to justify the numbers? Mr. Worthington. I have not seen any economic analysis relative to this issue that was done by the previous Administration, sir. Mr. McCaul. Do you know how many countries' legislatures ratified this agreement? Mr. Worthington. Many did. Not all, but many did. By far enough for the Paris Agreement to go into effect. Mr. McCaul. And I guess that is why we are having this discussion here. This, this Congress did not. Your organization did support President Trump's pledge to renegotiate the terms of the Paris Agreement. Other than just withdrawing or adjusting President Obama's terms, what terms of the agreement itself do you think could realistically in an achievable sense be renegotiated? Mr. Worthington. Well, I think the biggest concern that we have as an industry is the notion that we do not have a level playing field with our economic competitors. Our commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 28 percent has been met by the electric power sector in the United States. We have done that already. The entire energy industry hasn't, and other parts of the economy that contribute to climate change. Agriculture, steel, cements, and so forth have not made the gains that we made in electric power. But, you know, the Chinese commitment in the Paris Accord was basically that they would try. There was no percentage reduction insisted for China. They would, they would try. That was the best that they would commit to. So, in urging that the accord be renegotiated, we would like to see a level playing field where different countries around the world all had an opportunity to do the same type of emissions reduction that the United States was committed to. Mr. McCaul. I think, and I think that is a good point. I mean, Admiral McGinn, Ms. Goodman, it is only as good as--you know, it is a piece of paper signed but it is only as good as the enforcement mechanism. To Mr. Worthington's point, China is continuing to fire up a coal plant every week. And I would argue it is one of the biggest emitters of greenhouse gas. Mr. McGinn. Mr. McCaul, that fact, factoid of one power plant, coal fired power plant a week is, is old news. In fact, China has become one of the leadest--leading producers and exporters of green technology around the world. They did it for a variety of reasons. It could be argued whether or not tariffs was a factor there, but if you look at some of the major cities in China, and choking levels of air pollution, water pollution, land pollution, they see the imperative and they are living in many cases with the effects of climate change. And they recognize that they had to do something about it. And oh, by the way, that it was not a zero sum game. It was not, well, we can deal with climate change or we can have a strong economy. It is an ``and'' proposition. And the United States can do that as well. The creation of jobs over the last 10 years, if you do not compare us versus them, but if you compare the number of jobs created in green industries from energy efficiency, to solar, to wind, every aspect of it is multiple times more than the jobs created in the fossil fuel industry. Mr. McCaul. My time has run out. I know they have invested quite a bit in phototag technology and solar. And, Ms. Goodman, do you have any comment? Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. McCaul. I would argue that combating the climate challenge is not only about American leadership in the advanced energy transition, which is indeed extremely important, but it is also about American leadership in climate resilience, predictive analytics, and a whole range of advanced technologies that will enable us to have resilient economies for the future. Energy is a piece of it, but there is quite a bit more in the built environment. And, as you have heard, I think also from scientists at NASA. Mr. McCaul. That is very good. I am going to close with_I had this discussion with Senator Lindsey Graham the other week. And he was talking about a Manhattan Project for clean energy. I think that is something that as we look at being productive here, instead of sparring in a partisan way, if we are trying to find solutions I think we should be looking at ideas like that as well. With that, I yield back. Chairman Engel [presiding]. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. McCaul. Let me get right to the questions. Repeated national security strategies adopted during the Obama and Bush Administrations listed climate change as a key threat facing the United States. On December 18th, 2017, President Trump unveiled a national security strategy which omitted climate change as a threat. So, let me ask Ms. Goodman and then Admiral McGinn, what are the consequences of striking climate change from our national security documents? Why do not we start with Ms. Goodman. Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The consequence is that it makes it more difficult for our national security professionals and our military leaders to openly address the risk today. Many have spoken about it directly. And, it also makes it more challenging for American climate leadership to measure up to the other global leadership we believe is so important. This is a fundamental security challenge of our era. And only by being present and exerting our leadership will we be able to recognize and address those threats in a commensurate manner. Chairman Engel. Thank you. Admiral McGinn, based on your time in uniform, how do you think the military as an institution sees climate change? Mr. McGinn. I believe they see it, I know they see it as a tremendous challenge and a growing challenge, Mr. Chairman. And, ultimately, people in uniform are pragmatists. You cannot debate whether the intelligence about a mine field at sea or shore or whatever is supported by 75 percent of the intelligence, or 90 percent, or 10 percent, you act on what you know and what your best judgment tells you. And in our military, especially among our most senior military leaders who are on record talking about climate change as a significant growing national security challenge, they are saying we need to do something about it. We are doing something about it. And I think all the support that they can possibly get to do those things from the Congress is absolutely essential. Chairman Engel. Thank you. According to media reports, Cyclone Idai in Mozambique left nearly 2 million people in need of assistance. U.N. Secretary- General Antonio Guterres, with whom we met, called it ``an uncommonly fierce and prolonged storm, and yet another alarm bell about the dangers of climate change.'' Mr. Weisenfeld, how do increasing humanitarian emergencies caused by climate change affect how we provide development assistance to make communities more resilient? Mr. Weisenfeld. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for the question. I think the recent events in Mozambique highlight the impact of extreme weather events and climate change on communities and countries with limited resources to deal with these kinds of challenges, and countries that are often prone to conflict. And we have seen devastating results of the cyclone in Mozambique. As you have said, it has spilled over into neighboring countries, into Zimbabwe for instance, where I had the pleasure to serve. Throughout my career I have seen that where there are crises like the cyclone in Mozambique, where there are crises like the earthquake in Haiti, the American people are extraordinarily generous and want to reach out and support vulnerable communities and respond to suffering. And that is something that I know will continue. But it is always much better, much more cost effective to get ahead of these problems. My fellow panelist Ms. Goodman has talked about the predictive analytic capabilities that are available these days, and having a better understanding of what is likely to happen and what kinds of preventive measures in terms of better construction, in terms of understanding how to manage water flow better, to limit the kinds of impacts that we are seeing around the world is something that requires strong investment. It requires sustained investment and, importantly U.S. leadership. We do have the tools. And we have the ability to get ahead of some of these problems in a much more cost effective way. Foreign assistance has shown that it is good value for money in providing preventative care, as opposed to the large expense of responses that are necessitated by those kind of humanitarian tragedies. Chairman Engel. Thank you. China is leading a global shift toward renewable energy. And for the third year in a row China has ranked first in the EY's renewable energy attractiveness ratings. It invested $126 billion in 2018, which is three times that of the United States. It plans to invest nearly $360 billion by 2020, and an estimated $6 trillion by 2030. China is not only increasing domestic renewable investments but also extending investments into foreign countries, helping stimulate the global economy, and spreading its global influence. And we see this all over the world. But it is particularly troubling to see what China is doing vis-a-vis what we are doing. So let me again ask Ms. Goodman, and also Admiral McGinn, can you elaborate on the response China has had to climate change? Admiral, why do not we start with you. Mr. McGinn. In developing countries in Africa, Southeast Asia, China is there on the ground in many of them, obviously for their own strategic geopolitical purposes, but they are making investments in industries that relate to clean energy. They are making investments that increase resilience of those, those countries. And as was noted just a moment ago, a tremendous amount of the population of the Earth live very close to the oceans. And that makes them subject to sea level rise. But, importantly, it makes in the near term, it makes them subject to tidal surges, typhoons or hurricanes. And anything that can be done by a global leader like China, like the United States, that increases the resilience is an investment in the future. Chairman Engel. Thank you. Ms. Goodman. Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. China is on a global quest for resources to feed and power its domestic economy but also to expand its global influence. We see this across Africa, and throughout Asia and South America. We see this with increasing extraction of energy and mineral resources, and fish stocks, but also increasing foreign direct investment in countries from the Arctic to Africa and Asia that provide not only resources back home but leverage into economies of other countries for which American leadership needs to be present to counter that influence. Chairman Engel. Thank you very much. I appreciate your testimony. Mr. Smith. Mr. Smith. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Weisenfeld, in your testimony you reference neglected tropical diseases, or NTDs, and you are focused on the need to have a holistic approach to development. Along with my colleagues Congresswoman Karen Bass and Congressman Greg Meeks of New York, I have introduced a bill, H.R. 826, that seeks to address NTDs. So I am particularly grateful for your and RTI's commitment to fight NTDs. And respectfully would ask that the chairman, our good friend Eliot Engel, look to mark this bill up ASAP. It has passed in this committee in the past, but then ran into some snags along the way. But my hope is that we take another shot at it this year, and soon, and could make a huge difference. But I would like to ask with regards to this particular hearing, with respect to global health: can you describe how climate change affects diseases of poverty, such as NTDs, especially in fragile States? And, second, how do intestinal worms in particular heighten susceptibility to co-infection, particularly among food insecure or malnourished people? Mr. Weisenfeld. Thank you very much for that question, Congressman. And thank you for mentioning the Neglected Tropical Disease program, the NTD program. RTI is extraordinarily proud, of being one of the organizations helping to implement the programs to eliminate neglected tropical diseases worldwide. We are very grateful for your leadership and the committee's leadership in supporting those efforts. As people may know, neglected tropical disease are diseases that blind, disfigure, and disable people around the world. The programs that this committee has supported have protected over a billion people worldwide from those diseases. They are also a great example of how strong U.S. leadership and focused programming could have a tremendous impact in moving countries toward resilience and self-reliance, as USAID Administrator Green says. The Neglected Tropical Disease programs are programs that have actually eliminated diseases as a public health threat from many countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Those are the kinds of successes that you do not easily see every day in development. So, again, we thank the committee for its leadership. And we are proud to be a part of it. Regarding your question, I think one of the worries that we see around the world is that, as you see increased temperatures and extreme weather events, we are seeing the spread of diseases, particularly around increased temperatures. Rising temperatures allow for the expansion of diseases because they expand the range of insect vectors of disease, the range for mosquitoes, the range for parasites. So, you are seeing increased vectors for malaria, for chikungunya, for dengue, diseases that are in some cases fatal diseases that can really harm individuals. They affect the livelihoods of communities and families. They have a negative impact on overall economies. These diseases also affect not only humans but plants and animals. So they affect the larger food supply as well. Regarding your question on worms. One of the series of neglected tropical diseases is soil-transmitted helminths. We see an increase in that when people's immune systems are compromised, and in situations like the floods in Mozambique, or in the countries that are suffering from famine_in the last couple of years we have seen famine risks in Nigeria, South Sudan, Yemen, and Somalia. Where people do not have enough to eat, where they do not have enough to drink, where you see increased risk of cholera, it compromises the immune system and makes people much more susceptible to the potential for co- infections. Mr. Smith. I appreciate that. Thank you very much. You know, I was the House sponsor of the Global Food Security Act. It passed the House three times. It did become law. And Betty McCollum was our chief co-sponsor, did a wonderful bipartisan effort on that. But I have always been concerned, I mean, I have seen the worms. As you know, since there are 1.4 billion people walking around with parasites and worms, seems to me that we need to do more on that. And our bill will certainly take us in that direction. But thank you for showing the correlation, if you will, between the two. Very little time left. But there is a great deal of support in this committee and in the Congress, bipartisan support, for Power Africa what are we doing to exacerbate or--is it neutral when it comes to concerns about climate change? How would you respond to it? Maybe, Admiral, you want to, or someone else. Mr. McGinn. I think we can do more. We are doing a lot basically driven by global terrorism, if you will, which finds some of its origins in North Africa in particular. But I think that we can do more in terms of working with the militaries and the national security organizations of those countries and showing them ways that they can become more resilient. More resilient to food shortages, or water shortages, or sea level rise, or tidal surges. And that is a gift that lasts for literally generations and changes people's lives. Clearly we are going to be there when there is a major humanitarian disaster. But being able to make those countries more resilient has a lasting effect. And our whole national security apparatus, not just the military but organizations like USAID can play a tremendous role in increasing the resilience of those countries. Mr. Smith. I am nearly out of time. But perhaps later on or for the record you can provide it, because I am talking about the electrical grid especially, to make sure that we are doing the right thing in terms of build-out. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Mr. Smith. Mr. Sherman. Mr. Sherman. Thank you. We have focused a lot on the physical effects of global warming and climate change. But there is also the reputational risk that we face being the one country that does not even pretend to be doing our share to try to stop it, at least not at the national level. Our hearing today is on national security. We can learn from the past. In World War I and World War II the winner was not necessarily the strongest country but rather the strongest alliance. For 70 years the United States has been the unquestioned leader of the most powerful alliance or network of alliances the world has ever seen. Now we have renounced the Paris climate change talks. We have announced that we won't do our agreed share. What effect does that have on our overall ability to hold together these alliances? Admiral? Mr. McGinn. I think it is a question, Mr. Chairman, of leadership and leadership by example. We are judged by what we do, not just by what we say. And we need to continue to be that global force for good that you pointed out has existed for over 70 years since the devastation of World War And as you also pointed out, it is not just any one country or any one nation, it is an alliance of nations that come together around economic and democratic political values that are going to prevail against this newest challenge, this global existential challenge of climate change. Mr. Sherman. And I would point out our allies are democracies. So just having a few leaders at the top saying, ``Well, we understand,'' does not measure the effect that this has long term on populations that will be there long after this or that leader leaves. Ms. Goodman, do you have any comment on how this affects our ability to keep the Alliances that have underlied, that have girded our national security? Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Mr. Sherman. I would observe that this week we are observing the 70th anniversary of the NATO Alliance, which has been foundational to American security during that period. I grew up during the cold war and spent my early years working on NATO matters and nuclear security as the fundamental security challenges of our era. I believe that climate change poses an equally fundamental security challenge today, and that American leadership, in conjunction with our allies and partners, is as fundamental to this challenge as it has been within NATO and to fighting the challenge that we face. Mr. Sherman. Thank you. I want to move on to one other issue, and that is China. They are subsidizing the export of panels, but they subsidize any manufactured good that they think is going to be relevant to the future, and they do that for their own economic interests, sometimes driving down industries in places like the United States. When it comes to climate change, they seem to be much less interested than in smog and particulate matter. And, of course, climate change, the effect of whatever you do is worldwide. They seem to focus on the very severe problems that they have breathing the air in their own cities. Now, China emits twice as much greenhouse gases as the United States. Of course, they have four times the population. They announced with pageantry that they are going to keep increasing their greenhouse gases right up until 2033--2030, and then we will see what happens after that. Other than reaffirm our own commitments in Paris, what can we do to get China to do more? I believe we have decreased our greenhouse gas emissions; they are increasing theirs. Mr. Weisenfeld, do you have a--which on the panel has a response? Looks like the admiral has a response. Mr. McGinn. I believe that we can compete so much more competitive--we can be so much more competitive in this energy transition from primary dependence on fossil fuel which, oh by the way, has been very, very good to the United States for over 100 years. But now is the time to change. And the opportunity to change exists in our great technology, in our universities, in our business models. There is tremendous amount of capital that is waiting to be invested in this energy transition. And I think that that is one of the best ways that we can influence the behavior of China, by us producing ways in which they can maintain their quality of life, their economic growth, and in fact everybody can, but doing it with good technology and business models. Mr. Sherman. I will point out that I look forward to the day when there are more than a couple of vehicle recharging stations in the Rayburn garage. And I yield back. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Mr. Sherman. Mr. Perry. Mr. Perry. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for being here. Mr. Weisenfeld, just curious, talking about natural disasters with some component of climate change in the mix there, are you familiar with the numbers over the last decade of deaths per 100,000 based on natural disasters? Is it going up generally or going down? Mr. Weisenfeld. I am not familiar with that data at the moment. Mr. Perry. OK. Mr. Weisenfeld. But I can look into it and get back to the Congress. Mr. Perry. I am a little familiar. And so I just want to, because all the stuff that is important to us is policy measures, trying to get the policies right. But it has gone down dramatically, dramatically per 100,000 over the last, over the last 100 years. And just in case you are interested or the audience is interested, most of the deaths occur from earthquake as opposed to flood, or drought, or hurricane, or something like that. So, when we talk about getting this policy right, all that stuff has to be considered. We do not want to just assume that natural disaster is occurring as a component of climate change and causing more deaths than they have in the past because that in fact is not the case. Mr. Worthington, the United States, as you know, has a vast amount of traditional resources. And under this, under this president, an energy dominance strategy associated with that. And I just want to get your thoughts on the World Bank's notable finding that China enjoys dominance in the arena of metal and rare earth metals in particular, which are required in many cases to supply the technologies for a carbon- restrained or constrained future. From a national security standpoint, I mean, are we, are we playing right into China's hands by eschewing what we have in our country, literally hundreds of years of resources at our, at our availability, and into an economy based on what they have essentially, they dominated, dominating and continue to seek to be dominant in? Mr. Worthington. Thank you for that question, sir. There is evidence that exists that would suggest that we have traded our reliance on Mideast oil to a reliance on rare earth elements in China. And there is plenty of evidence that that is actually what has happened and is continuing to happen. We do have abundant domestic resources. By increasing our domestic fossil energy production, that has actually allowed us to reduce our CO2 emissions in the United States. And the notion that we should become dependent on China, or any other country for that matter, on rare earth elements is just a road that we should not be going down. But, nevertheless, that is the road that we are going down right now. Mr. Perry. So, as a general, if we recognize that and generally agree, what is the solution set for America? Does the solution set include more involvement in rare earth mineral rights and industries? Or is it, is it reliance more on what we currently have in our country? Or is it a combination of the two? What should our strategy be vis-a-vis our probably greatest geopolitical adversary? Mr. Worthington. Well, like so many other aspects of the economy, diversity is a key strength. And we need to develop rare earth elements here in the United States. There are abundant supplies of rare earth in coal, for example, and that can be byproducts of mining coal. We also need to work with other countries that have resources that are other than China to help them develop their rare earth element resources as well. Mr. Perry. Is this something that we have constrained ourselves to, or is there something that stops us from developing the rare earth industry in the United States and abroad on behalf of the United States? Mr. Worthington. I do not think it was a deliberate policy decision. I think we kind of blundered down this path because, you know, China is cheap. And so we, instead of developing our own resources we kind of got seduced into a set of circumstances where we are buying on the cheap, and that means buying from China. Mr. Perry. All right. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Mr. Perry. Ms. Titus. Ms. Titus. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for holding this hearing. I am most impressed by the witnesses. I really want to thank Ms. Goodman and the Admiral for signing onto the letter to the president on this topic. I share your concerns. I think he is moving us absolutely in the wrong direction, not only by pulling out of the Paris Climate Accords but by not recognizing climate change in the national security strategy. We have heard a lot this morning about how climate change is a threat multiplier, and it has been mostly in relation to China and Russia. But I would like to talk about those fragile States and how they become vulnerable to terrorist recruitment. We have seen a lot of evidence, and I will ask you to comment on some of this, where areas that are, their lives, people's lives are upset by lack of water, lack of food, just general instability, people are ripe for recruitment. We have seen this in Iraq with ISIS. We have seen it in the Lake Chad area with Boko Haram. We have seen it across the Sahel in Mali, Islamic groups there have used that instability to provide resources and to encourage people to join their side because they can address these issues. Would you say that that is accurate? Do you have, have you seen other examples of this? And do we consider the impact of climate change enough as we try to develop a strategy to deal with terrorist recruitment around the world? I would ask the admiral and Ms. Goodman to start with that. Mr. McGinn. Well, as you know, around the world there are many, many divisions along, that have been there for centuries in some cases: economic divisions, cultural, religious, political. And what the effects of climate change do is it puts a magnifying glass over some of those divisions so that when you have a societal crisis like food shortage or water shortage or a major natural disaster, that just exacerbates the situation and causes those divisions to escalate to the point of armed conflict in many cases, which can spread to even regional conflict. So, recognizing that this pressure on fragile societies and fragile governments will cause many of them to fail, are there some things that we can do to increase their resilience so that they are not as dependent on one aspect of coastal farming, for example, in Bangladesh. Or that if, not if but when the next typhoon strikes there is going to be an ability to evacuate people to higher ground so that you can avoid the kind of mass migration toward India that could cause a major regional problem. So there are--I would say the word that we need to focus on, how can we help nations help themselves to become more resilient and recognize that if they are only one drought away, or one flood away from a major immigration crisis, we need to figure out how can we prevent that from happening, or how can we mitigate its effects. Ms. Titus. Ms. Goodman, would you talk about terrorist recruitment? Ms. Goodman. Yes. The violent extremist organizations like Boko Haram, ISIS, and others are essentially weaponizing water and food, holding vulnerable populations at risk, as hostages in certain circumstances, to their own advantage. And ,that is exacerbated because of the increasing drought that is displacing people in some of these regions across the Sahel and parts of the Middle East. As a result, they can thrive on the additional insecurities created within communities when regions in, for example, the Lake Chad region, which has shrunk so much over the last decades, can no longer support the fishing, the farming, and the herding populations, because of the decline in available water and other resources in the region. So this is happening. There are opportunities I think through our own efforts, for example, through Power Africa, Feed the Future, our work with allies and partners across the region, to make these communities more resilient and to be able to withstand some of these shocks and effects. Ms. Titus. Related to that, as you brought up, Admiral, you know, environmental changes cause ecological changes, cause demographic changes. And that often comes through migration. And you see that with the Rohingya. And it seems to me this just feeds into these problems. Mr. McGinn. One of the most dramatic examples, and it is a present generation geopolitical challenge, is what happened and is happening in Syria. You can trace the roots of that back to all those cultural, economic, political, religious divides that I mentioned before. But when you have a long-term drought as Syria experienced over the past 5 to 10 years, that cause migration to cities because the ability to live on the land that they had previously been living on for decades and, in some cases, centuries was taken away. And it just put that magnifying glass on all of those divisions and it exploded into civil war. And I am not trying to make the case that climate change is the direct cause, but it certainly is a significant indirect cause for the kind of strife that we deal with the tremendous consequences of, including cross-border migration, terrorism, all of those violent organizations that Ms. Goodman mentioned. Ms. Titus. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Ms. Titus. Mr. Yoho. Mr. Yoho. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Good to see you back. I appreciate the panelists here. And, you know, a discussion on climate change and national security I think is something that we need to have. But I think it is something we need to keep in perspective. If we look at all things that are affecting America or our security, where would you rank climate change when you rank it with debt, China, cyber security, theft of intellectual property? As Mr. Worthington pointed out, 100 percent of our rare earth metals we are dependent on China. 90 percent directly come from China, the other 10 percent come from countries that get it from China. And, you know, we can go on to polarization of politics. So, where does climate change fit in there? Where would you rank it? Mr. McGinn. It is right near the top. I am not trying to make a case that it is the most compelling, but in terms of the broadness and the depth of its implications for us today and going forward, it is a very, very serious challenge for our Nation economically, environmentally, and in terms of energy. In terms of the rare earth dependence, we have got an ability in this country with the kind of universities and business that we have, the technologies that we are developing, to make rare earth elements less of a challenge by developing other means of storing energy, et cetera. Mr. Yoho. I am going to cut you off there. Mr. McGinn. Yes. Mr. Yoho. Because I agree with you. And we have got a bill that we are putting in, a rare earth and critical minerals bill that we have a national stockpile 2 to 3, or 3 to 5 years out there that we can readily access. I am not saying we have to extract it right now. But we need to know where it is, and we will go after it when we need it for national security reasons. I am going to ask the panel here because, Ms. Goodman, you brought up, you stated that climate change has led to the mass migrations. Is that correct? Ms. Goodman. Climate change is a factor in the mig---- Mr. Yoho. OK. Ms. Goodman. _in the vast migration flows that we have seen. Mr. Yoho. How many people, do you have any estimate of how many people have been displaced by climate change, out of the 70 million from the Middle East, Asia Pacific region? What percent would you say is climate change related? Ms. Goodman. I think the way to think about it, Congressman, is that the factors we have discussed of extreme weather events, sea level rise, temperature rise, increased drought, and water scarcity are exacerbating the reasons that people move. Mr. Yoho. All right. When I look at the water map of Africa, there is plenty of groundwater there. What we see so often is the inability of governments to respond, or governments cause the problem. And as you pointed out, Boko Haram and these other terrorist organizations will use anything they can to leverage people. Ms. Goodman. Uh-huh. Mr. Yoho. And that they do that when we give U.S. aid relief, whether it is food, whatever it is, they hold that. And we see what is going on in Venezuela, that is not a climate change condition. That is bad politics. Ms. Goodman. Exactly. Mr. Yoho. And so to say that, you know, you know, I hear that we are not leading, I agree with Chairman McCaul stating that, you know, we pulled out of the Paris Climate Accord, and I am glad President Trump had the leadership to do that because it was a piece of paper that bound this Nation, whereas other nations like China or India says, well, we will try. You know, and that is at the expense of the American population. And if you look at from 2005 to 2017, the U.S. economy grew by 20 percent while our energy consumption fell by 2 percent. Energy-related CO2 emissions also decreased during that time period from 2005 to 2017, it dropped 14 percent. That is leadership. If the rest of the world would follow what we do instead of us going after the--you know, and the politics that gets played over climate change I think is damaging this country. I think we need to look at it. We need to look at all energy sources. You know, Chairman, Mr. Keating stated out that, you know, we pulled out of the Paris climate change and this was terrible, yet, in Cape Cod where I assume you are up in that area, too, Massachusetts, they cannot get to Cape Cod wind farm because it says year-round and summer residents expressed concerns over the location of the project. Some claimed that the project will ruin scenic views from people's private property as well as the view of public property, and that it would interfere with yachting. So, if they are really serious about this, build the dang wind farms and do not, you know, do not say ``not in my backyard.'' So, I think we should look at it strategically. I think the warming of the Arctic is very serious because China is wanting to lay claim in there because they say, well, we are near territory. Those are the things that I see, and it is not following the international norms that we need to stand up against China and back them off now. If not, they are going to have bases up there. They are going to be extracting energy. And they are going--I mean, you look at what they did in the South China Sea and tore up 4,000 acres of coral rock, that has got to be bad for the climate, too. But nobody says a word to China. I am out of time. And I am sorry I did not get to ask much of a question. I am just angry. See ya. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Mr. Yoho. Ms. Spanberger. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you very much to our witnesses for being here today. Ms. Goodman, I would like to ask a quick question just for some level setting for people here on this committee hearing. Related to the Paris Accord, it is my understanding that the Paris Accord did not bind our actions, the actions of the United States. Is that correct? Ms. Goodman. Yes, that is correct. Each country sets it own nationally determined commitments. Ms. Spanberger. So, to confirm, we, the United States of America, submitted the goals that we thought were appropriate for us and the goals that we wanted to, to achieve into the future. Is that correct? Ms. Goodman. Yes. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you, ma'am. So, to draw from that a little bit further, my question is how much benefit is the U.S. receiving from the continued dedication of our European allies and U.N. member States who still are committed to the Paris Accords and their climate change actions? And then, separately, what risks are we taking in your assessment by not being party to these agreements any longer? Ms. Goodman. Well, I think the risks that we are taking are the continued license for China, Russia, and other great powers of this age to meddle further in our own American interests and with our allies and partners. We see that particularly across Europe today. We see increasing leverage of both Chinese foreign direct investment and Russian energy across Europe. And, without a strong American presence and American leadership, both within the NATO Alliance and on climate leadership, we put our own security at risk. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you. And would any of the other witnesses want to add anything to that question? Mr. McGinn. I would just say the phrase ``leadership by example.'' The United States has been a force for good, and continues to be. And anything that we do that undermines our own credibility by not acting in a way that a global leader needs to act to be that continuing force for good is detrimental. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you very much. Mr. Worthington? Mr. Worthington. Yes. Let me just say that there is not a single European country who is on track to meet their commitments under the Paris Accord. Ms. Spanberger. So, given that they are not on track to meet their commitments, do you assess that that is a reason to abandon commitments and efforts to achieve them? Mr. Worthington. No. That is not what I said. I did mention in my testimony that our energy industry, particularly electric power, has achieved a 28 percent reduction in CO2 emissions. There is only one other country in the world that can claim that. Emissions in Germany are going up. The use of coal-fired power in Germany is increasing, not decreasing. Ms. Spanberger. So then what, in your assessment, sir, would be the fact that our European allies remain committed to the Paris Accord, what benefit then do we receive because of their continued commitment. Mr. Worthington. Their continued commitment of talking is not reaching their, their commitment. They are, they are not delivering on what they are talking about. They publicly, verbally, and in writing will make commitments to reduce emissions. Their reality is they are not reducing emissions, they are increasing emissions. Ms. Spanberger. Would any of the other witnesses care to comment on that? Thank you, Ms. Goodman. Ms. Goodman. I think the right analogy here is within the NATO Alliance for 70 years, that alliance has enabled Europe and America to be whole and free and to spread the values and norms in a globally constructive and productive manner for our economies and our people. We have at various times taken our European allies to account for not fully meeting their financial commitments within the Alliance. That is a continuing burden-sharing discussion. It does not mean we do not value the Alliance, and the commitment and the leadership. And, I would say here we are going to have, within the climate community there is going to continue to be, debates about the right levels of commitment and who is living up to their individual nationally-determined commitments. Those are reasonable to have at any given time. It does not obviate the need for the overall commitment to address the climate challenge. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you. And in some of the discussions here today when talking about the national security threats to global climate change and the fact that when there is a vacuum in times of extreme weather events we will see that vacuum filled by someone, if not good positive actors such as the United States or aid agencies. I think the same is relevant to what you were saying, Ms. Goodman, that in the absence of U.S. leadership someone else will be stepping in. And I think that is to our future detriment. Thank you for your testimony. I yield back. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Ms. Spanberger. Mr. Zeldin. Mr. Zeldin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Continuing the conversation on the Paris climate agreement, if, Mr. Worthington, if the United States was to remain in the Paris Agreement past 2020, can you speak to what role the executive branch should play in consulting with the private sector and Congress on responsible greenhouse gas reduction targets? And should it publicly produce its economic analysis and cost-benefit conclusions? Mr. Worthington. I think that is correct. I think that we have not been part of the discussions during the last administration as to what we should try to do relative to climate. As I mentioned, we have received or achieved remarkable reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in the energy industry. We were, we were not doing that because of the Paris Accord, we were doing it for whole variety of other, of other reasons, including our customers, our employees, our shareholders. Everyone wants us to reduce emissions, so we are reducing emissions. If the Paris Accord were to be renegotiated, we would very much like as an industry, to have a seat at the table to discuss how that might be best achieved. Mr. Zeldin. Thank you to all the witnesses for being here. Do any of you believe that President Obama should not have submitted it to the Senate for ratification? Do any of the witnesses disagree with the statement that President Obama should have submitted it to the Senate for ratification? Mr. McGinn. Military, not political. Mr. Zeldin. Anybody else want to weigh in? OK. China is the world's largest greenhouse gas emitter. What were China's commitments under the Paris Agreement? And can you speak to Beijing, whether or not they are living up to their commitments? Mr. Worthington. The Chinese commitment was to try. That they would, they would basically try to reduce emissions. There was no commitment any further than that. And I will add that, you know, recognize that today China is building over half of the coal plants that are under construction in the world today, about half of them in China, and about half in other countries. And part of the reason for that, we have heard discussion where if the U.S. steps back from the leadership role someone else will step in. Well, the United States stepped back from a leadership role in terms of helping developing countries develop their fossil energy resources. The World Bank stepped back, largely at the urging of the prior U.S. administration. And as a consequence of that, all through Africa and parts of Asia you see the Chinese companies building coal-fired power plants only to the standards that they believe is relevant, which means essentially no standard at all. If we had endured in U.S. leadership instead of allowing that vacuum to occur, we could be seeing these facilities being built, but built to standards that are modern, that are responsible environmentally, and responsible in a climate context. Instead, we stepped back and allowed that vacuum to be filled by the Chinese. Mr. Zeldin. One of the debates that we will have in Congress on this topic and out of Congress is a regulatory approach versus a market-based approach. If any of the witnesses can speak to the role of technology and innovation in reducing greenhouse gas emissions? Mr. McGinn. I served as a director on the Electric Power Research Institute. And the membership of EPRI is primarily utilities of all sorts, rural electric co-ops to investor- owned, to public utilities. And the private sector is significantly engaged in trying to produce ever cleaner, more reliable electricity, and to apply that electricity in places like transportation, for example, and commercial and industrial activities where we have not had the technology to be able to do that. So, in my experience the private sector in many cases, because of their customers or their work force, the motivation to not just have safe, reliable, affordable, but also clean electricity delivered is really, really driving the industry in a very, very positive direction. And I think that a lot of the greenhouse gas reductions that were cited earlier came about as a result of efforts in the, in the utility business. Some of them were self-motivated, many of them were because of regulation and policy that produced a positive effect. So it is a matter of achieving that, that good balance. Mr. Zeldin. Thank you for your service, Admiral. I am out of time so I will have to yield back. Mr. Costa. [presiding.) The gentleman's time has expired. I will now recognize the gentleman from Florida, Mr. Ted Deutch. Mr. Deutch. Thanks, Mr. Chairman. Thanks to the really terrific panel for being here. Thanks for your service to our Nation. We are on the brink, as we have been discussing here this morning, of major global catastrophes caused by climate change. Sea levels are rising, threatening coastal communities; warmer bodies of water are feeding stronger storms, like Hurricane Michael that intensified rapidly into one of the strongest ones in our history; droughts are affecting crop production; shorter winters will displace wildlife and impact cold weather tourism. You said earlier, Admiral McGinn, you talked about Camp LeJeune and Norfolk, but these troubling signs are also impacting my community in South Florida. Rising sea levels threaten the Coast Guard facility at Port Everglades. In Miami the rate of rising sea levels is outpacing global rate by nearly tenfold. In Miami Beach the resiliency projects already underway cost over $500 million to raise roads and improve drainage systems. But worsening flooding during the annual king tides, the highest tides of the year, is threatening now even inland communities. Unfortunately, this Administration has shown little interest or willingness to take any action. I founded the bipartisan Climate Solutions Caucus in Congress to serve as the first form for rank and file Democrats and Republicans to sit together to discuss how these events will devaState our Nation. Last Congress we had 88 members, split evenly between the two parties. The size of the caucus and the regional diversity of the members reflects the growing recognition of climate change affecting regions all across the country. I particularly would like to recognize my Republican colleagues on this committee, Representative Rooney, the co- chair of the Climate Solutions Caucus in this Congress, and Representatives Fitzpatrick, Kinzinger, Mast, and Zeldin for serving on the caucus. We hope that this Congress the caucus will play a more active role in actually getting things done. The caucus recognizes that climate change is not just a threat to the U.S. but a threat to the world. To prolong drought, food shortages, bigger and more devastating storms, the spread of diseases, can undermine stability, as we have heard this morning. The world needs to prepare for refugees fleeing from countries that will no longer be habitable due to the impacts of climate change. We watched as Cyclone Idai devastated Southeastern Africa, flooding hundreds of square miles, damaging Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Malawi. Thousands could be dead, and cholera cases now exceed 1,000. And a drought in 2018 almost caused Cape Town, South Africa to literally run out of water. In the absence of Administration action, Congress must step up to act. Americans of all political stripes acknowledge climate change and expect their government to do something, something that will actually reduce greenhouse gas emissions, something that will seriously address climate change. And I hope that this Congress we will do that. Admiral McGinn, DoD and intelligence officials have explained how climate change forces our military to adjust strategy and policy. There have been references that a number of you have made to Russia and China. I would like to, I would to just spend a minute addressing whether China and Russia face these same challenges. You have spoken about the opportunities to them, particularly on the Arctic Circle, but how is climate change affecting our military's security interests? Mr. McGinn. China and Russia both face internal challenges of climate change. It is, as you know, it is a global, a global phenomenon, a global threat. Our military is being called upon more frequently because of the natural disasters that are caused by Mother Nature. But I think that our ability to operate out of our bases here in the United States, as well as overseas, is increasingly going to be impacted. You mentioned Hurricane Michael and what happened Tyndall Air Force Base, Hurricane Florence coming up the Eastern Seaboard and the devastation it wrought on Camp Lejeune, prior year hurricanes in South Carolina at Paris Island. And the list goes on. So, I think that our investment in resilience and recognizing that our military needs these platforms to launch American power down range, and to be able to be effective in all of the emissions is absolutely necessary for investment. Mr. Deutch. Thanks. Ms. Goodman, actually let me, let me ask you about something that we have talked about in this committee before and the research that environmental stresses did not cause the Arab uprising in 2011, but the impacts of climate change may have served to increase the likelihood of instability. Can you elaborate and provide an example of how climate change has undermined stability in the Middle East? Ms. Goodman. Well, in Syria in the years preceding the deadly conflict, there was a prolonged drought. And, that drought drove farmers and herders that had lived peaceably in the rural areas to abandon some of those rural areas and move, or migrate, toward cities. That created civil unrest as the cities were unable to accommodate those people, and that enabled extremist forces to move in. So, the drought is directly connected to the onset of the civil unrest and the increasing violence. It is not the only factor, but it is an exacerbating factor. And, if I might add in response to the last question, climate change is degrading military readiness in the United States today, as we see our bases and stagings increasingly at risk from extreme weather events_which cost over $5 billion now to rebuild both Tyndall and Camp LeJeune_and also the floods recently across the Midwest affecting StratCom and Omaha. And, not to mention the regular sunny day flooding that occurs in Norfolk as well as in your region in Miami. This is a very significant effect on our military. Mr. Deutch. Thank you. Mr. Costa. We thank you for your response. And the gentleman's time is expired. And the Chair will now recognize Susan Wild, the gentlewoman from Pennsylvania for 5 minutes. Ms. Wild. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I am one of those people that believes that the American military is uniquely qualified and capable of working on real climate solutions. And I would just first like to know whether all of you agree with me on that or disagree? Mr. McGinn. Agree. Ms. Wild. I guess, and I am seeing nodding of the head. So what I would really like to see is some sort of directive to our military operations that climate change is something that we need the military to proactively work on and to assist the rest of the world in coming to solutions. And I understand to some extent that is happening. Ms. Goodman, could you tell us something about what initiatives the U.S. military is engaging in now or planning to undertake in the future to combat climate change? Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Congresswoman. I would start from the assumption that the military's mission is to provide the most effective and capable fighting force in the world and for the United States. So the things that the military can and should do in addressing the climate challenge is in support of that military mission. For example, when I observe that extreme weather events are causing damage to military bases, we need to be at the forefront of learning how to reset our base infrastructure to be resilient to those climate effects. And, that is part of the military's mission. That will have other benefits to the local communities in which the bases are located_from Norfolk to Florida. At the same time, the military is a large user of energy in the United States. And, what we have learned over the last several decades is that we can increase the performance and effectiveness of our propulsion systems, of much of our weapons systems, and at the same time we can be more efficient in our use of energy and we can take advantage of changes and technological progress in the advanced energy system. So, we have seen that, for example, when in Iraq and Afghanistan we were losing people, putting soldiers at risk when they were convoying fuel to the front, we learned how more efficiently to provide that fuel and water to our forces at the front. We also learned to provide different ways of powering our bases, or to use energy-efficient insulating foam and other techniques. Those all support the military mission. That technological development, began through a variety of different research and development programs, both in the Department of Defense and in conjunction with the Department of Energy and others, provides valuable benefits for the military mission. And, at some time, just as it has done through other non-military technologies, has aided in the furtherdevelopment and commercialization of those technologies. Ms. Wild. So, I would like to see us be more proactive and a little less reactive to all kinds of problems in our country and in our world and, in the context of this hearing particularly, climate change. Do you believe, Ms. Goodman, that this Administration--actually, let me ask this of Admiral McGinn, if I may. Admiral, do you believe this Administration is taking climate change and the threats that it presents to U.S. national security and global conflicts as seriously as it should be? Mr. McGinn. I think the rhetoric would appear that it is not. Although there are many, many people in the Administration, I am absolutely certain, understand the business case for doing something about this, this enormous problem. There are costs, there are benefits, and there are risks to any endeavor in the military sphere, in the national security sphere. And these pragmatic people, these patriots, get that. And they are taking appropriate actions. But those actions could be so much better supported and accelerated and magnified, and the effects so much better, the benefits so much sooner and broader, I think that that could be a major change. And I will just say I am so pleased as a citizen to hear both sides of the aisle talking about climate change as real. It is a problem. Lots of discussions about how best to deal with it and all of that, but recognizing the problem is 50 percent of its solution. Ms. Wild. Thank you. I am almost out of time here. But how might it be better supported? You mentioned that it could be better supported in this endeavor. Mr. McGinn. I think encouraging the deployment of better forms of energy, microgrids, storage systems, working with the private sector in public/private ventures, working with communities as the Navy has up in New London, Connecticut, out in Hawaii and in California. And I just think that that could really, really accelerate the deployment of clean energy to the economic benefit of our private sector and our overall economy. Ms. Wild. Thank you. Mr. Vargas [presiding]. Thank you. The gentlelady's time has expired. We are going to go to the next member. Going to go to the gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Chabot. You are next, sir. Mr. Chabot. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. And I spent the last almost 2 hours in the Judiciary Committee dealing with H.R. 5. Just got here. So rather than ask questions that probably some of my colleagues already asked and were answered, I would like to yield my time to the gentleman from Florida, Mr. Yoho. Mr. Vargas. Mr. Yoho is recognized. Mr. Yoho. Thank you, Mr. Chabot. Mr. Chairman, thank you. And, again, thank you, guys. You know, and I have heard over and over again some things that I really like, it is the adaptability that we have to do. You know, we can argue the causes and all that, and we can get into that and it becomes political. But it is the adaptation of our military bases. I come from Florida and so we are well aware of the affects from that. We have had Hurricane Irma go through the whole State. And, you know, leadership, we have seen record amounts of coal-fired power plants go out of, go out of business with this Administration, switching to either going out of business or switching to LNG. And I guess, Mr. Worthington, since you are from the energy realm, is that a good thing, switching to LNG from coal? Mr. Worthington. Well, it is a good thing when individual companies, corporations make decisions that are in their best interests based on the market. At the current moment you have our abundant, wonderful bonanza of shale gas development has provided the United States with a very unique opportunity. We are expanding our domestic energy production while we are reducing CO2 emissions. Mr. Yoho. OK. Mr. Worthington. It is really quite marvelous. Mr. Yoho. And we have run an energy summit in the last 2 years. Jacksonville, I am sure you are aware of this, is the largest storage bunker in capacity in the United States of LNG. And we have had 20 different nations that have come there. They want LNG out of the U.S. And, you know, from a geopolitical standpoint they want something that is inexpensive, reliable, with a reliable partner. And so our goal is to do this. And yet, we talk about China and the, you know, the different accords that countries sign up to. And we heard that the EU is not adhering to it. China is trying. Yet they are building these dirty coal-powered fireplaces or power plants instead of using the new technology. And I think it just shows it is disingenuous of China. And I think it shows the leadership of America by putting in the regulations to allow us to export more LNG, having countries convert to LNG. Turkey was there, and they get about 98 percent of their energy from outside sources. And Mongolia gets 90 percent of their energy from Russia. And Russia uses that as a geopolitical tool So, as far as climate change, I will ask the panel what can we do to get countries to stop building the dirty coal plants, you know, like China is doing without the advanced technology? Admiral, how do you put pressure on a country like China? Mr. McGinn. I think competing economically and providing the kinds of solution you mentioned, LNG as a good interim substitute for coal. You get electrons out but you do not get-- you get half of the greenhouse gas emissions that you would for a coal plant, to say nothing of the other, other emissions. I think that if we continue to invest in our technology, not just advanced technology but actually deploying things that work, better storage technology, better production of wind and solar electricity, better electrification of our transportation system, we can in fact motivate nations like Russia, or especially China to, to invest in those things as well even more, and to deploy them. And I would like to see ``Made in the USA'' on more and more green things across the world. Mr. Yoho. Oh, I sure would, too. And you know, and I look at energy. It is all of the above. We want the ones that make the most sense that, you know, benefit everybody and that is profitable. This committee and the President signed into law last year the BUILD Act, which is something to counter China's BRI initiative. And this is something as we go to the developing countries that we can use that technol--or that, that vehicle and invest in the proper technology that will propel them into the 21st Century in a smart way. I am going to yield back to Mr. Chabot, if you have any other comments. And thank you. Mr. Chabot. Thank you very much. And I will yield back, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Vargas. Thank you very much. The gentleman yields back. Go to the next member, the member from California, Ted Lieu, Mr. Ted Lieu. Mr. Lieu. Thank you, Mr. Chair. I previously served on active duty. And I know that we have the best military in the world because we rely on data, on facts, and on science. We do not live in a fantasy world because if we did, U.S. troops will die. We live in reality and we understand, the military does, that climate change is real and it is harming national security. That is why I am so pleased that Republican Ranking Member McCaul today in his opening statement acknowledged that climate change is real and that it is threatening U.S. national security. We cannot solve a problem if people do not agree that there is a problem in the first place. So I am pleased that more and more Republicans no longer believe climate change is a hoax perpetrated by the Chinese. Now, Admiral, again, you have stated that in your own testimony, earlier to a question that climate change ranks right near the top in terms of threats to U.S. national security. I believe you are right. There was an article in The Guardian titled ``Pentagon Report Finds that Climate Change Threatens Half of U.S. Bases Worldwide.'' One of these bases is Joint Operating base in the small island of Diego Garcia. Can you explain to us how important that base is to U.S. national security and our ability to project power? Mr. McGinn. It is located in a very strategic area of the world in which--from which you can use it as a platform to send power down range to the Middle East, to the South Asian subcontinent. And to lose that, that base's effectiveness at Diego Garcia because of sea level rise or other reasons would cause us to slow down the ability to flow in combat power logistics and all the things you need to respond to a regional crisis, or even a humanitarian assistance. Mr. Lieu. Thank you. And, in fact, in the first Iraq war air strikes were launched from that base; correct? Mr. McGinn. That is right. Mr. Lieu. So, Mr. Chair, I would like to enter that article in for the record. I will catch him later. Mr. Chair, I would like to enter the article in for the record. Mr. Vargas. Without objection. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Lieu. All right. I have a second article now, ``How Climate Change is Threatening the Navy's Footprint in the Pacific.'' And it talks about the island of Guam where I served on active duty. And the article says, ``This tiny Western Pacific island is central to U.S. security interests in the region. It is home to two of the Nation's most strategically important military bases, both threatened by climate change.'' Can you explain to the committee how important the two bases on Guam are to our national security? Mr. McGinn. Once again it is because of location to areas of potential conflict or actual unrest now that Guam and those far, far Western Pacific platforms, in this case a U.S. territory, are. We have got capabilities there for missile defense forward. We have got capabilities to launch and to maintain submarine presence, surface warfare. And, of course, with the Andersen Air Force Base, any kind of Navy, Air Force, or Marine Corps air power. Mr. Lieu. Thank you. And, Mr. Chair, I would like to enter that article in the record as well. Mr. Vargas. Without objection. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Lieu. And then my final article today, ``The Military Paid for a Study on Sea Level Rise. The Results Were Scary.'' That is a Washington Post article dated April 25th, 2018. It talks about this small island of Roi-Namur which houses the massive Ronald Reagan Ballistic Missile Defense Test Site. It is now in routine threat of flooding because of climate change. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Lieu. Can Admiral McGinn or Ms. Goodman, can you explain how important it is to have the Ronald Reagan Ballistic Missile Test Site not flood? Ms. Goodman. Yes. That is very important, Congressman. That is a space radar tracking station that was constructed for that island of Kwajalein at a cost of approximately one billion dollars and could be at risk of being overrun or having coastal erosion degrade that capability within the next decade or so. Mr. Lieu. Thank you. In my home State of California we went from the eighth largest economy in the world to the fifth largest economy in the world even though we had the strongest climate change laws in the Nation. And it is clear when you look at the data that when California did what it did all these people who want to work on clean energy, clean technology, solar, wind, all decided to come to California. So, I have introduced legislation, The Climate Solutions Act, that basically takes California's laws and makes it national because we want the best and brightest in the world when they want to work on green technology and move our country forward to not go to China or Germany, we want them to come to the United States. And with that, I yield back. Mr. Vargas. The gentleman yields back. The next member to speak is the gentlewoman from Pennsylvania, Member Houlahan is recognized for 5 minutes. Ms. Houlahan. Thank you. I really appreciate all of the time of the panel. I, similar to Rep. Lieu, I served in the military as well and I did my field training at Tyndall Air Force Base. So it is kind of a catastrophe to think about that base in its current State versus the way that it was when I served. And like many of my colleagues, I will probably follow Representative Lieu and Representative Spanberger's lines of questioning, I am really concerned that we have left the Paris Accord for lots of different reasons. But one of them, Admiral, that has to do with one of your statements is that we have to lead by example. And we are no longer doing that and we are abdicating our leadership role. And so one of my questions to you, Admiral, first, is that you mentioned in your testimony, both live and in written form, the Administration officials that have stated the need for the government to address climate change. And my question to you is how can Congress, how can we help support the findings of the military and the intelligence communities in their efforts to mitigate climate change even though the White House currently seems unrecogniz--unwilling to recognize this growing threat? So, what can Congress do to be helpful? Mr. McGinn. I think continuing the discussion, as a first step, a necessary step in a bipartisan way that this is a real problem. It is growing. Delay of implementing solutions to both increase our resilience as well as to mitigate the greenhouse gases that we are putting out there, it only gets more and more expensive and more risky as each year goes by. And I think that encouraging every department and agency in the Administration to do things that make sense from a business perspective, that the business case for creating win/wins, a win for the economy, a win for the private sector, a win for the mission of whatever that department or agency is, especially the Department of Defense, just makes so much sense. And I think there are so many incentives. There are, obviously, investments. It takes money to an extent but it also takes guidance as well for us to assume and maintain that mantel of leadership. Ms. Houlahan. And I agree. I spent a lot of my time before doing or coming to Congress in corporate social responsibility. I think it is only in the best interests of many businesses to do the right thing for the planet. And, actually, I would like to present the same question to Mr. Worthington that I just presented to the admiral, which is, in your testimony you said we can do this without additional regulation, we do not need the Clean Power Plan, we do not need the Paris Accord to achieve continued progress. We would rather pay engineers and lawyers. And so my question to you is, is there nothing that Congress can be doing to be helpful to advance things like climate change, which you also agree is real? Mr. Worthington. I think that the most important thing that we need as a country that only Congress can do is to put additional resources into research and development. We have made great strides in deploying renewables. We have made great strides in improving the efficiencies of fossil units. We have a need to resurrect the domestic nuclear industry with small modular reactors. There is a whole variety of technologies that are just sitting on the cusp. We have a great opportunity to increase our uptake of renewables if we can get less expensive electricity storage in place. We have a great opportunity eventually to convert some of our energy consumption to hydrogen-based fuels. We have a great opportunity to reduce emissions further by deploying carbon capturing storage on fossil energy units, both coal and natural gas. All of this is critical but we need additional technology development, R&D. And that is where Congress can be very helpful. Ms. Houlahan. And we 100 percent agree on that. That is something that we definitely need to move forward on and support. And with the last few seconds of my time I would like to ask Ms. Goodman, Representative Lieu talked about some places that he had served, in Guam and some places specific to his service. My question has to do with something in Pennsylvania. We have a DLA depot in Susquehanna, Pennsylvania that has identified that they are, in fact, being affected by climate change. They maintain $13 billion in materiel. What kinds of things, what kinds of things will happen if that particular area is affected, as it anticipates being, by climate change in terms of the downstream effects of the supply chain? If you can comment on that. Ms. Goodman. Well, it will degrade the DLA's ability to perform its mission at that location if it is increasingly subject to either extreme weather events, or seal level rise, or coastal erosion in that Susquehanna area. That is an important location for DLA, I know that. And, you know that they need to make those facilities resilient, so they can continue to operate_that is, a combination of working both in the built and the natural infrastructure, and then working on solutions in conjunction with the surrounding community. And, using available technology like predictive analytics and other solutions that will enable us to better understand and anticipate those threats, basically prepare in advance to address those challenges. Ms. Houlahan. Thank you so much to everyone for your time. And I yield back. Chairman Engel [presiding]. Thank you very much. Mr. Watkins. Mr. Watkins. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thanks to the witnesses for being here. My question is for Ms. Goodman. In your testimony you noted that China published its first Public Arctic Policy in 2018 wherein it declared itself a near Arctic State, and articulated its intention to build a polar silk road. Could you elaborate on this? Ms. Goodman. Yes, Congressman. In 2018, China did release its first Arctic policy. It has been expanding its capabilities to operate throughout the Arctic; declaring itself a new Arctic stakeholder; looking to shorten its shipping times from China into Europe by transiting across the Northern Sea route; increasing its ice-capable vessels and ability to operate in the Arctic; increasing its extent of research and development across the region; and, also increasing its foreign direct investment with other Arctic nations, in particular, Greenland and Iceland. Mr. Watkins. Thank you. And this question is for anybody who would like to address it. There are many countries around the world, of course, that are extremely underdeveloped. I spent a large part of my adult life working in a few of these countries. Does limiting the use of certain energy resources around the world make it harder for these underdeveloped countries to grow their economies and to play a role in their regions around the world? Mr. McGinn. I would say any country that is developing and wants to increase their quality of life and economic viability needs the best form of energy that suits their location and their needs. Probably the most dramatic example I can think happens in sub-Saharan Africa where there have been companies and there have been private organizations that have brought solar power that has enabled cellular communication, satellite communication, access to the internet, and has empowered those communities to do things like extract water from solar-powered wells that have been able to transform their local economy at a very, very low cost, without having to build a central power plant and a transmission distribution network as we did. This is similar in many ways to what happened after the cold war when Eastern Europe did not have to create telephone poles and wires to have a modern telecommunications. They were able to go wireless because the technology was available, and it was affordable, and it was able to be deployed very rapidly. I think that same way of going about things is true for these developing countries. Mr. Watkins. Leapfrogging technology, yes. Mr. McGinn. Leapfrog. Leapfrog, exactly. Trying to maximize the benefits and minimize the costs, the economic costs and the environmental costs to deploying energy to developing countries. Mr. Watkins. Great. Thank you, Admiral. That is it, Mr. Chairman. I yield my time. Thank you. Chairman Engel. Thank you very much. Mr. Connolly. Mr. Connolly. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. My friend Mr. Espaillat has been waiting, and I am willing to yield to Mr. Espaillat and then take my turn after that. Mr. Espaillat. Thank you, Mr. Connolly. This is the greatest form of collegiality I have ever seen while I have been in Congress. It must be that wonderful colored tie he is wearing today. Mr. Chairman, climate change is an existential threat. And just want to start this by laying out this fact. And if we do not act it will have massive harm on our children, our future, and our children's children. And we are already seeing the effects today: increased heat, frequency and intensity of natural disasters, the lack of water. The effects of climate change can be seen around the world. And often it affects the already marginalized among us. It makes worse political conference and endangers all of us. Having said that, and being a member of the Western Hemisphere Subcommittee, I want to ask a couple of questions. The first one is, first of all I will start by saying that academic institutions such as Stanford, Columbia University, partner often with activists, not-for-profits, and venture capital firms to essentially reverse engineering solutions for communities suffering from devastating impact of climate change, including, as we have seen in the Caribbean and Latin America, there has been a, currently a horrible drought that is crippling the agriculture of many of those countries. We have seen the patterns of hurricanes and tropical storms devastating the Caribbean as well. From my understanding, in a short amount of time these initiatives have yielded substantive insights, these partnerships with academics, not-for-profits, and people on the ground. So I want to ask Mr. Weisenfeld, can you discuss the USAID investment in similar partnerships with academia or the private sector which seek to drive innovative solutions to build resiliencies and mitigate the effects of climate change? Mr. Weisenfeld. Thank you very much, Congressman, for that question. I would be happy to discuss that. Because you have described the impacts of extreme weather events, increasing temperatures have dramatically negative consequences for communities. They often force communities into situations of suffering from floods or droughts. We also have seen increased diseases for plants in Central America and we have seen increases in coffee rust. USAID is doing the Feed the Future initiative_which the U.S. Government's global food security initiative, has invested in research, innovation, and new technologies through a range of universities that they call innovation labs. And we have seen that employing new technologies, new ways to improve water management, more drought-resistant crops, more efficient methods at utilizing fertilizer can be preventative ways to build resilience in those communities, and help them avoid the kinds of dramatic consequences that we see. Mr. Espaillat. And what about the Caribbean? We saw what happened in Puerto Rico, the horrible storm that Puerto Rico is still reeling back from the impact of those storms. There is no guarantee that that region will not be, unfortunately, hit again by either a hurricane or what they call vaguadas. That is, you know, you have maybe 12, 14 days of rain, torrential tropical rain. How could the Caribbean prepare, begin to prepare itself for this reality that is going to impact the lives of people there, and our own lives here, given that we have large populations of folks from those nations? Are there any best practices or ideas of what the road map should be short-term and long-term for the Caribbean to prepare itself? Anybody can answer that. Yes, Ms. Goodman? Ms. Goodman. You know, we have been working through the Center for Climate and Security, and with other U.S. Federal agencies, and private sector and nonprofit partners, to develop plans for increasing Caribbean resilience, because we are aware that the combination of extreme weather events, combined with prolonged droughts, is making the region more fragile. And the agencies in the Caribbean, like CDEMA, the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency, and others, are very attentive to that and really want the technologies, and the innovation and ingenuity, that can be provided across the range of American universities and private sector entities. So, I think this is a very fruitful area to continue to push and advance partnerships, as we develop the capability to move from reliable weather predictions of 7 days into the seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasting. It is going to be very important in the Caribbean and elsewhere. Mr. Espaillat. Well, I would continue to hear from the rest of you but, of course, Mr. Connolly will not be very happy as he has already conceded his time. So, thank you. Perhaps I can hear from the rest of you in writing. Thank you so much. Chairman Engel. So, Mr. Espaillat, you are technically going to yield to Mr. Connolly or give Mr. Connolly his full 5 minutes. Mr. Connolly. Mr. Espaillat. Well, I yield to my good friend and colleague Mr. Connolly. Mr. Connolly. I thank both the chair and my friend of New York. And thank you all so much for being here. Mr. Chairman, thank you for having this hearing. I think it is a critical hearing. And, Admiral McGinn, I was particularly pleased to hear you say I think essentially, look, the military are pragmatists. We have not got time for theoretical debates. And the fact of the matter is we are seeing the consequences of something. Call it climate change, call it whatever you want, but we have got to prepare for it. And I assume, Secretary Goodman, you, you would concur with that judgment? Ms. Goodman. Yes, absolutely. We need to lead by example. Mr. Connolly. That is right. Now, even in this Administration which continues officially to deny the science of climate change, in a January 2019 DoD report, of the 79--they looked at 79 installations. And in that report, two-thirds of those 79 installations were vulnerable to recurrent flooding; more than a half are vulnerable to drought; about a half are vulnerable to wildfires. And a lot of that clearly is a change, is it not? I would ask the two of you from a military perspective. We obviously did not build installations knowing they were at risk of flooding, drought, wildfires. Something has happened. Something has changed that makes a half to two-thirds of those installations vulnerable. Would that be a fair assessment? Mr. McGinn. It is. And it is primarily because the Earth is heating up, especially this great big heat sink called the ocean. You hear about El Nino or La Nina. And those effects put more energy into the atmosphere: stronger winds, upper air currents. They bring up much more water vapor. And the, the frequency and the intensity of storms that are in this air/ ocean interface caused by the wick being turned up, if you will, and temperature is going to be a continuing phenomenon. And it will affect a lot of coastal areas and, as we saw just in the past two hurricane seasons in the Caribbean and the East Coast, areas that are hundreds of miles inland as well. Mr. Connolly. Admiral--I am sorry. Ms. Goodman. Ms. Goodman. I would just add that what this means is that we can no longer fully rely on the historical record to predict what the future will bring. Mr. Connolly. Good point. Ms. Goodman. So, historic heat records, flooding, and storm patterns have changed, and they have shifted. And, so when you want a reset to become more resilient for the future you cannot just rely on the past. We need to look at the changing conditions. Mr. Connolly. One of the big changes, particularly affecting your service, Admiral, again, is of course the melting of ice sheets. So, in the Arctic you have got floating ice, and if it melts, it melts. It does not particularly displace water volume, right, because it is already counted floating on the water. But in the Antarctic and in Greenland, significant melting of ice sheets raises global sea levels, does it not? Mr. McGinn. It does in fact. Mr. Connolly. And what could go wrong with that from the Navy's point of view. Mr. McGinn. Well, I think rising sea levels affecting places like Norfolk Naval Station, Naval Air Station, Air Force bases in that Tidewater area are good examples. And, as Ms. Goodman pointed out earlier, even on sunny day flooding, king tides, et cetera, we are already dealing with that. So, increasing sea level rise because of ice sheets coming off of land masses is going to affect it. More in our present danger, if you will, is the intensity and the frequency of storms that cause tidal surge. That is not directly related to sea level rise. But when you have a 6 or 8 or even 10 foot tidal surge, that is devastating in its power to wipe out infrastructure along the coast. Mr. Connolly. And, of course, we have the double phenomenon do not we in some of these coastal areas--you mentioned Norfolk--where we have rising sea level and we have subsidence of land. And the combination is really a problem. Mr. McGinn. So, location of critical back-up power systems, for example, are practical things that we can do. If you are going to deploy a data center you do not want to put it in the basement of a building. You know, you want to put it up on higher ground. You want to think through what is it going to be like when the wind is blowing, when the rain is falling sideways, and flooding is coming in, what are the things that have to work. And we can make those engineering and design changes starting now that will help us when it is bad. Mr. Connolly. I thank you all. And, Mr. Chairman, again, thank you so much for having this helpful hearing. I really appreciate it. I know the public does as well. Chairman Engel. Thank you, Mr. Connolly. Ms. Omar. Ms. Omar. Thank you, Chairman. I wanted to begin with a response to one of my colleagues earlier who is not here who had asked what was the percentage of displacement of people, what percentage it was due to disasters as opposed to conflict. And that percentage is 60 percent according to the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center. We know that the global refugee crisis really is exacerbated, by climate change. And we do not need to look further from home. We know this is true. At least 400,000 residents of New Orleans were displaced by Hurricane Katrina. And for but some, and disproportionately many of those people were black and they were permanently displaced. While climate change is making droughts and famines worse, it is making resources scarcer, making conflicts fiercer, and recession more brutal, our country is resettling historically low numbers of refugees. And citizens of some of the countries that have been hit hardest by climate change, including Yemen, and Iran, Somalia, are currently subject to an arbitrary and racist Muslim ban. So, Ms. Goodman, you mentioned in your testimony that your parents were refugees. And as you know, I myself am a refugee. Could you tell us a little bit about the importance of American leadership in refugee resettlement, especially from a national security perspective? Specifically, do you agree with me that it is in our Nation's security interests to respond to the global refugee crisis, much of which is caused by climate- related factors, with more care than this President has done? And what might it look like to you? Ms. Goodman. Thank you, Congresswoman. Yes, my mother, who was a Holocaust refugee, and is sitting behind me today, would not be here but for the open arms of the United States. And, she was one of the fortunate few who was able to escape Germany in the 1930's. So, I fundamentally believe that it is important for America to be a refuge and to welcome those who are seeking shelter. That is not to say that we do not need immigration laws and border security. Of course we need that. But, we also need to welcome those in need, and particularly when we face the greatest wave of refugees since World War II today, many, as you have noted, are fleeing in part because of changes in climate and natural resource scarcities, in addition to seeking economic opportunity. Mr. Omar. Appreciate your response. It is one of the American values to see ourselves as a refuge. And I probably would not have survived if America did not open its arms to welcome my family. Mr. Weisenfeld, in your testimony you spoke about the particular vulnerabilities to climate change in the global south. We are seeing this right now with the terrible situation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Malawi where more than 800 people have been killed by the cyclone Idai. There is also a cholera outbreak in Mozambique as a result of the cyclone that has affected more than 200 people. I wanted to read you a quote from a CNN article that was dated on March 31st. And, Chairman, I would love to submit that for the record. Chairman Engel. Without objection. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Omar. Graca Machel, a former Mozambique Minister of Education and Culture, said to CNN, ``This is one of the poorest places in the world which is paying the price of climate change provoked mostly by the developed world.'' I tend to agree with her. The United States contributes disproportionately to the emission of green gases, trailed only China in recent years. So it seems to me quite obvious that our domestic consumption and domestic environmental policies are harming our national security by exacerbating the effects of climate change. Do you think it is fair to say that as a matter of national security we must take a concerned effort to cut out own green gas emissions? And is it fair to say that this should be an imminent and urgent priority for our country? Mr. Weisenfeld. Thank you very much for the question, Congresswoman. And thank you for highlighting the plight of the people in Mozambique and in the southern part of the world who are suffering from this. My experience is in the international development field. I am not someone who is very familiar with the issues of global carbon emissions. I would say that, I had the privilege earlier in my career to have served in Zimbabwe and have seen some of the areas that are subject to these floods. And I can recall back in the mid-'90's driving across Mozambique and seeing that it is in fact one of the poorest countries in the world. And it is a great tragedy of climate change that the countries that are the most fragile, where governments are the weakest, where communities are the most vulnerable are the ones who experience the greatest impact of climate change. And I firmly believe the U.S. people, as a country that is very generous, is deeply interested in investing in those areas and ensuring that we can take preventative actions using modern technologies to ensure that people have structures, and water efficiency, and understand water flow so that we can mitigate these impacts before they happen. Mr. Omar. Thank you. And I yield back. Chairman Engel. Thank you. That concludes today's hearing. I again thank all witnesses and all our members for their participation today. The committee stands adjourned. [Whereupon, at 12:23 p.m., the committee was adjourned.] APPENDIX [GRAPHICS NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] [all]