[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 202 (Friday, October 20, 2023)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 72372-72404]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2023-23247]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 87, 1031, and 1068
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389; FRL-5934-02-OAR]
RIN 2060-AT10
Finding That Lead Emissions From Aircraft Engines That Operate on
Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution That May Reasonably Be
Anticipated To Endanger Public Health and Welfare
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final action.
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SUMMARY: In this action, the Administrator finds that lead air
pollution may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public health
and welfare within the meaning of the Clean Air Act. The Administrator
also finds that engine emissions of lead from certain aircraft cause or
contribute to the lead air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated
to endanger public health and welfare under the Clean Air Act.
DATES: These findings are effective on November 20, 2023.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a docket for this action under
Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. All documents in the docket are
listed in the https://www.regulations.gov website. Publicly available
docket materials are available either electronically in https://www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the EPA Air and Radiation Docket
and Information Center, William Jefferson Clinton West Building, Room
3334, 1301 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC. The Public Reading
Room is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday through Friday,
excluding legal holidays. The telephone number for the Public Reading
Room is (202) 566-1744, and the telephone number for the Air Docket is
(202) 566-1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ken Davidson, Office of Transportation
and Air Quality, Assessment and Standards Division (ASD), Environmental
Protection Agency; telephone number: (415) 972-3633; email address:
[email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
A. General Information
Does this action apply to me?
Regulated entities: These final findings do not themselves apply
new requirements to entities other than the EPA and the FAA. With
respect to requirements for the EPA and the FAA, as indicated in the
proposal for this action, if the EPA issues final findings that
emissions of lead from certain classes of engines used in certain
aircraft cause or contribute to air pollution which may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or welfare, the EPA then becomes
subject to a duty to propose and promulgate emission standards pursuant
to section 231 of the Clean Air Act. Upon EPA's issuance of
regulations, the FAA shall prescribe regulations to ensure compliance
with the EPA's emission standards pursuant to section 232 of the Clean
Air Act. In contrast to the findings, those future standards would
apply to and have an effect on other entities outside the Federal
Government. In addition, pursuant to 49 U.S.C. 44714, the FAA has a
statutory mandate to prescribe standards for the composition or
chemical or physical properties of an aircraft fuel or fuel additive to
control or eliminate aircraft emissions which the EPA has found
endanger public health or welfare under section 231(a) of the Clean Air
Act. In issuing these final findings, the EPA is making such a finding
for emissions of lead from engines in covered aircraft.
The classes of aircraft engines and of aircraft relevant to this
final action are referred to as ``covered aircraft engines'' and as
``covered aircraft,'' respectively throughout this document. Covered
aircraft engines in this context means any aircraft engine that is
capable of using leaded aviation gasoline. Covered aircraft in this
context means all aircraft and ultralight vehicles \1\ equipped with
covered engines. Covered aircraft would, for example, include smaller
piston-engine aircraft such as the Cessna 172 (single-engine aircraft)
and the Beechcraft Baron G58 (twin-engine aircraft), as well as the
largest piston-engine aircraft such as the Curtiss C-46 and the Douglas
DC-6. Other examples of covered aircraft would include rotorcraft,\2\
such as the Robinson R44 helicopter, light-sport aircraft, and
ultralight vehicles equipped with piston engines. Because the majority
of covered aircraft are piston-engine powered, this document focuses on
those aircraft (in some contexts the EPA refers to these same engines
as reciprocating engines). All such references and examples used in
this document are covered aircraft as defined in this paragraph.
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\1\ The FAA regulates ultralight vehicles under 14 CFR part 103.
\2\ Rotorcraft encompass helicopters, gyroplanes, and any other
heavier-than-air aircraft that depend principally for support in
flight on the lift generated by one or more rotors.
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[[Page 72373]]
Entities potentially interested in this final action include those
that manufacture and sell covered aircraft engines and covered aircraft
in the United States and those who own or operate covered aircraft.
Categories that may be affected by a future regulatory action include,
but are not limited to, those listed here:
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Examples of potentially
Category NAICS \a\ code SIC \b\ code affected entities
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Industry............................ 3364412 3724........................ Manufacturers of new
aircraft engines.
Industry............................ 336411 3721........................ Manufacturers of new
aircraft.
Industry............................ 481219 4522........................ Aircraft charter services
(i.e., general purpose
aircraft used for a variety
of specialty air and flying
services). Aviation clubs
providing a variety of air
transportation activities
to the general public.
Industry............................ 611512 8249 and 8299............... Flight training.
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\a\ North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
\b\ Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code.
This table is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather provides a
guide for readers regarding entities likely to be interested in this
final action. This table lists examples of the types of entities that
the EPA is now aware of that could potentially have an interest in this
final action. Other types of entities not listed in the table could
also be interested and potentially affected by subsequent actions at
some future time. If you have any questions regarding the scope of this
final action, consult the person listed in the preceding FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this document.
B. Children's Health
Children are generally more vulnerable to environmental exposures
and/or the associated health effects, and therefore more at risk than
adults. These risks to children may arise because infants and children
generally eat more food, drink more water and breathe more air than
adults do, relative to their size, and consequently they may be exposed
to relatively higher amounts of contaminants. In addition, normal
childhood activity, such as putting hands in mouths or playing on the
ground, can result in exposures to contaminants that adults do not
typically have. Furthermore, environmental contaminants may pose health
risks specific to children because children's bodies are still
developing. For example, during periods of rapid growth such as fetal
development, infancy and puberty, their developing systems and organs
may be more easily harmed.\3\
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\3\ EPA (2006) A Framework for Assessing Health Risks of
Environmental Exposures to Children. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-
05/093F, 2006.
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Protecting children's health from environmental risks is
fundamental to the EPA's mission. This action is subject to EPA's
Policy on Children's Health because this action has considerations for
human health.\4\ Consistent with this policy this document includes
discussion and analysis that is focused particularly on children
including early life exposure (the lifestages from conception, infancy,
early childhood and through adolescence until 21 years of age) and
lifelong health. For example, as described in section IV. of this
document, the scientific evidence has long been established
demonstrating that young children (due to rapid growth and development
of the brain) are vulnerable to a range of neurological effects
resulting from exposure to lead. Low levels of lead in young children's
blood have been linked to adverse effects on intellect, concentration,
and academic achievement, and as the EPA has previously noted ``there
is no evidence of a threshold below which there are no harmful effects
on cognition from [lead] exposure.'' \5\ Evidence suggests that while
some neurocognitive effects of lead in children may be transient, some
lead-related cognitive effects may be irreversible and persist into
adulthood, potentially contributing to lower educational attainment and
financial well-being.\6\ The 2013 Lead Integrated Science Assessment
notes that in epidemiologic studies, postnatal (early childhood) blood
lead levels are consistently associated with cognitive function
decrements in children and adolescents.\7\ In addition, in section
II.A.5. of this document, we describe the number of children living
near and attending school near airports and provide a proximity
analysis of the potential for greater representation of children in the
near-airport environment compared with neighboring areas.
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\4\ EPA. Memorandum: Issuance of EPA's 2021 Policy on Children's
Health. October 5, 2021. Available at https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-10/2021-policy-on-childrens-health.pdf.
Children's environmental health includes conception, infancy, early
childhood and through adolescence until 21 years of age.
\5\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary ``Effects of Pb
Exposure in Children.'' pp. lxxxvii-lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013. See also, National Toxicology Program (NTP) (2012) NTP
Monograph: Health Effects of Low-Level Lead. Available at https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/36443.
\6\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary ``Effects of Pb
Exposure in Children.'' pp. lxxxvii-lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
\7\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.4. ``Pb Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental Deficits in Children.'' p. I-75. EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
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Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
II. Overview and Context for This Final Action
A. Background Information Helpful To Understanding This Final
Action
1. Piston-Engine Aircraft and the Use of Leaded Aviation
Gasoline
2. Emissions of Lead From Piston-Engine Aircraft
3. Concentrations of Lead in Air Attributable to Emissions From
Piston-Engine Aircraft
4. Fate and Transport of Emissions of Lead From Piston-Engine
Aircraft
5. Consideration of Environmental Justice and Children in
Populations Residing Near Airports
B. Federal Actions To Reduce Lead Exposure
C. Lead Endangerment Petitions for Rulemaking and the EPA
Responses
III. Legal Framework for This Action
A. Statutory Text and Basis for This Action
B. Considerations for the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute
Analyses Under Section 231(a)(2)(A)
C. Regulatory Authority for Emission Standards
D. Response to Certain Comments on the Legal Framework for This
Action
IV. The Final Endangerment Finding Under CAA Section 231
A. Scientific Basis of the Endangerment Finding
1. Lead Air Pollution
2. Health Effects and Lead Air Pollution
3. Welfare Effects and Lead Air Pollution
B. Final Endangerment Finding
V. The Final Cause or Contribute Finding Under CAA Section 231
A. Definition of the Air Pollutant
B. The Data and Information Used To Evaluate the Final Cause or
Contribute Finding
C. Response to Certain Comments on the Cause or Contribute
Finding
D. Final Cause or Contribute Finding for Lead
VI. Statutory Authority and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and
Executive
[[Page 72374]]
Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribal Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From
Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA)
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address
Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations; Executive Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation's
Commitment to Environmental Justice for All
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
L. Determination Under Section 307(d)
M. Judicial Review
VII. Statutory Provisions and Legal Authority
I. Executive Summary
Pursuant to section 231(a)(2)(A) of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act),
the Administrator finds that emissions of lead from covered aircraft
engines cause or contribute to lead air pollution that may reasonably
be anticipated to endanger public health and welfare. Covered aircraft
include, for example, smaller piston-engine aircraft such as the Cessna
172 (single-engine aircraft) and the Beechcraft Baron G58 (twin-engine
aircraft), as well as the largest piston-engine aircraft such as the
Curtiss C-46 and the Douglas DC-6. Other examples of covered aircraft
include rotorcraft, such as the Robinson R44 helicopter, light-sport
aircraft, and ultralight vehicles equipped with piston engines.
For purposes of this action, the EPA defines the ``air pollution''
referred to in section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA as lead, which we also
refer to as the lead air pollution in this document.\8\ In finding that
the lead air pollution may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the
public health and welfare, the EPA relies on the extensive scientific
evidence critically assessed in the 2013 Integrated Science Assessment
for Lead (2013 Lead ISA) and the previous Air Quality Criteria
Documents (AQCDs) for Lead, which the EPA prepared to serve as the
scientific foundation for periodic reviews of the National Ambient Air
Quality Standards (NAAQS) for lead.9 10 11 12
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\8\ As noted in section IV.A. of this document, the lead air
pollution can occur as elemental lead or in lead-containing
compounds.
\9\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\10\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\11\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF, 1986.
\12\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-77-017 (NTIS PB280411), 1977.
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Further, for purposes of this action, the EPA defines the ``air
pollutant'' referred to in CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) as lead, which we
also refer to as the lead air pollutant in this document.\13\
Accordingly, the Administrator finds that emissions of the lead air
pollutant from covered aircraft engines cause or contribute to the lead
air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public
health and welfare under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A).
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\13\ As noted in section V.A. of this document, the lead air
pollutant can occur as elemental lead or in lead-containing
compounds.
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This final action follows the Administrator's proposed findings
\14\ and includes responses to public comments submitted to the EPA on
that proposal. The proposal was posted on the EPA website on October 7,
2022, and published in the Federal Register on October 17, 2022. The
EPA held a virtual public hearing on November 1, 2022, and the public
comment period closed on January 17, 2023. During the public comment
period, we received more than 53,000 comments.\15\ The EPA received
late comments, and to the extent feasible we have responded to those
comments in the Response to Comments document for this action.
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\14\ EPA (2022) Proposed Finding that Lead Emissions from
Aircraft Engines that Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to
Air Pollution that May Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public
Health and Welfare 87 FR 62753 (October 17, 2022).
\15\ Of these comments, more than 600 were unique letters, some
of which provided data and other information for EPA to consider;
the remaining comments were mass mailers sponsored by four different
organizations, all of which urged the EPA to take action to finalize
the findings and/or to take regulatory action to eliminate lead
emissions from aircraft operating on leaded avgas.
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A broad range of stakeholders provided comments, including state
and local governments; non-governmental organizations; industry trade
associations representing aircraft engine and airframe manufacturers,
fuel producers, fuel distributors, fuel providers, the helicopter
industry, and aircraft owners and operators; environmental
organizations; environmental justice organizations; one Tribe; private
citizens; and others. In this notice for this final action, we
summarize and respond to certain issues raised by commenters, and we
provide responses to the remainder of comments in the Response to
Comments document that is available in the public docket for this
action.\16\
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\16\ U.S. EPA, ``Finding that Lead Emissions from Aircraft
Engines that Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air
Pollution that May Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public
Health and Welfare--Response to Comments,'' Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-
0389.
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Section II. of this action includes an overview and background
information that is helpful to understanding the source sector in the
context of this action, a brief summary of some of the Federal actions
focused on reducing lead exposures, and a brief summary of the
petitions for rulemaking regarding lead emissions from aircraft
engines. Section III. of this document provides the legal framework for
this action, section IV. provides the EPA's final determination on the
endangerment finding, section V. provides the EPA's final determination
on the cause or contribute finding, and section VI. discusses various
statutory authorities and executive orders.
II. Overview and Context for This Final Action
We summarize here background information that provides additional
context for this final action. This includes information on the
population of aircraft that have piston engines, information on the use
of leaded aviation gasoline (avgas) in covered aircraft, physical and
chemical characteristics of lead emissions from engines used in covered
aircraft, concentrations of lead in air from these engine emissions,
and the fate and transport of lead emitted by engines used in such
aircraft. We also include here an analysis of populations residing near
and attending school near airports and an analysis of potential
environmental justice implications with regard to residential proximity
to runways where covered aircraft operate. This section ends with a
description of a broad range of Federal actions to reduce lead exposure
from a variety of environmental media and a brief summary of citizen
petitions for rulemaking regarding lead emissions from covered aircraft
and the EPA responses.
A. Background Information Helpful To Understanding This Final Action
This final action draws extensively from the EPA's scientific
assessments for lead, which are developed as part of the EPA's periodic
reviews of the air quality criteria \17\ for lead and the lead
[[Page 72375]]
NAAQS.\18\ These scientific assessments provide a comprehensive review,
synthesis, and evaluation of the most policy-relevant science that
builds upon the conclusions of previous assessments. In the information
that follows, we discuss and describe scientific evidence summarized in
the most recent assessment for lead, the 2013 Lead ISA,19 20
as well as information summarized in previous assessments, including
the 1977, 1986, and 2006 AQCDs.21 22 23
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\17\ Under section 108(a)(2) of the CAA, air quality criteria
are intended to ``accurately reflect the latest scientific knowledge
useful in indicating the kind and extent of all identifiable effects
on public health or welfare which may be expected from the presence
of [a] pollutant in the ambient air . . . .'' Section 109 of the CAA
directs the Administrator to propose and promulgate ``primary'' and
``secondary'' NAAQS for pollutants for which air quality criteria
are issued. Under CAA section 109(d)(1), EPA must periodically
complete a thorough review of the air quality criteria and the NAAQS
and make such revisions as may be appropriate in accordance with
sections 108 and 109(b) of the CAA. A fuller description of these
legislative requirements can be found, for example, in the ISA (see
2013 Lead ISA, p. lxix).
\18\ Section 109(b)(1) defines a primary standard as one ``the
attainment and maintenance of which in the judgment of the
Administrator, based on such criteria and allowing an adequate
margin of safety, are requisite to protect the public health.'' A
secondary standard, as defined in section 109(b)(2), must ``specify
a level of air quality the attainment and maintenance of which in
the judgment of the Administrator, based on such criteria, is
requisite to protect the public welfare from any known or
anticipated adverse effects associated with the presence of [the]
pollutant in the ambient air.''
\19\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\20\ The EPA released the ISA for Lead External Review Draft as
part of the Agency's current review of the science regarding health
and welfare effects of lead. EPA/600/R-23/061. This draft assessment
is undergoing peer review by the Clean Air Scientific Advisory
Committee (CASAC) and public comment, and is available at: https://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/isa/recordisplay.cfm?deid=357282.
\21\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-77-017 (NTIS PB280411), 1977.
\22\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS PB87142386), 1986.
\23\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
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As described in the 2013 Lead ISA, lead emitted to ambient air is
transported through the air and is distributed from air to other
environmental media through deposition.\24\ Lead emitted in the past
can remain available for environmental or human exposure for an
extended time in some areas.\25\ Depending on the environment where it
is deposited, it may to various extents be resuspended into the ambient
air, integrated into the media on which it deposits, or transported in
surface water runoff to other areas or nearby waterbodies.\26\ Lead in
the environment today may have been airborne yesterday or emitted to
the air long ago.\27\ Over time, lead that was initially emitted to air
can become less available for environmental circulation by
sequestration in soil, sediment and other reservoirs.\28\
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\24\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 3.1.1. ``Pathways for Pb
Exposure.'' p. 3-1. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\25\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 3.7.1. ``Exposure.'' p. 3-
144. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\26\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 6.2. ``Fate and Transport
of Pb in Ecosystems.'' p. 6-62. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\27\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 2.3. ``Fate and Transport
of Pb.'' p. 2-24. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\28\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.2.1. ``Sources, Fate and
Transport of Ambient Pb;'' p. 1-6. Section 2.3. ``Fate and Transport
of Pb.'' p. 2-24. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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The multimedia distribution of lead emitted into ambient air
creates multiple air-related pathways of human and ecosystem exposure.
These pathways may involve media other than air, including indoor and
outdoor dust, soil, surface water and sediments, vegetation and biota.
The human exposure pathways for lead emitted into air include
inhalation of ambient air or ingestion of food, water or other
materials, including dust and soil, that have been contaminated through
a pathway involving lead deposition from ambient air.\29\ Ambient air
inhalation pathways include both inhalation of air outdoors and
inhalation of ambient air that has infiltrated into indoor
environments.\30\ The air-related ingestion pathways occur as a result
of lead emissions to air being distributed to other environmental
media, where humans can be exposed to it via contact with and ingestion
of indoor and outdoor dusts, outdoor soil, food and drinking water.
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\29\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 3.1.1.''Pathways for Pb
Exposure.'' p. 3-1. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\30\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Sections 1.3. ``Exposure to
Ambient Pb.'' p. 1-11. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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The scientific evidence documents exposure to many sources of lead
emitted to the air that have resulted in higher blood lead levels,
particularly for people living or working near sources, including
stationary sources, such as mines and smelters, and mobile sources,
such as cars and trucks when lead was a gasoline
additive.31 32 33 34 35 36 Similarly, with regard to
emissions from engines used in covered aircraft, there have been
studies reporting positive associations of children's blood lead levels
with proximity to airports and activity by covered
aircraft,37 38 39 thus indicating potential for children's
exposure to lead from covered aircraft engine emissions. A recent study
evaluating cardiovascular mortality rates in adults 65 and older living
within a few kilometers and downwind of runways, while not evaluating
blood lead levels, found higher mortality rates in adults living near
single-runway airports in years with more piston-engine air traffic,
but not in adults living near multi-runway airports, suggesting the
potential for adverse adult health effects near some airports.\40\
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\31\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Sections 3.4.1. ``Pb in Blood.''
p. 3-85; Section 5.4. ``Summary.'' p. 5-40. EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\32\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Chapter 3. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\33\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 1.11.3.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS PB87142386), 1986.
\34\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 12.3.1.1.
``Air Exposures.'' p. 12-10. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-77-017
(NTIS PB280411), 1977.
\35\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 12.3.1.2.
``Air Exposures.'' p. 12-10. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-77-017
(NTIS PB280411), 1977.
\36\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 12.3.1.1.
``Air Exposures.'' p. 12-10. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-77-017
(NTIS PB280411), 1977.
\37\ Miranda et al., 2011. A Geospatial Analysis of the Effects
of Aviation Gasoline on Childhood Blood Lead Levels. Environmental
Health Perspectives. 119:1513-1516.
\38\ Zahran et al., 2017. The Effect of Leaded Aviation Gasoline
on Blood Lead in Children. Journal of the Association of
Environmental and Resource Economists. 4(2):575-610.
\39\ Zahran et al., 2022. Leaded Aviation Gasoline Exposure Risk
and Child Blood Lead Levels. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences Nexus. 2:1-11.
\40\ Klemick et al., 2022. Cardiovascular Mortality and Leaded
Aviation Fuel: Evidence from Piston-Engine Air Traffic in North
Carolina. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public
Health. 19(10):5941.
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1. Piston-Engine Aircraft and the Use of Leaded Aviation Gasoline
Aircraft operating in the U.S. are largely powered by either
turbine engines or piston engines, although other propulsion systems
are in use and in development. Turbine-engine powered aircraft and a
small percentage of piston-engine aircraft (i.e., those with diesel
engines) operate on fuel that does not contain a lead additive. Covered
aircraft, which are predominantly piston-engine powered aircraft,
operate on leaded avgas. Examples of covered aircraft include smaller
piston-powered aircraft such as the Cessna 172 (single-engine aircraft)
and the Beechcraft Baron G58 (twin-engine aircraft), as well as the
largest piston-engine aircraft such as the Curtiss C-46 and the Douglas
DC-6. Additionally, some rotorcraft, such as the Robinson R44
helicopter, light-sport aircraft, and ultralight vehicles can have
piston engines that operate using leaded avgas. In limited cases, some
turbopropeller-powered aircraft (also
[[Page 72376]]
referred to as turboprops), can use leaded avgas.
Lead is added to avgas in the form of tetraethyl lead. Tetraethyl
lead helps boost fuel octane, prevents engine knock, and prevents valve
seat recession and subsequent loss of compression for engines without
hardened valves. There are three main types of leaded avgas: 100
Octane, which can contain up to 4.24 grams of lead per gallon (1.12
grams of lead per liter), 100 Octane Low Lead (100LL), which can
contain up to 2.12 grams of lead per gallon (0.56 grams of lead per
liter), and 100 Octane Very Low Lead (100VLL), which can contain up to
0.71 grams of lead per gallon (0.45 grams of lead per liter).\41\
Currently, 100LL is the most commonly available and most commonly used
type of avgas.\42\ Tetraethyl lead was first used in piston-engine
aircraft in 1927.\43\ Commercial and military aircraft in the U.S.
operated on 100 Octane leaded avgas into the 1950s, but in subsequent
years, the commercial and military aircraft fleet largely converted to
turbine-engine powered aircraft which do not use leaded
avgas.44 45 The use of avgas containing approximately 4
grams of lead per gallon continued in piston-engine aircraft until the
early 1970s when 100LL became the dominant leaded fuel in use.
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\41\ ASTM International (May 1, 2021) Standard Specification for
Leaded Aviation Gasolines D910-21.
\42\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
(NAS). 021. Options for Reducing Lead Emissions from Piston-Engine
Aircraft. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/26050.
\43\ Ogston 1981. A Short History of Aviation Gasoline
Development, 1903-1980. Society of Automotive Engineers. p. 810848.
\44\ U.S. Department of Commerce Civil Aeronautics
Administration. Statistical Handbook of Aviation (Years 1930-1959).
https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015027813032&view=1up&seq=899.
\45\ U.S. Department of Commerce Civil Aeronautics
Administration. Statistical Handbook of Aviation (Years 1960-1971).
https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015004520279&view=1up&seq=9&skin=2021.
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There are two sources of data from the Federal Government that
provide annual estimates of the volume of leaded avgas supplied and
consumed in the U.S.: the Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration (DOE EIA) provides information on the volume of leaded
avgas supplied in the U.S.,\46\ and the FAA provides information on the
volume of leaded avgas consumed in the U.S.\47\ Over the ten-year
period from 2011 through 2020, DOE estimates of the annual volume of
leaded avgas supplied averaged 184 million gallons, with year-on-year
fluctuations in fuel supplied ranging from a 25 percent increase to a
29 percent decrease. Over the same period, from 2011 through 2020, the
FAA estimates of the annual volume of leaded avgas consumed averaged
196 million gallons, with year-on-year fluctuations in fuel consumed
ranging from an eight percent increase to a 14 percent decrease. The
FAA forecast for consumption of leaded avgas in the U.S. ranges from
185 million gallons in 2026 to 179 million gallons in 2041, a decrease
of three percent in that period.\48\ As described later in this
section, while the national consumption of leaded avgas is expected to
decrease three percent from 2026 to 2041, the FAA projects increased
activity at some airports and decreased activity at other airports out
to 2045.
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\46\ DOE. EIA. Petroleum and Other Liquids; Supply and
Disposition. Aviation Gasoline in Annual Thousand Barrels. Fuel
production volume data obtained from https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_snd_a_eppv_mbbl_a_cur-1.htm and https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=C400000001&f=A on Dec. 30, 2021.
\47\ Department of Transportation (DOT). FAA. Aviation Policy
and Plans. FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2009-2025. p. 81.
Retrieved on Mar. 22, 2022, from https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation/aerospace_forecasts/2009-2025/media/2009%20Forecast%20Doc.pdf. This document provides historical data
for 2000-2008 as well as forecast data.
\48\ DOT. FAA. Aviation Policy and Plans. Table 23. p. 111. FAA
Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2021-2041. Available at https://www.faa.gov/sites/faa.gov/files/data_research/aviation/aerospace_forecasts/FY2021-41_FAA_Aerospace_Forecast.pdf.
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The FAA's National Airspace System Resource (NASR) \49\ provides a
complete list of operational airport facilities in the U.S. Among the
approximately 19,600 airports listed in the NASR, approximately 3,300
are included in the National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS)
and support the majority of piston-engine aircraft activity that occurs
annually in the U.S.\50\ While less aircraft activity occurs at the
remaining 16,300 airports, that activity is conducted predominantly by
piston-engine aircraft. Approximately 6,000 airports have been in
operation since the early 1970s when the leaded fuel being used
contained up to 4.24 grams of lead per gallon of avgas.\51\ The
activity by piston-engine aircraft spans a range of purposes, as
described further below.
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\49\ See FAA. NASR. Available at https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/flight_info/aeronav/aero_data/eNASR_Browser/.
\50\ FAA (2020) National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems
(NPIAS) 2021-2025 Published by the Secretary of Transportation
Pursuant to Title 49 U.S. Code, section 47103. Retrieved on Nov. 3,
2021 from: https://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/npias/current/media/NPIAS-2021-2025-Narrative.pdf.
\51\ See FAA's NASR. Available at https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/flight_info/aeronav/aero_data/eNASR_Browser/.
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As of 2019, there were 171,934 piston-engine aircraft in the
U.S.\52\ This total includes 128,926 single-engine aircraft, 12,470
twin-engine aircraft, and 3,089 rotorcraft.\53\ The average age of
single-engine aircraft in 2018 was 46.8 years, and the average age of
twin-engine aircraft in 2018 was 44.7 years old.\54\ In 2019, 883 new
piston-engine aircraft were manufactured in the U.S., some of which are
exported.\55\ For the period from 2019 through 2041, the fleet of
fixed-wing \56\ piston-engine aircraft is projected to decrease at an
annual average rate of 0.9 percent, and the hours flown by these
aircraft are projected to decrease 0.9 percent per year from 2019 to
2041.\57\ An annual average growth rate in the production of piston-
engine powered rotorcraft of 0.9 percent is forecast, with a
commensurate 1.9 percent increase in hours flown in that period by
piston-engine powered rotorcraft.\58\ There were approximately 664,565
pilots certified to fly general aviation aircraft in the U.S. in
2021.\59\ This included 197,665
[[Page 72377]]
student pilots and 466,900 non-student pilots. In addition, there were
more than 301,000 FAA Non-Pilot Certificated mechanics.\60\
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\52\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 1: Historical General Aviation and Air Taxi Measures.
Table 1.1--General Aviation and Part 135 Number of Active Aircraft
By Aircraft Type 2008-2019. Retrieved on Dec. 27, 2021 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/. Separately, FAA maintains a database of FAA registered
aircraft and as of January 6, 2022 there were 222,592 piston engine
aircraft registered with FAA. See: https://registry.faa.gov/aircraftinquiry/.
\53\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 1: Historical General Aviation and Air Taxi Measures.
Table 1.1--General Aviation and Part 135 Number of Active Aircraft
By Aircraft Type 2008-2019. Retrieved on Dec. 27, 2021 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\54\ General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) (2019)
General Aviation Statistical Databook and Industry Outlook, p. 27.
Retrieved on October 7, 2021 from: https://gama.aero/wp-content/uploads/GAMA_2019Databook_Final-2020-03-20.pdf.
\55\ GAMA (2019) General Aviation Statistical Databook and
Industry Outlook, p. 16. Retrieved on October 7, 2021 from: https://gama.aero/wp-content/uploads/GAMA_2019Databook_Final-2020-03-20.pdf.
\56\ There are both fixed-wing and rotary-wing aircraft; and
airplane is an engine-driven, fixed-wing aircraft and a rotorcraft
is an engine-driven rotary-wing aircraft.
\57\ See FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2021-2041. p. 28.
Available at https://www.faa.gov/sites/faa.gov/files/data_research/aviation/aerospace_forecasts/FY2021-41_FAA_Aerospace_Forecast.pdf.
\58\ FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2021-2041. Table 28. p.
116., and Table 29. p. 117. Available at https://www.faa.gov/sites/faa.gov/files/data_research/aviation/aerospace_forecasts/FY2021-41_FAA_Aerospace_Forecast.pdf.
\59\ FAA. U.S. Civil Airmen Statistics. 2021 Active Civil Airman
Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/civil_airmen_statistics on May 20, 2022.
\60\ FAA. U.S. Civil Airmen Statistics. 2021 Active Civil Airman
Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/civil_airmen_statistics on May 20, 2022.
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Piston-engine aircraft are used to conduct flights that are
categorized as either general aviation or air taxi. General aviation
flights are defined as all aviation other than military and those
flights by scheduled commercial airlines. Air taxi flights are short
duration flights made by small commercial aircraft on demand. The hours
flown by aircraft in the general aviation fleet are comprised of
personal and recreational transportation (67 percent), business (12
percent), instructional flying (8 percent), medical transportation
(less than one percent), and the remainder includes hours spent in
other applications such as aerial observation and aerial
application.\61\ Aerial application for agricultural activity includes
crop and timber production, which involve fertilizer and pesticide
application and seeding cropland. In 2019, aerial application in
agriculture represented 883,600 hours flown by general aviation
aircraft, and approximately 17.5 percent of these total hours were
flown by piston-engine aircraft.\62\ While the majority of leaded avgas
is consumed by piston-engine aircraft, in 2019, 403,700 gallons (0.2
percent) of leaded avgas was consumed by turboprop aircraft.\63\
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\61\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 1: Historical General Aviation and Air Taxi Measures.
Table 1.4--General Aviation and Part 135 Total Hours Flown By Actual
Use 2008-2019 (Hours in Thousands). Retrieved on Dec. 27, 2021 at
https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\62\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 3: Primary and Actual Use. Table 3.2--General Aviation
and Part 135 Total Hours Flown by Actual Use 2008-2019 (Hours in
Thousands). Retrieved on Mar., 22, 2022 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\63\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 3: Primary and Actual Use. Table 5.1--General Aviation
and Part 135 Total Fuel Consumed and Average Fuel Consumption Rate
by Aircraft Type. Retrieved on Feb. 16, 2023 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
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Approximately 71 percent of the hours flown that are categorized as
general aviation activity are conducted by piston-engine aircraft, and
17 percent of the hours flown that are categorized as air taxi are
conducted by piston-engine aircraft.\64\ From the period 2012 through
2019, the total hours flown by piston-engine aircraft increased nine
percent from 13.2 million hours in 2012 to 14.4 million hours in
2019.\65\ \66\
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\64\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 3: Primary and Actual Use. Table 3.2--General Aviation
and Part 135 Total Hours Flown by Actual Use 2008-2019 (Hours in
Thousands). Retrieved on Mar. 22, 2022 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\65\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 3: Primary and Actual Use. Table 1.3--General Aviation
and Part 135 Total Hours Flown by Aircraft Type 2008-2019 (Hours in
Thousands). Retrieved on Dec. 27, 2021 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\66\ In 2012, the FAA Aerospace Forecast projected a 0.03
percent increase in hours flown by the piston-engine aircraft fleet
for the period 2012 through 2032. FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal
Years 2012-2032. p. 53. Retrieved on Mar. 22, 2022 from https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation/aerospace_forecasts/media/2012%20FAA%20Aerospace%20Forecast.pdf.
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As noted earlier, the U.S. has a dense network of airports where
piston-engine aircraft operate, and a small subset of those airports
have air traffic control towers which collect daily counts of aircraft
operations at the facility (one takeoff or landing event is termed an
``operation''). These daily operations are provided by the FAA in the
Air Traffic Activity System (ATADS).\67\ The ATADS reports three
categories of airport operations that can be conducted by piston-engine
aircraft: Itinerant General Aviation, Local Civil, and Itinerant Air
Taxi. The sum of Itinerant General Aviation and Local Civil at a
facility is referred to as general aviation operations. Piston-engine
aircraft operations in these categories are not reported separately
from operations conducted by aircraft using other propulsion systems
(e.g., turboprop). Because piston-engine aircraft activity generally
comprises the majority of general aviation activity at an airport,
general aviation activity is often used as a surrogate measure for
understanding piston-engine activity.
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\67\ See FAA's Air Traffic Activity Data. Available at https://aspm.faa.gov/opsnet/sys/airport.asp.
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In order to understand the trend in airport-specific piston-engine
activity in the past ten years, we evaluated the trend in general
aviation activity. We calculated the average activity at each of the
airports in ATADS over three-year periods for the years 2010 through
2012 and for the years 2017 through 2019. We focused this trend
analysis on the airports in ATADS because these data are collected
daily at an airport-specific control tower (in contrast with annual
activity estimates provided at airports without control towers). There
were 513 airports in ATADS for which data were available to determine
annual average activity for both the 2010-2012 period and the 2017-2019
time period. The annual average operations by general aviation at each
of these airports in the period 2010 through 2012 ranged from 31 to
346,415, with a median of 34,368; the annual average operations by
general aviation in the period from 2017 through 2019 ranged from 2,370
to 396,554, with a median of 34,365. Of the 513 airports, 211 airports
reported increased general aviation activity over the period
evaluated.\68\ The increase in the average annual number of operations
by general aviation aircraft at these 211 facilities ranged from 151 to
136,872 (an increase of two percent and 52 percent, respectively).
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\68\ Geidosch. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Past
Trends and Future Projections in General Aviation Activity and
Emissions. June 1, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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While national consumption of leaded avgas is forecast to decrease
three percent from 2026 to 2045, this change in fuel consumption is not
expected to occur uniformly across airports in the U.S. The FAA
produces the Terminal Area Forecast (TAF), which is the official
forecast of aviation activity for the 3,300 U.S. airports that are in
the NPIAS.\69\ For the 3,306 airports in the TAF, we compared the
average activity by general aviation at each airport from 2017-2019
with the FAA forecast for general aviation activity at those airports
in 2045. The FAA forecasts that activity by general aviation will
decrease at 234 of the airports in the TAF, remain the same at 1,960
airports, and increase at 1,112 of the airports. To evaluate the
magnitude of potential increases in activity for the same 513 airports
for which we evaluated activity trends in the past ten years, we
compared the 2017-2019 average general aviation activity at each of
these airports with the forecasted activity for 2045 in the TAF.\70\
The annual operations estimated for the 513 airports in 2045 ranges
from 2,914 to 427,821 with a median of 36,883. The TAF forecasts an
increase in activity at 442 of the 513 airports out to 2045, with the
increase in operations at those facilities ranging from 18 to 83,704
operations annually (an increase of 0.2 percent and 24 percent,
respectively).
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\69\ FAA's TAF Fiscal Years 2020-2045 describes the forecast
method, data sources, and review process for the TAF estimates. The
documentation for the TAF is available at https://taf.faa.gov/Downloads/TAFSummaryFY2020-2045.pdf.
\70\ The TAF is prepared to assist the FAA in meeting its
planning, budgeting, and staffing requirements. In addition, state
aviation authorities and other aviation planners use the TAF as a
basis for planning airport improvements. The TAF is available on the
internet. The TAF database can be accessed at: https://taf.faa.gov.
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[[Page 72378]]
2. Emissions of Lead From Piston-Engine Aircraft
This section describes the physical and chemical characteristics of
lead emitted by covered aircraft and the national, state, county and
airport-specific annual inventories of these engine emissions of lead.
Information regarding lead emissions from motor vehicle engines
operating on leaded fuel is summarized in prior AQCDs for Lead, and the
2013 Lead ISA also includes information on lead emissions from piston-
engine aircraft.\71\ \72\ \73\ Lead is added to avgas in the form of
tetraethyl lead along with ethylene dibromide, both of which were used
in leaded gasoline for motor vehicles in the past. The piston engines
in which leaded fuel was used in motor vehicles in the past have
similarities to piston engines used in aircraft including the same
combustion cycle and the absence of aftertreatment devices to limit
pollutant emissions. Because the same chemical form of lead was used in
these fuels and because of the similarity in the engines combusting
these leaded fuels, the summary of the science regarding emissions of
lead from motor vehicles presented in the 1997 and 1986 AQCDs for Lead
is relevant to understanding some of the properties of lead emitted
from piston-engine aircraft and the atmospheric chemistry these
emissions are expected to undergo. Recent studies relevant to
understanding lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft have also been
published and are discussed here.
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\71\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-77-017 (NTIS PB280411), 1977.
\72\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS PB87142386), 1986.
\73\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 2.2.2.1 ``Pb Emissions
from Piston-engine Aircraft Operating on Leaded Aviation Gasoline
and Other Non-road Sources.'' pp. 2-7 through 2-10. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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a. Physical and Chemical Characteristics of Lead Emitted by Piston-
Engine Aircraft
As with motor vehicle engines, when leaded avgas is combusted in
aircraft engines, the lead is oxidized to form lead oxide. In the
absence of the ethylene dibromide lead scavenger in the fuel, lead
oxide can collect on the valves and spark plugs, and if the deposits
become thick enough, the engine can be damaged. Ethylene dibromide
reacts with the lead oxide, converting it to brominated lead and lead
oxybromides. These brominated forms of lead remain volatile at high
combustion temperatures and are emitted from the engine along with the
other combustion by-products.\74\ Upon cooling to ambient temperatures
these brominated lead compounds are converted to particulate matter.
The presence of lead dibromide particles in the exhaust from a piston-
engine aircraft has been confirmed by Griffith (2020) and is the
primary form of lead emitted by engines operating on leaded fuel.\75\
In addition to lead bromides, ammonium salts of other lead halides were
also emitted by motor vehicles, and therefore, ammonium salts of lead
bromide compounds would be expected in the exhaust of piston-engine
aircraft.\76\
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\74\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS PB87142386), 1986.
\75\ Griffith 2020. Electron microscopic characterization of
exhaust particles containing lead dibromide beads expelled from
aircraft burning leaded gasoline. Atmospheric Pollution Research
11:1481-1486.
\76\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Volume 2:
Chapters 5 & 6. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS
PB87142386), 1986.
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Uncombusted alkyl lead was also measured in the exhaust of motor
vehicles operating on leaded gasoline and is therefore likely to be
present in the exhaust from piston-engine aircraft.\77\ Alkyl lead is
the general term used for organic lead compounds and includes the lead
additive tetraethyl lead. Summarizing the available data regarding
emissions of alkyl lead from piston-engine aircraft, the 2013 Lead ISA
notes that lead in the exhaust that might be in organic form may
potentially be 20 percent (as an upper bound estimate).78 79
In addition, tetraethyl lead is a highly volatile compound, and
therefore, a portion of tetraethyl lead in fuel exposed to air will
partition into the vapor phase.\80\
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\77\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table 2-1. ``Pb Compounds Observed
in the Environment.'' p. 2-8. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\78\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 2.2.2.1 ``Pb Emissions
from Piston-engine Aircraft Operating on Leaded-Aviation Gasoline
and Other Non-road Sources.'' p. 2-10. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/
R-10/075F, 2013.
\79\ One commenter asserts that the information summarized in
the 2013 Lead ISA regarding emission of alkyl lead from piston-
engine aircraft is a supposition and should not inform this action.
We respond to this comment in the Response to Comments document for
this action.
\80\ Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Potential
Exposure to Non-exhaust Lead and Ethylene Dibromide. June 15, 2022.
Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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Particles emitted by piston-engine aircraft are in the submicron
size range (less than one micron in diameter). The Swiss Federal Office
of Civil Aviation (FOCA) published a study of piston-engine aircraft
emissions including measurements of lead.\81\ The Swiss FOCA reported
the mean particle diameter of particulate matter emitted by one single-
engine piston-powered aircraft operating on leaded fuel that ranged
from 0.049 to 0.108 microns under different power conditions (lead
particles would be expected to be present, but these particles were not
separately identified in this study). The particle number concentration
ranged from 5.7x10\6\ to 8.6x10\6\ particles per cm\3\. The authors
noted that these particle emission rates are comparable to those from a
typical diesel passenger car engine without a particle filter.\82\
Griffith (2020) collected exhaust particles from a piston-engine
aircraft operating on leaded avgas and examined the particles using
electron microscopy. Griffith reported that the mean diameter of
particles collected in exhaust was 13 nanometers (0.013 microns)
consisting of a 4 nanometer (0.004 micron) lead dibromide particle
surrounded by hydrocarbons.
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\81\ Swiss FOCA (2007) Aircraft Piston Engine Emissions Summary
Report. 33-05-003 Piston Engine Emissions_Swiss FOCA_Summary.
Report_070612_rit. Available at https://www.bazl.admin.ch/bazl/en/
home/specialists/regulations-and-guidelines/environment/pollutant-
emissions/aircraft-engine-emissions/report_appendices_database-
and-data-sheets.html. Retrieved on June 15, 2022.
\82\ Swiss FOCA (2007) Aircraft Piston Engine Emissions Summary
Report. 33-05-003 Piston Engine Emissions_Swiss FOCA_Summary.
Report_070612_rit. Section 2.2.3.a. Available at https://
www.bazl.admin.ch/bazl/en/home/specialists/regulations-and-
guidelines/environment/pollutant-emissions/aircraft-engine-
emissions/report_appendices_database-and-data-sheets.html.
Retrieved on June 15, 2022.
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b. Inventory of Lead Emitted by Piston-Engine Aircraft
Lead emissions from covered aircraft are the largest single source
of lead to air in the U.S., contributing over 50 percent of lead
emissions to air starting in 2008 (Table 1).\83\ In 2017, approximately
470 tons of lead were emitted by engines in piston-powered aircraft,
which constituted 70 percent of the annual emissions of lead to air in
that year.\84\ Lead is emitted at and near thousands of airports in the
U.S. as described in section II.A.1. of this document. The EPA's method
for developing airport-specific lead estimates is described in the
EPA's Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Lead Emissions from
Piston-Engine Aircraft Using Leaded
[[Page 72379]]
Aviation Gasoline \85\ and in the document titled ``Calculating Piston-
Engine Aircraft Airport Inventories for Lead for the 2008 National
Emissions Inventory.'' \86\ The EPA's National Emissions Inventory
(NEI) reports airport estimates of lead emissions as well as estimates
of lead emitted in-flight, which are allocated to states based on the
fraction of piston-engine aircraft activity estimated for each state.
These inventory data are briefly summarized here at the state, county,
and airport level.\87\
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\83\ The lead inventories for 2008, 2011 and 2014 are provided
in the U.S. EPA (2018b) Report on the Environment Exhibit 2.
Anthropogenic lead emissions in the U.S. Available at https://cfpub.epa.gov/roe/indicator.cfm?i=13#2.
\84\ EPA 2017 NEI. Available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data.
\85\ Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Lead Emissions
from Piston-Engine Aircraft Using Leaded Aviation Gasoline. 75 FR
2440 (April 28, 2010).
\86\ Airport lead annual emissions data used were reported in
the 2017 NEI. Available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data. The methods
used to develop these inventories are described in EPA (2010)
Calculating Piston-Engine Aircraft Airport Inventories for Lead for
the 2008 NEI. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-B-10-044, 2010. (Also
available in the docket for this action, EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389).
\87\ The 2017 NEI utilized 2014 aircraft activity data to
develop airport-specific lead inventories. Details can be found on
page 3-17 of the document located here: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-02/documents/nei2017_tsd_full_jan2021.pdf#page=70&zoom=100,68,633. Because the
2020 inventory was impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic-related
decrease in activity by aircraft in 2020, the EPA is focusing on the
2017 inventory in this final action.
Table 1--Piston-Engine Emissions of Lead to Air
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Piston-engine emissions of lead to air, tons... 560 490 460 470 427
Total U.S. lead emissions, tons................ 950 810 720 670 621
Piston-engine emissions as a percent of the 59% 60% 64% 70% 69%
total U.S. lead inventory.....................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Due to the Covid-19 Pandemic, a substantial decrease in activity by aircraft occurred in 2020, impacting the
total lead emissions for this year. The 2020 NEI is available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2020-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data.
At the state level, the EPA estimates of lead emissions from
piston-engine aircraft range from 0.3 tons (Rhode Island) to 50.5 tons
(California), 47 percent of which is emitted in the landing and takeoff
cycle and 53 percent of which the EPA estimates is emitted in-flight,
outside the landing and takeoff cycle.\88\ Among the counties in the
U.S. where the EPA estimates engine emissions of lead from covered
aircraft, these lead inventories range from 0.00005 tons per year to
4.3 tons per year and constitute the only source of air-related lead in
1,140 counties (the county estimates of lead emissions include the lead
emitted during the landing and takeoff cycle and not lead emitted in-
flight).\89\ In the counties where engine emissions of lead from
aircraft are the sole source of lead to these estimates, annual lead
emissions from the landing and takeoff cycle ranged from 0.00015 to
0.74 tons. Among the 1,872 counties in the U.S. with multiple sources
of lead, including engine emissions from covered aircraft, the
contribution of aircraft engine emissions ranges from 0.00005 to 4.3
tons, comprising 0.15 to 98 percent of the county total, respectively.
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\88\ Lead emitted in-flight is assigned to states based on their
overall fraction of total piston-engine aircraft operations. The
state-level estimates of engine emissions of lead include both lead
emitted in the landing and takeoff cycle as well as lead emitted in-
flight. The method used to develop these estimates is described in
EPA (2010) Calculating Piston-Engine Aircraft Airport Inventories
for Lead for the 2008 NEI, available here: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P1009I13.PDF?Dockey=P1009I13.PDF.
\89\ Airport lead annual emissions data cited were reported in
the 2017 NEI. Available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data. In addition
to the triennial NEI, the EPA collects from state, local, and Tribal
air agencies point source data for larger sources every year (see
https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-emissions-reporting-requirements-aerr for specific emissions thresholds).
While these data are not typically published as a new NEI, they are
available publicly upon request and are also included in https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/emissions-modeling-platforms that
are created for years other than the triennial NEI years. County
estimates of lead emissions from non-aircraft sources used in this
action are from the 2019 inventory. There are 3,012 counties and
statistical equivalent areas where EPA estimates engine emissions of
lead occur.
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The EPA estimates that among the approximately 20,000 airports in
the U.S., airport lead inventories range from 0.00005 tons per year to
0.9 tons per year.\90\ In 2017, the EPA's NEI includes 638 airports
where the EPA estimates engine emissions of lead from covered aircraft
were 0.1 ton or more of lead annually. Using the FAA's forecasted
activity in 2045 for the approximately 3,300 airports in the NPIAS (as
described in section II.A.1. of this document), the EPA estimates
airport-specific inventories may range from 0.00003 tons to 1.28 tons
of lead (median of 0.03 tons), with 656 airports estimated to have
inventories above 0.1 tons in 2045.\91\
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\90\ See EPA lead inventory data available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/emissions-modeling-platforms.
\91\ EPA used the method described in EPA (2010) Calculating
Piston-Engine Aircraft Airport Inventories for Lead for the 2008 NEI
to estimate airport lead inventories in 2045. This document is
available here: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P1009I13.PDF?Dockey=P1009I13.PDF.
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We estimate that piston-engine aircraft have consumed approximately
38.6 billion gallons of leaded avgas in the U.S. since 1930, excluding
military aircraft use of this fuel, emitting approximately 113,000 tons
of lead to the air.\92\
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\92\ Geidosch. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Lead
Emissions from the use of Leaded Aviation Gasoline from 1930 through
2020. June 1, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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3. Concentrations of Lead in Air Attributable to Emissions From Piston-
Engine Aircraft
In this section, we describe the concentrations of lead in air
resulting from emissions of lead from covered aircraft. Air quality
monitoring and modeling studies for lead at and near airports have
identified elevated
[[Page 72380]]
concentrations of lead in air from piston-engine aircraft exhaust at,
and downwind of, airports where these aircraft are
active.93 94 95 96 97 98 99 This section provides a summary
of the literature regarding the local-scale impact of aircraft
emissions of lead on concentrations of lead at and near airports, with
specific focus on the results of air monitoring for lead that the EPA
required at a subset of airports and an analysis conducted by the EPA
to estimate concentrations of lead at 13,000 airports in the U.S.,
titled ``Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead Concentrations
at U.S. Airports.'' 100 101
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\93\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (32), 5795-5804. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.017.
\94\ Feinberg et al., 2016. Modeling of Lead Concentrations and
Hot Spots at General Aviation Airports. Journal of the
Transportation Research Board, No. 2569, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, pp. 80-87. DOI: 10.3141/2569-09.
\95\ Municipality of Anchorage (2012). Merrill Field Lead
Monitoring Report. Municipality of Anchorage Department of Health
and Human Services. Anchorage, Alaska. Available at https://www.muni.org/Departments/health/Admin/environment/AirQ/Documents/Merrill%20Field%20Lead%20Monitoring%20Study_2012/Merrill%20Field%20Lead%20Study%20Report%20-%20final.pdf.
\96\ Environment Canada (2000) Airborne Particulate Matter, Lead
and Manganese at Buttonville Airport. Toronto, Ontario, Canada:
Conor Pacific Environmental Technologies for Environmental
Protection Service, Ontario Region.
\97\ Fine et al., 2010. General Aviation Airport Air Monitoring
Study. South Coast Air Quality Management District. Available at
https://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-source/air-quality/air-quality-monitoring-studies/general-aviation-study/study-of-air-toxins-near-van-nuys-and-santa-monica-airport.pdf.
\98\ Lead emitted from piston-engine aircraft in the particulate
phase would also be measured in samples collected to evaluate total
ambient PM2.5 concentrations.
\99\ One commenter provided results from a monitoring and
modeling study at a general aviation airport in Wisconsin that
reports increased lead concentrations with increasing proximity to
the airport. See attachments provided to the comments from the Town
of Middleton (EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389-0178_attachment_2.pdf and EPA-HQ-
OAR-2022-0389-0178_attachment_3.pdf) available in the docket for
this action EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
\100\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020. Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf. EPA responses to peer review comments
on the report are available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YIWD.pdf. These documents are also available in
the docket for this action (Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389).
\101\ EPA (2022) Technical Support Document (TSD) for the EPA's
Proposed Finding that Lead Emissions from Aircraft Engines that
Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution that May
Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public Health and Welfare.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-22-025, 2022. Available in the docket
for this action.
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Gradient studies evaluate how lead concentrations change with
distance from an airport where piston-engine aircraft operate. These
studies indicate that concentrations of lead in air, averaged over
periods of 18 hours to three months, are estimated to be one to two
orders of magnitude higher at locations proximate to aircraft
emissions, compared to nearby locations not impacted by a source of
lead air emissions.102 103 104 105 106 The magnitude of lead
concentrations at and near airports is highly influenced by the amount
of aircraft activity (i.e., the number of take-off and landing
operations, particularly if concentrated at one runway) and the time
spent by aircraft in specific modes of operation. The most significant
emissions in terms of ground-based activity, and therefore ground-level
concentrations of lead in air, occur near the areas with greatest fuel
consumption where the aircraft are stationary and
running.107 108 109 For piston-engine aircraft these areas
are most commonly locations in which pilots conduct engine tests during
run-up operations prior to take-off (e.g., magneto checks during the
run-up operation mode). Run-up operations are conducted while the
brakes are engaged so the aircraft is stationary and are often
conducted adjacent to the runway end from which the aircraft will take
off. Additional modes of operation by piston-engine aircraft, such as
taxiing or idling near the runway, may result in additional hotspots of
elevated lead concentration (e.g., start-up and idle, maintenance run-
up).\110\
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\102\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (32), 5795-5804. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.017.
\103\ Heiken et al., 2014. Quantifying Aircraft Lead Emissions
at Airports. ACRP Report 133. Available at https://www.nap.edu/catalog/22142/quantifying-aircraft-lead-emissions-at-airports.
\104\ Hudda et al., 2022. Substantial Near-Field Air Quality
Improvements at a General Aviation Airport Following a Runway
Shortening. Environmental Science & Technology. DOI: 10.1021/
acs.est.1c06765.
\105\ Fine et al., 2010. General Aviation Airport Air Monitoring
Study. South Coast Air Quality Management District. Available at
https://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-source/air-quality/air-quality-monitoring-studies/general-aviation-study/study-of-air-toxins-near-van-nuys-and-santa-monica-airport.pdf.
\106\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020.
\107\ EPA (2010) Development and Evaluation of an Air Quality
Modeling Approach for Lead Emissions from Piston-Engine Aircraft
Operating on Leaded Aviation Gasoline. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-
R-10-007, 2010. https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P1007H4Q.PDF?Dockey=P1007H4Q.PDF.
\108\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020.
\109\ Feinberg et al., 2016. Modeling of Lead Concentrations and
Hot Spots at General Aviation Airports. Journal of the
Transportation Research Board, No. 2569, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, pp. 80-87. DOI: 10.3141/2569-09.
\110\ Feinberg et al., 2016. Modeling of Lead Concentrations and
Hot Spots at General Aviation Airports. Journal of the
Transportation Research Board, No. 2569, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, pp. 80-87. DOI: 10.3141/2569-09.
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The lead NAAQS was revised in 2008.\111\ The 2008 decision revised
the level, averaging time and form of the standards to establish the
current primary and secondary standards, which are both 0.15 micrograms
per cubic meter of air, in terms of the average of three consecutive
monthly averages of lead in total suspended particles within a three-
year period.\112\ In conjunction with strengthening the lead NAAQS in
2008, the EPA enhanced the existing lead monitoring network by
requiring monitors to be placed in areas with sources such as
industrial facilities and airports with estimated lead emissions of 1.0
ton or more per year. Lead monitoring was conducted at two airports
following from these requirements (Deer Valley Airport, AZ, and the Van
Nuys Airport, CA). In 2010, the EPA made further revisions to the
monitoring requirements such that state and local air quality agencies
are required to monitor near industrial facilities with estimated lead
emissions of 0.50 tons or more per year and at airports with estimated
emissions of 1.0 ton or more per year.\113\ As part of this 2010
requirement to expand lead monitoring, the EPA also required a one-year
monitoring study of 15 additional airports with estimated lead
emissions between 0.50 and 1.0 ton per year in an effort to better
understand how these emissions affect concentrations of lead in the air
at and near airports. Further, to help evaluate airport characteristics
that could lead to ambient lead concentrations that approach or exceed
the lead NAAQS, airports for this one-year monitoring study were
selected based on factors such as the level of piston-engine aircraft
activity and the predominant use of one runway due to wind patterns.
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\111\ 73 FR 66965 (Nov. 12, 2008).
\112\ 40 CFR 50.16 (Nov. 12, 2008).
\113\ 75 FR 81126 (Dec. 27, 2010).
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As a result of these requirements, state and local air authorities
collected and certified lead concentration data for at least one year
at 17 airports with most monitors starting in 2012 and generally
continuing through 2013. The data
[[Page 72381]]
presented in Table 2 are based on the certified data for these sites
and represent the maximum concentration monitored in a rolling three-
month average for each location.114 115
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\114\ EPA (2015) Program Overview: Airport Lead Monitoring. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA-420-F-15-003, 2015. Available at: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P100LJDW.PDF?Dockey=P100LJDW.PDF.
\115\ EPA (2022) Technical Support Document (TSD) for the EPA's
Proposed Finding that Lead Emissions from Aircraft Engines that
Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution that May
Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public Health and Welfare.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-22-025, 2022. Available in the docket
for this action.
\116\ A design value is a statistic that summarizes the air
quality data for a given area in terms of the indicator, averaging
time, and form of the standard. Design values can be compared to the
level of the standard and are typically used to designate areas as
meeting or not meeting the standard and assess progress towards
meeting the NAAQS.
Table 2--Lead Concentrations Monitored at 17 Airports in the U.S.
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Lead design value,\116\
Airport, State [mu]g/m\3\
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Auburn Municipal Airport, WA................... 0.06
Brookhaven Airport, NY......................... 0.03
Centennial Airport, CO......................... 0.02
Deer Valley Airport, AZ........................ 0.04
Gillespie Field, CA............................ 0.07
Harvey Field, WA............................... 0.02
McClellan-Palomar Airport, CA.................. 0.17
Merrill Field, AK.............................. 0.07
Nantucket Memorial Airport, MA................. 0.01
Oakland County International Airport, MI....... 0.02
Palo Alto Airport, CA.......................... 0.12
Pryor Field Regional Airport, AL............... 0.01
Reid-Hillview Airport, CA...................... 0.10
Republic Airport, NY........................... 0.01
San Carlos Airport, CA......................... 0.33
Stinson Municipal, TX.......................... 0.03
Van Nuys Airport, CA........................... 0.06
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Monitored lead concentrations violated the lead NAAQS at two
airports in 2012: the McClellan-Palomar Airport and the San Carlos
Airport. At both of these airports, monitors were located in close
proximity to the area at the end of the runway most frequently used for
pre-flight safety checks (i.e., run-up). Alkyl lead emitted by piston-
engine aircraft would be expected to partition into the vapor phase and
would not be collected by the monitoring conducted in this study, which
is designed to quantitatively collect particulate forms of lead.\117\
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\117\ As noted earlier, when summarizing the available data
regarding emissions of alkyl lead from piston-engine aircraft, the
2013 Lead ISA notes that an upper bound estimate of lead in the
exhaust that might be in organic form may potentially be 20 percent
(2013 Lead ISA, p. 2-10). Organic lead in engine exhaust would be
expected to influence receptors within short distances of the point
of emission from piston-engine aircraft. Airports with large flight
schools and/or facilities with substantial delays for aircraft
queued for takeoff could experience higher concentrations of alkyl
lead in the vicinity of the aircraft exhaust.
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Airport lead monitoring and modeling studies have identified the
sharp decrease in lead concentrations with distance from the run-up
area and therefore the importance of considering monitor placement
relative to the run-up area when evaluating the maximum impact location
attributable to lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft. The
monitoring data in Table 2 reflect differences in monitor placement
relative to the run-up area as well as other factors; this study also
provided evidence that air lead concentrations at and downwind from
airports could be influenced by factors such as the use of more than
one run-up area, wind speed, and the number of operations conducted by
single- versus twin-engine aircraft.\118\
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\118\ The data in Table 2 represent concentrations measured at
one location at each airport and monitors were not consistently
placed in close proximity to the run-up areas. As described in
section II.A.3., monitored concentrations of lead in air near
airports are highly influenced by proximity of the monitor to the
run-up area. In addition to monitor placement, there are individual
airport factors that can influence lead concentrations (e.g., the
use of multiple run-up areas at an airport, fleet composition, and
wind speed). The monitoring data reported in Table 2 reflect a range
of lead concentrations indicative of the location at which
measurements were made and the specific operations at an airport.
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The EPA recognized that the airport lead monitoring study provided
a small sample of the potential locations where emissions of lead from
piston-engine aircraft could potentially cause concentrations of lead
in ambient air to exceed the lead NAAQS. Because we considered that
additional airports and conditions could lead to exceedances of the
lead NAAQS at and near airports where piston-engine aircraft operate,
and in order to understand the range of lead concentrations at airports
nationwide, we developed an analysis of 13,000 airports in the peer-
reviewed report titled, ``Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports.'' \119\ \120\ This report provides
estimated ranges of lead concentrations that may occur at and near
airports where leaded avgas is used. The study extrapolated modeling
results from one airport to estimate air lead concentrations at the
maximum impact area near the run-up location for over 13,000 U.S.
airports.\121\ The model-extrapolated lead estimates in this study
indicate that some additional U.S. airports may have air lead
concentrations above the NAAQS at this area of maximum impact. The
report also indicates that, at the levels of activity analyzed at the
13,000 airports, estimated lead concentrations decrease to below the
standard within 50 meters
[[Page 72382]]
from the location of highest concentration.
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\119\ EPA (2020) Model-Extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020.
\120\ EPA (2022) Technical Support Document (TSD) for the EPA's
Proposed Finding that Lead Emissions from Aircraft Engines that
Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution that May
Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public Health and Welfare.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-22-025, 2022. Available in the docket
for this action.
\121\ In this study, the EPA defined the maximum impact site as
15 meters downwind of the tailpipe of an aircraft conducting run-up
operations in the area designated for these operations at a runway
end. The maximum impact area was defined as approximately 50 meters
surrounding the maximum impact site.
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To estimate the potential ranges of lead concentrations at and
downwind of the anticipated area of highest concentration at airports
in the U.S., the relationship between piston-engine aircraft activity
and lead concentration at and downwind of the maximum impact site at
one airport was applied to piston-engine aircraft activity estimates
for each U.S. airport.\122\ This approach for conducting a nationwide
analysis of airports was selected due to the impact of piston-engine
aircraft run-up operations on ground-level lead concentrations, which
creates a maximum impact area that is expected to be generally
consistent across airports. Specifically, these aircraft consistently
take off into the wind and typically conduct run-up operations
immediately adjacent to the take-off runway end, and thus, modeling
lead concentrations from this source is constrained by variation in a
few key parameters. These parameters include (1) total amount of
piston-engine aircraft activity, (2) the proportion of activity
conducted at one runway end, (3) the proportion of activity conducted
by multi-piston-engine aircraft, (4) the duration of run-up operations,
(5) the concentration of lead in avgas, (6) wind speed at the model
airport relative to the extrapolated airport, and (7) additional
meteorological, dispersion model, or operational parameters. These
parameters were evaluated through sensitivity analyses as well as
quantitative or qualitative uncertainty analyses. To generate robust
concentration estimates, the EPA evaluated these parameters, conducted
wind-speed correction of extrapolated estimates, and used airport-
specific information regarding airport layout and prevailing wind
directions for the 13,000 airports.\123\
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\122\ Prior to this model extrapolation study, the EPA developed
and evaluated an air quality modeling approach (this study is
available here: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P1007H4Q.PDF?Dockey=P1007H4Q.PDF), and subsequently applied the
approach to a second airport and again performed an evaluation of
the model output using air monitoring data (this second study is
available here: https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf).
\123\ EPA (2022) Technical Support Document (TSD) for the EPA's
Proposed Finding that Lead Emissions from Aircraft Engines that
Operate on Leaded Fuel Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution that May
Reasonably Be Anticipated to Endanger Public Health and Welfare.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-22-025, 2022. Available in the docket
for this action.
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Results of this national analysis show that model-extrapolated
three-month average lead concentrations in the maximum impact area may
potentially exceed the lead NAAQS at some airports with activity
ranging from 3,616-26,816 Landing and Take-Off events (LTOs) in a
three-month period.\124\ The lead concentration estimates from this
model-extrapolation approach account for lead engine emissions from
aircraft only, and do not include other sources of air-related lead.
The broad range in LTOs that may lead to concentrations of lead
exceeding the lead NAAQS is due to the piston-engine aircraft fleet mix
at individual airports such that airports where the fleet is dominated
by twin-engine aircraft would potentially reach concentrations of lead
exceeding the lead NAAQS with fewer LTOs compared with airports where
single-engine aircraft dominate the piston-engine fleet.\125\ Model-
extrapolated three-month average lead concentrations from aircraft
engine emissions were estimated to be above background for a distance
of at least 500 meters from the maximum impact area at airports with
activity ranging from 1,275-4,302 LTOs in that three-month period.\126\
In a separate modeling analysis at an airport at which hundreds of
take-off and landing events by piston-engine aircraft occur per day,
the EPA found that modeled 24-hour concentrations of lead from aircraft
engine emissions were estimated to be above background for almost 1,000
meters downwind from the runway.\127\
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\124\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. Table 6. p. 53. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
\125\ See methods used in EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated
Estimates of Airborne Lead Concentrations at U.S. Airports. Table 2.
p.23. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
\126\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports, Table 6. p.53. EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
\127\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment 45: 5795-5804.
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Model-extrapolated estimates of lead concentrations in the EPA
report ``Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead Concentrations
at U.S. Airports'' were compared with monitored values reported in
Table 2 and show general agreement, suggesting that the extrapolation
method presented in this report provides reasonable estimates of the
range in concentrations of lead in air attributable to three-month
activity periods of piston-engine aircraft at airports. The assessment
included detailed evaluation of the potential impact of run-up
duration, the concentration of lead in avgas, and the impact of
meteorological parameters on model-extrapolated estimates of lead
concentrations attributable to engine emissions of lead from piston-
powered aircraft. Additionally, this study included a range of
sensitivity analyses as well as quantitative and qualitative
uncertainty analyses.
The EPA's model-extrapolation analysis of lead concentrations from
engine emissions resulting from covered aircraft found that annual
airport emissions of lead estimated to result in air lead
concentrations potentially exceeding the NAAQS ranged from 0.1 to 0.6
tons per year. There are key pieces of airport-specific data that are
needed to fully evaluate the potential for piston-engine aircraft
operating at an airport to cause concentrations of lead in the air to
exceed the lead NAAQS, and the EPA's report ``Model-extrapolated
Estimates of Airborne Lead Concentrations at U.S. Airports'' provides
quantitative and qualitative analyses of these factors.\128\ The EPA's
estimate for airports that have annual lead inventories of 0.1 ton or
more are illustrative of and provide one approach for an initial
screening evaluation of locations where engine emissions of lead from
aircraft may increase localized lead concentrations in air. Airport-
specific assessments would be needed to determine the magnitude of the
potential range in lead concentrations at and downwind of each
facility.
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\128\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. Table 6. p.53. EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
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As described in Section II.A.1 of this document, the FAA forecasts
0.9 percent decreases in piston-engine aircraft activity out to 2041;
however, these decreases are not projected to occur uniformly across
airports. Among the more than 3,300 airports in the FAA TAF, the FAA
forecasts both decreases and increases in general aviation, which is
largely comprised of piston-engine aircraft. If the current conditions
on which the forecast is based persist, then lead concentrations in the
air may increase at the airports where general aviation activity is
forecast to increase.
In addition to airport-specific modeled estimates of lead
concentrations, the EPA also provides annual estimates of lead
concentrations for each census tract in the U.S. as part of the Air
Toxics Screening Assessment (AirToxScreen).\129\ The census tract
concentrations are averages of the area-weighted census block
concentrations within the tract. Lead concentrations reported in the
AirToxScreen are based on emissions estimates from
[[Page 72383]]
anthropogenic and natural sources of lead, including aircraft engine
emissions.\130\ The 2019 AirToxScreen provides lead concentration
estimates in air for 73,449 census tracts in the U.S.\131\ Lead
concentrations associated with emissions from piston-engine aircraft
comprised more than 50 percent of these census block area-weighted lead
concentration estimates in over half of the census tracts, which
included tracts in all 50 states, as well as Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands.
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\129\ See EPA's 2019 AirToxScreen. Available at https://www.epa.gov/AirToxScreen/2019-airtoxscreen.
\130\ These concentration estimates are not used for comparison
to the level of the Lead NAAQS due to different temporal averaging
times and underlying assumptions in modeling. The AirToxScreen
estimates are provided to help state, local and Tribal air agencies
and the public identify which pollutants, emission sources and
places they may wish to study further to better understand potential
risks to public health from air toxics. There are uncertainties
inherent in these estimates described by the EPA, some of which are
relevant to these estimates of lead concentrations; however, these
estimates provide perspective on the potential influence of piston-
engine emissions of lead on air quality. See https://www.epa.gov/AirToxScreen/airtoxscreen-limitations.
\131\ As airports are generally in larger census blocks within a
census tract, concentrations for airport blocks dominate the area-
weighted average in cases where an airport is the predominant lead
emissions source in a census tract.
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4. Fate and Transport of Emissions of Lead From Piston-Engine Aircraft
This section summarizes the chemical transformation that piston-
engine aircraft lead emissions are anticipated to undergo in the
atmosphere and describes what is known about the deposition of piston-
engine aircraft lead and its potential impacts on soil, food, and
aquatic environments.
a. Atmospheric Chemistry and Transport of Emissions of Lead From
Piston-Engine Aircraft
Lead emitted by piston-engine aircraft can have impacts in the
local environment, and, due to their small size (i.e., typically less
than one micron in diameter),132 133 lead-bearing particles
emitted by piston engines may disperse widely in the environment.
However, lead emitted during the landing and takeoff cycle,
particularly during ground-based operations such as start-up, idle,
preflight run-up checks, taxi and the take-off roll on the runway, may
deposit to the local environment and/or infiltrate into
buildings.134 135
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\132\ Swiss FOCA (2007) Aircraft Piston Engine Emissions Summary
Report. 33-05-003 Piston Engine Emissions_Swiss FOCA_Summary.
Report_070612_rit. Available at https://www.bazl.admin.ch/bazl/en/
home/specialists/regulations-and-guidelines/environment/pollutant-
emissions/aircraft-engine-emissions/report-appendices_database_
and-data-sheets.html. Retrieved on June 15, 2022.
\133\ Griffith 2020. Electron microscopic characterization of
exhaust particles containing lead dibromide beads expelled from
aircraft burning leaded gasoline. Atmospheric Pollution Research
11:1481-1486.
\134\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.3. ``Exposure to
Ambient Pb.'' p. 1-11. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\135\ The EPA received comments on the information provided in
this section to which we respond in the Response to Comments
document for this action.
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The Lead AQCDs summarize the literature reporting on the
atmospheric chemical transformation of lead compounds emitted by
engines operating on leaded fuel. Briefly, lead halides emitted by
motor vehicles operating on leaded fuel were reported to undergo
compositional changes upon cooling and mixing with the ambient air as
well as during transport, and we would anticipate lead bromides emitted
by piston-engine aircraft to behave similarly in the atmosphere. The
water solubility of these lead-bearing particles was reported to be
higher for the smaller lead-bearing particles.\136\ Lead halides
emitted in motor vehicle exhaust were reported to break down rapidly in
the atmosphere via redox reactions in the presence of atmospheric
acids.\137\ Depending on ambient conditions (e.g., ozone and hydroxyl
concentrations in the atmosphere), alkyl lead may exist in the
atmosphere for hours to days \138\ and may therefore be transported off
airport property into nearby communities. Tetraethyl lead reacts with
the hydroxyl radical in the gas phase to form a variety of products
that include ionic trialkyl lead, dialkyl lead and metallic lead.
Trialkyl lead is slow to react with the hydroxyl radical and is quite
persistent in the atmosphere.\139\
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\136\ EPA (1977) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 6.2.2.1.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-77-017, 1977.
\137\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section E.6.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\138\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section E.6. p.
2-5. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\139\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 2. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
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b. Deposition of Lead Emissions From Piston-Engine Aircraft and Soil
Lead Concentrations to Which Piston-Engine Aircraft May Contribute
Lead is removed from the atmosphere and deposited on soil, into
aquatic systems and on other surfaces via wet or dry deposition.\140\
Meteorological factors (e.g., wind speed, convection, rain, humidity)
influence local deposition rates. With regard to deposition of lead
from aircraft engine emissions, the EPA modeled the deposition rate for
aircraft lead emissions at one airport in a temperate climate in
California with dry summer months. In this location, the average lead
deposition rate from aircraft emissions of lead was 0.057 milligrams
per square meter per year.\141\
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\140\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.2.1. ``Sources, Fate
and Transport of Ambient Pb;'' p. 1-6; and Section 2.3. ``Fate and
Transport of Pb.'' p. 2-24 through 2-25. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/
600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\141\ Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Deposition of
Lead Emitted by Piston-engine Aircraft. June 15, 2022. Docket ID
EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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Studies summarized in the 2013 Lead ISA suggest that soil is a
reservoir for contemporary and historical emissions of lead to
air.\142\ Once deposited to soil, lead can be absorbed onto organic
material, can undergo chemical and physical transformation depending on
a number of factors (e.g., pH of the soil and the soil organic
content), and can participate in further cycling through air or other
media.\143\ The extent of atmospheric deposition of lead from aircraft
engine emissions would be expected to depend on a number of factors
including the size of the particles emitted (smaller particles, such as
those in aircraft emissions, have lower settling velocity and may
travel farther distances before being deposited compared with larger
particles), the temperature of the exhaust (the high temperature of the
exhaust creates plume buoyancy), as well as meteorological factors
(e.g., wind speed, precipitation rates). As a result of the size of the
lead particulate matter emitted from piston-engine aircraft and as a
result of these emissions occurring at various altitudes, lead emitted
from these aircraft may distribute widely through the environment.\144\
Murphy et al. (2008) reported weekend increases in ambient air lead
concentrations monitored at remote locations in the U.S. that the
authors hypothesized were related to weekend increases in piston-engine
powered general aviation activity.\145\
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\142\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 2.6.1. ``Soils.'' p. 2-
118. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\143\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Chapter 6. ``Ecological Effects
of Pb.'' p. 6-57. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\144\ Murphy et al., 2008. Weekly patterns of aerosol in the
United States. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 8:2729-2739.
\145\ Lead concentrations collected as part of the Interagency
Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) network and
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
monitoring sites.
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Heiken et al. (2014) assessed air lead concentrations potentially
attributable to resuspended lead that previously deposited onto soil
relative to air lead concentrations resulting directly from
[[Page 72384]]
aircraft engine emissions.\146\ Based on comparisons of lead
concentrations in total suspended particulate (TSP) and fine
particulate matter (PM2.5) measured at the three airports,
coarse particle lead was observed to account for about 20-30 percent of
the lead found in TSP. The authors noted that based on analysis of lead
isotopes present in the air samples collected at these airports, the
original source of the lead found in the coarse particle range appeared
to be from aircraft exhaust emissions of lead that previously deposited
to soil and were resuspended by wind or aircraft-induced turbulence.
Results from lead isotope analysis in soil samples collected at the
same three airports led the authors to conclude that lead emitted from
piston-engine aircraft was not the dominant source of lead in soil in
the samples measured at the airports they studied. The authors note the
complex history of topsoil can create challenges in understanding the
extent to which aircraft lead emissions impact soil lead concentrations
at and near airports (e.g., the source of topsoil can change as a
result of site renovation, construction, landscaping, natural events
such as wildfire and hurricanes, and other activities). Concentrations
of lead in soil at and near airports servicing piston-engine aircraft
have been measured using a range of
approaches.147 148 149 150 151 152 Kavouras et al. (2013)
collected soil samples at three airports and reported that construction
at an airport involving removal and replacement of topsoil complicated
interpretation of the findings at that airport and that the number of
runways at an airport may influence resulting lead concentrations in
soil (i.e., multiple runways may provide for more wide-spread dispersal
of the lead over a larger area than that potentially affected at a
single-runway airport).
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\146\ Heiken et al., 2014. ACRP Web-Only Document 21:
Quantifying Aircraft Lead Emissions at Airports. Contractor's Final
Report for ACRP 02-34. Available at https://www.trb.org/Publications/Blurbs/172599.aspx.
\147\ McCumber and Strevett 2017. A Geospatial Analysis of Soil
Lead Concentrations Around Regional Oklahoma Airports. Chemosphere
167:62-70.
\148\ Kavouras et al., 2013. Bioavailable Lead in Topsoil
Collected from General Aviation Airports. The Collegiate Aviation
Review International 31(1):57-68. Available at https://doi.org/10.22488/okstate.18.100438.
\149\ Heiken et al., 2014. ACRP Web-Only Document 21:
Quantifying Aircraft Lead Emissions at Airports. Contractor's Final
Report for ACRP 02-34. Available at https://www.trb.org/Publications/Blurbs/172599.aspx.
\150\ EPA (2010) Development and Evaluation of an Air Quality
Modeling Approach for Lead Emissions from Piston-Engine Aircraft
Operating on Leaded Aviation Gasoline. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-
R-10-007, 2010. https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P1007H4Q.PDF?Dockey=P1007H4Q.PDF.
\151\ Environment Canada (2000) Airborne Particulate Matter,
Lead and Manganese at Buttonville Airport. Toronto, Ontario, Canada:
Conor Pacific Environmental Technologies for Environmental
Protection Service, Ontario Region.
\152\ Lejano and Ericson 2005. Tragedy of the Temporal Commons:
Soil-Bound Lead and the Anachronicity of Risk. Journal of
Environmental Planning and Management. 48(2):301-320.
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c. Potential for Lead Emissions From Piston-Engine Aircraft To Impact
Agricultural Products
Studies conducted near stationary sources of lead emissions (e.g.,
smelters) have shown that atmospheric lead sources can lead to
contamination of agricultural products, such as
vegetables.153 154 In this way, air lead sources may
contribute to dietary exposure pathways.\155\ As described in section
II.A.1. of this document, piston-engine aircraft are used in the
application of pesticides, fertilizers and seeding crops for human and
animal consumption and, as such, provide a potential route of exposure
for lead in food. To minimize drift of pesticides and other
applications from the intended target, pilots are advised to maintain a
height between eight and 12 feet above the target crop during
application.\156\ An unintended consequence of this practice is that
exhaust emissions of lead have a substantially increased potential for
directly depositing on vegetation and surrounding soil. Lead halides,
the primary form of lead emitted by engines operating on leaded
fuel,\157\ are slightly water soluble and, therefore, may be more
readily absorbed by plants than other forms of inorganic lead.
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\153\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 3.1.3.3. ``Dietary Pb
Exposure.'' p. 3-20 through 3-24. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\154\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 8.2.2.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\155\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section 8.2.2.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\156\ O'Connor-Marer. Aerial Applicator's Manual: A National
Pesticide Applicator Certification Study Guide. p. 40. National
Association of State Departments of Agriculture Research Foundation.
Available at https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-09/national-pesticide-applicator-cert-core-manual-2014.pdf.
\157\ The additive used in the fuel to scavenge lead determines
the chemical form of the lead halide emitted; because ethylene
dibromide is added to leaded aviation gasoline used in piston-engine
aircraft, the lead halide emitted is in the form of lead dibromide.
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The 2006 AQCD indicated that surface deposition of lead onto plants
may be significant.\158\ Atmospheric deposition of lead provides a
pathway for lead in vegetation as a result of contact with above-ground
portions of the plant.159 160 161 Livestock may subsequently
be exposed to lead in vegetation (e.g., grasses and silage) and in
surface soils via incidental ingestion of soil while grazing.\162\
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\158\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. pp. 7-9 and
AXZ7-39 (citing U.S. studies of the 1990s). EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\159\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. p. AXZ7-39. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\160\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Sections 6.5.3.
EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS PB87142386), 1986.
\161\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section
7.2.2.2.1.EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS
PB87142386), 1986.
\162\ EPA (1986) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Section
7.2.2.2.2. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-600/8-83/028aF-dF (NTIS
PB87142386), 1986.
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d. Potential for Lead Emissions From Piston-Engine Aircraft To Impact
Aquatic Ecosystems
As discussed in section 6.4 of the 2013 Lead ISA, lead
bioaccumulates in the tissues of aquatic organisms through ingestion of
food and water or direct uptake from the environment (e.g., across
membranes such as gills or skin).\163\ Alkyl lead, in particular, has
been identified by the EPA as a Persistent, Bioaccumulative, and Toxic
(PBT) pollutant.\164\ There are 527 seaport facilities in the U.S., and
landing and take-off activity by seaplanes at these facilities provides
a direct pathway for emission of organic and inorganic lead to the air
near/above inland waters and ocean seaports where these aircraft
operate.\165\ Inland airports may also provide a direct pathway for
emission of organic and inorganic lead to the air near/above inland
waters. Lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating at
seaplane facilities as well as airports and heliports near water bodies
can enter the aquatic ecosystem by either deposition from ambient air
or runoff of lead deposited to surface soils.
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\163\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 6.4.2. ``Biogeochemistry
and Chemical Effects of Pb in Freshwater and Saltwater Systems.'' p.
6-147. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\164\ EPA (2002) Persistent, Bioaccumulative, and Toxic
Pollutants (PBT) Program. PBT National Action Plan for Alkyl-Pb.
Washington, DC. June. 2002.
\165\ See FAA's NASR. Available at https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/flight_info/aeronav/aero_data/eNASR_Browser/.
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In addition to deposition of lead from engine emissions by piston-
powered aircraft, lead may enter aquatic systems from the pre-flight
inspection of the fuel for contaminants that pilots conduct. While some
pilots return the checked fuel to their fuel tank or dispose of it in a
receptacle provided on the airfield, some pilots discard the fuel onto
the tarmac, ground, or water, in the case of
[[Page 72385]]
a fuel check being conducted on a seaplane. Lead in the fuel discarded
to the environment may evaporate to the air and may be taken up by the
surface on which it is discarded. Lead on tarmac or soil surfaces is
available for runoff to surface water. Tetraethyl lead in the avgas
directly discarded to water will be available for uptake and
bioaccumulation in aquatic life. The National Academy of Sciences
Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) conducted a survey study of
pilots' fuel sampling and disposal practices. Among the 146 pilots
responding to the survey, 36 percent indicated they discarded all fuel
check samples to the ground regardless of contamination status, and 19
percent of the pilots indicated they discarded only contaminated fuel
to the ground.\166\ Leaded avgas discharged to the ground and water
includes other hazardous fuel components such as ethylene
dibromide.\167\
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\166\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
2014. Best Practices for General Aviation Aircraft Fuel-Tank
Sampling. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/22343.
\167\ Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Potential
Exposure to Non-exhaust Lead and Ethylene Dibromide. June 15, 2022.
Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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5. Consideration of Environmental Justice and Children in Populations
Residing Near Airports
This section provides a description of how many people live in
close proximity to airports where they may be exposed to airborne lead
from aircraft engine emissions of lead (referred to here as the ``near-
airport'' population). This section also provides the demographic
composition of the near-airport population, with attention to
implications related to environmental justice (EJ) and the population
of children in this near-source environment.\168\
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\168\ As described in this section, the EPA evaluated
environmental justice consistent with the EPA 2016 Technical
Guidance. However, the final decisions in this action are based on
EPA's consideration under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) of potential
risks to public health and welfare from the lead air pollution, as
well as its evaluation of whether emissions of lead from engines in
covered aircraft contribute to that air pollution. See section III.
for further discussion of the statutory authority for this action
and sections IV. and V. for further discussion of the basis for
these findings.
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Executive Order 14096, ``Revitalizing Our Nation's Commitment to
Environmental Justice for All,'' defines environmental justice as ``the
just treatment and meaningful involvement of all people, regardless of
income, race, color, national origin, Tribal affiliation, or
disability, in agency decision-making and other Federal activities that
affect human health and the environment so that people: (i) are fully
protected from disproportionate and adverse human health and
environmental effects (including risks) and hazards, including those
related to climate change, the cumulative impacts of environmental and
other burdens, and the legacy of racism or other structural or systemic
barriers; and (ii) have equitable access to a healthy, sustainable, and
resilient environment in which to live, play, work, learn, grow,
worship, and engage in cultural and subsistence practices.'' \169\
Providing this information regarding potential EJ implications in the
population living near airports is important for purposes of public
information and awareness. Here, EPA finds that blood lead levels in
children from low-income households remain higher than those in
children from higher income households, and blood lead levels in Black
children are higher than those in non-Hispanic White
children.170 171 172
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\169\ See, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/04/26/2023-08955/revitalizing-our-nations-commitment-to-environmental-justice-for-all. When the analysis discussed in this section was
performed, EPA defined environmental justice as the fair treatment
and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income, with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations,
and policies. Fair treatment means that ``no group of people should
bear a disproportionate burden of environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the negative environmental
consequences of industrial, governmental and commercial operations
or programs and policies.'' Meaningful involvement occurs when ``1)
potentially affected populations have an appropriate opportunity to
participate in decisions about a proposed activity [e.g.,
rulemaking] that will affect their environment and/or health; 2) the
public's contribution can influence the regulatory Agency's
decision; 3) the concerns of all participants involved will be
considered in the decision-making process; and 4) [the EPA will]
seek out and facilitate the involvement of those potentially
affected.'' See, EPA's Guidance on Considering Environmental Justice
During the Development of Regulatory Actions. Available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-06/documents/considering-ej-in-rulemaking-guide-final.pdf. See also https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice.
\170\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 5.4. ``Summary.'' p. 5-
40. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\171\ EPA. America's Children and the Environment. Summary of
blood lead levels in children updated in 2022, available at https://www.epa.gov/americaschildrenenvironment/biomonitoring-lead. Data
source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Report
on Human Exposure to Environmental Chemicals. Blood Lead (2011-
2018). Updated March 2022. Available at https://www.cdc.gov/exposurereport/report/pdf/cgroup2_LBXBPB_2011-p.pdf.
\172\ The relative contribution of lead emissions from covered
aircraft engines to these disparities has not been determined and is
not a goal of the evaluation described here.
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The analysis described here provides information regarding whether
some demographic groups are more highly represented in the near-airport
environment compared with people who live farther from airports.\173\
Residential proximity to airports implies that there is an increased
potential for exposure to lead from covered aircraft engine
emissions.\174\ As described in section II.A.3. of this document,
several studies have measured higher concentrations of lead in air near
airports with piston-engine aircraft activity. Additionally, as noted
in section II.A. of this document, three studies have reported
increased blood lead levels in children with increasing proximity to
airports.175 176 177
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\173\ This analysis used the U.S. Census and demographic data
from 2010 which was the most recent data available at the time of
this assessment.
\174\ Residential proximity to a source of a specific air
pollutant(s) is a widely used surrogate measure to evaluate the
potential for higher exposures to that pollutant (EPA 2016 Technical
Guidance for Assessing Environmental Justice in Regulatory Analysis.
Section 4.2.1). Data presented in section II.A.3. demonstrate that
lead concentrations in air near the runup area can exceed the lead
NAAQS and concentrations decrease sharply with distance from the
ground-based aircraft exhaust and vary with the amount of aircraft
activity at an airport. Not all people living within 500 meters of a
runway are expected to be equally exposed to lead.
\175\ Miranda et al., 2011. A Geospatial Analysis of the Effects
of Aviation Gasoline on Childhood Blood Lead Levels. Environmental
Health Perspectives. 119:1513-1516.
\176\ Zahran et al., 2017. The Effect of Leaded Aviation
Gasoline on Blood Lead in Children. Journal of the Association of
Environmental and Resource Economists. 4(2):575-610.
\177\ Zahran et al., 2022. Leaded Aviation Gasoline Exposure
Risk and Child Blood Lead Levels. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences Nexus. 2:1-11.
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We first summarize here the literature on disparity among near-
airport populations. Then we describe the analyses the EPA conducted to
evaluate potential disparity in the population groups living near
runways where piston-engine aircraft operate compared to those living
elsewhere.
Numerous studies have found that environmental hazards such as air
pollution are more prevalent in areas where people of color and low-
income populations represent a higher fraction
[[Page 72386]]
of the population compared with the general population, including near
transportation sources.178 179 180 181 182 The literature
includes studies that have reported on communities in close proximity
to airports that are disproportionately represented by people of color
and low-income populations. McNair (2020) described nineteen major
airports that underwent capacity expansion projects between 2000 and
2010, thirteen of which had a large concentration or presence of
persons of color, foreign-born persons or low-income populations
nearby.\183\ Woodburn (2017) reported on changes in communities near
airports from 1970-2010, finding suggestive evidence that at many hub
airports over time, the presence of marginalized groups residing in
close proximity to airports increased.\184\ Rissman et al. (2013)
reported that with increasing proximity to the Hartsfield-Jackson
Atlanta International Airport, exposures to particulate matter were
higher, and there were lower home values, income, education, and
percentage of white residents.\185\
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\178\ Rowangould 2013. A census of the near-roadway population:
public health and environmental justice considerations.
Transportation Research Part D 25:59-67. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2013.08.003.
\179\ Marshall et al., 2014. Prioritizing environmental justice
and equality: diesel emissions in Southern California. Environmental
Science & Technology 48: 4063-4068. https://doi.org/10.1021/es405167f.
\180\ Marshall 2008. Environmental inequality: air pollution
exposures in California's South Coast Air Basin. Atmospheric
Environment 21:5499-5503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.02.005.
\181\ Tessum et al., 2021. PM2.5 polluters
disproportionately and systemically affect people of color in the
United States. Science Advances 7:eabf4491.
\182\ Mohai et al., 2009. Environmental justice. Annual Reviews
34:405-430. Available at https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-082508-094348.
\183\ McNair 2020. Investigation of environmental justice
analysis in airport planning practice from 2000 to 2010.
Transportation Research Part D 81:102286.
\184\ Woodburn 2017. Investigating neighborhood change in
airport-adjacent communities in multiairport regions from 1970 to
2010. Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2626, 1-8.
\185\ Rissman et al., 2013. Equity and health impacts of
aircraft emissions at the Hartfield-Jackson Atlanta International
Airport. Landscape and Urban Planning, 120: 234-247.
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The EPA used two approaches to understand whether some members of
the population (e.g., children five and under, people of color,
indigenous populations, low-income populations) represent a larger
share of the people living in proximity to airports where piston-engine
aircraft operate compared with people who live farther away from these
airports. In the first approach, we evaluated people living within, and
children attending school within, 500 meters of all of the
approximately 20,000 airports in the U.S., using methods described in
the EPA's report titled ``National Analysis of the Populations Residing
Near or Attending School Near U.S. Airports.'' \186\ In the second
approach, we evaluated people living near the NPIAS airports in the
conterminous 48 states. As noted in section II.A.1. of this document,
the NPIAS airports support the majority of piston-engine aircraft
activity that occurs in the U.S. Among the NPIAS airports, we compared
the demographic composition of people living within one kilometer of
runways with the demographic composition of people living at a distance
of one to five kilometers from the same airports.
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\186\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020.
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The distances analyzed for those people living closest to airports
(i.e., distances of 500 meters and 1,000 meters) were chosen for
evaluation following from the air quality monitoring and modeling data
presented in section II.A.3. of this document. Specifically, the EPA's
modeling and monitoring data indicate that concentrations of lead from
piston-engine aircraft emissions can be elevated above background
levels at distances of 500 meters over a rolling three-month period. On
individual days, concentrations of lead from piston-engine aircraft
emissions can be elevated above background levels at distances of 1,000
meters downwind of a runway, depending on aircraft activity and
prevailing wind direction.187 188 189
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\187\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020.
\188\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (32), 5795-5804. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.017.
\189\ We do not assume or expect that all people living within
500m or 1,000m of a runway are exposed to lead from piston-engine
aircraft emissions, and the wide range of activity of piston-engine
aircraft at airports nationwide suggests that exposure to lead from
aircraft emissions is likely to vary widely.
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Because the U.S. has a dense network of airports, many of which
have neighboring communities, we quantified the number of people living
and children attending school within 500 meters of the approximately
20,000 airports in the U.S.\190\ From this analysis, the EPA estimates
that approximately 5.2 million people live within 500 meters of an
airport runway, 363,000 of whom are children aged five and under. The
EPA also estimates that 573 schools attended by 163,000 children in
kindergarten through twelfth grade are within 500 meters of an airport
runway.\191\
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\190\ In this analysis, we included populations living in census
blocks that intersected the 500-meter buffer around each runway in
the U.S. Potential uncertainties in this approach are described in
our report National Analysis of the Populations Residing Near or
Attending School Near U.S. Airports. EPA-420-R-20-001, available at
https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG4A.pdf, and in the
EPA responses to peer review comments on the report, available here:
https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YISM.pdf.
\191\ EPA (2020) National Analysis of the Populations Residing
Near or Attending School Near U.S. Airports. EPA-420-R-20-001.
Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG4A.pdf.
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In order to identify potential disparities in the near-airport
population, we also evaluated populations at the state level. Using the
U.S. Census population data for each state in the U.S., we compared the
percent of people by age, race and indigenous peoples (i.e., children
five and under, Black, Asian, and Native American or Alaska Native)
living within 500 meters of an airport runway with the percent by age,
race, and indigenous peoples comprising the state population.\192\
Using the methodology described in Clarke (2022), the EPA identified
states in which children, Black, Asian, and Native American or Alaska
Native populations represent a greater fraction of the population
living within 500 meters of a runway compared with the percent of these
groups in the state population.\193\ Results of this analysis are
presented in the following tables.\194\ This state-level analysis
presents summary information for a subset of potentially relevant
demographic characteristics. We present data in this section regarding
a wider array of demographic characteristics when evaluating
populations living near NPIAS airports.
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\192\ Clarke. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
Estimation of Population Size and Demographic Characteristics among
People Living Near Airports by State in the United States. May 31,
2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
\193\ Clarke. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
Estimation of Population Size and Demographic Characteristics among
People Living Near Airports by State in the United States. May 31,
2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
\194\ These data are presented in tabular form for all states in
this memorandum located in the docket: Clarke. Memorandum to Docket
EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Estimation of Population Size and Demographic
Characteristics among People Living Near Airports by State in the
United States. May 31, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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Among children five and under, there were three states (Nevada,
South Carolina, and South Dakota) in which the percent of children five
and under
[[Page 72387]]
living within 500 meters of a runway represents a greater fraction of
the population by a difference of one percent or greater compared with
the percent of children five and under in the state population (Table
3).
Table 3--The Population of Children Five Years and Under Within 500 Meters of an Airport Runway Compared to the
State Population of Children Five Years and Under
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent of Percent of Number of Number of
children aged children aged children aged children aged
State five years and five years and five years and five years and
under within 500 under within the under within 500 under in the
meters state meters state
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nevada.............................. 10 8 1000 224,200
South Carolina...................... 9 8 400 361,400
South Dakota........................ 11 9 3,000 71,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There were nine states in which the Black population represented a
greater fraction of the population living in the near-airport
environment by a difference of one percent or greater compared with the
state as a whole. These states were California, Kansas, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Mississippi, Nevada, South Carolina, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin (Table 4).
Table 4--The Black Population Within 500 Meters of an Airport Runway and the Black Population, by State
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent black Percent black Black population Black population
State within 500 meters within the state within 500 meters in the state
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
California.......................... 8 7 18,981 2,486,500
Kansas.............................. 8 6 1,240 173,300
Kentucky............................ 9 8 3,152 342,800
Louisiana........................... 46 32 14,669 1,463,000
Mississippi......................... 46 37 8,542 1,103,100
Nevada.............................. 12 9 1,794 231,200
South Carolina...................... 31 28 10,066 1,302,900
West Virginia....................... 10 3 1,452 63,900
Wisconsin........................... 9 6 4,869 367,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There were three states with a greater fraction of Asians in the
near-airport environment compared with the state as a whole by a
difference of one percent or greater: Indiana, Maine, and New Hampshire
(Table 5).
Table 5--The Asian Population Within 500 Meters of an Airport Runway and the Asian Population, by State
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent asian Percent asian Asian population Asian population
State within 500 meters within the state within 500 meters in the state
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indiana............................. 4 2 1,681 105,500
Maine............................... 2 1 406 13,800
New Hampshire....................... 4 2 339 29,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There were five states (Alaska, Arizona, Delaware, South Dakota,
and New Mexico) where the near-airport population had greater
representation by Native Americans and Alaska Natives compared with the
portion of the population they comprise at the state level by a
difference of one percent or greater. In Alaska, the disparity in
residential proximity to a runway was the largest: 16,020 Alaska
Natives were estimated to live within 500 meters of a runway,
representing 48 percent of the population within 500 meters of an
airport runway. In contrast, Alaska Natives comprise 15 percent of the
Alaska state population (Table 6).
[[Page 72388]]
Table 6--The Native American and Alaska Native Population Within 500 Meters of an Airport Runway and the Native
American and Alaska Native Population, by State
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Native American
Percent Native Percent Native and Alaska Native American
State American and American and Native population and Alaska
Alaska Native Alaska Native within 500 Native population
within 500 meters within the state meters in the state
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alaska.............................. 48 15 16,020 106,300
Arizona............................. 18 5 5,017 335,300
Delaware............................ 2 1 112 5,900
New Mexico.......................... 21 10 2,265 208,900
South Dakota........................ 22 9 1,606 72,800
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In a separate analysis, the EPA focused on evaluating the potential
for disparities in populations residing near the NPIAS airports. The
EPA compared the demographic composition of people living within one
kilometer of runways at 2,022 of the approximately 3,300 NPIAS airports
with the demographic composition of people living at a distance of one
to five kilometers from the same airports.195 196 In this
analysis, over one-fourth of airports (i.e., 515) were identified at
which children under five were more highly represented in the zero to
one kilometer distance compared with the percent of children under five
living one to five kilometers away (Table 7). There were 666 airports
where people of color had a greater presence in the zero to one
kilometer area closest to airport runways than in populations farther
away. There were 761 airports where people living at less than two-
times the Federal Poverty Level represented a higher proportion of the
overall population within one kilometer of airport runways compared
with the proportion of people living at less than two times the Federal
Poverty Level among people living one to five kilometers away.
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\195\ For this analysis, we evaluated the 2,022 airports with a
population of greater than 100 people inside the zero to one
kilometer distance to avoid low population counts distorting the
assessment of percent contributions of each group to the total
population within the zero to one kilometer distance.
\196\ Kamal et al., Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
Analysis of Potential Disparity in Residential Proximity to Airports
in the Conterminous United States. May 24, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-
2022-0389. Methods used are described in this memo and include the
use of block group resolution data to evaluate the representation of
different demographic groups near-airport and for those living one
to five kilometers away.
Table 7--Number of Airports (Among the 2,022 Airports Evaluated) With Disparity for Certain Demographic
Populations Within One Kilometer of an Airport Runway in Relation to the Comparison Population Between One and
Five Kilometers From an Airport Runway
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of airports with disparity
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Demographic group Total airports Disparity 5- Disparity 10-
with disparity Disparity 1-5% 10% 20% Disparity 20%+
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Children under five years of 515 507 7 1 0
age...........................
People with income less than 761 307 223 180 51
twice the Federal Poverty
Level.........................
People of Color (all non-White 666 377 126 123 40
races, ethnicities and
indigenous peoples)...........
Non-Hispanic Black............. 405 240 77 67 21
Hispanic....................... 551 402 85 47 17
Non-Hispanic Asian............. 268 243 18 4 3
Non-Hispanic Native American or 144 130 6 7 1
Alaska Native \197\...........
Non-Hispanic Hawaiian or 18 17 1 0 0
Pacific Islander..............
Non-Hispanic Other Race........ 11 11 0 0 0
Non-Hispanic Two or More Races. 226 226 0 0 0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To understand the extent of the potential disparity among the 2,022
NPIAS airports, Table 7 provides information about the distribution in
the percent differences in the proportion of children, individuals with
incomes below two times the Federal Poverty Level, and people of color
living within one kilometer of a runway compared with those living one
to five kilometers away. For children, Table 7 indicates that for the
vast majority of these airports where there is a higher percentage of
children represented in the near-airport population, differences are
relatively small (e.g., less than five percent). For the airports where
disparity is evident on the basis of poverty, race and ethnicity, the
disparities are potentially large, ranging up to 42 percent for those
with incomes below two times the Federal Poverty Level, and up to 45
percent for people of color.\198\
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\197\ This analysis of 2,022 NPIAS airports did not include
airports in Alaska.
\198\ Kamal et al., Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
Analysis of Potential Disparity in Residential Proximity to Airports
in the Conterminous United States. May 24, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-
2022-0389.
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There are uncertainties in the results provided here inherent to
the proximity-based approach used. These uncertainties include the use
of block group data to provide population numbers for each demographic
group analyzed, and uncertainties in the Census data, including from
the use of data from different analysis years (e.g., 2010 Census Data
and 2018 income data). These uncertainties are described
[[Page 72389]]
and their implications discussed in Kamal et al. (2022).\199\
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\199\ Kamal et al., Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389.
Analysis of Potential Disparity in Residential Proximity to Airports
in the Conterminous United States. May 24, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-
2022-0389.
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The data summarized in this section indicate that there is a
greater prevalence of children under five years of age, an at-risk
population for lead effects, within 500 meters or one kilometer of some
airports compared to more distant locations. This information also
indicates that there is a greater prevalence of people of color and of
low-income populations within 500 meters or one kilometer of some
airports compared with people living more distant. If such differences
were to contribute to disproportionate and adverse impacts on
particular communities, they could indicate an EJ concern. Given the
number of children in close proximity to runways, including those in
communities with EJ concerns, there is a potential for substantial
implications for children's health, depending on lead exposure levels
and associated risk.
Some commenters on the proposed findings expressed concern that
communities in close proximity to general aviation airports are often
low-income communities and communities of color who are
disproportionately burdened by lead exposure.\200\ Some commenters also
noted that children who attend school near airports may experience
higher levels of exposure compared with children who attend school more
distant from an airport, and they cite recent research reporting higher
blood lead levels in children who attend school near one highly active
general aviation airport.\201\ The EPA responds to these comments in
the Response to Comments document for this action.
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\200\ During the public comment period on the proposed findings
for this action, commenters provided an additional evaluation of
populations living near airports that they conclude to indicate that
disparity by race and income is larger and occurs more frequently at
airports that have the highest lead emissions and the highest
residential population density compared with airports where less
lead is emitted and population density is lower. This comment is
available in the docket at regulations.gov: EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389-
0238.
\201\ Zahran et al., 2022. Leaded Aviation Gasoline Exposure
Risk and Child Blood Lead Levels. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences Nexus. 2:1-11.
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B. Federal Actions To Reduce Lead Exposure
The Federal Government has a longstanding commitment to programs to
reduce exposure to lead, particularly for children. In December 2018,
the President's Task Force on Environmental Health Risks and Safety
Risks to Children released the Federal Action Plan to Reduce Childhood
Lead Exposures and Associated Health Impacts (Federal Lead Action
Plan), detailing the Federal Government's commitments and actions to
reduce lead exposure in children, some of which are described in this
section.\202\ Building on the 2018 Federal Lead Action Plan, in October
2022, the EPA finalized its Strategy to Reduce Lead Exposures and
Disparities in U.S. Communities (Lead Strategy).\203\ The Lead Strategy
describes the EPA-wide and government-wide approaches to strengthen
public health protections, address legacy lead contamination for
communities with the greatest exposures, and promote environmental
justice. In this section, we describe some of the EPA's actions to
reduce lead exposures from air, water, lead-based paint, and
contaminated sites.
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\202\ Federal Lead Action Plan to Reduce Childhood Lead
Exposures and Associated Health Impacts. (2018) President's Task
Force on Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks to Children.
Available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/fedactionplan_lead_final.pdf.
\203\ EPA (2022) EPA Strategy to Reduce Lead Exposures and
Disparities in U.S. Communities. EPA 540R22006. Available at https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-11/Lead%20Strategy_1.pdf.
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In 1976, the EPA listed lead under CAA section 108, making it what
is called a ``criteria air pollutant.'' \204\ Once lead was listed, the
EPA issued primary and secondary NAAQS under sections 109(b)(1) and
(2), respectively. The EPA issued the first NAAQS for lead in 1978 and
revised the lead NAAQS in 2008 by reducing the level of the standard
from 1.5 micrograms per cubic meter to 0.15 micrograms per cubic meter
and revising the averaging time and form to an average over a
consecutive three-month period, as described in 40 CFR 50.16.\205\ The
EPA's 2016 Federal Register document describes the Agency's decision to
retain the existing Lead NAAQS.\206\ The Lead NAAQS is currently
undergoing review.\207\ \208\
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\204\ 41 FR 14921 (April 8, 1976). See also, e.g., 81 FR 71910
(Oct. 18, 2016) for a description of the history of the listing
decision for lead under CAA section 108.
\205\ 73 FR 66965 (Nov. 12, 2008).
\206\ 81 FR 71912-71913 (Oct. 18, 2016).
\207\ Documents pertaining to the current review of the NAAQS
for Lead can be found here: https://www.epa.gov/naaqs/lead-pb-air-quality-standards.
\208\ The EPA released the ISA for Lead, External Review Draft,
as part of the Agency's current review of the science regarding
health and welfare effects of lead. EPA/600/R-23/061. This draft
assessment is undergoing peer review by the Clean Air Scientific
Advisory Committee (CASAC) and public comment, and is available at:
https://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/isa/recordisplay.cfm?deid=357282.
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States are primarily responsible for ensuring attainment and
maintenance of the NAAQS. Under section 110 of the Act and related
provisions, states are to submit, for the EPA's review and, if
appropriate, approval, state implementation plans that provide for the
attainment and maintenance of such standards through control programs
directed to sources of the pollutants involved.
Additional EPA programs to address lead in the environment include
the prohibition on gasoline containing lead or lead additives for
highway use under section 211 of the Act; the new source performance
standards under section 111 of the Act; and emissions standards for
solid waste incineration units and the national emission standards for
hazardous air pollutants (NESHAP) under sections 129 and 112 of the
Act, respectively.
The EPA has taken a number of actions associated with these air
pollution control programs, including completion of several regulations
requiring reductions in lead emissions from stationary sources
regulated under the CAA sections 111, 112 and 129. For example, in
January 2012, the EPA updated the NESHAP for the secondary lead
smelting source category.\209\ These amendments to the original maximum
achievable control technology standards apply to facilities nationwide
that use furnaces to recover lead from lead-bearing scrap, mainly from
automobile batteries. Regulations completed in 2013 for commercial and
industrial solid waste incineration units also require reductions in
lead emissions.\210\ In February 2023, the EPA finalized amendments to
the NSPS (as a new subpart) and the Area Source NESHAP for the Lead
Acid Battery Manufacturing source category.\211\ The amendments to the
standards for affected processes including grid casting, lead
reclamation, and paste mixing operations at lead acid battery
facilities will result in reductions in lead emissions and improvements
in compliance assurance measures.
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\209\ 77 FR 555 (Jan. 5, 2012).
\210\ 78 FR 9112 (Feb. 7, 2013).
\211\ 88 FR 11556 (Feb. 23, 2023).
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A broad range of Federal programs beyond those that focus on air
pollution control provide for nationwide reductions in environmental
releases and human exposures to lead. For example, pursuant to section
1417 of the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA), any pipe, pipe or plumbing
fitting or fixture, solder, or flux may not be used in new
installations or repairs of any public water system or plumbing in a
[[Page 72390]]
residential or non-residential facility providing water for human
consumption or introduced into commerce (except uses for manufacturing
or industrial purposes) unless it is considered ``lead free'' as
defined by that Act.\212\ The EPA's Lead and Copper Rule,\213\ first
promulgated in 1991, regulates lead in public drinking water systems
through a treatment technique that requires water systems to monitor
drinking water at customer taps and, if an action level is exceeded,
undertake a number of actions including those to control corrosion to
minimize lead exposure.\214\ On January 15, 2021, the agency published
the most recent revisions, the Lead and Copper Rule Revisions
(LCRR),\215\ and subsequently reviewed the rule in accordance with
Executive Order 13990.\216\ While the LCRR took effect in December
2021, the agency concluded that there are significant opportunities to
improve the LCRR.\217\ The EPA is developing a new proposed rule, the
Lead and Copper Rule Improvements (LCRI),\218\ to further strengthen
the lead drinking water regulations. The EPA identified priority
improvements for the LCRI: proactive and equitable lead service line
replacement (LSLR), strengthening compliance tap sampling to better
identify communities most at risk of lead in drinking water and to
compel lead reduction actions, and reducing the complexity of the
regulation through improvement of the action and trigger level
construct.\219\ The EPA intends to propose and promulgate the LCRI
prior to October 16, 2024.
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\212\ Effective in Jan. 2014, the amount of lead permitted in
pipes, fittings, and fixtures was lowered. See, section 1417 of the
Safe Drinking Water Act: Prohibition on Use of Lead Pipes, Solder,
and Flux at https://www.epa.gov/sdwa/use-lead-free-pipes-fittings-fixtures-solder-and-flux-drinking-water.
\213\ 40 CFR part 141, subpart I (June 7, 1991).
\214\ 40 CFR part 141, subpart I (June 7, 1991).
\215\ 86 FR 4198. (Jan. 15, 2021).
\216\ E.O. 13990. Protecting Public Health and the Environment
and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis. 86 FR 7037 (Jan.
20, 2021).
\217\ 86 FR 31939 (Dec. 17, 2021).
\218\ See https://www.epa.gov/ground-water-and-drinking-water/review-national-primary-drinking-water-regulation-lead-and-copper.
Accessed on Nov. 30, 2021.
\219\ 86 FR 31939 (Dec. 17, 2021).
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While the EPA continues to improve regulatory actions to reduce
lead exposure in drinking water, the EPA recognizes that directly
assisting states and communities and providing dedicated funding
provided in the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law for lead service line
identification and replacement of full lead service lines (LSLs) is
also important in safeguarding public health. The EPA is providing $15
billion through the Drinking Water State Revolving Fund (DWSRF)
dedicated exclusively to lead service line identification and
replacement. In addition, $11.7 billion in DWSRF general supplemental
funding, provided by the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, is going to
projects to improve drinking water quality, including those to reduce
lead in drinking water. For this funding, states are required to
provide 49% as additional subsidization in the form of principal
forgiveness and/or grants. States must provide additional subsidization
to water systems that meet the state's disadvantaged community criteria
as described in section 1452(d) of SDWA, furthering the objectives of
the Justice40 Initiative. In October 2022, the EPA announced projects
selected to receive over $30 million in grant funding that will help
communities and schools address lead in drinking water and remove lead
pipes across the country in underserved and other disadvantaged
communities through the Water Infrastructure Improvements for the
Nation Act's Reducing Lead in Drinking Water grant program. The EPA
recently announced the Lead Service Line Replacement Accelerators
initiative which will provide targeted technical assistance to
communities in Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Wisconsin to
support expanded access to funding and to accelerate lead pipe
replacement. While the EPA is focusing initial efforts in four states,
the Agency anticipates this work will serve as a roadmap for additional
lead service line replacement efforts across the nation in the future.
Federal programs to reduce exposure to lead in paint, dust, and
soil are specified under the comprehensive Federal regulatory framework
developed under the Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard Reduction Act
(Title X). Under Title X (codified, in part, as Title IV of the Toxic
Substances Control Act [TSCA]), the EPA has established regulations and
associated programs in six categories: (1) Training, certification and
work practice requirements for persons engaged in lead-based paint
activities (abatement, inspection and risk assessment); accreditation
of training providers; and authorization of state and Tribal lead-based
paint programs; (2) training, certification, and work practice
requirements for persons engaged in home renovation, repair and
painting (RRP) activities; accreditation of RRP training providers; and
authorization of state and Tribal RRP programs; (3) ensuring that, for
most housing constructed before 1978, information about lead-based
paint and lead-based paint hazards flows from sellers to purchasers,
from landlords to tenants, and from renovators to owners and occupants;
(4) establishing standards for identifying dangerous levels of lead in
paint, dust and soil; (5) providing grant funding to establish and
maintain state and Tribal lead-based paint programs; and (6) providing
information on lead hazards to the public, including steps that people
can take to protect themselves and their families from lead-based paint
hazards.
The most recent rules issued under Title IV of TSCA revised the
dust-lead hazard standards (DLHS) and dust-lead clearance levels (DLCL)
which were established in a 2001 final rule entitled ``Identification
of Dangerous Levels of Lead.'' \220\ The DLHS are incorporated into the
requirements and risk assessment work practice standards in the EPA's
Lead-Based Paint Activities Rule, codified at 40 CFR part 745, subpart
L. They provide the basis for risk assessors to determine whether dust-
lead hazards are present in target housing (i.e., most pre-1978
housing) and child-occupied facilities (pre-1978 nonresidential
properties where children 6 years of age or under spend a significant
amount of time such as daycare centers and kindergartens). If dust-lead
hazards are present, the risk assessor will identify acceptable options
for controlling the hazards in the respective property, which may
include abatements and/or interim controls. In July 2019, the EPA
published a final rule revising the DLHS from 40 micrograms per square
foot and 250 micrograms per square foot to 10 micrograms per square
foot and 100 micrograms per square foot of lead in dust on floors and
windowsills, respectively.\221\ The DLCL are used to evaluate the
effectiveness of a cleaning following an abatement. If the dust-lead
levels are not below the clearance levels, the components (i.e.,
floors, windowsills, troughs) represented by the failed sample(s) shall
be recleaned and retested. In January 2021, the EPA published a final
rule revising the DLCL to match the DLHS, lowering them from 40
micrograms per square foot and 250 micrograms per square foot to 10
micrograms per square foot and 100 micrograms per square foot on floors
and windowsills, respectively.\222\ The EPA is now reconsidering the
2019 and 2021 rules in accordance with Executive Order 13990 \223\ and
in response to a
[[Page 72391]]
May 2021 decision by U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit. In
August 2023, EPA proposed updating the DLHS and DLCL again.\224\ If
finalized as proposed, the DLHS for floors and window sills would be
any reportable level greater than zero, as analyzed by any laboratory
recognized by EPA's National Lead Laboratory Accreditation Program. The
new DLCL would be 3 micrograms per square foot ([mu]g/ft\2\) for
floors, 20 [mu]g/ft\2\ for window sills and 25 [mu]g/ft\2\ for window
troughs.
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\220\ 66 FR 1206 (Jan. 5, 2001).
\221\ 84 FR 32632 (July 9, 2019).
\222\ 86 FR 983 (Jan. 7, 2021).
\223\ 86 FR 7037 (Jan. 20, 2021).
\224\ 88 FR 50444 (August 1, 2023).
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Programs associated with the Comprehensive Environmental Response,
Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA or Superfund) \225\ and
Resource Conservation Recovery Act (RCRA) \226\ also implement removal
and remedial response programs that reduce or abate exposures to
releases or threatened releases of lead and other hazardous substances.
Furthermore, CERCLA section 104(a)(1) authorizes the EPA and other
Federal agencies to respond to releases or threatened releases of
pollutants or contaminants when the release, or potential release, may
present an imminent and substantial danger to the public health or
welfare. In addition, CERCLA section 104(a)(1) and the National Oil and
Hazardous Substances Pollution Contingency Plan (NCP) authorize
remedial investigations (e.g., monitoring, testing, information
collection) and removal actions for hazardous substances, pollutants,
or contaminants.
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\225\ For more information about the EPA's CERCLA program, see
https://www.epa.gov/superfund.
\226\ For more information about the EPA's RCRA program, see
https://www.epa.gov/rcra.
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The EPA develops and implements protective levels for lead in soil
(and other media when appropriate) at Superfund sites and, together
with states, at RCRA corrective action facilities. The Office of Land
and Emergency Management develops policy and guidance for addressing
multimedia lead contamination and determining appropriate response
actions at lead-contaminated sites. Federal programs, including those
implementing RCRA, provide for management of hazardous substances such
as lead in hazardous and municipal solid waste (e.g., 50 FR 28702, July
15, 1985; 52 FR 45788, December 1, 1987).
C. Lead Endangerment Petitions for Rulemaking and the EPA Responses
The Administrator's final findings further respond to several
citizen petitions on this subject, including the following: petition
for rulemaking submitted by Friends of the Earth in 2006, petition for
rulemaking submitted by Friends of the Earth, Oregon Aviation Watch and
Physicians for Social Responsibility in 2012, petition for
reconsideration submitted by Friends of the Earth, Oregon Aviation
Watch, and Physicians for Social Responsibility in 2014, and petition
for rulemaking from Alaska Community Action on Toxics, Center for
Environmental Health, Friends of the Earth, Montgomery-Gibbs
Environmental Coalition, Oregon Aviation Watch, the County of Santa
Clara, CA, and the Town of Middleton, WI, in 2021. These petitions and
the EPA's responses are described more fully in the proposal for this
action.227 228
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\227\ See https://www.epa.gov/regulations-emissions-vehicles-and-engines/petitions-and-epa-response-memorandums-related-lead.
\228\ 87 FR 62772 (Oct. 17, 2022).
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In the most recent of these petitions, submitted in 2021, Alaska
Community Action on Toxics, Center for Environmental Health, Friends of
the Earth, Montgomery-Gibbs Environmental Coalition, Oregon Aviation
Watch, the County of Santa Clara, CA, and the Town of Middleton, WI,
again petitioned the EPA to conduct a proceeding under CAA section 231
regarding whether lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft cause or
contribute to air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health or welfare.\229\ The EPA responded in 2022
noting our intent to develop a proposal under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A)
regarding whether lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft cause or
contribute to air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health or welfare, and, after evaluating public
comments on the proposal, issue any final determination in 2023, as the
Agency is doing in this action.\230\
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\229\ The 2021 petition is available at https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-01/aviation-leaded-avgas-petition-exhibits-final-2021-10-12.pdf.
\230\ EPA's response to the 2021 petition is available at
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-01/ltr-response-aircraft-lead-petitions-aug-oct-2022-01-12.pdf.
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III. Legal Framework for This Action
In this action, the EPA is finalizing two separate determinations--
an endangerment finding and a cause or contribute finding--under
section 231(a)(2)(A) of the Clean Air Act. The EPA has, most recently,
finalized such findings under CAA section 231 for greenhouse gases
(GHGs) in 2016 (2016 Findings), and in that action the EPA provided a
detailed explanation of the legal framework for making such findings
and the statutory interpretations and caselaw supporting its
approach.\231\ In this final action, the Administrator used the same
approach of applying a two-part test under section 231(a)(2)(A) as
described in the 2016 Findings and relied on the same interpretations
supporting that approach, which are briefly described in this section,
and set forth in greater detail in the 2016 Findings.\232\ This is also
the same approach that the EPA used in making endangerment and cause or
contribute findings for GHGs under section 202(a) of the CAA in 2009
(2009 Findings),\233\ which was affirmed by the U.S. Court of Appeals
for the D.C. Circuit in 2012.\234\ As explained further in the 2016
Findings, the text of the CAA section 231(a)(2)(A), which concerns
aircraft emissions, mirrors the text of CAA section 202(a), which
concerns motor vehicle emissions and which was the basis for the 2009
Findings.235 236 Accordingly, for the same reasons as
discussed in the 2016 Findings, the EPA believes it is reasonable to
use the same approach under section 231(a)(2)(A)'s similar text as was
used under section 202(a) for the 2009 Findings, and it is acting
consistently with that framework for purposes of these final findings
under section 231.\237\ As this approach has
[[Page 72392]]
been previously discussed at length in the 2016 Findings, as well as in
the 2009 Findings, the EPA provides only a brief description in this
final action.
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\231\ 81 FR 54422-54475 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\232\ See e.g., 81 FR 55434-54440 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\233\ 74 FR 66505-66510 (Dec. 15, 2009).
\234\ Coalition for Responsible Regulation, Inc. v. EPA, 684
F.3d 102 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (CRR) (rev'd in part on other grounds sub
nom. Utility Air Regulatory Group v. EPA, 573 U.S. 302 (2014)). As
discussed in greater detail in the 2016 Findings, the Supreme Court
granted some of the petitions for certiorari that were filed on CRR,
while denying others, but agreed to decide only the question:
``Whether EPA permissibly determined that its regulation of
greenhouse gas emissions from new motor vehicles triggered
permitting requirements under the Clean Air Act for stationary
sources that emit greenhouse gases.'' 81 FR 54422, 54442 (Aug. 15,
2016). Thus, the Supreme Court did not disturb the D.C. Circuit's
holding in CRR that affirmed the 2009 Endangerment Finding.
\235\ For example, the text in CAA section 202(a) that was the
basis for the 2009 Findings addresses ``the emission of any air
pollutant from any class or classes of new motor vehicles or new
motor vehicle engines, which in [the Administrator's] judgment
cause, or contribute to, air pollution which may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.'' Similarly,
section 231(a)(2)(A) concerns ``the emission of any air pollutant
from any class or classes of aircraft engines which in [the
Administrator's] judgment causes, or contributes to, air pollution
which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or
welfare.'' Additional discussion of the parallels in the statutory
text and legislative history between CAA section 202(a) and
231(a)(2)(A) can be found in the 2016 Findings. See 81 FR 55434--
55437 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\236\ 81 FR 55434 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\237\ 81 FR 55434 (Aug. 15, 2016).
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A. Statutory Text and Basis for This Action
Section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA provides that the ``Administrator
shall, from time to time, issue proposed emission standards applicable
to the emission of any air pollutant from any class or classes of
aircraft engines which in his judgment causes, or contributes to, air
pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health
or welfare.'' \238\ In this action, the EPA is addressing the predicate
for regulatory action under CAA section 231 through a two-part test,
which as noted previously, is the same as the test used in the 2016
Findings under section 231 and in the 2009 Findings under section 202
of the CAA.
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\238\ Regarding ``welfare,'' the CAA states that ``[a]ll
language referring to effects on welfare includes, but is not
limited to, effects on soils, water, crops, vegetation, manmade
materials, animals, wildlife, weather, visibility, and climate,
damage to and deterioration of property, and hazards to
transportation, as well as effects on economic values and on
personal comfort and well-being, whether caused by transformation,
conversion, or combination with other air pollutants.'' CAA section
302(h). Regarding ``public health,'' there is no definition of
``public health'' in the Clean Air Act. The Supreme Court has
discussed the concept of ``public health'' in the context of whether
costs can be considered when setting NAAQS. Whitman v. American
Trucking Ass'n, 531 U.S. 457 (2001). In Whitman, the Court imbued
the term with its most natural meaning: ``the health of the
public.'' Id. at 466.
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As the first step of the two-part test, the Administrator must
decide whether, in his judgment, the air pollution under consideration
may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare. As
the second step, the Administrator must decide whether, in his
judgment, emissions of an air pollutant from certain classes of
aircraft engines cause or contribute to this air pollution. If the
Administrator answers both questions in the affirmative, he will issue
standards under section 231.\239\
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\239\ See Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497, 533 (2007)
(interpreting an analogous provision in CAA section 202).
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In accordance with the EPA's interpretation of the text of section
231(a)(2)(A), as described in the 2016 Findings, the phrase ``may
reasonably be anticipated'' and the term ``endanger'' in section
231(a)(2)(A) authorize, if not require, the Administrator to act to
prevent harm and to act in conditions of uncertainty.\240\ They do not
limit him to merely reacting to harm or to acting only when certainty
has been achieved; indeed, the references to anticipation and to
endangerment imply that the failure to look to the future or to less
than certain risks would be to abjure the Administrator's statutory
responsibilities. As the D.C. Circuit explained, the language ``may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare'' in CAA
section 202(a) requires a ``precautionary, forward-looking scientific
judgment about the risks of a particular air pollutant, consistent with
the CAA's precautionary and preventive orientation.'' \241\ The court
determined that ``[r]equiring that the EPA find `certain' endangerment
of public health or welfare before regulating greenhouse gases would
effectively prevent the EPA from doing the job that Congress gave it in
[section] 202(a)--utilizing emission standards to prevent reasonably
anticipated endangerment from maturing into concrete harm.'' \242\ The
same language appears in section 231(a)(2)(A), and the same
interpretation applies in that context.
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\240\ See 81 FR 54435 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\241\ CRR, 684 F.3d at 122 (internal citations omitted) (June
26, 2012).
\242\ CRR, 684 F.3d at 122 (internal citations omitted) (June
26, 2012).
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Moreover, by instructing the Administrator to consider whether
emissions of an air pollutant cause or contribute to air pollution in
the second part of the two-part test, the Act makes clear that he need
not find that emissions from any one sector or class of sources are the
sole or even the major part of the air pollution considered. This is
clearly indicated by the use of the term ``contribute.'' Further, the
phrase ``in his judgment'' authorizes the Administrator to weigh risks
and to consider projections of future possibilities, while also
recognizing uncertainties and extrapolating from existing data.
Finally, when exercising his judgment in making both the
endangerment and cause-or-contribute findings, the Administrator
balances the likelihood and severity of effects. Notably, the phrase
``in his judgment'' modifies both ``may reasonably be anticipated'' and
``cause or contribute.''
Often, past endangerment and cause or contribute findings have been
proposed concurrently with proposed standards under various sections of
the CAA, including section 231.\243\ Comment has been taken on these
proposed findings as part of the notice and comment process for the
emission standards.\244\ However, there is no requirement that the
Administrator propose or finalize the endangerment and cause or
contribute findings concurrently with proposed standards and, most
recently under section 231, the EPA made endangerment and cause or
contribute findings for GHGs separate from, and prior to, proceeding to
set standards.
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\243\ 81 FR 54425 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\244\ See, e.g., Rulemaking for non-road compression-ignition
engines under section 213(a)(4) of the CAA, Proposed Rule at 58 FR
28809, 28813-14 (May 17, 1993), Final Rule at 59 FR 31306, 31318
(June 17, 1994); Rulemaking for highway heavy-duty diesel engines
and diesel sulfur fuel under sections 202(a) and 211(c) of the CAA,
Proposed Rule at 65 FR 35430 (June 2, 2000), and Final Rule at 66 FR
5002 (Jan. 18, 2001).
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As noted in the proposal,\245\ the Administrator is applying the
procedural provisions of CAA section 307(d) to this action, pursuant to
CAA section 307(d)(1)(V), which provides that the provisions of 307(d)
apply to ``such other actions as the Administrator may determine.''
\246\ Any subsequent standard-setting rulemaking under CAA section 231
would also be subject to the procedures under CAA section 307(d), as
provided in CAA section 307(d)(1)(F) (applying the provisions of CAA
section 307(d) to the promulgation or revision of any aircraft emission
standard under CAA section 231). Thus, these final findings are subject
to the same procedural requirements that would apply if the final
findings were part of a standard-setting rulemaking.
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\245\ 87 FR 62773-62774 (Oct. 17, 2022).
\246\ As the Administrator is applying the provisions of CAA
section 307(d) to this action under section 307(d)(1)(V), we need
not determine whether those provisions would apply to this action
under section 307(d)(1)(F).
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B. Considerations for the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Analyses
Under Section 231(a)(2)(A)
In the context of this final action, the EPA understands section
231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA to call for the Administrator to exercise his
judgment and make two separate determinations: first, whether the
relevant kind of air pollution (here, lead air pollution) may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare, and
second, whether emissions of any air pollutant from classes of the
sources in question (here, any aircraft engine that is capable of using
leaded aviation gasoline), cause or contribute to this air
pollution.\247\
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\247\ See CRR, 684 F.3d at 117 (explaining two-part analysis
under section 202(a)) (June 26, 2012).
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This analysis entails a scientific judgment by the Administrator
about the potential risks posed by lead emissions to public health and
welfare. In this final action, the EPA used the same approach in making
scientific judgments regarding endangerment as it has previously
described in the 2016
[[Page 72393]]
Findings, and its analysis was guided by the same five principles that
guided the Administrator's analysis in those Findings.\248\
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\248\ See, e.g., 81 FR 54434-55435 (Aug. 15, 2016).
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Similarly, the EPA took the same approach to the cause or
contribute analysis as was previously explained in the 2016
Findings.\249\ For example, as previously noted, section 231(a)(2)(A)'s
instruction to consider whether emissions of an air pollutant cause or
contribute to air pollution makes clear that the Administrator need not
find that emissions from any one sector or class of sources are the
sole or even the major part of an air pollution problem.\250\ Moreover,
like the language in CAA section 202(a) that governed the 2009
Findings, the statutory language in section 231(a)(2)(A) does not
contain a modifier on its use of the term ``contribute.'' \251\ Unlike
other CAA provisions, it does not require ``significant'' contribution.
Compare, e.g., CAA sections 111(b); 213(a)(2), (4). Congress made it
clear that the Administrator is to exercise his judgment in determining
contribution, and authorized regulatory controls to address air
pollution even if the air pollution problem results from a wide variety
of sources.\252\ While the endangerment test looks at the air pollution
being considered as a whole and the risks it poses, the cause or
contribute test is designed to authorize the EPA to identify and then
address what may well be many different sectors, classes, or groups of
sources that are each part of the problem.\253\
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\249\ See, e.g., 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\250\ See, e.g., 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\251\ See, e.g., 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\252\ See 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\253\ See 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
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Moreover, as the EPA has previously explained, the Administrator
has ample discretion in exercising his reasonable judgment and
determining whether, under the circumstances presented, the cause or
contribute criterion has been met.\254\ As noted in the 2016 Findings,
in addressing provisions in section 202(a), the D.C. Circuit has
explained that the Act at the endangerment finding step did not require
the EPA to identify a precise numerical value or ``a minimum threshold
of risk or harm before determining whether an air pollutant
endangers.'' \255\ Accordingly, the EPA ``may base an endangerment
finding on `a lesser risk of greater harm . . . or a greater risk of
lesser harm' or any combination in between.'' \256\ As the language in
section 231(a)(2)(A) is analogous to that in section 202(a), it is
reasonable to apply this interpretation to the endangerment
determination under section 231(a)(2)(A).\257\ Moreover, the logic
underlying this interpretation supports the general principle that
under CAA section 231 the EPA is not required to identify a specific
minimum threshold of contribution from potentially subject source
categories in determining whether their emissions ``cause or
contribute'' to the endangering air pollution.\258\ The reasonableness
of this principle is further supported by the fact that section 231
does not impose on the EPA a requirement to find that such contribution
is ``significant,'' let alone the sole or major cause of the
endangering air pollution.\259\
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\254\ See 81 FR 54437-54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\255\ CRR, 684 F.3d at 122-123 (June 26, 2012).
\256\ CRR, 684 F.3d at 122-123. (quoting Ethyl Corp., 541 F.2d
at 18) (June 26, 2012).
\257\ 81 FR 54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\258\ 81 FR 54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\259\ 81 FR 54438 (Aug. 15, 2016).
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Finally, as also described in the 2016 Findings, there are a number
of possible ways of assessing whether air pollutants cause or
contribute to the air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health and welfare, and no single approach is required
or has been used exclusively in previous cause or contribute
determinations under title II of the CAA.\260\
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\260\ See 81 FR 54462 (Aug. 15, 2016).
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C. Regulatory Authority for Emission Standards
Though the EPA is not proposing standards in this final action, in
issuing these final findings, the EPA becomes subject to a duty under
CAA section 231 regarding emission standards applicable to emissions of
lead from aircraft engines. As noted in section III.A. of this
document, section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA directs the Administrator of
the EPA to propose and promulgate emission standards applicable to the
emission of any air pollutant from classes of aircraft engines which in
his or her judgment causes or contributes to air pollution that may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.
CAA section 231(a)(2)(B) further directs the EPA to consult with
the Administrator of the FAA on such standards, and it prohibits the
EPA from changing aircraft emission standards if such a change would
significantly increase noise and adversely affect safety. CAA section
231(a)(3) provides that after we provide an opportunity for a public
hearing on standards, the Administrator shall issue standards ``with
such modifications as he deems appropriate.'' In addition, under CAA
section 231(b), the effective date of any standards shall provide the
necessary time to permit the development and application of the
requisite technology, giving appropriate consideration to the cost of
compliance, as determined by the EPA in consultation with the U.S.
Department of Transportation (DOT).
Once the EPA adopts standards, CAA section 232 then directs the
Secretary of DOT to prescribe regulations to ensure compliance with the
EPA's standards. Finally, section 233 of the CAA vests the authority to
promulgate emission standards for aircraft or aircraft engines only in
the Federal Government. States are preempted from adopting or enforcing
any standard respecting aircraft or aircraft engine emissions unless
such standard is identical to the EPA's standards.\261\
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\261\ CAA section 233.
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D. Response to Certain Comments on the Legal Framework for This Action
In commenting on the legal framework for this action, some
commenters assert that the EPA does have authority under CAA section
231(a)(2)(A) to both find that lead air pollution may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger the public health and welfare and to find that
engine emissions of lead from certain aircraft cause or contribute to
the lead air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger
the public health and welfare. We agree with these comments.
Other commenters assert that the EPA does not have the legal
authority to proceed with this proposal or regulate aviation fuel.
These commenters state that Congress excluded aircraft from the CAA of
1970, that the EPA does not have authority to regulate aircraft fuel
(citing a regulatory definition of ``transportation fuel'' in 40 CFR
80.1401) and that aircraft are not motor vehicles (citing a regulatory
definition of ``motor vehicles'' in 40 CFR 85.1703). These commenters
say that the definitions of transportation fuel and motor vehicles were
not changed through 1977 or 1990 amendments to the CAA. Additionally,
commenters assert that the ``EPA points to findings for Green House
Gases (GHGs) under section 202(a) supportive of its proposed
authority,'' quoting that section and emphasizing the terms ``new motor
vehicles'' and ``new motor vehicle engines'' which are used in it.
In response, the EPA notes that these commenters have fundamentally
misunderstood the nature of this action and the legal authority upon
which it relies. These final findings do not
[[Page 72394]]
establish regulatory standards for leaded avgas, nor are they related
in any way to the regulatory definitions of transportation fuels in 40
CFR 80.1401 or of motor vehicles in 40 CFR 85.1703, which implement EPA
programs under Part A of Title II of the CAA and do not apply to
aircraft that are governed by Part B of Title II. EPA's regulatory
provisions implementing Title II Part B and related to air pollution
from aircraft are found in 40 CFR parts 87, 1030, and 1031. The EPA's
authority for this action is not based on its authority to regulate
fuels under CAA section 211 or its authority to regulate motor vehicles
or motor vehicle engines under CAA section 202(a). Rather, the EPA's
authority for this action comes from CAA section 231(a)(2). Further,
this action is focused on the threshold endangerment and cause or
contribute criteria, which are being undertaken in proceedings that are
separate and distinct from any follow-on regulatory action; no
regulatory provisions were proposed and none are being finalized in
this action.
In response to the claims that aircraft are excluded from the CAA
and that the EPA does not have authority to conduct this endangerment
and cause or contribute finding, we disagree. As described in the
proposal, the EPA is acting under the express authority prescribed by
Congress in section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA, which, as amended,
provides that the Administrator ``shall, from time to time, issue
proposed emission standards applicable to the emission of any air
pollutant from any class or classes of aircraft engines which in his
judgment causes, or contributes to, air pollution which may reasonably
be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.'' The D.C. Circuit
recognized EPA's authority to promulgate emission standards applicable
to air pollutants from aircraft engines under CAA section 231 in
National Association of Clean Air Agencies v. EPA, 489 F.3d 1221 (D.C.
Cir. 2007) (``NACAA''). Similarly, in the 1970 amendments to the CAA,
section 231(a)(2) provided that the Administrator ``shall issue
proposed emission standards applicable to emissions of any air
pollutant from any class or classes of aircraft or aircraft engines
which in his judgment cause or contribute to or are likely to cause or
contribute to air pollution which endangers the public health or
welfare.'' Public Law 91-604. Thus, the statement in the comment that
the 1970 CAA excluded aircraft is incorrect.\262\ Further, the EPA has
previously made endangerment and cause or contribute findings related
to emissions from aircraft engines under section 231 of the CAA.
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\262\ The change to the current language in section 231(a)(2)
occurred in 1977, see Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977, Public Law
95-95, 91 Stat. 685, 791 (1977).
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As explained in the proposal, and in section III. above, in this
action the Administrator is using the same approach of applying a two-
part test under section 231(a)(2)(A) as described in the finalized
endangerment and cause or contribute findings under CAA section 231 for
greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from aircraft in 2016.\263\ We
further explained that this approach is the same approach that the EPA
used in making endangerment and cause and contribute findings for GHGs
under section 202(a) of the CAA in 2009 (2009 Findings), which is
reasonable in light of the parallels of the language and structure
between sections 231(a)(2)(A) and 202(a)(1) of the CAA.\264\ Some
comments misconstrued EPA's discussion of section 202(a) in the
proposal to infer that EPA was relying on its authority under section
202(a) in this action. That is not the case. While using the same
approach as in the 2009 Findings, the EPA is not acting under the
authority of section 202(a) in making these final findings, but rather,
is relying on the authority under section 231(a)(2)(A) as described
herein, which expressly authorizes regulation of emissions of air
pollutants from aircraft engines which the Administrator judges to
cause or contribute to air pollution which may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.
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\263\ See e.g., 81 FR 55434-54440 (Aug. 15, 2016).
\264\ 74 FR 66496, 66505-10 (Dec. 15, 2009); see also Coalition
for Responsible Regulation, Inc. v. EPA, 684 F.3d 102 (D.C. Cir.
2012) (CRR) (subsequent history omitted) (affirming EPA's approach
in the 2009 Findings).
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Additional commenters state that they are opposed to any rulemaking
that could lead to the elimination of leaded avgas before a
comparatively priced substitute fuel is available for widespread use.
As an initial matter, the EPA notes that, as described in section
III.A. of this document, in this action, the EPA is addressing the
predicate to regulatory action under CAA section 231 through a two-part
test. In the first step of the two-part test, the Administrator must
decide whether, in his judgment, the air pollution under consideration
may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare. As
the second step, the Administrator must decide whether, in his
judgment, emissions of an air pollutant from certain classes of
aircraft engines cause or contribute to this air pollution. If the
Administrator answers both questions in the affirmative, as he is doing
here, the EPA becomes subject to a duty to propose and promulgate
standards under section 231, but the EPA is not proposing or
promulgating any standards in this action. These commenters have
concerns regarding the cost and availability of unleaded fuels that
might be required to meet a future emission standard for lead. To
reiterate, the EPA is not proposing or promulgating any standards in
this action, nor is the EPA reaching any conclusions about the possible
elimination of leaded avgas or the cost or availability of
comparatively priced substitute fuels; those issues will be addressed,
if at all, only in a future standard-setting rulemaking. As for future
standards, the delegation of authority in CAA section 231 to the EPA
``is both explicit and extraordinarily broad,'' NACAA, 489 F.3d at
1229, and ``confer[s] broad discretion to the [EPA] Administrator to
weigh various factors in arriving at appropriate standards,'' id. at
1230. However, as described in section III.C. of this document, CAA
section 231(a)(2)(B) directs the EPA to consult with the Administrator
of the FAA on such standards, and it prohibits the EPA from changing
aircraft emission standards if such a change would significantly
increase noise and adversely affect safety. Further, under CAA section
231(b), the effective date of any standards shall provide the necessary
time to permit the development and application of the requisite
technology, giving appropriate consideration to the cost of compliance,
as determined by the EPA in consultation with the U.S. Department of
Transportation (DOT).
IV. The Final Endangerment Finding Under CAA Section 231
In this action, the Administrator finds that lead air pollution may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public health and welfare
within the meaning of CAA section 231(a)(2)(A). This section discusses
both the public health and welfare aspects of the endangerment finding
and describes the scientific evidence that informs the Administrator's
final determination. The vast majority of comments supported the EPA's
proposal and agreed with the EPA's description of the health and
welfare effects of lead air pollution. The Agency's responses to public
comments on the proposed endangerment finding, including those opposing
finalizing the finding, can be
[[Page 72395]]
found in the Response to Comments document for this action. After
consideration of the comments on this topic, the EPA concludes that the
scientific evidence supports finalizing the finding as proposed.
A. Scientific Basis of the Endangerment Finding
1. Lead Air Pollution
Lead is emitted and exists in the atmosphere in a variety of forms
and compounds and is emitted by a wide range of sources.\265\ Lead is
persistent in the environment. Atmospheric transport distances of
airborne lead vary depending on its form and particle size, as
discussed in section II.A. of this document, with coarse lead-bearing
particles deposited to a greater extent near the source, while fine
lead-bearing particles can be transported long distances before being
deposited. Through atmospheric deposition, lead is distributed to other
environmental media, including soils and surface water bodies.\266\
Lead is retained in soils and sediments, where it provides a historical
record and, depending on several factors, can remain available in some
areas for extended periods for environmental or human exposure, with
any associated potential public health and public welfare impacts.
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\265\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 2.2. ``Sources of
Atmospheric Pb.'' p. 2-1. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
\266\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Sources,
Fate and Transport of Lead in the Environment, and the Resulting
Human Exposure and Dose.'' pp. lxxviii-lxxix. EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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For purposes of this action, the EPA defines the ``air pollution''
referred to in section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA as lead, which we also
refer to as lead air pollution in this document.\267\
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\267\ The lead air pollution can occur as elemental lead or in
lead-containing compounds, and this definition of the air pollution
recognizes that lead in air (whatever form it is found in, including
in inorganic and organic compounds containing lead) has the
potential to elicit public health and welfare effects. We note, for
example, that the 2013 Lead ISA and 2008 AQCD described the
toxicokinetics of inorganic and organic forms of lead and studies
evaluating lead-related health effects commonly measure total lead
level (i.e., all forms of lead in various biomarker tissues such as
blood).
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2. Health Effects and Lead Air Pollution
In 2013, the EPA completed the Integrated Science Assessment for
Lead which built on the findings of previous AQCDs for Lead. These
documents critically assess and integrate relevant scientific
information regarding the health and welfare effects of lead and have
undergone extensive critical review by the EPA, the Clean Air
Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC), and the public. As such, these
assessments provide the primary scientific and technical basis for the
Administrator's finding that lead air pollution is reasonably
anticipated to endanger public health and welfare.268 269
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\268\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-
10/075F, 2013.
\269\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
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As summarized in section II.A. of this document, human exposure to
lead that is emitted into the air can occur by multiple pathways.
Inhalation pathways include both ambient air outdoors and ambient air
that has infiltrated into indoor environments. Additional exposure
pathways may involve media other than air, including indoor and outdoor
dust, soil, surface water and sediments, vegetation and biota. The
bioavailability of air-related lead is modified by several factors in
the environment (e.g., the chemical form of lead, environmental fate of
lead emitted to air). That notwithstanding, as described in section
II.A. of this document, it is well-documented that exposures to lead
emitted into the air can result in increased blood lead levels,
particularly for children living near air lead sources, due to their
proximity to these sources of exposure.\270\
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\270\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 5.4. ``Summary.'' p. 5-
40. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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As described in the EPA's 2013 Lead ISA and in prior AQCDs, lead
has been demonstrated to exert a broad array of deleterious effects on
multiple organ systems. The 2013 Lead ISA characterizes the causal
nature of relationships between lead exposure and health effects using
a weight-of-evidence approach.\271\ We summarize here those health
effects for which the EPA in the 2013 Lead ISA has concluded that the
evidence supports a determination of either a ``causal relationship,''
``likely to be causal relationship,'' or ``suggestive of a causal
relationship'' between lead exposure and a health effect.\272\ In the
discussion that follows, we summarize findings regarding effects
observed in children, effects observed in adults, and additional
effects observed that are not specific to an age group.
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\271\ The causal framework draws upon the assessment and
integration of evidence from across scientific disciplines, spanning
atmospheric chemistry, exposure, dosimetry and health effects
studies (i.e., epidemiologic, controlled human exposure, and animal
toxicological studies), and assessment of the related uncertainties
and limitations that ultimately influence our understanding of the
evidence. This framework employs a five-level hierarchy that
classifies the overall weight of evidence with respect to the causal
nature of relationships between criteria pollutant exposures and
health and welfare effects using the following categorizations:
causal relationship; likely to be causal relationship; suggestive
of, but not sufficient to infer, a causal relationship; inadequate
to infer the presence or absence of a causal relationship; and not
likely to be a causal relationship. EPA (2013) ISA for Lead.
Preamble section. p. xliv. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
\272\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-1. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between exposure to Pb and
health effects.'' pp. lxxxiii-lxxxvii. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/
R-10/075F, 2013.
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The EPA has concluded that there is a ``causal relationship''
between lead exposure during childhood (pre and postnatal) and a range
of health effects in children, including the following: cognitive
function decrements; the group of externalizing behaviors comprising
attention, increased impulsivity, and hyperactivity; and developmental
effects (i.e., delayed pubertal onset).\273\ In addition, the EPA has
concluded that the evidence supports a conclusion that there is a
``likely to be causal relationship'' between lead exposure and conduct
disorders in children and young adults, internalizing behaviors such as
depression, anxiety and withdrawn behavior, auditory function
decrements, and fine and gross motor function decrements.\274\
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\273\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-1. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between exposure to Pb and
health effects.'' p. lxxxiii and p. lxxxvi. EPA, Washington, DC,
EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\274\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-1. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between exposure to Pb and
health effects.'' pp. lxxxiii-lxxxiv. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/
R-10/075F, 2013.
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Multiple epidemiologic studies conducted in diverse populations of
children consistently demonstrate the harmful effects of lead exposure
on cognitive function (as measured by decrements in intelligence
quotient [IQ], decreased academic performance, and poorer performance
on tests of executive function). These findings are supported by
extensively documented toxicological evidence substantiating the
plausibility of these findings in the epidemiological literature and
provide information on the likely mechanisms underlying these
neurotoxic effects.\275\
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\275\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Children.'' pp. lxxxvii-lxxxviii. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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Intelligence quotient is a well-established, and among the most
rigorously standardized, cognitive function measure that has been used
extensively as a measure of the negative
[[Page 72396]]
effects of exposure to lead.276 277 Examples of other
measures of cognitive function negatively associated with lead exposure
include measures of intelligence and cognitive development and
cognitive abilities, such as learning, memory, and executive functions,
as well as academic performance and achievement.\278\
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\276\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 4.3.2. ``Cognitive
Function.'' p. 4-59. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\277\ EPA (2006) Air Quality Criteria for Lead. Sections 6.2.2
and 8.4.2. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-5/144aF, 2006.
\278\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 4.3.2. ``Cognitive
Function.'' p. 4-59. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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In summarizing the evidence relating neurocognitive effects to lead
exposure metrics, the 2013 Lead ISA notes that ``in individual studies,
postnatal (early childhood and concurrent) blood [lead] levels are also
consistently associated with cognitive function decrements in children
and adolescents.'' 279 280 The 2013 Lead ISA additionally
notes that the findings from experimental animal studies indicate that
lead exposures during multiple early lifestages and periods are
observed to induce impairments in learning, and that these findings
``are consistent with the understanding that the nervous system
continues to develop (i.e., synaptogenesis and synaptic pruning remains
active) throughout childhood and into adolescence.'' \281\ The 2013
Lead ISA further notes that ``it is clear that [lead] exposure in
childhood presents a risk; further, there is no evidence of a threshold
below which there are no harmful effects on cognition from [lead]
exposure,'' and additionally recognizes uncertainty about the patterns
of [lead] exposure that contribute to the blood [lead] levels analyzed
in epidemiologic studies (uncertainties which are greater in studies of
older children and adults than in studies of younger children who do
not have lengthy exposure histories).\282\ Evidence suggests that while
some neurocognitive effects of lead in children may be transient, some
lead-related cognitive effects may be irreversible and persist into
adulthood,\283\ potentially affecting lower educational attainment and
financial well-being.\284\
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\279\ In this statement, the term ``concurrent'' is referring to
blood lead measurements that were taken concurrently with the
neurocognitive testing.
\280\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.4. ``Pb Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental Deficits in Children.'' p. 1-76. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\281\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.4. ``Pb Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental Deficits in Children.'' p. 1-76. EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\282\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Children.'' pp. lxxxvii-lxxxviii. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\283\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.5. ``Reversibility
and Persistence of Neurotoxic Effects of Pb.'' p. 1-76. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\284\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 4.3.14. ``Public Health
Significance of Associations between Pb Biomarkers and
Neurodevelopmental Effects.'' p. 4-279. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/
600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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The 2013 Lead ISA concluded that neurodevelopmental effects in
children were among the effects best substantiated as occurring at the
lowest blood lead levels, and that these categories of effects were
clearly of the greatest concern with regard to potential public health
impact.\285\ For example, in considering population risk, the 2013 Lead
ISA notes that ``[s]mall shifts in the population mean IQ can be highly
significant from a public health perspective.'' \286\ Specifically, if
lead-related decrements are manifested uniformly across the range of IQ
scores in a population, ``a small shift in the population mean IQ may
be significant from a public health perspective because such a shift
could yield a larger proportion of individuals functioning in the low
range of the IQ distribution, which is associated with increased risk
of educational, vocational, and social failure'' as well as a decrease
in the proportion with high IQ scores.\287\
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\285\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.1. ``Public Health
Significance.'' p. 1-68. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
\286\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Public
Health Significance.'' p. xciii. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
\287\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.1. ``Public Health
Significance.'' p. 1-68. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
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With regard to lead effects identified for the adult population,
the 2013 Lead ISA concluded that there is a ``causal relationship''
between lead exposure and hypertension and coronary heart disease in
adults. The 2013 Lead ISA concluded that cardiovascular effects in
adults were those of greatest public health concern for adults because
the evidence indicated that these effects occurred at the lowest blood
lead levels, compared to other health effects, although it further
noted that the role of past versus recent exposures to lead is
unclear.\288\
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\288\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 1.9.1. ``Public Health
Significance.'' p. 1-68. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F,
2013.
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With regard to evidence of cardiovascular effects and other effects
of lead on adults, the 2013 Lead ISA notes that ``[a] large body of
evidence from both epidemiologic studies of adults and experimental
studies in animals demonstrates the effect of long-term [lead] exposure
on increased blood pressure and hypertension.'' \289\ In addition to
its effect on blood pressure, ``[lead] exposure can also lead to
coronary heart disease and death from cardiovascular causes and is
associated with cognitive function decrements, symptoms of depression
and anxiety, and immune effects in adult humans.'' \290\ The extent to
which the effects of lead on the cardiovascular system are reversible
is not well characterized. Additionally, the frequency, timing, level,
and duration of lead exposure causing the effects observed in adults
has not been pinpointed, and higher exposures earlier in life may play
a role in the development of health effects measured later in
life.\291\ The 2013 Lead ISA states that ``[i]t is clear however, that
[lead] exposure can result in harm to the cardiovascular system that is
evident in adulthood and may also affect a broad array of organ
systems.'' \292\ In summarizing the public health significance of lead
on the adult population, the 2013 Lead ISA notes that ``small [lead]-
associated increases in the population mean blood pressure could result
in an increase in the proportion of the population with hypertension
that is significant from a public health perspective.'' \293\
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\289\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Adults.'' p. lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\290\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Adults.'' p. lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\291\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Adults.'' p. lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\292\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Effects of
Pb Exposure in Adults.'' p. lxxxviii. EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\293\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Executive Summary. ``Public
Health Significance.'' p. xciii. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/
075F, 2013.
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In addition to the effects summarized here, the EPA has concluded
there is a ``likely to be causal relationship'' between lead exposure
and both cognitive function decrements and psychopathological effects
in adults. The 2013 Lead ISA also concludes that there is a ``causal
relationship'' between lead exposure and decreased red blood cell
survival and function, altered heme synthesis, and male reproductive
function. The EPA has also concluded there is a ``likely to be causal
relationship'' between lead exposure and decreased host resistance,
resulting in increased susceptibility to bacterial infection and
suppressed delayed type hypersensitivity, and cancer.\294\
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\294\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-1. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between exposure to Pb and
health effects.'' pp. lxxxiv-lxxxvii. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/
R-10/075F, 2013.
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[[Page 72397]]
Additionally, in 2013 EPA concluded that the evidence is
``suggestive of a causal relationship'' between lead exposure and some
additional effects. These include auditory function decrements in
adults and subclinical atherosclerosis, reduced kidney function, birth
outcomes (e.g., low birth weight, spontaneous abortion), and female
reproductive function.\295\
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\295\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-1. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between exposure to Pb and
health effects.'' pp. lxxxiv-lxxxvi. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-
10/075F, 2013.
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The EPA has identified factors that may increase the risk of health
effects of lead exposure due to susceptibility and/or vulnerability;
these are termed ``at-risk'' factors. The 2013 Lead ISA describes the
systematic approach the EPA uses to evaluate the coherence of evidence
to determine the biological plausibility of associations between at-
risk factors and increased vulnerability and/or susceptibility. An
overall weight of evidence is used to determine whether a specific
factor results in a population being at increased risk of lead-related
health effects.\296\ The 2013 Lead ISA concludes that ``there is
adequate evidence that several factors--childhood, race/ethnicity,
nutrition, residential factors, and proximity to [lead] sources--confer
increased risk of lead-related health effects.'' \297\
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\296\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Chapter 5. ``Approach to
Classifying Potential At-Risk Factors.'' p. 5-2. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
\297\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Section 5.4. ``Summary.'' p. 5-
44. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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3. Welfare Effects and Lead Air Pollution
The 2013 Lead ISA characterizes the causal nature of relationships
between lead exposure and welfare effects using a five-level hierarchy
that classifies the overall weight of evidence.\298\ We summarize here
the welfare effects for which the EPA has concluded that the evidence
supports a determination of either a ``causal relationship,'' or a
``likely to be causal relationship,'' with exposure to lead, or that
the evidence is ``suggestive of a causal relationship'' with lead
exposure. The discussion that follows is organized to first provide a
summary of the effects of lead in the terrestrial environment, followed
by a summary of effects of lead in freshwater and saltwater ecosystems.
The 2013 Lead ISA further describes the scales or levels at which these
determinations between lead exposure and effects on plants,
invertebrates, and vertebrates were made (i.e., community-level,
ecosystem-level, population-level, organism-level or sub-organism
level).\299\
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\298\ Causal determinations for ecological effects were based on
integration of information on biogeochemistry, bioavailability,
biological effects, and exposure-response relationships of lead in
terrestrial, freshwater, and saltwater environments. This framework
employs a five-level hierarchy that classifies the overall weight of
evidence with respect to the causal nature of relationships between
criteria pollutant exposures and health and welfare effects using
the categorizations described in the 2013 Lead NAAQS.
\299\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-2. ``Schematic
representation of the relationships between the various MOAs by
which Pb exerts its effects.'' p. lxxxii. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA/
600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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In terrestrial environments, the EPA determined that ``causal
relationships'' exist between lead exposure and reproductive and
developmental effects in vertebrates and invertebrates, growth in
plants, survival for invertebrates, hematological effects in
vertebrates, and physiological stress in plants.\300\ The EPA also
determined that there were ``likely to be causal relationships''
between lead exposure and community and ecosystem effects, growth in
invertebrates, survival in vertebrates, neurobehavioral effects in
invertebrates and vertebrates, and physiological stress in
invertebrates and vertebrates.
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\300\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-2. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between Pb exposure and effects
on plants, invertebrates, and vertebrates.'' p. xc. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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In freshwater environments, the EPA found that ``causal
relationships'' exist between lead exposure and reproductive and
developmental effects in vertebrates and invertebrates, growth in
invertebrates, survival for vertebrates and invertebrates, and
hematological effects in vertebrates. The EPA also determined that
there were ``likely to be causal relationships'' between lead exposure
and community and ecosystem effects, growth in plants, neurobehavioral
effects in invertebrates and vertebrates, hematological effects in
invertebrates, and physiological stress in plants, invertebrates, and
vertebrates.\301\
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\301\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-2. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between Pb exposure and effects
on plants, invertebrates, and vertebrates.'' p. xc. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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The EPA also determined that the evidence for saltwater ecosystems
was ``suggestive of a causal relationship'' between lead exposure and
reproductive and developmental effects in invertebrates, hematological
effects in vertebrates, and physiological stress in invertebrates.\302\
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\302\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. Table ES-2. ``Summary of causal
determinations for the relationship between Pb exposure and effects
on plants, invertebrates, and vertebrates.'' p. xc. EPA, Washington,
DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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The 2013 Lead ISA concludes, ``With regard to the ecological
effects of [lead], uptake of [lead] into fauna and subsequent effects
on reproduction, growth and survival are established and are further
supported by more recent evidence. These may lead to effects at the
population, community, and ecosystem level of biological organization.
In both terrestrial and aquatic organisms, gradients in response are
observed with increasing concentration of [lead] and some studies
report effects within the range of [lead] detected in environmental
media over the past several decades. Specifically, effects on
reproduction, growth, and survival in sensitive freshwater
invertebrates are well-characterized from controlled studies at
concentrations at or near [lead] concentrations occasionally
encountered in U.S. fresh surface waters. Hematological and stress
related responses in some terrestrial and aquatic species were also
associated with elevated [lead] levels in polluted areas. However, in
natural environments, modifying factors affect [lead] bioavailability
and toxicity and there are considerable uncertainties associated with
generalizing effects observed in controlled studies to effects at
higher levels of biological organization. Furthermore, available
studies on community and ecosystem-level effects are usually from
contaminated areas where [lead] concentrations are much higher than
typically encountered in the environment. The contribution of
atmospheric [lead] to specific sites is not clear and the connection
between air concentration of [lead] and ecosystem exposure continues to
be poorly characterized.'' \303\
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\303\ EPA (2013) ISA for Lead. ``Summary.'' p. xcvi. EPA,
Washington, DC, EPA/600/R-10/075F, 2013.
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B. Final Endangerment Finding
The Administrator finds, for purposes of CAA section 231(a)(2)(A),
that lead air pollution may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the
public health and welfare. This finding is based on consideration of
the extensive scientific evidence, described in this section, that has
been amassed over decades and rigorously peer reviewed by CASAC, as
well as consideration of public comments on the proposal.
V. The Final Cause or Contribute Finding Under CAA Section 231
In this action, the Administrator finds that engine emissions of
lead from
[[Page 72398]]
certain aircraft cause or contribute to the lead air pollution that may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health and welfare under
section 231(a)(2)(A) of the Clean Air Act. This section describes the
definition of the air pollutant and the data and information supporting
the Administrator's final determination. Public comments on the cause
or contribute finding were largely supportive of the EPA's proposal,
though some commenters opposed finalizing the finding. After
consideration of the comments on this topic, the EPA concludes that the
scientific evidence supports finalizing the finding as proposed. The
Agency's responses to certain public comments on the cause or
contribute finding can be found in section V.C. of this document, and
responses to additional comments on the cause or contribute finding can
be found in the Response to Comments document for this action.
A. Definition of the Air Pollutant
Under section 231, the Administrator is to determine whether
emissions of any air pollutant from any class or classes of aircraft
engines cause or contribute to air pollution which may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or welfare. As in the 2016
Findings that the EPA made under section 231 for greenhouse gases, in
making this cause or contribute finding under section 231(a)(2), the
Administrator first defines the air pollutant being evaluated. The
Administrator has reasonably and logically considered the relationship
between the lead air pollution and the air pollutant when considering
emissions of lead from engines used in covered aircraft. The
Administrator defines the air pollutant to match the definition of the
air pollution, such that the air pollutant analyzed for contribution
mirrors the air pollution considered in the endangerment finding.
Accordingly, for purposes of this action, the Administrator defines the
``air pollutant'' referred to in section 231(a)(2)(A) as lead, which we
also refer to as the lead air pollutant in this document.\304\ As noted
in section II.A.2. of this document, lead emitted to the air from
covered aircraft engines is predominantly in particulate form as lead
dibromide; however, some chemical compounds of lead that are expected
in the exhaust from these engines, including alkyl lead compounds,
would occur in the air in gaseous form.
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\304\ The lead air pollutant can occur as elemental lead or in
lead-containing compounds, and this definition of the air pollutant
recognizes the range of chemical forms of lead emitted by engines in
covered aircraft.
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B. The Data and Information Used To Evaluate the Final Cause or
Contribute Finding
The Administrator's assessment of whether emissions from the
engines used in covered aircraft cause or contribute to lead air
pollution was informed by estimates of lead emissions from the covered
aircraft, lead concentrations in air at and near airports that are
attributable to lead emissions from piston engines used in covered
aircraft, and projected future conditions.
As used in this final action, the term ``covered aircraft'' refers
to all aircraft and ultralight vehicles equipped with covered engines
which, in this context, means any aircraft engine that is capable of
using leaded avgas. Examples of covered aircraft would include smaller
piston-powered aircraft such as the Cessna 172 (single-engine aircraft)
and the Beechcraft Baron G58 (twin-engine aircraft), as well as the
largest piston-engine aircraft such as the Curtiss C-46 and the Douglas
DC-6. Other examples of covered aircraft would include rotorcraft, such
as the Robinson R44 helicopter, light-sport aircraft, and ultralight
vehicles equipped with piston engines. The vast majority of covered
aircraft are piston-engine powered.
In recent years, covered aircraft are estimated to be the largest
single source of lead to air in the U.S. Since 2008, as described in
section II.A.2.b. of this document, lead emissions from covered
aircraft are estimated to have contributed over 50 percent of all lead
emitted to the air nationally. The EPA estimates 470 tons of lead were
emitted by covered aircraft in 2017, comprising 70 percent of lead
emitted to air nationally that year.\305\ \306\ In approximately 1,000
counties in the U.S., the EPA's emissions inventory identifies covered
aircraft as the sole source of lead emissions. Among the 1,872 counties
in the U.S. for which the inventory identifies multiple sources of lead
emissions, including engine emissions from covered aircraft, the
contribution of aircraft engine emissions ranges from 0.00005 to 4.3
tons per year, comprising 0.15 to 98 percent (respectively) of total
lead emissions to air in those counties.\307\
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\305\ The lead inventories for 2008, 2011 and 2014 are provided
in the EPA (2018b) Report on the Environment Exhibit 2.
Anthropogenic lead emissions in the U.S. Available at https://cfpub.epa.gov/roe/indicator.cfm?i=13#2. The lead inventories for
2017 are available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data#dataq.
\306\ As described in section II.A.2., the EPA estimates 427
tons of lead were emitted by aircraft engines operating on leaded
fuel in 2020. Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, a substantial decrease
in activity by aircraft occurred in 2020, impacting the total lead
emissions for this year. The 2020 NEI is available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2020-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data.
\307\ Airport lead annual emissions data used were reported in
the 2017 NEI. Available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data. In addition
to the triennial NEI, the EPA collects from state, local, and Tribal
air agencies point source data for larger sources every year (see
https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-emissions-reporting-requirements-aerr for specific emissions thresholds).
While these data are not typically published as a new NEI, they are
available publicly upon request and are also included in https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/emissions-modeling-platforms,
which are created for years other than the triennial NEI years.
County estimates of lead emissions from non-aircraft sources used in
this action are from the 2019 inventory. There are 3,012 counties
and statistical equivalent areas where EPA estimates engine
emissions of lead occur.
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Covered aircraft activity, as measured by the number of hours flown
nationwide, increased nine percent in the period from 2012 through
2019.\308\ General aviation activity, largely conducted by covered
aircraft, increased up to 52 percent at airports that are among the
busiest in the U.S.\309\ In future years, while piston-engine aircraft
activity overall is projected to decrease slightly, this change in
activity is not projected to occur uniformly across airports in the
U.S.; some airports are forecast to have increased activity by general
aviation aircraft, the majority of which is conducted by piston-engine
aircraft.\310\ Although there is some uncertainty in these projections,
they indicate that lead emissions from covered aircraft may increase at
some airports in the future.\311\
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\308\ FAA. General Aviation and Part 135 Activity Surveys--CY
2019. Chapter 3: Primary and Actual Use. Table 1.3--General Aviation
and Part 135 Total Hours Flown by Aircraft Type 2008-2019 (Hours in
Thousands). Retrieved on Dec., 27, 2021 at https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation_data_statistics/general_aviation/CY2019/.
\309\ Geidosch. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Past
Trends and Future Projections in General Aviation Activity and
Emissions. June 1, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
\310\ Geidosch. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Past
Trends and Future Projections in General Aviation Activity and
Emissions. June 1, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
\311\ FAA TAF Fiscal Years 2020-2045 describes the forecast
method, data sources, and review process for the TAF estimates. The
documentation for the TAF is available at https://taf.faa.gov/Downloads/TAFSummaryFY2020-2045.pdf.
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Additionally, engine emissions of lead from covered aircraft may
deposit in the local environment and, due to the small size of the
lead-bearing particles emitted by engines in covered aircraft, these
particles may disperse widely in
[[Page 72399]]
the environment. Therefore, because lead is a persistent pollutant in
the environment, we anticipate current and future emissions of lead
from covered aircraft engines may contribute to exposures and uptake by
humans and biota into the future.
In evaluating the contributions of engine emissions from covered
aircraft to the lead air pollution, as defined in section IV.A. of this
document, the EPA also considered three types of information about lead
concentrations in the ambient air: monitored concentrations, modeled
concentrations, and model-extrapolated estimates of lead
concentrations. Lead concentrations monitored in the ambient air
typically quantify lead compounds collected as suspended particulate
matter. The information gained from air monitoring and air quality
modeling provides insight into how lead emissions from piston engines
used in covered aircraft can affect lead concentrations in air.
As described in section II.A.3. of this document, the EPA has
conducted air quality modeling at two airports and extrapolated modeled
estimates of lead concentrations to 13,000 airports with piston-engine
aircraft activity. These studies indicate that over a three-month
averaging time (the averaging time for the Lead NAAQS), the engine
emissions of lead from covered aircraft are estimated to contribute to
air lead concentrations to a distance of at least 500 meters downwind
from a runway.\312\ \313\ Additional studies have reported that lead
emissions from covered aircraft may have increased concentrations of
lead in air by one to two orders of magnitude at locations proximate to
aircraft emissions compared to nearby locations not impacted by a
source of lead air emissions.\314\ \315\ \316\
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\312\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (32), 5795-5804. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.017.
\313\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. Table 6. EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf.
\314\ Carr et al., 2011. Development and evaluation of an air
quality modeling approach to assess near-field impacts of lead
emissions from piston-engine aircraft operating on leaded aviation
gasoline. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (32), 5795-5804. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.07.017.
\315\ Heiken et al., 2014. Quantifying Aircraft Lead Emissions
at Airports. ACRP Report 133. Available at https://www.nap.edu/catalog/22142/quantifying-aircraft-lead-emissions-at-airports.
\316\ Hudda et al., 2022. Substantial Near-Field Air Quality
Improvements at a General Aviation Airport Following a Runway
Shortening. Environmental Science & Technology. DOI: 10.1021/
acs.est.1c06765.
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In 2008 and 2010, the EPA enhanced the lead monitoring network by
requiring monitors to be placed in areas with sources such as
industrial facilities and airports, as described further in section
II.A.3. of this document.\317\ \318\ As part of this 2010 requirement
to expand lead monitoring nationally, the EPA required a 1-year
monitoring study of 15 additional airports with estimated lead
emissions between 0.50 and 1.0 ton per year in an effort to better
understand how these emissions affect concentrations of lead in the air
at and near airports. Further, to help evaluate airport characteristics
that could lead to ambient lead concentrations that approach or exceed
the lead NAAQS, airports for this 1-year monitoring study were selected
based on factors such as the level of activity of covered aircraft and
the predominant use of one runway due to wind patterns. Monitored lead
concentrations in ambient air are highly sensitive to monitor location
relative to the location of the run-up areas for piston-engine aircraft
and other localized areas of elevated lead concentrations relative to
the air monitor locations.
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\317\ 73 FR 66965 (Nov. 12, 2008).
\318\ 75 FR 81126 (Dec. 27, 2010).
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The lead monitoring study at airports began in 2011. In 2012, air
monitors were placed in close proximity to the run-up areas at the San
Carlos Airport (measurements started on March 10, 2012) and the
McClellan-Palomar Airport (measurements started on March 16, 2012). The
concentrations of lead measured at both of these airports in 2012 were
above the level of the lead NAAQS, with the highest measured levels of
lead in total suspended particles over a rolling three-month average of
0.33 micrograms per cubic meter of air at the San Carlos Airport and
0.17 micrograms per cubic meter of air at the McClellan-Palomar
Airport. These concentrations violate the primary and secondary lead
NAAQS, which are set at a level of 0.15 micrograms per cubic meter of
air measured in total suspended particles, as an average of three
consecutive monthly concentrations.
In recognition of the potential for lead concentrations to exceed
the lead NAAQS in ambient air near the area of maximum concentration at
airports, the EPA further conducted an assessment of airports
nationwide, titled ``Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports'' and described in section II.A.3. of
this document.\319\ The model-extrapolated lead concentrations
estimated in this study are attributable solely to emissions from
engines in covered aircraft operating at the airports evaluated and did
not include other sources of lead emissions to air. The EPA identified
four airports with the potential for lead concentrations above the lead
NAAQS due to lead emissions from engines used in covered aircraft.
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\319\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports Table 6. EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf.
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Additional information regarding the contribution of engine
emissions of lead from covered aircraft to lead air pollution is
provided by the EPA's Air Toxics Screening Assessment. As described and
summarized in section II.A.3. of this document, the EPA's Air Toxics
Screening Assessment estimates that piston engines used in aircraft
contribute more than 50 percent of the estimated lead concentrations in
over half of the census tracts in the U.S.\320\
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\320\ EPA's 2019 AirToxScreen is available at https://www.epa.gov/AirToxScreen/2019-airtoxscreen.
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The EPA also notes that lead is emitted from engines in covered
aircraft in three of the ten areas in the U.S. currently designated as
nonattainment for the 2008 lead NAAQS. These areas are Arecibo, PR, and
Hayden, AZ, each of which include one airport servicing covered
aircraft, and the Los Angeles County-South Coast Air Basin, CA, which
contains at least 22 airports within its nonattainment area
boundary.\321\ \322\ Although the lead emissions from aircraft are not
the predominant source of airborne lead in these areas, the emissions
from covered aircraft may increase ambient air lead concentrations in
these areas.
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\321\ South Coast Air Quality Management District (2012)
Adoption of 2012 Lead SIP Los Angeles County by South Coast
Governing Board, p.3-11, Table 3-3. Available at https://www.aqmd.gov/home/air-quality/clean-air-plans/lead-state-implementation-plan. The South Coast Air Quality Management District
identified 22 airports in the Los Angeles County-South Coast Air
Basin nonattainment area; the Whiteman Airport is among those in the
nonattainment area and the EPA estimated activity at this airport
may increase lead concentrations to levels above the lead NAAQS in
the report, Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports. Table 7. EPA, Washington, DC, EPA-
420-R-20-003, 2020. Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf.
\322\ EPA provides updated information regarding nonattainment
areas at this website: https://www.epa.gov/green-book/green-book-lead-2008-area-information.
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[[Page 72400]]
C. Response to Certain Comments on the Cause or Contribute Finding
The EPA received comments related to the contribution of lead
emissions from engines in covered aircraft to lead air pollution.
Commenters provided both support for and opposition to the EPA's
proposed cause or contribute finding, with specific comments regarding
the amount of lead emitted by aircraft operating on leaded fuel and the
contribution of aircraft engine emissions to lead concentrations in the
air.
Numerous commenters state their support for the proposed cause or
contribute finding, in some cases noting that ample evidence supports
this finding and highlighting the important role that lead emissions
from covered aircraft engines have in local environments in many areas
of the U.S. Additional commenters express concern regarding monitored
lead concentrations that exceed the NAAQS at some airports. The
comments expressing support for the proposed cause or contribute
finding and EPA's responses are described in greater detail in the
Response to Comment document for this action. We acknowledge these
comments and the support expressed for the EPA's cause or contribute
finding, and we agree with the commenters that lead emissions from
engines in covered aircraft contribute to lead air pollution.
Commenters stating opposition to the cause or contribute finding
based on the amount of lead emitted by aircraft operating on leaded
fuel, assert that lead emissions today are 425 times less than lead
emissions of the 1970s or that the emissions of lead from aircraft are
less than one quarter of one percent of the emissions from cars in the
1970s. Some commenters also state that it only stands to reason that
covered aircraft engine emissions of lead represent a high percentage
of current lead emissions because lead is no longer being emitted by
motor vehicles. At least one additional commenter states that given the
number of hours flown by covered aircraft, they do not contribute
enough lead to affect air pollution.
Commenters stating opposition to the cause or contribute finding
based on the concentrations of lead in air from engine emissions by
covered aircraft state that concentrations of lead exceeding the lead
NAAQS are rare, representing two of 17 airports studied. One commenter
also notes that Table 2 (in section II.A.3. of this document) does not
address the localized conditions of the airports studied and that the
airports where lead concentrations violated the lead NAAQS may have
unique conditions that resulted in the concentrations measured.
Additionally, some commenters state that there is no evidence that
engine emissions of lead are creating a hazard, and that the lead
emitted is not toxic in the small amount emitted by aircraft engines.
In response to commenters comparing emissions of lead from covered
aircraft to lead emitted by motor vehicles in the 1970s, the EPA
acknowledges that more lead was emitted by motor vehicles in the 1970s
than is emitted by covered aircraft engines currently. This cause or
contribute finding is focused on emissions of lead from covered
aircraft engines, a different category of mobile sources from motor
vehicles, and the commenters do not explain why the fact that
historical emissions were higher from a different source category means
that current emissions from covered aircraft engines are not
contributing to the existing lead air pollution. Similarly, the
historical contributions of lead emitted by motor vehicles is not
germane to the present-day analysis of the contribution of lead
emissions from covered aircraft engines to the total lead released to
the air annually in the U.S. Indeed, nothing in CAA section 231(a)
precludes EPA from making a cause or contribute finding for emissions
from aircraft engines where such a finding is warranted, even if
emissions from other sources regulated elsewhere in the CAA or under
other Federal programs may also contribute to that air pollution or
have historically contributed to it. See Massachusetts v. E.P.A., 549
U.S. 497, 533 (2007) (the alleged efficacy of other ``Executive Branch
programs'' in addressing the air pollution problem is not a valid
reason for declining to make an endangerment finding). As noted
previously, in making a cause or contribute finding, CAA section 231
does not require the EPA to find that the contribution from the
relevant source category is ``significant,'' let alone the sole or
major cause of the endangering air pollution. As described in section
V.B., the lead emissions from engines used in covered aircraft clearly
contribute to the endangering lead air pollution, as these emissions
contributed over 50 percent of lead emissions to air starting in 2008,
when approximately 560 tons of lead were emitted by engines in covered
aircraft, and more recently, in 2017, when approximately 470 tons of
lead were emitted by engines in covered aircraft. In the EPA's view,
both the quantity and percentage of lead emitted by covered aircraft
engines amply demonstrate that this source contributes to lead air
pollution in the U.S.
In response to commenters stating that the number of hours flown by
covered aircraft do not contribute enough lead to affect air pollution,
the EPA notes that the commenters made a conclusory allegation and did
not provide data or analysis supporting their claim. The EPA disagrees
with this comment, and we present data in section V.B. of this document
demonstrating that the activity by covered aircraft, which includes the
number of hours flown, contributes to lead air pollution as described
in the preceding paragraph.
In response to commenters asserting that concentrations of lead
exceeding the lead NAAQS are rare, representing two of 17 airports
studied, as an initial matter, the EPA notes that nothing in section
231(a) of the CAA premises the cause or contribute finding on emissions
from the relevant classes of aircraft engines contributing to such
exceedances in a minimum number of air quality regions. More
importantly, the EPA notes that the purpose of this airport monitoring
study was not to determine the frequency with which potential
violations of the lead NAAQS occur at or near airports, but to
understand the potential range in lead concentrations at a small sample
of airports and the factors that influence those concentrations. As
described in section II.A.3. of this document, the concentrations of
lead monitored at and near highly active general aviation airports is
largely determined by the placement of the monitor relative to the run-
up area, and monitor placement relative to the run-up area was not
uniform across the airports studied. The EPA fully explains the basis
on which the Administrator finds that emissions of lead from covered
aircraft engine emissions cause or contribute to lead air pollution.
The data that support this finding are presented in section V.B. and,
as articulated in section V.D., where, among other data, the
Administrator takes into account the fact that in some situations lead
emissions from covered aircraft have contributed and may continue to
contribute to air concentrations that exceed the lead NAAQS. Given that
the lead NAAQS are established to provide requisite protection of
public health and welfare, the Administrator expresses particular
concern with contributions to concentrations that exceed the lead
NAAQS, and those contributions are part of the support for the
conclusion that lead emissions from engines in covered aircraft cause
or contribute to the endangering air pollution.
In response to the comment regarding the assertion that the two
airports where lead concentrations violated the lead NAAQS may have
unique conditions
[[Page 72401]]
that resulted in the concentrations measured, the EPA notes that the
commenter did not specify or explain what localized conditions might
lead to this result; nor did they provide supporting evidence for
localized conditions occurring in these areas that could explain these
lead concentrations presented in Table 2 of this document. The EPA
describes in section II.A.3. of this document that at both of these
airports, monitors were located in close proximity to the area at the
end of the runway most frequently used for pre-flight safety checks
(i.e., run-up), and monitor placement relative to the run-up area is a
key factor in evaluating the maximum impact location attributable to
lead emissions from piston-engine aircraft. Additionally, as described
in section II.A.3. of this document, air lead concentrations at and
downwind from airports can be influenced by factors such as the use of
more than one run-up area, wind speed, and the number of operations
conducted by single- versus twin-engine aircraft.\323\ At the two
airports at which concentrations of lead violated the lead NAAQS, the
EPA observed a similar fleet composition of single- versus twin-engine
aircraft compared with other airports where on-site measurements were
taken; wind speeds, which are inversely proportional to lead
concentration, were not lower at the airports with lead concentrations
violating the lead NAAQS compared with other airports; and these
airports were not unique in that the activity by piston-engine aircraft
was in the range of activity by these aircraft at the majority of
airports where monitors were located.\324\ The EPA thus concludes that
these two airports do not have unique conditions responsible for the
concentrations of lead that violated the lead NAAQS.
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\323\ The data in Table 2 represent concentrations measured at
one location at each airport and monitors were not consistently
placed in close proximity to the run-up areas. As described in
section II.A.3., monitored concentrations of lead in air near
airports are highly influenced by proximity of the monitor to the
run-up area. In addition to monitor placement, there are individual
airport factors that can influence lead concentrations (e.g., the
use of multiple run-up areas at an airport, fleet composition, and
wind speed). The monitoring data reported in Table 2 reflect a range
of lead concentrations indicative of the location at which
measurements were made and the specific operations at an airport.
\324\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports Appendix B, Table B-2. EPA-420-R-20-
003, 2020. Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf.
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In response to the comments that there is no evidence that engine
emissions of lead are creating a hazard,\325\ and that the lead emitted
is not toxic in the small amount emitted by aircraft engines, we note
that these comments conflate the endangerment and cause or contribute
steps of the analysis. The text in section 231(a)(2) provides for the
EPA to make a finding based on a determination that emissions of the
air pollutant from the covered aircraft engine ``causes, or contributes
to'' the air pollution. In making a cause or contribute finding, the
EPA need not additionally and separately make a determination as to
whether the emissions from covered aircraft engines alone cause
endangerment. In section IV. of this document, the EPA explained why
the Administrator is finding that the lead air pollution endangers
public health and welfare. The only remaining issue at the second step
of the analysis is whether emissions from the analyzed class or classes
of aircraft engines cause or contribute to the air pollution that may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health and welfare. For
the reasons described in section V. of this document, in the
Administrator's judgment, emissions of the lead air pollutant from
engines in the covered aircraft cause or contribute to the lead air
pollution.
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\325\ While the comment does not clearly explain what it is
referring to with the phrase ``creating a hazard,'' we understand
that phrase to align with the ``cause'' portion of the cause or
contribute findings.
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Additional comments were submitted to the EPA regarding the
emissions, deposition, transport, and fate of lead emitted by covered
aircraft engines. The EPA responds to these comments in the Response to
Comments Document for this action.
D. Final Cause or Contribute Finding for Lead
Taking into consideration the data and information summarized in
section V. of this document, and the public comments received on the
proposed finding, the Administrator finds that engine emissions of the
lead air pollutant from covered aircraft cause or contribute to the
lead air pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger
public health and welfare. In reaching this conclusion, the
Administrator noted that piston-engine aircraft operate on leaded
avgas. That operation emits lead-containing compounds into the air,
contributing to lead air pollution in the environment. As explained in
section II.A. of this document, once emitted from covered aircraft,
lead may be transported and distributed to other environmental media,
where it presents the potential for human exposure through air and non-
air pathways before the lead is removed to deeper soils or waterbody
sediments. In reaching this final finding, the Administrator takes into
consideration different air quality scenarios in which emissions of the
lead air pollutant from engines in covered aircraft may cause or
contribute to lead air pollution. Among these considerations, he places
weight on the fact that current lead emissions from covered aircraft
are an important source of air-related lead in the environment and that
engine emissions of lead from covered aircraft are the largest single
source of lead to air in the U.S. in recent years. In this regard, he
notes that these emissions contributed over 50 percent of lead
emissions to air starting in 2008, when approximately 560 tons of lead
was emitted by engines in covered aircraft (of the total 950 tons of
lead) and, more recently, in 2017, when approximately 470 tons of lead
was emitted by engines in covered aircraft (of the total 670 tons of
lead).\326\
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\326\ The lead inventories for 2008, 2011 and 2014 are provided
in the U.S. EPA (2018b) Report on the Environment Exhibit 2.
Anthropogenic lead emissions in the U.S. Available at https://cfpub.epa.gov/roe/indicator.cfm?i=13#2. The lead inventories for
2017 are available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-data#dataq.
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Additionally, he takes into account the fact that in some
situations lead emissions from covered aircraft have contributed and
may continue to contribute to air concentrations that exceed the lead
NAAQS. The NAAQS are standards that have been set to protect public
health, including the health of sensitive groups, with an adequate
margin of safety and to protect public welfare from any known or
anticipated adverse effects associated with the presence of the
pollutant in the ambient air. For example, the EPA's monitoring data
show that lead concentrations at two airports, McClellan-Palomar and
San Carlos, violated the lead NAAQS. The EPA's model-extrapolated
estimates of lead also indicate that some U.S. airports may have air
lead concentrations above the NAAQS in the area of maximum impact from
operation of covered aircraft.\327\ Given that the lead NAAQS are
established to protect public health and welfare, contributions to
concentrations that exceed the lead NAAQS are of particular concern to
the Administrator and are persuasive support for the conclusion that
lead emissions from engines in covered
[[Page 72402]]
aircraft cause or contribute to the endangering air pollution.
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\327\ EPA (2020) Model-extrapolated Estimates of Airborne Lead
Concentrations at U.S. Airports Table 7. EPA-420-R-20-003, 2020.
Available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi?Dockey=P100YG52.pdf.
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The Administrator is also concerned about the likelihood for these
emissions to continue to be an important source of air-related lead in
the environment in the future, if uncontrolled. While recognizing that
national consumption of leaded avgas is forecast to decrease slightly
from 2026 to 2041 commensurate with overall piston-engine aircraft
activity, the Administrator also notes that these changes are not
expected to occur uniformly across the U.S.\328\ For example, he takes
note of the FAA forecasts for airport-specific aircraft activity out to
2045 that project decreases in activity by general aviation at some
airports, while projecting increases at other airports.\329\ Although
there is some uncertainty in these projections, they indicate that lead
emissions from covered aircraft may increase at some airports in the
future. Thus, even assuming that consumption of leaded avgas and
general aviation activity decrease somewhat overall, as projected, the
Administrator anticipates that current concerns about these sources of
air-related lead will continue into the future, without controls.
Accordingly, the Administrator is considering both current levels of
emissions and anticipated future levels of emissions from covered
aircraft. In doing so, the Administrator finds that current levels
cause or contribute to pollution that may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health and welfare. He also is taking into
consideration the projections that some airports may see increases in
activity while others see decreases, as well as the uncertainties in
these predictions. The Administrator therefore considers all this
information and data collectively to inform his judgment on whether
lead emissions from covered aircraft cause or contribute to endangering
air pollution.
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\328\ FAA Terminal Area Forecast provides projections of
aircraft activity at airports. The forecast is available at https://taf.faa.gov and the FAA Terminal Area Forecast for Fiscal Years
2020-2045 describes the forecast method, data sources, and review
process for the TAF estimates, available at: https://taf.faa.gov/Downloads/TAFSummaryFY2020-2045.pdf.
\329\ Geidosch. Memorandum to Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389. Past
Trends and Future Projections in General Aviation Activity and
Emissions. June 1, 2022. Docket ID EPA-HQ-2022-0389.
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Accordingly, for all the reasons described, the Administrator
concludes that emissions of the lead air pollutant from engines in
covered aircraft cause or contribute to the lead air pollution that may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health and welfare.
VI. Statutory Authority and Executive Order Reviews
Additional information about these statutes and Executive Orders
can be found at https://www2.epa.gov/laws-regulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and Executive
Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory Review
This action is a ``significant regulatory action'' as defined in
Executive Order 12866, as amended by Executive Order 14094.
Accordingly, EPA submitted this action to the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) for Executive Order 12866 review. Documentation of any
changes made in response to the Executive Order 12866 review is
available in the docket. This action finalizes a finding that emissions
of the lead air pollutant from engines in covered aircraft cause or
contribute to the lead air pollution that may be reasonably anticipated
to endanger public health and welfare.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
This action does not impose an information collection burden under
the PRA. The final endangerment and cause or contribute findings under
CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) do not contain any information collection
activities.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities under the RFA. This
action will not impose any requirements on small entities. The final
endangerment and cause or contribute findings under CAA section
231(a)(2)(A) do not in-and-of-themselves impose any new requirements on
any regulated entities but rather set forth the Administrator's finding
that emissions of the lead air pollutant from engines in covered
aircraft cause or contribute to lead air pollution that may be
reasonably anticipated to endanger public health and welfare.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
This action does not contain any unfunded mandate as described in
UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538 and does not significantly or uniquely affect
small governments. The action imposes no enforceable duty on any state,
local or Tribal governments or the private sector.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the states, on the relationship between
the national government and the states, or on the distribution of power
and responsibilities among the various levels of government.
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With Indian
Tribal Governments
This action does not have Tribal implications as specified in
Executive Order 13175. The final endangerment and cause or contribute
findings under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) do not in-and-of-themselves
impose any new requirements but rather set forth the Administrator's
final finding that emissions of the lead air pollutant from engines in
covered aircraft cause or contribute to lead air pollution that may be
reasonably anticipated to endanger public health and welfare. Thus,
Executive Order 13175 does not apply to this action.
Tribes have previously submitted comments to the EPA noting their
concerns regarding potential impacts of lead emitted by piston-engine
aircraft operating on leaded avgas at airports on, and near, their
Reservation Land.\330\ The EPA plans to continue engaging with Tribal
stakeholders on this issue and will offer a government-to-government
consultation upon request.
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\330\ See Docket ID Number EPA-HQ-OAR-2006-0735. The Tribes that
submitted comments were: The Bad River Band of Lake Superior Tribe
of Chippewa Indians, The Quapaw Tribe of Oklahoma, The Leech Lake
Band of Ojibwe, The Lone Pine Paiute-Shoshone Reservation, The Fond
du Lac Band of Lake Superior Chippewa, and The Mille Lacs Band of
Ojibwe.
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G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental
Health Risks and Safety Risks
Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997) directs Federal
agencies to include an evaluation of the health and safety effects on
children of a planned regulation in setting Federal health and safety
standards. This action is not subject to Executive Order 13045 because
it does not propose to establish an environmental standard intended to
mitigate health or safety risks. Although the Administrator considered
health and safety risks as part of the endangerment and cause or
contribute findings under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A), the findings
themselves do not impose a standard intended to mitigate those risks.
However, the EPA's Policy on Children's Health applies to this action.
Consistent with this policy,
[[Page 72403]]
the Administrator considered lead exposure risks to children as part of
this final endangerment finding under CAA section 231(a)(2)(A).
Information on how the Policy was applied is available under
``Children's Environmental Health'' in the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
section B. of this document. A copy of the documents pertaining to the
impacts on children's health from emissions of lead from piston-engine
aircraft that the EPA references in this action have been placed in the
public docket for this action (Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389).
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution or Use
This action is not a ``significant energy action'' because it is
not likely to have a significant adverse effect on the supply,
distribution or use of energy. Further, we have concluded that this
action is not likely to have any adverse energy effects because the
final endangerment and cause or contribute findings under section
231(a)(2)(A) do not in-and-of themselves impose any new requirements
but rather set forth the Administrator's finding that emissions of the
lead air pollutant from engines in covered aircraft cause or contribute
to lead air pollution that may be reasonably anticipated to endanger
public health and welfare.
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA)
This action does not involve technical standards.
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations; Executive
Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation's Commitment to Environmental
Justice for All
The EPA believes that the human health or environmental conditions
that exist prior to this action result in or have the potential to
result in disproportionate and adverse human health or environmental
effects on communities with environmental justice concerns. The EPA
conducted an analysis of people living within 500 meters or one
kilometer of airports and found that there is a greater prevalence of
people of color and of low-income populations within 500 meters or one
kilometer of some airports compared with people living more distant.
The EPA provides a summary of the evidence for potentially
disproportionate and adverse effects among people of color and low-
income populations residing near airports in section II.A.5. of this
document. A copy of the documents pertaining to the EPA's analysis of
potential environmental justice concerns regarding populations who live
in close proximity to airports has been placed in the public docket for
this action (Docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0389).
The EPA believes that this action will not change existing
disproportionate and adverse effects on communities with environmental
justice concerns. In this action, the EPA finds, under section
231(a)(2)(A) of the Clean Air Act, that emissions of lead from engines
in covered aircraft may cause or contribute to air pollution that may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare. We are
not proposing emission standards at this time.
The EPA additionally promoted fair treatment and meaningful
involvement for the public, including for communities with
environmental justice concerns, in this action by briefing Tribal
members on this action and providing information on our website in both
Spanish and English, as well as providing access to Spanish translation
during the public hearing.
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
The EPA will submit a rule report to each House of the Congress and
to the Comptroller General of the United States. This action is not a
``major rule'' as defined by 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
L. Determination Under Section 307(d)
Section 307(d)(1)(V) of the CAA provides that the provisions of
section 307(d) apply to ``such other actions as the administrator may
determine.'' Pursuant to section 307(d)(1)(V), the Administrator
determines that this action is subject to the provisions of section
307(d).
M. Judicial Review
Section 307(b)(1) of the CAA governs judicial review of final
actions by the EPA. This section provides, in part, that petitions for
review must be filed in the D.C. Circuit: (i) when the agency action
consists of ``nationally applicable regulations promulgated, or final
actions taken, by the Administrator,'' or (ii) when such action is
locally or regionally applicable, but ``such action is based on a
determination of nationwide scope or effect and if in taking such
action the Administrator finds and publishes that such action is based
on such a determination.'' For locally or regionally applicable final
actions, the CAA reserves to the EPA complete discretion whether to
invoke the exception in (ii) described in the preceding sentence.\331\
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\331\ Sierra Club v. EPA, 47 F.4th 738, 745 (D.C. Cir. 2022)
(``EPA's decision whether to make and publish a finding of
nationwide scope or effect is committed to the agency's discretion
and thus is unreviewable''); Texas v. EPA, 983 F.3d 826, 834-35 (5th
Cir. 2020).
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This action is ``nationally applicable'' within the meaning of CAA
section 307(b)(1) because in issuing these final findings, the EPA
becomes subject to a statutory duty to propose and promulgate aircraft
engine emission standards under CAA section 231(a), which are
nationally applicable regulations for which judicial review is
available only in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of
Columbia Circuit (D.C. Circuit) pursuant to CAA section 307(b)(1).
Further, these emission standards would apply to covered aircraft,
wherever in the nation they are located. We note also that similar
actions, including the 2016 Endangerment and Cause or Contribute
Findings under CAA section 231 for greenhouse gases and the 2009
Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings under CAA section 202(a)
for greenhouse gases, were also nationally applicable \332\ and were
challenged in the D.C. Circuit.\333\
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\332\ 81 FR 54422 (Aug. 15, 2016) (2016 Findings); 74 FR 66496
(2009 Findings).
\333\ Coalition for Responsible Regulation, Inc. v. EPA, 684
F.3d 102 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (subsequent history omitted) (affirming
2009 Findings); Biogenic CO2 Coalition v. EPA (Doc. No. 1932392, No.
16-1358, D.C. Cir., January 26, 2022) (granting petitioner's motion
to voluntarily dismiss petition for review of 2016 Findings).
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In the alternative, to the extent a court finds this final action
to be locally or regionally applicable, the Administrator is exercising
the complete discretion afforded to him under the CAA to make and
publish a finding that this action is based on a determination of
``nationwide scope or effect'' within the meaning of CAA section
307(b)(1).\334\ In issuing these final findings, the EPA becomes
subject to a statutory duty to propose and promulgate emissions
standards under CAA section 231(a), which would apply nationwide to
covered aircraft that travel and operate within multiple judicial
circuits. As described in section III. of this document, in making
these findings, the EPA is applying the same analytical framework that
the Agency applied in the 2016 Endangerment and Cause or
[[Page 72404]]
Contribute Findings under CAA section 231 for greenhouse gases and the
2009 Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings under CAA section
202(a) for greenhouse gases, both of which were challenged in the D.C.
Circuit, as noted above.
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\334\ In deciding whether to invoke the exception by making and
publishing a finding that an action is based on a determination of
nationwide scope or effect, the Administrator takes into account a
number of policy considerations, including his judgment balancing
the benefit of obtaining the D.C. Circuit's authoritative
centralized review versus allowing development of the issue in other
contexts and the best use of agency resources.
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The Administrator finds that this is a matter on which national
uniformity in judicial resolution of any petitions for review is
desirable, to take advantage of the D.C. Circuit's administrative law
expertise, and to facilitate the orderly development of the law under
the Act. The Administrator also finds that consolidated review of this
action in the D.C. Circuit will avoid piecemeal litigation in the
regional circuits, further judicial economy, and eliminate the risk of
inconsistent results, and that a nationally consistent approach to the
CAA's provisions related to making endangerment and cause or contribute
findings under section 231 of the CAA, including for lead air pollution
and emissions of lead from engines in covered aircraft as here,
constitutes the best use of agency resources.
For these reasons, this final action is nationally applicable or,
alternatively, the Administrator is exercising the complete discretion
afforded to him by the CAA and finds that this final action is based on
a determination of nationwide scope or effect for purposes of CAA
section 307(b)(1) and is publishing that finding in the Federal
Register. Under section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, petitions for judicial
review of this action must be filed in the United States Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit by December 19, 2023.
VII. Statutory Provisions and Legal Authority
Statutory authority for this action comes from 42 U.S.C. 7571, 7601
and 7607.
List of Subjects
40 CFR Parts 87 and 1031
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Aircraft, Aircraft
engines.
40 CFR Part 1068
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Confidential business information, Imports, Motor vehicle pollution,
Penalties, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Warranties.
Michael S. Regan,
Administrator.
[FR Doc. 2023-23247 Filed 10-19-23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P