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Final Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement Fish Culture in Floating Net-Pens Washinnton Department of Fisheries LT Technical Appendices January 1990 SCHOOL? TECHNICAL APPENDICES PLEASE NOTE: The following technical appendices are intended to provide additional information on the subject of fish farming. There has been no attempt to include information on all facets of fish farming, nor has there been any attempt to evaluate the information presented here. A determination has not been made concerning the applicability of the information to the situation in Washington. Several comments on the Draft EIS requested additional information on fish farming. When possible, the requested information was included in the appendices. The purpose of these appendices is solely to provide information to aid in the ongoing discussion of the fish farming industry. In addition to the appendices, a list of sources of recent information on fish farming is included on the following page. The following is a list of the titles of the appendices: A Assessment and Prediction of the Effects of Salmon Fish Farm Culture on the Benthic Community B Modeling of Particulate Deposition Under Salmon Fish Farms C Phytoplankton and Nutrient Studies Near Salmon Fish Farms at Squaxin Island, Washington D Infectious Diseases of Salmon in the Pacific Northwest E The Economics of Salmon Farming F Permits That May Be Required for Aquaculture Projects G Viral Hemorrhagic Septicemia H Norwegian and British Columbia Information I Land-Based Tank Farms J Legislation Authorizing the EIS K Effect of Fish Farms on Surrounding Property Values L Economic Aspects of Salmon Aquaculture NOTE: Appendices A and E were completed under separate contracts with the Department of Fisheries. C" 00 Li-BRARY "TOA-A/CCEII Q_- 1990 "013SON AVE. C"A,(3- SC 2.9408-2623 I I I I 1 0 @ Property Of NoAA Coastal Services center Library ADDITIONAL REFERENCES Further information on fish farming can be obtained from the following sources: Alaska Finfish Farming Task Force. 1989. Report to the Alaska legislature, draft for public comment. 26p. B.C. Ministry of Environment. 1988. Environmental monitoring program for fish farms. Prepared by Waste Management Branch and Water Management Branch, British Columbia Ministry of Environment. 77p. B.C. Ministry of Environment. 1989. Environmental procedures and guidelines for marine fish farms. Draft report. 41p. Institute of Aquaculture, University of Stirling. 1988. The reduction of the impact of fish farming on the natural marine environment. Prepared for the Nature Conservancy Council: Scottish Headquarters: Edinburgh. 167p. Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Washington. 1989. Focus on aquaculture. The Northwest Environmental Journal. Vol. 5, No. 1. International Council for the Exploration of the Sea. 1988. Cooperative research report no. 154. Report of the ad hoc study group on "environmental impact of mariculture." Copenhagen, Denmark. 83p. Nature Conservancy Council. 1989. Fishfarming; and the safeguard of the natural marine environment of Scotland. Nature Conservancy Council: Scottish Headquarters, Edinburgh. 136p. Standing Committee on Fisheries and Oceans. 1988. Aquaculture in Canada. Report to the House of Commons. 129p. APPENDIX A ASSESSMENT AND PREDICTION OF THE EFFECTS OF SALMON FISH FARM CULTURE ON THE BENTHIC COMMUNITY ASSESSMENT AND PREDICTION OF THE EFFECTS OF SALMON NET-PEN CULTURE ON THE BENTHIC ENVIRONMENT by Donald P. Weston, Ph.D. School of Oceanography, WB-10 University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195 and Richard J. Gowen, Ph.D. Scottish Marine Biological Association Dunstaffnage Marine Research Laboratory PO Box 3 Oban, Argyll PA34 4AD Scotland Prepared for: Washington Department of Fisheries November, 1988 TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 MATERIALS AND METHODS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 RESULTS Clam Bay site . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Squaxin Island site . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 DISCUSSION Clam Bay site . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Squaxin Island site . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Assessment techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Model evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 LITERATURE CITED . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 ACKNOWLEDGMEWTS The authors appreciate the assistance of many individuals and organizations for providing information or logistical support essential to completion of this project: � The farm operators provided feed rate and production information required for the analyses. The Squaxin Island Tribe was particularly helpful by providing boats and operators on several occasions. This work would not have been possible without the cooperation and assistance of tribal staff. � The National Marine Fisheries Service assisted these studies by providing boats for use in Clam Bay. � The collection of samples in Clam Bay was made possible by the help of Mr. Dwayne Karna, Mr. Dave Terpening and other members of the EPA Region 10 dive team. � The Washington Department of Fisheries provided patrol boats for deployment and recovery of current meters. � The prompt analytical services provided by Dr. Donald McLusky of the University of Stirling are much appreciated. � Finally, the we are grateful to Mr. Ron Westley and Mr. Eric Hurlburt of the Washington Department of Fisheries for their support, patience and review of the draft report. ABSTRACT Sediment chemistry and macrofaunal communities were examined in the vicinity of two salmon mariculture facilities in Puget Sound. The Clam Bay farm is a relatively large operation containing 200 to 400 tons of salmon, and has been in operation for about 13 years. Deposition of feed and feces beneath the pens has created an area characterized by high levels of organic carbon and nitrogen and depressed sediment reduction-oxidation potentials. This area extends under the pens and out to a distance of 15 to 60 m from the farm perimeter. The macrofaunal community shows dramatic altera- tions in this area including the disappearance of most species characteristic of the natural community and high abundances of nematodes and an opportunistic polychaete. More moderate changes in the infaunal community extend at least 150 m from the farm. The Squaxin Island farm is a comparatively small facility (20 to 40 tons of fish on site) and has been operating only since early 1987. Unlike the Clam Bay site, there was little effect of the farm on sediment chemistry, even directly under the pens. The infaunal community shows evidence of disturb- ance in an area extending from the pen perimeter out to a distance of 6 m. Within this zone the community appears to have been undergoing gradual change over the 18 months of farm operation. On the basis of these investigations, macrofaunal community composition appears to be a more sensitive indicator of benthic impacts than measurement of sediment chemical parameters alone. Among the sediment parameters evaluated, redox potential appears to be a valuable tool for rapid and cost-effective impact assessment, at least in coarse-grained sediments. A model which predicts dispersion of feed and feces from a farm site was tested for agreement with actual conditions at the Clam Bay and Squaxin sites. The model was found to be reliable to within a factor of two or less in predicting the magnitude of organic loading to the seafloor. At the Clam Bay site and, to a lesser extent, at Squaxin Island the areas which the model predicted to receive the greatest input of feed and feces were the same areas showing the highest degree of sediment enrichment. On a broader scale, the model appeared reliable in identifying the areal extent of impact from net-pen culture. After tests at eight farms the model has predicted enhanced carbon fluxes up to 70 m (and usually less than 30 m) from the pen perimeter. These predictions are consistent with the results from this study and other investigations. The model is useful in identifying sites that would be clearly unsuitable for culture or others where environmental impacts are likely to be negligable. There are, however both inherent unknowns and oversimplifying assumptions in the model, which should be recognized to avoid indiscriminant application of the iv model and misinterpretation of the results. The data base of current velocity and direction on which model predictions are based is rarely, if ever, available for siting decisions, but would be valuable both to environmental managers and farm operators. V ASSESSMENT AND PREDICTION OF THE EFFECTS OF SALMON NET-PEN CULTURZ ON THE BENTHIC ENVIRONMENT INTRODUCTION Cultivation of salmon in estuaries and coastal embayments generates substantial quantities of particulate organic wastes consisting principally of feces and uningested feE!d. It has been estimated that the production of 1 kg of salmon generates 0.5 to 0.7 kg of particulate waste (Weston, 1986; Gowen and Bradbury, 1987). For large farms, which produce several hundred tons of salmon annually, the quantity of particulate waste settling to the seafloor is considerable. Accumulation of organic waste on the sea bed has been found to alter some aspects of sediment chemistry and benthic macrofaunal commun- ity composition in the vicinity of salmonid culture opera- tions. The changes in sediment chemistry include increases in carbon, nitrogen and phosphate content (Hall and Holby, 1986), depression in sediment reduction-oxidation potentials (Brown gt al., 1987), and changes in the rates of nutrient cycling (Kaspar et al., 1988). Shifts in the species composition and relative abundances of benthic macrofauna have been reported, occasionally with an azoic zone directly beneath the farm (Pease, 1977; Brown et al., 1987). Waste accumulation on the seafloor can have implications for the viability of the farm itself. The release of hydrogen sulfide from anoxic sediments and/or related changes in water quality can adversely effect the health of the cultured fish (Arizono, 1979) and has been the reason for the closure of some operations (Braaten et al., 1983). At the present time there is a rapid growth in the farm- ing of salmon. The results of this growth will be the expan- sion of existing farms, some to an annual production of 2,000 to 3,000 tons, and the establishment of multiple farms in individual embayments. As development proceeds potential pollution problems require careful scrutiny, and it has recently been stated that there is a need for models which can 2 be used to predict ecological impact before establishment of a farm (Rosenthal et al., 1987). The development of such models, together with an understanding of the effects of organic wastes on the benthos, is essential to ensure that this form of mariculture does not cause broad ecological change. An additional application of such model would be in resource management, to ensure that farming is not conducted in areas which, through ecological change, can not sustain the long-term use of the site. This paper describes an assessment of the intensity and spatial extent of impact on the benthos of two farm sites in Puget Sound, Washington. The sites chosen for study differ greatly in physical conditions, farm size and duration of operation, and potentially offer a broad range in the scale of impact. The study was also intended to further test a sedimentation model designed to predict the dispersal of solid wastes from fish farms (Gowen et al, in press). A preliminary test of the model (Gowen et al., 1988), using sediment redox potentials as an indicator of organic pollution, suggested that the model could be used to predict the spatial extent and severity of ecological disturbance of the benthos and in the selection of suitable sites. MATERIALS AND METHODS Field sampling and model verification was performed at two salmon net-pen operations in Puget Sound. The Clam Bay farm is a large operation with an annual production of 617 tons and containing 200 to 400 metric tons of salmon at any given time. The farm has been in operation at the same site continuously since the early 1970's. The Squaxin Island farm holds 20 to 30 tons of salmon and has only been in operation since 1987. There are 53 additional pens located 2,50-500 m south of the Squaxin Island-farm. These pens are used to hold juvenile salmon on a seasonal basis, and were largely unused during the period of investigation. Physical characterisics of each site and details of the Clam Bay and Squaxin farms are given in Table 1. Sampling stations were established at each farm at prede- termined distances along 3 transect lines extending out from the pens, varying in length from 30 to 165 m (Figure 1). Field activities included deployment of current meters and sediment traps, collection of sediments for chemistry and grain size analysis, measurement of dissolved oxygen in near- bottom waters, and sampling of benthic macrofauna. Current measurements - Two Aanderaa current meters were deployed at each of the farm sites, and set to record at 15 minute intervals for a period of 60 days. The meters were placed 2.5 and 5.5 m above the seafloor at the Squaxin Island and Clam Bay sites, respectively. Sediment traps - Sediment traps were constructed of PVC pip- ing, 15 cm in diameter and 45 cm in length. An array of three traps were placed under the pens and at each station along transects CB1 and SQ1. The distances between the sea bed and the mouths of the traps were 0.5 and 5.5 m at the 115quaxin and Clam Bay sites, respectively. Prior to deployment 250 g 4 Table 1 Physical characteristics of the farms and surrounding environments PARAMETER CLAM BAY SQUAXIN ISLAND Depth of water 10 - 26 4.7 - 5.0 (m at mean lower low water) Distance between bottom of pens and sea bed 6 - 22 1.7 - 2.0 (m at mean lower low water) Area of cages (m2) 14,560 1,184 Duration of operation (years) 13 1.5 Biomass held on farm 200 - 400 20 - 30 (metric tons) Feed provided (kg-day-1) 2200 - 5900 400 - 600 5 mo@@5ester 0 '100 200 EPA Lob. Omm" Scale in Meters Ed 0 Transect CBI HHHHHHM M HHHHH! Transect Transect CB2 CB3 -480 Everett N Seattle GCOMO -J- Transect S03 0 I ympla 47 1230W 12 0 0 0 Transect SQ2 9 Transect S04 0 50 400 Scale in Meters Figure 1. Locations of the two Puget Sound farm sites investi- gated. Sampling stations are indicated by dots under the pens and along three transects at each site. Locations of the Aanderaa current meters indicated by M symbol. 6 of reagent grade salt was added to each trap to retard micro- bial activity and reduce loss of material by resuspension. The traps were deployed for 9 days at the Clam Bay site and 15 days at Squaxin Island. Mercuric chloride was added to the traps at the time of recovery to inhibit microbial activity prior to analysis. The total amount of particulate material retained in the traps was estimated by filtering duplicate aliquots of the homogenized trap contents on to combusted and preweighed 45 um silver filters. The material retained on the filters was analyzed for carbon and nitrogen in a Carlo Erba Model 1106 CHN microanalyzer following vapor phase acidifi- cation to remove inorganic carbon (Hedges and Stern, 1984). Sediment sampling - The upper 1 cm sediment stratum was collected by SCUBA diver (Clam Bay) or Van Veen grab (Squaxin Island). The sediment was analyzed for carbon and nitrogen content in the same manner as the sediment trap material, except that a Perkin Elmer 240 elemental analyzer was used. Sediment redox potentials were measured in diver-collected cores following the method of Pearson and Stanley (1979). Grain size analysis was performed by dry sieving followed by pipette analysis of the silt and clay fraction. Dissolved oxygen - Near-bottom water samples were collected 5 to 10 cm above the sediment-water interface by SCUBA divers, and analyzed by the Winkler titration method (Strickland and Parsons, 1972). Benthic macrofauna - Macrofauna samples were collected at each farm site in connection with independent investigations. The Squaxin samples were collected as part of the operator's routine monitoring program which was scheduled so as to sample concurrently with the present investigation. The Clam Bay samples were collected as part of an EPA-funded study by the University of Washington to examine the effects of organic enrichment on benthic communities (Weston, 1988). 7 At the Squaxin Island farm macrofaunal samplE!S were collected at each station along transect SQ1. Three 0.008-m2 cores were collected by diver at each station. The contents of two of the cores were washed on a 1.0-mm screen, while the third core was washed on stacked 0.5 and 1.0-mm screens. The Clam Bay macrofauna samples were collected one year prior to the present investigations at stations closely approximating those of transect CB1. Three samples were collected at each station using a 0.06-m2 spade corer, and washed on a 0.5 mm screen sieve. The predicted dispersal of feed and feces from the net- pens was determined using the sedimentation model of Gowen -et al. (in press). The model uses a value of 4 crft-sec-1 for the settling velocity of feces (Warrer-Hansen, 1982), and a settling velocity for uneaten feed that was determined in a settling column using feed from the specific farm,. The area occupied by the farm was divided into a grid of 1 m squares, and waste production was assumed to be evenly distributed over the farm area. Solid waste production (in units of g organic carbon-m-2-hr-1) was calculated as a proportion of the feed provided. The amount of waste feed was assumed to be 15%, although the actual wastage varies greatly among farms and is generally unquantified (see p. 54 for complete discussion). The fecal production was estimated to be 30% of the ingested feed (Penczak et al., 1982). Hourly values of current veloc- ity and direction were used to calculate the horizontal displacement of feed and feces in each array element using the equations: (D) x (V cos 0) + U 8 (D) x (V s in 0) + U where I and J are the co-ordinates of the waste within the array at the start of each hour. D (water depth under pens) divided by U (settling velocity of feed and feces) determines the time during which horizontal displacement takes place. V cos 0 and V sin 0 provide the components of the horizontal displacement of a particle. Thus, the above equations give the X and Y co-ordinates of a particle on the sea bed in relation to the position of the farm at the end of each hour. The model was run using current data over one or more spring- neap tidal cycles and integrated the dispersal and input of organic carbon waste over this time period. 9 RESULTS CLAM BAY SITE Fourteen stations were sampled in the vicinity of the Clam Bay farm site, ranging from directly under thE! net-pens to a distance of 165 m from the perimeter of the complex (Table 2). The bottom topography at the farm site was steeply sloped, with water depths increasing to the north and east. Water depths near the southwest corner of the cage complex were 10 m at MLLW in comparison to 26 m at the northeast corner. Sampling in the deeper areas was not possible by SCUBA diving, thus all samples were collected at depths of 19 m or less. Seawater temperature and salinity of near bottom waters were 130C and 30 ppt, respectively. Sediments were primarily medium sands (0.25 - 0.5 mm diameter) to the east and south of the pen complex with finer sands (0.125 - 0.25 mm) to the northwest. Silts and clays comprised less than 5% of the sediment throughout the study area. Shell and gravel comprised a large fraction of the sediment (19%) only at stations to the east of the farm site. Water Currents Two current meters were deployed near the Clam Bay farm site. The first was positioned 100 m east of the net-pen complex, 5.5 m above the seafloor and 23.5 to 27 m below the surface (depending on tidal stage). The second was located 100 m northwest of the farm, 5i5 m above the seafloor and 9.5 to 13 m below the surface. Data collected during the period July 6 through August 4, 1988 were analyzed and presented in Figure 2. The current regimes showed pronounced differences at the two sites as a result of either depth-related differ- ences in current flow, or, more probably, local variations attributable to the close proximity and curvature of the shoreline. 10 Table 2 Clam Bay station summary Station or Distance from Water depth Transect net-nens (m) (m at MLLW) Substrate A 0 15 Transect CB1 0 16 15 16 30 16 60 15 165 15 0.3% shell/gravel 95.7% sand 4.0% silt and clay Transect CB2 0 13 15 14 30 15 60 19 19.4% shell/gravel 77.1% sand 3.5% silt and clay Transect CB3 0 13 15 12 30 11 1.8% shell/gravel 98.2% sand 0% silt and clay 60 10 STA RT 100 m east X@ of form N `100 m northwest of farm 1W START k, 11 In FINISH ly @FINISH Figure 2. Progressive vector diagrams based on the two current meter records from,the Clam Bay site. X symbols indicate 24-hour intervals. The current data are presented in the form of progressive vect@or diagrams. These diagrams were created by drawing a vector for each of the 690 current observations such that the oreintation of the vector corresponds to the direction of the current and the vector's length corresponds to current velocity. The vectors are then arranged in a head-to-tail fashion with "start" and "finish" indicating the first and last records, respectively. East of the farm site (Figure 2) most of the vectors were oriented to the southeast, indicating current flows primarily in this direction with little evidence of tidal oscillation. The constancy factor at this site was 94.7%. (A constancy factor of 100% would indicate currents consistently in one direction; a constancy factor of 0% would indicate that currents flowed in all directions with equal frequency). The mean current velocity over the period of observation was 9 cm-sec-1, although velocities as high as 36 cm*sec-1 were recorded. These current data were collected to model the dispersal of solid wastes sinking from the pens, so the measurements were taken at a depth of about 25 m. Current velocities at the depth of the net-pens (0-4 m) are likely to be somewhat different. Northwest of the farm site there was a strong tidal influence with currents flowing alternately to the northwest and to the south. The net current flow was to the west with a relatively low constancy factor of 65.6%. Current velocities were slightly lower than those recorded by the other meter. Mean velocity was 6 cm-sec-l with a maximum of 31 cm-sec-1. Sediment chemistry Total organic carbon and total nitrogen in surficial sediments exhibited similar patterns of enrichment throughout the study area (Figures 3 and 4). The highest levels of enrichment were found under the southern perimeter of the farm site (CB3-0 m) and 15 m east of the site (CB2-15 m). To the east of the farm site (CB2) the area of enrichment extended to 13 N '10- Transect -0 C B 4 0- r- 8- 0 0 HHHHH MD A 6' 77: 0 Transect 4. Transect '9 CB2 0 C83 C83 12 0 15 iO @0 Distance from Farm (m) io. o 8- .2 6, CBI C B 2 4- 0 @0 21 Y T JA 165 @0 iO i5 -Pen; 0 15 30 60 Distancefrom Form(m) Figure 3. Total organic carbon concentrations in sediments surrounding the Clam Bay farm. Range bars are not shown if less than the size of the mean symbol. Open circles show data collected one year earlier as part of a separate investigation. to N 0 Transect CB4 _0 0.8- 0 0L_ 0.6- Z 0 -6 0.4- O.- Transect Transect 12 CB3 CB3 0 CB2 0.2. 0 15 30 60 Distance from Farm (m) CTI 1.0, 0.8 0 10 0.6. CB1 CB2 Z -6 0.4- I... 0 0 12 0.2 0 i65 @0 3'0 1@ Net-Pens" 0 15 30 60 Distance from Farm (m) Figure 4. Total nitrogen concentrations in sediments surrounding the Clam Bay farm. Range bars are not shown if less than the size of the mean symbol. Open circles show data collected one year earlier as part of a separate investigation. a distance of at least 30 m (nitrogen) to 60 m (carbon). To the south enrichment was limited to within 15 m of the net- pens. Northwest of the farm nitrogen showed a statistically significant enrichment to a distance of 30 m (Kolmogorov- Smirnov two-sample test among all possible sample pairs, a < 0.05), but carbon levels remained uniformly low throughout the transect. The area northwest of the net-pens had also been sampled in July 1987 as part of an independent study (Weston, 1988). The results of the current sampling were generally similar to the results from the previous year except in close proximity to the net-pens. Within 45 m of the farm. carbon and nitrogen concentrations were substantially reduced relative to their levels one year earlier. This reduction is not due to stocking density since the total biomass of fish in the farm was actually 20% greater during the present investigation than one year earlier, but other factors such as small differences in station location or sampling artifacts (diver vs. box corer) may explain this apparent decrease. The reduction-oxidation potential (Eh) is a quantitative measure of the reducing or oxidizing intensity of sediments. Positive Eh values are generally characteristic of sediments which have a large grain size, are well oxygenated, and/or are poor in organic matter. Negative Eh values are measured in sediments which are rich in organic matter, consist. largely of fine sediments, and/or are poorly oxygenated. Sed-iments receiving high inputs of feed and feces from an aquaculture facility would be expected to have more negative Ej., values relative to background conditions assuming grain size is comparable. At the Clam Bay farm site trends in Eh values closely mirrored gradients in total organic carbon and total nitrogen. Background values were generally about 350 mv at the sediment water interface and 250-300 mv at a depth of 4 cm in the sediment column (Figure 5). With increasing proximity to the pen site, Eh values were reduced throughout the sediment column. The area of depressed potentials extended from 30 m 16 400- 0 N 3004 + 0 Transect E 0 + C 8 4 . I 200, + 0 4- 4' 100- till till I U111114t] 0 a- CB3 9 0 0 0- 0 Transect Transect CB2 -100 C83 -200 0 15 iO @O Distance from Form (m) 400. 0 0 300- + 0 + E 0 0 0 0 200- + + + + 2 100. 0 0 + (L X 0. 0 _i00 CBI CB2 -200 i@5 io so i5 e Net-Pens" U 10 30 60 Distance from Farm (m) Figure 5. Reduction-oxidation potentials in sediments surrounding the Clam Bay farm. Open circles represent potentials at the IM9 LZ24 sediment-water interface; cross symbols represent potentials at a depth of 4 cm in the sediment. northwest of the net-pens, to 36 m east of the net--pens, to 15-30 m south. Reducing conditions at the sediment-water interface were evident only 15 m east of the net-cage complex and directly under the southern perimeter. Dissolved oxygen Dissolved oxygen concentrations at a height of 5 to 10 cm above the sediment-water interface were uniformly about 8 mg-1-1 throughout the study area (Figure 6). The dissolved oxygen sampling design was necessarily.less than ideal, since the various stations were sampled over a 6 hr. period and it is not possible to differentiate between upcurrent and down- current sites. Nevertheless the data should.show if the enriched sediments caused a dramatic depletion in dissolved oxygen of the overlying water as has been observed elsewhere (Brown et Al., 1987). No such depletion was evidE!nt, presum- ably because of the high current velocities of thE! site. Sediment traRs Seven sediment trap arrays were deployed along transect CB1, but because of limitations in bottom time and air supply, the divers were only able to retrieve one array directly under the net-pens (Station A) and the array at the farra perimeter (CBI-O m). Duplicate samples from the three traps within each array were analyzed, resulting in six estimates of deposition rates at each station. Directly under the net-pens the estimated sedimentation rate was 52.1 kg dry wt.-m-2.yr-1 (range of six samples = 46.6 - 55.2). At the pen perimeter the sedimentation rate was 29.7 kg-m-2.yr-3- (range 27.8 - 30.8). The particulate material collected directly under the net-pens was approximately twice as enriched in organic carbon as that collected in the trap at the farm perimeter (25.9% and 12.0%, respectively). The 18 N 0 Transect INO- C84 8 0 X 6- HIM (D 0 Transect U) Transect CB2 CB3 CB3 2 0 15 30 60 Distance from Form(m) ko 12. M 10- E 8- 0 6- CBI CB2 75 4- W 0 L 165 60 3b ;5 Net- Pens 0 Z 30 @O Distance from Form (m) Figure 6. Dissolved oxygen concentrations in near-bottom water surrounding the Clam Bay farm site. estimated flux of organic carbon to the seafloor was 13.3 kg C-m-2.yr-1 under the net-pens and 3.6 kg C-m-2.yr-1 at the perimeter. Macrofauna Macrofauna were collected one year earlier at four stations along transect CB1 at points close to but not identical to those sampled during the present study (i.e., distances from the farm perimeter of 0, 45, 90, 150 and 450 m vs. 0, 15, 30, 60 and 165 m in the present study). Extensive data analysis is still in progress, so preliminary conclusions are limited to assessment of abundance, biomass, species richness and the density of indicator species. Figure 7a illustrates typical qualitative changes in species number, biomass and species abundance along a gradient of organic enrichment (Pearson and Rosenberg, 1978). At low levels of organic input, a transition zone develops in which abundance, biomass and species richness gradually decrease from levels typical of the unpolluted environment. In this transition zone there may be a slight species richness and biomass peak attributable to a phenomenon known as "biostim- ulation". In this area the organic input provides a rich food source, yet the rate of input is not so great that it inter- feres with the mechanics of suspension feeding nor causes serious oxygen depletion. At a somewhat higher rate of input, total macrofaunal abundance attains a maximum value. Biomass may also be slightly elevated, but the number of species is very low. The increased abundance and biomass results from the proliferation of a few opportunistic species. With still higher rates of organic input there is a complete absence of benthic macrofauna. The rate of organic input is so great that oxygen levels in bottom waters and sediments decrease (or sulfide levels increase) to such an extent that aerobic organisms can not survive. 20 Opportunistic Azoic Species Transition Reference Conditions Dominate Zone Conditions Species X-1 %@____Biomass Abundance 120- 5000- 150- .10 EiOO- species 4000- 0 W) CU C; 0 1E & 0.80- /----Biornass 0i0O_ 3000- Z 01 JI -.2*:! to 60- co 4* co W 1 J 0 C E 2000- 6 C Abundance 40- 50- 4000- (0 20- IF 0 45 @O 150 450 Distance from Farm (m) Figure 7. Trends in species richness, biomass and macrofaunal abundance along gradients of organic enrichment. (A) Generalized trends based on Pearson and Rosenberg (1978); (B) Data collected along transect CB1 at the Clam Bay farm site. Inter-replicate variability is not shown in order to simplify the graphical presentation. 21 Trends in species number, abundance and biOMELSs are shown along transect CB1 for comparison with the ideal model (Figure 7b). Total macrofaunal abundance was elevated 4-fold at the perimeter of the net-pen complex, and decreased to near back- ground levels within 45 m. This peak in abundanCE! was due almost entirely to the contributions of nematodes and the polychaete Canitella cf. capitata. Areal species richness increased consistently along the length of the trELnsect. Biomass was much reduced to a distance of at least 45 m from the pens, for despite the high density of individuals, the organisms were relatively small. Moderate biomass levels were found between 90 and 150 m. The highest biomass was observed at 450 m from the pen site due to the appearance of several large deep-burrowing organisms including bivalves, sipunculans and echiurans. Capitella cf. capitata is widely recognized as an indicator of organic enrichment and has been found in the vicinity of net-pens throughout the world (Kitamori, 1977; Pease, 1977; Ervik et al., 1985; Brown, 1987). The species was present in densities of over 12,000 indiv.-m-'! adjacent to the net-pens, and remained in high densities up to 150 m or more from the farm site (Figure 8). The macrofaunal data from Clam Bay are generally consis- tent with the ideal model of changes along an enrichment gradient. No azoic conditions were observed, although no samples were collected directly under the pen complex. The data indicate dramatic community alterations beneath the facility perimeter, including the disappearance of most species characteristic of undisturbed Clam Bay habitats. Moderate disturbance with gradually improving conditions was evident between 45 and 150 m from the farm. Normal conditions were reached at some point between 150 and 450 m from the farm. 22 C@j 10000- E C 5000- 0 A-_ J6 0 45 90 150 450 Distance from Form (m) Figure 8. Density of the opportunistic polychaete Capitella cf. capitata along transect CB1 at the Clam Bay farm site. Vertical bars represent range of the three samples at each station. 23 Dispersion model The sedimentation model was run based on the data of Table 3. Standing stock and feeding rate were provided by the farm operator, and based on monthly mean values of' these parameters over the previous twelve months. The organic carbon content of the feed was measured directly as was the settling velocity of the feed pellets. Settling velocity of feces was taken from the literature (Warrer-Hansort, 1982). Literature values of feed wastage range from 1 to 30% (VKI, 1976; Penczak, gt Al., 1982; Braaten, gt al., 198-3; Gowen, et al., 1985), and lacking a measurement specific to the Clam Bay facility, a wastage of 15% was assumed arbitrELrily. The dispersion model predicted that the area directly under the net-pens would be subject to the greatest rate of solid waste deposition (Figure 9). Areas to the north and west of the farm should recieve very little feed and fecal matter, with the vast majority of the material moving towards the south and east. The area delimited by the 1 kg C-m-2.yr-1 isopleth extends 70 m from the farm at its most distant point. There is extraordinary agreement between the rate of organic carbon flux predicted by the model and thELt measured in the sediment traps. Directly under the net-pens at the trap location the predicted rate is 11.1 kg C-m-2.yr-1, in comparison to the measured rate of 13.3 kg C-m-2.yr-l. At the northwest corner of the farm site the predicted and measured rates were 2.5 and 3.6-kg C-m-2-day-1, respectively. The dispersion model predicts a deposition rate, and thus a rigorous test of the model would also require rate measure- ments, such as those obtained from the sediment traps. In the strict sense, a static measurements such as organic carbon concentration or redox potential can not be used to test the model since no information is available on in sitzi post- depositional processes. Nevertheless, since sediment trap data were so limited, the assumption was made that- post- 24 Table 3 Data used in dispersion model at the Clam Bay farm site Farm size: 280 m by 52 m with long axis oriented east-west Depth of pens: 4 m Standing stock: 352 metric tons Feeding rate: 4409 kg-day-1 Organic carbon content of feed: 48% Feed wastage: 15% Settling velocity of feed: 10 cm-sec-1 Settling velocity of feces: 4 cm-sec-l Water depth (approx. average of MLLW and MHHW along sampling transects): 18 m Current data: July 6 - August 4, 1988; meter located 100 m east of farm site. 25 0 50 100 mom= Scale in meters N 2 2 2 - - - - - - - - - - aZ@ Z- @x d.- --8 4 2 Figure 9. Model predictions of organic carbon loading to the seafloor at the Clam Bay farm site. Contour units are kg C*M-2.yr-1. Dots indicate locations of sampling stations used for model verification. depositonal processes (e.g., mineralization, resuspension) were uniform throughout the study area, and a test was made of the model's ability to identify areas of greatest organic enrichment (Figure 10). There was a significant correlation between predicted deposition rates and measurements of both sediment organic carbon content and redox potential (Spearman rank correlation, a >> 0.01). The model, therefore, performed well in identifying those areas surrounding the Clam Bay farm which experienced the greatest degree of organic enrichment. SQUAXIN ISLAND SITE Sixteen stations were sampled in the vicinity of the Squaxin Island farm site (Table 4). Water depths in the area were uniformly 5 m at mean lower low water. The bottom of the net-pens were 2 m above the seafloor at this tidal stage and approximately 6.5 m above the seafloor at mean higher high water. Seawater temperatures were approximately 150C; salinity was 30.5 ppt. The substrate was principally silt with varying amounts of sand (14 - 30%) and shell fragments (1 - 40%). Shell debris was so dense at some sites that the collection of undisturbed sediment cores was difficult or impossible. There was no visible evidence of culture-related disturbance on the sediment surface (e.g., Beggiatoa mats, feed or fecal material). Water Currents Current meters were moored 60 m to the south and to the north of the eastern end of the net-pen complex. Both were positioned 2.5 m above the seafloor and 2.5 to 7 m below the surface (depending on tidal stage), and left in place from June 6 to August 5 1988. Both meters showed strong north-south tidal oscillations, 27 8- 0 Under pens 0 CBI A C62 C63 6. C 0 E 4- 0 z 2- 000 0 a 28 -1 @O Predicted deposition (kg C-rTf yr 300 0 euu" 0 0 4- 0 0 100. C 4) 0 Q. 9 0 ,a (D cr -100. -200. 2 4 6 1'0 Pred icted d eposition kg C - rn-2. yr 4) Figure 10. Comparisons of predicted carbon deposition based on the sedimentation model with field measurements of total organic carbon and redox potentials at the Clam Bay farm site. 28 Table 4 Squaxin Island station summary Station or Distance from Water depth Transect net-ipens (m) (m at MLLW) Substrate A 0 5 Transect SQ1 0 5 1.1% shell/gravel 14.3% sand 84.6% silt and clay 6 5 11.2% shell/gravel 13.6% sand 75.2% silt and clay 15 5 3.1% shell/gravel 16.9% sand 80.0% silt and clay 30 5 2.8% shell/gravel 18.0% sand 79.2% silt and clay 60 5 46.4% shell/gravel 32.2% sand 21.4% silt and clay 100 5 Transect SQ2 0 5 6 5 15 5 30 4 41.2% shell/gravel 29.8% sand 29.0% silt and clay Transect SQ3 0 5 6 5 15 5 30 5 60 5 0.4% shell/gravel 17.3% sand 82.3% silt and clay 29 with the southerly flow predominating (Figure 11). A signifi- cant westerly component was evident only in the meter located south of the farm site. The constancy factors were 90.9 and 83.3% for the northern and southern locations, respectively. Current velocities at the northern site averaged 6 cm-sed-1 over the 60 day deployment with a maximum recored velocity of 31 cm-sec-1. Current velocities of 15 to 18 cm-sec-l were generally observed at least twice daily. Currents at the southern meter location were slightly slower, averaging 7 cm-sec-l with a maximum recorded velocity of 23 cm-sec-l. Sediment chemistry Sediments at the Squaxin Island farm were much finer- grained than at the Clam Bay facility, and thus had consid- erably greater levels of organic carbon and total nitrogen. Sediment carbon concentrations were typically 2 to 3% at the Squaxin site in comparison to 0.3% in undisturbed areas of Clam Bay. The Squaxin site also differed from Clara Bay in that there were no gradients in sediment carbon or nitrogen concentration that could be attributed to farm activities (Figures 12 and 13). The degree of sediment enrichment was more or less uniform throughout the study area, and the slight ,variations were unrelated to farm proximity. There was no evidence of sediment enrichment above background levels even directly under the net-cages. One sample collected at the southern pen perimeter showed an organic carbon concentration approximately triple typical values, but this high concentra- tion was not reflected in the two other samples at the same station. Sediments at a depth of 4 cm (and probably much shal- lower) were highly reducing due to the fine grain Size and reduced porosity of the Squaxin Island sediments (Figure 14). Reduction-oxidation potentials at the sediment-water interface ranged from 50 to 425 mv. This extreme variability is prob- ably a consequence in the sharp gradient of redox potentials 30 START N 60 m north of farm START kV 60 m south of farm X FINISH FINISH P4 )F I r@ Figure 11. Progressive vector diagrams based on the two current meter records from the Squaxin Island site. X symbols indicate 24-hour intervals. 31 6. N A -0-0 Transect S03 C 0 4 Transect T 1 S02 0 2- Transect -6 S04 4- SQ2 12 0 Iii io Distance from Form (m) 6- 0 4- .2 0 2- 0 -6 SQ 3 SQ1 6'0 so 1@ 9 'N e 't-P e Ins 6 115 io 60 16o Distancefrom Farm(m) Figure 12. Total organic carbon concentrations in sediments surrounding L the Squaxin Island farm. Range bars not shown if the range is less than the size of the mean symbol. N Transect 1.0- S03 O-e 0.8- In..t S02 0.6- Z 76 Transect SQ4 0.2- SQ2 15 30 Distance from Form (m) 1.2- - to - 0-0- C & 0.8- 0 Z 0.6- -6 1 0.4- 0 0.2 SQ3 SQi 60 3b ib 'Ne 't'P 'en s 1@ 3b 6b 16o Distance from Farm (m) Figure 13. Total nitrogen concentrations in sediments surrounding the Squaxin Island farm. Range bars not shown if the range is less than the size of the mean symbol. 0 400. N 0 Transact 0 300- 0 S03 0 E -6200- 0 190 C Transact a) S02 0 100- Q_ 0- Transact 4) SQ2 SQ4 Cr + -100. _200- " 9 ib 30 0 D i sto nce f rom Fa rM (m) 400- 0 0 0 0 > 300- 0 E _6 200. 0 .0- C 0 0 20 i0o. 0 CL + X 0 4- 0. + + -100. + + _200- v SQ3 + + SQi 60 'N et -te 'ns 1@ 3 6b 1 0 Distance from Form W Figure 14. Reduction-oxidation potentials in sediments surrounding the Squaxin Island farm. Open circles represent potentials at the sediment-water interface; cross symbols represent potentials at a depth of 4 cm in the sediment. in the upper few millimeters of the sediment column, and thus the measured potential can vary widely depending upon whether the probe is held a millimeter or two above or below the ill- defined "interface". Variability of the redox potential at a depth of 4 cm is probably due to the difficulty of collecting an undisturbed core with the high concentration of shell fragments, compounded by the difficulty of inserting the probe into the core without encountering an obstruction and further disturbing the core. Redox potentials showed no pattern among the sampling stations that could be attributed to the presence of the farm. Unlike in Clam Bay, redox potentials were not consistently lower near the net-cages, except perhaps along transect SQ3. Dissolved oxygen Dissolved oxygen concentrations at 5 to 10 cm above the substrate were typically about 10 mg*1-1, and showed no depression near the farm site (Figure 15). Two samples had an unexpectedly high dissolved oxygen concentration indicative of either analytical error or an abrupt gradient in dissolved oxygen with distance above the seabed. The same qualifica- tions expressed at Clam Bay regarding non-synoptic sampling apply here as well, but it does appear that farm activities are not depleting oxygen in the near-bottom waters. Sediment traps Seven sediment trap arrays were placed at the stations along transect SQ1, but only four could be recovered after the 15-day deployment (Table 5). Results from the array directly under the pens are problematic in that these traps captured only half the material of the other traps, and the material retained was comparatively low in organic carbon content. Since the mouths of the traps were only 1.5 m below the bottom of the net-pens at MLLW it was expected that a large amount of 35 Transect N 10. N, S03 0 C71 E 8- 4) Transect (M S02 X 6- 0 '0 > 4' Transect S04 9 SQ2 1@ io Distance from Form(m) 12- 10. E 8- 6- 0 V 0 a 4- 0 U) An 2. SQ3 SQ1 6,0 iO 1 *5 "N "et "-P "en"s ;5 iO @O 460 Distancefrom Form(m) Figure 15. Dissolved oxygen concentrations in near-bottom water surrounding the Squaxin Island farm site. Table 5 Sediment trap contents at the Squaxin Island farm (Six measurements at most stations) Distance Sedimentation Nitrogen Carbon Carbon from pens ra@e content content flux 2.yr-1 W (kg-m- *yr-1) M (k M Ll under pens 62.8 0.75 6.12 3.8 65.2 1.29 7.85 5.1 59.4 0.56 5.02 3.0 58.0 0.63 5.19 3.0 38.9 0.85 7.43 2.9 41.1 -0.99 7.62 3.1 MEANS 54.2 0.84 6.54 3.5 0 115.7 0.49 4.58 5.3 88.0 0.43 3.95 3.5 113.4 0.99 8.72 9.9 119.7 -0.66 6.23 7.5 MEANS 109.2 0.64 5.87 6.6 1 15 109.1 0.42 4.71 5.1 118.4 0.39 4.21 5.0 116.9 0.51 4.40 5.1 111.3 0.64 4.15 4.6 99.4 0.85 6.79 6.7 106.0 0.60 5.20 5.5 MEANS 110.2 0.57 4.91 5.3 30 112.4 0.47 3.95 4.4 98.9 0.35 2.13 2.1 106.9 0.40 3.70 4.0 108.7 0.48 5.22 5.7 109.2 0.34 2.57 2.8 107.7 -0.27 1.64 1.8 MEANS 107.3 0.39 3.20 3.5 37 organic-rich material would have been collected. It is Possible that this array may have become entangled in its own rope or in the nets during a very low tide, and turned on to its side at some time prior to recovery. This was the only array retrieved by a rope rather than by diver, and thus it is not known if it was properly positioned at the time of recovery. On the basis of data from the other sediment traps, the sedimentation rate was about 110 kg-m-2.yr-1 in the area from the farm perimeter to a distance of 30 m. 'Lacking data from greater than 30 m from the farm, it is difficult to establish whether the measured sedimentation rate reflects natural conditions or an enhanced sedimentation due to the presence of the farm. The organic carbon and nitrogen content of the trapped material was significantly different among traps (Kruskal-Wallis one way analysis of variance, a < 0.05), and, in fact, the traps nearest the pens contained solids with a higher concentrations of both organic carbon and total nitrogen. In comparison to the Clam Bay site, sedimentation rates at the Squaxin Island farm were two to three times greater (30 to 52 kg*m-2.yr-i vs. 107-to 110 kg*m-2,yr-l). The collected material at Squaxin Island, however, contained only half the carbon and nitrogen concentration of the Clam Bay material. The fact that Clam Bay traps contained material with a relatively high organic content (30 to 100 times greater than backgr ound levels in surficial sediments) suggests that the collected material was largely farm-derived. At the Squaxin site the measured sedimentation rate was relatively high, yet since the organic content of the trapped material was only slightly greater than background concentrations in surficial sediments (1.5 to 2-fold), it is likely that the bulk of the collected material originated from natural sources. 38 Macrofauna Macrofauna samples have been collected at most stations along transect SQ1 as part of routine monitoring by the farm operator. Baseline samples were collected in January 1987 after installation of the pens but prior to stocking with fish. Additional samples were collected in August 1987, January 1988, and August 1988. Intercomparisons among sampling events is complicated by variations in sample design between sampling periods and between replicates. In January 1987 each station was sampled with 3 cores of 5 cm diameter, each of which was sieved through a 0.5-mm screen. In all other sampling periods 10 cm diameter cores were used, two of which were sieved on a 1.0-mm screen and one of which was sieved on stacked 0.5 and 1.0-mm screens. Therefore, when comparing among sampling periods it should be recognized that the January 1987 sampling would tend to under-estimate species richness and abundance because of the smaller area sampled, but over-estimate these parameters because of the finer mesh size. All data are expressed on a "per three sample basis" which, in all but the January 1987 sampling, should be inter- preted to include the material retained on a 1.0-mm screen in two samples per station and on a 0.5-mm screen in one sample. The baseline samples (1/87) and those collected after 6 months of operation (8/87) demonstrated that the five moni- toring stations were comparable in species richness and faunal composition and thus suitable for inter-station comparisons (Figure 16). In January 1988 after 12 months of operation there was a dramatic decrease in the species richness and abundance at the station under the perimeter of the pens and, to a lesser extent, at the station 6 m from the pens. This same decrease near the pens relative to the other stations along the transect was evident again after 18 months of operation (8/88). At this time macrofauna present under the pen perimeter included only the polychaetes Capitella cf. capitata (4 individuals), Neyhtys cornuta fransiscana 39 20- 1U) CL E 8/88 u' 15- ........ ....... 8/87 CL z ,n 10- (P C I/ae -04/87 5- CL 0 6 15 50 60 Distance from Form (m) 200- ,P 1 /87 J# u) 150 - CL 08/87 E .E 100 % % A. 00 '--.w, 1/88 C % ........... 01 8/88 .0 50- 0 6 45 30 60 Distance from Form (m) .0 Figure 16. Trends in species richness and macrofaunal abundance along transect SQ1 at the Squaxin Island farm site. Inter-replicate variability is not shown in order to simplify the graphical presentation. 40 (3 indiv.) and Glycinde Pict (1 indiv.). The depauperate fauna 0-6 m from the pens, an area which was formerly comparable to the other sites, indicates a localized impact of farm operation. The distribution of Capitella cf. calpitata (Figure 17) also suggests enrichment 0-6 m from the pen perimeter. No C. capitata were found throughout the sampling transect during the baseline sampling (1/87). In all subsequent sampling periods, however, the species has been found in high densities at the 6 m site and at much lower densities at the pen perimeter and 15 m. Maximum density (945 individuals per three replicates, or 1875 indiv-m-2) was obtained in the most recent sampling (8/88). Disipersion model The dispersion model was run using the data of Table 6. The standing stock value used was based on the biomass present at the time of sampling. This value may seasonally vary by up to 50% depending on stocking and marketing cycles. No data were available on the actual amount of feed provided, so it was assumed that the fish were fed at a rate of 2% of their body weight per day, a rate typical of salmonid net-pen culture and the target rate of the Squ*axin pen operators. All other model parameters were determined as described for the Clam Bay farm. As a result of the shallow water depths, the sedimenta- tion model predicted that the vast majority of feed and fecal waste would reach the bottom directly under the pens or within 5 m of the farm perimeter (Figure 18). A maximum loading rate of 14 kg C-m-2.yr-1 was predicted for most of the area under the farm. Lesser rates of deposition were predicted to the north and south, with essentially no accumulation of wastes to the east and west. Loading rates of 1 kg C-m-2.yr-l or greater were limited to the area 15 m north and 28 m south of the farm site. 41 50- CL E 40 30- 8/88 1 /88 CL 20- 0 8 /8 7 10- T I 0 6 0 50 60 Distance from Form (m Figure 17. Density of the opportunistic polychaete Capitella cf. canitata along transect SQ1 at the Squaxin Island farm site. Inter-replicate variability is not shown in order to simplify the graphical presentation. 8 42 Table 6 Data used in dispersion model at the Squaxin Island farm site Farm size: 74 m x 16 m with long axis oriented east-west Depth of pens: 3 m Standing stock: 20 metric tons Feeding rate: 400 kg-day-1 Organic carbon content of feed: 50% Feed wastage: 15% Settling velocity of feed: 14 cm-sec-l Settling velocity of feces: 4 cm-sec-l Water depth (approx. average of MLLW and MHHW along sampling transects): 7 m Current data: June 6 - August 5, 1988; meter located 60 m north of farm site. 43 0 10 20 30 Scale in meters N 2 4 0 4 6 -6 '17 xz 11Z 1-Z 1-1 1-Z 1-.1 X@@ X-11 N, zzz 1-Z 4 4 2 Figure 18. Model predictions of organic carbon loading to the sea- floor at the Squaxin Island farm site. Contour units are kg C'm Z-yr-1. Dots indicate locations of sampling stations used for model verification. Stations 60 and 100 m from farm are not shown. The predicted carbon fluxes at 0, 15 and 30 m south of the farm were 5.7, 2.5 and <1 kg C*m-2.yr-1, respectively. Over the same distance actual rates of carbon flux as measured by the sediment traps were 6.6, 5.3 and 3.5 kg C-m-2.yr-l. it should be recognized, however, that the model predicts deposition of solid wastes originating from farm activities, whereas the sediment traps do not differentiate between farm-derived particulates and deposition unrelated to the culture operation. It was noted above that the bulk of the material collected in the traps at the Squaxin Island site probably originated from natural sources such as resuspension of bottom sediments or terrigenous run-off. A true test of the model would require that the contribution of the natural sources be subtracted from the total material retained in the traps. The strength of the natural "noise", however, is so great compared to the pen "signal", that many more traps would have to be deployed to discriminate between these two sediment sources. The traps located farthest from the farm (60 and 100 m), which presumably would best represent the natural carbon flux, were not recoverablet so the magnitude of carbon flux typical for the area may be substantially less than the 3.5 kg C-m-2.yr-1 measured at at the 30 m trap. Model predictions vary from actual measurements by a factor of about 2 or less, depending on the particular trap and the assumed magnitude of the natural carbon flux. The model was further evaluated by comparing predictions of deposition with sediment organic carbon concentration and redox potential (Figure 19). It should again be recognized that this comparison requires that the untested assumption be made that post-depositional processes are similar at all sampling sites. There was no significant relationship between model predictions and sediment carbon content, although predicted carbon flux was correlated with sediment redox potential (Spearman rank correlation, a > 0.05). This correl- ation was largely attributable to the influence of the 0 and 6 m stations along transect SQ-3, an area which the model 45 3.4 0 Under pens OS01 3.2 0 A S02 oSQ3 3.0 0 2.8- 2.6- 0 2.4 2.2 0 0 2.0 ib i'p- W -2 -4 Predicted deposition( KgC-m -yr i0o E FE 0 0 C CD 0 t -i0o - 0 0 200 2 4 ib f2 14 Predicted deposition K g C - rn-2. yr-1 Figure 19. Comparisons of predicted carbon deposition based on the sedimentation model with field measurements of total organic carbon and redox potentials at the Squaxin Island farm site. 46 predicted to be among the most enriched and which also was found to have the lowest redox potentials. 47 DISCUSSION CLAM BAY SITE The various chemical parameters used to measure the effects of the farm operation on the sediments of Clam Bay showed good agreement, and provided a clear picture of the areal extent of impact. The culture of fish at the Clam Bay site has resulted in a measurable enrichment of the sediments directly under the pens and to a distance of approximately 30 m from the perimeter of the pens. The exact distance of impact depended upon the direction and the chemical parameter used as indicator of impact, but in all cases varied from 15 to 60 m. Within this area deposition of feed and feces has resulted in increased concentrations of total organic carbon and total nitrogen. Degradation of these organic wastes has depleted pore water oxygen, resulting in more negative reduction-oxidation potentials. At a few sites reducing conditions were found throughout the entire sediment column, although at most stations oxidizing conditions persisted to a depth of at least 4 cm. The enriched sediments did not measurably decrease oxygen concentrations in the overlying water at a height of 5 to 10 cm above the seafloor, although this does not exclude the possibility that reduced dissolved oxygen levels may be observed if measurements had been made on a scale of millimeters rather than centimeters. The biological data (available only to the northwest of the farm) showed a severely disturbed community at the pen perimeter. This assemblage was comprised almost entirely of nematodes and Capitella cf. capitata. If the assumption could be made that a similar fauna existed wherever organic carbon concentrations were comparable (and given similar substrate type), then such a community might also be found 15 to 30 m south of the pens and at least 60 m to the east. Beyond this zone of severe disturbance, moderate effects of the farm were 48 evident in communities 45 to 150 m from the site. This area was characterized by reduced species richness, biomass, and capitata densities in excess of 5000 indiv.-m-2. All previous studies of the benthic effects of net-pen farming have reported localized impacts comparable to those found at Clam Bay. Brown et al. (1987) found normal condi- tions appearing at some point between 15 and 120 m from a farm in Scotland. In a survey of numerous Scottish farms, effects such as depressed reduction-oxidation potentials and appear- ance of Beggiatoa were commonly found up to 30 m from the farm site (Earll et al., 1984). Doyle et al. (1984) found effects extending 25 to 45 from a site in Ireland. The extent of effects at the Clam Bay site is comparable to these earlier studies based solely on sediment chemistry as a measure of effect. The biological indicators of disturbance, however, suggest effects extended to at least 150 m from the farm, approximately five times the distance typically reported. SQUAXIN SITE The effects of the Squaxin Island site on the benthos were more subtle and evident almost entirely on the basis of the biological data alone. There was little or no evidence of farm effects in the sediment organic carbon, nitrogen, redox, and dissolved oxygen data. One of the three samples collected below the southern pen perimeter showed a three-fold enrich- ment in organic carbon, but since such enrichment was not evident in the other samples at this site, the effects were presumably very patchy. The best physical/chemical evidence of farm impacts was provided by the elevated concentrations of organic carbon and nitrogen in material collected by the sediment traps nearest the pens. The macrofaunal data indi- cated reduced species richness and/or abundance from the pen perimeter to a distance of 6 m, and a peak in C. canitata abundance at a distance of 6 m. C. capitata, an indicator of enriched sediments, first appeared in the area 6 months after 49 culture began, and was increasingly abundant 12 and 18 months after the initiation of culture. For comparison, Brown et al. (1987) reported changes in sediment chemistry and appearance of C. capitata 3 months after initiation of culture in a Scottish loch. Mattson and Linden (1983) monitored benthic conditons after installation of mussel longlines and found a period-of 6 to 15 months were required for replacement of the original fauna with an assemblage characteristic of enriched conditions. The limited measurable physical/chemical effects of culture and the highly localized biological effects at the Squaxin site are suprising given that the bottom of the pens are only 2 m above the seafloor at low tide. There are two possible explanations for this observation. First, the current velocities at the Squaxin site are suprisingly high, and only slightly less than near-bottom currents at Clam Bay. The 15 to 18 cm-sec-l measured twice daily at the Squaxin site may promote dispersal of the solid wastes, particularly if the narrow distance between the nets and the seafloor promotes a channeling effect and an acceleration of currents directly under the pens. Secondly, the Squaxin pens have only been in place for 18 months in comparison to approximately 13 years for the Clam Bay farm. Benthic conditions at the Squaxin site may continue to deteriorate with time, but a recent change in farm operation may slow or halt this deterioration. The operators of the Squaxin site have recently decided to curtail aquaculture operations and use the pens primarily for delayed release. The seasonal nature of use should minimize further effects on the benthos. ASSESSMENT TECHNIQUES It should be noted that at both Clam Bay and the Squaxin sites, the macroinfaunal data showed evidence of alteration in areas where sediment chemistry data failed to show farm effects. Biological data appeared to be a more sensitive 50 indicator of disturbance, and therefore suggest that chemical information alone can not adequately define the extent of benthic impacts from net-pen culture. The biota are certainly better integrators of temporal variation, and they also undoubtedly are responding to chemical and physical parameters unmeasured in conventional surveys. The reduction-oxidation measurements proved valuable, particularly at the Clam Bay site where redox potentials closely mirrored gradients in organic carbon and nitrogen. Redox measurements have several advantages over carbon and nitrogen analysis, most notably the fact that results are obtained in the field immediately after sampling and there are no analytical costs once the pH meter and redox electrode are acquired. Redox measurements worked well in the sandy sediments of Clam Bay where vertical gradients in sediment redox potentials were gradual, but were more problematic in the muddy sediments of the Squaxin sediments. In these fine- grained sediments much of the vertical change in redox poten- tials occurs in a thin veneer of sediments at the sediment- water interface. Measured potentials (and the identification of culture effects) become highly susceptible to minute variations in the extent to which the probe is inserted. Conventional redox probes are approximately 1 cm in diameter and do not permit the fine-scale resolution necessary in muddy sediments. Micro-electrodes are available, but are expensive and subject to frequent breakage. MODEL EVALUATION The dispersion model was tested on its ability to predict: 1) the absolute loading of particulate wastes; and 2) the relative loading among numerous sites. The former evaluation was done by comparing the quantity of material retained in the sediment traps with the quantity that the model predicted would accumulate at the trap location. At the Squaxin site natural deposition made discrimination of the pen 51 contribution difficult, but the predicted loading appeared to differ from measured values by factors of 2 or less. In Clam Bay the predictions were in good agreement with the measured loadings, differing by factors of 1.2 and 1.4 in the two trap arrays. It should be recognized that there are inherent diffi- culties of measuring actual carbon flux and there are many potential artifacts associated with the use of sediment traps (Butman, 1986). Nevertheless, if the sediment trap data can be taken as an accurate representation of actual carbon flux, then model errors of only 1 to 2-fold demonstrate remarkably good predictive capability of the model. The second test of the model was to compare predicted loadings at all stations with measured values of sediment carbon content and redox potential. At both farm sites the model predictions of carbon flux showed a statistically significant correlation with redox potential. Sediment carbon content was correlated with model predictions only at the Clam Bay site. The better model performance at Clam Bay than at Squaxin Island was probably due to the greater amount of sediment resuspension at the latter site. The sediment trap data and the lack of pronounced physical/chemical gradients with distance from the farm both suggest a high degree of sediment transport and resuspension. Under such conditions it is not suprising that the sites predicted to have the greatest carbon input rate failed to show the highest levels of sediment enrichment. This illustrates the shortcomings of using static measurements (sediment carbon concentration) as a test of rate measurements (model predictions of carbon flux). The model predictions were correlated with sediment redox potential at both of the sites examined, and with carbon concentration at one of the two sites. The performance of the model in Puget Sound is in general agreement with tests of the model in Scotland where, out of six farms, the model predictions correlated with measured redox potentials at all six farms and with carbon at two farms (Gowen et al., 1988). 52 Ideally, the model should be capable not only of predicting the extent of chemical change in sediments but also the degree of biological disturbance. Such predictions are much more difficult for the biological effects of a given rate of carbon flux is likely to be habitat specific. Communities of sandy substrates may not respond to a given flux in the same manner as mud bottom communities. The model has not been refined to the point where reliable biological predictions are possible, but some preliminary observations have been made. In model tests in Scotland, it was found that severely disturbed sites, defined as containing four or fewer macro- faunal species, had predicted loadings of at least 1.8 to 4 kg C'm_2.yr-l (Gowen et al., 1988). At the Squaxin Island farm four or less species were found where the predicted loading was 5.7 kg C-m-2.yr-1 and undisturbed communities were present where predicted loadings were 2.5 kg C-m-2.yr-1 or less. At Clam Bay the fewest number of species (9) were found where the predicted deposition was 2.5 kg C-m-2.yr-1, although more moderate impacts were evident at lower rates of carbon flux. other than order-of-magnitude approximations, the existing data base is inadequate to determine a threshold carbon flux beyond which biological effects are likely. Nevertheless, such estimates may be possible with additional refinement of the model and recognition of the habitat-dependence of biological impacts. The model has performed well in both Puget Sound and Scotland, yet it has inherent limitations which should be recognized: 1) As discussed earlier,. the model does not take into consideration any post-depositional processes that may occur, or differences in the rate of these processes among sites. For example, the model only predicts the point at which a settling particle impacts the bottom and not any reuspension or,transport that may occur later. Model predictions would be invalidated if the degree of 53 resuspension varied throughout the study area as might be the case with differing substrate types or pen-related alteration of current flow. 2) The model, as currently formulated, is incapable of coping with variations in bottom topography. At the Clam Bay site a single water depth (18 m) had to be assumed despite the fact that water depths varied from 10 to 30 m over the predicted area of depositon. The net effect is that in shallow areas the model over-estimates the lateral extent of depositon, and under-estimates the lateral extent in deep areas. This shortcoming could be remedied but would dramatically increase the computa- tional requirements of the model. 3) An arbitrary assumption had to be made that feed wastage at both farm sites was 15%. Puget Sound farm operators typically claim a wastage factor of about 5%. The magnitude of predicted organic carbon loading to the bottom is dependent upon the degree of wastage assumed as demonstrated by Figure 20. (Note also in this figure the .depth-dependence of the loading with reference to the limitation under point #2 above.) A reduction in the wastage factor from the 15% employed in this analysis to the 5% claimed by Puget Sound operators would result in a decrease in predicted organic carbon loading of about 15%. In fact, there is probably no reliable estimate of wastage in Puget Sound or throughout the industry in general. Until there are reliable estimates of feed wastage, neither this nor any other model will be able to predict loading with a high degree of accuracy. The wastage-dependence of loading shown in Figure 20 also illustrates the effect that the operator's feeding practices can have on waste production, and the environ- mental benefits to be gained by reducing wastage. 54 -13-0 - 12-0 14 DINO 13. LOA =10-0 8.0 -6.0 7 3. 4. 4.0 3. % DEPTII [M) 0 WA STA FOO Figure 20. The relationship between food wastage, depth and organic loading to the sediment for a hypothetical set of current data. Loading rates are given as g C-m-2-day-l. (From Gowen et al., 1988). 55 4) The model requires the designation of a single settling velocity for feed and a second settling velocity for feces. As noted by Thomson (1986), however, the size and density of particulates released from a net-pen are likely to depend upon the species and size of the fish, the type and pellet size of the feed, and the amount of physical disturbance induced by either water current or fish activity. In additon to these potential variables, particulate wastes are not uniform in size or density, and thus can not be adequately characterized by a single settling velocity, or even the two velocities of the model. Settling velocities of culture wastes are best described by a frequency distribution, and the model therefore requires that a major oversimplifying assump- tion be made. 5) It is not possible to describe variations in the flow field attributable to the presence of the pen structures, and how these variations may influence depositon. If the model is used for siting in a pre-development stage, the installation of the pen structures may modify the predicted magnitude and distribution of waste loadings. The effect of pen installation on waste dispersion is, however, likely to be small in most cases particularly when the pens occupy a small proportion of the total water column. 6) The hydrographic input to the model is based on current records at a single point, and there is no allowance for changes of the flow field along a particle's trajectory. The current velocity and direction measured at the meter mooring may not be representative of current regimes on other sides of the farm complex or over the entire area of deposition. At the Clam Bay farm the two current meters gave very different pictures of current patterns. The model was run using data from the eastern meter since 56 this site would be less subject to the complications of bay geomorphology, but the model results would have been somewhat different had data from the other meter been used. The effects of lateral variation of currents on model predictions are especially pronounced at Clam Bay because of the atypically large size of the farm and shoreline effects on current patterns. At the Squaxin Island site and at other farms of small to moderate size the effect of lateral variations in current patterns may be negligable and ignoring these variations in the model may be justified. 7) The model, as presently formulated, is incapable of dealing with depth-related variation in current flow. With increasing water depth, the probability increases that currents measured at a single depth are unrepresen- tative of the multiple current regimes a particle encounters during settling to the seafloor. In the present study the meters were positioned at a depth approximating half the distance between the bottom of the pens and the substrate. In some situations multiple current meters at several depths may be necessary to accurately predict waste dispersal. 8) The model has no mechanism by which to consider duration of culture. The magnitudes of organic carbon loading were comparable at the Squaxin and Clam Bay sites,.yet the effects on sediment chemistry were much greater at Clam Bay. This difference, which may be due to the short period of time that the Squaxin site has been in use, can not be incorporated into the model. Despite the limitations of the model, it represents the best means currently available to predict the magnitude and extent of culture impact on the seafloor. The model has performed well both in the present study and in previous tests 57 in Scotland, yet because of its limitations and the necessary simplifying assumptions, the model should be used cautiously as a predictive tool. As indicated by the probable high degree of transport and/or resuspension at the Squaxin Island site, consideration must be given to site-specific conditions which violate model assumptions and therefore make predicted loadings subject to error. on a fine scale (predicting carbon flux at a specific point), model loading predictions appear to be reliable to within a factor of two in most cases. While this is generally adequate for site assessment, the potential error should be recognized and compensated for in identifying areas of potential impact. On a broader scale (predicting the affected area), model predictions appear very reliable, for at five sites examined in Scotland, the model predicted that the 1 kg C-m-2.yr-1 isopleth would extend up to 15 to 30 m from the farm perimeter. In the present study, the model predicted this rate of loading up to 28 and 70 m from the Squaxin and Clam Bay sites, respectively. Areal extents of impact of this magnitude are consistent with observations from the present study and other studies reported in the literature. The current information collected as input to the model is extremely useful both from the perspectives of environ- mental protection and farm husbandry. The current meters deployed in this study measured velocity and direction every 15 minutes for a period of 60 days. Such information is invaluable not only to predict the dispersal of solid,wastes but to determine mooring requirements, rates of water renewal in the pens, and duration of slack water (which may be the limiting water quality parameter in maintaining suitable growing conditions). The model is useful in condensing a massive data set of current measurements into a single summary figure interpret- able by non-specialists. It should therefore be helpful in 58 explaining probable impacts in public hearings and similar forums. The model is also helpful in identifying sites which would be clearly unsuitable for culture. Given the current state of knowledge it is not possible to define the impacts of a given loading rate, however severe biological disturbance has been observed in Scotland where predicted loadings were as low as 1.8 kg C-m-2.yr-1. At some unquantified level below this loading, development of a site is unlikely to have significant effects on the benthos. At most farms examined in Washington and Scotland, loading rates directly under the pens range from 6 to 14 kg C-m-2.yr-1. Where loading rates are far in excess of these values, the generation of hydrogen sulfide by enriched sediments and the consequent effects on the cultured fish themselves would be of serious concern. 59 LITERATURE CITED Arizono, M., 1979. Disease control in mariculture, with special reference to yellowtail culture. In G. Yamamoto (ed.), Proceedings Seventh Japan-Soviet Joint Symposium on Aquaculture, Tokai University, Japan, pp. 78-88. Braaten, B., J. Aure, A. Ervik, and E. Boge. 1983. Pollution problems in Norwegian fish farming. ICES, C.M. 1983/F:26. 11 pp. Brown, J.R., R.J. Gowen and D.S. McLusky. 1987. The effect of salmon farming on the benthos of a Sottish sea loch. J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 109:39-51. Butman, C.A. 1986. Sediment trap biases in turbulent flows: results from a laboratory flume study. J. Mar. Res. 44:645-693. Doyle, J., M. Parker, T. Dunne, D. Baird and J. McArdle. 1984. The impact of blooms on mariculture in Ireland. International Council for the Exploration of the Sea, Special Meeting on the Causes, Dynamics and Effects of Exceptional Marine Blooms and Related Events. Copenhagen, 4-5 October 1984. Earll, R.C., G. James, C. Lumb and R. Pagett. 1984. A report on the effects of fish farming on the marine environment of the Western Isles. Report to the Nature Conservancy Council. Ervik, A. P. Johannessen and J. Aure. 1985. Environmental effects of marine Norwegian fish farms. ICES, C.M. 1985/F:37. 13 pp. Gowen, R.J. and N.B. Bradbury. 1987. The ecological impact of salmonid farming in coastal waters: a review. Oceanogr. Mar. Biol. Ann. Rev. 25:563-575. Gowen, R.J., N.B. Bradbury and J.R. Brown. 1985. The ecological impact of salmon farming in Scottish coastal waters: a preliminary appraisal. ICES, C.M., 1985/F:35. 6 pp. Gowen, R.J., N.B. Bradbury and J.R. Brown. in press. The use of simple models in assessing two of the interactions between fish farming and the marine environment. Proc. European Aquaculture Symposium. 60 Gowen, R., J. Brown, N. Bradbury and D.S. McLusky. 1988. Investigations into benthic enrichment, hypernutri- fication and eutrophication associated with mariculture in Scottish coastal waters (1984-1988). Report to the Highlands and Islands Development Board and others. Hall, P. and 0. Holby. 1986. Environmental impact of a marine fish cage culture. ICES, C.M. 1986/F:46. 19 pp. Hedges, J.I. and J.H. Stern. 1984. Carbon and nitrogen determinations of carbonate-containing solids. Limnol. Oceanogr. 29:657-663. Kaspar, H.F., G.H. Hall and A.J. Holland. 1988. Effects of sea cage salmon farming on sediment nitrification and dissimilatory nitrate reductions. Aquaculture 61. Kitamori, R. 1977. (Changes in the species compositon (principally benthic organisms)]. In Japanese Soc. Scientific Fisheries (ed.), Senkai Yoshoku to Jika Osen [Shallow-Sea Aquaculture and Self-Pollution], Suisan-gaku Shirizu 21 (Fisheries Series 211. pp. 67-76. Koseisha Koseikaku, Tokyo. Mattson, J. and 0. Linden. 1983. Benthic macrofauna succes- sion under mussels, Mytilus edulis L. (Bivalvia), cultured on hanging long lines. Sarsia 68:97-102. Pearson, T.H. and R. Rosenberg. 1978. Macrobenthic succession in relation to organic enrichment and pollution of the marine environment. Oceanogr. Mar. Biol. Ann. Rev. 16:229-311. Pearson, T.H. and S.O. Stanley. 1979. Comparative measure- ments of the redox potentials of marine sediments as a rapid menas of assessing the effect of organic pollution. Mar. Biol. 53:371-379. Pease, B.C. 1977. The effect of organic enrichment from a salmon mariculture facility on the water quality and benthic community of Henderson Inlet, Washington, Ph.D. thesis, University of Washington. 145 pp. Penczak, T., W. Galicka, M. Molinski, E. Kusto and M. Zalewski. 1982. The enrichment of a mesotrophic lake by carbon, phosphorus and nitrogen from the cage aquaculture of rainbow trout, Salmo gairdneri. J. Appl. Ecol. 19:371-393. Rosenthal, H., D.P. Weston, R.J. Gowen and E.A. Black. 1988. Report of the ad-hoc study group on environmental impact of mariculture. ICES, Cooperative Research Report 154, Copenhagen, Denmark. 83 pp. 61 Strickland, J.H.D. and T.R. Parsons. 1972. A practical handbook of seawater analysis. Bull. Fish Res. Board Canada, No. 167, 31 pp. Thomson, D.E. 1986. Determination of the effects of fish size and feed pellet size on the settling characteristics of rainbow trout (Salmo gairdneri) culture cleaning wastes. M.S. Thesis, University of British Columbia, Vancouver. VKI. 1976. Vandkvalitetsinst. & Jydsk Teknologisk Inst.: Forskellige driftsparameters indflytelse pa forureningen fra dambrug. [The influence of different operational parameters on the pollution from fish farms.] Rapport til Teknologiradet. Horsholm, Denmark. Warrer-Hansen, 1. 1982. Evaluation of matter discharged from trout farming in Denmark. In J.S. Alabaster (ed.), Report of the EIFAC Workshop on Fish-farm Effluents. Silkeborg, Denmark, 26-28 May 1981. pp. 57-63. EIFAC Tech. Pap 41. Weston, D.P. 1986. The environmental effects of floating mariculture in Puget Sound. School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle. 148 pp. Weston, D.P. 1988. Measuring the effects of organic and toxicant inputs on benthic communites. In Proceedings First Annual Meeting on Puget Sound Research. Puget Sound Water Quality Authority, Seattle, Washington. pp. 552-566. 62 APPENDIX B MODELING OF PARTICULATE DEPOSITION UNDER SALMON FISH FARMS MODELING OF PARTICULATE DEPOSITION UNDER SALMON NET-PENS by: William P. Fox, P.E. Parametrix, Inc. P.O. Box 460 Sumner, WA 98390 for: Washington Department of Fisheries, AX-11 115 General Administration Bldg. Olympia, WA 98504 Job No. 35-1747-02 October 31, 1988 INTRODUCTION one of the observed effects of some salmon net-pen facilities on the environment has been organic enrichment of the underlying soils from the deposition of fish feces and uneaten feed. Under separate report to the Department of Fisheries, Drs. Donald Weston and Richard Gowen have examined deposition rates, chemical changes and biological impacts under two net-pens sited in Puget Sound. Their evaluation included a predictive deposition model developed by Gowen. A separate modeling approach has been used in the evaluation of several proposed net- pens recently by Parametrix, Inc. The purposes of this report are: (1) to run the Parametrix model for the same sites modeled by Gowen and comment on the comparative results, and (2) modify configuration, orientation and density of the pens and evaluate the sensitivity of predicted deposition rates to these variables. MODEL DESCRIPTION The Parametrix model is a modification of a model developed by EPA (1982) to predict the deposition of particulates from sewage treatment plant outfalls in coastal waters. This model has already been applied to several proposed net-pens in the State of Washington. The model relies on average speed and frequency along the principal and minor axes to predict excursion distances from the pens and areal deposition rates for settleable materials of distinct settling velocity. A sloping bottom can be accounted for in the model. Comparison of the Parametrix model with Gowen's model will be saved for the Discussion. The Parametrix model includes evaluation of post-depositional processes related to decay of the organic material. The organic material will decay as it accumulates on the sea floor. When the rate of deposition matches the rate of biodegradation, a steady-state accumulation of organic material will result. Decay of organic material will create an oxygen demand in the bottom waters in the vicinity of the net-pens. The EPA methods are used to predict the resulting steady D.O. depletion in the near-bottom waters. RESULTS: CLAM BAY SITE Currents Like Gowen's model, the Parametrix model is based on the current meter located 100 m east of the farm site (#F2053). The current rose from this meter is shown in Figure 1. Each of the current measurements has been catalogued into one of eight 45* directional "bins." 'ne percentage of currents failing within each bin and the average speed of those currents are indicated by the rose. The length of each rose petal is proportional to the percentage of currents in that direction. The current rose for the Clam Bay site used in the model indicates the predominant current direction falls witbin the bin from 90' to 135' (ESE). Tbe average currents along the major and minor axes of the net-pens used in the model are adjusted for the frequency and strength of currents 1 in each direction (for example, the fastest currents occur from 315' to 360' but are not very frequent, thus are not weighted as high as the easterly currents). Wasteload and Settling Velocities. The method of determining wasteload and settling velocities used by Gowen is different than that used for this model. Ile wasteload assumed for this model study is consistent with the wasteloads assumed in earlier modeling efforts by Parametrix for net-pens in Puget Sound (Harding Creek, Discovery Bay, and North Skagit Bay). The Gowen model is based on a carbon mass balance, whereas the Parametrix model accounts for total solids. The results modeled herein are converted to carbon for comparison with Gowen's results in the summary results, based on 48 percent carbon content for feed, and 80 percent for feces. The wasteload and settling velocities assumed for the Parametrix model are based on an annual production of 617 metric tons, Gowen's published data for European farms, and other European researchers (Gowen 1987). Lost feed would be about 10 percent of the total feed. The data used in this modeling are tabulated below: Waste Total Solids Total Carbon Settling Component Loading Loadin Percen Veloci Uneaten Feed 430 kg/d 206 kg/d 40% 10 cm/s Large Feces 325 260 30 5 Small Feces 325 260 LO 2 Total 1,080 kg/d 726 kg/d 100% By comparison, Gowen's model assumed 317 kg C/day lost feed and 540 kg C/day feces, for a total loading of 857 kg C/day. Model Runs. The model was run for the existing pen size and orientation and four other configurations as summarized below: Run Description 1 Existing pen size and orientation 2 Rotate existing pens 90' 3 3 round pens with same total surface area 4 Increase pen width by 50 % 7 Decrease fish production 50 % The results of each model run are summarized below and in the Figures attached at the end of this report (except Run 7 which would have the same areal coverage as Run 1, with 50 percent of the deposition rate). The table below includes only the maximum predicted impact, which would be concentrated directly under the pens. Total accumulation is based on a steady-state decay of organic material. The model output is provided at the end of this report for all runs. 2 Total Organic Total D.O. Deposition Deposition Accumulation Depletion Run kg/rr? /yr kg C/rr? /yr kg/n? mg/L 1 14.7 9.3 4.0 0.13 2 9.8 6.1 2.7 0.04 3 10.6 6.5 .2.9 0.08 4 10.8 6.9 2.9 0.11 7 7.4 4.6 2.0 0.07 RESULTS: SQUAXIN SITE Currents The model runs for the Squaxin site are based on the meter #F2057 located 60 meters north of the existing pens. The current rose for this meter is shown in Figure 2. The rose reveals a predominant NNW by SSE current axis. The SSE component is slightly less frequent, but much stronger than its counterpart. Current speeds used in the model are handled similar to the Clam Bay site. Wasteload and Settling Velocities, The Squaxin site is much smaller than the Clam Bay site. The assumed wasteloads and settling velocities are tabulated below: Waste Mass Settling Component Loading Percent Velocity Uneaten Feed 40 kg/day 40 01o 10 cm/sec Large Feces 30 30 5 Small Feces 30 -30 2 Total 100 kg/day 100 'Yo Model Runs. The model was run for the pen configurations as summarized below: Run Description 5 Existing pen size and orientation 6 Rotate existing pens 90' The results of each model run are summarized below and in the figures and printouts attached at the end of this report. 3 Total Total D.O. Deposition Accumulation Depletion Run kg/m2/yr kg/rr? mg/L 5 11.9 3.3 0.02 6 17.2 2.7 0.05 DISCUSSION Comparison with Gowen Model. The basic calculation in both models, horizontal displacement of settleable particles, is governed by the same function of settling velocity and current velocity. However, Gowen's model simulates individual particle trajectories for each current velocity from the current meter data, whereas the Parametrix deals only with averages. Accordingly, the Gowen model requires more input data and is capable of a producing a larger number of sediment contours and more precise deposition pattern. Unlike the Parametrix model, Gowen's model does not consider sloping topography, multiple settling velocities or post-depositional biological processes. However, Gowen's model could certainly be modified to include these additional features. Although these features are @esireable, the uncertainties regarding wasteload and post-depressional processes exceed the precision achieved by these features. Neither model accounts for dissolution, suspension or rp-suspension of particles by high currents. However, a very detailed field investigation of the spatial distribution of currents near each site would be necessary to predict impacts at remote locations if material is resuspended. Resuspension and maintenance of fish feces in suspension under turbulent conditions would be a valuable future research topic. Comparison of Model Results. Gowen's model produces a more detailed map showing deposition contours ranging from 0 to 12 kg C/ri?/yr for Clam Bay, with 1 kg C/n?/yr intervals. The Parametrix model reveals only 3 contours, with an average of 9.3 kg C/d/yr centered under the pens (Run 1). Gowen's assumed wasteload was greater than that assumed for the Parametrix model. Given the uncertainties regarding wasteload assumptions (discussed below) and the greater resolution possible with Gowen's model, the results appear compatible. As discussed in the model description, the Parametrix model accounts for the post- depositional process of decay. The assumptions made are generally conservative, but may be useful for management uses. The accumulation mass and thickness would be masked in areas where natural deposition is also occurring. In each case modeled, the predicted D.O. impact would be negligible, which is consistent with the observations of Weston. The D.O. function in the model would be useful to flag potential problems, but could not be relied on for an accurate prediction if oxygen problems are anticipated. 4 Sensitivi1y Analysis. The results of Runs 1 through 4 and 7 indicate the sensitivity of deposition to various factors. Runs 1 through 4 represent an equal number of fish, or wasteload. Run 7 reveals that the most effective way to reduce deposition is to reduce the wasteload. For a given wasteload, the greatest mitigation is achieved by orienting the pens perpendicular to the predominant 'current direction (a reduction of 33 percent in this case: see Runs 1 and 2). In this respect, the Squaxin site is already mitigated, as evidenced by a like increase by rotating the pens by 90 degrees (see Runs 5 and 6). Of course, engineering and navigation considerations may not allow this mitigation measure. Separation of the pens into several pods may also mitigate deposition. Essentially, the impact would be spread over a greater area. In this example, a reduction of 28 percent would be achieved by the configuration chosen for Run 3. The reduction at any proposed site would be site specific and a function of the size and separation of the individual pens. Run 4 increased the dimension perpendicular to the predominant current by 50 percent. A reduction in deposition of approximately 25 percent is anticipated. Again, the reduction obtained at any site would be specific to that site. An increase in the dimension parallel to the predominant current would have little effect. CONCLUSIONS The primary conclusions of this analysis follow: 1. Gowen's model produces a deposition map of better resolution than the Parametrix model. The Parametrix model crudely accounts for uniformly sloping bottom topography and post-depositional decay, and can accept any number of settling speeds or vertical variation of current speed. 2. Improvements could and should be made to both models regarding suspension and resuspension of depositional materials. 3. Current speed and direction relative to the pens are critical to deposition. Fecal material from the pens may remain suspended at some threshold current speed. If current speeds are below this threshold level, pen orientation to the axis of predominant currents is critical. 4. The greater resolution of Gowen's model or any other modeling improvements (such as multiple settling velocities or complex topography) are secondary to the need for more defined criteria regarding wasteload, as discussed below. The most settleable particles are the uneaten feed. However, lost feed ratios reported in the literature range from 1 to over 30 percent of the applied feed. Run 7 revealed 5 the importance of the predicted wasteload in predicting deposition rates. Until more accurate criteria for wasteload are developed, which seems unlikely, less subtle improvements to the models are ineffective. The models may provide useful management tools, particularly when comparing alternative sites and pen configurations, or establishing best management practices to limit feed wastage. REFERENCES EPA. 1982. Revised Section 301(h) Technical Support Document. Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency by Tetra Tech, Inc. EPA Pub. No. 430/9-82- 011. Gowen, R.J. and N.B. Bradbury. 1987. The Ecological Impact of Salmonid Farming in Coastal Waters: a Review. In: Oceanogr. Mar. Biol. Ann. Rev., 1987:25. Weston, D.P. and R.J. Gowen. 1988. Assessment and Prediction of the Effects of Salmon Fish Farm Culture on the Benthic Community. Report to the Washington Department of Fisheries, Olympia, Washington. 6 315460- 7.2% 3odL45s 12.9 cm/**c 2.9% 8.2 cmisoc 4dL00- 2700-3150 4.9% 9.2% 7.7 CM/Sec 10.4 cm/soc ........................................... ............... a . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ::::::::: ::::::; : : : : : : : : : : :::: ;:::: : :::::::::::::::::: : 4:::::::: : ::::::::::::::::::::: :::::::!:::: : ::::: :::: :: :: ::: : : ::::;;;:: : : :: :a ::i:: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .:tt@ 4 ; ; ; 1 : : 1 t 1 t j ; ; : . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225!-2700 ........... ..................................................................................................................... .................................... 4.5% .......... ............................ 8.5 cm/soc .......... ............... ................... ....................... ............... ............ ............. ....... ... ....................... .............................. ............................ .......... . . . .............. ............. . .. . .. . ...I....................................... ..................... .......... ........... ............ ....................... ........... ................. .......................... ................. ............ ;:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::. ................. ............ ......................................... ........... 11.0 cm/sec ................. ................... ...................................... ......................... ................. .......... ............................................ ............. .......... ................................ .................................................... .............................. ........... I Se-2250 13e- 1806 ........................................ .......... ............. ..................... 6.4% 18.7% 4.3 cmisec 9.0 cm/sec ......................................... ................................... ..................... ................................. .................................. .......................... Ht ......................... Note: Current Rose Indicates Figure 1: Percentage and Moan Current Rose For Speed of Currents Within Directional "Dine Length Clam Bay Site, of Ross, Is Proportional Meter F2053 to Percentage. 316-3600 30-7% cm/Goc ... . ...... ...... ....... ..... . .... . . . . . . . . . .%.........@@@@@@@-..'.'@@...'..f .......- -454 360 3-1 cmisec 270-3150 3.4 cmJ&*c 5.8 cm/see .......... ... . ........ 225-270 3.7% 2.6 cmJw:c 90-1350 ..... ........ .... ....... .... ...... 190-2260 7.7% 4.3 calaac . ....... . . ....... ....... ... . ....... ............ 135-1800 27.31% 10.0 cm16*C Note: Current Roe* Indicates Percentage and Mean Figure 2: Gpood of Currents Within Current Rose Directional *Sine." Loingth For Squaxin Site, of Roe* Is Proportional to Percentage. Meter F2057 Not Pens (280 m x 50 m) 2 2 14.7 kqj m /yr) (7.1 kq C/m ./yr) 2 2 4.9 kg /0 /yr) (3.3 kg CIM /yr) 2.5 kglm 2/yr) (1.2 kq C/ M2/ y r) Scale In Motors Run 1: F--LJ-----] Clam BaY. 0 50 100 Existing Configuration 4.2 199/021 (2.0 Ito clyl,") 01.3 k9l 2 m (0.6 Itoc a /Yr) Not Pons (50m X 280m) 9.8 4.7 kq C/m lyr) Scal* In Motors Run 2: FLJ---@ Clam Bay 0 50 100 Rotate 900 4.4 k91021yr (2.1 kq C/021yr) 10.6 kilim2lyr (5.1 kq C/M21yr) 1.4 kg/02/yr (0.6 kq C/02/yr) Not Pen (3 x 77m Dia.) seal* In Motors Run 3: F-L-F--@ Clam Bay, 0 so 100 Round Pens Not Pona (280 in x 75 m) 2'0 k91021yf (0.9 ko Cloglyr) ---------------------------------- 10A k91n2iVr 6-3 kgjfg2jyr (5-2 kv C1=21yr) (2.5 ka CIM21yr) Scale In Motors Run 4: Clam Bay, 0 50 100 Double Wide Pens 11.9 ILgd,&2, F Not Pons (6.7 Ito C/mil/yr) (75 m x 17 M) ----------------------------------------------- IILUJ I L2 kols2lyr (2.5 kg Cjm2lyr) (0.9 ks Cla2lyr) 117@ Scale In Motors Run 5: FLJ--@ Squaxin, 0 10 20 Existing Configuration Not Pans (17m x 76m) 17.2 kq /nFi-yr (8-3 Its C/ie/yr) 8.3 kq Jlm@@ .0.0 kq C1 lvr) 3.0 ko wi'@Jyr (1.4 kg C /O/yr) Run 6: Scale In Motors Squaxin Rotate 90* 0 10 20 APPENDIX C PHYTOPLANKTON AND NUTRIENT STUDIES NEAR SALMON FISH FARMS AT SQUAXIN ISLAND, WASHINGTON FINAL REPORT PHYTOPLANKTON AND NUTRIENT STUDIES NEAR SALMON NET-PENS AT SQUAXIN ISLAND, WASHINGTON by John E. Rensel Rensel Associates Seattle, Washington for The Washington Department of Fisheries and the Technical Appendices of the Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement: Fish Culture in Floating Net-pens September 11, 1989 Fisheries Scientist, American Fisheries society Certified Present Address: College of Ocean and Fisheries Sciences, University of Washington, WH-10 Seattle, Washington 98195 Table of Contents List of figures ........................................ iii List of tables ......................................... iii Abstract ............................................... iv INTRODUCTION ........................................... 1 Prior studies: primary production and near net-pens 2 Study site selection .............................. 3 Site description and hydrography .................. 6 Experimental design ............................... 9 METHODS ................................................ 9 RESULTS ................................................ 11 Experiment A ...................................... 12 Experiment B ...................................... 21 DISCUSSION ............................................. 23 Experiment A: effects-on phytoplankton ............ 23 Experiment B: effects on near-field water quality . 26 LITERATURE CITED ....................................... 30 APPENDICES Appendix A-1. Productivity data from Squaxin Island on May 25, 1988. 2 pp. Appendix A-2. Productivity data from Squaxin Island on June 21, 1988. 2 pp. Appendix B-1. Summary of recent, near-field nutrient studies at net-pen sites. 2pp. List of Figures Figure 1. Map of the Puget Sound region with Squaxin Island net-pen site located in South Puget Sound within oulined box . .......................... 4 Figure 2. Location and vicinity map of Squaxin Island net- pens and surrounding area . ......................... 5 Figure 3. Dissolved nitrogen concentration before fish release (top, Fig. 3a) and after most of the fish were released (Fig. 3b) . ............................... 12 Figure 4. Chlorophyll a concentration before fish release (top, Fig. 4a) and after most of the fish were released (bottom, Fig. 4b) . ........................ 17 Figure 5. Primary productivity before fish release (top, Fig. 5a) and after most of the fish were released (bottom, Fig. 5b) . ................................. 19 List of Tables Table 1. Sampling parameters and number of replicates per depth . ............................... ............... 8 Table 2. Partial results of experiment A-1 from May 25, 1988..13 Table 3. Partial results of experiment A-2 from June 21, 1988 . .............................................. 14 Table 4. Total nitrogen and phosphorus concentration, and T:N molar ratio . ....................................... 15 Table 5. Summary of cell counts from Peale Passage in cells per milliliter . .................................... 20 Table 6. Results of experiment B from May 25, 1988 . ......... 22 Abstract The effects of a salmon net-pen farm on dissolved nutrient concentration, phytoplankton density and growth rate were investigated in a shallow passage of southern Puget Sound, near Squaxin Island, Washington. If background levels of dissolved nitrogen were sufficiently low for long enough periods, excreted nitrogen from the fish could enhance the growth of phytoplankton. The net-pen complex was the largest in western Washington located in surface waters that are depleted of dissolved nitrogen for at least some period of the time. Accordingly, the site constituted a "worst-available case" for net-pens in western Washington. Two experiments were conducted. The first involved measurement of phytoplankton density and growth rates at the farm site during a period of maximum net-pen fish biomass and one month later during similar tidal and weather condition, but after release of 60% of the fish. Monitoring of reference stations at both ends of the passage, beyond the immediate area of the net-pens, was conducted to assess source water conditions and provide a comparison to the net-pen site. The results of the first experiment suggest no consistant and significant effect of the net-pens, however natural variation of dissolved nitrogen concentrations confounded possible correlation between phytoplankton density/growth rate and the net-pens or reference stations. Moreover, only 2 of 12 samples were collected when major dissolved nutrients could have been limiting to phytoplankton growth. Therefore, most of the time phytoplankton cells were not limited by the Ambient nitrogen concentration and addition of nitrogen from the pens could not have had a stimulating effect on their growth. Although the timing and conditions were appropriate to maximize the effects of the net-pens on phytoplankton, and some patterns were observed, most of the statistical tests indicated that phytoplankton growth rate did not significantly vary among stations or times except during one monitoring period. The first experiment further serves to illustrates the complexity of monitoring phytoplankton in the field which involves a number of potentially rapid fluctuating variables. The second type of experiment involved near field monitoring of nitrogen produced from the net-pens. During the period of maximum fish biomass, minor increases in dissolved nitrogen (NO3+N02+NH4+) were seen downstream of the pens during one tidal period, but not during the next. Total ammonia was significantly elevated within the pens compared to ambient concentrations, but concentrations were well below the chronic exposure concentration for salmonids and other sensitive coldwater fish. At a distance of 30 m downstream approximately 80% of the ammonia had been was in the form of nitrate, presumably oxidized through microbial nitrification. Introduction Salmon reared in marine net-pens produce solid and dissolved wastes including various forms of nitrogen. Dissolved nitrogen wastes from salmon are as much as 60 to 90% ammonia, with lesser amounts of urea and amino acids (Stickney 1979). Nitrogen is the nutrient most likely to be limiting to the growth of marine phytoplankton. Therefore, the potential for localized nutrient enrichment and increased algal abundance near salmon farms exists, and will depend mainly on the total size of the farms in the restricted water body and existing hydrographic conditions (Gowen et al. 1985, Gowen and Bradbury 1987). Nutrient limitation of surface waters is a key consideration of the State of Washington's Recommended Interim Guidelines for the Management of Salmon Net-pen Culture in Puget Sound (SAIC 1986). That document conservatively, but somewhat arbitrarily, designated the nutrient limitation status of sub-areas of Puget Sound based on a threshold of 0.1 mg/l, two and one-half times greater than one recent literature value of 0.04 mg/l (0.6 uM, URS 1986a). As discussed below, simple measurement of dissolved nitrogen concentrations is inadequate to determine if nitrogen is adequate for algal growth, N:P ratios also must be considered. There are numerous difficulties in determining perturbations of phytoplankton from fish-farms or from other of man's activities. Foremost, as discussed above, once the net-pens are established, there is usually no adequate means to establish baseline conditions. Although nutrient uptake by phytoplankton may be rapid, there is a lag time of up to a day or so between the addition of nutrients and a measurable increase in phytoplankton biomass (Parsons et al. 1984). Knowledge of local hydrodynamic processes of dispersion, such as distance of tidal excursion, are required for interpretation of these types of data. Simply monitoring upstream and downstream of a net- pen farm site may reveal near-field nutrient effects, but may not be adequate to monitor the relatively slow response of phytoplankton populations to the increased nutrient concentrations. Monitoring of phytoplankton abundance and dynamics in the field is also difficult due to natural variations in time and space of the phytoplankton. A number of discrete or loosely interacting measures of water column ecology must be assessed, as no single measure provides all the necessary information. Nitrogenous wastes from net-pen reared fish or other sources are unlikely to increase phytoplankton abundance in most of the main channels of Puget Sound since nitrogen is already in abundance (Collias and Lincoln 1977, Anderson et al. 1984, SAIC 1986). Accordingly, this study focused on a worst-available-case of nutrient enrichment from net-pens in what appeared to be nutrient-depleted waters, at least during some tidal, seasonal and weather conditions. To establish baseline conditions, the present study was conducted before and after the release of large numbers of fish at a public 2 benefit, salmon rearing and release net-pen site. In addition to having spatially separate reference areas, "before fish release" water quality samples were used as the experimental data, and "after fish release" monitoring served as a baseline. There have been relatively few attempts to monitor nutrient enrichment near salmon net-pens and even fewer studies of the effects upon phytoplankton dynamics. Prior studies of nutrients from net- pens strongly suggest there is little measurable effect beyond the immediate area of the pens (near-field). While nutrient concentrations are relatively easy to monitor, phytoplankton studies (far-field second and third order effects) are more difficult to conduct and have typically relied on measurement of chlorophyll -4 concentrations, the primary photosynthetic pigment in phytoplankton. Prior Studies of Primary Productivity Near Net-pens In one early study conducted in the Pacific northwest on this topic, Pease (1977) surmised that no measurable impact on phytoplankton populations occurred under worst-case conditions. The study area at Henderson Inlet, Washington had limited circulation during summer months, exacerbated by the net-pen site location within a shallow log dumping and storage area. Intense dinoflagellates blooms occurred at the site during the summer of 1974 which killed farmed salmon and prawns (Rensel and Prentice 1980). The 1974 blooms, which appeared to be exceptional in abundance, occurred throughout portions of southern Puget Sound and also killed salmon in net-pens at Squaxin Island. These conditions were not seen in the previous year at either Henderson Inlet (Snyder et al. 1974) or in several previous or one later year at Squaxin Island (Fraser 1976). Pease (1977) found increased density of phytoplankton (chlorophyll A) during summer months with increasing distance into the log rafting area. The net-pens were located near the outer, seaward edge of the log rafting area. Reference areas (controls) were located in the main channel of Henderson Inlet, outside the log rafting area, and further inside the log rafting area. From my analysis of his monthly dissolved nitrate data (Table 5 and Fig. 8 of Pease 1977), it appears that nitrogen-depleted conditions could have occurred only in July when some of the samples had a concentration of less than 0.04 mg/1 dissolved nitrogen and adequate phosphate concentrations. A generalized, inverse correlation between dissolved nutrient concentrations (nitrate and orthophosphate) and phytoplankton density was apparent over the entire summer period. Phytoplankton standing crop during Pease's study was consistently greater at an reference station inside the log rafting area and at the net-pen site, compared to an outside, midchannel reference area in the open water of Henderson Inlet. However, Pease (1977) concluded that there were no abnormally high concentrations of phytoplankton anywhere in the area, and that phytoplankton activity throughout the inlet was unrelated to the net-pen rearing. - 3 - The second conclusion is possible, but neither supported or refuted by his data, as the inside reference area was too close (a few hundred feet) to the net-pens to be considered as separate and unaffected. Since water currents are weak and often imperceptible at the Henderson Inlet site, the inside log-rafting reference areas can not be considered as separate from the net-pen site, with regard to phytoplankton populations. These criticisms do not invalidate Pease's conclusions regarding other water quality conditions, but suggests that a greater standing stock of phytoplankton existed near the net-pens and that the effect of location and nutrient impact of the net-pens could not be sorted out given the experimental design. Several years after removal of the Henderson Inlet facility Rensel (unpublished data, 1988) found that chlorophyll p concentrations in midchannel were about twice those found at the now vacant net-pen site, opposite the condition that prevailed throughout Pease's year long study (2.72 versus 1.71 ug Chl. _q, SD = 0.273 and 0.412 respectively, n = 6). However, these samples were taken too late in the fall to be representative of optimum algal growing conditions and indicated relatively low phytoplankton density at both areas. Recent studies in Scotland (Gowen et al. 1988) focused on phytoplankton density and growth rates in a restricted, fjordic sea- loch that had slow water movement (maximum flow of 16 cm sec 1) and a single, large salmon net-pen farm. Additionally, water exchange into the 50 meter deep Loch Spelve is restricted by a 4 meter deep shallow sill. Study results indicate no measurable effect of the farm on phytoplankton density, although localized hypernutrification (elevated ammonia) was seasonally observed immediately around the net-pen farm. Carbon-14 isotope productivity data did not show any effect of the farm, althoughthe authors felt that this portion of their study was based on insufficient data. In spite of slow water flow near the net-pens, the residency time of water was too brief to allow measurable increases in phytoplankton density or growth rates. Study Site Sglection The criteria for selection of net-pen location for the present study involved finding a net-pen site in western Washington that was located in nutrient depleted waters, while still having relatively large fish production. Based on the authors experience with these facilities, the best site was located in Peale Passage, southern Puget Sound. This site, located just east of Squaxin Island (Fig. 1), is operated as a cooperative Washington Department of Fisheries and Squaxin Island Indian Tribal sponsored program. Coho (Oncorhynchug kisutch) and other species of salmon have been reared at the site since the early 1970's (STOWW 1974) and the 'nearby beaches have abundant littleneck clam and planted oyster populations. The Squaxin Island net-pens are presently the largest public benefit facility in Washington state and produces substantial numbers of fish for commercial and sport fisheries (Rensel et al. 1988). 4 200 2 U30W 40' 422* 49* BELLINGHAM 04 -400 400 NACORT VICTORIA 2& 20' srRAIr oF .1uAN DE FvcA 480 8 .EVERETT N N OLYMPIC PENINSULA 40# 40' @TTLE SQUAXIN ISLA NET-PEN SITE -Nil 201- 20' ''TACOMA 0 110 20 30 a .- . W=mj 47,* @A KILOMETERS 47* 20' 1230W 400 20, 4220 149 Figure 1. Map of the Puget Sound region with Squaxin Island net-pen site located in South Puget Sound within oulined box. TAOOMA iHELTOh 0 PEALE Ik SOUAXIN ISLAND PASSAGE NET PEN SITE INLEF MET G) OLYMPIA Vicinity Map SOUAXIN ISLAND HARTSTENE NET-PEN$ ISLAND #3 #2 FLOOD EBB SOUTH PEALE PASSAGE Figure 2. Location and vicinity map of Squaxin SCAM IN FM Island net-pens and surrounding area. r_1_F___1 0 1,wo um 6 - There are three adjacent sets of net-pens, two for delayed release of salmon and, in recent years, a third rearing facility to the north operated by the tribe for normal commercial purposes (pen system 3 in Fig. 2). All of the fish reared at the first two facilities are destined for release into Puget Sound, and are held in the net-pens for only a few months of the year after attaining smolt condition. This final condition allowed for comparison of water column conditions before and after fish release, during similar tidal conditions discussed later. Site DescriRtion and Hydrography Peale Passage is a shallow tidal channel connecting Dana Passage on the south and Pickering Passage to the north (Fig. 2). The Squaxin Island Indian reservation forms the west boundary of Peale Passage, Harstene Island the east boundary. The source waters for Peale Passage are relatively well-mixed by strong tidal currents, although only one year of sampling data were available for the Dana Passage sampling station (unpublished WDOE water quality data DNA001). These data indicate low dissolved nitrogen in surface waters occurred 15% of the period April to November. Pickering Passage data show low dissolved nitrogen in surface waters about 39% of the time (SAIC 1986). Recent studies of circulation and nutrients in deep southern Puget Sound (URS 1986b) indicate that additional source waters for Peale Passage are the inlets at the west end of Dana Passage, especially Budd and Eld Inlets, due to clockwise circulation of surface and deeper waters in western Dana Passage. These inlets both exhibit strong vertical stratification and nutrient limitation during clement weather and undoubtedly influence Peale Passage surface waters at times during calm weather. An early study of hydrographic conditions in southern Puget Sound measured vertical profiles of physicochemical parameters in Peale Passage on a few occasions (Oclay 1959). Moring (1973) noted that there was little background information concerning water quality in the Peale Passage area. His studies provide some basic information concerning conditions at the net-pen site. In subsequent years, fish culturists of the Squaxin Island Tribe collected additional information at the site that, combined with the earlier information, is adequate to characterize the vicinity. These data indicate that the area is well-mixed in the late fall to spring months but has a gradual thermal gradient and very minor salinity gradient in the clement weather periods of summer. There are no significant freshwater sources in Peale passage and no sharp discontinuities of water column characteristics. Unpublished drogue (drift object) data collected for this study and recording current meter data collected for a related study (Weston and Gowen 1989) suggest that water passing through the net-pens does not exit Peale Passage on a moderate tide. This situation potentially could lead to an increased abundance of phytoplankton, - 7 - since phytoplankton will rapidly assimilate dissolved nitrogen during periods of nitrogen depletion. With an average depth of about 5.0 meters at mean lower low water (MLLW), depths in the vicinity of the net-pen site are shallow compared to other existing net-pens in Western Washington. Mean water current velocity near the most northern set of net-pens is about 6 to 7 cm sec-1 with a net directional flow to the south (Weston and Gowen 1989). Currents diminish an undetermined amount in the vicinity of the other two net-pens and may be affected by the presence of a small cove that tends to slow water movement and form a gyre, particularly on the flood tide (unpublished survey data of B. Wood, Squaxin Island Tribe, 1982). Although no historical nitrogen data were available from Peale Passage, two days prior to the first sampling date of this study I found dissolved nitrogen concentrations less than 0.04 mg/l, and a dissolved nitrogen to phosphorus (N:P) ratio of about 1:1, indicative of nitrogen limitation. Use of a single numerical value of dissolved nitrogen may be misleading for representation of the actual threshold of nutrient depletion (Welch 1980). Examination of both the dissolved nutrient concentration and the N:P ratio, sequentially, is more useful in determining if nitrogen depletion exists. Recent studies in nearby Budd Inlet suggested that nutrient limitation in surface waters occurred during summer months when the concentration of dissolved nitrogen was less than 0.04 mg/l and dissolved molecular N:P ratios were 5 to 1 or less (URS 1986a). Table 1. Sampling parameters and number of replicates per depth. 14 Carbon Chloro- Dissolved Dissolved Secchi Temper.- Phytop. Total isotope phyll a nutrients oxygen Disc Salinity counts N & P ------ ------ ------- ------- ----- ------- ------ ------ Experiment A-1: pens versus reference areas, May 25th, before fish release Low Tide 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 High Tide 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Experiment A-2: pens versus reference areas, June 21st, after fish release Low Tide 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 High Tide 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 Experiment B: upstream and downstream of pens, May 25th mid-flood - 3 1 1 - - 3 early ebb - 3 3 1 1 Codes: 14Carbon isotope primary productivity assessment, phyto. counts microscope identification and enumeration of phytoplankton, total N and P = total nitrogen and phosphorus (sum of dissolved and particulate) Total N and P from center of the net-pens only on ebb tide, experiment B. pH was sampled concurrent to collection of nutrient samples. 9 Experimental Desl'_qn Two types of experiments were conducted. The goal of experiment A was to investigate rates of primary productivity near the net-pens and at reference areas, as measured by the uptake of radiocarbon isotope C-14. Reference area stations were selected to be remote enough from the net-pens to avoid having waters that had passed through the net-pens on any single, moderate amplitude tide. Sampling was conducted during morning and early afternoon hours that coincided with the early and late portions of the flood tide, essentially low and high tide. The experiment was conducted before and after release of most of the delayed-release fish (experiments A- 1 and A-2, respectively), about a month apart, during similar tidal exchange and timing. Both dates had relatively calm, warm weather and were during the peak algal growing season in Puget Sound (Winter et al. 1975, URS 1986a). Other direct measures of phytoplankton density (chlorophyll a and species cell counts for relative abundance) as well as indirect, surrogate measures (Secchi disk depth and dissolved oxygen concentration) were made as time allowed. During sampling in late May 1988, the three sets of net-pens had a total of 118,600 kg of fish distributed 38% within system number 1, 45% in system number 2 and 17% in system number 3. Most of the fish in system one and two were released in early June. During the second sampling date in late June there was approximately 47,200 kg of fish in the net-pens, 55% within system number three and 45% in system two. Experiment B was an assessment of water quality upstream and downstream of the net-pens, similar to nutrient monitoring described in the Interim Guidelines (SAIC 1986). The monitoring was conducted at low and high tide in late May, before release of the fish. The goal of experiment B was to monitor the near field effect of the net- pens on nutrient and ammonia concentrations. Table 1 summarizes the measurements and replication conducted for experiment A and B. Worst-possible-case conditions were ensured by timing the experiments during a period with: the greatest amount of fish in the pens (experiment A-1) and with relatively small tidal exchange. The mean tide for nearby Dofflemeyer Point is 10.4 feet, and the diurnal range is 14.4 feet. Sampling on May 25 and June 21st was conducted on the beginning and end of 6.3 and 4.9 foot flood tides, respectively. Methods Water velocity at the net-pen site was measured with a Scientific Instruments Price Meter, fitted with an Swoffer optical sensor and remote, digital readout unit. Surface drift sticks and 2 meter deep drogues were used to monitor current direction immediately downstream of the net-pens. Salinity and temperature were measured with a YSI SCT-33 meter carefully calibrated to standard seawater solution. All water samples were collected with a 2 liter Scott-Richards sampling - 10 - bottle. Dissolved oxygen was measured by a modified Winkler titration method with an accuracy of 0.02 mg/l. pH was recorded in the field using a VWR model 55 probe. Chlorophyll a samples were collected by filtering 50 ml of water through Whatman GF/F filters. Filters were folded, packaged and iced for analysis later the next day. Nutrient samples were collected in acid washed and sample-water rinsed, polyethelene bottles, iced and frozen later the same day. No filtering or acidification was conducted to avoid introduction of broken cells and other artifacts, and to avoid destruction of nitrite (APHA 1985). This is standard research methodology used for dissolved nitrogen analysis of seawater samples at the University of Washington. Determination of dissolved nitrogen (defined as N03+NO@+NH4+) and orthophosphate was conducted at the University of Washington Routine Chemistry Laboratory using a technicon autoanalyzer. Dissolved nutrient results were reported both as mg/l (ppm), for ease of comparison to Weston (1986), as well as ug-at./l units (micromoles also referred to as uM) for comparison to other of other studies using such ratios. Identification and enumeration of larger phytoplankton (greater than 5-10 microns) was conducted by an experienced phycologist using sedimentation chambers to concentrate samples and an inverted microscope (Unesco 1978). Relative rates of phytoplankton production were estimated using a modification of the carbon 14 productivity method (Steemann Nielsen 1952), using water from the same water bottle cast that provided chlorophyll a, nutrients and other measures mentioned above.- Samples were collected, during the morning and afternoon, from 2 m at three sites: directly next to the net-pens and at the north and south entrances to Peale Passage (Fig. 2). Triplicate 120 ml samples were put into acid-cleaned 125 ml BOD bottles and transported in the dark to the net-pens for incubation. On May 25, 1988, 1.1 ml of the 14C stock (20 uCi/ml NaHC03 solution) was added to each sample, and then 100 ul was immediately removed and placed into a liquid scintillation cocktail containing phenethylamine for total activity determination. The BOD bottles were incubated next to the pens at 2 m depth within 20 minutes of sample water collection. Care was taken to insure that the incubating samples were never shaded by the pens. At the end of the incubation period (5.67 hrs for the morning samples and 2.67 for the afternoon samples), duplicate 20 ml aliquots were removed from each BOD bottle and placed into a glass scintillation vial containing 1.8 ml of a 37% formalin. Upon return to the laboratory, the formalin-killed aliquots were filtered onto glass fiber filters (Whatman GF/F), fumed over 12 N HCL for 15 seconds, and placed in scintillation vials. Seven ml of liquid scintillation solution was added to the vial, and shaken overnight. The samples were counted in a Beckman LS1800 liquid scintillation counter for 15 minutes. Carbon uptake was calculated according to Strickland and Parsons, (1968). Reported values are not corrected for time-zero controls or dark bottles. On June 21, 1988, the same initial procedures were followed. Additionally, single aliquots for time zero controls were removed and placed into glass liquid scintillation vials containing 1 ml 6 N HCL. At the end of sample bottle incubation, duplicate 5 ml aliquots were removed from each BOD bottle and placed into glass scintillation vials containing I ml of 6 N HCL. Upon returning to the laboratory, 8 ml of liquid scintillation solution was added to the vials, and they were shaken overnight. The samples were counted in a Beckman LS1800 liquid scintillation counter for 15 minutes. Reported values were corrected for time zero controls but not for dark bottles. Statistical analysis of hydrographic data utilized one way and two- way analysis of variance and T-test procedures (Zar 1984). Results Experiment A On sampling dates before and after the fish were released all stations had weak thermal stratification with little difference between the salinity at the surface and bottom (Tables 2 and 3). The highest water temperatures usually occurred at the southern entry to Peale Passage, not at the mid-channel areas near the net-pens. No trends in dissolved oxygen concentrations were seen on either sampling date. Secchi disk values (water transparency) were slightly lower at the net-pen site on both sampling dates. 12 - Nitro CN03+NG2+NH4) Before ?11:@ Reloom Noy 25 Nitr"M (29/1) LB LM Tide L25 RgWIP TId. L2 LIS LI LOS a L PmIs Pm& Obt PO L P"Is Pm& After Fish Releam June 21 LB- LM Tlds L25 RgHISP Tid. LZ LIS LI- L05 01 1 b-VVF" L PmIe Pm& ftt Pa L Pwle M 91 -177--Z Figure 3. Dissolved nitrogen concentration before fish release (top, Fig. 3a) and after most of the fish were released (Fig. 3b). Standard deviation bars are omitted due to the very small amount of variance. - 13 - Table 2. Partial results of experiment A-1 from May 25, 1988. Sampling times noted for each tide. Seccb! Dissolved Percent Dissolved Depth Temp. Sal. Disk Oxygen oxygen Chl. a Nitrogen Station (m) (C) PPT (a) mg/l Saturation ug/l mg/l ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ------- -------- ----- ---------- LOW TIDE: 0940-1030 hours South 0 13.5 28.9 5.8 Peale 2 13.5 29.0 10.8 124% 6.81 0.09 Passage 5 12.0 29.0 10 11.4 29.1 Net- 0 13.1 2%.0 3.6 Pen 2 12.2 29.0 8.7 98% 23.91 0.17 Site 5 11.4 29.0 North 0 12.1 28.9 4.0 Peale 2 12.1 28.9 10.3 116% 6.52 0.24 Passage 5 11.9 29.1 HIGH TIDE: 1305-1400 hours South 0 15.1 28.1 4.5 Peale 2 13.5 28.4 13.7 158t 13.58 0.06 Passage 5 12.5 28.7 10 11.1 29.7 14.1 155% 15-25 0.70 Net- 0 13.1 29.0 3.5 Pen 2 12.2 29.0 12.1 134% 15.56 0.15 Site 5 11.4 29.0 North 0 13.6 29.0 3.9 Peale 2 12.9 29.0 10.4 119% 9.76 0.08 Passage 5 12.1 29.0 14 Table 3. Partial results of experiment A-2 from June 21, 1988. Standard deviation shown in parenthesis. Sampling times shown for each tide. Secchi Dissolved Oxygen Dissolved Depth Temp. Sal. Disk Oxygen Saturation Chl. a Nitrogen Station (a) (C) (PPT) (in) (mg/1) Percent (ug/1) (mg/1) ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ------- -------- ----- ---------- LOW TIDE: 0830-0928 hours South 0 14.9 29.2 3.9 Peale 2 13.8 29.1 9.6 116% 6.99 0.13 Passage 5 13.0 29.0 (0-082) (0.019) 10 12.6 29.0 Net- 0 15.1 29.3 3.8 Pen 2 14.9 29.0 12.0 143% 4.73 0.02 Site 5 14.1 28.8 (0.759) (0.004) North 0 15.0 29.0 3.4 Peale 2 14.4 28.9 9.6 129% 6.84 0.10 Passage (0.799) (0.005) 5 13.8 28.7 HIGH TIDE: 1209-1310 hours South 0 15.3 29.0 3.7 Peale 2 14.8 29.0 11.8 141% 3.95 0.01 Passage 5 13.5 29.0 (1.777) (0.001) 10 12.8 29.0 0.49 Net- 0 17.5 29.1 3.0 Pen 2 15.0 28.8 12.1 144% 4.20 0.07 Site 5 14.1 29.0 (0.950) (0.006) 9 13.8 28.9 North 0 16.4 28.5 3.5 Peale 2 15.2 28.5 11.0 131% 5.47 0.03 Passage 5 14.0 28.7 (1.800) (0.006) 10 13.6 28.8 15 - Table 4. Dissolved nitrogen and phosphorus concentration, molecular nitrogen to phosphate (N:P) ratios and probable nitrogen limitation of diatom phytoplankton. Threshold of nitrogen limitation for diatoms is about 0.04 mg/l dissolved nitrogen or expressed in molecular value, about 0.65 ug-at/l. If dissolved N was <0.65 ug-at/1 and N:P ratio < 5, nitrogen limitation was probable. Phosphorus limitation could occur at N:P ratios >10-15. Probable Concentration in ug-at/1 X:P Ratio Nitrogen Site Dissolved N Dissolvgd P (atomicl Limitation Experiment A-1: before fish release on Nay 25, 1988. Low Tide south Peale no net-pen site 3.09 1.20 2.6 no north Peale 4.37 1.15 3.9 no High Tide south Peale 1.24 0.87 1.4 no net-pen site 1.85 1.05 1.7 no north Peale 1.24 0.87 1.4 no Experiment A-2: after fish release on June 21, 1988. Low Tide south Peale 0.06 0.86 0.1 yes net-pen site 3.21 1.07 3.0 no north Peale 0.87 1.02 0.8 no High Tide south Peale 3.11 1.10 2.8 no net-pen site 0.54 0.94 0.6 yes north Peale 2.08 1.23 1.7 no 16 - Nutrients: In general dissolved nitrogen concentrations (previously defined as N03+NO2+NH4 were less after fish release than before at all three sampling stations (Fig. 3, tables 2 and 3). Nutrient limitation of diatoms growth was probably not in effect in any of the samples collected before the fish were released, due to the relatively high ambient dissolved nitrogen concentration (> 0.04 mg/l threshold value for diatom growth limitation previously discussed, table 4). Large differences were noted between the concentration of dissolved nitrogen at low and high tides for 4 of the 6 bar clusters in figure 3 and proved significant for the period after fish release (p <0.05). Significance testing could not be acertained for the period before fish release due to lack of sample replication, but there was likely no difference at the net-pen site or at the south Peale station. This judgement is based on the excellent precision normally seen in nitrogen measurements conducted at the university's laboratory, as found in the June samples discussed below. It is important to note that the between tidal variation was obviously unrelated to the net-pens, as it occurred at both the net- pens and the reference stations, at least part of the time. Since experiment A was predicated upon having nutrient limitation at all times, this result complicates the later interpretation of of radiocarbon productivity measurements. Changes in productivity could have been related to fluctuating nutrient concentrations, masking any effect that the net-pens would produce. There are, however, some important bits of information to be gleaned from the rest of this experiment. There were some possible trends of nutrient concentration, such as a a gradient of increasing dissolved nitrogen from south to north at low tide before the fish release, but without further sampling between stations, it is not possible to conclude that the trend was real. Considered alone, dissolved nitrogen to phosphorus ratios (table 4),were indicative of nitrogen limitation (Redfield 1958, Ryther and Dunstad 1971, McCarthy 1980, URS 1986a), but the apparent imbalance is totally overshadowed by the absolute concentrations of nitrogen, which indicated no nitrogen limitation before fish release and only partly after the fish release. The precision of the measurements was very good since variation among replicates nitrogen samples was very small. The variation among replicates so small that it was graphically impossible to represent 5 of the 6 error bars in figure 3b. Chlorophyll a: In general, increased chlorophyll -4 concentrations were observed at all stations before fish release, matching the greater concentration of dissolved nitrogen at that time (compare Figs. 3 and 4). The concentration of chlorophyll o was much greater than reference stations at the net-pens at low tide on May 25, but only slightly greater by high tide (Fig. 4a). Since replicates were not obtained, statistical significance is not known. However, the concentration at low tide near the net-pens was nearly four times - 17 Chloro"11 0 Before Fish RGIGUM NOY 25 US/I LAw TWO 3MSh Tide 20 10 L PSGIG Pam& met Pe L POGIG Pam AftAr Fish Relecaft June 21 WS/I 25 Low TWO Dip Tide 20 Is in 5 L PMIQ PM& L PM16 Pam Figure 4. Chlorophyll A concentration before fish release (top- Fig. 4a) and after most Of the fish were released Al I FS L7kjnE-7A- (bottom, Fig. 4b). - 18 - greater than the reference areas and likely to be significantly greater. After most of the fish were released, on June 21 (Fig. 4b), there was significantly less chlorophyll a (p <0.05) at the net-pen site, compared to reference stations at low tide. However, by high tide no statistical differences were apparent as suggested by the overlapping standard deviation bars of that tide shown in figure 4b. These results suggest that tidal related natural variation of phytoplankton density occurred at the net-pen site. Primary Productivity: Statistical analyses of the raw data (appendices a-1 and A-2) indicated that there were significant differences in primary productivity between the net-pen site and the reference areas at low tide, but not at high tide (p < 0.05). Due to methodological differences in processing the samples, there could be no comparison of absolute values between sampling dates. A similar general trends among stations and between tides was apparent as seen in figures 5a and 5b. Increased productivity near the net-pens during the morning low tide was noted on both dates. Since there werer few statistical differences, this trend can only be noted and not interpreted as significant. Note that standard error bars were shown here, to save space, not standard deviation bars. Standard error is the standard deviation divided by the square root of the number of replicate measures. If standard deviation was shown on figure 5b, there would be greater overlap of bars. There were no statistical differences among stations or times of sampling on June 21. Variance within replicate samples was fairly high, as is common for radiocarbon data from the field. Some of the replicate samples could have contained statistical outliers (see replicate values in appendix table A-2, pens). However, this data was not excluded from the analysis. The results of the productivity experiment indicate significant tidally related variation at the net-pens before the fish were released, although rates of primary productivity were not significantly different among stations. On there own, these data suggest that the net-pens did not produce a significant effect, but since dissolved nitrogen concentrations and chlorophyll a results varied significantly among some of the stations and times, it is impossible to conclusively state that there was no effect. This is typical in all field studies, where correlative data is the norm. 19 Primary Productivity Before Fish Releases May 25 C/ M a/ tr. is - 14 L&u Tide Hip Tide Iz 10 L Peale Pose. WRt-Perw IL Peale Page. Primary Productivity After Fish Releases June 21 P9 C/ m m/ hr. so - El Low Tide 71D 22 High Tide so 40 20 10 L Peale Pase. K Peale Poes. Figure 5. Primary productivity before fish release (top., Fig. 5a) and after most of the fish were released (bottom, Fig. 5b). Standard error bars are shown where appropriate. N = 6 for each station., - 20 Cell Counts: A summary of the species assemblage present during portions of the study is shown in table 5. On both sampling dates diatoms were by far the dominate phytoplankton. During the May sampling Coscinodiscus sm. and Thalassiosira spD., common chain forming species were prevalent. By late June Chaetoceros, also a very common diatom group, were most abundant. The Chaetoceros sm. present were members of the subgenus Hyalochaete, thought not to be directly responsible for fish kills in net-pens in the past as have been members of the subgenus Phaeoceros (Gaines and Taylor 1986). However, reports from Canada (Bell et al. 1974) and studies in Washington State (Rensel et al. 1989), indicate that these species may contribute to mortality of net-pen salmon when abundant. There were not enough phytoplankton samples to make a rigorous comparison between tide stage or to other environmental factors. However, the slightly greater number of cells at the net-pens versus the reference station on May 25 appeared to correlate with nutrient and chlorophyll a values at high tide. The net-pen site had greater counts at high tide of June 21, which correlated with increased nutrient concentration, primary and specific productivity, but not with chlorophyll a concentration. Table 5. Summary of cell counts from 2 m depth in cells per ml. BEFORE FISH RELEASE: Hay 25, 1350-1420 hr. S. Peale Pen site N. Peale Chaetoceros Hyalochaete spp. 51 0 not Coscinodiscus ongusta-lineata 118 191 sampled Thalasslosira �M. 24 16 total diatoms 231 278 total dinoflagellates 22 131 -------------------- ---- ---- total phytoplankton (c/ml) 536 664 AFTER FISH RELEASE: June 21, 1220-1310 hr. Chaetoceros Hyalocbaete spp. 536 1,639 740 Skeletonema costatum 6 25 80 Misc. pennate diatoms 2 59 22 total diatoms 645 1,825 952 total dinoflagellates 28 52 52 -------------------- ---- ---- ---- total phytoplankton (c/ml) 806 2,069 1,109 - 21 - Experiment B During the morning flood tide, the concentration of dissolved nitrogen immediately upstream of the net-pens averaged 0.07 mg/l (table 6). The dissolved nitrogen (DN) was composed of nitrate (78%) and ammonia (22%). Just downstream of the net-pens, the concentration of dissolved nitrogen had doubled to 0.15 mg/l, which was significantly greater than upstream (p <0.005). However, most of the dissolved nitrogen was in the form of nitrate (N03 = 86% of DN), not ammonia (NH4 + = 12% of DN). A similar picture emerges if the data is viewed on a gram atom weight basis; the downstream nitrate was about 2.5 times greater than the ambient concentration. There was no statistical difference in the concentration of ammonia during this tide (on either unit basis) from upstream to downstream, but nitrate was significantly greater downstream (p <0.001). Total ammonia concentration in the plume of the net-pen during the morning flood averaged 0.0163 mg/l which is equivalent to an un- ionized ammonia concentration of 0.00037 mg/l at pH 8 and temperature 13 C. The EPA (1986) chronic exposure criteria (four day average concentration) for un-ionized ammonia under these conditions is 0.030 mg/l, about 80 times greater than the concentration observed downstream from the net-pens. During the early portions of the ebb tide, the concentration of total dissolved nitrogen was significantly greater within the net-pens compared to upstream values (p <0.001 for NH + and N03, p <0.005 for N02). However, there was no significant dMerence in the upstream and downstream values of total dissolved nitrogen. Within that total, there was a significant increase in the concentration of ammonia (table 7). The proportion of toxic, un-ionized ammonia in the downstream area was about 90 times less than the EPA's (1986) chronic exposure criteria. The concentration of un-ionized ammonia within the center of the net- pens during the ebb tide was 23 times greater than the upstream, ambient concentration. However, this amounted to only about 10% of the chronic exposure criteria mentioned above. The within-pen results were from the widest set of net-pens (three pens abreast), under maximum loading, and minimal current conditions. Ammonia loading within other net-pen systems at Squaxin Island was probably less due to the two abreast configuration which allows greater dilution with surrounding waters. 22 - Table 6. Results of experiment 8 from May 25, 1988. All date collected from 2 meters depth where the water temperature was 12.2 C *. pH remained at 8.0 throughout this sample collection. Dissolved Dissolved Oxygen Nitrogen** Total Un-ionized Current Tidal Stage Oxygen Saturation (Mean & SD) Ammonia Ammonia Velocit & station (mg/1) W (mg/1) (mg/1) (mg/1) (cm sec-@) ---------- --------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- MID-FLOOD: 1200-1300 hours upstream: 11.7 132% 0.07 (0.020) 0.0155 0.00036 11.4 downs- 11.6 131% 0.15 (0.011) 0.0163 0.00037 5.2 stream EARLY-EBB: 1500-1625 hours upstream: 12.2 137% 0.03 (0.006) 0.0069 0.00014 8.1 within pens*** 10.4 117% 0.23 (0.006) 0.1606 0.00337 3.0 downstream 12.6 142% 0.03 (0.015) 0.0155 0.00033 7.9 Total net-pen salmon biomasss was 118,600 kg for the flood and 97,970 kg for the ebb, due to differing sampling location. Ebb tide samples were collected downstream (south) of the larger WDF pens (number 2). Dissolved nitrogen values represent the total of nitrate, nitrite and ammonium. Nitrogen limitation for diatoms may occur below 0.04 mg/l. within pens site was In center of the pen system (number 2, WDF) that were 3 cages wide by 11 cages long with 52,640 kg of fish. - 23 - Table 7. Mmonia concentrations at the Squaxin Island net-pens during the upstreat/downstreas analyses (experiment B). Distance to downstream sampling station was 30 m from facility number 3. Percent change in concentration is relative to ambient, upstream concentration. chronic exposure concentration is the four day average recommended by EPA (1986). Total Mmonia Concentration (mg/1) with standard deviation in parenthesis Tidal Influencing -------------------------------------- Fish Biomass (Kg) Upstrea Within Pens Downstream Flood tide 118,600 kg 0.0155 ---- 0.0163 (0.00686) (0.00202) percent increase of total ammonia 5.01 percent increase of un-ionized ammonia 2.3% percent of chronic toxicity concentration 1.2% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Ebb tide 97,970 kq 0.0069 0.1606 0.0155 (0.00038) (0.00337) (0.00262) percent increase of total ammonia 2,337% 224% percent increase of un-ionized ammonia 2.1% 2.1% percent of chronic exposure concentration 11.2% 1.11 Discussion EXperiment A: Effects on Phytoplankton Phytoplankton abundance and the growth rate at the net-pens varied significantly with the stage of the tidal cycle or the time of day. The most striking feature of this analysis was the very similar pattern of primary productivity seen before and after fish were release from the pens (Fig. 5). There was a general trend toward increased phytoplankton density (chlorophyll a) and C-14 productivity at the net-pens during the morning ebb tide, with no significant difference during the afternoon flood tide, regardless of the sampling date and amount of fish held in the net-pens (compare figs. 5a and 5b). Dissolved nitrogen to phosphorus ratios (table 4) indicated that growth was not limited due to nutrient depletion during the period before fish release, when greater phytoplankton density and significantly greater primary productivity was observed at the net- pens. Thus, the observed increased chlorophyll a during one tidal 24 - period of maximum fish biomass was not the result of nutrient production from the net-pens, but may be related to the natural hydrodynamics of Peale Passage. The reference areas used in experiment A were selected to be within the same passage, but as remote as possible from the net-pens. These areas were near the source waters of Pickering and Dana Passages, which are both subject to fairly intense horizontal and vertical mixing (URS 1986b) compared to the shallow Peale Passage area. It is likely that vertical mixing, and accordingly, light limitation for phytoplankton cells in both of the source areas is much greater than in Peale Passage. By the time source waters bearing nutrients and phytoplankton seed stock reach the middle portions of Peale Passage, a day or longer has passed, allowing for significant growth to occur in the water column, which is entirely within the euphotic zone. Although similar trends in C-14 primary productivity were similar on both sampling dates (figures 5a versus 5b), there was no statistical difference among sites on the later sampling date, and only on one tide of the earlier date. Further, the absolute values were different between sampling dates due to methodological differences and thus no comparison of primary production rates is possible between sampling dates. Dissolved nutrient concentrations appeared to be roughly correlated with chlorophyll a values and were lower at all stations after most of the salmon were released. As discussed previously, Pease (1977) found an inverse relationship between the two throughout his study of Henderson Inlet. No causal relationship between these factors at the Squaxin Island net-pens is likely, due to the remoteness of the unperturbed reference areas, the relatively small amount of dissolved nitrogen contributed by the net-pens (theoretically about 33 kg/day total dissolved nitrogen) and results of nutrient sampling over the tidal cycle discussed below. Most of the dissolved nitrogen concentrations at all stations during this study were greater than the threshold of limitation for diatom growth (0.04 mg/l; URS 1986). To show maximum effects, this study should have been conducted when surface waters were nearly depleted of dissolved nitrogen, if it ever occurs in the area, to test the possibility that the pens could cause or sustain a phytoplankton bloom. These results and pre-experiment nutrient sampling indicated that dissolved nitrogen values at the pens fluctuated regularly, above and below the 0.04 mg/l growth limitation threshold. This value obtained for nutrient limitation of diatoms is not absolute and should be used with caution because growth limitation also depends upon the concentration of phytoplankton cells and organic matter in the water, rates of remineralization of the organic matter to dissolved inorganic nitrogen (Harris 1986), and the type and size of phytoplankton (Redfield 1958, Ryther and Dunstad 1971, Eppley 1972, McCarthy 1980, URS 1986a). 25 - On May 25, during the period of maximum fish biomass, increasing concentrations of dissolved nitrogen were seen at low tide on a South to north, long-channel axis (Fig. 3a). This observation suggests that nutrient-rich waters were entering from the north end of the passage at that time. Due to the location of the net-pens relative to the ebb tide flow (Fig. 2), it also suggests that nutrients from the net-pens were not the major source of the higher concentrations of dissolved nitrogen seen at the north end of the passage. Later that day during the flood tide, a similar concentration of dissolved nitrogen, about 0.07 mg/l (versus 0.09 mg/1), previously seen at the south end of the passage was observed immediately upstream of the net-pens in the results of the upstream/downstream analyses (experiment B). If time and budgets allowed, additional sampling between stations would have been useful to examine the trends more closely. The elevated level of chlorophyll A at the net-pens prior to fish release and during the morning low tide (Fig. 4a; 24 ug/1), was nearly 4 times that of the reference stations. This non-replicated value was near the maximum values seen in two years of sampling in central Puget Sound (e.g., Anderson et al. 1984), but was much lower than summer values seen in nearby Henderson Inlet at control and experiment stations by Pease (1977). By high tide', the concentration of chlorophyll a had diminished at the Squaxin Island net-pen site. After the fish release, there was significantly less chlorophyll a at the net pens on the morning low tide, but no difference by the afternoon. Compared to the period prior to fish release, and if one disregarded other data collected in this study, this suggests an effect due to the pens. However, the fact that dissolved nutrients were not limiting to phytoplankton growth prior to fish release is a more important factor and discounts any possible effect suggested by the increased chlorophyll a. Another factor to be accounted for is the biomass of fish stock on hand before and after fish release. As previously mentioned, about 40% of the initial biomass (47,200 kg, both delayed release and fish for commercial purposes) was still on hand during the June 21 sampling date. However, this amount of biomass is small relative to the maximum amount of biomass that a typical two acre net-pen farm could maintain (up to 250,000 kg, J. Lindberg, pers. comm. in Weston 1986). 1 would have preferred that more of the fish had been released for the later sampling date, to provide a more representative experimental control, but that was not possible. These results suggest that tidal stage, time of day and ambient nitrogen conditions were more important determinants of phytoplankton conditions at the net-pens and that nutrients from the net-pens did not produce a significant, measurable effect on the phytoplankton production. If time and materials allowed, several sampling stations midway between the pens and the reference areas would have been useful to search for a gradient of effects. Nevertheless, given the natural excess of total and dissolved nitrogen that existed throughout the study area at the time of the study, no effects from 26 the pens were possible. Nitrogen may be limiting in the study area later in the summer, but most of the salmon have generally been released by that time. Experiment B: Effects on Near Field Water Ouality: Ammonia This experiment involved measurement of nutrient levels upstream and downstream of the net-pen cages on May 25, when the maximum amount of salmon was present in pens. Divergent dissolved nitrogen results were seen between the two tidal stages monitored; the morning flood showed significantly elevated levels of dissolved nitrogen downstream, but only a very small, statistically insignificant increase in ammonia concentration. Monitoring during the afternoon ebb showed no significant difference in dissolved nitrogen concentration, but within that measure, the total ammonia concentration increased greatly as a percentage of upstream, ambient levels. However, the maximum concentration of un-ionized ammonia was only about 10 % of the EPA (1986) chronic exposure level for 11salmonids and other sensitive coldwater species" and far below acute toxicity criteria. The results of the flood tide analyses suggest that very rapid nitrification of ammonia occurred in the plume of the net-pen, consistent with general concepts of marine chemistry (Harris 1986). Most of the dissolved nitrogen was in the form of nitrate (N03 = 86% of dissolved N), not ammonia (NH4+ = 12% of dissolved N) a distance of 30 m downstream of the third net-pen system. The concentration of dissolved nitrogen was the same at the upstream and downstream stations on the afternoon ebb (0.03 mg/1). Total ammonia was about 52% of the dissolved nitrogen in the downstream samples, compared with 70% inside the pens. In addition to nitrification, reduced ammonia downstream was apparently due to dilution during the ebb tide measurements. The rate of ammonia nitrification can be approximated as follows, using the flood tide data. Assuming that 70% of the dissolved nitrogen within the pens was ammonia, as it was on the ebb, and given the average current velocity of 8.3 cm sec-1, the mean distance from the center of all three net-pen systems to the downstream sampling location was 290 m. Accordingly, ammonia within the cages was converted from 70% to 12% of the total dissolved nitrogen concentration within about 1 hour. By then, the concentration of un- ionized ammonia was far below the exposure criteria for sensitive species such as salmonids (EPA 1986). It has previously been conservatively assumed that all dissolved nitrogen produced by the net-pen fish was in the form of ammonia or urea, not nitrate (Weston 1986). While this is apparently true within the pens, the results presented here substantiate that nitrification converts the ammonia to nitrate over very short time periods, rapid compared to the doubling time of phytoplankton populations (minutes versus hours or days, respectively). The dominant dissolved nitrogen compound measured immediately downstream 27 - of the net-pens is nitrate. Nitrate is less preferred by phytoplankton cells, and its uptake rate is slower than that of ammonia. The calculated production rate of dissolved nitrygen from the net-pen should be at least 0.22 to 0.28 g kg_1 fish day- greater than the ambient concentration. These values represent the sum of nitrate and ammonia produced by salmon (SAIC, 1986 and Weston 1986, respectively), multiplied by 0.87, the soluble fraction. Using the greater figure to be conservative, on the flood tide there should have been a net increase of 33.2 kg/day or 0.384 gram sec-1 nitrate and ammonia in the plume of the net-pen (118,600 kg x 0.28 g divided by 86,400 seconds per day). When spread over the average cross sectional area of all the pens (93.6 m long x 4 m deep = 374 m2), and dispersed with the current (0.083 m sec 1), this is equivalent to 0.012 mg/l greater than_the upstream, ambient concentrations (37.9 kg divided by 31.04 m3 sec 1)@ The observed downstream concentration was 0.08 mg/l, about six times greater than ambient dissolved nitrogen, but less than an order of magnitude different. Variation among sample replicates was very little, lending credibility to the results. Using similar calculations for the ebb tide results, there should have been a similar predicted increase of dissolved nitrogen concentration downstream, but none was observed. The lack of any measurable increase in dissolved nitrogen on one tidal phase and the increase on the other could be due to tidal hydrodynamics of the site and fish physiology. I have conducted similar studies at several other locations and have found increased concentrations of ammonia within or immediately downstream of the every net-pen system monitored (appendix B), but total nitrogen values have been more variable, sometimes even less than the upstream values. Measured increase of nutrients that exceed predicted concentrations can be explained by several factors. The predicted increase was based on literature from freshwater hatcheries, not from marine net- pens. The Squaxin Island net-pen systems is mostly used for delayed release of relatively small (<40 g) coho salmon that require more rearing space per pound of fish than larger fish typically held in a commercial grow out facility. Accordingly, there-is more netting and floats for growth of fouling organism, that may contribute nutrients. In addition, the net-pens are not removed and cleaned at the delayed release facility during the rearing period. The nets in a delayed release facility are installed in late winter and left in place until late spring to early summer. By the initial sampling time of this study (late spring), there was a considerable accumulation of invertebrate and algal fouling organisms on the nets. This condition is tolerated since the nets are removed in early summer for the remainder of the year. To determine the contribution of nutrients from floats and invertebrates growing on the nets, it would be useful to measure nitrogen concentrations at the Squaxin Island net-pens after the salmon were released, but before the nets are removed. 28 - Finally, there is a inverse relationship between fish size and rate of metabolite production. Clark et al. (1985) found rapidly decreasing rate of ammonia production with increased fish size, about a 50% reduction from the 10 gram to 200 gram mean weight. The dominance of small fish at the Squaxin Island delayed release net- pens would therefore result in proportionately greater nitrogen discharge than a grow out facility with fish ranging in size from 20 grams to 10 kg or larger. The lack of increased dissolved nitrogen downstream of the net-pens on the ebb tide could be due to dilution or unknown and irregular water motion. A one m deep drift stick placed immediately downstream of the net-pens moved very little for 20 minutes prior to the ebb tidal sample. From this observation, and numerous other observations by the author at some other facilities during low velocity periods of water movement, there appears to be an area immediately downstream of some net-pen facilities that may temporarily exhibit lack of water movement or anomalous patterns of water flow. Other recent data collected to more accurately predict expected dissolved nitrogen concentrations downstream of net-pen facilities (appendix B) are insufficient in quantity at this time for regression analyses. The following narrative describes some of the recent studies. Studies conducted near the world's largest net-pen facility, Domsea Farms, Inc., found no measurable effect on downstream water quality (D. Damkaer, KMFS, unpublished data cited in Weston 1986). Tidal flows in that area are greater than at the Squaxin Island net-pen site and annual production was approximately 8 times greater than at Squaxin Island. Milner-Rensel Associates (1986) found similar results for ammonia production in a study of water quality near a relatively small net- pen system in Port Angeles Harbor (see appendix B). The pens contained 27,000 kg of fish and there was mean current velocity of 7 cm sec 1 during sampling. The concentration of ammonia increased within the net-pens, but immediately downstream the ammonia was converted to nitrate and diluted. The concentration of total ammonia inside the net-pens at Port Angeles was 0.020 mg/l, compared to 0.007 mg/1 in the ambient, upstream water. The total ammonia concentration had diminished 30 m downstream of the net-pens to 0.011 mg/l, or 0.004 mg/1 greater than the ambient, upstream value. Downstream nitrate increased 0.049 mg/l over ambient, although there was a fairly high variance within replicates. As the site was so near the Strait of Juan de Fuca, total dissolved nitrogen was much higher than at Squaxin Island and was 97% nitrate, the remainder being mostly ammonia. Two years later in Port Angeles Harbor there were 192,000 kg of fish on hand with a current velocity of about 8 cm sec I (Rensel, unpublished data). In spite of the relatively large size and minimal currents during sampling, the concentration of toxic un-ionized - 29 - ammonia was less than 6% of the EPA (1986) four day chronic exposure level for I'salmonids and other sensitive coldwater species". Another upstream/downstream analysis was conducted at a very small facility in the first year of operation at north Skagit Bay. The results indicate extremely minor increases of ammonia (0.001 mg/1 increase in total ammonia downstream), and total dissolved nitrogen levels actually decreased downstream (Rensel 1988). - 30 - Literature Cited APHA. 1985. Standard Methods for the Examination of Water and Wastewater. American Public Health Association, American Water Works Association, Water Pollution Control Federation. sixteenth edition. Washington D.C. 1,268 pp. Anderson, J., A. Copping, T. Jagielo, J. Postel, W. Peterson, B. Dumbauld, G. Heron, R. Hood, and M. Strom. 1984. Water Column Ecology, Vol. III, Sec. 4. In: Q. J. Stober and K. K. Chew. Renton Sewage Treatment Plant Project, University of Washington, Seattle. Bell, G. R., W. Griffioen, and 0. Kennedy. 1974. Mortalities of pen- reared salmon associated with blooms of marine algae, pp. 58-60. In: Proc. Northwest Fish Culture Conference, 25th Anniversary, December 4-6, 1974, Seattle, WA. Clark, E.R., J.P.-Harman and J.R.M. Forster. 1985. Production of metabolic products by intensively farmed rainbow trout, Salmo gairdneri Richardson. Journal of Fisheries Biology. 27:381-393. Collias, E.E. and J.H. Lincoln. 1977. A study of the nutrients in the main basin of Puget Sound. Report by the University of Washington, Department of oceanography for the Municipality of Metropolitan Seattle. M77-2. Seattle. EPA. 1986. Quality criteria for water. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C. Eppley, R.W. 1972. Temperature and phytoplankton growth in the sea. Fisheries Bulletin 70:1063-85. Fraser, J. 1976. Salmon pen culture at Squaxin Island. Final Report. Squaxin island Tribe. Shelton, Washington. Contract No. 07-6- 01521 of Economic Development Agency. Washington D.C. Gaines, G. and F. J. R. Taylor. 1986. A Mariculturist's Guide to Potentially Harmful Marine Phytoplankton of the Pacific Coast of North America. Information Report No. 10. Prepared for the Marine Resources Section, Fisheries Branch, British Columbia Ministry of Environment. 54 pp. Gowen, R.J., N.B. Bradbury and J.R. Brown. 1985. The ecological impact of salmon farming in Scottish coastal waters: a preliminary appraisal. International Council for the Exploration of the Sea. C.M. 1985/F:35 13 pp. Gowen, R.J. and N.B. Bradbury. 1987. The ecological impact of salmonid farming in coastal waters: a review. oceanography and Marine Biology Annual Review 25:562-575. Gowen, R., J. Brown, N. Bradbury and D.S. McLusky. 1988. Investigations into benthic enrichment, hypernutrification and eutrophication associated with mariculture in Scottish coastal 31 - waters (1984 - 1988). Report prepared under contract to Highlands & Islands Development Board, Crown Estates Commissioners, Nature Conservancy Council, Countryside Commission for Scotland, and the Scottish Salmon Growers Association. 289 pp. Harris, G.P. 1986. Phytoplankton Ecology, Structure, Function and Fluctuation. Chapman and Hall. London. McCarthy, J.J. 1980. Nitrogen, in I. Morris (ed.), The Physiological Ecology of Phytoplankton, University of California Press, Berkeley. Milner-Rensel Associates. 1986. Aquatic conditions at the Seafarm of Norway net-pen site in Port Angeles Harbor in April, 1986. Prepared for Sea Farm of Norway, Inc. and the City of Port Angeles Planning Department. 25 pp. and appendix. Moring, J.R. 1973. Aspects of growth, and the effects of some environmental factors on pen-reared chinook salmon, Ongorhynchus tshawvtscha (Waulbaum) in Puget Sound, Washington. Dissertation. University of Washington. Seattle. 222 pp. Nishitani, L., G. Erickson, K.K. Chew. 1988. PSP research: Implications for Puget Sound in Vol. 2, pps. 392-399, Proceedings of the Puget Sound Water Quality Authority Research Conference, Seattle. Oclay, N. 1959. Oceanographic conditions near the head of Southern Puget Sound August 1957 through September 1958. M.S. Thesis. University of Washington, Seattle. Pease, B.C. 1977. The effect of organic enrichment from a salmon mariculture facility on the water quality and benthic community of Henderson Inlet, Washington. Ph D. Dissertation. University of Washington. Seattle. Parsons, T.R., M. Takahashi and B. Redgrave. 1984. Biological oceanographic processes. 4th edition. Pergamon Press. 330 pp. Redfield, A.C. 1958. The biological control of chemical factors in the environment. American Science 46:205-222. Ren'sel, J. 1988. Environmental sampling at the American Aqua Foods net-pen site near Lone Tree Point in north Skagit Bay, Washington. Prepared by Rensel Associates for Pacific Aqua Foods and the Washington Department of Natural Resources. 7 pp. and 19 pp. appendix. Rensel,J.E. and E.F. Prentice. 1980. Factors controlling growth and survival of cultured spot prawn, Pandalus platyceros, in Puget Sound, Washington. Fish. Bull., U.S. 78:781-788. - 32 - Rensel, J.E., R.P. Harris, T.T. Tynan. 1988. Fishery contribution and spawning escapement of coho salmon reared in net-pens in southern Puget Sound, Washington. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 8:359-366. Rensel, J.E., R.A. Horner, J.A. Postel. 1989. Phytoplankton blooms in Puget Sound, Washington, and their affect on salmon aquaculture: initial research. Northwest Environmental Journal 5:53-69. Ryther, J.H. and W.M. Dunstad. 1971. Nitrogen, phosphorus and eutrophication in the coastal marine environment. Science (New York) 171:1008-1013. SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation) 1986. Recommended interim guidelines for the management of salmon net- pen culture in Puget Sound. Prepared for the Washington Department of Ecology in conjunction with the Department of Fisheries, Agriculture and Natural Resources. 48 pp. Snyder, B.P., A.J. Didier, Jr., and E.O. Salo. 1974. The culture of salmon at Wilipa Bay, Gray's Harbor and Henderson Inlet in southern Puget Sound. Final report for period Jan. 1, 1973 to Feb. 15 1974. Fisheries Research Institute, University of Washington, Unpublished Report. 211 pp. Steemann Nielsen, E. 1952. The use of radioactive carbon (C-14) for measuring organic production in the sea. J. Cons. Int. Explor. Mer. 18:117-140. Strickland, J.D.H. and T.R. Parsons. 1968. A Practical Handbook of Seawater Analysis. Fisheries Research Board of Canada Bulletin 167, 311 pp. Stickney, R.R. 1979. Principles of Warmwater Aquaculture. John Wiley & Sons. New York. 375 pp. Small Tribes of Western Washington (STOWW) 1974. Salmon pen culture at Squaxin Island Indian Reservation. J. Fraser and G. Milner, eds., Final Report for Economic Development Administration Contract No. 07-6-09420-1. and the Bureau of Indian Affairs Contract No. 14-20-0500-3517. Washington D.C. 68 pp. United Nations Educational, scientific and Cultural organization (Unesco) 1978. Phytoplankton Manual. A. Sornia, ed., Paris. 337 PP. - 33 URS Co. 1986a. Southern Puget Sound water quality assessment study, final report: Comprehensive circulation and water quality study of Budd Inlet. Prepared for the Washington State Dept. of Ecology. Seattle. URS Co. 1986b. Southern Puget Sound water quality assessment study, final report: Circulation and flushing in southern Puget Sound. Prepared for the Washington State Dept. of Ecology. Seattle. Welch, E.B. 1980. Ecological Effects of Waste Water. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge. 337 pp. Weston, D.P. 1986. The environmental effects of floating mariculture in Puget Sound. School of Oceanography, College of Ocean and Fisheries Sciences. Seattle, Washington. 148 pp. Weston, D.P. and R. J. Gowen 1989. Assessment and prediction of the effects of salmon net-pen culture on the benthic environment. Prepared for the Washington Department of Fisheries, Programmatic environmental impact statement, salmon aquaculture in Puget Sound. Winter, D.P., K. Banse and G.C. Anderson. 1975. The dynamics of phytoplankton blooms in Puget Sound, a fjord in the northwestern United States. Marine Biology 29:139-176. Zar, J.H. 1984. Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice-Hall, Inc. New Jersey. 718 pp. Acknowledgement The author wishes to thank the following individuals for their assistance as noted. Mr. Richard Davis, University of Washington, for C-14 work, field assistance and preliminary manuscript review. Dr. Dale Kiefer, University of Southern California, and Dr. Donald Weston, University of Washington for manuscript review. Ms. Jan Downs, University of Washington for chlorophyll A analysis. Dr. Rita Horner, University of Washington, for phytoplankton identification and preliminary manuscript review. Mr. Richard Cromega for figure 1, Ms. Beth Haskins for figure 2. Appendix A Appendix Table A-1. Productivity data from Squaxin Island on May 25, 1988. Total Activity SAMPLE CPM H# DPM LA1 45322 126.3 48385 LA2 40302 107.3 42667 LA3 41287 105.7 43688 LA4 41640 105.3 44056 LAS 43032 105 45525 LA6 37755 104.3 39934 LA7 44236 105.3 46803 LA8 41820 104.3 44234 LA9 40342 104 42667 LAIO 34420 105 36414 LA11 30763 105.7 32552 LA12 29903 104.7 31632 LB4 34385 105 36377 LB5 45706 103.3 48331 DA10 37593 104.7 39768 LBIO 42070 104.3 44499 L- 40516 107 42890 DA12 39540 103.7 41816 mean & sd 41791 4877 Sample Cpm H# dpm MgCIMA3 MgC/MA31h site mean st dev N. Peale 11117 152.3 12098 35.09 6.19 7.37 2.36 1100 h 14557 141.7 15701 45.53 8.04 6355 144.3 6869 19.92 3.52 12779 144.7 13816 40.07 7.07 16809 149.3 18244 52.91 9.34 18191 143.7 19651 56.99 10.06 NP dark 4681 144.3 5059 14.67 2.59 2.49 0.13 4350 140.3 4687 13.59 2.40 S. Peale 6411 146.3 6940 20.13 3.55 3.96 0.64 1100 h 8969 140.0 9661 28.02 4.94 5904 144.0 6379 18.50 3.26 6374 141.7 6875 19.94 3.52 7269 144.7 7858 22.79 4.02 8044 142.3 8680 25.17 4.44 SP dark 5286 143.3 5709 16.56 2.92 2.77 0.21 4740 143.7 5121 14.85 2.62 Pens 24502 142.7 26448 76.70 13.54 14.10 3.40 1100 h 34093 143.3 36819 106.78 18.84 19775 143.0 21350 61.92 10.93 25980 155.3 28352 82.22 14.51 30384 146.7 32904 95.42 16.84 18019 144.3 19475 56.48 9.97 Pens dark 6009 141.0 6478 18.79 3.32 2.74 0.82 3918 139.7 4220 12.24 2.16 Appendix Table A-1 Continued Pens 7065 140.7 7615 22.08 8.28 7.33 0.83 1420 h 5805 141.3 6259 18.15 6.81 5461 144.3 5902 17.12 6.42 6984 138.7 7516 21.80 8.17 5574 146.7 6036 17.50 6.56 6585 143.0 7110 20.62 7.73 Pens dark 5023 143.0 5423 15.73 5.90 5.98 0.11 5151 144.7 5569 16.15 6.06 N. Peale 8788 143.0 9488 27.52 10.32 9.83 2.3 5 1420 h 7746 141.3 8353 24.22 9.08 10884 142.7 11748 34.07 12.78 6095 142.7 6579 19.08 7.15 NP dark 5074 142.7 5477 15.88 5.96 7.57 2.29 7823 143.7 8451 24.51 9.19 S. Peale 9809 142.7 10588 30.71 11.52 12.59 3.90 1420 h 10953 144.0 11835 34.32 12.87 15027 145.0 16250 47.13 17.67 7061 142.7 7622 22.10 8.29 SP dark 8513 142.7 9189 26.65 9.99 10-63 0.90 9567 147.3 10366 30.06 11.27 Appendix Table A-2. Productivity data from Squaxin Island on June 21, 1988. Total Activity Time Zero SAMPLE CPM H# DPM SAMPLE CPM H# DPM I-Al 30709 97.7 32431 LA1 12914 187.3 14640 LA2 32320 97.3 34130 LA2 17286 188.0 19615 LA3 40114 96.7 42355 LA3 23496 191.3 26792 DA2 31354 97.7 33112 DA2 15559 190.0 17707 LA4 42788 100.0 45209 LA4 14053 191.3 16025 LAS 33342 98.0 35213 LAS 15352 191.0 17497 LA6 32321 97.7 34134 LA6 19196 191.3 21888 DA4 57645 97.3 60872 DA4 15914 190.0 18111 LA7 35327 96.7 37300 LA7 23220 190.7 26454 LAB 41635 97.3 43966 LAB 18071 189.7 20558 LA9 56040 92.3 59131 LA9 20634 189.0 23449 DA6 46998 97.0 49626 DA6 28962 188.7 32899 LA10 34203 98.3 36125 LA10 13760 189.7 15653 LA11 32854 97.0 34691 LA11 17595 189.7 20015 LA12 30044 97.0 31725 LA12 20718 190.7 23604 DAB 36880 99.3 38961 DAB 16791 190.3 19118 1-131 33806 98.7 35709 1-131 15999 190.7 18227 1-132 44646 98.0 47152 L82 23215 190.0 26420 L83 55483 96.7 58582 1-133 31380 191.0 35766 DA10 35420 97.0 37401 DA10 38891 187.7 44114 LB4 31400 96.7 33154 LB4 45703 187.0 51788 1-135 41051 95.7 43337 1-135 26202 188.3 29746 1-136 38103 90.3 40196 1-136 35817 190.7 40805 DA12 47776 111.0 50643 DA12 20863 189.7 23733 -nean & sd 41465 mean & sd - 25193 8848 9650 Inc Time 1 - 6.42 Inc Time 2 - 3.00 SAMPLE CPIVI H# DPIVI Mg C/MA3 Mg C/MA3/h site means st err N. Peale 39926 190.7 45486 240.17 37.41 42.42 4.96 1020 h 35680 190.7 40649 182.93 28.49 40080 189.0 45547 240.91 37.52 42000 188.7 47709 266.48 41.51 43650 189.3 49626 289.18 45.04 52944 189.3 60193 414.24 64.52 dark 24044 189.5 27344 25.46 3.97 -6.09 10.06 14498 187.3 16435 -103.65 -16.14 S. Peale 47033 189.0 53449 334.43 52.09 31.07 5.86 1020 h 44343 189.3 50414 298.51 46.50 31438 190.0 35778 125.29 19.51 33980 188.3 38576 158.40 24.67 31870 190.0 36271 131.11 20.42 33273 188.7 37795 149.15 23.23 dark 31688 190.0 36063 128.65 20.04 10.94 9.10 Appendix Table A-2. Continued 23020 189.7 26187 11.77 1.83 Pens 30478 189.7 34671 112.18 17.47 67.39 16.82 1020 h 29487 189.3 33524 98.60 15.36 59108 190.0 67270 497.99 77.57 76650 187.3 86893 730-24 113.74 65200 189.0 74094 578.77 90.15 65085 189.7 74039 578.12 90.05 dark 31450 189.3 35756 125-02 19.47 22.09 2.62 33914 190.0 38597 158-65 24.71 N. Peale 29780 190.7 33927 103.37 34.46 51.66 16.51 1330 h 43497 191.3 49598 288.85 96.28 44550 188.7 50605 300-77 100.26 35031 188.7 39793 172.80 57.60 22695 189.7 25817 7.39 2.46 26412 188.3 29985 56.71 18.90 dark 25720 190.0 29271 48.27 16.09 0.40 15.69 18724 190.3 21319 -45.84 -15.28 S. Peale 25636 194.7 29384 49-60 16.53 65.47 18-93 1330 h 22595 188.3 25651 5.43 1.81 '48384 191.7 55204 355.19 118.40 41857 189.7 47615 265-38 88.46 43607 188.7 49534 288.08 96.03 38120 189.3 43339 214-77 71.59 dark 12257 190.0 13950 -133.07 -44.36 -22.69 21.67 21942 189.0 24935 -3.05 -1.02 Pens 25096 189.3 28532 39.52 13.17 31.80 12.34 1330 h 25007 189.0 28419 38.18 12.73 28747 190.0 32716 89.04 29.68 22293 187.7 25287 1.12 0.37 40063 189.0 45528 240-68 80.23 34303 190.0 39039 163-88 54.63 dark 21967 190.3 25011 -2.15 -0.72 15.55 16.26 29307 188.0 33256 95-44 31.81 Appendix B A number of studies have been conducted in Washington state to assess the nearfield effects of net-pen operation on nutrient and dissolved oxygen concentration in marine waters. Several of these studies have been conducted in accordance with methods outlined in the State of Washington's Recommended Interim Guidelines for the Management of Salmon Net-pen Culture in Puget Sound (SAIC 1986). Other studies, conducted prior to the guidelines, were essentially the same, although within net-pens sampling stations were utilized instead of the the first downstream sampling station. All of the near field studies (Appendix Table B-1) have shown increased concentrations of ammonia immediately downstream or within the net-pens. Total ammonia values have increased from 3 to 2,327%. However, the amount of un-ionized ammonia increased only a few percent of the four-day maximum chronic exposure level recommended by EPA (1986), ranging from 0.9 to 11.2%. The maximum increase (11.2% of the recommended chronic exposure value) was found within, not downstream, of the largest of three net-pen systems at Squaxin Island. These pens were configured to have three pens wide by 10 pens long, causing significantly reduced water flow within the center pens, where samples were collected. As the concentration of any waste nutrient is greatly dependent on tidal flow rate, and the samples were collected in a worst case area at only a few cm per second flow, this appears to be a worst-available-case analysis. To compensate for reduced flows and possible reduced growth, fish culturists at that site have reduced fish loading within the center pens. Studies of nutrients in "upstream" and "downstream" waters immediately adjacent to net-pens in Washington state have also indicated that relatively rapid rates of nitrification occur, i.e., ammonia (NH4+) is oxidized by microbial action to nitrate (N03): A typical scenario involves elevated concentrations of ammonia within the net-pens but a short distance downstream, the ammonia has been converted to nitrate. The data has been included here to illustrate the amount of ammonia produced by a wide variety of pens, of differing size. The results show that adverse effects are minimal, even at relatively large facilities. The continued collection of this data will eventually allow more precise calculation of the total dissolved nitrogen produced from marine net-pen reared salmon, the fouling organisms on the nets and floats and the fish associated with the net-pen facility. Such data will allow more precise calibration of numerical models that are designed to assess the possible cummulative effect of salmon net-pens in restricted embayments. Presently the only data available for this purpose is from freshwater hatchery culture of relatively small fish. Appendix Table B-1. Summary of dissolved nitrogen, total and un- ionized ammonia production from marine net-pen farms in Washington state compared to maximum recommended four day exposure concentration (EPA 1986). Percent change in concentration is relative to upstream concentration. Concentration (mg/1) & Percent Change ----------------------------------- Site - Data Source & 30 meters Instantaneous loading (Kg) Upstrea Within Pens Downgtream PORT ANGELES HARBOR l/ 27,000 kg Total dissolved nitrogen--> 0.832 0.882 0.887 Total Ammonia __> 0.0074 0.0201 0.0119 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient -> 272% 62% percent of ammonia that is toxic (NH3) --> 1.8% 1.8% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 1.5% 0.9% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 6 meters 30 meters Upstream Downstream Downstream SKAGIT BAy 2/ (Lone Tree Pt.) 4,300 kg Total dissolved nitrogen--> 1.067 1.131 1.139 Total Ammonia __> 0.0277 0.0303 0.0287 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient -> 9% 3% percent of ammonia that is toxic (NH3) __> 0.3% 0.3% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 1.9% 1.8% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- SQUAXIN ISLAND 3/ (Peale Passage) 118,600 kg 6 meters 30 meters Upstream Downstream Downstream Total dissolved nitrogen--> 0.07 ---- 0.15 Total Ammonia __> 0.0155 ---- 0.0163 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient -> 5% percent of ammonia that is toxic (NH3) __> 2.3% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 1.2% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Appendix Table B-1, continued --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- SQUAXIN ISLAND 4/ (Peale Passage) 97,970 kg Concentration (mg/1) & Percent Change ----------------------------------- 30 meters Upstream Within pens Downstream Total dissolved nitrogen--> 0.03 0.23 0.03 Total Ammonia __> 0.0069 0.1606 0.0155 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient ->2,327% 225% percent of ammonia that is toxic NH3 __> 2.1% 2.1% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 11.2% 1.1% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- PORT ANGELES HARBOR 5/ 192,500 kg 6 meters 30 meters Upstream Downstream Downstream Total dissolved nitrogen--> 1.4869 1.6688 1.6207 Total Ammonia __> 0.0343 0.0873 0.0516 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient -> 254% 150% percent of ammonia that is toxic (NH3) __> 1.5% 1.5% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 6.4% 3.8% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- PORT ANGELES HARBOR 6/ 192,500 Jkg 6 meters 30 meters Upstream Downstream Downstream Total dissolved nitrogen--> 1.5862 1.5771 1.4992 Total Ammonia __> 0.0122 0.0642 0.0336 NH4 + percent increase relative to ambient -> 526% 275% percent of ammonia that is toxic (NH3) __> 1.5% 1.5% percent of chronic toxicity concentration -> 4.7% 2.4% --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Data sources and downstream velocity: 1) Milner-Rensel Associates 1986, 8.0 cm sec-1 @ 30m downstream; 2) Rensel 1988, 38.8 cm sec 1 @ 6m; 3) See main text, f Iood tide, 5.2 cm sec-1; 4) See main text, ebb tide, 7.9 cm sec- . 5) Rensel unpublished on flood tide, 8.2 cm sec -1; 6) Rensel unpubished on ebb tide, 8.4 cm sec 1. I APPENDIX D INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF SALMON IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FISH DISEASES Metazoan Parasites. External copepods (Lepegphtheiru salmonis and Caligu sp.) and monogenean gill flukes Laminiscus sterkowli are the only metazoan parasites that have been observed in sufficient intensities to be considered significant pathogens of net-pen reared fish in Washington (Kent and Elston, 1987b; L W. Harrell, NMFS, Manchester, WA, pers. comm). Protozoans. Diseases due to marine protozoan parasites are common in net-pen reared salmon. These include Parvicapsula sp. (Myxosporea: Myxozoa) which causes kidney disease in pen-reared coho salmon (Hoffman 1984; Johnstone 1984, Kent and Elston 1987b) for which cod is the likely reservoir for infection (Johnstone, 1984); Paramoeb 12emaquidensis, a ubiquitous, normally free-living amoeba which infects gills (Kent et al. 1988b); an unidentified protozoan (rosette agent) which infects inflammatory cells of maturing chinook salmon in net-pens (Elston et al. 1986; Harrell et al. 1986); and a microsporidan protozoan which infects blood-forming cells of chinook and causes severe anemia (Elston et al. 1987). Freshwater protozoan pathogens may also be transmitted with fish when they are introduced to net-pens. Kent and Elston (1987b) observed infections by a microsporidan similar to Loma salmonae (Microspora) in the gills of coho salmon held in net-pens. These infections were apparently contracted in freshwater. Ichiyobod (Costi ) is a common flagellate protozoan pathogen in freshwater which can apparently survive and cause disease in fish after seawater transfer (Ellis and Wooten 1978) and it has occasionally been associated with gill disease in pen-reared salmon in Washington. Bacteri . Renibacterium salmoninarum, the causative agent of bacterial kidney disease of salmonids, is widespread in net-pen reared salmon in Washington State, as well as British Columbia, and is a serious threat to the industry (Evelyn 1988). Salmonid fishes are the primary hosts for this obligate pathogen but herring (Clul2e harenLyu ) and black cod (Anol2lom fimbria) can be infected experimentally by injection of the bacterium (rraxler and Bell in press). It is believed that the organism is not part of the normal bacterial aquatic microflora (Austin and Austin 1987) and salmon are the likely reservoir for infection (Fryer and Sanders 1981). The disease can be transmitted either horizontally (from fish to fish) or vertically within eggs (Evelyn et al. 1984), and it is often exacerbated after infected fish are transferred to seawater (Banner et al. 1983). The bacterium can be detected in pen-reared salmon several months after transfer to seawater and the disease can be transmitted to other salmon in adjacent net-pens (Evelyn 1988). The bacteria persist in wild fish in seawater (Banner et al. 1986) and it is probable that wild brood stocks are a source of infections in some fish farms (Evelyn 1988). It is difficult to treat fish with clinical disease so prevention is the most common control method. Prevention strategies include screening brood stock and discarding eggs from positive females and screening smolts prior to seawater introduction. Erythromycin injection of females prior to spawning appears to induce high enough levels of the antibiotic in eggs to reduce vertical transmission to the fry (Evelyn et al. 1986) and this practice has been initiated at several fish farms. Furunculosis, caused by the Gram-negative bacterium Aeromonas salmonicid , often causes severe disease in freshwater fishes. Although the bacterium often originates in freshwater, it can apparently survive and spread in seawater (Scott 1968), and it has been recognized as a pathogen in seawater in Washington (Novotny 1978). As with Renibacterium, epizootic disease in salmon with latent infections occurs after transfer to seawater (Cox et al. 1986; Smith et al. 1982). Though the disease is most often observed in salmonid fishes, it has also been reported in several non-salmonid marine and freshwater species (Elliot and Shotts 1980; McCarthy 1975; Morrison et al. 1984). Furunculosis is usually treated with oxytetracycline or Romet 30. There is active research on an effective bath immersion vaccine, but this is not routinely used in production facilities. Vibriosis, caused by marine bacteria Of the genus Vibrio, is a cosmopolitan disease infecting many fish species. It frequently occurs in net-pen reared fish in Washington State (Novotny 1978) and British Columbia (Evelyn 1971). Though several Vibri spp. have been incriminated as agents of disease in cultured fishes, only three species are well documented pathogens of salmonid fishes; Y. anguillarum,.Y. ordalii and V. salmonicida, (Egidius 1987). Only the former two species have been reported in fish from Washington (Novotny 1978). Vibri anoillarum is ubiquitous in the marine environment (Muroga et al. 1986) and can survive without a fish host for several months (Toranzo et al. 1982). Therefore, V. anguillarum is considered a facultative pathogen and does not require a fish host to survive in the marine environment (Muroga et al. 1986). Whereas V. angLifflaruin. infects over 40 fish species and has been isolated from wild as well as cultured fishes, V. ordalii has only been isolated from pen-reared salmon. A newly identified Vibrio sp., Y. salmonicida is the causative agent of Hitra disease in net-pen reared Atlantic salmon in Europe (Egidius et al. 1986; Wiik and Egidius 1986). Vibrio salmonicida has not been detected in salmon reared in North America. No Vibri spp. pathogenic to man have been associated with disease in salmon and human health concerns with 'Vibrio spp. have been restricted to warm water aquaculture (Egidius 1987). Unlike R. salmoninarum, Vibrio infections usually occur only after seawater transfer. Vibriosis is usually an acute systemic disease and fish which recover show strong immunological protection against reinfection. Effective vaccines are commercially available which protect fish from V.'angpillarum and V. ordalii infections and the disease is prevented by vaccinating fish prior to seawater introduction. Viruses. Though several viral diseases are important in salmon during their fresbwater phase of development, none have been reported from salmon in seawater. Infectious hematopoietic necrosis (IHN) is of most concern in the Pacific Northwest. This virus is a persistent problem in fry and fingerling chinook salmon at several hatcheries. Apparently only fingerlings and returning salmon in freshwater are infected with IHN and it has not been isolated from fish in seawater. In vitro studies by Pietsch et al. (1977) and Toranzo et al. (1982) indicate that the virus survives poorly in seawater. Idiopathic Diseases. Kent and Elston (1987a) observed a condition similar to pancreas disease in Atlantic salmon reared in Washington. 'Ihis disease has previously been described in Atlantic salmon reared in Europe during their first year in seawater (Munro et al. 1984; McVicar 1987). Fish become emaciated and histological examination reveals diffuse necrosis and atrophy of the exocrine pancreas. The cause is unknown. Researchers in Scotland have proposed various etiologies; Ferguson et al. (1986) suggested that the condition may be related to vitamin E and selenium deficiencies, whereas Munro et al. (1984) reported epizootiological evidence consistent with an infectious etiology. If the cause of this disease is an infectious agent, it is of marine origin with no link to freshwater or stock origin (McVicar 1987). An infectious etiology is also indicated in a study by Ferguson (1986). Fish from the same egg lot were transferred to two sites. Fish at the site where the disease was enzootic developed the disease while fish transferred to a site with no history of the disease remained unaffected. APPENDIX E THE ECONOMICS OF SALMON FARMING THE ECONOMICS OF SALMON FARMING: ROBERT L. STOKES REPORT TO THE WASHINGTON STATE DEPARTMENT OF FISHERIES OCTOBER 1988 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report examines three economic issues arising from recent growth in Washington's salmon farming industry. The first issue is potential gains in output, income and employment to the economies of the state and of selected counties. The second is impact on revenues and expenditures of state government. The third is implications for real estate values of various (externally provided) assumptions concerning visual impacts of salmon fanning facilities. The report concludes with a benefit-cost analysis of hypothetical siting decisions. The report examined neither the universe of policy issues elsewhere addressed in the EIS, nor the subset of those issues amenable to economic analysis or comment. Hence, the reader is referred other sections of the EIS for discussion of the effects of environmental wasteloadings and fish disease; consequences for sport fishing, and marine recreation; and economic effects of public perception concerning environmental quality. An article by James A. Crutchfield (Appendix L) also provides a useftil overview of the entire salmon farming issue from an economic as well as policy perspective. Washington's salmon farming industry is a segment of the world's rapidly growing mariculture industry. After some years of concentration on Pacific salmon (pan size coho), industry interest has shifted to production of mature Atlantic salmon. Several sites have been established in the past two years and many more are in various stages of planning or application for permits. The combination of favorable water temperatures, sheltered waters and infrastructure make Washington's Puget Sound one of the prime sites in the U.S. for salmon farming. Current operators compete favorably with Norwegian and Scottish producers for U.S. markets, and industry leaders feel that the combination of domestic and Japanese demand provides a market base for extensive future growth. The following are this authors general conclusions concerning the economic consequences for Washington state (and selected counties) of permitting or encouraging expansion of the fish farming industry: The economic impacts of such growth were determined by assuming that a representative Atlantic salmon facility (1,000,000 lbs production, $5,000,000 revenue) was sited in each of Clallam, Jefferson, Kitsap, San Juan, and Skagit Counties. Conclusions of that analysis were that the state economy would gain (from all 5 sites) $38-$48 million in output,.$11-$21 million in household income and 257-303 jobs. Average County impacts for a single site were output $5.8- $6.8 million, household income $1.1-$2.1 million and 40-51 jobs. � These economic impact results provided the basis for estimates of state fiscal (revenue and expenditure) consequences. Depending on the economic impact values used and method of relating economic impacts to fiscal consequences, salmon farming would contribute $.36-$2.26 million to state revenues and $1.08- $1.48 to state expenditures. � Property values were examined by collecting and statistically analyzing 335 current real estate listings and assessed property valuations. T'he average front footage price of $409 had a standard deviation of $290, approximately half of which could be accounted for by general location (County), land type (high/low bank), and improvements (water, sewer, etc.). The remaining or "residual" price variation was presumed to result, at least in part, from variations in visual aesthetic quality. � Finally, benefit-cost and sensitivity analyses were used to relate gross economic gains (household income) to potential losses (adverse property consequences). Sixty-four benefit-cost ratios were calculated to reflect all combinations to data input ranges and necessary subjective judgments, the latter including opportunity costs of labor, interest rates, degree and geographic extent of adverse visual impact, and interest rates. All ratios (including those most unfavorable to the fish farming industry) exceed unity, suggesting net statewide economic gains from salmon farming. Average r esults for all sensitivity calculations and results calculated under assumptions favorable to the industry indicated substantial net economic gains. These results should, of course, be interpreted in terms of the limited scope of the study. They suggest favorable balances between the benefits and costs calculated in the course of accomplishing the three study tasks; regional input-output analysis, state fiscal analysis, and property value analysis. Also, as noted, each result depends on assumed rather than estimated adverse visual effects on property. Overall assessment of the economic consequences of salmon farming for Washington must also include consideration of numerous other economic issues, including, in particular, the economic implications of issues addressed from an environmental or policy perspective in the main body of this EIS. TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION PAGE --------------------------------------- ------- INTRODUCTION 1 I. THE SALMON FARMING INDUSTRY 2 II. INPUT - OUTPUT THEORY 5 III. THE REPRESENTATIVE SALMON FARM 13 IV. REGIONAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS 18 V. STATE AND LOCAL FISCAL IMPACTS 28 VI. PROPERTY VALUES 40 VII. BENEFIT COST ANALYSIS 53 NOTES 61 REFERENCES 62 APPENDIX 1. PROPERTY VALUE SURVEY 63 LIST OF TABLES NUMBER PAGE ------- --- 2.1 Clallam County Transaction Table 8 2.2 Clallam County Technical Coefficients 9 2.3 Clallam County Economic Impact 10 Illustration 2.4 Clallam County Impact Illustration 11 First Round Calculation 3.1 The Representative Atlantic Salmon 15 Farm: Revenues and Costs 3.2 The Representative Atlantic,Salmon 16 Farm: Regional Distribution of Expenditure 4.1 Summary of Impacts 19 4.2 Detailed Impacts: 5,000,000 lb Atlantic 20 Salmon Farm: Washington State 4.3 Detailed Impacts: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic 21 Salmon Farm: Clallam County 4.4 Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic 22 Salmon Farm: Jefferson County 4.5 Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic 23 Salmon Farm: Kitsap County 4.6 Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic 24 Salmon Farm: San Juan County 4.7 Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic 25 Salmon Farm: Skagit County 4.8 Average County Impacts 27 5.1 Distribution of 1982 Washington State 29 Revenues and Expenditures 5.2 Statistics Used to Relate Regional 33 Economic Impacts to Washington State Revenues and Expenditures 5.3 Washington State Economic and Fiscal Data 34 1970 - 1985 5.4 Algorithm for Calculating State Revenues 35 and Expenditures From Regional Economic Impacts 5.5 Impacts of a $25,000,000 Salmon Farming 38 Industry on Washington State Revenues and Expenditures 6.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property 42 Front Footage Values 6.2 Puget Sound Waterfront Prop erty 43 6.3 Clallam County Waterfront Property 44 6.4 Jefferson County Waterfront Property 45 6.5 Kitsap County Waterfront Property 46 6.6 San Juan County Waterfront Property 47 6.7 Skagit County Waterfront Property 48 6.8 Regression Analysis of Puget Sound 51 Waterfront Property Values 7.1 Input Parameters to Sensitivity 54 Analysis 7.2 Sensitivity Analysis Algorithm and 59 Illustrative Calculation 7.3 Sensitivity Analysis Results 60 A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey 63 LIST OF FIGURES NUMBER PAGE ------- ---- 2.1 Schematic Representation of 6 Input - Output Analysis 5.1 Schematic Description of Fiscal 30 Impact Calculation INTRODUCTION This report, prepared under contract with the Washington State Department of Fisheries, examines selected economic aspects of the Washington salmon farming industry. The stimulus for this study is a general review of siting policy currently being conducted by the Washington Department of Fisheries and other state agencies. Several of the issues referred to in recent salmon farm siting decisions have been economic in nature. These include potential gains in state and county income and employment, fiscal impacts on state and local governments, and adverse consequences for waterfront land values in the vicinity of proposed sites. Each of these issues is addressed below. A brief history and description of the salmon farming industry is provided in Section I, followed by a discussion of regional input-output theory (Section II) and discussion of the economic data used to characterize salmon farming in input-output terms (Section III). Section IV reports input-output results (state/county employment, income, etc.) which are applied to the calculation of state fiscal impacts in Section V. Section VI deals property values and Section VII assembles the preceding economic data into a benefit- cost model. sensitivity analysis. I. THE SALMON FARMING INDUSTRY Salmon farming is emerging in Washington State as part of a rapidly growing world mariculture industry. Mariculture is the cultivation of marine organisms for harvest, as distinguished from capture fisheries, the harvest of naturally occurring fish, and aquaculture (the cultivation of freshwater organisms). Historically, mariculture has been a major world producer of shellfish and finfish. Washington State has long participated in mariculture as one of the primary US oyster producers. Much of the science and technology which now underpins private salmon mariculture was initially developed to support Pacific Northwest public hatchery programs. In the past several decades research supporting those hatchery programs has focused on all five species of Pacific salmon, as well as on Atlantic salmon. Early research on the hatchery production of Atlantic salmon was done at the University of Washington US and Norwegian biologists working in cooperation. Transfer of Pacific salmon production technology to the private sector was initiated by, among others, the Weyerhauser 2 Corporation in Oregon and Domsea Farms (Cambell Soup Co.) in Washington. The first private production of Atlantic salmon began in Norway in 1971, leading to a booming Atlantic salmon farming industry in that nation, and later in Scotland as well. In the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia has seen the greatest growth in salmon farming. The first major British Colombia site was licensed in 1973, with major production beginning in about 1985. Today (1988) 128 sites produce 900 metric tons of chinook, coho, and Atlantic salmon, as well as 1 rainbow trout and arctic char. After many years of relatively stable production (1.5 to 2.0 million lbs from 1979 to 1986) Washington State has become the scene of increasing interest in Atlantic salmon pen culture. There are now 15 sites operating in Puget Sound and North Puget Sound Counties, as well as 17 in the permit cycle. Total 1987 production of 3.4 million pounds consisted primarily of coho, but 2 included 400 thousand pounds of Atlantic salmon. Puget Sound is the largest potential salmon farming site in the United States because of its desirable water temperature, sheltered waters, and good economic infrastructure. Salmon farms currently in production compete successfully with Norwegian and Scottish imports on the US West Coast and in the Midwest. Industry spokesmen suggest that production could expand significanlty without saturating potential markets, particularly 3 if, for Japanese markets, Washington's geographic advantage over Europe can be exploited. 4 II. INPUT - OUTPUT THEORY Input-output theory is a widely used method of regional economic analysis, appropriate to the issues addressed in this report. Developed as a post World War II extension of Keynsian national income analysis, input-output theory shares the Keynsian assumption of an economy with slack producing capacity. In such an economy output is, over moderate variations, determined by aggregate demand. This characterization fits the situation of flopen" regional economies, such as states and counties. In such open economies, labor and other inputs are available at relatively constant prices, and are employed in relatively fixed proportions to produce goods and services demanded by regional and external consumers (Richardson, 1972). Typical evaluation applications of input-output theory include determinations of the regional output, income and employment implications of specific industrial facilities siting decisions. Planning applications have included studies anticipating the public infrastructure requirements of economic growth, and more recently, studies assessing regional energy requirements and environmental waste loads. The general procedures by which input-output analysis extracts estimates of regional output, income and employment from externally provided estimates of final demand are traced in figure 2.1. Economic information on the entire regional economy 5 Figure 2.1 Schematic Representation of Input - Output Analysis TRANSACTIONS TABLE APPLICATION DATA (REGIONAL ECONOMY) (SA.11-ION FAR14ING) f TECIRNICAL COEFFICIENTS APPLICATION INPUT - OUTPUT SPECIFIC CALCULATION COEFFICIENTS STANDARD APPLICATION INPUT - OUTPUT SPECIFIC RESULTS RESULTS 6 (usually obtained from background studies) is recorded in a transactions table, from which a table a technical coefficients is computed. Data on the industry or facility under analysis is then collected (as part of the specific application) and introduced as a column vector of final demands. These final demands are aggregated into the same catagories as those used in the transactions table. Matrix multiplication of the final demand vector and the technical coefficients table (and side calculations as necessary), produce the desired results. These procedures conform to specific accounting principles and technological assumptions, which are illustrated with the Clallam County input-output model. That model and structurally identical ones for Washington State; and for Jefferson, Kitsap, San Juan and Skagit Counties were developed for this study from data found in the US Forest Service IMPLAN system. These models necessarily reflect 1982 economic conditions. This is because 1982 is the effective year of IMPLAN, and is also the effective year of the most recent complete census of manufactures. The reader interested in the detailed mechanics of the input-output procedures employed here is invited to trace the calculations reported in tables 2.1 to 2.4 (U.S. Forest Service, 1988). For the more general reader, we offer the following observations on the appropriatness of input-ouput analysis to the task a hand. An assumption crucial to the application of input- output analysis is that the inputs and outputs of regional industries can be varied in constant proportions, without altering prices, encountering physical resource constraints, or 7 Tablc- 2.1 Clallam County Transac-tion Table (thousand dollars;) 1 RgriculturQ, Fisheries. Fisheries 7 Retail Trade PH Value Added 2 Mi ni n-j 8 Finance, Inseirancr-. RQal E:.3t-a+.Q IMF I mplrt5 3 Construction 9 Servicer. PCE Per-@@;onal Consumption I Manufacturing 10 FcedQr-al Gov4rnmont FD Final Demand 5 Transport, Comm, Public Utilities 11 State and Local Government r Total 6 Wholezalo Trade 1 2 :3 14 5 6 7 a 9 1.0 11 PGE' FD T 1 16 1 0 61 7?6 1 3, 1 2-39 3-113 1 2 ?95 5137.1 86C.0 2 0 0 1 7 0 0 ri 0 0 0 0 0 52 6--) 3 99 0 64 4403 1619 0 111 160.1 166.3 1 17F12 0 29650 -1-4322 1 56 0 200-3 57097 2 1 12 15 1.478 3136 1692 2 14.4 1639 311085 3?571S 5 221 2 993 851.1 7WIS 18 1'?8,3 586 9 400 0132 2461.4 57371 6 1 0 9 .49 3 0 1 a 15 0 0 35 1U6? 1181 ? 23 0 1.930 G-qI 145 73 113 291 1 211 59-365 a is? 1 2.16 1310 555 1F1 1501 355A 29-45 3 31 3560,:; 5821? 10l 1?2 9 ill 2 Il -3 1 5690 V20 ?? 17,63 1512 6276 21 115 -5775--1 02031 1385 11 10 0 a 6 1.3 1? 0 3 190 11 12 1 1-15 :35? 756 11 11 0 -17 1012 255 21 111) 131 4 1 1 IS 1509 611,1914 68022 VA 3250 -jq 16616 12271130 2 -4 7 --". ? 786 43037 8IB22 ?3261 .458 63392 0 791? 138 110 IMP 1215 22 21053 173:399 20 I.-JO 2 -")'- q 9169 11525 4N.72. 2411 1608 -:013995 0 620261 00 T OF,60 62 .41'1;22 375?19 573111 1181 S9365 101172 138511 756 68022 130110 620261 1916511 Tablo 2.2 Clallan Courity Ter-hroical CoQfficients- (thousand dollars) I ftriculture, Fisheries, Fishr-ri,-:!-, ? Rrtaii rrad-;, VA Value fidded 2 Hi rd rig E, Firianci-,, Insurance, RQ,-%l Est.-Ai- PCE Pqrsonal Ccjr,5 3 Con5truction '3 Svr,.,i ces T Total I Manufacturing 10 Fodcral GovrerrsmQrit 5 Trarcsport, Comm, Public Utilitie@, 11 St.&to and Local Goverrihh-nt 6 Wholozalc- TradQ 1 2 11 S 6 7 8 9 11 PCE 1 0.09--112 0.0000 0.001-1 0.13021 0 0 fir) 0.0009 FJOOO 0.002'.) 0.0025 0. Orl 11) .0000 0.1-10111: 2 0.0000 0.0021 0.0001 .00130 1).0000 0.0000 ff. 13000 O-OIjuO 0-0000 U. 01:101.) 0-01300 0.1-10011 3 0.0102 0.130M OXON 0.0117 fs.02!@-2 LI.00?1 A. 00711 0. 01-12 0.0120 O.OrJl;' - C1.02P.2 0.0000 -1 0.0065 0.0012 0. 01152 0.1520 0 . Oil) 3 V 0 . 0 1-,@; I I'l. 1)2-19 0.0038 0.0122 0. 0027 0.0006 cl. 003? 5 0.0258 (1.0-322 0.022-9 0.0227 0. 0.0-10-4 0.0301 0 - 0056 0.02:38 0. 0 116 0.0()Tn 0. 1:1 18b: 6 0.0001 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 U. NO 1 0.0001 .0000 .0000 0.0001 0. ON I -01.11-A) I-1.1-joul ? 0.0026 It. 00 0 0.0-113 0. 00 17 fi. 0025 CAU15 0. OU 12 0.0011 0. 001-@ 1 0. CIO I S 0 . u 1) 0 '-;1 cl. 0189 a 0.0216 0.0180 0.013-49 0.0036 Ij. 009? cl. f) 1118 0.0253 0.0,1111 0.13213 0.00-15 0 . 0005 0. 138 I-J 9 0.0132 0. 0-3 19 0 .032-3 0.0151 0. 0300 0. 0652 0.0297 0.01.15 0. 0153 0 . 0'--' Is!:-, . 1) 0 1 -1., 0.0862 10 .0000 0.0000 fi. fifio I . 0000 0.0003 0.0002 0. 000 1 0.0018 0-0001 0.0161 .0000 0.000-@:I 11 A. 00 2 1. 0.0006 0.002? 1). 00-14 0.0016 1-1. 00 18 0.0013 0.0025 0.0010 U-000? 0.0036 1) A 0.3753 0. 55 11 0.3756 0 .'--;2U'I 0. 1 10 0.6659 0.7250 0. ?1307 0.5289 0 - 6058 0.939---i 0.0000 r 0.5099 0.619-4 0.5255 0 . 13.6-491 0. 9 IN 1-1.8-155 0.8991 0.6558 0. 6$11G 0. 9?F--q 0.21115 Table 2.3 Clallas CGuntq Econoiiic Impact illustration (thousand dollars) I Agriculture, Fisheries. Fishories- ? RG-tail Trade 2 Mining 8 Financ-re, Insurance. Real Estatq 3 Constructi on 'I Srervi cros I Manufacturing 10 Fodcoral Government 5 Transport, Comm, Public Utilities 11 State and Local Government 6 Wholasalcp Trade VFI Valuo Rdded T Trital ROUND ------------------------- SECTOP ------------ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 2 3 14 5 6 7 a 9 10 1.1 VFI T 1 S20.16 S.00 S11.53 S19.31 S86.17 $0.25 $92-50, S162.?? S 180. 53 SO.72 S-9. 19 5368. 15 S98-4.15 2 $2.69 S.00 $13.52 $15.11 S29. 79 $0. 07 ;@ 19. 613' $13. 17 $49.13 SO.48 -';'@2. ? 1 $365. 0? $511.38 3 $1.08 S.00 $3.79 $5.66 $13.92 SO.ClIq 11w 1:3. 69 S3-1.15 $36.51 S 0 . L'2 $1.72 $1013.67 $2 15. -qE- 1 $0.413 S.00 $2.56 52.50 $5. 87 110 . 0 1 S5.26 10 . ?1, $12.02 SO.11 $0.61 $?Q.20 S1.10.3-4 5 $0.21 S.00 $0.98 S1.10 $2.82 $0. rI 1 $3.60 $6.55 $7.21 SO.05 SO.i;lq $23.69 $16. 'q? 6 SQ.09 S.00 $0.51 S0.51 $1.2-1 SAW 1. Z3 S2.43 S2.71 SO.02 &-0.11 S 13. Be S22. 76 7 SO.01 S.00 $0.20 50.23 SU. 513 $.CIO $0.71 $1.32 $1.15 $0.01 SO.O? $5. 29 $9.92 a SO.02 S.00 410.10 SO.11 50.26 $.CIO SQ.27 $0.53 SCI.59 S.00 $0.03 $2.81 S4.73 9 $0.01 $.Do $0.01 Sri .05 $0.12 5.00 $0. 11 $0.27 50.30 5.00 $0.01 $1.15 S2.10 10 S.00 S.00 $0. L12 50.02 So. 01:1 S.00 S13-06 SO . 11 $0.13 5.01) S0.01 S0.58 $0.99 T S24.75 $0.01 S-46.14 $74.60 5110.82 $0.39 S 11`12. 19 $261.08 $290.38 $1.62 $1.4.84 $951.49 51,938-30 Table 2.1 Clalla" County Ecr-%nomic Impact Illustratioki First kaund Calculation 5 Fi r-st Round > 300 0 0 250 0 Iriput 1 300 X 0.0532 # 0 X 0. 0000 + 0 X 0 . 0 Fj 1 -1 + 2 5 0 X 0.0021 + 251.) X@ 0.0000 + 0 X 0.0009 2 300 X 0.00011 + 0 X 0.0021. + 0 X 0. F100 I + 251.1 X 0.0000 + 2513 X 0.0000 + 0 X 1.) - OCICIO 3 300 X 0.0102 + 0 X 0.0076 + 0 X 0.0011 + 2 5 fj X 0.0117 + 251) X 0.0282 + 0 X 0.0071 .q 300 X O.OCIE65 + 0 X 0.0042 + 0 X. 0.0452 4 250 Y 0. 1520 + 25 fj 'A 0.00-57 + 0 'X, 0.0131 5 300 X 0.0250 + 0 X 0.0322 + 0 X 0 . 0'--, 2 1 + 250 X 0.022? + 250 X 0 - 1392 + 0 X 0.0-40-1 6 300 X 0.0001 + 0 x ri.13000 + 0 '-.' 0.0002 + 2 5 C, X 0.0001 + 250 '.-: 0 . 0 0 r) 1 + 0 X 0.0001 7 300 X 0.0026 + 0 X 0.000-S + 0 X 0. 011 @@ + 250 x O.0Ul? + 250 X 0-0025 + 0 w. 0. 00 15 8 300 x 0.02,16 + 0 x 0.0180 + 0 X 0.0019 + 250 X 0. 003.6 + @51) .1.0 0.009? + 0 X 9 300 x 0.0132 + 0 X 0.0319 + 0 X 0. 0`23 + 250 X 0. 0 151 + 250 X 0.0300 + 0 X 0 - OF, 5,2 1.0 3110 X 0. 0000 + 0 .4 0.0000 + U X 0.01-101 -+ 250 X 0.01)(10 + 250 '.-: 0.0003 + 0 X O-OC102 3.1 300 X 0. 00 1:3 + 0 X 0.0021. + 0 X 0. 0006 + 250 X 0.0027 + 250 X + 0 X 0. 00 VF1 300 X 0. 3?5.-j + 0 X rl. 55 11 + 0 X 0. -j?56 + 250 9 0.3268 4 250 X 0.1310 * 0 'X. U. 6E.513 Sector 7 8 1 L) 11 PCE Fir:st Round Ou SQcrind Round I Fi rst Round > 0 0 125 0 11 1050. Input I. + 0 X 0.0000 f 0 X ri.002.-:i 125X 0. 0025 + 0 1%, 0.0019 + A X O.OOCIU 4 105.4 0.0018 = 20.16 2.. + 0 X 0.0000 + 0 X i 125X 0.0000 + 0 X 0.0000 + 0 0.00130 + 105X 0. 0000 = .00 3: + 0 X 0.0071 + 0 X C1.0-142 + 0.0120 + 0 X 0.0012 + 0 X 0.0262 + 185 X 0.0001) = 1-1.53 11, + 0 X 0. 0219 4 0 X C1.0030 f 1@*SX 0.0122 + 13 x 0.002? + rl X 0. 01106 + 185X 0.0037 = 19.31 5: + 0 X 0.0@01 + 0 X 0.005E. + 125X U.0208 + 0 N 0.0116 + 0 V 0.00?0 + 185X 0.0186 = 06. 17 E'. + 0 X 0.0001) + 0 X 0. 0000 + 1215X 0.0001 + 0 X 0.0001 + 0 X 0. 0000 + 18SX 0.0001 = (1: + 0 X 0.0012 + 0 'A C1.0011 + 12SIX 0.0021 + 0 X 0.0015 + 0 Y, 0.013113 + 185@0 0. 0189 = 92.58 R .1 + 0 X 0.0253 + 0 X 0. 03111. + 125X 0.0213 + 0 X 0.00115 1 C, X l).U005 + 185X 0. 00 1:1 = 162'. 7? 4: + 0 X 0.029? + 0 x 0.0115 + 12sx 0.0-153 + U x U - 0355 + Cl x 0.001? + 0.0,162 180.33 10 -. + 0 9 0.0001 + 0 x 0.0010 + 12sx 0.0001 + 0 *% 0.010 + Cl x 0. 0000 4 0. 0003 0.?2 11. + 0 X 0 . 0 ri 181 + 0 X 0. 00 1.-:1 + 125X 0.0025 + 0 X 0.0010 + 0 X 0.000? + IOSX 0. 0036 9.11.) VA. + 0 X 0.7251) + 0 X O.?80T + 125X 0.5289 + 0 X 0.6058 + 0 x 0.9391, + 105X 0.0000 368.15 otherwise changing base period economic and technological conditions. These conditions are reasonably well satisfied in this application. This because the current and proposed salmon farming industry is small in relation to the economies of Washington State and its coastal counties. One exception to this expectation of constant technical coefficients is the possibility that a growing salmon farming industry might lead to import substitution. That is, instate suppliers may avail themselves of opportunities to provide specialized inputs that are now imported. This possibility is addressed by means of sensitivity analysis (maximum and minimum impact calculations) described in sections III and IV. Another important assumption is that the accounting stance of relevant decisionmakers coincides with the scope of the input- output model. Such a coincidence would seem to exist for this evaluation of state and county siting policy. Even within a regional accounting stance, though, input-output results cannot, without modification, be interpreted as net benefits in the benefit-cost sense. This qualification is addressed in section VII, where input-output results are given a net benefits interpretation, but only after subtraction of opportunity costs. 12 III. THE REPRESENTATIVE SALMON FARM To analyse the regional economic impacts of an activity like salmon farming requires that it first be described in terms of total revenue/expenditure and the allocation of each among sec- tors of the regional economy. Of greatest importance to accurate impact assessment is the division of revenues between export and local sales, and of expenditures and net incomes between regional and non regional recipients. This step in the analysis was accomplished by interviews with several salmon farming industry participants. These individuals provided both information on their own operations, as well as a general overview of what, in their view, the future salmon farming industry would look like. Production and financial profiles of several salmon farms were obtained from their owners or managers. In some cases intervewes provided exact revenues or expenditures, and in other cases general planning factors, "Feed is $.90 per finished pound.", "Sales cost is 5% of gross revenue.", etc. Confiden- tiality commitments preclude identifying the firms supplying this data, or given the fewness of firms, publication of specific data in even masked form. Instead, the revenue/cost profile of a representative operation (table 3.1) was built from the data provided. By design, this profile describes the industry in general, but no firm in particular. In addition, while estimates of profit are sufficiently accurate for regional economic 13 analysis, they should not be considered reliable for investment planning or other purposes. Industry interviews also suggested that production will include pan size and mature coho, chinook and Atlantic salmon, but that mature (about 9 lb round weight) Atlantic salmon will gain in significance over time. Hence, the profile described in table 3.1 describes the production, revenues and expenditures of a 1,000,000 finished pound Atlantic salmon production facility. This production is assumed to sell entirely into out of state markets at $5.00 per pound. The disbursement of the resulting $5,000,000 in annual revenue is allocated among phases of production (hatchery, fish farm, administration) and among input types (feed, labor, etc). The extent to which these inputs4'are supplied locally or from outside the region is the primary determinant of the facilities indirect and induced regional economic impact. The local/import supply factors used here are reported in table 3.2. For some inputs the pattern of regional/import supply was either obvious, or could be reliably determined by interview. Labor is necessarily supplied from within the state and, for the most part, the subject county. Processing of fresh round fish is most conveniently done nearby, certainly in Washington and most likely in the subject county. Packaging materials, freight, and brokerage services for fish shipped out of Seattle will most likely by supplied by in-state, but not in-county firms. Sources of other inputs are less certain, and may vary over 14 Table 3.1 Representative Atlantic Salmon Farm Revenues and Costs (thousand dollars) Production and Revenue Finished pounds 1,000,000 Price $5.00 Gross revenue $5,000,000 Expenditures ------------------------------------------ Item Amount $/lb ---------------------- ------- ------- Hatchery: Eggs $300,000 $0.30 Hatchery: Labor $250,000 $0.25 Hatchery: Other $50,000 $0.05 Hatchery: Employment 8 Fish Farm: Labor $500,000 $0.50 Fish Farm: Other $450,000 $0.45 Fish Farm Employment 20 Feed $900,000 $0.90 Processing $250,000 $0.25 Packaging $100,000 $0.10 Freight $250,000 $0.25 Brokerage $250,000 $0.25 General Administration $250,000 $0.25 Administrative Employment 5 Debt Service $350,000 $0.35 Equity Return $1,100,000 $1.10 TOTAL $5,000,000 $5.00 15 Table 3.2 Representative Atlantic Salmon Farm Regional Distribution of Expenditures In County In State ----------------- ----------------- Max Min Max Min -------- -------- -------- -------- Hatchery: Eggs 100% 0% 100% 50% Hatchery: Labor 100% 100% 100% 100% Hatchery: Other 50% 25% 75% 50% Fish Farm: Labor 100% 100% 100% 100% Fish Farm: Other 50% 25% 75% 50% Feed 0% 0% 100% 50% Processing 100% 100% 100% 100% Packaging 0% 0% 100% 100% Freight 0% 0% 100% 100% Brokerage 0% 0% 100% 100% General Administration 50% 25% 75% 50% Debt Service 0% 0% 100% 0% Equity Return 100% 0% 100% 0% 16 time with the size of the industry, and with other factors. The following maximum and minimum local input factors were adopted for these inputs. Currently, the preponderance of feed is provided by Moore Clark of LaConner (Skagit County) Washington, with some feed imported from Oregon. Washington feed supply is set at 100 % to 50 %, a factor which will depend, among other things, on the future competitive position of Washington suppliers. Egg costs are set at either 100 % Washington and 100 % county (local production) or 50 % Washington (external purchase). other expenditures and administrative costs are set at 75% to 50% Washington and 50 % to 25 % county supply. Debt service is set at 100 % and 0 % Washington (in or out of state financing), and equity return is set at 100 % Washington 100 % county (local ownership) or 0 % Washington 0 % county (out of state ownership). 17 IV. REGIONAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS Regional Economic impacts are computed by allocating the expenditures of the representative salmon farm to appropriate model catagories, and then performing the calculations described in tables 2.3 and 2.4. All results vary depending on whether minimum or maximum state/local supply assumptions are used. County results vary further (although only slightly) as a result of each counties different economic structure. Results are reported in summary form in table 4.1, and in more detail in tables 4.2 (statewide), table 4.3 (Clallam Co.), table 4.4 (Jefferson Co.), table 4.5 (Kitsap Co.). Table 4.6 (San Juan Co.) and table 4.7 (Skagit Co.). Statewide impacts were based on an industry expansion equal to 5 of the representative salmon farms discussed in the preceeding section. County impacts were based on one such facility in each county. Because of the liniar nature of input- output analysis, the computation of impacts for other industry sizes (combination of facilities) can be accomplished by simple multiplication of these results. That is 2 operations in a county would have exactly twice the county impact of one, and 10 facilities would have twice the state impact of 5. As described in table 4.1, a 5 million pound Atlantic salmon farming industry (5 representative facilities) would contribute between $38 and $48 million to state output, between $11 and 18 Table 4.1: Summary of Impacts: 5,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Industry in Washington, and Average Results for a 1,000,000 lb Facility in Clallam, Jefferson, Kitsap, San Juan or Skagit County ($ thousands) OUTPUT INCOME EMPLOYMENT Maximum State $48,395 $21,412 303 County $6,812 $2,748 51 Minimum State $38,227 $10,615 257 County $5,775 $1,132 40 19 Table 4.2: Detailed Impacts: 5,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Production: Washington State (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------ --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum --------------------------- -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $1,500 $750 $2,362 $1,255 Mining $0 $0 $42 $30 Construction $0 $0 $476 $274 Manufacturing $6,250 $4,000 $9,011 $5,682 Transport, Comm,.Utilities $3,125 $2,500 $4,897 $3,616 Wholesale Trade $1,250 $1,250 $1,299 $1,278 Retail Trade $0 $0 $682 $342 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $1,750 $0 $3,968 $1,083 Services $938 $625 $3,202 $1,869 Federal Government $0 $0 $22 $10 State and Local Government $0 $0 $86 $48 Housholds $9,250 $3,750 $21,412 $10,615 Total Output $25,000 $25,000 $48,395 $38,227 Employment 161 161 303 257 20 Table 4.3: Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm: Clallam County (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------ --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum --------------------------- -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $300 $0 $325 $4 Mining $0 $0 Construction $36 $17 Manufacturing $250 $250 $325 $307 Transport, Comm, Utilities $250 $125 $391 $188 Wholesale Trade $0 $0 $0 $0 Retail Trade $142 $59 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $0 $0 $261 $107 Services $125 $63 $415 $186 Federal Government $2 $1 State and Local Government $15 $7 Housholds $1,850 $750 $2,801 $1,171 Total Output $5,000 $5,000 $6,937 $5,858 Employment 32 32 52 41 21 Table 4.4: Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm: Jefferson County (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------- --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum -Minimum ........................... -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $300 $0 $321 $6 Mining $0 $0 Construction $45 $16 Manufacturing $250 $250 $291 $281 Transport, Comm, Utilities $250 $125 $348 $172 Wholesale Trade $0 $0 $3 $1 Retail Trade $140 $58 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $0 $0 $230 $95 Services $125 $63 $369 $166 Federal Government $1 $1 State and Local Government $16 $7 Housholds $1,850 $750 $2,786 $1,155 Total Output $5,000 $5,000 $6,776 $5,770 Employment 32 32 51 40 22 Table 4.5: Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm: Kitsap County (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------ --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum --------------------------- -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $300 $0 $310 $5 Mining $0 $0 Construction $14 $3 Manufacturing $250 $250 $286 $280 Transport, Comm, Utilities $250 $125 $309 $154 Wholesale Trade $0 $0 $1 $0 Retail Trade $84 $35 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $0 $0 $188 $79 Services $125 $63 $304 $139 Federal Government $16 $7 State and Local Government $9 $4 Housholds $1,850 $750 $2,615 $1, 080 Total Output $5,000 $5,000 $6,361 $5,598 Employment 32 32 42 36 23 Table 4.6: Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm: San Juan County (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------ --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum --------------------------- -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $300 @$o $343 $8 Mining $2 $2 Construction $45 $19 Manufacturing $250 $250 $313 $284 Transport, Comm, Utilities $250 $125 $459 $218 Wholesale Trade $0 $0 $29 $12 Retail Trade $544 $225 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $0 $0 $310 $127 Services $125 $63 $254 $119 Federal Government $1 $1 State and Local Government $35 $14 Housholds $1,850 $750 $2,957 $1,225 Total Output $5,000 $5,000 $7,518 $6,068 Employment 32 32 67 46 24 Table 4.7: Detailed Results: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm: Skagit County (thousand dollars) Direct Total ------------------ --------------- Local Supply Sector Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum --------------------------- -------- -------- ------ ------ Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries $300 $0 $345 $10 Mining $0 $0 Construction $24 $10 Manufacturing $250 $250 $403 $325 Transport, Comm, Utilities $250 $125 $353 $172 Wholesale Trade $0 $0 $3 $1 Retail Trade $76 $30 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate $0 $0 $155 $60 Services $125 $63 $292 $130 Federal Government $0 $0 State and Local Government $7 $3 Housholds $1,850 $750 $2,581 $1,027 Total Output $5,000 $5,000 $6,466 $5,581 Employment 32 32 44 37 25 $21 million to houshold incomes, and would create between 257 and 303 jobs statewide. Averaging results obtained from individual county models suggests that a single 1 million pound facility would contribute between $5.8 and $6.13 million to county output, between $1.1 and $2.7 million to county houshold income, and would create 40 to 51 jobs within the county 26 Table 4.8: 1,000,000 lb Atlantic Salmon Farm, Average County Results (thousand dollars) Total Output Housholds Employment ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- County Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum Maximum Minimum ---------- -------- -------- ------ ------ ------ ------ Clallam $6,937 $5,858 $2,801 $1,171 52 41 Jefferson $6,361 $5,598 $2,615 $1,080 42 36 Kitsap $6,776 $5,770 $2,786 $1,155 51 40 San Juan $7,518 $6,068 $2,957 $1,225 67 46 Skagit $6,466 $5,581 $2,581 $1,027 44 37 Average $6,812 $5,775 $2,748 $1,132 $51 $40 27 V. STATE AND LOCAL FISCAL IMPACTS The foregoing input-output anal, lts provide a basis ysis resu for, the comprehensive assessment of how an expanded salmon farming industry would effect state revenues and expenditures. The required extensions to the input-output model can be identified by examining the major items of revenue and expenditure reported in table 5.1. There, we see that 71 % of state revenue arises from 4 sources, sales taxes, gross receipts taxes, property taxes, and federal grants, with the remaining 29 % qonsisting of miscellaneous taxes and revenues. Similarily, 71 % of expenditures are for education (all levels) and human resources (including welfare), with the remaining 29 percent going to other catagories including general government. The general government catagory, however, includes debt service and pension expendituresf many of which could properly be allocated by function to education and human services as well. Thus, obtaining a fiscal analysis from input-output results involves relating 5 revenue types and 3 functional expenditure catagories to the economic changes described by"the above input- output analysis. Figure 5.1 illustrates, in general, what must be done to accomplish this. The first steps, input-output analysis to produce impacts on output, houshold income and employment, have already been accomplished. This section is 28 Table 5.1 Distribution of 1982 Washington State Revenues and Expenditures REVENUE Revenue or Item 1982 $000 Expenditure -------------------- --------- --------------- General and Selective $1,901 30% Sales Taxes Gross Receipts Taxes $635 10% Property and In Lieu $628 10% Taxes Other Taxes $319 5% Federal Grants $1,356 21% Other Revenue $1,550 24% Total Revenue $6,389 EXPENDITURE Education $2,751 44% Human Resources $1,647 27% Other Expenditures $1,796 29% Total Expenditures $6,194 29 Figure 5.1 Schematic Description of Fiscal Impact Calculation INPUT - OUTPUT ANALYSIS AVERAGE AND EMPLOYMENT VALUE ADDED '11ARGINAL COEFFICIENTS REVENUES AND EYPERDITURFS 30 devoted to the remaining steps; examining possible relationships between those economic variables and revenues/expenditures, choosing coefficients for calculation from among the examined possibilities, and, finally, using sets of chosen coefficients to calculate ranges of fiscal impacts. The underlying (though not readily observable) economic processes that relate economic expansion (or contraction) to state revenue and cost are postulated to be as follows. Increases in gross output (with houshold income as a proxy variable) increase gross receipts taxes. Increases in houshold income increase consumption which, in turn, increase sales tax revenue. To the extent that both induce increases in taxable assets held by business and consumers, they increase property taxes as well. Depending on the their basis of application, other taxes and revenues also rise. Expenditures and federal grants are assumed to respond to economic change in a somewhat more complex way. Input-output estimated increases in employment represent jobs filled by some combination of immigrants and unemployed current residents. Increased labor force participation has little, if any, effect on educational and general state expenditures, and may actually reduce human resource expenditures. By contrast, increased population will increase all three expenditure catagories; education due to the children accompanying new immigrants, human resources due to increased welfare and other case loads, and general expenditures for similiar reasons. Federal grants will 31 also increase, to the extent that federal funding formulas include general or targetpopulations. Figure 5.1 describes the calculations required to implement the above theory of fiscal effect. Included among the standard input-output results are estimates of employment and houshold income (value added) resulting from the siting of salmon farms. The relationship between personal income and revenue is direct; changes in houshold income effect sales taxes, gross receipts taxes, property taxes, and other taxes and revenues. The degree of effect is determined by the estimates reported in tables 5.2 (as estimated from table-5.3 data). The algorithm used to make those calculations is reported in table 5.4. The relationship of employment to expenditures and federal grants has two links; employment to population, and population to enrollment. Each of these is also estimated in table 5.2 and reflected in the algorithm in table 5.4. Two methods of relating economic change to fiscal magnitudes are reported in table 5.2. In both cases estimates are based on 1970-1985 data, with financial magnitudes expressed in 1982 prices. The first method is that of average ratios. For example, sales tax revenue averaged $.0078 per dollar of personal income, population averaged 2.43 per employee, school enrollment .42 per capita, and state educational expenditure $2,945 per school child. The second method is that of marginal change, based on regression analysis. For example, the marginal change in sales tax revenue with respect to personal income was $.0014, the change in population with respect to employment was 1.52, and the 32 Table 5.2 Statistics Used to Relata- Regional Economic Impacts to Washington Stato Revenues and Expenditures Rvr@,ragv Coefficient (B) Ind,?p9rid-ant Variable Ml Dopendant Variablfi, (Y) Ratio (Y/X) (Y = R+B,'YiX) T Statistic R-2 --------------------- -------------------------- ------------ ------------------- ----------- ------ Pe@sonal Income Gross Receipts Taxes SCI.0078 SO.0014 3. 1.q 0.92 Personal Income Gen a Sel Sal-:os Tax $0.0331 50.0062 5.38 0.67 Personal Iricome Prop & In Lieu Tax $0.0071 S0.0006 10.38 C1. 88 Personal Income Other Taxes $0.0018 50.0010 3.58 0-18 Personal Income Other Revenue SO.016q S0.0052 2. 73 0.35 Employment Population 2.13 1.52 1-1.96 C1. 9.4 Population Federal Grants $311, SqO8 5.26 6. 66 Population Human Rpsources Exp S355 S,?r11 11.32 0.9 POPUlatiOn Other Expenditures S119 S?7.q 5.12 0.68 Population Enrol 1 merit 0.12 Enrollment Education Exp S2,1345 Table 5.3 Washington Statq Economic and Fiscal Data: 19?0 - 19S5 (1982 I Population (000) '? 6reneral and Selactivo Salo-- Tax (millionz. 13 Education (millionq) 2 Employment (000) 13 6ross Rev.-oipt:r Tax rmillions) 111 Human Res-ourcos (millions) .3 Unemployment (000) 'I Propert4 and In-liou Exicos (millions) 15 Total Expendituros (millions) I Childron (000) 10 Total Ta;4 (millinn:O 16 CPI 5 DSHS casipload (000) 11 Federal Grants (millions) 1? Other Taxd?z 10-9-8-7 (millions) 6 Personal IncomQ- (billions) 12 Total Pevonue (millionf.) le Othor Povonue 12-11-Irl (millions) 19 Other Expenditure 15-1-1-13 (millions) 1 2 -3 1 5 E. .? a 9 la 11 12 13 1-1 Is 16 17 is 19 ?CI 31 B 1285 130 S 17 166.0 28.5, 1815.0 258.3 251.? 2291.6 896. -1 4076.8 19 10 - 7 997.7 4284. 8 0.925 166.2 890.8 13'?6. I 71 3,436 1259 1-12 805 200--I 29.8 163-3. 1 291.6 2-1S.0 2403. -? 859.2 3309.7 1831.5 956.-I 1107.2 0.965 226.3 6116.8 1319.4 72 :3430 129? 137 791 202.4 32.1 ISO-q. 1 276. 0 271.9 2-118. I 115?.? -4523.8 1832. 1 1 1'3-3. 0 2 I.OUO 206. -; 91?.6 2169.0 73 3111 136? 11? 788 20-?. 9 36.5 1686.2, 307.6 255.1 2505.9 1094.3 .1275.0. 1731.? 1.070.9 -4191.1 1.058 257.0 675.6 1388.5 ?I '3509 1120 109 785 206.3 11. 1 1665.3 329.2 161.0 2103.3 112-I.? 1515.6 1857. 1 1 1'1'0. 5 +412.0 1. 1614 24? . a 1017.6 138-1.1 75 3560 1-112 1149 784 211.5 16 . 31 16861.1 3,35. -q 256. 5 2551.6 204-1. 8 12-22.8 1725.2 1007.4 4098-6 1.253 2?1.3 626.4 1286.1 116 3635 I-q3I 140 780 253.2 51.9 1816.0 315.7 123.9 2809.0 12fiel. 2 5263.1 2248.5 1351.1 5030.3 1.317 3133.1 1090.2 143C.-I ?'? 3? 15 1511 118 776 2-15.0 57.7 1?87.9 5-15.? 50?.2 3098.1 121-1. 1 19?6.2 2125.8 1277. ? -4755.9 1.393 257.3 66-4.0 1352.1 ?a 3836 1681 121 769 2-11. 1 6?.:3 1981.2 59?.3 5:3? . 8 -.338-J. 1 17128. 6 5752.1 239?.3 I-q';S. .2 55,48.9 1. .490 [email protected] IO-qO. q 1656.3 79 3979 1806 131 "161 2140. 1 78.0 19 3 8 . -:; 6-19.1 591.5 31Mq. 3 12113.3 5274.2 2198.2 1 -S7 1 . 0 508?. 9 1.625 2F,2.,q 611.7 1518.? 80 -4132 1826 156 757 269.1 07. E. 1950.5 6115.6 608.8 33514.7 1531.2 6 113.3 2729.8 3.715.9 6217. 3 1.7'30 249. 7 1227.1 1901.6 81 1227? 11306 1SO 719 299.6 98.1 17 7 ? . 2' 669.4 631.2 3320.1 2 I 0 9 . 2 5626.1 2512.2 15?9.2 5719. 5 1.9115 2142.5 896.6 1658.1 82 426-4 1779 215 739 251.8 102.9 1901.0 635.0 679.0 3535.0 1--:'-55.5 6.175.0 2751.5 1646.5 61.9,1.0 2.060 320.0 1181.5 VS6.0 83 1285 1838 231 736 2q9.4 10?.? 2232.6 768.6 721.3 1060.2 130?.3 6148.2 2653.6 IS87.9 5973.6 2. 1@16 3.31 .7 ?80.7 1?32.1 81 1320 1859 19-4 ?ql 272.0 113.9 2-1?0. .3 756.1 706. E- 427-J.3 1-409.9 ?097.8 2868.3 1EI64.2 7 194. 6 2.2U-4 310.2 111-1.6 2162.1 85 -4381 191? 170 719 29?.9 126.0 22?5.2 780.2 606.3 1081.3 13,18.1 6?86.4 2?12.1 1782.1 6878.9 2.305 339.6 1357.0 2351.1 Table 5.4 Algorithm for Calculating State Revenues and Expenditures From Regional Economic Impacts PERSONAL INCOME DRIVEN VARIABLES ITEM AVERAGE MARGINAL ---------------------------- -------- -------- 1. Gross Receip ts Taxes $0.0078 $0.0078 2. Gen & Selective Sales Tax $0.0331 $0.0331 3. Property & In Lieu Tax $0.0071 $0.0071 4. Other Taxes $0.0048 $0.0048 5.Other Revenue $0.0164 $0.0164 0.0692 0.0692 6. Employment >> Population 2.43 2.43 POPULATION DRIVEN VARIABLES 7. Federal Grants $317 $317 8. Human Resources Expenditure $355 $355 9. Other Expenditures $419 $419 10. Population >> Enrollment 0.42 0.42 ENROLLMENT DRIVEN VARIABLES 11. Education Expenditure $2,945 $2,945 Revenue = VA*(1+2+3+4+5) + E*6*7 Expenditure E*6*((8+9)+10*11) Net Revenue - Expenditure E Employment VA = Value Added = Personal Income 35 change in human resource expenditure with respect to population was $751. Both the average ratio and marginal change method are subject to error. For example, there is considerable evidence that housholds maintain a reasonably stable standard of living over the medium term, adjusting their savings (or dissavings) rate as well as their consumption expenditures in the face of short-term income changes. We would thus expect, (as is observed in table 5.2) that marginal changes in consumption based taxes will be less than average ratios. On. the expenditure side fixed program costs will not vary in direct proportion to population or caseload. Thus we again expect marginal effects to be less than average ratios. That this is not the case in table 5.2 points up the principal defect of the marginal approach. Estimates of marginal change, based on regression analysis can be, (as these estimates undoubtedly are) biased by neglected changes occuring during the period of estimation. Changes effecting revenue would include alteration of tax rates and the basis of their application, both of which have occured in the 1970 -1985 period., Most notably the removal of the sales tax from food. On the expenditure side, bias can result from legislated changes in the scale of state programs and entitlement formulas, as well as changes in popula- tion structure. Increased state level school funding, and declines in fecundity between 1970 - 1985 illustrate sources of potential bias in the marginal values reported in table 5.2. 36 The removal of these and other biases, if possible at all, would require data gathering and statistical analysis beyond the scope of this project. Hence, to give a range of possible fiscal effects we use both average ratios and marginal values to compute fiscal effects. An exception is the exclusive use of average ratios to calculate changes in educational expenditure. Estimated marginal values (regression coefficients) relating children to population, and educational expenditures to children, were both illogical negative values. The first undoubtedly reflects declines in fecundity, and the second changes in the state funding formula. Table 5.4 describes the algorithm used to calculate fiscal effects. To calculate taxes and other revenues, average and marginal rates were multiplied by maximum and minimum estimates of the statewide value added resulting from a 5,000,000 pound salmon farming industry. Federal grant revenue, human resource expenditures, and other expenditures were similarily calculated by multiplying maximum and minimum employment estimates by the product of population per employee and catagory expenditures per capita. Education expenditures were calculated in a similar manner, with the insertion of enrollment per capita. Results, reported in table 5.5, indicate that annual state revenues from a 5,000,000 pound industry could range from a high of $2.26 million (maximum impact, average ratio) to a low of $.36 million (minimum impact, marginal value). Expenditures could 37 Table 5.5 Impacts of a $25,000,000 Salmon Farming Industry on Washington State Revenues and Expenditures Case Revenues Expenditures Net ---------------- ----- ------------ ----------- ------- Maximum Economic Impact Average Calculation $2,257,105 $1,482,468 $774,637 Marginal Calculation $598,608 $1,273,621 ($675,013) Minimum Economic Impact Average Calculation $1,201,216 $1,256,711 ($55,494) Marginal Calculation $362,981 $1,079,668 ($716,687) 38 range from a high of $1.48 million (maximum impact average ratio) to a low of $1.08 million (minimum impact, marginal value). 39 VI. PROPERTY VALUES The last empirical research task undertaken in this report is to investigate the economic implications of assertions that salmon farms will, due to negative visual aesthetics effects, reduce adjacent waterfront property values. It must be emphasised that it is the economic implications of assertions about aesthetic loss and price decline that are being examined, not the assertions themselves. Where the existence of markets, or other circumstances permit the observation of human behavior toward aesthetic resources, the measurement of aesthetic values it theoretically possible and occassionally attempted. However, employment here of the methods used in such empirical inquiries, such as consumer surveys and hedonic pricing, would require far more time and resources than are currently available. A simpler method is offered instead, which relies only on publically available property value data and simple regression analysis. The results of this analysis are, by means discussed below and in the next section, combined with essentially arbitrary judgments about the aesthetic effect of salmon farms. The purpose of this exercise is to provide an analytical framework within which the results of other research into (or personal opinion concerning) aesthetic effects can be integrated with other economic data to inform siting decisons. The first step in implementing this approach was to collect 40 the types of data on waterfront property which are available from real estate firms, multiple listing services, and county assessors. Summary statistics on the 335 properties surveyed on this basis are reported in tables 6.1 to 6.7. As indicated in table 6.1, the average value of the 335 properties surveyed was $409 per front foot, with a standard deviation of $209. The lowest average value was in Clallam County $271, and the highest was in San Juan County $506. This pattern, which coincides with views of consulted realtors and assessors, results partly from locational preference for the San Juan Islands, and partly from the greater predominance of lower valued "high bank" waterfront in Clallam County. Among the classes of values obtained, market values (asked or sold as reported by realtors and multiple listing services) were on average $223 per front foot higher than assessed values, $531 versus $303. This difference was also supported by the experience of realtors and assessors. Current, full market value is the legal standard for property assessment in Washington State. However, the fewness of transactions in rural waterfront areas often makes it difficult for assessors to keep values current in times of price inflation. Over the entire sample, values of low bank and no bank property were, as expected, the highest of the three catagories, $534 per front foot, versus $396 for medium bank and $312 for high bank. Finally, an index, called SCORE, was tabulated, as the sum of listed property improvements (other than buildings) and other 41 Table 6.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Front F ootage Values Assessed Market All --------- ---------- ------- AVERAGE PRICE PER FRONT FOOT Puget Sound $303 $531 $417 Clallam Co $223 $619 $271 Jefferson Co $300 $451 $428 Kitsap Co $437 $364 $425 San Juan Co 315 $614 $506 Skagit Co $305 $489 $381 AVERAGE PRICE PER N FRONT FOOT ---- --------------------------- All 335 $409 High Bank 116 $312 Medium Bank 50 $396 Low or No Bank 100 $534 Score 0 110 $324 1+ 205 $464 2+ 153 $476 3+ 101 $462 4+ 89 $458 5+ 31 $541 42 Table 6.2 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- --------- ------- Number 183 142 325 Front Footage Maximum 3000 5348 5348 Average 408 198 316 Minimum 50 40 40 Acreage, Maximum 206.00 264.00 264.00 Average 8.83 3.94 6.69 Minimum 0.33 0.17 0.17 Price Maximum $2,110,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 Average $73,064 $140,223 $102,407 Minimum $1,700 $10,000 $1,700 Price per Front Foot Maximum $1,665 $1,525 $1,665 Average $315 $531 $409 Minimum $9 $72 $9 43 Table 6.3 Clallam County Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- --------- ------- Number of Prop 36 5 41 Front Footage Maximum 1320 209 1320 Average 223 118 210 Minimum 62 80 62 Acreage Maximum 11.71 2.00 11.71 Average 2.49 0.82 2.29 Minimum 0.50 0.17 0.17 Price Maximum $72,600 $100,000 $100,000 Average $34,722 $60,800 $37,903 Minimum $9,340 $30,000 $9,340 Price per Front Foot Maximum $450 $1,050 $1,050 Average $223 $619 $271 Minimum $55 -$144 $55 44 Table 6.4 Jefferson County Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- --------- ------- Number of Prop 10 35 45 Front Footage Maximum 320 400 400 Average 147 146 152 Minimum 70 60 60 Acreage Maximum 20.00 7.11 20.00 Average 4.48 2.55 3.35 Minimum 0.89 0.17 0.17 Price maximum $77,440 $105,000 $105,000 Average $41,429 $58,794 $56,024 Minimum $17,850 $17,500 $17,500 Price per Front Foot maximum $360 $907 $907 Average $300 $451 $428 Minimum $142 $175 $142 45 Table 6.5 Kitsap County Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- ---------- ------- Number of Prop 40 8 48 Front Footage Maximum 540 330 540 Average 179 250 191 Minimum 50 80 50 Acreage Maximum 11.14 5.03 11.14 Average 2.74 3.38 2.84 Minimum 0.44 0.30 0.30 Price Maximum $156,500 $150,000 $156,500 Average $67,960 $73,000 $68,800 Minimum $7,600 $29,000 $7,600 Price per Front Foot Maximum $802 $900 $900 Average $437 $364 $425 Minimum $91 $150 $91 46 Table 6.6 San Juan County Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- --------- ------- Number of Prop 50 61 ill Front Footage Maximum 950 4500 4500 Average 304 339 323 Minimum 100 80 80 Acreage Maximum 13.28 264.00 264.00 Average 3.75 10.38 7.39 Minimum 0.36 0.50 0.36 Price Maximum $304,890 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 Average $97,711 $164,26A $94,648 Minimum $27,500 $28,500 $27,500 Price per Front Foot Maximum $650 $1,525 $1,525 Average $375 $614 $506 Minimum $120 $72 $72 47 Table 6.7 Skagit County Waterfront Property Item Assessed Market All --------- --------- ---------- ------- Number of Prop 47 33 80 Front Footage Maximum 3000 5348 5348 Average 910 558 765 Minimum 60 40 40 Acreage Maximum 206.00 114-00 206.00 Average 25.21 13.00 20.17 Minimum 0.33 0.21 0.21 Price Maximum .$2,110,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 Average $165,883 $1210,470 $184,275 Minimum 4,$1,700 $10,000 $1,700 Price per Front Foot Maximum $1,665 $1,500 $1,665 Average $305 $489 $381 Minimum $9 $121 $9 48 positive features. For example, SCORE 3 might be availability to the property of water, telephone and sewer. SCORE 2 might be an access road and included tidelands. No effort was made to assign relative value to the items that where added up to obtain the variable SCORE. Also, of importance to subsequent discussion, computation of SCORE was based entirely on features of the property itself. Comments on the general area (near the golf course, mountian view, etc.) were not counted. Average value increased with the value of SCORE, from $324 for properties with SCORE = 0, to $541 for those with SCORE >= 5. The above summary statistics suggest a method of "backing into" an estimate of the value of visual aesthetics. As mentioned, the average value of sampled properties was $417 per front foot, with a standard deviation of $290. This standard deviation estimate suggests that, among all properties from which the sample was drawn, about 68 out of any 100 should fall within a price range of $417 +/- $290, or between $127 and $707. The sample was drawn from areas throughout Puget Sound, presumably including parcels overlooking a wide variety of visual amenities, and disamenities. Thus, perceived differences in the quality of nearby visual amenities must have given rise to at least part of the reported variance in market value. Note, however, that part of the variance in value can also be explained by factors unrelated to view of the immediate area. Data in table 6.1 suggests that such non-aesthetic factors include county, source of price information (assessor or realty firm), bank type 49 (high,low,medium) and SCORE (which by design reflected only the degree of land improvement and/or positive features confined within the parcel itself). Multiple regression analysis is a statistical procedure in which overall variance in a dependant variable (here price per front foot) is either explained by a computed regression equation, or assigned to the catagory of unexplained residual variance. The summary statistic R-2 measures the proportion of variance explained by the regression @equation, the statistic U - R-2) then measures unexplained residual variance. Multiple regression analysis was performed on the property value data set reported in Appendix 1, with the results reported in table 6.8. The regression equation R-2 of .52 suggests that 48 percent of the overall variance in price per front foot remains unexplained. To express this result in terms of price ranges, consider the previously mentioned one standard deviation range around the overall average price per front foot, $417 +/- $290, or $127 to $707. If 76 percent of variance remains unexplained, then the unexplained, one standard deviation. range is $417 +/- .48*$290, or $278 to $556. Here we assume some portion of that variance results from differences in visual. amenities adjacent to the surveyed properties. In the next section we discuss how this 50 Table 6.8 Regression Analysis of Puget Sound Waterfront Property Values Dependant Variable: PFF = Price Per Front Foot, R Square .52 Standard Deviation of PFF $290 Independant Variables Definitions Coefficient T Statistic ------------- --------------- ------------ ------------ STEPWISE INCLUDED Constant: 453.05 17.24 DPTl Dummy Variable for Asking Price 174.63 6.38 FF Front Footage Per Property -0.38 -12.00 PRICE Price Per Property 0.00 11.37 DC01 Dummy Variable for Clallam County 120.55 3.60 DBNK1 Dummy Variable for High Bank -167.61 -5.61 DBNK2 Dummy Variable for Medium Bank -177.81 -5.75 DPT2 Dummy Variable for Assesed Price 152.9 2.66 DC02 Dummy Variable for Jefferson County 64.78 2.21 453.05 17.24 STEPWISE EXCLUDED DC03 Dummy Variable for Kitsap County 0.07 1.53 DC04 Dummy Variable for San Juan County -0.05 -0.94 ACRES Acres Per Property 0.04 0.52 SCORE Index of Property Improvements 0.08 1.72 51 variance range can be combined with the results of regional input-output analysis to perform an overall benefit cost analysis of salmon farm siting decisions. 52 VII.BENEFIT - COST ANkLYSIS OF SkLMON FkRM SITING DECISIONS In this concluding section we organize the foregoing results into a framework for evaluation (from a state economic standpoint) of salmon farm siting decisions. Two preliminary steps preceed development of an evaluation algorothim. The first is to convert previously developed economic information into comparable economic values. The second is to relate changes in these values to the specific circumstances of salmon farm siting. Each of these steps is accomplished by discussion of the parameter ranges reported in table 7.1. Regional economic benefits of salmon farming will accrue to state or county residents during each year of the facilities operation. kdverse visual effects, on the other hand, will cause a one time reduction in property values when the facilities are sited. However, any such reduction in capital value can be expressed as the loss of an annual-income equivalent by use of an appropriate interest rate. The economic logic behind making such a conversion derives from the observation that a property owner always has the option of selling his property and earning an annual income from it, as determined by earnings on investments available to him. That he does not sell, suggest that he places at least this annual value on the utility or satisfaction derived from the use of the land in recreational or residential use. What interest rate should be chosen to reflect this actual 53 Table 7.1 Input Parameters to Sensitivity Analysis PARAMETER NAMES DESCRIPTIONS High Low ------ ------------------------------ ------- ------- RANGES A = HOUSHOLD INCOME $21,412,000 $10,615,000 B = OPPORTUNITY COST OF CURRENT EARNINGS 50% 75% C = VISUALLY EFFECTED MILES OF WATERFRONT 25 50 D = SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION $285 $285 F = % CHANGE IN AESTHETIC INDEX 10% 20% G = INTEREST RATE 3% 8% CONSTANTS D = SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION $285. G = EXPLAINED VARIANCE (RQ2) 0.24 54 or implicit annual income is a matter of considerable discussion among economists. one point upon which they agree, though, is that a "real" interest rate (i.e. financial rate less expected inflation) should be used. Deduction of expected inflation is necessary because the inflation premium in financial rates, which only maintains initial capital value, provides no estimate of actual net earnings. As reported in table 7.1, we adopt a real interest rate range of 3% to 8% to convert property values into annual equivalents comparable to regional economic benefits. The different alternatives facing waterfront property owners and individuals benefiting from regional economic expansion point up the need for another conversion. Feasable non- recreational/residental uses of rural waterfront property consist primarily of agriculture and forestry, activities that would support only a small fraction of prevailing market prices. Thus, the waterfront property owner has no realistic alternative to simply accepting any loss in value that results from diminished visual asethetics. By contrast, the houshold incomes earned due to local economic expansion represent payments for labor and other factors of production that have reasonably attractive alternatives. Most workers employed on salmon farms, or in industries supporting them, could find employment elsewere. For these otherwise employable workers; incomes, working conditions or other values achievable in alternative.employment comprise a significant share of the value they place on their chosen employment. Alternative 55 value is not, however, likely to exceed value in the chosen occupation, as in that case the rational worker would change jobs. Alternative value will also fall short of the value of current employment, to the extent that there are costs (and delays) in finding alternative employment, and to the extent that some workers (such as the elderly or unskilled) lack viable alternatives. We adopt an opportunity cost range of 50% to 75% Ue an implicit net value of gross; income of 25% to 50%) to, reflect the sum of all these differences between gross regional income and opportunity cost. We now address the task of -interpreting the preceeding sections statistical analysis of property values in terms of lost net economic value. For previously istated reasons, we begin by restating our inability to determine, what, if any, negative aesthetic effects can be attributed -to salmon farms. The purpose of this report is to work out the economic implications of independantly provided assessments of visual impact, not to 3 directly estimate these in economic or other terms. Recall the conclusion of section IV, which suggests that the front footage price of 68% (one standard deviation) of the properties from which the sample was drawn should fall within a range computed as follows: Actual price regression calculated price unexplained variance (.48) standard deviation ($290) 56 For the purposes of this sections benefit cost analysis we posit an aesthetics index, ranging from zero to one, which explains all of that otherwise unexplained variation. By this formulation a property with a zero aesthetics index would fall at the bottom of the one standard deviation range, ie its price would be the regression calculated value less (.48*$290 = $139). A property with an index of 1.0, would fall at the top of that range (within which 68% of properties now fall), ie. as calculated from the regression equation, plus $139. Were some event to change a properties aesthetics index from one (best) to zero (worst) the result would be a loss of $278 per front foot. We assume that less than a 1 to 0 change in this aesthetics index would result from siting salmon farming facilities. Specifically our benefit cost calculations are based on a 10 % to 20 % range of reductions. These values are, as previously mentioned, posited for illustration, rather than being offered either as the results of this research, or as the judgments of the author. In addition to a judgment concerning the degree of aesthetic loss (per effected front foot), we need a similar judgment concerning the geographic extent (feet or miles of coastline) over which that adverse effect will extend. Here we assume, subject to the same qualifications as above, a range of 5 to 10 miles per site, or 25 to 50 miles of coastline for a 5 site industry. The final variable required by the benefit-cost algorithm is gross benefit to the state from economic expansion. For this 57 purpose we enter the statewide maximum and minimum value added estimates of $21.4 and $10.6 million. The benefit-cost algorithm used to perform sensitivity analysis over the above ranges is reported in table 7.2. Each calculation compares maximum beneficiary willingness to pay (numerator), with the minimum required to compensate loosers (denominator). Maximum beneficiary willingness to pay in this case is the statewide value added contributions of 5 salmon farms, adjusted by an opportunity cost factor. Minimum compensation of losers is the loss of waterfront property value, calculated as discussed above. A six variable, 64 case, sensitivity model was used to calculate benefit cost ratios for all combinations of the input parameters listed in table 7.1. Results are reported in table 7.3. For the input values and ranges adoped, all cases yield benefit cost ratios in excess of unity. This suggests that, under all circumstances and judgments represented by table 7.1 parameters, beneficiaries from salmon farm siting could more than fully compensate loosers. The maximum ratio, resulting from the most favorable combination of range variables, is 97.11. The least favorable is 2.26. Finally, high and low range results are calculated as the mean value of $21.06 +/- the standard deviation of $19.34. These results range from 40.41 to 1.72. Thus, under all parameters and parameter combinations examined, siting 5 salmon farms would be in the states economic interest, as this was defined above in terms of beneficiary willingness to pay and amounts required to compensate loosers. 58 Table 7.2 Sensitivity Analysis Algorithm, and Illustrative Calculation BCR = ANNUAL BENEFITS/ ANNUAL COSTS = 2.26 ANNUAL BENEFITS = A*(J-B) = $2,653,750 ANNUAL COSTS = 5280*C*2*D*(I-G)*E*F = $1,175,962- WHERE: WHERE: A = HOUSHOLD INCOME $10,615,000 B = OPPORTUNITY COST OF CURRENT EARNINGS 75% C = VISUALLY EFFECTED MILES OF WATERFRONT 50 D = SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION $290 E = % CHANGE IN AESTHETIC INDEX 20% F = INTEREST RATE 8% G = EXPLAINED VARIANCE (RQ2) 0.52 Parameter values and ranges are reported in table 7.2. Full sensitivity results in table 7.3. 59 Table 7.3 Sensitivity Analysis Results F .>> 3% 3% 3% 3% A (millions) $21 $21 $11 $11 B >> 50% 75% 50% 75% c E D ----------------- BCR ---------------------- 25 10% $290 97.11 48.5,5 48.14 24.07 25 10% $290 97.11 48.5,5 48.14 24.07 25 20% $290 48.55 24.28 24.07 12.04 25, 20% $290 48.55 24.2;8 24.07 12.04 50 10% $290 48.55 24.28 24.07 12.04 so 10% $290 48.55 24.28 24.07 12.04 50 20% $290 24.28 12.1.4 12.04 6.02 50 20% $290 24.'28 12.1.4 12.04 6.02 F >> 8% 8% 8% 8% A (millions) $21 $211 $11 $11 B >> 50% 115% 50% 75% c E D ----------------- BCR ---------------------- 25 10% $290 36.42 18.2.1 18.05 9.03 25 10% $290 36.42 18.9.1 18.05 9.03 25 20% $290 18.21 9.10 9.03 4.51 25 20% $290 18.21 9.10 9.03 4.51 50 10% $290 18.21 9.10 9.03 4.51 50 10% $290 18.21 9.10 9.03 4.51 50 20% $290 9.10 4.55 4.51 2.26 50 20% $290 9.10 4.55 4.51 2.26 Average 21.06 High range 40.41 Standard 19.34 Low range 1.72 Maximum 97.11 Minimum 2.26 60 Notes 1. British Columbia data was provided by Jim Fraylick, British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. 2. Washington data was provided by Robert Hoyser, Washington State Department of Natural Resources; and Eric Hurlburt, Washington State Department of Fisheries. 3. Some data and an appraisers judgment concerning the degree and geographic extent of adverse visual and market effect is provided in Alpine Appraisers, 1988. The author of that document concludes that "floating net pens have no effect on upland property values in the areas studied (Peal Passage Mason County, and Rich Passage, Kitsap County). Additionally, the appraiser concludes that "the pens will have minimal, if any, visual impact at distances over 2400 lineal feet. 61 References Alpine Appraisal Service. "Influence of Floating Salmon Net Pens on Residential Property Values." Report to the Jamestown Clallam tribe, Sequim, Washington, August 30, 1988. Richardson, Harry W. Invut Outiput and Recional Economics. (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1972). U.S. Forest Service (Portland Oregon). IMPLAN Data, (Reports provided to the Author). Washington State, Office of Program Planning and Fiscal Management. Pocket Data Guide. Olympia, WA 1983. 62 A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey. FRONT PRICE PPRICE COUNTY SITE ACRES FEET PRICE MONT FTYPE BAM' FEATURES EWILOINGS SCORE SOURCE Clallan Port Angeles 1.50 100 S45, 000 $150 assessed h uater.pavv 6?960 4 Clallan Cc Assessor clallam Discovery Bay 1.00 136 S27.200 $200 assessed 0 Clalla" Cc Assessor Clallan Port RngolQs 0.96 200 S35,000 S350 as-zossed h elec,mater.ph.pave -1 Clallam Cc Assessor Clallan Discovery Say 1.13 136 S2?.200 S200 assessed 0 Cl &I I an Cc Assessor clalla" Clalla" Bay 0.50 102 $9,340 S92 assessed I tdl el ec,wat. saw, ph,road 6 Clallan Co fissassor Clallan W. of Port Angeles 11.26 1320 S721.600 SSS assessed erosion 0 Clallam Co Assessor Clallan W. of Disc Bay 1.09 105 513,650 $130 assessed h elec,ph,access 295 3 Clalla" Cc Assessor Clallan W. of Disc say 5.03 295 S60,670 S206 assessed h 13?5 0 Clalles" Cc Assessor ClaLI14M W. of Disc Bay 5.03 2W S63,670 5250 assessed h elec,ph 1375 2 Clallan Cc Assessor Clallan Cl al I a" Bay 0-50 IL21 $21,320 S201 assessed I tdl,.Plac,wat,s&e&.ph,road 48710 6 Clallars Co Assessor Clallan Port Angeles 1.16 100 $45.000 $450 assessed h al ac, pave 2 Clallan Co Assessor Cl al I an Clallam say 0-50 1.50 S30,150 $201 assessed I tdl , &I ec, &set. seas. ph, road 6 Clallam Co Assessor Clallan Port Angeles 1.16 104 SAG,800 S150 assessed h el ec, seater, swepti c, ph. pave 69700 5 Clallam Cc Assessor -_'Iallan Clallam Bay 0-50 62 S12.660 S;201 assessed I tdl,&Iec,&eat,sem,phroad 11820 6 Clallan Ca Assessor Clallan Clallan say 0.50 63 S12.6W S201 assessed I tdI,elQ-r-,seat,s&s&,ph,ro&d 30LW30 5 Clallam Cc Assessor '-Iallan W. of Port Angeles 9.05 560 S56,025 SIOO assessed h 0 Clalla" Co Assessor lialla" Discovery Bay 1-22 200 $27.335 $137 assessed h j) Clallan Cc Assessor clalla" M. of Disc Bay 5-03 2SS $31,835 $125 assessed h elec, no park 0 Clallam Cc Assessor Clallan M. of Disc Bay 1.75 175 S;22.?50 5130 assessed h elec,ph 47S 2 Clallan Cc Assessor clalla" M. of Disc say 1.10 100 S13,000 S130 assessed h elec.ph,accoss 3 Clallan Cc Assessor Cl al 16" W. of Disc say 5.03 255 S61.6dW S212 assessed elec,ph,access 61" 1 Clallan Cc Assessor clallam W- of Port Angeles 11-19 ;215 S21,500 $100 assessed h 0 Clallam Cc Assessor Clallan Clallan Bay 0.50 63 S12,660 S201 assessed 1 elec.seater.sower.road 36270 A clalla" Cc Assessor Clallan Discovery Bay 1-00 136 S22,000 S162 assessed 0 Clallam Cc FIssessor Cl al I art Discovory Bay 1.09 1-36 S2?,200 S200 assessed 0 Clallam Cc Assessor Clallan Discovery say 2-05 150 S52,500 5350 assessed 0 Clallam Cc Assessor Malla" W. of Part Angeles 11.?l 1320 $72,600 $55 assessed po-m- terrain 0 Clallam Co Assessor Clallan Port Angeles 1.18 90 S40.500 SISO assessed h e1&c.Matqr,Sept3LC,ph-P- 5 Clallan Cc Assessor clallan Port fingeles; 1.44 100 $45,000 $150 assessed h elec,seater,septic.ph.paRlee 51920 5 Clallan Cc Assessor Cl al 1 -an U- of Port Angeles 1.50 a3s S33,535 SIOO assessed h 0 Clalla" Co Assessor clalla" Port Angeles 1.50 110 S:46. 750 S425 assessed h al ec. water. septi c' ph.pave 1350 5 Clallan Cc Assessor z1alla" Di scoverg Bay 1-09 136 S2?,200 5200 assessed 0 Cl al I are Cc Assessor Clallan M. of Disc Bay 1.23 100 S13,000 S130 assessed access,easersent 2 clalla" Cc Assessor Clallars Port Angeles 1-3? 2-31 S561000 S3?3 assessed h 01 ec, water. --Aipp. ph, pave 6?"0 1 Clallan Cc Assessor Clallan Di scovery Bay 1.00 200 S27.135 S136 assessed 0 Clallam Cc Assessor clallan Clalla" Bay 0.50 99 S173,920 5-201 assessed 1 al ec, water. sawer, road 66780 4 Clallam Co Assessor Clallan W. Ediz Nook 0.17 100 S50.000 $500 market h Buildable I Sea Ridge Realty Ciallan The Place Beach 0.75 ADO S100.000 $1,000 market 1 lagoon 2 Sea Ridge, Realty clallan Freshwater Bay 2.00 209 S30,000 5144 MWkQ-t h 0 Sea Ridge Realty Clallam 4 Seasons Ranch 1.00 so 54H,000 S1,050 market I Drain field.planned dev,tdlnds I Sea Ridq& Realty *:I al I an Straits 100 -Sqfj. 000 S400 market h Building lot I Sea Ridge Realty Jefferson Ft. Flagler 0.99 100 S36.000 S360 as3Qssed h aasment 330-15 1 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson Ft. Flagler 1.91 200 ::-67,500 $338 assessed h 12125 A Jefferson Cc Assessor )OffOrSOM Squamish Harbor 3-00 70 S17,950 S255 assessed 1 0 Jefferson Cc Assessor Wferson Ft. Flagler 1.13 100 S:36.000 S360 assessed mater,dirt road 2 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson Ft. Flagler 1-93 2.10 S77,110 S323 assessed m poor access 21285 -1 Jefferson Cc fissassor Jefferson Squarvish Harbor 5.00 110 S28.050 S-155 assessed 1 0 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson Ft. Flagler 0-92 100 $35,000 S350 assessed m 0 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson Ft. Flagler 5.04 120 11,43, 000 S358 assessed m 27030 -1 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson Squamish Harbor 20-00 320 $1-5,395 S142 assessed 1 0 Jefferson Cc Pessessor Jefferson Squanish Harbor 5.00 1-110 S28,050 S255 assessed h 0 Jefferson Cc Assessor Jefferson E. Hood Canal 0.61 100 SS8,000 5580 market hn septic,wator,voad 3 Jefferson Cc Realtor Jof forson North Beach 0.26 30 SIM. 000 S500 narkot h water,ro-ad.sewar 4 Realty World Jef forson Hiddle Pt. 5.02 121 S46,000 S390 market h po"'Or.road,need septic,need moll 2 Realty World .Jefferson Squanish Harbor 1.11 105 5;45.000 5" market In sandy beach I Jefferson Cc Realtor Jeff or --.on riots hats Bay 1.62 ]L'?O $10,500 S250 market he ti del ands.power,&aell 3 Realty World A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey FRONT PRICE PPRICE COUNTY SITE ACRES FEET PRICE FRONT FTYPE BRINK FEATURES BUILDIMGS SCORE SOURCE Jefferson Oak Say 2.07 105 ST3,500 S567 nat-ket n ear-sownt I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson harroustone 1. 2.32 148 S15,000 S301 "aricet Po6for I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Pt- Ludlou 0.17 60 S-1-3.530 5725 narket n matot-,marina mgnts 2 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Hats "ats Say 1.161 100 S?-q 1 000 S7-10 market septi c I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson "adrrastone 1 4.96 300 S65,000 S217 market 0 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Toandas Pon. 2-63 1135 S".500 $269 nw-kot M power.fruxt troet; 2 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson harroustone 1 3.03 1.50 S-", 000 $327 narket powor,septic 2 Jof fors4m Co Realtor Jeffersort QuilconQ 2.70 100 S82,500 $825 narket n water, ti siber, beach 3 Jefferson Co Realtor Jof forson harrastone 1 3.26 290 S105,000 S-162 narket 0 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Cape Goorge 0.57 1." S48,000 S322 narket h uator.poiwer.tal,draiin field I Realty World Jefferson Oak Bay 0.95 100 S",500 $395 narkot 0 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson E. Hood Canal 1.00 200 S%, 000 S560 narkpt I Mater.pomer 2 Jefferson Ca Realtor Jofferson Hiddle Point 5.20 121 $52.000 S430 narkot h rcod.neod u4i.11. ewped septic 2 Realty World Jefferson Admiralty Inlet 0.% 100 540,000 $100 narket h 0 Jefferson Cc. Real tor Jofferson Hadlock 5-01 400 S92, 500 S231 "arkat ti dol ands, water, pomor 3 Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson E. Hood Canal 0.53 75 S68,000 $907 naw-ket- h eacsnont I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson E. Hood Canal 2.05 lie S51,000 S132 narket M pork problem. 0 Jefferson Co Realtor- Jefferson Hood Canal 2.63 185 $15,000 S-M3 market ti 091 ands. road, power. parks, 4 Realty World Jefferson Strai ts 3.00 136 S49,WO S364 n-w-ket Moll I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson harroustone 1. 0-86 100 S79.000 S750 ".w-kot I septi c I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Harroustone 1. 3.36 200 M,500 S498 "arkot P06"r I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson Oak Head ?.11 200 Sfi% SOO S319 narket h po"Or I Jefferson Co Realtor Jefferson "arroustone 1. 3.36 200 S99.500 S-198 narket ti del ands, mol I , power. tel I Realty World Jefferson Ifiddle Pt. 5.30 121 S52, 500 5134 market h po*&or. road. need "oll.need septic. 2 Realty World Jefferson rarboo Bay 1.23 100 S17,500 S IM narket n spring I Jefferson Co Realtor 0% Jefferson E. Hood Canal 3-47 200 $18,000 5210 nar-ka-t h power I Jefferson Co Realtor 4- Jefferson Gardiner 3.20 171 S?9.000' S462 narkot h pouor.ma-Ler,tinbor A Roaltq World Jefferson Discovery Bay 2.52 100 57s, 000 S?50 market 1 0 Jefferson Cc. Realtor Jefferson M ddl a Pt. 5.02 121 $46.000 S-380 narkot h powor. road. rwpod "oll.nood septic 2 Realty World jef C-eer-e 0=40 90 S;4s_ @ 9 m_ 55nn nm-k-at h rMumor @ ual 1 2 Jefferson Co Realtor Kitsap, Poulsbo 2.70 175 $52,500 S300 assessed I.Q ipRx 3 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Fletcher Say 4.67 220 $107,350 SIBS assessed h BSP14FGX 62540 4 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Fletcher Bay 0.88 70 S-*3.390 S577 assessed le xxmxzxx 0 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Eglon 0.46 so S7,600 $152 assessed h XC-4"GX 0 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Eglon 0.56 60 5'9,120 $152 azsezsod h XSHWFGX 0 Kit-sap Co Assessor Kitsap Colvos Passage 2.50 210 $42,000 S-200 assessed h 6SH14FGE 2 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Poulsbo 0.53 100 $30.000 S300 assessed le GXP14FFX 2 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Vinland 1-39 155 S109,910 S?02 assessed le IW.CPC)CW3X 90860 5 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Vinland 0.79 120 S%,240 $802 assessed le BX(PC)ICRGX 65360 5 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Fletcher Bay 1.97 160 S32,090 5576 acssessed le GX(PC)CFGE 39M 5 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Colvos Passage 5.07 330 550.160 $152 assessed h BCSWPUFGX 3 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsep Tokiu Pt. 5-97 S97.150 $229 assessed h GSPCFGX 2 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Vinland 2.36 S110.400 assessad le BX(PC.)CPIGX 41430 5 Kitsap Cc fls-s"assor Kitsap Poulzbo 1.?? 205 S138,?80 S677 assessed le BXCPC)Cfm 31M S Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Colvos Passage 5.09 112 $46,434 S32? asses5od le GxtMGE 2 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Vinland 3.914 2010 $100.100 5502 assessed le GX(PC)Cfi13E @M 10 5 Kitsep, Co Assessor Kitsap Fletcher Bay 1.17 73 M,020 S726 assessed le BXCPC)CFGE 95230 6 Kitsap Co Assessor Kit-sap Eglon 1-88 100 S9,100 $91 assessed h XSM14FGX 0 Kitsap Ca Assessor Kitsap Eglan 2.02 170 S21,250 $125 assessed lo DXNXXXX I Ki tsap Co Assessor Ki tsap Fletcher Bay 3.00 210 S156,500 S715 assezsed h BSU"CpXFGX 146150 5 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Fletcher Say 2.61 150 S101,050 S6-el -assessed le 6XCPM)XM4E 4 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Vinland 0.86 100 S80,200 SJ302 assessed I* WWCRGX 113380 4 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Tokiu Pt. 8.49 300 S101.980 SMO assassed lo 6Y(PC)CRGX 182700 4 Kitsap Co ftsossor Kitsap Colvos Passage 3.26 200 3.%),000 S200 --m essed h U.S#MFGE I Kitsap Co Assessor Ki tsap Colvos Passage 8.18 220 $77,440 S352 aLssessed le MCPC)CFGE I Kitsap Co Assessor Ki'tsap Eglon 2.38 260 1,31.200 $120 &-5sessed h XSNWGX 0 Kitsap Co Rssessor A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey FRONT PRICE PPRICE CDUMTV 51TE ACRES FEET PRICE FRONT FTYPE SAW FEATURES BWLOINGS SCORE SOURCE Ki t5ap Fletcher Day 1.61 39 5:59,260 S666 assessed h GS(PC)UFGE 69930 1 Kitsap Cc Rsse@ssor Kitsap Tokiu Ft. 11-1.4 510 S102,310 S199 assessed le GGX I Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap Colvos Passage 8.09 M S86,070 $302 assessed h US@MGE I Kxtsap Cc Assessor Ki tsap Vi n1 and 0.66 100 S80.200 S802 assessed I* BXCPC)CfiGX 131180 5 Kitsap Cc Assessor Ki tsap Poulsba 0.60 116 $;37.450 S323 assessed le GXCPC)CFRE 549100 5 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap Vinland 0.59 Ila SM,220 5.902 assessed le BXCPC)CFIGX 723;?Yj S Kitsap Cc Assessor Ki tsap Colvos Passage 2.27 100 S20,200 S202 assessed h USNWGE I Kitsap Cc Rssossor Kitsap Eglon 5.30 510 S7.3,500 S 111 a2ssessed h XSNWGX 0 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap Poulsba 0.50 197 S43.210 5652 assessed 19 OX(PC>C6r3X 5 Kitsap Co Assessor Kitsap Poulsba 0-60 130 S91,260 S702 assessed I& ot*PC')CGGX 252SO 5 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap, Poul sba 1.30 100 S35,000 S350 azsassod le BXU31C)IcFftx 30356 5 Kitsap Cc Assessor Ki t5ap Poulsba 1-11 115 SW,5530 1-5700 asse@sed le BXCPC@0C6M 102990 5 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap, Poulsba 0.14 190 S;36,000 S-400 assessed I* rv)WCFGX 2 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap Poulsbo 0.168 IGO S61,000 SVO azzo5sed le 6XCM)CFFIX 114510 4 Kitsap Cc Assessor Kitsap Stavis Day Road 5.00 330 S419,500 S150 nairkot he phone, no alec: I Coldwall Banker Kitsap Stavis Say Road 5.03 BL30 $62,500 S189 markot he pomor,phonQ 2 Coldwell Banker Kitsap Stavis Day Road 5-00 330 S65,000 S197 market he *I ec. proone, no "tar 2 Cold"oll Banker Kitsap Stavis Bay Ro-ad 5.00 330 S150,000 SISS market I power.phone,septic,mQll I ColdwQlI Banker Kitsap SlLavis Say Road 5.00 3:10 $70,000 S212 market he elec,phone,no matec 2 Coldmall Banker 1(i tsap Big Beef Hairbor 0.50 U" 000 S279 market el&c,phone.needs swIl 2 Coldwall Banker Kitsap Rich Passage 0.30 80 S7-2.000 $900 market I elec,phorw,mater 3 Coldmall Banker Ki tsap Olympic View Road 1.23 163 S06,000 S529 markot he elec,phone. no mater 2 Ccl duel I Banker San Juan San Juan M. 9.54 770 S301.850 S3% assessed to 59-40 -q San Juan Co Assessor ';4m Juan Sham S 1.38 310 S1113.050 53131 assess" 1 ti 601 ands 165M 1 San Juan Co AssQssor 0% San Ju&n Orcas 1.56 2 10 S790,510 $431 assessed m tidelands I San Juan Cc Assessor Un San Juan Sham N 1-37 315 IM4.500 S300 assessed 1 69720 11 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan Lopez M 2.81 315 S91.500 $300 assessed h -1 San Juan Co Assessor 3an Juan Sham N 0.57 157 $5-1.950 S350 assessed m 212M 4 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Lopez E 0.43 270 S53.750 5125 assoss-ed n 0 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Sham S 4.9 7@W SISS,500 S-1'10 assessed h 11690 4 San Juan Cc Assessor Gan Juan Orcas 3-02 310 $6-1,000 S200 assessed n 0 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan Lopez M 12.7 4010 S:90.010 S225 asswssed " 0 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan San Juan SM 1.91 213 S128.850 S605 assessed n ti del ands 7220 5 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Sham SE 1.18 100 $60,000 5600 assessod n 250-40 1 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan Orcas E 5-71 Z190 s9F"450 S333 aissessod h 16?0 0 San Juan Cc flssess@w San Juan Sham N 2.83 300 11-90,000 S300 assessed m ?6910 1 San Juan Co Assessor Lan Juan Sham SE 1.84 1w SO-1,400 5556 assessed n tidelands 13?00 5 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan Sham M 6.44 665 SIGO.,290 52-11 assessed 1 1280 0 San Juan Cc Assessor Juan Lopez It 0-38 Ito S41.250 S375 assessed " ti del arpas 16750 5 San Juan Cc Assessor San San Juan Orcas E 5.09 360 S1,22,050 S311 arssessed m 121970 1 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Lopez H 12.29 T90 SIS-4.9% S263 assessed h 0 San Juan Cc Assessor .1an Juan San Juan M. 2.OS 200 SIIQ,O(JC S550 a@ssessod h 0 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Lopez E 0.68 120 SGG@720 S556 assessed n ti del aras 12410 5 San Juan Cc Assessor ian Juain Lopez E 2.5 1110 SIM,000 S600 assa=sad m 133?% 4 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juen Lopez E 0.36 100 S;2?.SW S2?5 assessed " 0 San Juan Cc Assessor Gan Juan Lopez S 9.75 1,10 S150.200 S341 assessed m 0 San Juan Co Assessor San Juen Lopez HM 5.1 2190 S;7-1,550 S257 assessed h 2-60 0 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan Sham M 0-81 2100 S70,000 5350 azsossed m 1179,10 4 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Orcas SE -4.01 Z65 "3,550 S-342 assessed " 0 San Juan Cc Assessor ian Juen Shajw S 2.7 950 S142,500 $150 assessed h 0 Son Juan Cc Assessor San Ju,.,n Orcas; E 10.65 535 S151,650 S203 assessed h 0 San Juan Cc Assessor San juen Orcas E 1-62 1!50 S?8.?50 S525 assessed h 40260 1 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juain Lopez E 2.2 100 W5,000 S6SO assessed m ?1430 4 San Juan Cc Assessor San Juan San Juan M. 1.0 160 SIO-4,000 SGSO a--3s9zsed n tidelands 813W 5 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Orcas SE 1q.02 250 S1.08.050 S132 assessed m 9226 A San Juan Cc Assessor San juain Sulam N 2.1 5:10 @;G 1, 200 S120 assessed m 2550 0 San Juan Cc Assessor A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey FRONT PRICE PPRICE CGLJNTY SITE RCRES FEET PRICE FRONT FTYPE BRW FEATURES BUILDINGS SCORE SOURCE San Juan San Juan M. 2.23 210 S105,000 S500 assessed h 192730 1 San Juan Co Rssessor San Juan Orc4s 1.66 200 S86,200 S131 assessed h ti del arAis 1608-43 5 San Juan Co Rssessor San Juan Sham N 7.31 135 S130,500 5300 assessed n 88810 1 San Juan Co A-ssessor San Juan Orcas N 1.2 ISO S?5.000 $500 assessed 1 0 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Lopez E 0.83 135 S?5,060 S556 assessed 1 ti del ands I San Juan Co, ft:sses5or San Juan Sham M. 13-28 2% 5 172. -100 $591 assessed 1 651-40 4 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Lopez M 1.99 120 S61,290 5511 assessed h 21690 1 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Orcas N 3.11 165 S80,880 SliO assessed 1 0 San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Orcas E 5.1 -1k5 5 128. 760 $326 assossed h 992% Iq San Juan Co Assessor San Juan Or-cAs M 0-166 2120 S33,000 S150 assessed h 0 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Lopez N 0.65 170 S52,050 5306 assessed h 156320 4 San Juan Co Rssessor San Juan Lopez E 3.15 300 5112.500 S375 assessed 1 506110 1 San Juan Co Rssessor San Juan Shaw M S.?? W- S166.500 $138 assessed m 0 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Sk-aw S 2.18 279 5113.000 5-W& &:;sessed I ti xiel ands 4310 4 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Orcas 1. q 355 S62,130 Sl?5 assessed " 0 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan Orcas E 5.1 270 $9?.200 S360 assessed h 0 San Juan Co fissessor San Juan "osquito Pass 5.00 367 $215,000 S586 market 1 0 Island CrA"tor Services San Juan Karwka Bay 1.25 160 SIIO.000 5688 market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Orcas, Diamond Pt. 264.00 15W $2,000,000 S-q-q4 market hm 0 Dockside Property San Juan Vacht Haven 0-70 1.10 $89.500 $639 market n pur,boach 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Pew- Pt- 1.19 184 $112.500 $611 market pw,utr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Gr-i-ff in Bay 3-?8 265 S224.000 SO-45 "arket 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Sunset Pt. 0.50 125 595.000 S760 market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Son Juan 0.50 130 S61,500 Sl% market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 2.30 240 S135.000 $396 market pur,wtr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Moil Day 0-711 100 S62,500 S62S market n pGAr.&&tr.-.spt 3 Island Computer Services San Juan Cape San Juan 0-50 so $39.950 S199 market pr-c.pur,utr 3 Island Computer Services San Juan Cape San Juan 0.50 ion S69.500 SE95 market pr-c,pwr,spt 3 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 1.42 125 $120,000 S619 market I pmr,batr 2 Island Computer Services Safi juar. @-Lal e0_95 SM sns.wo !51@325 nouaq- . ma-ter. Dark. aravel beach S Oockzide Property San Juan Dozidman Bay 5.10 1005 S 15?, SOO 5157 n-w-kat 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Fr-iday Island 0.70 1010 -q6q,5OO S695 market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Garr-- son Baoj 56.00 200 S225,000 S 1. 121-; market ti mber,pw 2 Island Computer Services San Juan University Hei0ts: 16.60 250 S139.900 S5&O n-w-ket O,Island Cottputar Services San Juan Cattle Point 1.00 165 S65.000 $391 market pmr,&4tr 2 1 sl and Computor Services San Juan VacJvt Haven 7-60 11?8 seq.5w S?2 market n P"r I I sl and Computer Servi ces; San Juan SJ, Friday Harbor 3.00 q5O S185,000 5111 market In boach/cove 2 Dockside Property San Juan San Juan 2-16.4 210 "5.000 5452 market pur,utr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 5.46 3110 5110.000 S-324 market pur I I sl and Computer Services San Ju Roche Harbor 1.2s 160 5209,000 S1,300 market I tkuorago I Island Computer Services San Juan University Heights 0.50 100 S58,500 S585 market P64r,64tr, 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Stuart 1. 9.92 Aw S75,000 SIS6 market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Shaa4 2.00 225 5100.000 5411 market I pwr I Isl and Computer Service-- San Juan Mitir-hell Bay 5.15 625 $290.000 SIGA market 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Uw-v--ott Bay 0.50 100 S72.500 S?25 market I pbar , w tr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Roche Harbor 2.00 175 S198.000 S1,131 market I Pur 1 Island Computer Services San Juan Eaigle Cove 1.00 100 S57,500 55?5 nar-ket pur.ph 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Cat-tl 9 Pt. 0.88 120 S65.000 5512 market pur.wtr 2 1 al and Computer Set-vices San Juan 11inwal. Heights 0.50 I-qO S33.000 S:236 market pmr,utr, 2 Island Computer Set-vices San Juan Daw-idson Head 0.50 100 S75.000 S?50 market utr I Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 1.00 1-30 $85,000 S654 market n 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Moil Bay 0.62 200 S115.000 S1.150 market n pmr,utr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Sit ww-t 1. 1.00 112 S;28.500 S254 market In 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Griffin Bay 2-25 I-IS S12-4.500 S859 market n pjwr I Island Computer Services San Juan Opadnan Bay 5.30 780 S158.500 S203 market P14r I Island Computer Services San Juan Capo San Juan 0.70 100 S79,000 5790 market dock,peal 2 Island Computer Services A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey FRONT PRICE PPRICE COUNTY SITE ACRES FEET PRICE FRONT FTYPE BFW, FEATURES BUILDINGS SCORE SOURCE San Juan Orcas 0.50 100 S85.000 S850 narket pmr.batr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Eagle Cove 0.80 150 5n, 500 SS3O market h p&.er,utr 2 Island Computer S*rvicQs San Juan San Juan 1.61 375 S210,000 S!%O market 1 0 Island Computer Services San Juan Rocky Bay 3.11 240 S149,500 S623 market Pwr I Island Computer Services San Juan Griffin f%ay 0.75 100 S09.500 S095 n-3rk-;-t pmr.cova 2 Island Conputeq- Services San Juan Davidson Head 0-50 100 575.000 S750 narka-t pwr,setr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Kwwsah Hei ghts 1.00 200 S61.500 S3AS narkrot pr-c.pur.mtr,spt 4 Island Computer Services San Juan Mescott Bay 0-50 wo 5;?6.500 S765 market pu-.mtr.:spt 3 Island Computer Services :San Juan Reid Harbor 5.12 300 S65,000 5217 "arkot It dock I Island Computer Services San Juan "scptt Bag 0.70 I'm S75.000 5536 market 1 0 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 15.20 3630 S135,000 $355 market pwr I Island Computer Services San Juan Universitej keights 0.50 IJOO S 120. 000 S1.200 market 1 0 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 1 5.00 700 S75.000 $107 narket 0 Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan ?19.25 360 S519.000 SI.525 market m pur I Island Compo tQw Services San Juawt San Juan 0.81 185 S18S.000 S1,000 market n P-C I Island Computer Services San Juan San Juan 3.97 6M S180.000 S300 market It pmr.wtr.spt. 3 Island Computer Services 'San Juan S. End 1.00 200 5;76.500 S383 market pur,setr 2 Island Computer Services San Juan Moscott gag 5-00 755 S187,508 S219 mairket I bq;,ach I Island Computew Services San Juan Griffin Bay 1.50 120 S99,506 S829 market " pwr I Island Computer Services San Juan Eagle Pt. 6.17 375 S171,500 SIGS market h pur 0 satr 2 Island Computer Services I utr.pur 2 Island Coisputer Services ...van Juan Li nestone 5.00 310 S217,000 $700 market Skagi t E 6uamez Ch 9.6 7100 S31,300 S-95 assessed h road 312M 4 Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Burroses Bag 5 Z" 535,500 $18 assessed h 0 Skagi t Cc Assessor Skagit Padilla Bay 26 16W 590,000 S56 assessed h read I Skagi t Cc Assessor S I Skagit Cc fissossor Skagi t Padilla Paq 10.68 13aw S181900 S;15 assossed I road 0% Skagit Padilla Bag 1.5 200 S11?00 $13 assessed I seater 9000 1 Skagit Cc ftsessor 4 Skagit Ship Harbor 7-09 SOO V48.9w $61 assessed m road.mator.s@eptic 75900 1 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Padilla Bay 'q?-?5 1600 536. 900 $23 assessed h &&ater.septic,road 3 Skagit Cc Assessor 4;kagi t Bellingham Say 3.?q 200 5;85.860 S429 assessed I seater.3eptic,road 3 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagi t Rosario St 55-1 I-qw saa. 930 Sfil assessed h 0 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Sinclair 1. 26-75 IGM S11-9,390 $75 assessed h 0 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Sol I i "ham Ch 19- 11 3;20 S38.200 S119 assessed h road I Skagi t Cc Assessor Skagi t Padilla Bay 35.8 19M S2,49,270 S131 asses!wd h road 1 Skagi t Co Assessor Skagit Padilla Bay 314.?e low 52G.Ow S20 4354ssod 1 0 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Rosari 0 St. .1 100 S45.800 S158 assessed h easnent,septi c, seater, road SIM -q Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Rosario St 0.38 IL 10 5:6(j. Sao S550 assessed I road,saptic.seater 372M 4 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Bellingham Ch 2%.13 60 S". 900 S1,665 assessed I mater,road 2 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Sinclair 1. 36.34 1300 S 131 assessed h road I Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Guenes Ch 114.52 410 S217.000 S-195 assessed 1 0 Skagit Co ft"zsor Skagit Padilla Say 5-15 1IT50 SZi.210 $I? assessed h 0 Skagit Cc Assessor Sk-agi t Ro--,W-i o St. so ifim ses.850 S54 435055fod 1 d Skagit Cc Assessor Skagi t, Roswio St. 0-65 ?9 S13,100 SS49 assessod h road,"&tQr,svptic. 29600 4 Ska%t Cc Assessor *agi t Rosario St. 0.33 163 S34.650 S550 as-sessed I eas"ent,septic,stater 41100 4 Skagit Cc Fissessor Skagit Bel I i ngham Elay 2.1s Ijw S57,290 S573 assessed 1 water.septic,road 3 Skagit Cc fissossor Skagi t. Sinclair 1. 30-8 1500 S77,WO S51 assessed h 0 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Bellingham Smay 2.72 L*22 5-6-1.990 S533 assessed m road 930M 4 Skagi t Cc Assessor Skagit Rosario St 0.39 2-50 S300.000 S1,200 assessed I soptic,"ater,road 3 Skagi t Cc Assessor Skagit Bellingham Ch 14.26 17W -C-29. wo S17 assessed road I Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Sinclair 1. 9.02 GIGO S36,930 SSG assessed h road,mater,septic 3 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit E Guamws Ch 10.5 4010 531.500 S?19 assessed h septic.6&ater 2 Ska9z t Cc Assessor Skagit Gue"es Ch 0.6 L30 $122,100 "39 assessed 1 septi c,"atQr-, road 67700 4 Skagx t Cc Assessor Skagit Si ncl ai r 6 770 ---.-5,700 S98 assessed h road.water.septic 90800 1 Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Bellingham Ch 18-6 'rA- S-t6,WO S103 assessed h road I Skagi t Cc Assessor Skagit Sinclair 1. 29.05 3800 S139,400 S16 &ssassod h road I Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Bel I i nghan Cb 26.41 11100 S106.1100 S?G assessed " road I Skagit Cc Assessor Skagit Padilla Say 11 5100 51?,GW S35 assessed 1 0 Skagx t Cc Assossor A.1 Puget Sound Waterfront Property Survey FRONT PRI CE PPRI CE COUNTV SIM ACRES FEET PRICE FRONT FrVPE ORNK FERWRES BUILDINGS SCORE SOURCE Skagit Burrows Bay 206 1900 S2, 110,000 5 1, III assessed 1 road,watar,saptic 3 Skagit Co Rssossor Skagit Bollingham Bay 1.35 66 S20,860 $316 assessed h road I Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Si ncl ai r I . 1.4-19 I'm S35, -100 :;25 a3s"sed m 0 Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Secret Harbor 10.75 11100 S26,800 S19 assessed h 0 Skagit Co Assezsor Skagit Bellingba" Bay 3-1 -7,030 S37.-qOO S16 assessed I 0 Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Padilla Bay 13.60 1-M S20,300 SIS assessed I 0 Skagit Co Assessor Skagx t Guettas Ch 1?.15 7'913 5514,500 SGSI assessed I road I Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Bol 1 i ngha" 8@ay 3-53 187 "2,090 S139 assessed h water,septic,road 2 1700 I Skagit Co Rsserssor Skagit Burrows Bag 3.92 1.15 S99,000 SIM assessed h 0 Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Ship Harbor ?.S 1100 $15,000 S38 assessed h mater,septic,road 3 Skagi t Co Assessor Skagit Burrows My 53.6 1400 $06.510 S62 assessed I 0 Skagit Co Assessor Skagit Ship Harbor 8-86 SW Sl?,700 $35 assessed h road I Skagit Co Assessor Skagit M. Fidalgo 1.68 113? S210.000 $1,066 "arkot I 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit Gus 1-81 500 $71,000 51-42 narket hm 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit Coronet My 0.90 I." S60.000 $-II? markot 0 Skagit Co. "LS Skagit Fidalgo 41.00 Z25 S99,000 S-"O narket 0 Skagit Co. 11LS Skagi t E. Fidalgo 0.22 96 S65.000 56?? narkot he 0 Caldwell Baonkor Skagit Allen 1. 20-00 660 5220,000 S-333 n-dw-ket h" 0 Cal duel I Banker Skagit Allen Island 10-50 ?0O $135,000 $193 market 0 Skagit Co. "LS Skagit M- Fidalgo 0-60 1.33 S74,500 S%0 narket he 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit M.Fidalgo 1.23 135 S134,500 S72? narkot M 0 Col dmel I Banker Skagit Sinclair 0.2-1 7S S10,000 S133 market hm 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit Quiet Cove 0.50 100 S7?,OOO SM "arkot I road,mater,tidolarods 3 Fidalgo Realty Skagit S. Gue"es 2.30 100 S819,000 St"O "ark-pt h 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit HE Gueries 1.00 Z" S110,000 S'500 market M 0 Cal dual I Banker CY% Skagit M. Fidalgo 0.55 ISO S-58,000 S38? market H 0 Caldwell Banker Go Skagit Pear Tres Cowe, 8-00 ?00 S85,000 S 121 nark.;.t 0 Skagit Co- M-S Skagit Fidalgo 20-00 1100 S200.000 $182 narket 0 Skagit Co. M-S Skagit M. Fi dal go O-?8 184 $111.500 $622 narket hm 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit 060104 Beach 0-10 100 52?.066 S170 "arki", .d 2 Caldwell Banker Skagi t Sinclair 4q.00 MO =4, 500 S 160 narket n 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit Dec. Pass 0.69 ISO S75,000 S5300 market he tidelands I Coldmell 84nker Skagi t Si ni I k Bamj 0.21 100 S65,000 $650 narkot h mater I Southside, Realty Skagit M. Fidalgo 2-09 100 S78,500 S785 market hm 0 Coldmall Son or Skagi t Fi d-A- go 8.15 ?b-0 51?7,000 S236 mark,&-t 0 Skagit Co. MLS Skagit Sinclair E. 82.00 13:36 5200,000 5150 market h" 0 Coldmell Banker Skagit Cypress 5.00 330 549,500 $150 mark-i-t h 0 Caldwell Banker Skagit GLMMOS I. -4.00 -100 S136,500 S-311 market I beach 2 Fidalgo Realty Skagit Skyline 0.25 :30 S80,000 S1,000 flarket I extensive Prep. --hwelopnont 2 Skyline Realty Skagm t Deception Pass 0-30 130 575,000 S1,7? ro-arket h Mater I Southside Realty Skagit Guenas 114-00 5-- IS $3,000,000 S561 r"rket ho timber 1 Caldwell Banker Skagit Burroughs Ray 8.00 375- "25.000 S-?87 market h 0 Southside Realty Skagit Fidalgo 86.00 22@39 S590,000 S-265 market 0 Skagit Co. MLS Skagit Fidalgo 0.30 -10 S60,000 S1.500 narket 0 Skagit Co. ILS Skagit Sinclair 0.22 75 510,000 -5 133 narkot h" 0 Coldmell Banker RESPONSE TO COMMENTS 1. GENERAL Public comments on the appendix titled "The Economics of Salmon Farming" are grouped for response under appropriate headings of that document. Before turning to specific discussion, though, a comment is in order concerning the scope of the economic study that was defined by responsible Washington State officials and represented to the public in the lead paragraph of the executive summary. "The report examines.three economic issues arising from recent growth in Washington's salmon farming industry. The first issue is potential gains in output, income, and employment to the economies of the state and to selected counties. 'ne second is impact on revenues and expenditures of state government, and the third is implications for real estate values of various (externally provided) assumptions concerning visual impacts of salmon farming facilities." The report examined neither the universe of policy issues elsewhere addressed in the EIS, nor the subset of those issues amenable to economic analysis or comment. Hence, the reader is referred other sections of the EIS for discussion of the effects of environmental wasteloadings and fish disease; consequences for sport and commercial fishing, marine recreation; and economic effects of public perception concerning environmental quality. An article by James A Crutchfield (Appendix L) provides an overview of the Washington salmon farming issue from an economic as well as policy perspective. 2. INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS (Sections 11, 111, Regional input-output analysis was conducted according to theoretical principles articulated by Harry Richardson (Input- Output Analysis and Regional Economics,1972) and empirically implemented in the US Forest Service Implant System. Both these works are cited in the appendix and are generally familiar to practitioners of regional economics in the Pacific Northwest. Results were expressed in terms of gross revenues (in total and by sector), household incomes, and employment. Independent estimates were provided for Washington State and each examined county. One comment alluded to the need for independent replication of these results. Crutchfield provides a partial basis for comparison. Crutchfield reported 7 - 10 direct employees for a 500,000-pound facility, or 14 - 20 direct employees per million pounds of production. 'ne representative (one million pounds sold at $5/lb) fish farm used to calculated input-output results for this appendix assumed 20 fish farming employees. Additionally, the representative facility assumed 8 employees in an associated hatchery, and 5 administrative employees for the managing firm. It is unknown whether Crutchfield included either of these components in his estimate. Crutchfield also estimated that between 140 and 200 full-time jobs would directly or indirectly result from a 5 million pound industry selling its product at $4/lb. The reported low range estimate of 257 jobs best corresponds to Crutchfield's conclusions, by eliminating $1/lb of net profit from the regional income account. Responses to specific comments on input-output analysis are as follows. 1. Use of constant ratios (expenditures per dollar of revenue, etc) is standard procedure in the input-output literature, as well as being reasonable in the current situation where impacts are small relative to the magnitude of effected state and county economies. 2. Independent county models do exist, as di-scussed above, those being derived from the implant system. 3. State impacts were separately calculated from an independen t state model, not aggregated from county results. 4. The local economic impacts of import substitution (replacing imports with locally produced fish) are essentially the same as for export of the same volume and value of product. 5. Whether hatchery location, and thus employment, occurs in the same county as the fish farm will vary in the individual case, with effects on county but not state results. While collocation was assumed in this assessment of overall industry development, case specific information should be introduced in the evaluation of specific sites. The same comment pertains to case specific variations from the representative facility in terms of production volume and/or facility mix (hatchery, farm, administrative unit) 3. FISCAL IMPACTS (Section V) The analysis of fiscal impacts relied on the results of input-output analysis and published data on five categories of state revenue and three categories of state expenditure. For each category, fiscal factors were calculated that represented the relationship between state revenues and costs on the one hand, and input-output results (output, income or employment) on the other. Multiplication of fiscal factors by these input-output results produced the reported state fiscal results. Local government fiscal impacts, as well as site specific salmon farming costs, were too diverse and variable to permit similar estimation. The conclusion was ambiguous. That is, depending on the fiscal factors used, and the input-output results to which they were applied, the Washington State government came out ahead or behind on its own fiscal account. Concerning lack of emphasis on the fiscal analysis that was done, the executive summary reflects the ambiguous conclusion on cost account as follows: "These economic impact results provided the basis for estimates of state fiscal (revenue and expenditure) consequences. Depending on the economic impact values used and the method of relating economic impact to fiscal consequences, salmon farming would [annually] contribute $36 - $2.26 million to state revenues and $1.08 - $1.48 to state expenditures." A reading of this paragraph should adequately alert the reader to the reports conclusion that, depending on method of calculation, the state government account comes out either ahead or behind. 4. PROPERTY VALUE (Section VI) DATA: Primary data on waterfront property was collected from county assessors, real estate offices, and multiple listing services. There were 335 listings in total and at least 41 from each county. Descriptive summary tables indicated the range of variation in front footage value between counties and property classifications (high/low bank, degree of development). That data is useful only for its intended purpose and should not be regarded as a general purpose data base for other purposes. One commentor found Skagit County values different from her experience. I would need to examine both sets of data to evaluate this difference. STATISTICS: A multiple regression equation was estimated in order to isolate the effects of known variables (county, bank type, degree of development) from residual variance. The first step in determining impacts on property values was to assign all residual variance to aesthetic quality. This procedure maximized salmon farming impacts, relative to any apportionment of residual variance between aesthetic and other value determining factors. This simple statistical procedure for producing high range results was adopted over the more sophisticated hedonic pricing approach. In other environmental resource evaluation applications (such as sport fishery evaluation) hedonic pricing is used to directly determine resource value impacts attributable to resource characteristics. An example would be the use of angler success rates as a partial determinate of total angler day values. Available financial resources and data fell far short of that required by the hedonic pricing approach. INTERPRETATION: The only direct information on the actual effect of salmon farms on property values was a cited appraisers report (Appendix K) which concluded that "floating net pens have no effect on upland property values in the areas studied [Peal Passage, Mason County, and Rich Passage Kitsap County]." Assumed losses were nevertheless included, as discussed below. 5. BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS (Section VII) Benefit-cost analysis was performed in terms of statewide annual gains and losses. These were derived from the results of the foregoing estimation procedure by application of factors reported in Table 7.2. One of these adjustments factors was the 8 % real interest rate (financial rate less inflation) used to convert the asset value of waterfront property to annual terms. Salmon farming impacts on these asset values were included as costs, in spite of the above assertion of no discernable effect. This was accomplished by introducing into the benefit-cost analysis two additional factors reflecting the assumption that a defined quality index would decline from 10 to 20 percent over 5 to 10 miles of shoreline per site. This procedure was adopted to allow readers prepared. to assume adverse impact to readily examine the economic implications of their assumptions. Considerable emphasis was given to the fact that such reader provided assumptions were necessary to give meaning to this procedure. One commentor suggested that a better alternative to this quantitative approach would have been to rely on qualitative judgment of all identified impacts. The main body of the EIS, to which this appendix is supplementary, should provide the basis for such judgement. APPENDIX F PERMITS THAT MAY BE REQUIRED FOR AQUACULTURE PROJECTS Permits which may be required for an aquaculture project. Federal Permits Issuing AggnQ@ Section 10 Permit Army Corps of Engineers Navigational Markings U.S. Coast Guard Marine Mammal Protection Act National Marine Fisheries Service Exemption State Permits Aquatic Land Lease Department of Natural Resources Hydraulic Project Approval Department of Fisheries or Wildlife Statement of Consistency with Department of Ecology C7.1 Coastal Zone Management Act Water Quality Certification Department of Ecology Water Quality Standards Modification Department of Ecology National Pollutant Discharge Department of Ecology Elimination (NPDES) Permit Aquacultural Identification of Department of Agriculture Private Sector Products Registration of Aquatic Farmers Department of Fisheries Fish Disease Control Department of Fisheries Shellfish Certification Department of Health Finfish Import/Transfer Department of Fisheries Local Pgrmits Shoreline Substantial Development County or City APPENDIX G VIRAL HEMORRHAGIC SEPTICEMIA Viral hemorrhagic septicemia (VHS), also known in Europe as Egtved disease (named after a town in Denmark where the disease was first recognized), is an acute to chronic disease, principally of rainbow trout, caused by a virus of the same name; i.e., VHSV. There is much concern in Washington State and North America because of the isolation of this virus here in 1988. Some people speculated that VHSV was introduced into Washington as a result of aquaculture and sea-water net-pen activity with Atlantic salmon. The scientific community has found no evidence to support this speculation. This paper presents information about VHSV, how and where it was found in North America and some suggestions as to the mode of introduction and potential impact. BACKGROUND AND BIOLOGY OF VHSV VHS is caused by a rhabdovirus. It occurs in continental Europe in the countries with intensive salmonid culture to include Denmark, France, Germany, and Italy. Observations of VHS have also been made in Poland, Czechoslovakia and is suspected to be in Russia (Wolf 1988). The disease was observed in a trout farm in Norway in the mid-1960s where rainbow trout had been imported from Denmark. The disease was eradicated from the farm and has not reappeared in Norway (Hastein 1968 and personal communication). VHS has never has observed in Finland or Great Britain. The virus is very similar in its characteristics to a virus which does occur in North America -infectious hematopoietic necrosis virus (IHNV). They both cause acute to chronic mortality in rainbow trout with fry being the most seriously affected and having the highest mortality. Species shown to be naturally infected by VHSV include rainbow trout, brook trout, whitefish, grayling, and pike (Wolf, 1988; Rasmussen, 1965). While researchers have been able to induce VHS in Atlantic salmon by an unnatural challenge (interperitoneal injections) they have been unable to induce disease by a water-borne challenge in the laboratory (Rasmussen 1965; deKinkelin and Castric 1982). In one challenge, deKinkelin was able to demonstrate in the laboratory the presence of VHSV in Atlantic salmon fry after exposure; however, the fish did not become diseased nor were the Atlantics able to subsequently shed the virus and infect sentinel rainbow trout in the same tank (deKinkelin and Castric 1982). VHSV has never reported to have been found in hatchery or wild Atlantic salmon stocks even though extensive surveys and certifications have been performed. Coho and chinook salmon have both been demonstrated to be resistant to VHSV infection by both a water-borne challenge and interperitoneal injections (deKinkelin et al. 1974; Ord 1976). The manner in which viruses are isolated and broodstock are tested is also of interest. For salmon and trout broodstocks in Washington or stocks outside Washington wishing to enter the state, rigorous testing procedures are required. Samples of gonadal fluids, as well as a kidney and spleen are taken from a statistically significant portion of the population. The samples are assayed in a living tissue culture system using standard methods (Amos 1985). Personnel and laboratories conducting these certifications are inspected and approved by Washington Department of Fisheries personnel. Our staff and the Olympia Fish Health Center (USFWS) were using these standard techniques when they isolated VHSV in Washington state. 1 The known method by which VHSV is transmitted from fish to fish is via the water or by ingesting infected material. This method of pathogen transmission is known as horizontal transmission. This process also takes place with IHNV. Another method by which virus may be transmitted is via the eggs or sex products. During spawning of susceptible species (rainbow trout) VHSV and IH14V have been found to be present with the sex products. When pathogens are transmitted from the parents to the offspring via the eggs or sperm, this is referred to as vertical transmission. True vertical transmission implies transmission of thepathogen within the eggs. This has never been demonstrated to occur. We have observed a phenomenon with IHNV which is more appropriately described as "egg-associated" virus transmission in which either through surface contamination or possibly within the egg virus subsequently causes infection. These observations were made on eggs incubated in well water so the assumption was made that the known infected parents were the source, of the virus which infected the eggs. The distinction between transmission on the egg or within the egg, is important as the surface of the egg can be exposed to disinfectant while the inside of the egg cannot be disinfected. Even though egg-associated transmission of IHNV has been observed, it is not a common event and has been observed only in sockeye salmon and rainbow trout. VHSV has never been observed as being egg-transmitted. ISOIATION IN WASHINGTON STATE Routine broodstock screening for virus in chinook salmon at Glenwood Springs (Orcas Island) and coho salmon at the Makah National Fish Hatchery (Neah Bay) yielded replicating agents which were identified to be VH:SV. This was a remarkable find in that VHSV had never been found previously in North America. Furthermore, contrary to the exisfing literature, VHSV had never been described in coho or chinook. As was previously stated, researchers in Europe were unable to induce infections in chinook or cobo. As a result of those isolations, an action plan was put into effect by the Washington Department of Fisheries. All fish and eggs at the affected hatcheries were destroyed and disposed of in a sanitary manner. The facilities were completely disinfected. Our intent was to eradicate VHSV. This was consistent with state and federal regulations and policies. Subsequent surveys and live box testing of the watersheds failed to find virus. Testing of fish in adjacent watersheds and also of feral fishes in the marine area failed to produce VHS virus. Because of the concern that commercial net pens might have been the source of the virus they were examined also. Consistent with ongoing testing and viral certification of commercial broodstocks in Washington, they were all negative for virus. In addition to testing, a thorough reiriew was made of introductions of fish from Europe. We were unable to find documentation of introduction of fish from VHSV endemic area into Washington. Since 1985 when commercial imports of fish came under the Washington Department of Fisheries' jurisdiction, very few imports of eggs have come to the state. These eggs have come from Norway and Finland, where VHSV is not known to exist. Furthermore, the broodstock which provided the eggs were carefully scrutinized. Records of the Washington Department of Fisheries and those maintained by customs inspectors and USFWS inspectors are in agreement. 2 Virus inspections of 100% of the adult salmon returning to Glenwood Springs and the Makah NFH as well as extensive screening of public and private salmon stocks failed to isolate VHSV in 1989 broodstock with one exception to date (1/5/90). Coho salmon adults returning to spawn to the Lummi Island Sea Ponds (saltwater rearing ponds operated by the Lummi Tribe) were shown to be infected with VHSV. Only one pool of samples was demonstrated to contain virus which likely represents only one but not more than five individuals. As in 1988, this isolation was made from adults immediately leaving the straits which again suggests that infections took place in the Pacific Ocean/ Puget Sound. Though WDF efforts to eradicate this virus from the Glenwood and Makah facilities appears to have been successful, the source or opportunity for infection seems to persist. Yet to be resolved is the source or the reservoir for infection of VHSV in Washington state. All the hatcheries are in proximity to the Straits of Juan de Fuca and all hatcheries are very close to sea water. The data suggests that the adult salmon were infected as they entered the hatcheries and were, therefore, infected in saltwater. Potential sources of infection could be: (1) unknown carrier fish in the ocean, which are circurnpolar in nature which came in contact with or were ingested by the salmon; (2) introduction of carrier fish or animals in bilge water discharged off the Washington Coast; (3) a condition which has existed in our salmon stocks for many years, but below detection level; and (4) the legal or illegal introduction of fish or fish products into Washington which, in turn, established a reservoir in some carrier animal in saltwater. Many questions remain to be answered such as: How is our VHSV similar/different to European strains? Does our isolate cause disease and if so, in what species? What is the reservoir for the virus? Research to be conducted in 1990 will address these questions. SUMMARY � VHSV was reported for the first time in North America in 1989 in coho and chinook salmon adults in Washington state in 1988 broodstock. � VHSV isolated in adult coho salmon in 1989 broodstock returning to Lummi Bay Ponds, a new site. � No disease or mortality was associated with the VHSV isolations in Washington state. � Extensive surveys failed to show the source of the infection. � Infection of the adult salmon appears to have occurred in saltwater. � No VHSV was found in fish from commercial net-pens. � VHSV has never been reported to occur in Atlantic salmon. 3 VHSV has never been demonstrated to be transmitted via the eggs. No evidence was found which indicated that import of eggs by public, private, or Indian tribal entities was responsible for introducing VHSV. 4 REFERENCES Amos, K.H., editor. 1985. Procedures for the detection and identification of certain fish pathogens. 3rd ed. Fish Health Section, American Fisheries Society. Corvallis, Oregon. deKinkelin, P. and I Castric. 1982. An experimental study of the susceptibility of Atlantic salmon fry, Salmo salar L, to viral haemorrhagic septicaemia. J. Fish Dis. 5:57-65. deKinkelin, P., M. Le Berre, A. Meurillon, and M. Calmels. 1974. Septicemie hemorragique virale: demonstration de 1'etat refractaire du saumon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) et de la truite fario (salmo trutta). Bull. Fr. Piscic. 253:166- 176. Hastein, T., G. Holt, and J. Krogsrud. 1968. Hemorrhagisk virusseptikemi (Egtvedsyke) hos regnbueorret i Norge. Nord. Vet. Med. 20:708-711. Ord, W. 1975. Resistance of chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tschawytscha) fingerlings experimentally infected with viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus. Bull. Fr. Piscic. 257:149-152. Ord, W., M. Le Beffe, and P. deVinkelin. 1976. Viral hemorrhagic septicemia: comparative susceptibility of rainbow trout (Salmo gairdneri) and hybrids (S. gairdneri X Oncorhynchus kisutch) to experimental infection. I Fish Res. Board Can. 33:1205- 1208. Rasmussen, C.J. 1965. A biological study of the Egtved disease (INUL). Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci. 126:427-460. Wolf, K. 1988. Fish viruses and fish viral diseases. Cornell University Press, New York. 5 APPENDIX H NORWEGIAN AND BRITISH COLUMBIA INFORMATION ICES 1988 PAPER C.M. 1988/F:11 LENKA - A NATION-WIDE ANALYSIS OF THE SUITABILITY OF THE NORWEGIAN COAST AND WATERCOURSES FOR AQUACULTURE. A COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT PROGRAM by Tom N. Pedersen". Jan Aure3', Bjorn Berthelsen", Siri Elvestad", Arne S. Ervik" and HAkon Kryvi2l. 1) 2) Institute of Marine Research County Environmental Division of Aquaculture Protection Department C. Sundtsgt. 37 Walckendorffsgt. 7 N - 5004 Bergen N - 5000 Bergen 3) 4) Institute of Marine Research Ministry of Environment Box 1870 - Nordnes Department of Natural Resources N 5034 Bergen P.b. 8013 Dep. 0030 Oslo 1 ABSTRACT A coastal zone management program called LENKA was started in 1987 and is to be terminated in 1989. The aim is to make an efficient and standardized tool for coastal zone planning, which, pertaining to law, is the responsibility of the county and municipality. The program aims to be beneficial for both the environment and for the fish farmers. Considera- tion is taken to all important existing utilization and judicial aspects connected to the Norwegian coastal waters. This is done by a systematic collection of all available data. systemized in such a way that they are available for future planning. A model for the evaluation of the holding capacity primarily for cage culture based on both oceanographical and topographical criteria is put forth. The coast is divided into three categories of recipient based on topography. A central clue in this model is the evaluation of indices for the quantity of aquacultural activities (measured as organic deposits into the recipient) one may have per square kilometer in differently categor- ized recipients. 2 INTRODUCTIO14 Aquaculture in Norway is based on salmon and rainbow trout. The growth of the industry has been rapid, with an almost two fold production increase every second year. The total production this year is expected to be about 80 000 metric tonnes, but the continued growth is expected to be slower. Up to now. the limitation has mainly been on the number of smolts available, this situation is now reversed. partly due to the libera- tion of smolt production permits. There is a keen interest in the potential of cultivating marine species, especially halibut and cod. Much effort is put into solving the problems of the rearing of juveniles, and this seems to be solved for cod and turbot. Other species of interest are arctic char. wolf fish. eel and lump fish. Some shellfish are being cultured. mostly blue mussels and oysters. in addition to experiments on scallops. Also and some experiments on ranching of lobster is being performed. The main asset in Norway for this rapid growth in the aquaculture industry has been the access to vast amounts of water of good quality, both fresh water and salt water. Space and water quality was not a limiting factor to begin with, but is becoming so now. So far, the only measurement available in the assessment of holding capacity, is the amounts of organic waste from mariculture. There is a need for a planning tool. consisting of directions and know- ledge, to aid the development in such a way so that a high productivity is maintained at the same time as conflicts with fisheries, conservation interests, leisure activities and other utilization is kept low. The tool will have to be standardized and rational. Both county and local municipality have the need for a plan on how to utilize the marine resources. The county plan is a guiding one, the judicial binding is not persistent before there exists a plan approved of by the local municipality. This paper, written by the expert group on marine environment, presents the biological and oceanographical aspects of the project. 3 This is a description of an ongoing project where the guidelines are not yet completed. As we believe that there is a considerable interest in these matters, we find it appropriate to give some information on the project at its present state. THE PROJECT The project is a cooperation of three ministries, the Ministry of Fish- eries, the Ministry of Environment and the Ministry of Local Government and Labour. Its name LENRA is a Norwegian abbreviation meaning: A Nation-wide Analysis of the Suitability of the Norwegian Coast and Watercourses for Aquaculture. The project aims to : S To contribute to a continued positive development and growth of the aquaculture industry with minimal conflicts with other utilizational and conservational interests. * To contribute to the county and municipality planning in the coastal areas and watercourses. 8 To contribute to the siting process of aquacultural activities. The project is a planning tool, and not a plan in itself. Further, it does not aim at the site as a working level, but handles larger areas as the base unit, later referred to as LENKA zones. Project organization Figure 1 gives a schematic picture of the project organization. The development of the working methods is done by the three expert groups and the secretariat at the Ministry of Environment, while the gathering of data. map work etc. is to be performed by the county project organizations. The three expert groups are placed at the institu- tions with the relevant competence. The group working with watercourses 4 Head of project 1E 3 expert Project Contact persons groups working group to other F ministries and Marine environment other Water courses 7 authorities Maps and computing Secretariat cou@ty project 11or2anization (17) Figure 1: The LENKA - project organization. The head of the Project consists of the Secretaries General from Lhe Ministries of Fisheries and Environment. The project Workini; group has 3 members from the Ministry of Fisheries, 3 from the Ministry of Environment and 1 member from the Ministry of Local Government and Labour. The Secretariat is placed at the Ministry of Environment. is placed at the Directorate for Nature Management. Trondheim. The group working with maps and computing: is placed at the Norwegian Hydrographic Service, Stavanger. The two latter's part of the project will not be presented in this paper. The group working with the aspects concerning the marine environment is placed at the Institute of Marine Research, Bergen. In addition. the group also has members from other institutions, such as the County Environ- mental Protection Department, the Ministry of Environment and Nordland College, Bodo. The project has a total cost of 40 million NOK spread over three years. THE MAIN WORKING PROCEDURE 71 C' ( A17 The main working procedure of the project is shown in figure 2 (next page). j Coas@al zone partitioning Typification Environ Existing on) Infra- g7al ment exploitati structure S ci areas r,17@Z=ones of Fno@@ C3 Sorting procedure Zones not to be Decision of further 7 further ----- ON- investigations investigated furth@r investigations i + Environ- Infi-a- d Special- ment 'on) structure areas _4 * .4 assessme I 9 Capacity nt Need for further investigations 7oais p ;ta ti on Ub of f Dher__.o .7ions E -sting xploi Te tati Cap; ss ,7a Figure 2 The main working procedure of the LENKA project. 6 ZONE PARTITIONING In order to be able to deal with our 57 000 km long coast line in por- tions of manageable size, a partitioning is necessary. The principle of the partitioning is that each major water volume should be handled separate- ly. Roughly, the coastal zone is divided into smaller areas (LENKA- zones) each being either an archipelago, a fjord, a large sound or an open fjord basin. The smaller areas will reflect the water bodies capacity to handle the organic loadings received from both aquaculture and other sources. In order to separate the water volumes, the borders should to a large extent as possible follow land. An exaTriple of how this looks like is shown in appendix 1, where the partitioning of County Hordaland (where Bergen is situated) is shown. TYPIFICATION Typification of zones is a registration of the environmental properties of the area. In this project the aim is to collect and systemize the data that already exist. For some parameters the data will be scarce. This is taken into consideration, and follows the description of the area. The compiled information will be transferred to maps,. the result being a visualized presentation of the environmental properties of the marine environment. Similarly, this is done for the other three main groups of parameters, Existing exploitation. Infraatructure and Special areas. The following parameters and their significance were used for the typi- fication of the zones. These are the major environmental parameters that have influence on the utilization of the coastal areas for aquaculture. We would like to note that we do not consider any technological devise that frees the farming installment from the marine environment surrounding it. This is mere a question of economy, and will not be considered in this project. 7 ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS USED FOR TYPIFICATION OF ZONES Pollution : The point in this connection is that the contamination of the environment effects the health or the marketability of the fish raised in these waters. Also, we distinguish between two categories of pollution-, toxins as one kind and organic loadings as another. Most important are the massive outlets from industry and agriculture. Some areas are severely polluted by heavy metals and toxins from specialized industries. In addition there are several smaller sources of various kinds of pollution with a more or less restricted effect on the marine environment. Temperature : When considering temperature conditions in Norwegian waters, low temperatures is the main hindrance of aquacultural activities, though there are some problems with too high summer temperatures in some parts of the country. Of interest are the extreme temperatures occurring within a time span of 5 - 6 years (our definition of frequent). Areas reckoned as unsuitable for aquaculture have regular long periods, that is 6 weeks or more, with temperatures below zero centigrade. Measurements ought to be taken at depths of 2 to 5 metres. Ice cover : Of interest are the areas covered with ice at least every five years. Exposure : The actual parameter here is wave height. though current velocity also is part of the exposure problem. Current in itself only occurs as a problem locally, but infers on the wave height. Suitable areas for cage culture is where the wave height does not exceed 2 m. For wind to generate such a wave height, a stretch of 10 km open water is needed. Here we would like to add that the general development of the aquaculture industry in Norway has been towards more robust cage constructions, with cage systems being able to stand up to wave heights of up to both two and three metres. Depth conditions The depth required under the cages is dependent on the current velocity to ensure that the wastes from the farm is spread. Also this is a way to avoid possible eruptions of hydrogen sulf[de gas from the sediment that often accumulates under the cages to reach the fish in the cages. As a general rule we have set 20 m depth to toe a minimum criterion for cage culture, with the possibility of adjustments to current velocity. Basins A basin is a water volume restricted from the outer lying larger water masses by a threshold. A basin is defined ets where the depth of the basin is at least 10 m deeper than the threshold. This water volume is sensitive to organic loadings, causing a possible disturbance of the oxygen balance. All thresholds shallower than 50 m have been registered. Salinity : The influence of freshwater causes several problems for the fish farms. A layer of brackish water on top of the salt water resulting in a strict stratification, may cause severe fluctuations in salinity and also fluctua- tions in temperature. As a limit for whem the influence of fresh waiter becomes a problem, we have put the salinity measurement to 25 ppt. Other main groups of parameters Under the heading of existing !@xploitati:)n we list the followings para- meters - effects on settlement patterns - open air recreation life - port development - fisheries - shipping traffic - other factors Further, there is a separate heading called infrastructure, dealing with the particular requirements which should be met for an aquaculture enterprise to succeed. Main parameters are - road development - distribution of manufactured foed - processing facilities - health service and guiding sex-vice - offal disposal systems. The last heading is special areas. conditions that might conflict with 9 further development of aquacultural activities. Examples here are - spawning grounds for important fisheries species - reserves for coastal birds and marine mammals - others. A MODEL FOR CAPACITY ASSESSMENT Some imperative reservations : With capacity we mean holdinic capacity, which is - the maximum produc- tion limited by a non trophic resource. Or put in a simpler way, what quantity of aquacultural activity is possible in an area without there being damage caused to the environment. This is measured as deteriora- tion due to organic overloading causing eutrophication, oxygen depletion a.s.o.. This method of capacity assessment of LENKA zones is based on the emphasis of two main considerations : 1) the environmental impact from mariculture 2) the marine environment's impact on the cultured organism. It is by no means possible to give exact values on what loadings from mariculture are acceptable, that is, how much organic waste from maricul- ture is possible without any negative influence on the surrounding environment. Some general recommendations are given in the State Pollu- tion Control Act, the entire aspects are being dealt with by the Ministry of Environment and the State Pollution Control Authority. The total environmental impact from fish farms will manifest themselves several years after the farm has started production. To be able to assess any capacity for aquaculture, one has to take into consideration the contribution from all major sources of organic loadings. Elements of the capacity assessment : Many parameters affect the capacity assessment. Not only the above mentioned parameters are of importance. The LENKA - project takes into consideration the elements shown in figure 3. and the working procedure is shown in figure 4. As is shown, there are two main aspect in the 10 Local distribution, Conditions economy a.s.o. Ohl. Need for investments Opt- Permit decisions (size and and enterprizes distances), technology, species a.s.o. Other exploitational int. Occupied Risk for expl.: areas conflicts capacity vailable gross Available Available capacity for areal org. ioadings capacity Figure 3 Elements of the capacity assessment. capacity assessment. One aspect is the evaluation of the capacity for organic loadings in water body MENKA zone). This is done by treating the zones properties as a recipient for organic loadings. The other aspect is based on space. The water body. or more precise. parts of it, is occupied by other activities as mentioned earlier. There exists a net area available to aquacultural activities. One of these will set the limit to aquacultural activities. In our capacity assessment we have based the calculations on organic loadings. and thereby neglected limitations set by factors such as risk for spreading of diseases. use of chemicals and therapeutica etc. There exists a veterinary regulation on distance betwe-en farms. this is set to 1 km. Criteria as such may be altered as the knowledge increases. 'M ents I ta tio nal int isk for expl 0n fl icts The recipient capacity Classification of coastal areas within the zones Classification is based on topography. This again reflects the water exchange regime in the area, as well as being an indicator of the area's Recipient Area A-areas C-a7rpD C m km 2 17km Capacity for Unsuitable areas (envinomk.@ organic loadings A-areas -Shallowareas -Temperature -Salinity -Ice cover Minus: -Exposed areas Existing fishfanns and other sources for org. loadin S 9) r-unsuitable areas (culture -Pollution I'Mailable Available Available capacity r (c.@apacity for capacity for org. loadii gs A rg. loadin s B (org. loadings @C OLcupied areas Net A I B I C D areas Choose Regulations on the smallest size and distances of available capacity for organic loadings areal and available. capacity for A- B- and C Available A B C areal capacity Gross available capacity A-capacity Either capacity for +B-capacity organic loadings +C-capacity or available areal capacity C-1, he n or, S _T -S -it E Po 'u'ion it for D ing g. B 71yd @Oc,'cupied jareas Icily ings Availab r I @@a eal -a ase t a -1 le ca coa Ire @,u a' it liab Ile C fa th C,b v. I for org. n Id 'v,I capacity rorA BIndC Figure 4 Calculation of gross available capacity. 12 property as a recipient. An exact classification with illustrations is given in Appendix 2. For each recipient category A, B and C there is given an index for how much aquacultural activity is recommended. This is expressed as a certain production in terms of tonnes per square kilometre. Here we would like to emphasize what care was taken before these indices were given. The procedure was as follows : From empirical data we were able to extract the general statement on how large production one could have in & specific area without it causing damage to the environment. The effects: were investigated by sediment fauna monitoring. These levels of production were converted to production per square kilometre. Again, based on facts about Norwegian fish farms, these values were converted to organic loadings. expressed as oxygen consumption, total phosphorous and total nitrogen. As a correction factor one would have to adjust these figures for other major outlets of organic waste. At the moment we are, together with the appropriate institutions, giving a simplified method for estimating the impact on the marine recipient based on key figures ready available. The capacity is calculated in terms of organic waste, and is therefore in- dependent on the technology being used. New technologies resulting in reduced outlets from the farms can easily be incorporated in the cal- culations. Further, when capacity is expressed as production as tonnes per kM2, this sets restriction to the size of single farms and to the total activity in larger areas. The values are not decided yet, but the capacity will be expressed as the following A - categorized areas : a maximum production per (4x4) kms. but not more than a lesser specifies quantity at a single site. A site is defined as occupying a minimum of 1 km2. Where the recipient conditions are par- ticularly good, and the number of sites available is restricted. one may exceed these recommendations. B - categorized areas : similarly as above, there is given a maximum production per (4x4) kmz, and a lesser one at a single site. 13 The capacity per (4x4) kml will be in the magnitude within one thousand metric tonnes for both A- and B - categorized areas. C - categorized areas : these areas are basins and silled fjords, and special care should be taken in such areas. Aure & Stigebrandt have developed a model for the calculation of oxygen consumption in silled fjords (Aure and Stigebrandt 1988, Stigebrandt and Aure 1988). and this can in turn be used as a method for the calculation of capacity in terms of organic loadings. The calculations can be done given the hydrographic data and topographical maps. Where there is oxygen depletion in the basin water, aquacultural activities are not recommended in silled fjords. In basins within archipelagos one should ensure that the water in the deeper layers of the basin does not suffer from oxygen depletion. This means that in an area categorized as a C grade recipient, no aquacultural activities are recommended before one has sufficient data so that damage to the environment is avoided. This method is dependent on a monitoring and control scheme, and this will have to be a perpet-191 process, In this way there is the possibility of adjusting the proposed capacity assessment, and at there is possibility of keeping an eye on what is happening to the environment. The monitor- ing and control schemes are not established. The &real capacity Unsuitable areas : Each LENKA - zone has a gross area divided into A, B and C type recipients. Parts of these areas may be unsuitable for aquaculture, that is. unsuitable for cage culture for as it is practiced in Norway. Unsuitable areas consist of environmentally unfavorable areas from both natural conditions and as a result of man's activities. The last case is mainly pollution. and in this case pollution of toxicants that directly affect the fish health and marketability. The environmental parameters taken into account are : Shallow areas, cold water. low salinity, ice cover and exposed areas. In addition to these unsuitable areas there are certain areas that are 14 bound up by other activities. Such areas are - area already occupied by existing aquacultural activities - nature reserves and animal protection areas (both birds and sea mammals) - security zones for salmonid fish In addition areas are occupied for military purposes and for ship naviga- tion. Having subtracted all these areas, one is left with a net areal capacity which can be compared with the recipient capacity. The smallest of these will set the limit. All these calculations will. be performed by computers as all the information is to be tabulated ready for a for this purpose constructed work sheet. Finally, we would like to mention the work initiated to eliminate the interactions between wild stocks of salmon and trout and farmed fish. The possibility of affecting the genetics and spreading of diseases has been much debated. There is now suggested temporary protection zones for salmonids. with a supporting research program. Further information on this is available on request. In addition to the names and addresses in the author list, there are a few more names to add. If anybody should have any particular interests, the following persons may be contacted MAPS AND COMPUTING WATERCOURSES Asbiorn Hiksdal Oystein )Ubu Norwegian Hydrographic Service Directorate of Nature Management P.b. 60 Tungasle-fta 2 N - 4001 Stavanger N - 7047 Trondheim PROTECTION ZONES FOR SALMONIDS Bjorn Lindgren Ministry of Environment Department of Natural Resources P.b. 8013 Dep. 0030 Oslo 1 15 REFERENCES Aure, J. and Stigebrandt, A., 1988 : An investigation of 30 fjords in More and Romsdal : The field program and general oceanogra- phical conditions (in prep.. in Norwegian). Berthelsen, B. and Pedersen, T. N. (eds.). 1987 : Zone partitioning and numbering of the coastal areas. LENKA - method 2 1 - 10. (In Norwegian). LENKA - Secretariat (eds.) 1987 : Typification of coastal areas. LENKA - method 5 : 1 - 42. (In Norwegian). LENKA - Secretariat and Marine Environment Expert Group, 1988 Capacity Assessment of LENKA zones. LENKA - method 9.1 : 1 - 35. (In Norwegian). Stigebrandt, A and Aure, J.. 1988 : On the influence of topographic factors upon the oxygen consumption rate in sill fjors basins. Submitted to : Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 88 : 01. Appendix I 9 SOONESAEU 'A TIRE r FEW FE J0' E HELLIS8V j% LV %A 0 vt%so OSTYOYA 10 ZI 6; V.@-v r) SAMNA'GEM- Z R. N VANO , Zo ULLEMSVANO b! FJ. 14ARST IN kt cs- by I I 'A ""Gelt 1141F 10j SLOT TEROY S T .4 , ft 04ATMEIrJ IIALSNO J/0 1b AKRAF)DADEN L Q 3Z oo oooo Figure 5 Example of zone partitioning for the County Hordaland. Western Norway. 17 Append 2 Division of the coastal zone into smaller areas based on assumed water exchange rate caused by topography. A : Open coastal areas and large fjords where depth is larger than 50 m. Ai Open coastal areas where depth is larger than 50 m. Size and sills are not considered. As Large fjords where : Length of more than 10 km, and No presence of sills". B Other areas with good water exchange. BiL Open, sill - free areas as A, (archipelagos) and large fjords as As but where largest depth is less than 50 m. Length above or less than 10 km. Depth" is less than 50 m. No presence of sills. Be Smaller fjords, bays and inlets where Length is less than 10 km. No presence of sills. Depth is greater than 50 m. Be Large. silled fjords3) where : I ength is greater than 10 km. Presence of sills. Depth may be more than 50 m. C Small silled fjords an other siUed areas (archipelagos) Length of fjord less than 10 km. Presence of sills". Depth may be more than 50 m. Examples are shown on the sketch on the next page. A silled area is defined as an area where the inside basin is at least 10 m deeper than the sill. Sills down to 50 m are regi- stered. Fjords are reckoned as shallower than 50 m when more than 60 % of the area fulfills this criterion. Fjords and other areas with several succeeding sills is reckoned as a "new fjord" when the succeeding sill is shallower than the preceding one. In sounds and basins within archipelagos with several sills, the deepest sill is reckoned as the main entrance to the basin. io .............. Ai A 2 L,,[Okm IPSOm To 7 50 01, BI ------------------------- 17 to Ktn TV 4 B3 --17: 4 10 It's OT so V:A Figure 6 Examples of division into categories A. B and C. Legend D = depth. L length, Tv = threshold depth. BRITISH COLUMBIA AQUACULTURE LICENSING & REGULATIONS September 27, 1989 AQUACULTURE LICENSING AND REGULATIONS - A SUMMARY Rationale for Provincial Aquaculture L' A large, completely new industry that is dependent on common property resources cannot exist in a vacuum of government involvement. Appropriate government intervention is needed to protect the public interest, yet ensure that the economic benefits of the aquaculture industry accrue to British Columbia. The size and growth rate of aquaculture has threatened other interest groups. Thig significant new industry needs some regulation to ensure responsible growth and development and at the same time Provide a comfort factor for groups that feel threatened and would block further 9quaculture development, Aquaculture is currently administered by six different agencies in three levels of government (Appendix 1). There are two categories of approvals needed by an aquaculture operator. The first category is primarily approval to locate a facility and includes Crown land tenures, navigation compliance and zoning compliance. The second category is approval to operata a facility. The latter has been issued by the Department of Fisheries and Oceans (some marine sites) or Ministry of Environment (freshwater sites). The Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries, as lead agency, proposes to consolidate and reduce the operational licences to one as provided for in recently signed agreements with both these agencies. Approximately 740 sites are currently authorized for aquaculture in British Columbia (Appendix 2). Licensing options Considered 1. Status quo. 2. No licensing by any agency. 3. Consolidated Aguaculture Operation Licence Approved in principle by Cabinet, Use an aquaculture "operational* licence as a registration and use regulations to facilitate orderly industry development. 2 This option provides a balance between administrative simplicity and government intervention. There are several advantages to this approach: 1. Consolidates operations licensing within one agency, reducing the total number of government agencies directly licensing industry; 2. Establishes standard criteria for a licence and eliminates inequities in the treatment of different components of the industry that arise from multiple agency involvement; 3. Assists industry in obtaining operational financing. Licensing is a legal tool for identifying persons who may have a private property right in stock being cultivated; 4. Provides a framework to develop future controls, if necessary, to limit or restrict practices that become problematic; 5. Replaces the Federal Department of Fisheries and oceans and the Ministry of Environment in their industry licensing role while maintaining their input to the licensing process. 6. Establishes an equitable and efficient basis to determine eligibility for and issuance of sales tax exemptions; 7. Provides a systematic means of identifying all aquaculture operators for revenue and statistical purposes; and, 8. Establishes a uniform basis for identification of bona fide aquaculturists for other regulatory purposes including: - transportation and transplantation for cultured plants and animals; - purchase of therapeutants; and, - purchase of surplus salmon eggs from the Federal government. Fees will be charged to recover costs of administering the licensing system. Fisheries Act and Draft Aquaculture R:egulations- Relevant sections of the Fisheries A t and the current draft of the Aquaculture Regulations form Appendix 3. 3 It is important that the regulations be read in the context of the Fisheries Act R.S.B.C. upon which they are based and with which they mesh. Appendix 3 is therefore organized in two sections. The first is a compilation of those sections of the Fisheries Act relevant to aquaculture licensing, together with a commentary. Material from the Act is given in bold type, while the commentary is shown in lighter type. This revision includes changes which came into force with the proclamation of specific sections of the Miscellaneous Statutes Amendment Act (No.21, 1907. which occurred in June 1989.--and in the Miscellaneous Statutes Amendment Act (Ng. 2). 1989. which was passed in July and was proclaimed by Order in Council in August 1989, The second section is the latest draft of the Aquaculture Regulations with commentary and explanatory notes. Proposed sections of the regulations are given in bold type and the commentary is in lighter type. This draft of the regulations, and particularly the commentary, includes revisions made on the basis of comments made on earlier drafts by aquaculture commodity groups, the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, the Minister's Aquaculture Industry Advisory Council, and from discussions with Legislative Counsel, Ministry of Attorney General. - 4 - APPENDIX 1. LICENSING AQUACULTURE CURRENT SYSTEM PROPOSED SYSTEM A. LOCATION APPROVALS i. Ministry of Crown Lands Where operations are on Crown land, aquaculture licensing - issues leases and licences will be administratively linked of occupation for aquatic to the Crown land application land process to minimize industry's paper burden. ii. Federal Department of No change Transport - issues navigation compliances for all marine and freshwater aquaculture operations where physical structures do not impede navigation iii. Regional Districts, No change Municipalities - may control the location, size, setbacks, etc., for aquaculture operations through zoning bylaws B. OPERATIONAL APPROVALS iv. Federal Department of The federal government will Fisheries and Oceans Withdraw from licensing aquaculture under a - licenses salmon farms in federal-provincial agreement freshwater and marine recently signed. locations and invertebrate species other than oysters V. Ministry of Environment (NOE) MOE will withdraw from permitting commercial - issues permits for aquaculture activities under freshwater fish farms and the recently signed agreement, hatcheries but will continue to control the holding of live fish for purposes other than aquaculture. 5 v i ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries - registers shellfish growers Aquaculture licences will on Crown land replace this form of registration. issues Bona Fide The aquaculture licence will Aquaculturists Certificates become a prerequisite for for tax exemption these certificates. vii. No agency New aquaculture licences will apply to all operations of the - some facilities, such as industry, including those shellfish hatcheries and operations that currently are some operations on private not responsible to any agency. land, fall outside all existing jurisdictions 6 APPENDIX 2 BREAKDOWN OF AQUACULTURE SITES BY TYPE AND LOCATION OF SITESI MARINE FRESHWATER Existing Applications* Existing Appligations TYPE FINFISH Hatcheries --- --- 44 N/A Growout 211 266 62 N/A SHELLFISH Hatcheries 2 1 --- Growout 414 109 MARINE PLANTS Growout 6 3 --- Subtotals 633 379 106 --- TOTAL EXISTING 739 Total existing and applications = 1,118 Includes Investigative Permits and applications for all forms of Crown land tenures. Based on March 1989 data. - 7 - APPENDIX 3 Section 1 AQUACULTURE LICENSING A. RELEVANT SECTIONS OF THE FISHERIES AC (R.S.B.C.) AND COMMENTARY PART 1 - GENERAL PROVISIONS Interpretation 1. In this Act "conservation officer* means a conservation officer under the Wildlife Act. Conservation officers may require aquaculture licenceholders to produce, upon request, the records referred to in Section 20 of the Act. .fishm means the whole or any part of an aquatic animal. "Fish" include all marine, brackish water and freshwater animals, whether vertebrates or invertebrates, and includes finfish, shellfish and crustaceans. laquaculture" means the growing and cultivation of aquatic plants, as defined in Section 12, or fish, for commercial purposes, in any water environment or in man made containers of water, and includes the growing and cultivation of shellfish on, in or under the foreshore or in the water. The growing of aquatic plants or animals for any non-commercial purpose (e.g. for personal use), and the holding of live aquatic plants and animals for research or display purposes, or in restaurants and seafood wholesale establishments for resale, do not constitute aquaculture and will not be regulated under this Act. The Ministry of Environment will be issuing Live Fish Permits for these purposes. 2(3) Every officer and constable of the provincial force as defined in the Police Act, and every conservation officer, is by virtue of his office an inspector of fisheries under this Act and has power to act in that capacity in every part of the Province. 2(5) An inspector under the Fish Inspection Act (Canada) and a fishery officer or fishery guardian under the Fisheries Act (Canada) is by virtue of his office an inspector of fisheries under this Act. - 8 - By virtue of Section 2(3) and 2(5), every officer and constable of the provincial force (the R.C.M.P.), inspector of fisheries (provincial), fishery inspector (federal) and fishery officer (federal) can require aquaculture licenceholders to produce the records referred to in Section 20 of the Act. PART 3 - LICENSING OF AQUACULTURE FACILITIES, FISH AND AQUATIC PLANT PROCESSORS AND FISH BUYING STATIONS Interpretation 12. In this Part *aquatic plant" includes benthic and detached algae, marine flowering plants, brown algae, red algae, green algae and phytoplankton; This definition includes all aquatic plants except freshwater flowering plants. "coastal waters' includes waters in the fishing zones of Canada adjacent to British Columbia, all waters in the territorial sea of Canada adjacent to British Columbia and all internal waters of British Columbia. This definition covers all brackish and marine waters, but may not cover inland freshwater bodies. However, Section 13(4.1) clarifies that anyone carrying out the business of aquaculture *in the Province" or its coastal water must have an aquaculture licence. Legal opinion is that "in the Province" includes all inland freshwater bodies. oestablishmento means a place, including a place used for the business of aquaculture, where fish or aquatic plants are handled, processed, graded, stored, grown or cultivated. Note: This new definition will be added with the proclamation of the Miscellaneous Statutes-Amendment Act (1989). Licence Required 13(4.1) No person shall carry on the business of aquaculture at any location or facility in the Province or its coastal waters unless he is the holder of a licence issued for that purpose under this Part and has paid the fee prescribed by the Lieutenant Governor in Council. This section provides the legislative prohibition against carrying on an aquaculture business unless authorized by a 9 location-specific licence issued for that purpose. It also allows the Lieutenant Governor in Council to establish a licence fee. Application for Licences 14. Every application for a licence under Section 13 shall be made in writing to the minister, on a form to be supplied by him, and on receipt of the application the minister may issue a licence. The minister determines the format and content of an application. It is proposed that each application will include a development plan with different plans for different types of operations and species or species groups. Applications involving Crown land will employ the same development plans as used by the Ministry of Crown lands. Those based on private land will be simplified. For the initial round of licence issuance, we will be advising all active aquaculture operations of their application requirements. These will differ depending on whether or not a Crown land tenure is involved, development plans exist and if these accurately reflect the current status of the operation. A non-refundable application fee will be required for all applications. Form of Licences 16. A licence under this Part shall set out (a) the name and address of the licensee, (b) subject to Section 15(2), the location of the plant for which the licence is issued or the area in which the licensed activity is to be carried on, or both; (c) the effective date and the term of the licence; and, (d) other terms and conditions as the minister considers appropriate. Subsection (d) was added with the proclamation of the Miscellaneous Statutes Amendment Act (1989) in August 1989. A standard or general set of terms and conditions will be printed on the back of and apply to all aquaculture licences. Additionally, one or more approved development plans will constitute the specific terms and conditions of individual aquaculture licences. Crown land based operations which already have development plans approved by the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries will not have to complete new plans 10 in the aquaculture licence application process. However, operations based on private land will have to complete and have approved development plans before aquaculture licences can be issued. Transfer of Licences 17. No licence issued under this; Part is transferable, except that in the case of a change of ownership of the plant the minister may agree to a transfer of the licence to the new owner. As a matter of policy, it is proposed that the minister apply his discretionary power to refuse transfer of licences in f avour of the issuance of a new licence to the new operator of an aquaculture facility. Suspension or Revocation of Licence 18(l) Where the holder of licence issued under this Part violates any provisions of this Part or the regulations or a condition of a licence, the minister, after due investigation and hearing, if a hearing is requested by the licensee, and on proof to his satisfaction of the violation, may in addition to all other penalties to which the licensee may be liable, suspend the licence and all rights of the licensee for a period the minister thinks fit, or he may revoke the licence. 18(2) The minister shall preside at the hearing, and shall have the same powers as the Supreme Court for compelling the attendance of witnesses and of examining them under oath, and compelling the production and inspection of books, documents and things. Section 18(l) authorizes the minister to suspend, "for a period the minister thinks fit*, or revoke an aquaculture licence should the holder violate any provisions of Part 3 of the Fisheries Act (R.S.B.C.), any regulation made under Part 3 of the Act or any condition of the aquaculture licence. It also clarifies that a licence holder may request a hearing before licence suspension or revocation takes place. Section 18(2) outlines the minister's powers in the conduct of such hearings. Power to Refuse Further Licence 19. Where the licence held by any licensee has been revoked, or where it is shoien to the satisfaction of - 11 - the minister that a licensee has violated any provision of this Part or the regulations or condition of a licence, or has conducted the business of his establishment in contravention of the spirit and intent of this Part, the minister may, in addition to all other penalties to which the licensee may be liable, refuse after that to issue a licence under this Act to that licensee or to any person for the establishment of that licensee. This section outlines the power of the minister to refuse to reissue a licence which has been revoked. Records Kept by Licensees 20(l) A person holding a licence under this Part shall make reports in the manner and form and at intervals specified by the minister. This section provides for the reporting of such information as the minister may require (e.g. production, inventory, productive capacity, employment) at such time as the minister may require it. This information will be used to evaluate the performance of industry as a whole and the compliance of individual aquaculture licensees with the conditions of their licences. This amended wording will come into force with the proclamation of the Miscellaneous Statutes Amendment Act (1989). Offence and Penalties 25(2) A person who to contravenes a provision of the Part, a regulation made under this Part or a condition of a licence issued under this Part commits an offence. 25(3) On conviction for contravention of section 13 (1), (2) or (4.1), the penalty is a fine of not less than $500 and not more than $10,000. 25(4) on conviction for contravention of a provision of this Part other than section 13(l), (2) or (4.1), the penalty is a fine of not less than $100 and not more than $2,000. 25(5) on conviction for contravention of (a) a regulation made under this Part, or M a condition of a licence issued under this Part, the penalty is a fine of not more than $2,000. 25(6) Each day an establishment is operated 'in circumstances that constitute an offence under subsection (2) constitutes a separate offence. - 12 25(7) In addition to other penalties or measures taken under this Act or the regulations, all fish or fish products or aquatic plants or aquatic plant products, whether processed or not, on or aboult an establishment on or after an offence occurs at that establishment, may be seized by a Provincial constable as defined in the Police Act or by an inspector of fisheries and, on the direction of the minister, be forfeited to Her Majesty and sold with the proceeds to be paid into the consolidated revenue fund. This section provides for fines of $500 - $10,000 for operating an unlicensed aquaculture facility, lesser fines of $100 - $2,000 for violation of other relevant sections of Part 3 of the Fisheries Act (R.S.B.C.) and fines up to $2,000 for violations of the regulations or conditions of a licence. Additionally, Ticket Administr-4tion Regulations and Ticket Information Fines Regulations under the Offence Act will, upon amendments and at the direction of the ministry, be used to issue tickets with "voluntary penalties" in the range of $50 - $100 for offences rather than pressing for court summonses. Further, Subsection 25(7) permits the seizure and sale by the Crown of fish and aquatic plants in addition to other penalties. Regulations 26(l) The Lieutenant Governor in Council may make regulations. 26(2) Without limiting the generality of Subsection (1), the Lieutenant Governor in Council may make regulations he considers necessary or advisable: (a) for safe and orderly aquaculture; and, (b) for safe and orderly distribution of fish and aquatic plants. - 13 APPENDIX 3 Section 2 B. AQUACULTURE REGULATIONS Interpretation 1. in this regulation "Act" means the Fisheries Act; flaquaculture licence" means the licence referred to in section 13 (4.1) of the Act; glaquaculture facility" means an establishment where the business of aquaculture is carried on; "attachment structure$' means mollusc shell, rope, netting, tubes and other structures provided as substrate for the attachment of aquatic plants and fish for purposes of aquaculture; "containment structure,$ means net cages, net pens,, tanks, troughs, raceways, natural or manmade ponds, trays and other structures used to contain aquatic plants and fish for purposes of aquaculture; Ufin fish's means fish of the classes Agnathal Chondrichthyes and Osteichthyes grown by a holder; "bolder" means the person to whom an aquaculture licence is issued; "location's means (a) a contiguous area of land that is owned, leased, or otherwise lawfully occupied by a person, and (b) areas of land whether contiguous or not that are occupied under a single (i) lease# or (ii) licence of occupation granted under the Land Act, "Contiguous" includes adjoining or abutting parcels of land, ie. the boundaries must touch. More than two contiguous 14 - parcels of land may be considered a location for the purpose of this regulation. Parcels separated by any distance, no matter how small, are not considered contiguous and will require separate licences. "Leased" in (a) above includes private upland leased from its owner, as well as land under the jurisdiction of a Federal Port Corporation or Harbour Commission and occupied under a lease issued pursuant to the Port CorRoration Act (Canada) or the Harbour Commission Act (Canada), respectively. "Land" includes land under water. Lands occupied under authority of the Park Act are also included as are Reserve Lands under the Indian Act (Canada). Paragraph (b) above is included because of our wish to grandfather several operations that: have several parcels of land covered by a single Crown land tenure, and which are operated as a single production unit. "manager" means the manager of aquaculture appointed under section (6). Separate licence for each location 2. No person shall carry on the business of aquaculture at a location without first obtaining an aquaculture licence for that location. The culture of different species or groups of species and the operation of several types of aquaculture facilities (eg. hatchery and growout to food market size) may be covered in a single aquaculture licence, provided they occur within the location defined in the licence. In such cases, several development plans will be attached to and become part of the aquaculture licence. This is in keeping with existing policy and procedure regarding Crown land tenures. Application for licence and licence renewal 3. An applicant for an aquaculture licence shall make an application to the minister under Section 14 of the Act and, where the application is for a renewal of an aquaculture licence, shall deliver it at least 60 days before the term of the existing aquaculture licence expires. It is our intention to combine the application for renewal with the annual report required under section 20 of the Act. This has been the practise of the Ministry of Environment 15 with regard to the issuance of renewals for its Commercial Fish Culture Permits. This is expected to facilitate timely submission of annual reports. The combined renewal application-annual report form will be mailed to all licensees at least three months before licence expiry. Licensees will have at least one month to complete and deliver the form to the address given in the instructions which will accompany the form. "Delivered", in the Interpretation Act, with reference to a notice or other document, includes mail to or leave with a person, or deposit in a person's mail box or receptacle at the person's residence or place of business. Failure to deliver the application for renewal at least 60 days before-licence eKRia will result in applicants havin to reapply for a licence; ie.-to submit an application form and fee in addition to the annual report form and licence fee. Thus, there will be a dollar savings for those who submit an aRplication at least 60 days before licence eXpiry. Staff will have two months to review and validate annual reports, determine eligibility for Bona Fide Aquaculturist Certificates (BFAC) and prepare licence renewals and BFAC's for mail out. Should government workload preclude renewing licences before the expiry date, the Common Law "Doctrine of Administrative Necessity" would ensure that holders would be legally able to continue under the old licence. Term of licence 4. An aquaculture licence is valid for a 12 mouth period from the date on which it becomes effective. While licences are valid for one year, all licences will not have the same effective date. Licensing of existing operations will be spread out over as much as a six month period, with commodity groups (salmon, shellfish, trout) being licensed within consecutive two month periods. New operations will be licensed as the application reviews are completed. This will keep licence administration costs (hence application and licence fees) to a minimum, since fewer staff will be required to process the approximately 800 applications which are anticipated. - 16 - While licence renewal and annual report forms will be submitted throughout the year, the requirement for production of calendar year-based production statistics still exists. Both needs will be met by amending the format and content of the annual report forms. It is anticipated that most data requests not directly related to regulatory requirements will be deleted, particularly for fin fish farming operations. Volume and value of product, by species, will be requested for each month. The first reportwill cover more than a 12 month period. since it will have t) provide data from Januarv 1989 to the licence effective date. Additionally. the first annual reports will cover the first: nine months of the licence valid period. Thereafter, the annual report will cover a 12 month period, including the last three months of the licence valid period of the first licence and the initial nine months of the first renewal licence. Applicants should therefore ensure that their-records keep track of the volume and value of product. by sRecies, on a month-by-month basis. Statistics regarding productive'capacity (eg. net cage or pond volume, meters of longlines) ZLnd livestock inventory will be requested as of a partiCU12Lr date, probably December 31st each year. Dealing in fish or aquatic plants S.(1) A person shall not possess, buy, sell, introduce into the Province or transplant within the Province, fish or aquatic plants for the purpose of carrying on the business of aquaculture unless the person is a holder or is acting on behalf of a holder. This subsection clarifies that only those persons having a valid aquaculture licence, or their agents (including employees or brokers acting on behalf of a holder) or independent contractors, may possess, buy, sell, introduce into or transplant within the Province, aquatic plants or fish for purposes of carrying on the business of aquaculture. If a licensed aquaculture facility is placed in receivership, the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries will, as a matter of policy, treat the Receiver-manager as the holder for the duration of the licence term. Should the licence expire before another person has secured the right to occupy the location specified in the licence, the Receiver-manager will have to apply for a licence renewal. Subsequently, the Receiver-manager will have to request that the Minister transfer the licence to a new person once that person has secured the right to occupy the location specified in the licence. - 17 - In the more infrequent event of foreclosure of an aquaculture facility by a financial institution, the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries will, as a matter of policy, require that the holder and the financial institution apply to the Minister for a transfer of the licence to the foreclosing financial institution. Permission to transfer the licence will not unreasonably be withheld. Holders should note that this subsection does not authorize the introduction into or transRlanation within the Province of fish. An Import Permit og Transplant AyRroval issued under the Fisheries Act (Canada) are the authorizing implements for these activities. An aquaculture licence will, however, become prerequisite to obtaining such authorizations since it identifies persons as being commercial aquaculturists. A person in the business of transporting smolts or live-hauling salmon to a processing plant would not, for example, require an aquaculture'licence since the person's business is transportation, not aquaculture as defined in the Act. However, transport companies may not transfer live fish from one fish farm to another or to a processing plant unless authorized to do so by the Transplant Committee and must conform to section 9 of these regulations. The Committee is currently devising simple guidelines to accommodate this. By completing and signing a Transfer Permit, a holder will, in effect, transfer to a carrier the holders authority to transport live fish. A separate Transfer Permit, showing source, destination, species, carrier and pick up and delivery dates must accompany each delivery of fish. (2) Subsection (1) does not prevent a person who has taken the fish or aquatic plants as collateral for a loan from seizing or disposing of the fish or aquatic plants or otherwise realizing on the person's interest in the fish or aquatic plants to satisfy the obligations secured by them. This subsection was added to ensure that persons could take possession of and sell fish or aquatic plants which are given as collateral for a loan, without those persons requiring an aquaculture licence. Transplant Committee Approval would, however, be necessary for any transfer of the seized fish to a processing plant or another fish farm. Manager of aquaculture 6. The minister may appoint a person in the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries as manager of aquaculture. - 18 The manager of aquaculture will be named to provide holders with a key contact in the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. The manager is the person to whom holders must report releases of fish or aquatic plants and the results of any recapture attempts (see section 7). Special proviso schedules attached to aquaculture licences will identify other instances where holders must contact the manager of aquaculture before or within a specified time after certain actions are initiated. For example, fish farm operators in the Sechelt Inlet system will be required to advise the manager before, or within one day of, initiating the relocation of netcages to designated "emergency relocation areas", as provided for in the Sechelt Inlets Coastal Strategy, in the event that heavy plankton blooms threaten to kill their fish stock. Release and escape 7.(1) No person shall release aquatic plants or fish to fresh or tidal waters from an aquaculture facility or from containment or attachment structuros in an aquaculture facility unless authorized to do so by the terms or conditions of an aquaculture licence. This section prohibits the release into public waters of aquatic plants or fish from an aquaculture facility unless authorized to do so by a term or condition of an aquaculture licence. The provision for such an authorization is made because it is possible that deliberate release may be desirable in certain very specific circumstances. For example, it is already acceptable practise to release into public waters, for stock enhancement purposes, salmonid smolts raised in private sector hatcheries. Currently, the actual release may be conducted by government personnel but it is possible that commercial aquaculturists may effect releases in the future. Holders must ensure that they have obtained additional authorization-from the TransRlant Committee or any other prescribed governmental authority BEFORE effecting a release. (2) A holder shall take reasonal)le precautions to prevent the escape of aquatic plants and fish from the holderls aquaculture facility and from contakinment and attachment structures in the facility. A holder is expected to apply existing methods and equipment to prevent the escape of livestock,. Those found grossly negligent would be subject to prosecution. 19 - Reporting escape 8.(1) The holder, or person acting on behalf of the holder, who discovers an escape or evidence suggesting an escape of aquatic plants or fish from an attachment or containment structure in the holderfs aquaculture facility shall report the escape or evidence to the manager (a) verbally, within 24 hours of the discovery, and (b) in writing, within one week of the discovery, if requested by the manager. This section establishes both the requirement and the process for reporting escapement of aquaculture livestock, including fish, shellfish and aquatic plants. Holders will be responsible for ensuring farm staff are aware of this requirement and take the steps necessary to ensure that the manager of aquaculture is notified within the time limits specified above. This section does, however, make agents (including employees) and independent contractors who are operating the licensed facility for the holder responsible for reporting escapes. (2) A holder who recaptures or attempts to recapture aquatic plants or fish that have escaped from an aquaculture facility shall report in writing the results of the recapture, or attempted recapture, to the manager within one week of the recapture or attempted recapture. It is recognized that aquaculture liverstock may be intentionally (eg. by vandals) or accidentally (ie- due to human error, equipment failure or such natural events as severe storms or tsunamis) released. BEFORE attempting to recapture fin fish which escape from fish farms, holders MUST: 1. notify the District Fisheries officer of the federal Pepartment of Fisheries and Oceans (DFO) of the-escape, and 2. be issued a special Rermit by that Fisheries Office DFO advises that it will reggire notification of any escape within 24 hours of discovery. It is understood that the Department will issue these permits to particular vessels to effect the recapture. The vessels 20 could be owned by holders or their employees, or by independent contractors to the holder. Guidelines for issuance of these permits have yet to be established. Where fin fish escapes occur into freshwater, it is anticipated that the Ministry of Environment and the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries will be involved in the permit issuance process as well as in the guideline development process. It is acknowledged that bottom-cultured oysters and aquatic plants could, under certain rather unusual circumstances, "escape" from an aquaculture facility. Once beyond the boundaries of the facility such livestock become, in any practical sense, indistinguishable from wild stocks which are managed by the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. Therefore, BEFORE a holder recaptures or attemRts to recapture oysters or acruatic Rlants which are carried, by such natural forces as heavy wave action and strong current flow, beyond the boundaries of a"n aquaculture facility, the holder MUST, in addition to notifvLng the manager of the release, obtain an oyster harvesti,-ig permit issued under the Fisheries Act Regulations ol: a licence issued under section 24 of the Act. These may be obtained from the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries and are subject to payment of fees as required by regulation. Nothing in this section prevents a holder from retrieving containment or attachment structures and the aquaculture livestock contained therein or attached thereto, which have broken free of their moorings, and resecuring these within the boundary of the aquaculture facility. Transportation 9. A person who transports aquatic plants or fish on, over or through fresh or tidal waters shall take reasonable precautions to prevent the escape of the plants or fish, as the case may be. This subsection requires any person who transports aquaculture livestock to employ due diligence, that is use available methods, equipment and surveillance, to prevent the escape of the livestock being transported Inspectors 10.(1) The minister may appoint any person as an aquaculture inspector to investigate matters related to 21 - (a) the conduct of the business of aquaculture, and (b) compliance with the Act, this regulation and an aquaculture licence and its conditions. (2) An aquaculture inspector may enter an aquaculture facility during normal business hours to investigate the matters referred to in subsection (1) and no person shall obstruct the inspector in the course of the inspector's duties. No person may obstruct the entry of an inspector to an aquaculture facility during normal business hours, nor may anyone obstruct an inspector as the inspector carries out his/her duties. Aquaculture inspectors will be uniformed in some way and will carry photographic identification cards. (3) At the request of an aquaculture inspector, an inspector of fisheries or a conservation officer, a holder shall produce for inspection a record that is required to be produced for inspection as a condition of an aquaculture licence. It will be a condition of all aquaculture licences that holders keep records sufficient to allow an inspector to determine whether or not the holder is complying with the development plans which are part of the aquaculture licence. Further, holders will, as a condition of licence, be required to produce such records for inspection within 24 hours of an inspectors request. Fees 11.(1) In Appendix I "primary aquaculture product's means a fish or an aquatic plant that is a product of aquaculture but does not include a processed or manufactured product; 11production value'$ means the dollar value of sales of primary aquaculture product in the previous licence year, but where the terms and conditions of the aquaculture licence contain a maximum volume of production equivalent to a dollar value, it means that dollar value. This definition creates a parallel between the eligibility criteria for Bona Fide Aquaculturist Certificates (BFAC)and the criteria for distinguishing between larger and smaller 22 - scale aquaculture operations. Since BFAC's will not be issued for locations which produce less than $7,500 of primary aquaculture product each year, the lesser fees charged smaller scale operations are justified based on reduced administrative work load. (2) A person applyinq for a new aquaculturs licence, a renewal of an aquaculture licence or an amendment of an aquaculture licence shall pay the fee set out in Appendix 1. (3) Subject to the Financial Administration Act,, the fee for an application for a now aquaculture licence and the fee for a licence amendment are not refundable. - 23 APPENDIX I Schedule of Fees 1. Application for initial licence $25 2. Licence amendment $50 3. Licence and licence renewal for a. aquaculture facility on private land, production value at least $7500 $100 b. aquaculture facility on private land, production value less than $7500 $50 c. aquaculture facility on Crown land, production value at leasp $7500 i. aquatic plants and fish other than fin fish $150 ii. fin fish $200 d. aquaculture facility on Crown land, production value less than $7500 i. aquatic plants and fish other than fin fish $50 ii. fin fish $100 GENERAL TERXS OF AN AQUACEILTURE LICENCE 1. For the purpose of this licence "Branch" means the Aquaculture and Commercial Fisheries Branch of the Xinistry of Agriculture and Fisheries, and "Development Plan" means a plan filed with and approved by the Branch for the species and location specified on the face of this licence. 2. The holder of an Aquaculture Licence shall 2(1) comply with the management and operating specifications in each Development Plan; 2(2) apply for and have approved anendments to a Development Plan before (a) increasing or decreasing production or productive capacity by more than 20% from that currently authorized or (b) changing the mode of operation currently authorized; 2(3) culture or husband only those species authorized by this licence, and only if importation and transplantation authorizations have been obtained from all competent governmental authorities; 2(4) take reasonable precautions, to prevent the escape of aquatic plants or fish (a) if transporting aquatic plants or fish on, over or through fresh or tidal waters, and (b) from the holder's aquaculture facility and from containment and attachment structures in the facility; 2(5) ensure that neither the holder nor any person acting on -behalf of the holder deliberately releases fish or aquatic plants from the holder's aquaculture facility, unless authorized to do so by the terms ai,,id conditions of this licence; 2(6) ensure that the holder or a person acting on behalf of the holder who discovers an escape or evidence suggesting an escape of aquatic plants or fish reports the escape or evidence and the results of any recapture or recapture attempt to the Xanager of Aquacultiare; 2(7) ensure that the aquatic plants and fish cultivated and husbanded in the holder's aquaculture facility are given care and attention consistent with their biological requirements for good health and well being; 2(8) undertake at the holder's own expense, reasonable husbandry practises necessary for (a) preventative predator control and (b) prophylactic disease control and diagnostic disease treatment, including that required by competent governmental authorities; 2(9) keep records adequate to allow an Aquaculture Inspector, an Inspector of Fisheries or a Conservation Officer to determine if the holder is complying with the terms of this licence including, but not limited to, those described in any Development Plans; 2(10) make available to an Aquaculture Inspector, an Inspector of Fisheries or a conservation Officer, the records referred to in sub-paragraph 2(9) within 24 hours of a request being made; 2(11) advise the Manager of Aquaculture within one week of any change in the holder's (a) address, (b) telephone, radio telephone or facsimile machine number, and (c) representative (contact person) and that person's telephone, radio telephone or facsimile machine number; 2(12) deliver to the Branch, in the form and at the interval determined by the Minister, any information required to determine compliance by the holder with the terms of this licence, and any other information that the Branch requires to evaluate trends and practises of-the aquaculture industry as a whole; 2(13) apply for and possess a valid processing licence before processing aquatic plants or fish within the location specified on the face of this licence; 2(14) ensure that the aquaculture facility is operated in accordance with standards established by the Branch; 2(15) comply with all laws, bylaws and orders of any competent governmental authority which affects the aquaculture facility described herein. 3. If the holder of this licence fails to perform any obligations in this licence, the Minister may, in addition to other penalties in the Fisheries Act (R.S.B.C.) and the Aquaculture Regulations, suspend or cancel this licence and refuse to reissue an aquaculture licence to that holder or to any person for the establishment of that holder. 4. This licence is not transferable except with the written permission of the Minister. 5. This licence does not abrogate, replace, or derogate from any of the rights, powers or jurisdictions of the Province of British Columbia or the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. APPENDIX I LAND-BASED TANK FARMS LAND-BASED TANK FARMS A recent development in the culture of salmon is the rearing of fish on shore in large tanks. Sea water is continuously pumped through the tanks or raceways and discharged back into adjacent marine waters. Experimental culture of Atlantic salmon in Iceland has demonstrated the feasibility of this culture method. However, wide-scale commercial operations are just being initiated. Thus, the method must be still considered experimen- tal, but one which may provide an alternative method of fish culture in some areas and situations. The primary advantage of tank farms to the fish grower is that he has much greater control over the water and the fish culture environment. By selecting the depth of the water source, the farmer can avoid noxious plankton, and have limited control of temperature, salinity, and dissolved oxygen. He can also control flow rates through the tanks to provide optimal growing conditions, and may add supplemental oxygen or air to the water to allow higher stocking densities and lower disease risks. Other advantages include the ability to work in any weather, avoidance of many of the potential conflicts with other water users, and avoidance of predator problems. Tank farms also provide the opportunity for treatment of the effluent in areas that may be sensitive to nutrient enrichment. Disadvantages of tank farms include the higher construction and operating costs to pump water, Perhaps the greatest disadvantage is the limited availability of suitable sites, which must be flat, near water, and close to sea level to minimize pumping require- ments. The following discussion briefly describes tank farms and the potential environmental impacts of this culture method which, in some situations, may provide an alternative method of fish culture to fish farms. The primary features of a land-based system include: � An intake pipeline located subtidally to provide a constant supply of high qual- ity water � A pump and delivery system to circulate water through the rearing tanks � A series of upland rearing tanks and/or raceways (circular tanks up to 20 m [66 ft] in diameter and 3 m [10 ft] deep appear to be the preferred tank design). Land-based sites low in elevation and near shoreline areas are preferred. Such locations reduce the length of the intake system, and maintain pumping efficiency by limiting the pumping head (the vertical height water must be pumped to supply the rearing ponds). In addition, tank farms should be located in areas free of plankton blooms and near relatively deep water where water can be drawn from below any blooms. 1 The physiological requirements of salmon reared in tank farms are the same as those of salmon reared in fish farms. However, because of different rearing conditions and economic considerations, there are notable differeaces in the two technologies in terms of rearing densities and operation and maintenance procedures. These differences are projected to have a significant affect on the qualily of the discharge. The most notable difference between the two technologies may be the amount of feed required for production of an equivalent amount of fish. Average food conversion ratio (FCR) in net-pen facilities may vary from 1.5 to 1 (Hardy 1988, personal communica- tion) to 2.0 to 1 (Weston 1986). Recent work suggests that a FCR of 1.2 to 1.0 or less may be achieved (Asgard et al. 1988). This ratio accounts for conversion of feed to fish flesh (dry pellets of 10% moisture compared to fish flesh of 70% moisture) as well as loss of feed (a 0-20% loss of the feed depending on the site location, type of feed, and rearing practices), loss of fish due to mortality, or other reasons. Since onshore tank farms use circular tanks with controlled flow and oxygen conditions, proponents claim that salmon are able to feed and convert fish feed more. efficiently to flesh than in fish farms that are subject to variations in water velocity and existing oxygen conditions. As the FCR improves (lower ratio), the amount of waste food and total solids loss drops significantly. Other positive aspects of land-based tank farming include the relatively high quality of waste water that is a result of dilution by the large volume of water flow necessary in the tanks. Since self-cleaning tanks may be designed, "shock loads" due to sudden discharges of large amounts of organic waste during cleaning may be avoided. Stocks of fish may be separated for disease isolation and treatment. Routine addition of oxygen may improve dissolved oxygen levels relative to existing source water conditions. This extra oxygen allows higher stocking densities and reduced incidence of disease. Potential negative impacts of land-based tank farming include release of a more concentrated effluent than fish farms. Because large volumes of flow are necessary for land-based tank farms, the concentration of pollutants such as ammonia in the effluent may be low, but not as low as that seen from fish farms. The National Pollution Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit system administered by the Washington Department of Ecology requires that effluent receiving waters must have active hydrodynamics to allow dispersion of the solid and dissolved wastes. Due to salt content, solids isolated from onshore tank farms are not readily disposable on land as fertilizer or fill. Depending on its design and site, land-based tank farms may need to screen their intakes to prevent fish from being taken up in the intake. In general, land-based rearing of fish allows for tighter control over all phases of outgrowing (growth to marketable size) compared to fish farms. In a land-based system, water flow rates and dissolved oxygen concentrations (variables important to fish health) can be adjusted depending upon the fish rearing requirements. In addition, fish reared in tanks are easily observed and sampled. This accessibility to the fish helps develop efficient feeding schedules, identify stress and disease, and aids in the treatment of fish if a fish disease or parasite is identified. 2 On the other hand, land-based tank farms are more costly to construct and operate than a fish farm system. Unlike fish farms, tank farms need intake and outlet structures, as well as rearing ponds. Greater operational costs also occur with tank farms due to maintenance of the rearing facilities and the cost of pumping and circulating rearing water. The successful operation of a land-based facility is, therefore, dependent upon efficient management and close control over the rearing process. Compared to fish farm operations, land-based facilities can potentially increase overall survival, improving harvest rates, as well as improving feed conversion ratios which result in decreased feed costs. While there are no operating land-based tank farms in Puget Sound, upland systems have been proposed for Grays Harbor and Clallam Counties, and other areas of the United States and Canada. Saltwater tank farms are successfully operating in western Europe and Iceland. Upland tank farms are a new technology and have yet to be fully proven economically. They appear, however, to offer an alternative means of growing fish which may complement fish farming, and provide an alternative to fish farms in situations where fish farms would otherwise be impossible. Land-based tank farms must comply with all local, state and federal regulations pertaining to fish farms, with the possible exception of the ArmyCorps of Engineers permits concerning navigation. In addition, tank farms, as sources of point-source discharge, are subject to permitting requirements under the National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System. The following discussion briefly summarizes the possible environmental impacts of upland tank farms for the purpose of comparison with fish farm culture. 1. SEDIMENTATION Tank farms can introduce sediment into the marine environment through discharge pipes at an outfall. Unlike fish farms, the fish farmer can regulate the effluent from the facility. Feces and excess feed frequently will settle to the bottom of the tanks where they can be removed, or be collected in settling ponds. Any sediment which is discharged from a tank farm would affect the marine environment in a manner similar to the sediment deposited from a fish farm facility or similar discharges. Unlike fish farms, which by their size provide a vast area for dispersal, tank farm discharges are a point source which would concentrate sediment impacts without adequate sediment removal or adequate dispersal of the discharged material. A range of responses, similar to those described for fish farms, will occur at the effluent outfall. Where effluent is rapidly and effectively dispersed, the effects will range from local enrichment of the bottom community to no noticeable change. If dispersion is minimal, the effects will be substantial, as all of the sedimentation will occur in a concentrated area. Dispersion can be increased by placement of the discharge pipe in areas of high current flow, and through the use of diffusers on the end of the pipe. 3 2. WATER QUALITY The potential water quality impacts from land-b&,;ed tank farms will be like those from floating fish farms. Because of the relatively small volumes of water in tank farms, the dissolved oxygen concentration in the discharge water may be reduced. Data from 38 fresh water tank farms in Europe were used to calculate an average decrease in dissolved oxygen of 1.6 mg/L through the facilities (Alabaster 1982). As a worse-case approxi- mation, a decrease of 2 mg/L through a land-based tank farm, and an initial concentra- tion of 6 mg/L would require a minimum dilution factor of about 10 to meet the state standard (5.8 mg/L in this case). A dilution factor of 10 would likely be achieved in close proximity to a land-based tank farm outfall. Tank farms also have the potential to aerate or oxygenate water entering and leaving the tanks. Tlis can improve the culture environment for the fish, as well as offse-t any oxygen demand from the fish or the discharged nutrients. Land-based tank farms are subject to the same nutrient enrichment considerations as floating fish farms. That is, restricted embayments with nutrient sensitivity should be avoided for both the good of the cultured fish due to dinoflagellate blooms, and for the possible enrichment effect upon algae or phytoplankton in the discharge waters. The three onshore tank farms proposed or being builtin Washington state are located in non- nutrient sensitive waters. As in fish farms, about 70% of the nutrients are discharged in solution. Retention time of water within the tank farms will generally be less than two hours, and the water is actively moving in the tanks and pipes. Both the period of time and movement of the water are not conducive for the development of optimum algal growing conditions. Site characteristics, especially the physical oceanography, depth of intake and discharge, and the density of water at both intake and discharge depths will greatly influence the fate of discharged waste water. Chemical usage in tank farms would generally be less than in fish farms, again because the tank farm operator has much greater control over the culture enviromnent. Antibiotic use would probably be less because the farmed fish will not be directly exposed to disease carrying wild fish, and the controlled culture environment reduces the probability of disease and permits easier control of any disease outbreaks. In addition, it is likely that tank farms would not use large amounts of antifoulant materials. The use of any chemical in tank farms would have impacts on the aquatic environment similar to those described in Section 5.4, Chemicals. 3. FISH AND SHELLFISH The primary impacts of fish farms on fish and shellfish are the possible smothering of sessile (immobile) organisms below the farms, if -the farms are located in shallow, poorly flushed areas, and the attraction of mobile fish and shellfish species to the site. Because tank farms would have a much more concentrated discharge, the area of bottom affected would be less than for fish farms, and the potential impact of sessile bottom-dwelling organisms would be reduced. Construction of the. intake and outfall structures, however, could destroy shellfish beds in the construction area. Because shellfish populations 4 usually occur in discrete beds, proper site selection can avoid significant impacts for clams, oysters, geoducks, etc. In the absence of a significant structure in the water, the attraction of fish and shellfish to the site would be reduced or eliminated. Fish could be adversely affected if entrained in the intake pipe; therefore, proper screening of the intake will be necessary. It will also be necessary to avoid areas of intertidal herring and smelt spawning or important habitats for other fish species. Because the location of all these habitats is unknown, field observations will be necessary to determine which species use the area and if important habitats would be affected. 'ne potential for fish to escape into the wild from tank farms is relatively remote compared to fish farms. Even in the event of a major catastrophe (for example, a tank ruptures during a large earthquake), most fish would be stranded on dry ground and die. If fish were to escape, the impacts to wild populations would be the same as for fish farms. 4. WILDLIFE Construction of each land-based tank- farm could result in the loss of several acres of upland habitat, depending upon the previous use of that land. Most of the habitat loss would be due to construction of the rearing tanks and support facilities such as operations buildings and new access roads. Clearing of vegetation would remove habitat, and may result in losses or displacement of small vertebrates such as mice, snakes, and frogs. Larger animals such as river otter, deer, raccoon, beaver, and birds may temporarily avoid construction sites. Noise generated by farm construction and operation may temporarily displace or disturb nearby wildlife. Consultation with fish and wildlife agencies during permit review is required to avoid affecting the habitats of any threatened or endangered species. Stretching netting over the top of upland facilities is an effective technique for keeping predators away from the fish. 5. ODORS Operation of a land-based tank farm facility would be less likely to produce odors than would a floating fish farm facility because of the absence of nets and their associated fouling organisms, and the availability of enclosed storage areas for food. Minor odors could result from diesel engines used for emergency pumping during power outages, or from trucks servicing the facility. All odor impacts would be occasional and intermittent. As with floating fish farms, dead fish could create unpleasant odors if not removed from the tanks and disposed of properly. Because tank farms are located on shore, they may be closer to residents than fish farms. Consequently, any odors produced may have a greater effect on these residents. 5 6. NOISE Sources of noise at land-based tank farms would be similar for any small agricultural or commercial activity. Urge pumps and compressors would be required for aeration and pumping. These would be electrically powered and enclosed in buildings or located below grade, and would probably produce little detectable noise off the farm property. Land-based tank farms would be required to meet the relevant local and state noise standards. In rural areas with low existing noise levels, noise levels meeting state standards may be disturbing. In such areas, additional mufflers, sound enclosures, or buffer zones could be used to minimize any disturbance of nearby residents. 7. UPLAND AND SHORELINE USE Land-based tank farms have the same requirements for high quality water as floating operations, and will provide ongoing monitoring of water quality. Other shoreline activities adversely affecting water quality would harm. the fish culture operations. As in the review of any proposed activity, new projects near the tank farm would be evaluated for their effect on existing activities and their impacts on water quality and other elements of the environment. Activity levels associated with an upland tank farm will be similar to those of a small farm or commercial facility. Increased vehicle traffic from employees travelling to and from work, and from deliveries of food and other supplies and shipments of harvested fish will occur. In some cases, the farms may also attract visitors and tourists. The number of trips will depend upon the size of the facility and its proximity to suppliers. In addition, land-based tank farms may have other commercial elements, such as fish processing, which must be considered. 8. AESTHETICS The extent of aesthetic impacts resulting from tEnk farms will vary depending on the site, especially the existing activities and structures in the area, and the visibility of the facility to outside observers. Highly visible tank farms may be perceived as visually intrusive in rural or natural areas, yet be unobtnisive at sites surrounded by industrial or commercial uses. Aesthetic impacts in sensitive areas can be minimi:?,,ed by providing for adequate setbacks from adjoining properties and by providing landscaping to visually shield land-based facilities from nearby observers. 9. RECREATION Recreational activities would not be impacted by land-based tank farms, except where the facility displaced existing shore-based use. If the beach is privately owned, recreational use by the public would be allowed only with the owner's permission. If the 6 beach is publicly owned, intake and discharge pipes could be buried to avoid any conflict with existing use, except during construction. 10. LOCAL SERVICES The impacts of land-based tank farms on local services are expected to be similar to the impacts of floating fish farms and would not be significant. Tank farms would have more demand on local services such as electricity, roads, and fire protection. They would also be subject to local property and other taxes which currently do not apply to fish farms. 7 APPENDIX J LEGISLATION AUTHORIZING THE EIS WASHINGTON LAWS, 1987 Ist Ex. Sess. Ch. 7 General Fund Appropriation ..................... S 602,000 The appropriation in this section is subject to the following conditions and limitations: $182,000 is provided solely for carrying out the Puget Sound water quality plan. NEW SECTION. Sec. 309. FOR THE PUGET SOUND WATER QUALITY AUTHORITY General Fund Appropriation ..................... S 2,910,000 Water Quality Account Appropriation ............. S 1,100,000 Total Appropriation .................. S 4,010,000 NEW SECTION. Sec. 310. FOR THE DEPARTMENT OF FISHERIES General Fund Appropriation----State ............. S 47,465,000 General Fund Appropriation-Federal ........... S 14,057,000 General Fund Appropriatioh-Private/Local ..... S 3,651,000 Aquatic Lands Enhancement Account Appro- priation .................................. S 425,000 Total Appropriation .................. S 65,598,000 The appropriations in this section are subject to the following condi- tions and limitations: (1) $106,000 of the general fund tate appropriation is provided solely for carrying out the Puget Sound water quality plan. (2) $40,000 of the general fund----state appropriation is provided solely for the purposes of reintroducing an early coho salmon run to the Tilton river and Winston creeL (3) S587,000 of the genend fund----state appropriation is provided solely for implementing the titnber@ fish, and wildlife agreement. If Senate Bill No. 5845 is not enacted by June 30, 1987, the amount provided in this subsection shaH lapse. (4) $150,000 of the general fund-state appropriation is provided solely for sheMh enforcement on Hood Canal. .(5) $150,000 of the aquatic Iands c- account appropriation is provided solely for the preparation of an ecological impact statement on thegWdel[inesforthe --m- __v no of salmon act pensin Pullet Sound. (6) The department shall present to the natural resource committees of the senate and house of sepiesentatives no later than February 1988 a re- port on the department's watershed plan, with specific identification of the benefits associated with the Queets hatchery and other Indian tribal agreements. (7) $194,000 of the general fund----state appropriation may be ex. pended for additional food for the Deschutes hatchery. (8) $400.000 of the general fawf---state appropriation is provided solely for the purpose of a comy ehensive biological study conducted by the department in conjunction with the University of Washington and Grays 127111 APPENDIX K EFFECT OF FISH FARMS ON SURROUNDING PROPERTY VALUES ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 -REPORT FLOATING SALMON NET PENS SITE #1: PEALE PASSAGE Mason County, WA. Township 20 North, Range 2W, W.M. DATES OF INSPECTION: August 10 and 11, 1988, February 15, 1989 PURPOSE AND FUNCTION OF REPORT: The purpose of this report is to determine the effects, if any, of floating salmon net pens on the surrounding upland property values. The function is to provide information useful in siting floating salmon net pens. CERTIFICATION AND LIMITING CONDITIONS: The Standard Certification and Limiting Conditions are attached. ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAPSERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 AREA DESCRIPTION: Peale Passage is located between Squaxin Island and Hartstene Island in Mason County, Washington. The width of the passage varies from about, 500 feet at its north end to about 4300 feet in the vicinity of the existing fish pens. Squaxin Island, along the west side o4 Peale Passage, is an Indian Reservation and is basically undeveloped. Access is gained by boat-. Hartstene Island is t.o the east of Peale Passage and is connected to the mainland by a bridge built in 1969. A majority of the residential development on the island has taken place since 1969 as a result. of the accessibility and the inflating property values of the mid to late 1970's in western Washington. Hartstene Island's development is mainly along the waterfront. The upland areats are for the most part still used as forest land. Because Squaxin Island is an Indian Reservation and Hartstene Island has only been readily accessible for the past 20 years,* much of the land along Peale Passage is still relatively undeveloped. Floating salmon net pens were first installed in Peale Passage by the Squaxin Indian Tribe in 1971. Additional floating net pens were put into operation by the Washington State Department of Fisheries and the Squaxin Tribe in 1982 and 1986. TOPOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION: The southwest portion of Hartstene Island has very low lying terrain with a maximum of 277' feet of e'levation in the area directly east o+ the net pens. I traveled most of the accessible roads in the Southeast portion of Hartstene Island and found no sites where the net pens were visible other than along the waterfront. These waterfront sites were all under 40 feet in elevation. The dense vegetation and lack of upland development precludes seeing the water in Peale Passage from other than along the shoreline. Squaxin Island was not visited by this appraiser. SIZE AND DESCRIPTION OF PENS: The most northerly pen complex is 69.5 feet x 320 feet and covers about one-half acre of water surface. The middle pens are 329 feei: x 110 feet and cover about .83 acres of water surface. The? most southerly pens are 69.5 feet by 320 feet and cover about one-half acre of water surface. There are several barges anchored near-the pens which serve as support structures for the pens. The elevations of these structures vary from 12.5 feet I:o 25 feet above the water surface. -2- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 VISIBILITY OF PENS FROM HARTSTENE ISLAND: The actual floating net pens were not visible from any of the sites visited on Hartstene Island. The orange anchor balls in the vicinity of the pens were visi.ble and the support structures were visible. From Hartstene Island it was difficult to tell if these support structure were floating or built on-shore. PROPERTY VALUES: Sales of both improved and unimproved real estate on Hartstene Island, from which the fish pens might be visible, were researched. Sales of similar properties from other areas of Hartstene Island were also researched. Mason County appraiser Darryl Cleveland provided information gathered by the County Assessor's Office in their recent re-evaluation of Hartstene Island. Several local real estate offices and individual property owners having "For Sale' signs were contacted to determine current asking prices far parcels in the area bordering Peale Passage as well as other similar areas in Mason County. CONCLUSION: The appraiser found normal variations in front foot values for waterfront lots based on the type of road access, availability of utilities such as a water system, height a+ bank at the waterfront, etc. The data gathered indicates that properties having similar characteristics sold +or similar amounts without regard to their location on Hartstene Island. Three new homes are under construction at the present time on the southwest side a+ Hartstene Island in the area nearest to the.floating net pen sites. This further indicates the pens have not inhibited the development of new homes in this area. Property values based on sales history show a rapid appreciation all over Hartstene Island in the mid 1970's. In the years between 1983 and l9e6 property values decreased uniformly all over Hartstene Island as they did generally in this part of Washington. In fact in 1987 the Mason County assessors office collected data on sales of low bank, medium bank and high bank waterfront from all areas a+ the island. As a result of this study the assessed value per front foot a+ waterfront was lowered in all three categories without regard to their location on the island. -3- ALPINE APPRA.ISA.18 SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS ISO S. STH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIK WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 After examining the comparable sales data from different areas of Hartstene Island and similar waterfront parcels in Mason County, it is the opinion of this appraiser that the Peale Passage floating net pens have had no effect on property values in this area. It is also the opinion of the appraiser after visiting various areas and taking photographs from these areas that there is no visual impact, good or bad, from these pens. -4- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 SALES INFORMATION RESEARCH AREAS ON PEALE PASSAGE - SW SIDE HARTSTENE ISLAND CHAPMAN ROAD AREA - APPROXIMATELY 5400 LINEAL FEET TO PEN 12025 Lot 1, Sunset Acres PN 22014-50-00001 Community Water - Individual Septic System 1974 - $17,500 as unimproved waterfront lot. 1975 - Building Permit $18,000. 1975 - Added to Assessor Rolls in 1975 as 1.5 story 1593 sq. ft. home with 484 sq. ft. garage. 1984 - Sold for $105,000. Lot 5, Sunset Acres 1976 Building Permit $30,000. 1976 Added to Assessor Rolls in 1976 as 1.5 story, 2048 sq. ft. home with 672 sq. ft. garage 1986 Sold for $125,000. MAPLES ROAD AREA - APPROXIMATELY 3300 LINEAL FEET TO PEN 11284 Tract 3 Govt. Lot 2 and Tax 61-D and Tract 3 of S.P. # 426 100 FF WF 1979 - $29,500 unimproved waterfront lot. 1980 - Building permit $70,590. 1980 - Added to Assessor Rolls in 1980 as a 3 story 1974 sq. foot home. 1983 - Sold for $135,000. Tract 2 Govt. Lot 2 and Tax 61-C 100 FF WF 1988 New log home under construction at the present time (photo). 1984 $55,000 unimproved waterfront lot. 1985 $63,500 unimproved waterfront lot. -5- ALPINE APPRAISAIL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM, WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 Tract 4 of Survey 6/5-6 135 FF WF 1981 - $65,575 unimproved waterfront lot. 1981 - $79,500 unimproved water-front lot. 1987 - $60,000 unimproved waterfront lot. 1987 - New home under construction. Assessed value a+ improvements Partially completed $679280 Assess. value of lot $60,700 Total $1279980 Tract 6 of Survey 6/5-6 110 FF WF 1981 - $67,500 unimproved waterfront lot. 1986 - New home 50% complete. Tract 3 of SP #1200 Govt. Lot 5 105 FF WF 1983 - $42,500 unimproved watet-front lot. 1987 - $39,700 unimproved waterfront lot. OLYMPIC VIEW TRACTS 4800-6900 LINEAL FEET TO PEN 11284 -6- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 RESEARCH AREA ON CASE INLET -E. SIDE HARTSTENE ISLAND E. SIDE HARTSTENE ISLAND - POINT WILSON Plat (28 lots) Sec. 20 Twp. 20N, Rge 1W, W.M. Tract 5 + Tax 1194-A and South 25' Tract 4 and Tax 1194-B-1 Home built 1946 125 FF WF Med. Bank (20 ft.+) 1977 - Sold for $33,500. This plat consists of older cabins and homes, two or three new homes and a few vacant parcels. There is similar sales activity to the Peale Passage side. PLAT OF ISLAND SHORES - Govt. Lots 2 and 31 Sec. 18, Twp 20N, Rge IW W.M. Tract 6 Island Shores 95 FF WF Med. Bank (30 1- 501) Brushy with clearing. 1973 - $5,000 unimproved waterfront lot. 1983 - $34,000 unimproved waterfront lot. Tract 7 Island Shores 100 FF WF Med. Bank (30' - 50") Brushy - level 1982 - $33,500 unimproved waterfront lot. 1983 - New construction 1272 sq. ft., 1.5 story with deck. Tract 13 Island Shores 100 FF WF Med. Bank (30' - 501) 1978 - $20,000 unimproved waterfront lot. 1981 - $429800 unimproved waterfront lot. Tract 14 Island Shores 100 FF WF Med.-Hi. Bank (301 - 501) 1971 - $15,000 1981 - $34,500 Tract 9 Island Shores Plat #2 1987 - $60,000 improved waterfront lot. ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUINI. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 REPORT - FLOATING SALMON NET PENS SITE #2: RICH PASSAGE - Kitsap Counte, WA. Township 24 North, Range 2E, W.M. DATES OF INSPECTION: August 11, 17 and 18, 1988 PURPOSE AND FUNCTION OF REPORT: The purpose of this report is to determine the effects, if any, of floating salmonnet pens on the surrounding upland property values. The function is to provide information useful in siting -floating salmon net pens. CERTIFICATION AND LIMITING CONDITIONS: The standard Certifications and Limiting Conditions are attached. ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 AREA DESCRIPTION: Rich Passage is located between the south end of Bainbridge Island and the Manchester area on the Kitsap Peninsula. It is the waterway used by the Seattle-Bremerton ferries and the U.S. Navy Shipyards at Bremerton and Keyport. A large portion of the south end of Bainbridge Island was the Fort Ward Military reservation for many years. Today part of the reservation is a Washington State Park and the balance was sold by the U.S. Government to a private party. There is a row of homes along the waterfront both east and west of the Fort Ward area. On the south side of Rich Passage the U.S. Government maintains a naval reservation. A Washington State Park adjoins the Reservation on its north boundary. The area north of the State Park is known as Wautauga Beach and is a single family residential area. Other than along the waterfront, the upland areas on both the north and south side of Rich Passage are largely undeveloped. According to information from the Washington State Department of Natural Resources Aquaculture Division, floating salmon net pens were first placed in Rich Passage in June of 1971 by the National Marine Fisheries Service. In March of 1972 Domsea Inc. leased a large area on the south side of Rich Passage for placement of net pens. Pens were placed an the north side of Rich Passage by Domsea Inc. in 1974, by Domsea Inc. in 1979 and by Passage Silver Inc. in 1987. Four of these pens are shown on the aerial photo exhibit attached to this report. The fifth set of pens was installed after these photos were taken and its location an the exhibit is approximated from lease information obtained from the Department of Natural Resources. TOPOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION: The south end of Bainbridge Island has a narrow level area along the waterfront, then a fairly steep brush and tree covered bank that rises to about 100 feet in elevation. The terrain then becomes a gradual slope to about 200 feet in elevation in most areas. The highest point is about 360 feet in elevation. -2- ALPINE APPRAISAIL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIN.I. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 The accessible areas on the south or Kitsap Peninsula side of Rich Passage have a much more gradual slope up from the waterfront with dense brush and tree cover in most areas. Photographs were taken from a variety of elevations and locations in an attempt to show the visual impact of the pens from different elevations and distances. All photographs were taken with a 50 MM lens. SIZE AND DESCRIPTION OF PENS: The fcur floating net pens as shown an the aerial photograph of Rich Passage scale as follows: Pen number 9780 is approximately 200 feet by 850 feet; Pen number 12584 is approximately 250 feet by 250 feet; Pen number 10237 is approximately 250 feet by 500 feet; the pen an the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) dock is approximately 200 feet by 150 feet, the Passage Silver Pen was recently installed and the only information regarding its size is the Department a+ Natural Resources list showing it covers .41 acres of water surface. These floating net pens in this area are made of a variety of materials ranging from wood to steel. Some of the pens are a mixture of both. The Bremerton East Quadrangle Exhibit has pictures taken of the pens which are attached to the EPA dock at Manchester. Below it is an 85 MM photograph taken from the end of the Domsea Inc. dock on the south end of Bainbridge Island. It shows an area a+ the wood pens # '10237 that are attached to the dock as well as Pen number 12584 near Orchard Rock which appears to be a steel pen. The EPA dock and pens are visible in the distance on the right hand edge of the photo as well as Pen number 9780 behind and to the right of the red channel marker. VISIBILITY OF PENS FROM DIFFERENT LA14D LOCATIONS AND ELEVATIONS ARQUND RICH PASSAGEt A portion of the pens were'visible from almost all the locations where there is a water view in this area. At or near the shoreline (under@401 in elevation) the floating net pens are hardly visible if over 2400 lineal feet away. Within 2400 lineal feet and especially at elevations of over 401 the pens are more visible. From an elevation of approximately 90 feet and 1800 lineal feet away the Orchard Rock Pen # 12584 is visible. The photos taken 6000 feet and 10,500' feet distant were both taken at approximately 185 feet in elevation. The floating net pens are a faint line at these distances. -3- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7094 PROPERTY VALUES: The sales history of both improved and unimproved real estate in the Wautauga Beach area was researched. The floating net pens in Rich Passage are visible from a portion of these properties and not visible from others. A typical residence sale with a view of the pens was selected and compared to other similar residence sales in Kitsap County. I discussed the assessed values of properties in Kitsap County with Ida Mae Ryen of the Kitsap County Assessor's Office. She said the Rich Passage area was last valued in 1983 and is due for a re-evaluation next year. She indicated that they would examine every sale and check one against the other for any impacts fr-om the pens. She also said this had been done in the last valuation and so far no differences in value have been evident. CONCLUSION: After examining the comparable sales data from bc>th improved and unimproved properties, some with a view of the floating net pens and others with no view of the pens, it is the opinion of this appraiser that the Rich Passage floating salmon net pens have had no effect on property values in the two plats at Wautauga Beach. Based on observations of the floating net pens from a variety of distances and elevations it is my opinion that pens over 2400 lineal feet distant are not visible enough to have any impact on property values. At distances closer than 2400 feet they are more visible. I could not locate any closed real estate transactions of properties within this 2400 foot distance; however, there is a new home on lot 10 in the plat of Sunset Ridge an South Bainbridge Island. This home was added to the Kitsap County Tax Rolls in 1988 at an assessed value of $28,380 +or the land and $94,230, for the improvements for a total of $1229610. I located two pending sales of waterfront properties within 800 lineal feet of dock pen number 10237 and 1500 lineal feet of dock pen number 12584. The realtor who has the property listed also indicated the 430 feet of waterfront adjoining the Domsea dock and pen number 10237 was on the market. The pending sales indicate to me that the existence of floating net pens has not inhibited the development and sales of properties within 2400 lineal feet of the pens in this area. -4- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUINI. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 SALES INFORMA,rION RESEARCH AREAS ON SOUTH SIDE OF RICH PASSAGE Wautauga Beach Plat - Volume 5, Page 13, Gov"t. Lot 3 & 41 NE 1/4, Sec. 9, Twp. 24W, Rge. 2E, W.M. 5200 - 5700 lineal feet to Pen No. 12584 and No. 10237 SALES ACTIVITY ON LOTS WITH NO VIEW OF THE FLOATING NET PENS. Lot 3 and Portion of Lot 4 plus Tidelands 2-23-77 - $48,000 6-20-88 - $124,000 Home was built in 1930; 1.0 + bsmt, remodeled 1978. Lot has 100 FF WF. Lot 10 - 10-29-74 $3250 5-28-76 $30,000 B-11-78 $35,000 Lot 15 - 11-5-82 $84,950 B-7-86 - $67,000 Lot 17 - 10-24-73 - $11,500 11-6-74 $20,000 Lot 4 - 2-4-88 - $72,000 SALES ACTIVITY ON LOTS WITH A VIEW OF THE PENS. Lot 42 - 4-24-81 $100,000 10-1-87 $92,500 Mobile home placed on property in 1975 (cost $17,495) 1974 Commodore 24' x 601. 88.70 FT WF Lot 31 - 1-9-79 $60,000 7-20-87 $81,455 jUPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS ISO S. STH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM, WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 Lot 40 - 9-27-73 - $339000 1-27-84 - $989500 5-8-86 - $75,000 Home built 1946, remodeled 1971 and 1974 1, story. 88.70 FF WF Lot 43 5-18-77 - $84,500 12-7-79 - $1361500 Home built 1940, remodeled 1963 and major remodel 19135-86 including swim pool, boat ramp, and marine railway Lot 35 4-25-77 - $599000 7-20-78 - $69,500 Lot 29 6-10-76 - $11,500 5-2-77 - $75,000 M.B. Crane's Waterfront - Addition to Manchester - Portion 13L 5, Sec. 9, Twp. 24N, Rge. 2E, W.M. - 4700 - 5500 lineal feet to Pen No. 12584 and No. 10237 ALL LOTS IN THIS PLAT HAVE A VIEW OF THE FLOATING NET PENS Lot 5 B-8-74 $239500 B-28-75 $27,500 4-12-79 $909000 9-26-86 $789000 - Divorce-property settlement Home built in 1941, remodeled 1975 (interior) 60 FF WF Lot 20 5-16-73 $8,500 1-8-75 $11,250 6-11-80 $117,000 Home built in 1975. Lot has 62 FF WF Lot 21 9-12-73 - $31.,000 6-24-85 - $105,000 Home built in 1963, 1 story. Lot has 64 FF WF -6- I ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIK WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 6a3-7094 RESEARCH AREA ON N. SIDE OF RICH PASSAGE HOMES WITH VIEW OF FLOATING NET PENS. PLAT OF SUNSET RIDGE9 VOL. 12,1 PG. 74. Approximately 1000 lineal feet to Pen No. 12227; approximately 2000 lineal feet to Pen No. 12584. Lot 10 + Tidelands - 94 FF WF B-27-73 - $19.250 3-22-77 - $27,000 1977 - Quit claim deed - Divorce settlement 1988 - New home on tax rolls $122,,610 assessed value. Lot 9 + Tidelands - 97 FF WF 1985 New home on tax rolls, $106,490 assessed value. AIPINE APPRAISA& SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 REPORT - FLOATING SALMON NET PENS AND PROPOSED FLOATING SALMON NET PENS SITE 3: SKAGIT BAY - Skagit County, WA. Township 34 North, Range 2E, W.M. DATES OF INSPECTION: October IS and 19, 1988, March 9, 1989 PURPOSE AND FUNCTION OF REPORT: The purpose of this report is to determine the effects, if any, of the existing floating salmon net pens on the surrounding upland property values. The function is to provide information useful in siting floating sal mon net pens. CERTIFICATION AND LIMITING CONDITIONS: The standard Certifications and Limiting Conditions are attached. I ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 AREA DESCRIPTION: -Skagit Bay is located between Fidalgo Island and the north end of Whidbey Island. A portion of the bay is in Island County and a portion is in Skagit County. An existing floating salmon net pen is located in Skagit County. Hope Island and Skagit Island are located in Skagit Bay. These two islands are both part of Deception Pass State Park. The portion of Fidalgo Island bordering Skagit Bay an the east is part of the Swinomish Indian Reservation. The reservation in this area has a combination of lands in fee ownership, lands leased by the tribe and tribal owned lands. All tidelands are claimed by the tribe. Residential development in this area of the Swinomish Indian Reservation is mainly along the waterfront. The terrain here is a gradual slope from beach level to about 300 feet in elevation one-half mile inland. Whidbey Island on the west side of Skagit Bay is a combination of private ownership and Washington State Park ownership. The portion in private ownership is sparsely populated due to the steep terrain along the water. The interior of both the Swinomish Indian Reservation and the north end a+ Whidley Island are largely undeveloped. Skagit Bay has an existing floating salmon net pen complex approximately 1800 lineal feet north of Hope Island and 1200 lineal feet west of the Lone Tree Point. According to information supplied by the Skagit Systems Cooperative, installation of these pens was begun in May of 1987. SIZE AND DESCRIPTION OF EXISTING FLOATING SALMON NET PENS: The existing floating salmon net pen lease? # 12356 is approximately 100 feet by 480 feet and according to the Department of Natural Resources lease covers .66 acres of water surface. The pens appear-to be of steel constrLICtion when viewed from the share. There is a supply building, 10 feet by 20 feet by 10 feet high, at the pen site as shown irk the photo exhibit. LOCATION AND DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED FLOATING SALMON NET PENS: The Skagit System Cooperative is proposing to locate a 100 foot by 480 foot complex of floating salmon net pens about 1800 lineal feet southeast of Hope Island and 4400 lineal feet due -2- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 west of Sunset Drive, a street in the Plat of Wagner's Hope Island Addition. These pens will be about 7400 lineal feet from the closest point on Whidbey Island and about 3100 feet southwest of Snee-oosh Point, the nearest land on Fidalgo Island. The pens are to be steel construction similar to the steel pens shown in the lower left hand corner of the Rich Passage exhibit. A small building, 10 feet by 25 feet by 10 feet high, will be located at the site of the pens to provide protection for the employees and limited storage of food. VISIBILITY OF PENS FROM DIFFERENT LAND LOCATIONS AND ELEVATIONS AROUND SKAGIT BAY: Photographs (50 MM) were taken from different areas as shown on the Anacortes South quadrangle map exhibit. These areas were visited and photos taken of the proposed location of a new fish pen complex and the existing fish pens. Approximate distances from the pens and elevations, at the site are noted near each picture. PROPERTY VALUES: Sales of unimproved and improved real estate along the east shore of Skagit Bay were researched for the period of 1986, 19877 1988 and 1989. Two recent sales of homes with a view of the existing net pens have recently been recorded and a third sale is scheduled to close on April IQ), 1989. It is my opinion that these homes sold at Fair Market Value. CONCLUSION: The Skagit Bay area is presently providing the best information an property values as sales are recorded on homes less than one mile from an existing salmon net pen complex. Sales data from the area indicates that two homes with a view of the pens were recently sold at Fair Market Value. These homes are approximately 3000 and 3900 feet from the pen s*ite. There are several new homes under construction south of Snee- oosh Point. These homes will be approximately 4100 lineal feet east of the approved proposed pen complex. After examining the comparable sales data from areas without a view of the pens and the construction activity in the area of the approved new pen site, it is the opinion of this appraiser that the Skagit Bay existing floating net pens and proposed floating net pens have not affected property values in this area as as indicated by the recent market sales of homes at 1606 Snee- oosh Road and 1575 Snee-oosh Road. -3- ALPINE APPRAISAJL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. STH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUINI, WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 SALES INFORMA"riON RESEARCH AREAS ON SKAGIT BAY - S(J SIDE OF FIDALGO ISLAND WAGNERS HOPE ISLAND ADDITION Lot 6 & N. 20' of Lot 5, BI . 4 (1740 Gol den View Dr.) 4/86 $120,000,, Residence built 1958 Lot 31 BI 3 (1732 Sol den View Dr.) 11/86 $130,000, Residence built 1963 Lot 2 and Ptn. Lot 19 B1.4 (1746 Golden View Dr.) 5/88 $85,000, Residence built 1969 FAHLENS SNEE-OOSH TRACTS Lot 4 (1668 Reef Point) 8/86 - $178,500, Residence built 1969 PLAT OF SNEE-OOSH Lot 65 (712 Chilberg Ave.) 7/136 - $115,000, Residence built 1927 PLAT OF SHOREWOOD Lot 9 1/87 - $42,500, Unimproved lot PORTION OF GOV'T. LOT 1, Sec. 27, Twp. 34N, Rge. 2E, W.M. 1606 Snee-oosh Road 10/6/8B - $2849000, Residence built 1979, PORTION OF GOV'T. LOT 1, Sec. 22, Twp. 34N,, Rge. 2E, W.M. 1575 Snee-oosh Road 10/6/88 - $73,500, Residence built 1967 -4- ALPINE APPRAISA1 SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 RESEARCH AREA SIMILK BAY - FIDALGO ISLAND SIMILK BEACH PLAT Lot 23 & Ptn. Lot 24, Bl. 6 (624 Satterlee Rd.) G/GS - $61,000, Residence built 1920 GIBRALTER AREA Ptn. G.L. 6 Sec. 19, Twp. 34, Rge. 2E (500 Gibralter) 8/88 - $120,000, Residence built 1973 RESEARCH AREA SHELTER BAY - SE. SIDE OF FIDALGO ISLAND SHELTER BAY PLAT Lot 743, Shelter Bay #4 (743 Tillamuk Dr.) 8/88 - $130,000, Residence built 1972 Lot 457, Shelter Bay #3 (457 Klickitat Dr.) 8/88 - $123,000, Residence bui-It 1973 RESEARCH AREA SKYLINE - FIDALGO ISLAND SKYLINE PLAT Lot 85, Div. 8 (5104 Kingsway) 7/88 - $98,700, Residence built 1970 Lot 41,, Div. 11 (2205 Dover Drive) 7/88 - $125,000, Residence built 1980 -5- ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE j REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUINI. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 REPORT - FLOATING SALMON NET PENS SITE #3: DISCOVERY BAY - Clallam CoLinty, WA. Township 30 North, Range 2W, W.M. DATES OF INSPECTION: August 19 & 20, 1988 PURPOSE AND FUNCTION OF REPORTz To compare Discovery Bay with Peale Passage and Rich Passage. The i:Ltnction is to provide information UsefLil in siting floating salmon net pens. CERTIFICATION AND LIMITING CONDITIONS: The Standard Certifications and Limiting Conditions are attached. ALPINE APPRAISAL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. 5TH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIM. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 AREA DESCRIPTION: Discovery Bay is a large bay situated between the Miller Peninsula and the Quimper Peninsula. A portion of the bay is located in Jefferson County and a portion is in Clallam County. The portion of the bay where the proposed floating salmon net pens are located is in Clallam County. Discovery Bay and Rich Passage are similar with areas of fairly dense development, areas of scattered homes along the waterfront, and some unimproved properties. Peale Passage is relatively undeveloped by comparison with only 4 or 5 areas where groups of waterfront homes are clustered near the end of a road. TOPOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION: Discovery Say has a much wider variety of terrain than either Peale Passage or Rich Passage. Discovery Bay has several no bank waterfront areas such as Diamond Point, Beckett Point, and Gardiner. It also has many medium to.high bank areas. Elevations near the waterfront range from 11' to 600' feet above sea level. SIZE AND DESCRIPTON OF PENS: It is my understanding that the proposed Discovery Say pens will eventually be 100 feet by 1000 feet in area and are to be steel pens. I do not know what materials were used in constructing the Peale Passage Pens as they were not visible from any of the areas I visited. The Rich Passage pens are constructed from a variety of materials. Some were wood, others a combination of wood and steel, and others were steel. VISIBILITY OF PENS FROM DIFFERENT LAND LOCATIONS AND ELEVATIONS AROUND DISCOVERY BAY: Photographs (50 MM) were taken from different areas as shown an the attached Gardiner quadrangle map exhibit. These areas were visited and photos taken of the proposed fish pen location to make comparisons with the other areas visited. Approximate distances from the proposed pens and elevations at the site are noted near each picture. CONCLUSION: After visiting all three study areas and evaluating the information gathered in the field it is my opinion that areas over 2400 lineal feet from the floating net pens will have little visual impact and their property values will not be adversely affected. Residential areas less than 2460 lineal feet from the pens will have some Visual impact. ALPINE APPRAISXL SERVICE REAL ESTATE APPRAISERS 150 S. STH AVE. SUITE 14 SEQUIN. WASHINGTON 98382 (206) 683-7084 In Peale Passage and Rich Passage floating net pens were originally located in areas with no residential development within 2400 feet of the pens. In the past 3 years two new waterfront homes with a view of the floating net pens were built on the north side of Rich Passage and several waterfront parcels adjoining the Domsea Dock and Pens in this same area are in the process of being developed and sold. Because of the lack of sales history for properties within this distance it is not possible to make any direct value comparisons, however, the building and development activity in the area indicates the impacts have been minimal. This is consistent with my personal experience as a real estate appraiser. Over the past B years, I have appraised many waterfront and water view properties in Jefferson and Clallam Counties. I have found that waterfront and marine activities do not adverse]y affect upland and waterfront property values. N, I APPENDIX L ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF SALMON AQUACULTURE 0 The Northwest Environmental journal, 5:37-52, 1989 University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195 Economic Aspects of Salmon Aquaculture James A. Crutchfield' Scope and Purpose Aquaculture, broadly defined, includes shellfish culture, ocean ranching (i.e., the hatchery production of selected stocks which are released to the ocean and harvested upon their returr), and pen- rearing of various species of finfish. This paper focuses on the ex- plosive and controversial growth in farming of salmon. Pen-rearing of salmon is definitely where the action and the emotions are cen- tered in Washington State, although controversy also has arisen over the proposed rearing of edible seaweed (nori) and the expansion of shellfish culture. The policy issues involved in the disputes over pen-rearing in Washington waters tend to be viewed as regional, but it is impossible to assess them without considering similar issues elsewhere in the world. Our local expertise and capital are drawn, in part, from abroad, and farmed salmon now are standardized items in world trade. The first part of this paper deals with the development and current economic situation of salmon farming in the broader setting. The second part discusses the potential role of Washington State in the global market and a number of factors that give rise to some pe- culiarly local problems. The term Puget Sound is used throughout to mean the area from the Canadian border, south to Clallam County on the Strait of Juan de Fuca. World Salmon Farming: The Norwegian Experience Pen-rearing is hardly a new toy in the fisheries world. Sophisti- cated pond culture has been carried on in China and Southeast Asia for centuries, and there are active brackish-water rearing enclosures in Gaeta, Italy, which once served the elite of Roman society. Ex- perimental and modest commercial production of pen-reared salm- on goes back to the 1970s. Indeed, much of the best research on Professor Emeritus, Department of Economics, Graduate School of Public Affairs, and Institute for Marine Studies, % Institute for Marine Studies (HF-05), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195. 38 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOM[CS 39 rearing of salmonids has been carried on in Washington State for TABLE 1. World production of Atlantic and Pacific salmon (in metric tons), 1987- decades by scientists at the University of Washington and the Na- 1990. tional Marine Fisheries Service. Nevertheless, large-scale commer- Salmon Country 1987 1988 19892 19902 cial production under controlled conditions is a relatively new de- velopment. Catfish in the United States, yellowtail and shrimp in Atlantic Canada 800 1,600 3,200 5,000 Japan, and shrimp in Latin America now support solidly established Faroe Islands 4,800 4,800 7,100 9,000 Iceland 800 1,800 2,500 5,000 industries. But nothing matches the excitement and the economic Ireland 2,200 4,500 6,600 10,100 impact of the explosive growth of pen-reared salmon, which fol- Norwayl 53,000 80,000 84,000 107,000 lowed years of limited success and experimentation in Washington, England 13,900 15,000 20,000 25,000 British Columbia, Chile, and elsewhere. United States 800 1,700 3,200 5,200 Pacific salmon (coho and chinook) remain the mainstay of pen Sub-total 76,300 109,400 139,400 166,300 operations in Japan, British Columbia, Chile, New Zealand, and the Pacific Canada 3,200 8,400 14,600 23,000 Chilel 1,700 3,500 15,400 17,000 state of Washington. In a dozen years, the output of farmed coho Japani 13,000 15,000 17,000 30,000 in Japan has risen to an estimated 15,000 metric tons (mt); Atkinson New Zealand 1,000 1,500 2,000 3,000 (1987) has forecast production of 30,000 mt by 1990. British Columbia United States 1,700 2,000 2,400 2,500 operations also are based largely on coho and chinook, and have Sub-total 20,600 30,400 51,400 75,500 grown very rapidly with relaxation of tight government restrictions. Total 96,900 139,800 190,800 241,800 Between 125 and 160 licensed farms presently are active. New Zea- I Figures for Norway, Japan, and Chile have been adjusted on the basis of more land's farms are devoted to chinook, and Washington State's pen- recent reports. rearing operations are producing coho and a small quantity of chi- Source: Cited in Anderson 1987. Norway continues to expand (from a report by JETRO quoting data by National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)I. Suisan Tsushin, nook. Tokyo. November 11, 1988. (Printed in Japanese.) Except for Japan, however, change is in the wind. Washington's 2 Projected by above JETRO report quoting NMFS data. largest coho farm was sold recently to Norwegian interests and will st- : Ct lo A C salmon; --!! of the a-licatinne for nermitq nnw IL11 L I., - rr --- --- before the State are for Atlantics. Recent investments in Chile and unexpected problems-is expected to exceed 100,000 tons by 1990. British Columbia by large European multinationals also will be de- This spectacular record has not been without its bumps and chuck- voted to that species. Japanese firms, on the other hand, continue holes, however. The industry struggled in its early years to meet to concentrate on coho in both production and imports, although color and size requirements for its dominant European market. In some New Zealand chinooks and Norwegian Atlantics are now 1985, a temporary decline in prices caused some concern. In 1986 found in Japanese markets. At present, Atlantic salmon account for and 1987, production was curtailed by an outbreak of disease. In about 78 percent of world production. 1988, a massive onset of growth of algae required physical removal As might be expected in this fluid situation, estimates of total of many pens in Norway; though few fish were lost, the cost of world production of pen-reared Atlantic and Pacific salmon from moving them out of danger was substantial. Scotland also has suf- different sources vary widely. The current forecast figures in Table fered from algae blooms in recent years. 1 are believed to be reasonably reliable. All sources share a common The success of the Norwegians in pen-rearing Atlantic salmon theme, however: Very large increases in the supply of pen-reared was not happenstance; it resulted from a combination of excellent salmon will reach U.S., European, and Japanese markets in the next natural endowments, supportive government policy, and an ener- few years. getic and well-organized industry (Lavin-Riely and Anderson 1986). The real breakthroughs in rearing Atlantic salmon came first in Atlantic salmon can be "grown out" in pens from smolt to desirable Norway, where a strong government program of research and de- market size (2-6 kg) in about 18 to 24 months, and are less susceptible velopment grew out of the need for new economic opportunities to disease than Pacific species. Despite general depletion of Atlantic in the depressed coastal fishing areas. Table 2 tells a tale of almost salmon after World War 11, Norway had a fairly good supply of uninterrupted success. From a meager 3,500 metric tons in 1978, genetically-diverse wild stocks from which to draw. Its long coast- production is projected at nearly 80,000 tons in 1989, and-barring line provided excellent water temperature regimes and an abun- 40 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 41 TABLE 2. Supply of farmed Atlantic salmon: Norway and other countries (in metric tered areas in Maine. The British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture tons), 1978-1990. and Fisheries estimates that there are more than 700 potential sites Other Percent of in British Columbia alone (DPA 1986). Year countries Norway Total total The "internationalization" of salmon farming certainly would 1978 250 3,500 3,750 93.0 have occurred as a result of market forces alone. Another factor was 1979 470 4,150 5,598 89.9 the availability of suitable sites in many parts of the world. But the 1980 1,445 4,153 5,598 74.2 process has been accelerated by Norwegian fishery policies. (For an 1981 1,133 8,422 9,555 88.1 excellent summary of these policies, see Bjorndal 1988.) Briefly stat- 1982 3,527 10,265 13,792 74.4 ed, the government's approach to the new pen-rearing industry has 1983 2,839 17,016 19,855 85.7 been dominated by two goals: (1) to place farms in regions with 1984 4,552 22,300 26,852 83.1 1985 6,500 28,655 35,155 81.5 limited employment opportunities (perhaps resulting in less mi- 1986 10,600 38,000 48,600 78.2 gration to large urban areas); and (2) to gear the pace of production 1987 14,700 50,000 64,700 77.3 to growth in the market for pen-reared fish and, thus, stabilize prices 1988 N/A 80,000 98,000 at profitable levels. These objectives were reflected in tight restric- 1989* tions on the number of smolt-rearing and feed-out farms (where 1990* 40,000 107,000 147,000 72.8 hatchery-raised smolts that have been moved to rearing pens- Source: The University of Stirling Institute for Retail Studies Market Reports, Volume usually in natural saltwater-are fed in the pens); limitations on No. 2, pp. 42, 43. 1988 and 1990 estimates from trade sources. Projected by the University of Stirling Institute for Retail Studies. farm size and multiple-site ownership; and insistence on industry- wide pricing, quality control, and the provision of genetically-strong eggs and smolt. The government also has subsidized the develop- dance of sites relatively free Of pollution. There was little public ment of a multi-mode transportation system linking fish farms and opposition to this new water use. Government aids, in the form of their suppliers (Mylchreest 1985). scientific research, capital funds, subsidies, and quality control, were These policies have, in general, achieved their goals, but they also used effectively. The industry rapidly developed marketing and spurred the export of Norwegian capital and expertise to other coun- production strategies that made year-round supplies of high-quality tries. Experience and technological progress brought an awareness fresh salmon widely available. Even if account is taken of the sub- that government restrictions were preventing the realization of sidies, salmon farming has proved highly attractive to Norwegian economies of scale in the size of individual farms, operation of investors. When 150 new permits were made available recently, multiple sites, and vertical integration of smolt production, feed- there were more than 1,500 eager applicants. out, processing, and marketing. Many of Norway's farms are smaller than the allowable 8,000 cubic meters. (The Norwegian government The World joins In authorized a 12,000-cubic-meter limit but as of this writing, it has not been implemented.) Several studies (e.g., Bjorndal 1988; Sal- The boom has become international, although Norway's share of vanes 1986) indicate that operations several times that size would the total production of Atlantic salmon was still over 70 percent in probably bring important reductions in unit costs. This, coupled 1987 (Table 2). The United Kingdom, Canada, Chile, Japan, Iceland, with the sobering realization that Norwegian salmon farmers would Ireland, New Zealand, and the United States-together with five soon feel the pinch of stabilizing prices and increased foreign com- other nations, several of them long active at low levels-now are petition, lead to a continuing effort to bring Norwegian skills and expanding production rapidly. capital to locations free of these restrictions. In the U.S., Canada, In addition, substantial quantities of farmed salmon may reach Chile, Scotland, and elsewhere, the dominant factor in salmon farm- U.S. and European consumers from small 11 pockets" of good rearing ing has been the Norwegian presence. (For an excellent summary sites that are favorably located near transportation and markets. For of Norwegian investment activity in the U.S. and Canada, see Parker example, New Brunswick is producing Atlantic salmon for sale in 1988.) the U.S. and is reported to have the potential for as much as 10,000 Norway provides an example of establishing quality controls tons annually .. Substantial quantities may be forthcoming from shel- through a central agency (the Fish Farmers Sales Organization), 42 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 43 backed by government inspection and export certification. This ex- for sale in the imaginative plastic packaging developed for use in ample has been followed, through government or industry action, retail chains and supermarkets. by all major producing countries except the United States (Ringstad From the standpoint of the important European salmon-smoking 1986). Given the reliance on high and consistent quality as a device industry, the ability to buy raw materials, as needed, significantly for market penetration, this type of control probably is essential to reduces holding costs (i.e., storage, freezer capacity, quality main- prevent "free-riding" by less scrupulous producers and marketers. tenance, and interest charges). In short, the U.S. development of pen-rearing potential must be Note the emphasis on continuity of supply of market-sized fish, accompanied by measures to assure industry-wide adherence to high a problem never completely solved in efforts to build a strong market quality standards. for pen-reared coho. Few farm operations, even with multiple sites, can deliver farmed Atlantic salmon in fresh form through a full year, but the growing diversity of sources in both northern and Markets southern hemispheres means that the entire market can very nearly meet that goal. Skillful use of the freezer, and care in subsequent The phenomenal growth in farmed salmon production raises the handling, can bridge the remaining gap. For obvious reasons, mar- two obvious questions of where it is going and how markets can keting of farmed fish is heaviest in the eight months when fresh absorb such quantities. wild salmon are scarce or unavailable. It also should be noted that The markets for salmon are highly segmented. The major markets some of the coho production is marketed at pan-size and competes (U.S., Japan, United Kingdom, Germany, and France) distinguish with trout rather than other fresh salmon. wild from farmed salmon; coho, chinook, and sockeye from Atlantic; In short, the growth in sales of farmed salmon to date reflects a troll-caught from net-caught Pacific fish; fresh from frozen; and number of real marketing advantages over wild fish in the high small from large fish. Cross-elasticities of demand (i.e., the sensi- quality fresh-fish-oriented segments in which they have concen- tivity of demand in one segment to changes in prices in another) trated. The ability to maintain a high growth rate, however, will are not identical, but are linked to some degree. Thus far, farmed require much broader penetration, probably with a wider variety 'ed into the rnarkets f0r. s-ahmo.- -1A. - saimuit have I'M of end products. With wild salmon landings holding fairly steady demand for fresh fish "out of season," and by edging into the Eu- at around 650,000 mt, farmed salmon will account for about 14 ropean smoked salmon markets traditionally served by wild fish or percent of total supply by 1990. The figure is much higher for wild U.S. frozen fish. There is, contrary to one widely expressed view by Atlantics, Pacific chinook, and coho-the three species which com- salmon farmers, both direct and indirect competition with wild fish, pete most directly. There is a big marketing job to be done in the but farmed salmon clearly are making up the growth component. near future. The "white tablecloth" restaurants are by far the most important outlets for quality fresh salmon, and it is in this segment of the Industry Structure market that farmed fish offer their greatest appeal. Restaurants can- not afford to promote a high-priced item like salmon without a The basic structure of salmon farming is essentially that of a guarantee of consistent supply. Unlike troll-caught chinook and marine feedlot operation. Selected salmon eggs are reared in a hatch- coho, farmed Atlantics are available in uniform sizes, quantities, ery and raised to smolts of 35-50 g in a second stage. The smolts and guaranteed freshness year-round. In particular, they fill the long then are moved to rearing pens, usually in natural saltwater envi- gap left by the highly-seasonal availability of wild salmon. ronments, and grown to marketable size (about 2-6 kg). The fish For the busy restaurateur, the ability to order by telephone to are harvested and bled on site for transportation to processors and meet exact needs, rather than touring fish markets to examine in- then are frozen or shipped by air or truck to export destinations. dividual lots, is an attractive feature that reduces costs and increases Subsequent distribution in the United States is handled through menu flexibility. established fresh-fish marketing channels, with a small quantity sold Uniformity of size and quality, and steady supply also may be the in frozen form. A rough estimate of price relationships in the U.S. principal characteristics that make farmed salmon a prime candidate at various states in the process is shown in Table 3. 44 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 45 TABLE 3. Cost structure for fresh farmed salmon from Norway, in dollars (USD). Some of these threats will doubtless be reduced by the sheer USD pressure of the marketplace, but always at some additional cost to Price FOB Norway 6.56/kg producers. And the number of unknown and uncontrollable loss Air freight ex Norway 1.74 factors will remain large enough to make pen-rearing a high risk Margin of importer (7%-10%) 0.83 business. Selling price of importer 9.13 Finally, the availability of high quality feed has been a recurrent Overland freight 0.22 worry, particularly in newly developed salmon farming regions. Margin of wholesaler Q0%) 1.87 The fish meal industry is geared to a huge demand for poultry and Selling price to restaurant 11.22 animal feeds, which are not suitable for fish. In the intermediate Source: Ringstad 1986. term, improved knowledge of nutritional requirements at each stage of development (from egg to mature salmon) and the growth in the size of the market for salmon feed will provide the market incentives Biochemical Problems to meet the problem; in the interim, however, it remains an im- portant concern in some areas. The industry has struggled in its early phases with a number of economic problems. Smolt production has been carried on as a sep- The Trend Toward Concentration arate operation in most cases, and often has fallen short of demand from the rapidly growing farm operations. The scramble for smolts It is not surprising that these unresolved biotechnical problems, has, in turn, added to the problem of straying of escaped farm fish together with better access to capital and markets, have tended to and genetic disruption of wild salmon stocks on which the Nor- push the salmon-farming industry toward fewer and larger units, wegian industry is still dependent. Briefly, this results from mixing better able to reduce risks through multiple-site operations and to of wild and farmed fish and the subsequent dilution of the complex tie successive input requirements (eggs, smolts, and feed) to con- set of genetic characteristics that tailor each wild stock to the specific trolled sources through vertical integration. This trend has been conditions of its river of origin. In Norway these problems have impeded by Norway's regulatory orientation, but is clearly evident been addressed by a centralized governmental research program to in other countries such as Canada, Scotland, and Chile. A study of develop brood stocks of appropriate diversity, as well as by careful British Columbia farms showed that about 60 percent of their pro- control of imports. These are inherent problems that must be ad- duction came from 15 percent of the farms (DPA 1986). dressed, by public or combined industry action, in any salmon farm- Geographic decentralization of the industry will doubtless con- ing area. In Washington State the permitting process requires careful tinue, not only because of Norway's restrictive policies, but also attention to the potential impact of salmon farmers on wild and because of high transport costs. Air freight to the U.S. from Norway hatchery stocks. averages about $1.74/kg and up, which provides a substantial um- A major factor affecting costs of pen-rearing is the need to control brella for farmers located closer to consuming centers. Chilean fish disease and to improve survival rates. Like any other marine animal, are brought to the West Coast by one large U.S. firm in chartered diseases become more troublesome as stocking density increases. Boeing 707s-an outlay that can only be absorbed because of south- Drug treatment is expensive and raises questions about transfer of ern Chile's low wages and freedom from controversy about envi- potentially toxic material to other marine organisms or to human ronmental problems. Canada, of course, has a clear advantage with consumers. In Norway, the higher incidence of disease in older fish respect to transportation to U.S. markets. has at times restricted the size to which salmon can be grown; this runs counter to market preference for larger fish. Salmon Farming in Washington State There is always the risk of adverse developments in the complex marine environment on which pen-rearing depends. Changes in Why has Washington been so slow in joining the pen-rearing salinity, temperature, algae blooms, and food web relations (not to boom? Washington has had some early experience in farming coho mention oil spills, waste disposal, and other human insults) pose salmon-some of it marginally successful and some disastrous. A contingent threats to salmon farms. great deal of sophisticated and practical research in rearing of sal- 46 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL IOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 47 monids has been carried on by the University of Washington and of scenic values for shoreline and upland property owners, and the National Marine Fisheries Service. The state's potential sites restrictions on quality water-based recreational activities, particu- have been investigated, largely by technically competent domestic larly boating. Unfortunately, there is no operative price mechanism and Norwegian interests. Yet only 7-13 marine rearing operations which would help establish a schedule of best uses for these waters. now are believed active, compared to some 125-160 in British Co- But the losses are certainly very real to those directly affected, as lumbia. evidenced by the widespread opposition that has developed in the Proponents of aquaculture are quick to point a finger at the slow greater Puget Sound region. Regional environmental quality is a pace of governmental site certification and the failure of the state composite of many things, and it is vulnerable to the " nibbling" to provide firm guidelines for site approval and farm operation. process that accompanies growth in population and industry. More- There is some measure of truth in their position. For example, there over, environmental losses are all-too-frequently irreversible. are definite conflicts between state agencies and local governments . It must be stressed that Puget Sound already is an intensively that must be resolved. The concerned agencies-the Governor's of- utilized land/water system. Water transportation, commercial and fice and the departments of Agriculture, Fisheries, and Natural Re- recreational fishermen, pleasure boaters, beachcombers, and shore- sources-are strong supporters of rapid expansion of aquaculture. line residents all compete in varying degrees for use of these waters. Local governments are more exposed to the -direct heat of constit- Virtually all of the desirable pen-rearing sites will put salmon farmers uents who are concerned about negative effects and are generally in direct conflict with some other users. opposed to anything more than token pen-rearing. They argue, Unlike other major sea-farming areas, e.g., the west coast of Nor- again with considerable justification, that they pay most of the ex- way, Scotland's north coast and islands, and southern Chile, there ternal costs and assume all of the environmental risks of salmon is no logical argument that salmon farming is needed in isolated farming with extremely small economic benefits (see "Economic areas of Puget Sound where unemployment and labor immobility Non-Issues," below). Coalitions of opposition groups originating at create serious social problems. The Puget Sound region is the most the country level have become increasingly vocal at the state and prosperous in the state, and even the distressing condition of the local levels. commercial salmon fishery is largely offset by the ready availability it -,eems clear that the ratitious attitude of the state government of off-season employment. For most commercial fishermen. Wash- toward action, as opposed to rhetoric, is a response to real public concerns about the impact of a large pen-rearing industry on local ington offers a vari@ty of better jobs than unskilled manual labor areas and on the state as a whole. Weston's studies (1987) and ex- on salmon pens. perience in Norway confirm the likelihood of water quality deg- radation in limited areas from fecal matter and unused feed. But Economic Non-Issues how extensive or persistent these effects may be, particularly after The real issues in the controversies over site approvals have been long periods of operation, remains an open question which can only obscured by a number of economically faulty arguments put forth be answered on a site-by-site basis. If, for example, it turns out that by both sides. For example, proponents repeatedly have claimed the pens must be moved every few years, the unpleasant possibility that a fully-developed Puget Sound salmon-rearing industry would emerges of continuous struggles over certification of new sites. reduce the nation's serious international balance-of-payment prob- I am not qualified to assess the significance of other biological lems. But in recent years, total salmon imports to the United States impacts, e.g., transmission of diseases to native fish stocks, straying amounted to less than one-tenth of one percent of the $150 billion and genetic damage, long-term effects of drugs and other chemicals deficit in the U.S. balance of trade. on local biota and/or humans, and possible damage to birds or The promise of major increases in jobs and entrepreneurial op- marine mammals. While it seems likely that the probability of cat- portunities is equally suspect. A recent study by the State Depart- astrophic damage is small, the probability of zero damage is even ment of Trade and Economic Development (Inveen 1987) suggests smaller. Whatever their level, biological impacts mean increased that primary employment in a typical Puget Sound pen-rearing social costs-some that can be measured in dollars, others that can- operation would be eight to ten persons, with an average annual not. wage of about $19,000-ranging from $14,500, to $30,000 for the Probably the most important negative impact is the degradation manager. Capital investment required would be about $750,000- 48 NORTIIWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 49 $1,000,000, and annual operating expenses about $1,400,000 (feed, portion (26 percent) felt that frozen farmed Atlantics compete di- 30 percent; labor, 14 percent; smolt, 12 percent; "other," 44 percent). rectly with frozen Pacifics, but this may change as more and more Assuming eight additional jobs in secondary activities, the total imports come in frozen form from sources such as Chile and New increase in employment from ten new salmon farms would be about Zealand. 160-200, and the number of new firms would be something less There is general agreement that exports of wild salmon to Europe than ten: These are useful additions, to be sure, but not of major (about 10-15 percent, by value, of total U.S. production) will feel significance. These figures are consistent with estimates of labor the impact of farmed salmon most severely. European smokers, tra- inputs in the Norwegian industry (Bjorndal 1988). ditionally the major purchasers of frozen troll-caught chinook and On the other side of the controversy, commercial fishermen have coho, have turned increasingly to Norwegian, Scottish, and Irish resolutely opposed any increase in salmon farming for two reasons: farmed Atlantics. (This comment is based on an unpublished paper, (1) the encroachment on fishing grounds or areas in which fish are "International Salmon Farming: Competition for U.S. Fishermen?" transferred to buyers (where boats anchor during closed periods); by Stephen M. White for a fall 1986 class at the Institute for Marine and (2) the adverse effects of farmed fish on market prices. The first Studies, University of Washington, Seattle.) point is a legitimate one, but it could be met by identifying and For obvious reasons, the impact of farmed salmon on prices and blocking out areas where pen-rearing activity would impact tradi- market shares for traditional fishermen is critically dependent- on tional fishing activities. This would, however, further restrict the the long-run breadth and depth of the overall market for salmon. number of sites that meet state guidelines. There is probably some validity to the aquaculturists' position that The second point is more complex. Two questions are raised: year-round availability of salmon will boost demand for both farmed Would farmed fish actually compete with wild fish in the market? and wild fish in both restaurant and retail markets. The excellent if so, should traditional harvesters be shielded from such compe- job of quality control by marketers of farmed salmon may force tition? To some extent competition in the fresh market is limited badly needed improvements in the handling of wild salmon, which by timing. Wild salmon are available in fresh form only during a would add further strength. But a major, concerted promotional "window" of about four months (and for Washington trollers and effort will be required if forecasts of 200,000-300,000 tons of farmed net fishermen, the window is even narrower); imports of farmed salmon annually come to pass and the estimated minimum whole- fish are heavier in the off-season. The boundaries are not that neat, sale prices of $3.50-$3.75 per pound are to be maintained. however. Atlantic salmon can be found on restaurant menus year- From the standpoint of Washington State policy, perhaps the best round, particularly in East Coast and Midwest markets. High quality response to the competition question is: So what? Consumer pref- frozen wild fish, which normally filled the winter/spring gap, are erences ultimately determine the relative place of different salmon directly competitive with farmed fish. If, as trade journals suggest, products in different markets, with price differentials serving as the more and more farmed salmon will be frozen as production expands, allocative mechanism. This is the way private enterprise economies competition with wild fish will broaden (Seafood Leader 1988). are supposed to work. Any effort to stifle production of a new or Pen-reared coho, in smaller sizes, are considered more comparable better product for the benefit of an existing segment of industry to farmed trout. Larger coho from Chile, however, are close substi- runs directly counter to the rules of the game, and would be doomed tutes for wild fish, as are chinooks from farms in New Zealand and to failure in time. Moreover, the additional output of Washington British Columbia. farmed salmon, even under the rosiest assumptions, would have In aggregate terms, it is difficult to avoid the c 'onclusion that little or no measurable effect on prices that are determined by world- farmed salmon must either moderate price increases or actually cut wide supply and demand. real prices for domestically-harvested wild salmon. imports are much greater than the supplies of troll-caught chinooks and coho, which Conclusions and a Look Forward are most nearly comparable in quality. We conclude with words about roses and the thorns that go with A recent study (Rogness and Lin 1986) offers partial confirmation them. First the good news: of this conclusion. Seventy-nine percent of the wholesalers and distributors responding to their survey felt that fresh farmed At- 1) If market limitations do not intrude, there are ample areas for lantics were a direct substitute for fresh Pacific fish. A smaller pro- expansion of the physical production of salmon farming, even in 50 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 1989 SALMON AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS 51 Norway where 700 pen-rearing operations are licensed. Chile, Brit- tracted, due to the long production cycle for salmon (Bjorndal 1988; ish Columbia, and-if political opposition is overcome-Alaska have Ringstad 1986). Anderson (1988), in a recent analysis of demand for hundreds of potential sites with suitable water and temperature farmed salmon, indicates that a supply of 125,000 mt could be moved conditions and little or no competition for land or water. Others only at prices about 20 percent below present levels. with growth potential include New Zealand, Ireland, Scotland, Ice- 2) Salmon farmers in some areas are beginning to feel the pinch land, the Faeroe Islands (Denmark), and a few areas in New England as some previously "external" costs begin to fall on their shoulders. and the Canadian maritime provinces. These include, for example, the increasing incidence of local pol- 2) Neither technical expertise nor capital appear to be limiting lution, which requires more stringent controls by the operators and, factors over time. The former can be purchased, and the latter is in some cases, shifts in location. Adverse effects of some of the most readily available from Norway and, increasingly, from multination- effective chemicals used to control disease and to retard fouling of al corporations (e.g., Unilever and British Petroleum). pens may require use of less potent substitutes or location shifts. 3) Thus far, the export marketers of farmed salmon have concen- Governments cannot reasonably be expected to subsidize the in- trated on dressed and whole fish in fresh form. New profit oppor- dustry indefinitely; eventually aquaculture must begin to contribute tunities for exploitation of new consumer portions, preparations, to the necessary costs of research and management, and to pay full and packaging have barely been touched. In addition to broader costs for all inputs. consumer appeal, these developments will integrate the marketing 3) The combined effect of stable real prices and rising costs already of farmed fish that have established food marketing channels, with has begun to cause concern about the financial condition of many substantial savings in distribution costs. (The same avenues for im- marginal firms, even in Norway (Bjorndal 1988; Ringstad 1986). This provement are also available to wild fish, of course.) has accelerated the search for new, low-cost production sites and 4) Shellfish culture and shrimp, salmon, and catfish rearing are will strengthen the move toward larger, integrated firms and the by no means the end of the road for commercial aquaculture. Ex- linkage of fish farming to conglomerate international corporations. perimental work is underway in controlled rearing of a variety of 4) Expansion of salmon farming in some areas (e.g.,.Washington) other popular species-cod, halibut, sturgeon, Arctic char, and tur- has met determined opposition from property owners adjacent to bot, to menti-n -nlv a fpw (Lavin-Riely and Anderson 1986). We the proposed pen sites, commercial fishermen, and some environ- are far from the situation in animal husbandry, where centuries of mental groups. This resistance can be expected to continue, and research, genetic modification, and field testing have identified the probably will prevent more than limited growth in areas close to most promising species and further modified them for human use. major markets. Obviously, if the concerns about adverse environ- Given the ubiquitous world need for more protein foods, there is mental effects turn out to be warranted, the restrictive pressure will every reason to believe that frontiers in the cultivation of marine become much stronger. animals will be pushed hard. Now for the thorns: From the standpoint of all residents of the Puget Sound region, there seems to be no reason to rush headlong into pen-rearing. 1) The trade literature reflects widespread uneasiness about the Fitting salmon farms into a heavily populated area with a wide array timing and effect of the inevitable industry stabilization process. of water-dependent industries, recreational users, and shoreside Markets do not expand indefinitely. As farmed salmon fill out their home owners will be a ticklish task. It will demand full public present niches in the fish (and wider animal protein) markets, the review and evaluation of the state environmental impact statement, relatively stable premium prices enjoyed since 1984 by farmers and detailed analysis of site-specific factors involved in each appli- and distributors must soften, if production continues its headlong cation. Salmon farming is a legitimate claimant on Washington in- growth. This "overrun" phenomenon, typical of new industries, shore waters, but it is only one of many. There is no apparent reason may be deferred and its impact softened if new and much larger why it should be given special priority. consumer groups can be reached (e.g., if high-volume chain retailers This cautious approach, essential if Puget Sound is to yield its begin to push farmed salmon after only moderate declines in real greatest overall economic and social benefits, may delay the entrance prices). If not, a painful shakeout period of considerably lower prices of Washington producers into the market. But what is lost? The and bankruptcies can be expected. This period could be quite pro- market will still be there and, hopefully, growing. Farmed salmon 52 NORTHWEST ENVIRONMENTAL JOURNAL Vol. 5:1 The Northwest Environmental journal, 5:53-69, 1989 University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195 is an undifferentiated product, and no supplier is going to seal off the market to new entrants. If Washington producers can meet prices and quality standards of imported fish, they will sell readily. As Effects of Phytoplankton Blooms on Salmon indicated above, the industry expects a fairly severe shakeout period in the early 1990s, and it may be to the advantage of late entrants Aquaculture in Puget Sound, Washington: to plan investment and marketing strategies after that process is Initial Research complete. John E. Rensel,l Rita A. Horner,' and James R. PosteJ3 References Introduction Anderson, James C. 1988. Current and future market for salmon in the United Marine salmon farming throughout the world is expanding rap- States. Aquaculturc International Congress and Exposition. Vancouver, B.C. In press. idly. The production of net-pen reared Atlantic salmon, Salmo salar, Atkinson, Clinton. 1987. The fisheries and markets of Japan with special reference leads the expansion because this species commands a high market to Salmon. Perspectives for Salmon Culture in Chile. Santiago de Chile: Fundacion value and is especially adaptable to culture conditions. Expansion Chile. of Washington State salmon net-pen operations has slowly increased Biorndai, Trond. 1989. The Norwegian aquaculture industry: Industrial structure since 1970 with 14 private sites operating as of late 1988. and cost of production. Marine Policy Fall 1988, 122-141. In the early days of Washington State net-pen culture (1 970-1975), DPA Group, Inc. 1986. Industrial organization of the B.C. salmon aquaculture industry: Final report. Vancouver, British Columbia: Department of Fisheries and Oceans, losses of salmon were caused primarily by bacterial diseases, poor September 1986. siting practices, and phytoplankton blooms. The first two problems Inveen, Daniel. 1987. The aquaculture industry in Washington State: An economic over- have been lessened through the development of effective vaccines view. Olympia: Washington State Department of Trade and Economic Development. and the move to deeper areas with stronger currents. Lavin-Riely,PatriciaAnn,andjamesL.Anderson. 1986. ThestatusofAtlanticsalmon I Phytoplankton problems, however, persist and there has been no aquaculture. Staff Paper 86-04. Kingston, Rhode Island: Department of Resource concerted effort to document or resolve them. In marine waters of Economics, University of Rhode Island. western Washington, some net-pen systems have been removed due My1chreest, Russel. 1985. Norway's Atlantic salmon aquaculture industry. Vancouver, to phytoplankton-induced losses of salmon. In 1987, phytoplankton British Columbia: Regional Planning and Economics, Department of Fisheries and Oceans. blooms in Washington were involved in the mortality of at least Parker, Peggy. 1988. Salmon farm investors. Seafood Business. May/June 1988. 7(3): 250,000 Atlantic and Pacific salmon of all ages with monetary losses 78-83. over $0.5 million. Fish-farming industry officials in Washington Ringstad, Karl. 1986. World markets for farmed salmon. Unpublished document pre- State presently consider this problem to be their number one re- sented to Norwegian Trade Commission Fish and Farming Seminar, Seattle, Wash- search need. ington, June 5, 1986. Besides threatening the current production of approximately 9,000 Rogness, Ronald V., and Biing-Hwan Lin. 1986. The marketing relationship between tons of Atlantic salmon per year in Washington State, the problem Pacific and pen-raised salmon: A survey of U.S. seafood wholesalers. Alaska Sea Grant hampers expansion of the industry because it compounds the risks Report 86-3. Fairbanks: University of Alaska. related to site development. Some private growers hesitate to con- Salvanes, Kjell. 1986. An empirical analysis of economics of scale in the Norwegian fish farming industry@ Discussion Paper No. 3, Institute of Fisheries Economics. Bergen: sider new sites because the costs of permit acquisition are high and Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration. untested sites may have unknown phytoplankton problems. Seafood Leader. Fall 1988. International aquaculture review. Seattle: Waterfront Press Company. 8(4):66-133. Weston, Donald. 1987. The environmental effects of floating mariculture in Puget Sound. 'School of Fisheries (WH-10), University of Washington, Seattle, Wash- Seattle: College of Ocean and Fisheries Science, University of Washington. ington 98195. 14211 N.E. 88th St., Seattle, Washington 98115. 3School of Oceanography (WB-10), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195. 366 -680 1.